Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients. METHODS: In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients). RESULTS: During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

Steroid administration for ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation: A retrospective study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of steroids on ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation. METHODS: A total of 58 patients with ischemic complications were divided into two groups according to corticosteroid use or non-use. RESULTS: A total of 13 patients who were administered steroids had a shorter duration of fever than those who were not administered steroids (median 6.0 vs. 2.0 days; p < 0.001). Linear regression analysis showed that steroid administration was associated with a reduction of 3.9 days in the duration of fever (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Steroid administration for ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation may reduce the risk of fatal outcomes by blocking systemic inflammatory reactions.

Clinical utility of postablation liver tumor biopsy and possibility of gene mutation analysis.

AIM: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is regarded as a first-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at an early stage. When treated with RFA, tumor biopsy may not be performed due to the risk of neoplastic seeding. We previously revealed that the risk of neoplastic seeding is significantly reduced by performing biopsies after RFA. In this study, we investigated the possibility of pathological evaluation and gene mutation analysis of post-RFA tumor specimens. METHODS: Radiofrequency ablation was undertaken on diethylnitrosamine-induced mouse liver tumor, and tumor samples with or without RFA were subjected to whole exome sequencing. Post-RFA human liver tumor specimens were used for detection of TERT promoter mutations and pathological assessment. RESULTS: The average somatic mutation rate, sites of mutation, and small indels and base transition patterns were comparable between the nontreated and post-RFA tumors. We identified 684 sites of nonsynonymous somatic substitutions in the nontreated tumor and 704 sites of nonsynonymous somatic substitutions in the post-RFA tumor, with approximately 85% in common. In the human post-RFA samples, the TERT promoter mutations were successfully detected in 40% of the cases. Pathological evaluation was possible with post-RFA specimens, and in one case, the diagnosis of adenocarcinoma was made. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that post-RFA liver tumor biopsy is a useful and safe method for obtaining tumor samples that can be used for gene mutation analysis and for pathological assessment.

Axin2+ Peribiliary Glands in the Periampullary Region Generate Biliary Epithelial Stem Cells That Give Rise to Ampullary Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Peribiliary glands (PBGs), clusters of epithelial cells residing in the submucosal compartment of extrahepatic bile ducts, have been suggested as biliary epithelial stem/progenitor cell niche; however, evidence to support this claim is limited because of a lack of PBG-specific markers. We therefore sought to identify PBG-specific markers to investigate the potential role of PBGs as stem/progenitor cell niches, as well as an origin of cancer. METHODS: We examined the expression pattern of the Wnt target gene Axin2 in extrahepatic bile ducts. We then applied lineage tracing to investigate whether Axin2-expressing cells from PBGs contribute to biliary regeneration and carcinogenesis using Axin2-CreERT mice. RESULTS: Wnt signaling activation, marked by Axin2, was limited to PBGs located in the periampullary region. Lineage tracing showed that Axin2-expressing periampullary PBG cells are capable of self-renewal and supplying new biliary epithelial cells (BECs) to the luminal surface. Additionally, the expression pattern of Axin2 and the mature ductal cell marker CK19 were mutually exclusive in periampullary region, and fate tracing of CK19+ luminal surface BECs showed gradual replacement by CK19- cells, further supporting the continuous replenishment of new BECs from PBGs to the luminal surface. We also found that Wnt signal enhancer R-spondin3 secreted from Myh11-expressing stromal cells, corresponding to human sphincter of Oddi, maintained the periampullary Wnt signal-activating niche. Notably, introduction of PTEN deletion into Axin2+ PBG cells, but not CK19+ luminal surface BECs, induced ampullary carcinoma whose development was suppressed by Wnt inhibitor. CONCLUSION: A specific cell population receiving Wnt-activating signal in periampullary PBGs functions as biliary epithelial stem/progenitor cells and also the cellular origin of ampullary carcinoma.

