Clinical Outcomes With Electronic Nudges to Increase Influenza Vaccination : A Prespecified Analysis of a Nationwide, Pragmatic, Registry-Based, Randomized Implementation Trial.

BACKGROUND: In the NUDGE-FLU (Nationwide Utilization of Danish Government Electronic letter system for increasing inFLUenza vaccine uptake) trial, electronic letters incorporating cardiovascular (CV) gain-framing and repeated messaging increased influenza vaccination by approximately 1 percentage point. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of the successful nudging interventions on downstream clinical outcomes. DESIGN: Prespecified exploratory analysis of a nationwide randomized implementation trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT05542004). SETTING: The 2022 to 2023 influenza season. PARTICIPANTS: 964 870 Danish citizens aged 65 years or older. INTERVENTION: Usual care or 9 different electronically delivered behavioral nudging letters. MEASUREMENTS: Cardiovascular, respiratory, and other clinical end points during follow-up from intervention delivery (16 September 2022) through 31 May 2023. RESULTS: The analysis set included 691 820 participants. Hospitalization for pneumonia or influenza occurred in 3354 of 346 327 (1.0%) participants in the usual care group, 396 of 38 586 (1.0%) in the CV gain-framing group (hazard ratio [HR], 1.06 [95% CI, 0.95 to 1.18]; versus usual care), and 403 of 38 231 (1.1%) in the repeated letter group (HR, 1.09 [CI, 0.98 to 1.21]; versus usual care). In the usual care group, 44 682 (12.9%) participants were hospitalized for any cause, compared with 5002 (13.0%) in the CV gain-framing group (HR, 1.00 [CI, 0.97 to 1.03]; versus usual care) and 4965 (13.0%) in the repeated letter group (HR, 1.01 [CI, 0.98 to 1.04]; versus usual care). A total of 6341 (1.8%) participants died in the usual care group, compared with 721 (1.9%) in the CV gain-framing group (HR, 1.02 [CI, 0.94 to 1.10]; versus usual care) and 646 (1.7%) in the repeated letter group (HR, 0.92 [CI, 0.85 to 1.00]; versus usual care). LIMITATION: Prespecified but exploratory analysis, potential misclassification of events in routinely collected registry data, and results may not be generalizable to other health systems or countries with other racial compositions and/or cultural or societal norms. CONCLUSION: In a prespecified exploratory analysis, modest increases in influenza vaccination rates seen with electronic nudges did not translate into observable improvements in clinical outcomes. Seasonal influenza vaccination should remain strongly recommended. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Sanofi.

Effect of Electronic Nudges on Influenza Vaccination Rate in Older Adults With Cardiovascular Disease: Prespecified Analysis of the NUDGE-FLU Trial.

