Reduced replication capacity of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus during the 2010-2011 winter season in Tottori, Japan.

A novel swine-origin influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus has been circulating in humans since March-April, 2009. The 2009-2010 epidemic involved predominantly a single subtype of A(H1N1)pdm09 (at 96%, 46/48) in the sentinel sites of this study. However, A(H1N1)pdm09 started to circulate together with other type/subtype (49%, 33/68) at the first peak in the next epidemic season in 2010-2011: A(H1N1)pdm09/A(H3N2) (9%, 6/68), A(H1N1)pdm09/B (35%, 24/68), and A(H1N1)pdm09/A(H3N2)/B (4%, 3/68). Single infection of A(H1N1)pdm09 became a rare event (8%, 5/65) at the second peak of the same season in 2010-2011 compared with that at the first peak (50%, 34/68). Concurrently with this decline, single infections of others, A(H3N2) or B, became evident (6%, 4/65; 14%, 9/65, respectively). Triple infections were more common (29%, 19/65) at the second peak than at the first peak (4%). The A(H1N1)pdm09 detected in 2010-2011 produced less virus upon 72 hr of incubation in vitro after the inoculations at 10(4) and 3,300 copies/ml (2.3 × 10(9) and 2.3 × 10(9) copies/ml on average) than that in 2009-2010 (3.7 × 10(9) and 1.3 × 10(10) copies/ml on average; P<0.05 by ANOVA test), respectively. As described above, the replication capacity of A(H1N1)pdm09 seems to have deteriorated in the 2010-2011 season presumably due to substantial herd immunity and allowed the existence of other type/subtype. These results suggest that assessment of replication capacity is indispensable for analysis of influenza epidemics.

Frequent Isolations of Influenza A Viruses (H1N1)pdm09 with Identical Hemagglutinin Sequences for More Than Three Months in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Although it has been suggested that antigenic drift does not occur in a single epidemic season in temperate countries, there is not enough evidence on the circulation period of influenza virus with identical nucleotide sequences. Therefore, strains of influenza virus were isolated sequentially during five consecutive epidemic seasons in Japan and their nucleotide sequences were determined. METHODS: Nasal swabs or aspirated nasal discharges were collected from influenza A virus antigen-positive individuals living in Tottori Prefecture, Japan for five consecutive winters starting in 2009-2010, and subjected to viral isolation, determination of hemagglutinin nucleotide sequence and phylogenic analyses. The nucleotide sequences were compared with each other and also with those of foreign strains in the International Nucleotide Sequence Database. RESULTS: Totally 288 A(H1N1)pdm09 strains were tested and those composed 38 clusters with identical ones displaying 100% nucleotide homology. One strain showed sequential infections more than three months without any detectable mutation, and a maximum interval of two detection timings of strains was 94 days. This implies that influenza viruses mutate rarely in an epidemic season in Japan if they can be hypothesized, mutation frequency of influenza viruses being mostly the same among strains. Among these identical strains, two strains were not only identical to other Japanese isolates, but also to those isolated in Mongolia and Thailand in the same epidemic season. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that genetic drift has occurred infrequently in Japan as shown in some other countries. The drifted strains may have generated somewhere else and entered into Japan. These results support the proposed 'sink-source' model of viral ecology in which new lineages are seeded from a persistent influenza reservoir in tropical countries to 'sink' populations in temperate regions including Japan.