Radiofrequency Ablation of Liver Tumors in Patients on Antithrombotic Therapy: A Case-Control Analysis of over 10,000 Treatments.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for liver tumors in patients on antithrombotic therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 10,653 consecutive RFA treatments in 3,485 patients with liver tumors were analyzed. The incidence of complications was analyzed on a treatment basis. The treatments for patients who had received antithrombotic medication up to 1 week prior to RFA comprised the antithrombotic therapy group (n = 806), and the others comprised the control group (n = 9,847). Antithrombotic agents were ceased prior to RFA (aspirin, ticlopidine, clopidogrel, and prasugrel ceased 7 days before RFA; cilostazol, 2 or 3 days before RFA; warfarin, 3 days before RFA; and direct oral anticoagulants, 1 day before RFA) and resumed as soon as possible after RFA. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess whether the antithrombotic therapy increased the risk of hemorrhagic complications. RESULTS: Hemorrhagic complications were diagnosed after 6 treatments (0.7%) in the antithrombotic group and 48 (0.5%) in the control group, and there was no significant difference between the groups (P = .30). In 3 treatments, hemorrhage was diagnosed on or after 8 days of RFA, all of which were in the antithrombotic group. Thrombotic complications were diagnosed after 2 treatments (0.2%) in the antithrombotic group and after 5 (0.1%) in the control group. In a multivariate analysis, receiving antithrombotic therapy was not an independent risk factor for hemorrhagic complications (adjusted odds ratio, 1.52; 95% confidence interval, 0.60-3.87; P = .38). CONCLUSIONS: RFA of liver tumors in patients on antithrombotic therapy is generally safe with appropriate cessation and resumption. Late-onset hemorrhage should be noted in the patients on antithrombotic therapy.

Impact of direct-acting antivirals on early recurrence of HCV-related HCC: Comparison with interferon-based therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It remains controversial whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) accelerate the recurrence of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy. This study aimed to evaluate HCC recurrence after DAA treatment of chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: We enrolled patients with a history of successful radiofrequency ablation treatment for hepatitis C-related HCC who received antiviral therapy with DAAs (DAA group: 147 patients) or with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group: 156 patients). We assessed HCC recurrence rates from the initiation of antiviral therapy using the Kaplan-Meier method and evaluated risk factors for HCC recurrence by multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. The recurrence pattern was categorized as follows: intrahepatic recurrence with a single tumor <2 cm (stage 0), a single tumor or up to 3 tumors ≤3 cm (stage A), multinodular (stage B), and extrahepatic metastasis or macrovascular invasion (stage C). RESULTS: The recurrence rates at 1 and 2 years were 39% and 61% in the IFN group and 39% and 60% in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.43). Multivariate analysis identified higher lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, a history of multiple HCC treatments, and a shorter interval between HCC treatment and initiation of antiviral therapy as independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. HCC recurrence in stage 0, A, B, and C was found in 56 (41%), 60 (44%), 19 (14%), and 1 (0.7%) patients in the IFN group and 35 (44%), 32 (40%), 11 (14%), and 2 (2.5%) patients in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: HCC recurrence rates and patterns after initiation of antiviral therapy did not differ between patients who received IFN-based therapy and DAA therapy. LAY SUMMARY: We detected no significant difference in early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rates and patterns between patients who received interferon-based and direct-acting antiviral therapy after HCC treatment. High lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, short recurrence-free period, and a history of multiple HCC treatments were independent risk factors for early HCC recurrence after the initiation of antiviral therapy.

Ischemic complications after percutaneous radiofrequency ablation of liver tumors: Liver volume loss and recovery.

AIM: The liver regrows after acute liver injury and liver resection. However, it is not clear whether the liver regenerates in advanced cirrhosis. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical course of, and liver volume change after, ischemic liver complications caused by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: We enrolled 35 patients with ischemic complications after RFA. Ischemic complications were defined as rapid elevation of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to over 500 U/L, with typical radiological findings. Patient characteristics and the ischemic liver volume were investigated. Long-term liver volume changes at 3-8 months after ischemic complications were also assessed in 32 patients. We also assessed the overall survival rate after ischemic complications. RESULTS: The median value of peak AST was 798 U/L (range, 531-4096 U/L). The median ischemic liver volume relative to the functional liver volume before RFA was 13% (range, 3.1-46.5%). There was a strong correlation between the peak AST value and the ischemic liver volume (r = 0.84, P < 0.001). The liver volume recovered to some extent in 18 of 32 (56%) patients after ischemic complications. The survival rate after ischemic complications was 45.7% at 5 years and correlated with the functional liver volume after ischemic complications (P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Ischemic complications after RFA can lead to massive liver parenchymal loss. Although the liver volume recovered to some extent in the majority of our patients, ischemic liver complications after RFA should be avoided to improve the overall survival rate.