BACKGROUND: Influenza vaccines have been demonstrated to effectively reduce the incidence of influenza infection and potentially associated risks of cardiovascular events in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Despite strong guideline and public health endorsements, global influenza vaccination rates in patients with CVD are highly variable. This prespecified analysis of NUDGE-FLU (Nationwide Utilization of Danish Government Electronic Letter System for Increasing Influenza Vaccine Uptake) examined the effect of digital behavioral nudges on influenza vaccine uptake based on the presence of CVD. METHODS: NUDGE-FLU was a randomized, pragmatic, nationwide, register-based trial that included Danish citizens 65 years of age or older during the 2022 to 2023 influenza season. Households were randomized in a 9:1:1:1:1:1:1:1:1:1 ratio to usual care or 9 electronic letters with designs based on behavioral concepts. Danish nationwide registers were used to collect baseline and outcome data. The primary end point was receipt of an influenza vaccine on or before January 1, 2023. The effects of the intervention letters were examined according to the presence of CVD and across cardiovascular subgroups that included heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Of 964 870 NUDGE-FLU participants from 691 820 households, 264 392 (27.4%) had CVD. During follow-up, 83.1% of participants with CVD versus 79.2% of participants without CVD received an influenza vaccination (P<0.001). Compared with usual care, a letter emphasizing the potential cardiovascular benefits of influenza vaccination increased vaccination rates; this effect was consistent in participants with CVD (absolute difference, +0.60 percentage points [99.55% CI, -0.48 to 1.68]) and without CVD (+0.98 percentage points [99.55% CI, 0.27-1.70; P for interaction=0.41). A repeated letter strategy with a reminder follow-up letter 14 days later was also effective in increasing influenza vaccination, irrespective of CVD (CVD: absolute difference, +0.80 percentage points [99.55% CI, -0.27 to 1.86]; no CVD: +0.67 percentage points [99.55% CI, -0.06 to 1.40]; P for interaction=0.77). Effectiveness of both nudging strategies was consistent across all major CVD subgroups. None of the other 7 nudging strategies were effective, regardless of CVD status. CONCLUSIONS: Electronic letter interventions emphasizing the potential cardiovascular benefits of influenza vaccination and using a reminder letter strategy were similarly beneficial in increasing influenza vaccination rates among older adults with and without CVD and across cardiovascular subgroups. Electronic nudges may improve influenza vaccine uptake in individuals with CVD. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT05542004.

Electronic nudges to increase influenza vaccination uptake in Denmark: a nationwide, pragmatic, registry-based, randomised implementation trial.

BACKGROUND: Influenza vaccination rates remain suboptimal despite effectiveness in preventing influenza infection and related complications. We investigated whether behavioural nudges, delivered via a governmental electronic letter system, would increase influenza vaccination uptake among older adults in Denmark. METHODS: We did a nationwide, pragmatic, registry-based, cluster-randomised implementation trial during the 2022-23 influenza season in Denmark. All Danish citizens aged 65 years or older or turning 65 years by Jan 15, 2023 were included. We excluded individuals living in nursing homes and individuals who had an exemption from the Danish mandatory governmental electronic letter system. Households were randomly assigned (9:1:1:1:1:1:1:1:1:1) to usual care or nine different electronic letters designed on the basis of different behavioural nudging concepts. Data were sourced from nationwide Danish administrative health registries. The primary endpoint was receipt of influenza vaccination on or before Jan 1, 2023. The primary analysis assessed an analytical set of one randomly selected individual per household, and a sensitivity analysis included all randomly assigned individuals and accounted for within-household correlation. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05542004. FINDINGS: We identified 1 232 938 individuals aged 65 years or older in Denmark and excluded 56 436 (4·6%) individuals living in nursing homes and 211 632 (17·2%) with an exemption from the electronic letter system. We randomly assigned 964 870 (78·3%) participants across 691 820 households. Compared with usual care, influenza vaccination rates were higher in the group receiving an electronic letter highlighting potential cardiovascular benefits of vaccination (81·00% vs 80·12%; difference 0·89 percentage points [99·55% CI 0·29-1·48]; p<0·0001) and the group receiving repeated letters at randomisation and at day 14 (80·85% vs 80·12%; difference 0·73 percentage points [0·13-1·34]; p=0·0006). These strategies improved vaccination rates across major subgroups including those with and without established cardiovascular disease. The cardiovascular gain-framed letter was particularly effective among participants who had not been vaccinated for influenza in the previous season (pinteraction=0·0002). A sensitivity analysis of all randomly assigned individuals accounting for within-household clustering yielded similar findings. INTERPRETATION: Electronically delivered letters highlighting potential cardiovascular benefits of influenza vaccination or sent again as a reminder significantly increased vaccination uptake across Denmark. Although the magnitude of effectiveness was modest, the low-touch, inexpensive, and highly scalable nature of these electronic letters might be informative for future public health campaigns. FUNDING: Sanofi.

Rationale and design of NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC and NUDGE-FLU-2: Two nationwide randomized trials of electronic nudges to increase influenza vaccination among patients with chronic diseases and older adults during the 2023/2024 influenza season.

