Model to predict major complications following liver resection for HCC in patients with metabolic syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is rapidly growing as risk factor for HCC. Liver resection for HCC in patients with MS is associated with increased postoperative risks. There are no data on factors associated with postoperative complications. AIMS: The aim was to identify risk factors and develop and validate a model for postoperative major morbidity after liver resection for HCC in patients with MS, using a large multicentric Western cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The univariable logistic regression analysis was applied to select predictive factors for 90 days major morbidity. The model was built on the multivariable regression and presented as a nomogram. Performance was evaluated by internal validation through the bootstrap method. The predictive discrimination was assessed through the concordance index. RESULTS: A total of 1087 patients were gathered from 24 centers between 2001 and 2021. Four hundred and eighty-four patients (45.2%) were obese. Most liver resections were performed using an open approach (59.1%), and 743 (68.3%) underwent minor hepatectomies. Three hundred and seventy-six patients (34.6%) developed postoperative complications, with 13.8% major morbidity and 2.9% mortality rates. Seven hundred and thirteen patients had complete data and were included in the prediction model. The model identified obesity, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, portal hypertension, open approach, major hepatectomy, and changes in the nontumoral parenchyma as risk factors for major morbidity. The model demonstrated an AUC of 72.8% (95% CI: 67.2%-78.2%) ( https://childb.shinyapps.io/NomogramMajorMorbidity90days/ ). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing liver resection for HCC and MS are at high risk of postoperative major complications and death. Careful patient selection, considering baseline characteristics, liver function, and type of surgery, is key to achieving optimal outcomes.

Delta Radiomic Features Predict Resection Margin Status and Overall Survival in Neoadjuvant-Treated Pancreatic Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) emerged as the standard of care for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) who undergo surgery; however, surgery is morbid, and tools to predict resection margin status (RMS) and prognosis in the preoperative setting are needed. Radiomic models, specifically delta radiomic features (DRFs), may provide insight into treatment dynamics to improve preoperative predictions. METHODS: We retrospectively collected clinical, pathological, and surgical data (patients with resectable, borderline, locally advanced, and metastatic disease), and pre/post-NAT contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) scans from PDAC patients at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (UTSW; discovery) and Humanitas Hospital (validation cohort). Gross tumor volume was contoured from CT scans, and 257 radiomics features were extracted. DRFs were calculated by direct subtraction of pre/post-NAT radiomic features. Cox proportional models and binary prediction models, including/excluding clinical variables, were constructed to predict overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and RMS. RESULTS: The discovery and validation cohorts comprised 58 and 31 patients, respectively. Both cohorts had similar clinical characteristics, apart from differences in NAT (FOLFIRINOX vs. gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel; p < 0.05) and type of surgery resections (pancreatoduodenectomy, distal or total pancreatectomy; p < 0.05). The model that combined clinical variables (pre-NAT carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, the change in CA19-9 after NAT (∆CA19-9), and resectability status) and DRFs outperformed the clinical feature-based models and other radiomics feature-based models in predicting OS (UTSW: 0.73; Humanitas: 0.66), DFS (UTSW: 0.75; Humanitas: 0.64), and RMS (UTSW 0.73; Humanitas: 0.69). CONCLUSIONS: Our externally validated, predictive/prognostic delta-radiomics models, which incorporate clinical variables, show promise in predicting the risk of predicting RMS in NAT-treated PDAC patients and their OS or DFS.

Long-term overall survival in patients undergoing liver resection for metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: There is limited research on management of metastatic anal canal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) to the liver. This study aimed to describe outcomes for patients undergoing liver resection of anal SCC metastases. METHODS: A multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted by three tertiary-referral centers. Patients undergoing liver surgery between 2008 and 2022 were included. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of recurrence and survival and Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients underwent liver resection and/or ablation. None were HIV positive and 24% had known HPV infection. 20/21(95%) patients had undergone Nigro protocol for management of the primary tumor with 12/21 (57%) patients experiencing complete response. 4/21 (19%) patients had synchronous liver metastases at time of diagnosis. Median tumor size was 5.0 cm and median tumor number was one. At analysis, 52% remained alive. Median overall survival was 32.2 months. 5-year overall survival was 50%. Median recurrence-free survival was 7.7 months and 5-year recurrence-free survival was 30%. Need for salvage abdominoperineal resection was negatively associated with recurrence-free survival. The most common site of recurrence was the liver. CONCLUSIONS: Liver resection for metastatic anal SCC can be beneficial for appropriately selected patients.