Identification of liver fibrosis using the hepatic vein waveform in patients with Fontan circulation.

AIM: Liver fibrosis caused by congestive hepatopathy has emerged as an important complication after Fontan procedure. We evaluated the utility of the hepatic vein (HV) waveform using Doppler ultrasound for identification of liver fibrosis in Fontan patients. METHODS: We investigated the HV waveforms in 41 Fontan patients and assessed correlations with clinical parameters, liver fibrosis markers, and hemodynamic data. RESULTS: Based on our preliminary analysis of 64 adult patients with chronic liver disease who underwent liver biopsy, we classified HV waveforms into five types with reference to the degree of flattening (from type 1, normal triphasic waveform; to type 5, a monophasic waveform indicating cirrhosis), and confirmed a significant correlation between waveform pattern and fibrosis stage. Notably, we detected HV waveforms in all of the Fontan patients and classified them into five types. The HV waveform pattern positively correlated with γ-glutamyl transferase and hyaluronic acid levels, and negatively correlated with albumin level and platelet count, but did not correlate with central venous pressure or brain natriuretic peptide level, suggesting that HV waveform could reflect pathophysiological changes in the liver without being affected by hepatic congestion. The highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the HV waveform for detecting advanced liver fibrosis, as defined by ultrasonic findings and clinical features, was 0.829 (81.8% sensitivity, 73.3% specificity), which was higher than that of other non-invasive fibrosis markers. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic vein waveforms change in accordance with liver fibrosis progression in Fontan patients, and can be a useful indicator of liver fibrosis after the Fontan procedure.

Liver stiffness measurements in chronic hepatitis C: Treatment evaluation and risk assessment.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Liver stiffness (LS), measured by transient elastography, has been validated as a non-invasive surrogate for liver fibrosis. METHODS: We investigated the long-term predictive ability of LS for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and overall survival in 1146 patients with chronic hepatitis C by using LS value at enrollment. We also investigated chronological changes in LS based on antiviral therapy and its outcome in 752 patients. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up period of 6.6 years, 190 patients developed HCC. Cumulative HCC incidence rates at 5 years were clearly stratified as 1.7% in the ≤ 5 kPa, 3.3% in 5.1-10 kPa, 16.7% in 10.1-15 kPa, 24.4% in 15.1-20 kPa, 36.3% in 20.1-25 kPa, and 43.7% in > 25 kPa subgroups (P < 0.001). Overall survival was also stratified: 10-year survival rates were 99.3% in the ≤ 5 kPa, 95.4% in 5.1-10 kPa, 81.4% in 10.1-15 kPa, 79.5% in 15.1-20 kPa, 66.1% in 20.1-25 kPa, and 49.1% in > 25 kPa subgroups (P < 0.001). LS decreased at a rate of 8.1% per year in those who achieved sustained virological responses, but increased at 0.1% per year in those who could not achieve sustained virological response instead of antiviral therapy, and increased at 3.7% per year in those who did not undergo antiviral therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Liver stiffness measurements can be useful in the prediction of HCC development and overall survival and in the evaluation of chronological changes in liver fibrosis grade during and after antiviral therapy.

Sarcopenia, intramuscular fat deposition, and visceral adiposity independently predict the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Obesity defined by body mass index (BMI) significantly increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In contrast, not only obesity but also underweight is associated with poor prognosis in patients with HCC. Differences in body composition rather than BMI were suggested to be true determinants of prognosis. However, this hypothesis has not been demonstrated conclusively. METHODS: We measured skeletal muscle index (SMI), mean muscle attenuation (MA), visceral adipose tissue index, subcutaneous adipose tissue index, and visceral to subcutaneous adipose tissue area ratios (VSR) via computed tomography in a large-scale retrospective cohort of 1257 patients with different stages of HCC, and comprehensively analyzed the impact of body composition on the prognoses. RESULTS: Among five body composition components, low SMI (called sarcopenia), low MA (called intramuscular fat [IMF] deposition), and high VSR (called visceral adiposity) were significantly associated with mortality, independently of cancer stage or Child-Pugh class. A multivariate analysis revealed that sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18-1.96; p=0.001), IMF deposition (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.05-1.71; p=0.020), and visceral adiposity (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.09-1.66; p=0.005) but not BMI were significant predictors of survival. The prevalence of poor prognostic body composition components was significantly higher in underweight and obese patients than in normal weight patients. CONCLUSIONS: Sarcopenia, IMF deposition, and visceral adiposity independently predict mortality in patients with HCC. Body composition rather than BMI is a major determinant of prognosis in patients with HCC.