BACKGROUND: Yearly influenza vaccination is strongly recommended for older adults and patients with chronic diseases including cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, vaccination rates remain suboptimal, particularly among younger patients. Electronic letters incorporating behavioral nudges are highly scalable public health interventions which can potentially increase vaccination, but further research is needed to determine the most effective strategies and to assess effectiveness across different populations. The purpose of NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC and NUDGE-FLU-2 are to evaluate the effectiveness of electronic nudges delivered via the Danish governmental electronic letter system in increasing influenza vaccination among patients with chronic diseases and older adults, respectively. METHODS: Both trials are designed as pragmatic randomized implementation trials enrolling all Danish citizens in their respective target groups and conducted during the 2023/2024 influenza season. NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC enrolls patients aged 18-64 years with chronic diseases. NUDGE-FLU-2 builds upon the NUDGE-FLU trial conducted in 2022/2023 and aims to expand the evidence by testing both previously successful and new nudges among adults ≥65 years during a subsequent influenza season. Persons with exemptions from the electronic letter system are excluded from both trials. In both trials, participants are randomized in a 2.45:1:1:1:1:1:1 ratio to either receive no electronic letter (usual care) or to receive one of 6 different behaviorally informed electronic letters. NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC has randomized 299,881 participants with intervention letters delivered on September 24, 2023, while NUDGE-FLU-2 has randomized 881,373 participants and delivered intervention letters on September 13, 2023. Follow-up is currently ongoing. In both trials, the primary endpoint is receipt of influenza vaccination on or before January 1, 2024, and the secondary endpoint is time to vaccination. Clinical outcomes including respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations, all-cause hospitalization, and mortality are included as prespecified exploratory endpoints. Prespecified individual-level pooled analyses will be conducted across NUDGE-FLU, NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC, and NUDGE-FLU-2. DISCUSSION: NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC is the first nationwide randomized trial of electronic nudges to increase influenza vaccination conducted among 18-64-year-old high-risk patients with chronic diseases. NUDGE-FLU-2 will provide further evidence on the effectiveness of electronic nudges among older adults ≥65 years. Collectively, the NUDGE-FLU trials will provide an extensive evidence base for future public health communications. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NUDGE-FLU-CHRONIC: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT06030739, registered September 11, 2023, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06030739. NUDGE-FLU-2: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT06030726, registered September 11, 2023, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06030726.

Effects of high-dose versus standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine among patients with diabetes: A post-hoc analysis of the DANFLU-1 trial.

AIM: High-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV-HD) has been shown to be more effective than standard-dose (QIV-SD) in reducing influenza infection, but whether diabetes status affects relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) is unknown. We aimed to assess rVE on change in glycated haemoglobin [HbA1c (∆HbA1c)], incident diabetes, total all-cause hospitalizations (first + recurrent), and a composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization for pneumonia or influenza. METHODS: DANFLU-1 was a pragmatic, open-label trial randomizing adults (65-79 years) 1:1 to QIV-HD or QIV-SD during the 2021/22 influenza season. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate rVE against incident diabetes and the composite endpoint, negative binomial regression to estimate rVE against all-cause hospitalizations, and ANCOVA when assessing rVE against ∆HbA1c. RESULTS: Of the 12 477 participants, 1162 (9.3%) had diabetes at baseline. QIV-HD, compared with QIV-SD, was associated with a reduction in the rate of all-cause hospitalizations irrespective of diabetes [overall: 647 vs. 742 events, incidence rate ratio (IRR): 0.87, 95% CI (0.76-0.99); diabetes: 93 vs. 118 events, IRR: 0.80, 95% CI (0.55-1.15); without diabetes: 554 vs. 624 events, IRR: 0.88, 95% CI (0.76-1.01), pinteraction = 0.62]. Among those with diabetes, QIV-HD was associated with a lower risk of the composite outcome [2 vs. 11 events, HR: 0.18, 95% CI (0.04-0.83)] but had no effect on ∆HbA1c; QIV-HD adjusted mean difference: ∆ + 0.2 mmol/mol, 95% CI (-0.9 to 1.2). QIV-HD did not affect the risk of incident diabetes [HR 1.18, 95% CI (0.94-1.47)]. CONCLUSIONS: In this post-hoc analysis, QIV-HD versus QIV-SD was associated with an increased rVE against the composite of all-cause death and hospitalization for pneumonia/influenza, and the all-cause hospitalization rate irrespective of diabetes status.

