Analyzing evolutionary game theory in epidemic management: A study on social distancing and mask-wearing strategies.

When combating a respiratory disease outbreak, the effectiveness of protective measures hinges on spontaneous shifts in human behavior driven by risk perception and careful cost-benefit analysis. In this study, a novel concept has been introduced, integrating social distancing and mask-wearing strategies into a unified framework that combines evolutionary game theory with an extended classical epidemic model. To yield deeper insights into human decision-making during COVID-19, we integrate both the prevalent dilemma faced at the epidemic's onset regarding mask-wearing and social distancing practices, along with a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis. We explore the often-overlooked aspect of effective mask adoption among undetected infectious individuals to evaluate the significance of source control. Both undetected and detected infectious individuals can significantly reduce the risk of infection for non-masked individuals by wearing effective facemasks. When the economical burden of mask usage becomes unsustainable in the community, promoting affordable and safe social distancing becomes vital in slowing the epidemic's progress, allowing crucial time for public health preparedness. In contrast, as the indirect expenses associated with safe social distancing escalate, affordable and effective facemask usage could be a feasible option. In our analysis, it was observed that during periods of heightened infection risk, there is a noticeable surge in public interest and dedication to complying with social distancing measures. However, its impact diminishes beyond a certain disease transmission threshold, as this strategy cannot completely eliminate the disease burden in the community. Maximum public compliance with social distancing and mask-wearing strategies can be achieved when they are affordable for the community. While implementing both strategies together could ultimately reduce the epidemic's effective reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) to below one, countries still have the flexibility to prioritize either of them, easing strictness on the other based on their socio-economic conditions.

Social distancing as a public-good dilemma for socio-economic cost: An evolutionary game approach.

Partaking in social distancing can contribute to a public good affected by the perceived risk of infection and socioeconomic cost. Although social distancing can save lives by slowing down the disease transmission before introducing any effective medical intervention, the economic fallout of social distancing can be brutal for the poorest, vulnerable, and marginalized members of society. We combined the epidemiological and evolutionary game theoretical (EGT) framework through the consolidations of the SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) disease model to analyze behavior enticements in a social distancing dilemma situation with the complex behavioral decision-making aspect. Extensive theoretical and numerical analyses reveal that socioeconomic cost and infected individuals' compliance behavior are critical factors in reining disease spread in the community. Lower cost for maintaining relative safety distance encourages maximum avoidance of public interactions by a detected infected individual. The benefitted fraction due to compliance is parted from the naturally immunized population. People get insignificant benefits from social distancing when the disease transmission rate is too low or crosses critical higher values. Average Social Payoff (ASP) analysis suggests the correspondence of significant safety distance with lowest cost setting as the best strategy to derive the maximum goods. But mounting inherent cost converts social distancing obedience to a public good dilemma.

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Aden, Yemen: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: In Yemen, initial surveillance of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) focused primarily on patients with symptoms or severe disease. The full spectrum of the disease remains unclear. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first seroprevalence study performed in Yemen. METHODS: This cross-sectional investigation included 2001 participants from all age groups from four districts in Aden, southern Yemen. A multi-stage sampling method was used. Data were collected using a well-structured questionnaire, and blood samples were taken. Healgen COVID-19 IgG/IgM Rapid Diagnostic Test (RDT) Cassettes were used in all participants. All positive RDTs and 14% of negative RDTs underwent enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) testing (WANTAI SARS-CoV-2 Ab ELISA Kit) for confirmation. RESULTS: In total, 549 of 2001 participants were RDT positive and confirmed by ELISA, giving a prevalence of COVID-19 of 27.4%. The prevalence of immunoglobulin G was 25%. The prevalence of asymptomatic COVID-19 in the entire study group was 7.9%. The highest prevalence was observed in Al-Mansurah district (33.4%). Regarding sociodemographic factors, the prevalence of COVID-19 was significantly higher among females, housewives and subjects with a history of contact with a COVID-19 patient: 32%, 31% and 39%, respectively. CONCLUSION: This study found high prevalence of COVID-19 in the study population. Household transmission was common.

The application of spontaneous corpus cavernosum EMG to assess the status of cavernous smooth muscles, a preliminary study.

INTRODUCTION: Diagnostic tests for vascular erectile dysfunction (ED) depend on cavernous smooth muscles (CSM) relaxation following an intracorporal injection (ICI). Enhanced sympathetic tone, which is not uncommon during performance of these tests, can bias its results. Also, CSM diseases can cause veno-occlusive diseases (VOD) ED. Corpus cavernosum electromyography (CC-EMG) potentials' amplitudes represent the integrated sympathetic activity of healthy CSM. Stem-cells and gene-therapy are potential therapeutic options for impaired CSM. OBJECTIVE: To utilize CC-EMG, as a new diagnostic technique that can confirm the integrity of CSM, and to identify patients with impaired CSM activity, among those diagnosed as vascular ED per Color Duplex Doppler Ultrasonography (CDDU). PATIENT AND METHODS: Group 1 included 24 patients with ED and negative response to ICI. Group 2 included 10 men without ED. Patients included in group 1 had penile CDDU examination and all participants had spontaneous CC-EMG recordings. RESULTS: According to CDDU parameters, group 1 was sub-grouped as nine arterial, ten VOD and five mixed type. CC-EMG potentials' amplitudes ranged 223-320, 179-237, 103-250 and 83-200µV for group 2 and arterial, mixed and VOD subgroups respectively. The widest ranges of potentials' amplitudes were recorded in the subgroups of patients with an element of VOD. Four patients with ED, within these subgroups, had CC-EMG potentials' amplitudes ranged 200-250µV that exceeded/approached the lowest value recorded from men in group 2. CONCLUSION: CC-EMG recordings elicited marked differences of CSM activity among patients diagnosed with an element of VOD ED per CDDU. This finding highlighted the need to utilize CC-EMG to assess the integrity of CSM. Identifying patients with impaired CSM activity may modify the chosen methods for therapeutic interventions.