Slight elevation of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein to predict recurrence and survival in patients with early stage hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with chronic inflammation derived from various origins. We investigated whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) could predict recurrence and survival after curative treatment for early stage hepatitis C virus-related HCC (C-HCC). METHODS: We enrolled 387 patients with three or fewer C-HCC nodules, none of which exceeded 3 cm, and of Child-Pugh class A or B who underwent radiofrequency ablation. We divided the patients into high and low hsCRP groups based on the optimal cut-off value for recurrence using a split-sample method and maximally selected rank statistics. Differences in recurrence and survival rates were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Hazard ratios of hsCRP were adjusted with confounding factors using a multiple Cox regression model. We also assessed the correlations between hsCRP levels and clinical parameters. RESULTS: The optimal hsCRP cut-off value was 0.08 mg/dL. The cumulative recurrence rates after 5 years in the high and low hsCRP groups were 90.0% and 82.2%, respectively (P = 0.028), and the corresponding survival rates were 50.9% and 71.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). Higher hsCRP was an independent predictor for recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.67; P = 0.026) and survival (aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.14-2.22; P = 0.007). hsCRP was correlated with central obesity as well as tumor burden and liver dysfunction. CONCLUSION: Slight elevation of the hsCRP level, even within the normal range, can predict recurrence and survival after curative treatment among patients with early stage C-HCC.

Comparison of improved prognosis between hepatitis B- and hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Treatment strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been advanced. The aim of this study was to compare the change of the prognosis between hepatitis B-related HCC (B-HCC) and hepatitis C-related HCC (C-HCC) in the last two decades. METHODS: We enrolled 166 B-HCC patients who underwent percutaneous ablation between 1990 and 2009. Patients were divided into three groups according to the treatment time period: 1990-1995 (cohort 1, n = 19), 1996-2002 (cohort 2, n = 49) and 2003-2009 (cohort 3, n = 98). We enrolled 1219 C-HCC patients who underwent percutaneous ablation during the same period (n = 190, 413 and 616, respectively.). Interferon and nucleoside/nucleotide analog use was investigated. Prognosis was evaluated for each cohort using the Kaplan-Meier method and a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model. RESULTS: Two (11%), 24 (49%) and 80 (82%) B-HCC patients received nucleoside/nucleotide analogs during the follow-up period in cohorts 1-3, respectively. Among them 1, 18 and 62 patients achieved viral remission, respectively. Thirty-four (18%), 35 (8%) and 84 (14%) C-HCC patients received interferon therapy, respectively. The 5-year B-HCC (P < 0.001) survival rates were 52.6%, 61.1% and 81.6% for cohorts 1-3, respectively. However, the survival rates were 55.6%, 58.8% and 61.1% for C-HCC (P = 0.12), respectively. The B-HCC prognosis improved dramatically (P < 0.001) over time, whereas the prognosis of C-HCC improved moderately (P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: The prognosis of B-HCC has improved dramatically over time, whereas that of C-HCC has improved moderately.

Impact of serum levels of interleukin-6 and adiponectin on all-cause, liver-related, and liver-unrelated mortality in chronic hepatitis C patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Various inflammatory cytokines and adipokines have been implicated in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-mediated liver disease, and interleukin-6 (IL-6) and adiponectin may play key roles. In addition, these factors may be associated with chronic hepatitis C (CHC)-induced extrahepatic manifestations. However, little data are available on the role of these factors on future outcomes of CHC patients. This study aims to evaluate the impact of serum levels of IL-6 and adiponectin on all-cause mortality, liver-related mortality, and liver-unrelated mortality. METHODS: A long-term follow-up study was conducted, consisting of 325 CHC patients, for which we previously reported positive associations between these factors (Serum levels of IL-6 and adiponectin) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (mean, 13.0 year), there were 92 events consisting of 91 deaths (liver related, 72; liver unrelated, 19) and 1 liver transplantation due to liver failure. High IL-6 and adiponectin levels, defined as being higher than each median value at baseline, were associated with significantly higher incidences of not only HCC development but also all-cause mortality. Interestingly, high IL-6 was strongly associated with only liver-related mortality, whereas high-serum adiponectin was associated with not only liver-related, but also liver-unrelated mortality. Multivariate analysis identified high IL-6 as an independent risk factor for liver-related mortality and high adiponectin as an independent risk factor for liver-unrelated mortality. CONCLUSION: High serum levels of IL-6 and adiponectin were associated with higher all-cause and liver-related mortality in CHC patients. In addition, high adiponectin was associated with liver-unrelated mortality. The measurement of these factors may provide information useful for predicting future outcomes in CHC patients.