Nationwide Utilization of Danish Government Electronic letter system for increasing inFLUenza vaccine uptake (NUDGE-FLU): Study protocol for a nationwide randomized implementation trial.

BACKGROUND: Annual influenza vaccination is widely recommended in older adults and other high-risk groups including patients with cardiovascular disease. The real-world effectiveness of influenza vaccination is limited by suboptimal uptake and effective strategies for increasing vaccination rates are therefore needed. The purpose of this trial is to investigate whether behavioral nudges digitally delivered via the Danish nationwide mandatory governmental electronic letter system can increase influenza vaccination uptake among older adults. METHODS: The NUDGE-FLU trial is a randomized implementation trial randomizing all Danish citizens aged 65 years and above without an exemption from the Danish mandatory governmental electronic letter system to receive no digitally delivered behavioral nudge (usual care arm) or to receive one of 9 electronic letters (intervention arms) each leveraging different behavioral science strategies. The trial has randomized 964,870 participants with randomization clustered at the household level (n = 691,820 households). Intervention letters were delivered on September 16, 2022, and follow-up is currently ongoing. All trial data are captured using the nationwide Danish administrative health registries. The primary end point is the receipt of an influenza vaccine on or before January 1, 2023. The secondary end point is time to vaccination. Exploratory end points include clinical events such as hospitalization for influenza or pneumonia, cardiovascular events, all-cause hospitalization, and all-cause mortality. DISCUSSION: The nationwide randomized NUDGE-FLU trial is one of the largest implementation trials ever conducted and will provide important insights into effective communication strategies to maximize vaccination uptake among high-risk groups. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT05542004, registered September 15, 2022, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05542004.

Fibrin degradation products and survival in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a protocolized prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have a high incidence of cardiovascular disease including thromboembolisms. Fibrin degradation products, like D-dimer, have been associated with death from all causes in healthy individuals and COPD patients. We aimed to determine the (i) association between D-dimer levels and all-cause mortality and time being alive and out of a hospital, (ii) possible modifying effect of anticoagulant treatment,, and (iii) distribution of D-dimer in patients with moderate to severe COPD. METHODS: Results of routinely measured stable phase D-dimer samples from COPD-outpatients at Copenhagen University Hospital - Herlev and Gentofte, COPD-outpatient clinic were collected using the Danish registries. These were used to examine whether COPD-patients with a D-dimer level in the upper quartile, had a higher risk of death from all causes within 365 days. RESULTS: In the unadjusted Cox proportional hazards regression we found an association between high D-dimer and all-cause mortality: Hazard ratio (HR): 2.3 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.1-4.7). In the fully adjusted regression, the HR was 1.8 (CI 0.8-3.9). We did not find any interaction between D-dimer and anticoagulant or antiplatelet therapy. For the secondary outcome, proportion of days alive and out of hospital in 365 days (pDAOH), the unadjusted multiple linear regression had an association between high D-dimer level and pDAOH: -2.7% points (pp) (CI -3.9 pp - -1.5 pp), which was attenuated to -1,7pp (-2.9pp - -0.4pp) in the fully adjusted regression. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with moderate to severe COPD, patients with a high level of D-dimer were more likely to die; however, the signal was not strong in the adjusted analyses and our results do not support unselected risk stratification with D-dimer in COPD-outpatients.