Recurring Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumor: Timing and Pattern of Recurrence and Current Treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to describe the pattern of recurrence, treatments received, as well the oncological outcomes, of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs) following curative surgery. BACKGROUND: PanNETs recur in 10% to 15% of cases following surgery. Information on the natural history and management of recurring disease is lacking. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with PanNET that underwent curative surgery at 4 institutions between 2000 and 2019 were identified. Patients with poorly differentiated tumors, unknown tumor grade and differentiation, hereditary syndromes, unknown margin or R2 status, metastatic, and those that had neoadjuvant treatment or perioperative mortality were excluded. Clinical variables were assessed including first site of recurrence, treatment received, and survival outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1402 patients were included: 957 (74%) had grade 1, 322 (25%) had grade 2, and 13 (1%) had grade 3 tumors. Median follow-up was 4.8 years (interquartile range: 2-8.2 years). Cumulative incidence of recurrence at 5 years was 13% (95% CI: 11%-15.2%) for distant disease, 1.4% (95% CI: 0.8%-2.3%) for locoregional recurrence, and 0.8% (95% CI: 0.4%-1.5%) for abdominal nodal recurrence. Patients who recurred had 2.89 increased risk of death (95% CI: 2-4.1) as compared with patients who did not recur. Therapy postrecurrence included: somatostatin analogs in 111 (61.0%), targeted therapies in 48 (26.4%), liver-directed therapies in 61 (33.5%), peptide receptor radionuclide therapy in 30 (16.5%), and surgery in 46 (25.3%) patients. Multiple treatments were used in 103 (57%) cases. After the first recurrence, 5-year overall survival was 74.6% (95% CI: 67.4%-82.5%). CONCLUSIONS: Recurrence following surgery is infrequent but reduces survival. Most recurrences are distant and managed with multiple therapies. Prospective studies are needed to establish strategies for surveillance and the sequence of treatment to control the disease and prolong survival.

The Role of Adjuvant Therapy in Duodenal Adenocarcinoma and Intestinal Subtype Ampullary Carcinoma after Curative Resection.

OBJECTIVE: Defining the role of adjuvant therapy in duodenal adenocarcinoma (DAC) and intestinal subtype ampullary carcinoma (iAC). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: DAC and iAC share a similar histological differentiation but the benefit of adjuvant therapy remains unclear. METHODS: Patients undergoing curative-intent surgical resection for DAC and iAC between 2010 and 2021 at five high-volume centers were included. Patient baseline, perioperative and long-term oncological outcomes were evaluated. Statistical testing was performed with SPSS 25 (IBM). RESULTS: A total of 136 patients with DAC and 171 with iAC were identified. Patients with DAC had more advanced tumors than those with iAC. Median overall survival (OS) in DAC patients was 101 months versus 155 months for iAC patients (P=0.098). DAC had a higher rate of local (14.1% vs. 1.2%, P<0.001) and systemic recurrence (30.4% vs. 3.5%, P<0.001). Adjuvant therapy failed to improve overall survival in all patients with DAC and iAC. For DAC, patients with perineural invasion, but not other negative prognostic factors had improved OS rates with adjuvant therapy (72 m vs. 44 m, P=0.044). IAC patients with N+ (190 m vs. 57 m, P=0.003), T3-4 (177 m vs. 59 m, P=0.050) and perineural invasion (150 m vs. 59 m, P=0.019) had improved OS rates with adjuvant therapy. CONCLUSION: While adjuvant therapy fails to improve OS in all patients with DAC and iAC in the current study, it improved overall survival in DAC patients with perineural invasion and in iAC patients with T3-4 tumors, positive lymph nodes, and perineural invasion.