Development of a transformer model for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation.

INTRODUCTION: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a widely accepted, minimally invasive treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Accurate prognosis prediction is important to identify patients at high risk for cancer progression/recurrence after RFA. Recently, state-of-the-art transformer models showing improved performance over existing deep learning-based models have been developed in several fields. This study was aimed at developing and validating a transformer model to predict the overall survival in HCC patients with treated by RFA. METHODS: We enrolled a total of 1778 treatment-naïve HCC patients treated by RFA as the first-line treatment. We developed a transformer-based machine learning model to predict the overall survival in the HCC patients treated by RFA and compared its predictive performance with that of a deep learning-based model. Model performance was evaluated by determining the Harrel's c-index and validated externally by the split-sample method. RESULTS: The Harrel's c-index of the transformer-based model was 0.69, indicating its better discrimination performance than that of the deep learning model (Harrel's c-index, 0.60) in the external validation cohort. The transformer model showed a high discriminative ability for stratifying the external validation cohort into two or three different risk groups (p < 0.001 for both risk groupings). The model also enabled output of a personalized cumulative recurrence prediction curve for each patient. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel transformer model for personalized prediction of the overall survival in HCC patients after RFA treatment. The current model may offer a personalized survival prediction schema for patients with HCC undergoing RFA treatment.

The impact of COVID-19 on the diagnosis and treatment of HCC: analysis of a nationwide registry for advanced liver diseases (REAL).

The number of cancer cases diagnosed during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has decreased. This study investigated the impact of the pandemic on the clinical practice of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a novel nationwide REgistry for Advanced Liver diseases (REAL) in Japan. We retrieved data of patients initially diagnosed with HCC between January 2018 and December 2021. We adopted tumor size as the primary outcome measure and compared it between the pre-COVID-19 (2018 and 2019) and COVID-19 eras (2020 and 2021). We analyzed 13,777 patients initially diagnosed with HCC (8074 in the pre-COVID-19 era and 5703 in the COVID-19 era). The size of the maximal intrahepatic tumor did not change between the two periods (mean [SD] = 4.3 [3.6] cm and 4.4 [3.6] cm), whereas the proportion of patients with a single tumor increased slightly from 72.0 to 74.3%. HCC was diagnosed at a similar Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. However, the proportion of patients treated with systemic therapy has increased from 5.4 to 8.9%. The proportion of patients with a non-viral etiology significantly increased from 55.3 to 60.4%. Although the tumor size was significantly different among the etiologies, the subgroup analysis showed that the tumor size did not change after stratification by etiology. In conclusion, the characteristics of initially diagnosed HCC remained unchanged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, regardless of differences in etiology. A robust surveillance system should be established particularly for non-B, non-C etiology to detect HCC in earlier stages.

Proton Beam Therapy versus Radiofrequency Ablation for Patients with Treatment-Naïve Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Analysis.

Introduction: Proton beam therapy (PBT) is known to be an effective locoregional treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, few comparative studies in treatment-naïve cases have been reported. The aim of this study was to compare the survival outcomes of PBT with those of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in patients with treatment-naïve solitary HCC. Methods: Ninety-five consecutive patients with treatment-naïve HCC, a single nodule measuring ≤5 cm in diameter, and a Child-Pugh score of ≤8 who were treated with PBT at the University of Tsukuba Hospital between 2001 and 2013 were enrolled in the study. In addition, 836 patients with treatment-naïve HCC treated by RFA at the University of Tokyo Hospital during the same period were analyzed as controls. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared in 83 patient pairs after propensity score matching. Results: The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year RFS rates were 86.6%, 49.5%, and 35.5%, respectively, in the PBT group and 59.5%, 34.0%, and 20.9% in the RFA group (p = 0.058); the respective OS rates were 97.6%, 77.8%, and 57.1% in the PBT group and 95.1%, 81.7%, and 67.7% in the RFA group (p = 0.16). Regarding adverse effects, no grade 3 or higher adverse events were noted in the PBT; however, two grade 3 adverse events occurred within 30 days of RFA in the RFA group: one hemoperitoneum and one hemothorax. Discussion: After propensity score matching, PBT showed no significant difference in RFS and OS compared to RFA. PBT can be an alternative for patients with solitary treatment-naïve HCC.