Left atrial functional measurements' utility in predicting long-term risk of atrial fibrillation after isolated CABG.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We hypothesized that measures of left atrial (LA) function would be useful in predicting AF in patients undergoing CABG. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the study, 611 patients were included after CABG. All patients had echocardiograms performed preoperatively and LA functional measurements were assessed. These measurements were LA maximum volume index (LAVmax), LA minimum volume index (LAVmin) and LA emptying fraction (LAEF). The endpoint was AF occurring >14 days after surgery. During the follow-up period of a median of 3.7 years, 52 (9%) developed AF. The mean age was 67 years, 84% were male and the average left ventricle ejection fraction was 50%. Patients who developed AF had a lower CCS class and lower LAEF (40 vs. 45%), otherwise no clinical differences were observed between outcome groups. No functional LA measurements were significant predictors of AF in the whole CABG population. However, in patients with normal-sized LA (n = 532, events: 49), both LAEF and LAVmin were univariable predictors of AF. When the functional measurements were adjusted for the CHADS2 score, both LAVmin (HR = 1.07 [1.01-1.13], p = .014) and LAEF (HR: 1.02 [1.00-1.03], p = .023), remained significant predictors. CONCLUSION: No echocardiographic measurements were significant predictors of AF after CABG. In patients with a normal LA size, LAVmin as well as LAEF were significant predictors of AF.

Influenza and cardiovascular disease pathophysiology: strings attached.

A link between influenza infection and cardiovascular morbidity has been known for almost a century. This narrative review examined the cardiovascular complications associated with influenza and the potential mechanisms behind this relationship. The most common reported cardiovascular complications are cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalization. There are multiple proposed mechanisms driving the increased risk of cardiovascular complications. These mechanics involve influenza-specific effects such as direct cardiac infection and endothelial dysfunction leading to plaque destabilization and rupture, but also hypoxaemia and systemic inflammatory responses including increased metabolic demand, biomechanical stress, and hypercoagulability. The significance of the individual effects is unclear, and thus whether influenza directly or indirectly causes cardiovascular events is unknown. In conclusion, the risk of acute cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is elevated during influenza infection. The proposed underlying pathophysiological mechanisms support this association, but systemic responses to infection may drive this relationship.

Effect of influenza vaccination in solid organ transplant recipients: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

Vaccination can prevent influenza in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients. Using a modified season-specific approach over nine consecutive influenza seasons, we investigated influenza vaccination coverage and effectiveness in a population-based nationwide cohort study that included all SOT recipients aged ≥18 years who were living in Denmark from December 1, 2007 to April 1, 2016. The primary outcome was the season-specific risk of all-cause pneumonia admission. Secondary outcomes were season-specific influenza-related admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and all-cause mortality. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. In total, 11 381 person-years of follow-up data were collected from 5745 SOT recipients, 48% of whom were vaccinated. Influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause pneumonia admission (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99; p = .035) and all-cause mortality (aHR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.47-0.76; p = .001), but not influenza-related admission (aHR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.46-1.22; p = .24) or ICU admission (aHR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.67-1.06; p = .14) during the same season. Despite these benefits, uptake of influenza vaccination among SOT recipients was low. Therefore, annual influenza vaccination needs to be prioritized.