Minimally Invasive Versus Open Liver Resections for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Metabolic Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To compare minimally invasive (MILR) and open liver resections (OLRs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with metabolic syndrome (MS). BACKGROUND: Liver resections for HCC on MS are associated with high perioperative morbidity and mortality. No data on the minimally invasive approach in this setting exist. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A multicenter study involving 24 institutions was conducted. Propensity scores were calculated, and inverse probability weighting was used to weight comparisons. Short-term and long-term outcomes were investigated. RESULTS: A total of 996 patients were included: 580 in OLR and 416 in MILR. After weighing, groups were well matched. Blood loss was similar between groups (OLR 275.9±3.1 vs MILR 226±4.0, P =0.146). There were no significant differences in 90-day morbidity (38.9% vs 31.9% OLRs and MILRs, P =0.08) and mortality (2.4% vs 2.2% OLRs and MILRs, P =0.84). MILRs were associated with lower rates of major complications (9.3% vs 15.3%, P =0.015), posthepatectomy liver failure (0.6% vs 4.3%, P =0.008), and bile leaks (2.2% vs 6.4%, P =0.003); ascites was significantly lower at postoperative day 1 (2.7% vs 8.1%, P =0.002) and day 3 (3.1% vs 11.4%, P <0.001); hospital stay was significantly shorter (5.8±1.9 vs 7.5±1.7, P <0.001). There was no significant difference in overall survival and disease-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: MILR for HCC on MS is associated with equivalent perioperative and oncological outcomes to OLRs. Fewer major complications, posthepatectomy liver failures, ascites, and bile leaks can be obtained, with a shorter hospital stay. The combination of lower short-term severe morbidity and equivalent oncologic outcomes favor MILR for MS when feasible.

Long-Term Outcomes of Tuberous Sclerosis Complex-Associated Non-functional Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors: Should We Be More Conservative?

BACKGROUND: Hereditary syndromes such as tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC) account for 10% of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs). Surgical intervention is the current standard of care for sporadic PNETs (spPNETs) that are >2 cm in size. We compared the long-term outcomes of resected TSC-PNETs with patients with spPNETs. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of perioperative data and outcomes of TSC-PNETs compared with spPNETs. Inclusion criteria involved selecting patients whose tumors were no larger than 5.1 cm, the maximum size observed in the TSC-PNET group. RESULTS: Of the 347 patients resected for PNETs, 14 were TSC-PNETs and 241 were non-functional spPNETs. The median age for the whole cohort was 56 years (interquartile range [IQR] 21.0) and 47% were female. The median follow-up was 103.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 89.2-118.6). Specifically, 14 patients with TSC-PNETs and 194 patients with spPNETs were included. Compared with spPNETs, patients with TSC-PNETs were operated on at a younger age (24.0 vs. 57.5 years; p < 0.001), were more frequently multifocal (28.5% vs. 0.0%; p < 0.001), were more likely to undergo minimally invasive operations (78.6% vs. 24.3%; p < 0.001), and had more R1 resections (28.6% vs. 5.7%; p = 0.006). Local and distant tumor recurrence was only observed in the spPNET group. The 5-year mortality rates for the spPNET and TSC-PNET groups were 6.2% and 0.0%, respectively. No PNET-related deaths were observed among TSC-PNETs. CONCLUSION: None of the TSC-PNET patients recurred after a median follow-up of 78.0 months. The risk-benefit of aggressive pancreatic operations in TSC-PNET patients is still unclear and our findings suggest a conservative approach should be considered.

ERS: A simple scoring system to predict early recurrence after surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection (SR) is a potentially curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) hampered by high rates of recurrence. New drugs are tested in the adjuvant setting, but standardised risk stratification tools of HCC recurrence are lacking. OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a simple scoring system to predict 2-year recurrence after SR for HCC. METHODS: 2359 treatment-naïve patients who underwent SR for HCC in 17 centres in Europe and Asia between 2004 and 2017 were divided into a development (DS; n = 1558) and validation set (VS; n = 801) by random sampling of participating centres. The Early Recurrence Score (ERS) was generated using variables associated with 2-year recurrence in the DS and validated in the VS. RESULTS: Variables associated with 2-year recurrence in the DS were (with associated points) alpha-fetoprotein (<10 ng/mL:0; 10-100: 2; >100: 3), size of largest nodule (≥40 mm: 1), multifocality (yes: 2), satellite nodules (yes: 2), vascular invasion (yes: 1) and surgical margin (positive R1: 2). The sum of points provided a score ranging from 0 to 11, allowing stratification into four levels of 2-year recurrence risk (Wolbers' C-indices 66.8% DS and 68.4% VS), with excellent calibration according to risk categories. Wolber's and Harrell's C-indices apparent values were systematically higher for ERS when compared to Early Recurrence After Surgery for Liver tumour post-operative model to predict time to early recurrence or recurrence-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: ERS is a user-friendly staging system identifying four levels of early recurrence risk after SR and a robust tool to design personalised surveillance strategies and adjuvant therapy trials.