Substrate-like water soluble lipase inhibitors from Filipendula kamtschatica.

Filipendula kamtschatica is a plant utilized as a traditional medicine by Ainu people in Japan, but its chemical constituents are not much studied. Pancreatic lipase inhibitors are a promising tool for the treatment of obesity. We searched for natural lipase inhibitors from F. kamtschatica and two new compounds were isolated along with the known flavonoid glycoside. The structure elucidation of new compounds revealed these two to be 2-O-caffeoyl-4-O-galloyl-L-threonic acid and 3-O-caffeoyl-4-O-galloyl-L-threonic acid, which can be recognized as a pancreatic lipase's substrate-like structure. The isolated compounds all showed an inhibitory activity against porcine pancreatic lipase and one of the isomer, 3-O-caffeoyl-4-O-galloyl-L-threonic acid, possessed the most potent activity with IC(50) value showing an order lower value compared to others. The substrate-like structure of the new compounds seemed to be important for their activity.

Improved prognosis of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of direct-acting antivirals.

The prognostic impact of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on patients with hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma (C-HCC) is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis of C-HCC in the DAA era. We enrolled 1237 consecutive patients with treatment-naive C-HCC who underwent radical radiofrequency ablation between 1999 and 2019. We also enrolled 350 patients with nonviral HCC as controls. We divided these patients into three groups according to the year of initial treatment: 1999-2005 (cohort 1), 2006-2013 (cohort 2), and 2014-2019 (cohort 3). The use of antiviral agents and their effect in patients with C-HCC was investigated. Overall survival was evaluated for each cohort using the Kaplan-Meier method and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved in 52 (10%), 157 (26%), and 102 (74%) patients with C-HCC in cohorts 1-3, respectively. The 3- and 5-year survival rates of patients with C-HCC were 82% and 59% in cohort 1; 80% and 64% in cohort 2; and 86% and 78% in cohort 3, respectively (p = 0.003). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, liver function, and tumor extension showed that the prognosis of C-HCC improved in cohort 3 compared to cohort 1 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.73; p < 0.001), whereas the prognosis of nonviral HCC did not improve significantly (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.59-1.57; p = 0.88). The prognosis of C-HCC drastically improved with the advent of DAAs.

Current status of primary liver cancer and decompensated cirrhosis in Japan: launch of a nationwide registry for advanced liver diseases (REAL).

BACKGROUND: We developed a nationwide database that stores data of patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC) on an admission basis. METHODS: A database was constructed using the National Clinical Database, a nationwide registry platform for various diseases in Japan. Mutual data exchange was possible with the Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan. The stored data on the admission of patients with PLC, DC, or both, included treatment details as well as patient characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 37,705 admissions (29,489 PLC, 10,077 DC, and 1862 for both) in 21,376 patients from 224 hospitals were analyzed. The proportions of patients with hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and non-viral etiology were 11.9%, 36.2%, and 42.6%, respectively, in PLC, and 7.5%, 23.8%, and 55.0%, respectively, in DC. The mean ages (± standard deviation) on admission with PLC and DC were 73 ± 10 and 68 ± 13 years, respectively. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage for PLC was 0, A, B, C, and D in 22.0%, 17.1%, 29.6%, 15.1%, and 5.1%, respectively. Treatment modalities for PLC were resection, ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and systemic therapy in 18.4%, 22.8%, 33.7%, and 11.4%, respectively. A vasopressin receptor V2 antagonist was used in 38.2% in addition to conventionally used loop diuretics and aldosterone antagonists for DC. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of treatment options for PLC on admission differed from that of the initial treatment. Newly introduced drugs are widely used in patients with DC.