MR-proANP measured at admission is associated with incident atrial fibrillation in STEMI patients.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common following ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Increased blood levels of mid regional pro atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) have been associated with a greater risk of incident AF. However, knowledge of the value of MR-proANP in predicting incident AF after STEMI is sparse. To assess whether MR-proANP measured at admission is associated with development of incident AF in patients with STEMI. 673 STEMI patients with no history of AF treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) were prospectively enrolled from September 2006 to December 2008. Blood samples were drawn before the procedure. MR-proANP was measured by an automated processing assay. End point was incident AF. Median follow-up time was 5.5 years (interquartile-range 4.7-6.0), during which 63 patients developed AF. In a multivariable Cox regression model adjusted for relevant clinical and biochemical variables, MR-proANP was significantly associated with the development of AF (HR 1.18 per 100 pmol, 95% CI 1.11-1.28, p < 0.001). In a subgroup of patients who underwent echocardiography (N = 360), MR-proANP remained significantly associated with the development of AF (HR 1.39 per 100 pmol, 95% CI 1.13-1.71, p = 0.002) after adjusting for clinical and biochemical variables and left ventricular ejection fraction. When stratifying patients according to tertiles of MR-proANP, patients in the upper tertile displayed an 11 times greater risk of developing AF during follow-up as compared to patients in the lower tertile (HR 11.1, 95% CI 4.4-28.2, p < 0.001). Plasma MR-proANP measured at admission is an independent predictor of incident AF after STEMI.

Echocardiographic predictors of long-term adverse cardiovascular outcomes in participants with and without diabetes mellitus: A follow-up analysis of the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have identified several echocardiographic markers of cardiac dysfunction in participants with diabetes mellitus, including E/e'. However, previous studies have been limited by short follow-up duration or low statistical power, and none have assessed whether echocardiographic predictors of adverse cardiovascular outcome differ between individuals with DM and individuals without DM. METHODS: A total of 1997 individuals from the general population without heart disease had an echocardiogram performed in 2001 to 2003. Diabetes was defined as HbA1c ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol), non-fasted blood glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L or the use of glucose lowering medication. The end-point was a composite of heart failure (HF), ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cardiovascular death (CVD). RESULTS: At baseline, a total of 292 participants (15%) had diabetes. Median follow-up time was 12.4 years (interquartile-range: 9.8-12.8 years) and follow-up was 100%. During follow-up, 101 participants (35%) with diabetes and 281 participants without diabetes (16%) reached the composite end-point. The prognostic value of E/e' was significantly modified by diabetes (p for interaction: 0.003). In participants with diabetes, only E/e' remained an independent predictor of outcome in a final multivariable model adjusted for clinical and echocardiographic parameters (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.17, p = 0.0041, per 1 increase). In participants without diabetes, left ventricular mass index (LVMI), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and a' remained independent predictors of outcome when adjusted for clinical and echocardiographic parameters. In individuals with diabetes, only E/e' added incremental prognostic value to risk factors from the SCORE risk chart and the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equation. CONCLUSION: In individuals with diabetes from the general population, E/e' is a stronger predictor of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity than in individuals without diabetes and contributes with incremental prognostic value in addition to established cardiovascular risk factors.

Sex differences in echocardiographic predictors of bradycardia detected by implantable loop recorder in patients with syncope and palpitations.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to investigate whether echocardiography may aid in identifying patients, specifically men, at risk of bradycardia as detected by implantable loop recorders (ILR) in patients evaluated for syncope and palpitations. METHODS: We included ambulatory patients undergoing ILR implantation for syncope (84%), presyncope (9%), and palpitations (8%). Echocardiographic examination was performed prior to implantation (2.9 months [IQR 1.0-6.0 months]). Echocardiograms were analyzed for conventional and speckle tracking parameters. We examined time to first event of bradycardia, defined as (a) heart rate <30 beats/min and (b) ≥4 beats, including sinus arrest, asystole, sinoatrial block, and second- and third-degree atrioventricular nodal block. We applied Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A total of 285 patients we enrolled, and during a median time of 2.7 years [IQR 1.0, 3.3 years] of continuous heart rhythm monitoring, 84 (29%) had bradycardia detected by ILR. Patients with bradycardia were older (61 ± 19 years vs 55 ± 18 years, P = .01) and more frequently men (62% vs 44%, P = .01). Sex modified the association between echocardiographic parameters and bradycardia (P interaction <0.05 for all), such that left ventricular LV mass index (HR: 1.02 per 1g/m2 increase [1.01-1.04], P < .001), LV ejection fraction (HR: 1.04 per 1% decrease [1.01-1.08], P = .02), and global longitudinal strain (HR: 1.09 per 1% decrease [1.01-1.19], P = .03) were associated with bradycardia in men but not women (P > .05 for all in female). After adjusting for baseline clinical characteristics, medical therapy, and loop indication, the abovementioned parameters remained significantly associated with incident bradycardia in men. CONCLUSION: Echocardiographic parameters of LV structure and function may potentially be more useful for predicting bradycardia in men than women, among patients undergoing ILR implantation for syncope, presyncope, and palpations.