Long-term Outcomes of Parenchyma-sparing and Oncologic Resections in Patients With Nonfunctional Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors <3 cm in a Large Multicenter Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: The role of parenchyma-sparing resections (PSR) and lymph node dissection in small (<3 cm) nonfunctional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNET) is unlikely to be studied in a prospective randomized clinical trial. By combining data from 4 high-volume pancreatic centers we compared postoperative and long-term outcomes of patients who underwent PSR with patients who underwent oncologic resections. METHODS: Retrospective review of prospectively collected clinicopathologic data of patients who underwent pancreatectomy between 2000 and 2021 was collected from 4 high-volume institutions. PSR and lymph node-sparing resections (enucleation and central pancreatectomy) were compared to those who underwent oncologic resections with lymphadenectomy (pancreaticoduodenectomy, distal pancreatectomy). Statistical testing was performed using χ 2 test and t test, survival estimates with Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: Of 810 patients with small sporadic nonfunctional PNETs, 121 (14.9%) had enucleations, 100 (12.3%) had central pancreatectomies, and 589 (72.7%) patients underwent oncologic resections. The median age was 59 years and 48.2% were female with a median tumor size of 2.5 cm. After case-control matching for tumor size, 221 patients were selected in each group. Patients with PSR were more likely to undergo minimally invasive operations (32.6% vs 13.6%, P <0.001), had less intraoperative blood loss (358 vs 511 ml, P <0.001) and had shorter operative times (180 vs 330 minutes, P <0.001) than patients undergoing oncologic resections. While the mean number of lymph nodes harvested was lower for PSR (n=1.4 vs n=9.9, P <0.001), the mean number of positive lymph nodes was equivalent to oncologic resections (n=1.1 vs n=0.9, P =0.808). Although the rate of all postoperative complications was similar for PSR and oncologic resections (38.5% vs 48.2%, P =0.090), it was higher for central pancreatectomies (38.5% vs 56.6%, P =0.003). Long-term median disease-free survival (190.5 vs 195.2 months, P =0.506) and overall survival (197.9 vs 192.6 months, P =0.372) were comparable. Of the 810 patients 136 (16.7%) had no lymph nodes resected. These patients experienced less blood loss, shorter operations ( P <0.001), and lower postoperative complication rates as compared to patients who had lymphadenectomies (39.7% vs 56.9%, P =0.008). Median disease-free survival (197.1 vs 191.9 months, P =0.837) and overall survival (200 vs 195.1 months, P =0.827) were similar for patients with no lymph nodes resected and patients with negative lymph nodes (N0) after lymphadenectomy. CONCLUSION: In small <3 cm nonfunctional PNETs, PSRs and lymph node-sparing resections are associated with lower blood loss, shorter operative times, and lower complication rates when compared to oncologic resections, and have similar long-term oncologic outcomes.

Prediction of R Status in Resections for Pancreatic Cancer Using Simplified Radiological Criteria.

OBJECTIVE: Predicting R status before surgery for pancreatic cancer (PDAC) patients with upfront surgery and neoadjuvant therapy. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Negative surgical margins (R0) are a key predictor of long-term outcomes in PDAC. METHODS: Patients undergoing pancreatic resection with curative intent for PDAC were identified. Using the CT scans from the time of diagnosis, the 2019 NCCN borderline resectability criteria were compared to novel criteria: presence of any alteration of the superior mesenteric-portal vein (SMPV) and perivascular stranding of the superior mesenteric artery (SMA). Accuracy of predicting R status was evaluated for both criteria. Patient baseline characteristics, surgical, histopathological parameters, and long-term overall survival (OS) after resection were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 593 patients undergoing pancreatic resections for PDAC between 2010 and 2018 were identified. Three hundred and twenty-five (54.8%) patients underwent upfront surgery, whereas 268 (45.2%) received neoadjuvant therapy. In upfront resected patients, positive SMA stranding was associated with 56% margin positive resection rates, whereas positive SMA stranding and SMPV alterations together showed a margin positive resection rate of 75%. In contrast to these criteria, the 2019 NCCN borderline criteria failed to predict margin status. In patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, only perivascular SMA stranding remained a predictor of margin positive resection, leading to a rate of 33% R+ resections. Perivascular SMA stranding was related to higher clinical T stage (P = 0.003) and clinical N stage (P = 0.043) as well as perineural invasion (P = 0.022). SMA stranding was associated with worse survival in both patients undergoing upfront surgery (36 vs 22 months, P = 0.002) and neoadjuvant therapy (47 vs 34 months, P = 0.050). CONCLUSIONS: The novel criteria were accurate predictors of R status in PDAC patients undergoing upfront resection. After neoadjuvant treatment, likelihood of positive resection margins is approximately halved, and only perivascular SMA stranding remained a predictive factor.

Invasive IPMN relapse later and more often in lungs in comparison to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The different oncological outcomes of invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (I-IPMN) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are debated. This study aimed to compare disease recurrence patterns and histopathological characteristics in patients with resected I-IPMN and PDAC. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing surgical resection for stage I-III I-IPMN or PDAC between 2010 and 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy or resected for Tis neoplasia were excluded. All surgical specimens were re-staged according to AJCC-8th-edition. RESULTS: A total of 330 patients were included, of whom 43 had I-IPMN and 287 had PDAC. Median follow-up time was 26.7 (1.3-92.3) months and estimated median disease-free survival (DFS) was 60.3 months (47.2-73.4) for I-IPMN and 23.8 (19.3-28.2) months for PDAC (p < 0.001). During follow-up, 32.6% of I-IPMN and 67.9% of PDAC patients experienced recurrence (p < 0.001). The sites of first recurrence were the lungs (38.5% vs 13.1%, p = 0.027), liver (28.6% vs 45.0%, p = 0.180) and local (15.4% vs 36.6%, p = 0.101) for I-IPMN and PDAC, respectively. At multivariate analysis, I-IPMN histology remained an independent predictive factor for longer DFS (OR 0.528, CI 95% 0.278-1.000, p = 0.050), regardless of stage or adjuvant chemotherapy. I-IPMN and PDAC differed in rates of neuroinvasion (51.2% vs 97.2%) and positive lymph node status (N+) (46.5% vs 82.7%), especially in patients with lower T status. CONCLUSION: I-IPMN showed a different recurrence pattern compared to PDAC, with a higher lung tropism, and longer DFS. This different biological behavior is associated with lower rates of neuroinvasion and nodal involvement, especially in early-stage disease.

Training on Minimally Invasive Colorectal Surgery during Surgical Residency: Integrating Surgical Education and Advanced Techniques.

Surgery is an ever-evolving discipline and continually incorporates new technologies that have improved the ability of the operating room surgeon to perform. The next generation of minimally invasive surgery includes laparoscopic and robotic-assisted procedures. Graduating residents may be expected to have the skills to perform common colorectal procedures using these technologies, and residency programs are developing curriculums to teach these skills. Minimally invasive techniques are challenging and learning only by observation and practice alone is difficult. This requires dedicated training and mentoring. New simulation methods have been conceived specifically for minimally invasive procedures, and these embrace a combination of virtual reality simulators and box trainers, with animal and human tissue, as well as synthetic materials. The aim of this review is to provide an overview of training in minimally invasive colorectal surgery with a focus on different types of simulators that build the basis to develop and include a multistep training approach in a structured training curriculum for minimally invasive colorectal procedures.

Colorectal Cancer in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at an increased risk for developing colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the incidence has declined over the past 30 years, which is probably attributed to raise awareness, successful CRC surveillance programs and improved control of mucosal inflammation through chemoprevention. The risk factors for IBD-related CRC include more severe disease (as reflected by the extent of disease and the duration of poorly controlled disease), family history of CRC, pseudo polyps, primary sclerosing cholangitis, and male sex. The molecular pathogenesis of inflammatory epithelium might play a critical role in the development of CRC. IBD-related CRC is characterized by fewer rectal tumors, more synchronous and poorly differentiated tumors compared with sporadic cancers. There is no significant difference in sex distribution, stage at presentation, or survival. Surveillance is vital for the detection and subsequently management of dysplasia. Most guidelines recommend initiation of surveillance colonoscopy at 8 to 10 years after IBD diagnosis, followed by subsequent surveillance of 1 to 2 yearly intervals. Traditionally, surveillance colonoscopies with random colonic biopsies were used. However, recent data suggest that high definition and chromoendoscopy are better methods of surveillance by improving sensitivity to previously "invisible" flat dysplastic lesions. Management of dysplasia, timing of surveillance, chemoprevention, and the surgical approaches are all areas that stimulate various discussions. The aim of this review is to provide an up-to-date focus on CRC in IBD, from laboratory to bedside.