Diastolic function assessed with speckle tracking over a decade and its prognostic value: The Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: The ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) may be a more accurate measure of LV filling pressure then ratio of early filling pressure to early tissue velocity. The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of age, sex, obesity, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, physical activity level, socioeconomic, and psychosocial status on E/e'sr over a decade. Additionally, the predictive value of ΔE/e'sr on future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has never been explored. METHOD: The study included 623 participants from the general population, who participated in the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS4 and CCHS5). Examinations were median 10 years apart. MACE was the composite endpoint of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death. RESULTS: Follow-up time was median 5.7 years, and 43 (7%) experienced MACE. Mean age was 51 ± 14 years, and 43% were male. Mean ΔE/e'sr was 2.1 ± 23.0 cm. After multivariable adjustment for demographic, clinical, and biochemistry variables, high age (stand. ß-coef. = .24, P < .001) and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) (stand. ß-coef. = .17, P < .001) were significantly associated with an accelerated increase in E/e'sr In multivariable Cox regression, E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of MACE (HR = 1.20, 95% CI [1.01; 1.42] per 10 cm increase for both). ΔE/e'sr did only provide incremental prognostic value to change in left atrial volume index of the conventional diastolic measurements. CONCLUSION: In the general population, age and MAP were predictors of an accelerated increase in E/e'sr over a decade. E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of future MACE.

Prognostic value of right ventricular echocardiographic measures in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

PURPOSE: Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is associated with poor outcome in patients with heart failure. In order to better predict mortality in this patient group we wanted to compare the prognostic value of conventional and advanced RV echocardiographic measures. METHODS: Echocardiographic examinations were retrieved from 701 patients. End point was all-cause mortality and follow-up 100%. RV parameters were measured offline in accordance with current guidelines. Speckle tracking was derived using the algorithm originally designed for the left ventricle. RESULTS: During follow-up (median: 39 months) 118 patients (16.8%) died. RV global longitudinal strain (GLS) and RV free wall strain (FWS) remained associated with mortality after multivariable adjustment independent of Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) (RV GLS: HR 1.07, 95%CI 1.02-1.13, p = 0.010, per 1% decrease) (RV FWS: HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.01-1.09, p = 0.010, per 1% decrease). This seemed to be caused by significant associations in men. All RV estimates provided prognostic information incremental to established risk factors and significantly increased C-statistics. CONCLUSIONS: RV GLS and FWS were associated with mortality in HFrEF patients after multivariable adjustment independent of TAPSE. TAPSE, however, remained as the strongest prognosticator in women. More research is needed to identify whether speckle tracking could be superior to conventional RV measures in identifying HFrEF patients with poor outcome.

Influenza Vaccine in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Influenza infection is a serious event for patients with heart failure (HF). Little knowledge exists about the association between influenza vaccination and outcome in patients with HF. This study sought to determine whether influenza vaccination is associated with improved long-term survival in patients with newly diagnosed HF. METHODS: We performed a nationwide cohort study including all patients who were >18 years of age and diagnosed with HF in Denmark in the period of January 1, 2003, to June 1, 2015 (n=134 048). We collected linked data using nationwide registries. Vaccination status, number, and frequency during follow-up were treated as time-varying covariates in time-dependent Cox regression. RESULTS: Follow-up was 99.8% with a median follow-up time of 3.7 years (interquartile range, 1.7-6.8 years). The vaccination coverage of the study cohort ranged from 16% to 54% during the study period. In unadjusted analysis, receiving ≥1 vaccinations during follow-up was associated with a higher risk of death. After adjustment for inclusion date, comorbidities, medications, household income, and education level, receiving ≥1 vaccinations was associated with an 18% reduced risk of death (all-cause: hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.84; P<0.001; cardiovascular causes: hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.84; P<0.001). Annual vaccination, vaccination early in the year (September to October), and greater cumulative number of vaccinations were associated with larger reductions in the risk of death compared with intermittent vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HF, influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular death after extensive adjustment for confounders. Frequent vaccination and vaccination earlier in the year were associated with larger reductions in the risk of death compared with intermittent and late vaccination.

Left Atrial Function Determined by Echocardiography Predicts Incident Heart Failure in Patients With STEMI treated by Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the comparative effectiveness of left atrial (LA) functional parameters (left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF), left atrial expansion index (LAi) and minimal left atrial volume index (MinLAVI)) with that of LA volume index (LAVI) in predicting heart failure (HF) and death following ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI). BACKGROUND: HF is common following STEMI. Enlarged LA volume as determined by echocardiography predicts adverse outcome following STEMI. However, whether echocardiographic parameters of LA function, such as LAEF, LAi and MinLAVI, are superior to LAVI for predicting prognosis following STEMI is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 369 patients with STEMI but without atrial fibrillation or HF who were treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention were prospectively enrolled in the period between September 2006 and December 2008. Patients underwent echocardiography shortly after STEMI. The maximal and minimal LA volumes were measured using the biplane area-length method. LAVI, MinLAVI (minimal LA volume indexed to body surface area), LAEF ((maximal LA volume-minimal LA volume)/maximal LA volume), and LAi ((maximal LA volume-minimal LA volume)/minimal LA volume) were calculated. The endpoint was a composite consisting of HF or death from any cause. During a median follow-up of 66 months (interquartile range: 50-73 months), 112 patients reached the endpoint (68 HFs, 44 deaths). Following adjustment for clinical, biochemical and echocardiographic variables, only LAEF remained an independent predictor of the composite outcome, whereas LAVI did not (LAEF: HR 1.25, P = 0.043, per 1 SD decrease) (LAVI: HR 1.01, P = 0.91, per 1 SD increase). CONCLUSION: In patients with STEMI who were treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention, LAEF, as measured by echocardiography shortly after infarction, was superior to LAVI in predicting incident HF and death.

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with lower incidence of heart failure and death.

AIMS: Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (CAF) improves symptoms, but whether CAF improves outcome is less clear. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether CAF is associated with improved outcome in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with previous direct current (DC) cardioversion. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a nationwide cohort study including all patients who underwent their 1st direct current cardioversion for AF in the period 2003-15 (N = 25 439). End points were all-cause death, cardiovascular death, stroke/thromboembolism, and incident heart failure (HF). Catheter ablation for AF was treated as a time-varying covariate and the association with outcome was assessed using Cox regression. We also constructed a propensity-matched cohort and assessed the association between CAF and outcome. Median follow-up was 5.3 years (inter-quartile range 3.0-8.7 years). A total of 3509 patients (13.8%) underwent CAF during the study period. Following adjustment for age, gender, comorbidities, medications, educational level, household income, and CHA2DS2VASc score, CAF was associated with reduced risks of all-cause death, cardiovascular death, and incident HF [all-cause death: hazard ratio (HR) 0.69, P < 0.001; cardiovascular death: HR 0.68, P = 0.003; incident HF: HR 0.76, P = 0.011]. Catheter ablation for AF was not associated with a reduced risk of stroke/thromboembolism. These results were replicated in a propensity-matched cohort. CONCLUSION: In AF patients with a prior DC cardioversion, CAF was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. This may be due to a reduced risk of HF.