Updates in the management of postoperative pancreatic fistula.

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) remains a common and dreaded complication after pancreatic resections and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Over the years, several different strategies have been investigated to prevent and mitigate POPF. However, when a POPF occurs, a consensus on the optimal management strategy of grade B and grade C POPF is still lacking, and the current management strategy is often based on local expertise and driven by patient's condition. Nevertheless, whereas the incidence of POPF after pancreatic surgery has remained stable, the overall mortality related to this complication has decreased over the years. This reflects an improvement in the management of this complication, which has become increasingly conservative. The aim of this review is to provide an updated evidence- based overview on the management strategies of POPF for surgeons and physicians in the clinical practice.

Early Recurrence after Upfront Surgery for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Survival after surgery for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains poor, due to early recurrence (ER) of the disease. A global definition of ER is lacking and different cut-off values (6, 8, and 12 months) have been adopted. The aims of this study were to define the optimal cut-off for the definition of ER and predictive factors for ER. METHODS: Recurrence was recorded for all consecutive patients undergoing upfront surgery for PDAC at our institute between 2010 and 2017. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized, to estimate the optimal cut-off for the definition of ER as a predictive factor for poor post-progression survival (PPS). To identify predictive factors of ER, univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used. RESULTS: Three hundred and fifty one cases were retrospectively evaluated. The recurrence rate was 76.9%. ER rates were 29.0%, 37.6%, and 47.6%, when adopting 6, 8, and 12 months as cut-offs, respectively. A significant difference in median PPS was only shown between ER and late recurrence using 12 months as cut-off (p = 0.005). In the multivariate analysis, a pre-operative value of CA 19-9 > 70.5 UI/L (OR 3.10 (1.41-6.81); p = 0.005) and the omission of adjuvant treatment (OR 0.18 (0.08-0.41); p < 0.001) were significant predictive factors of ER. CONCLUSIONS: A twelve-months cut-off should be adopted for the definition of ER. Almost 50% of upfront-resected patients presented ER, and it significantly affected the prognosis. A high preoperative value of CA 19-9 and the omission of adjuvant treatment were the only predictive factors for ER.

Preoperative CA19.9 level predicts lymph node metastasis in resectable adenocarcinoma of the head of the pancreas: A further plea for biological resectability criteria.

INTRODUCTION: Lymph-nodal involvement (N+) represents an adverse prognostic factor after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Preoperative diagnostic and staging modalities lack sensitivity for identifying N+. This study aimed to investigate preoperative CA19.9 in predicting the N+ stage in resectable-PDAC (R-PDAC). METHODS: Patients included in a multi-institutional retrospective database of PDs performed for R-PDAC from January 2000 to June 2021 were analyzed. A preoperative laboratory value of CA19.9 >37 U/L was used in univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine a possible association with N+. Additionally, different cut-offs of CA19.9 related to the preoperative clinical T (cT) stage was assessed to evaluate the risk of N+. RESULTS: A total of 2034 PDs from thirteen centers were included in the study. CA19.9>37 U/L was significantly associated with higher N+ at univariate and multivariate analysis (P<0.001). CA19.9 levels >37 U/L were associated with N+ in 75.9%, 81.3%, and 85.7% of patients, respectively, in cT1, cT2, and cT3 tumors and with higher cut-off values for all cT stages. CONCLUSION: Lymph nodal involvement is strongly related to preoperative CA19.9 levels. Specially in patients staged as cT3 the CA 19.9 could represent a valid and easy tool to suspect nodal involvement. Due to these findings, R-PDAC patients with elevated CA19.9 values should be considered in a more biologically advanced stage.

A machine learning risk model based on preoperative computed tomography scan to predict postoperative outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is a life-threatening complication following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Individualized preoperative risk assessment could improve clinical management and prevent or mitigate adverse outcomes. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning risk model to predict occurrence of CR-POPF after PD from preoperative computed tomography (CT) scans. A total of 100 preoperative high-quality CT scans of consecutive patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in our institution between 2011 and 2019 were analyzed. Radiomic and morphological features extracted from CT scans related to pancreatic anatomy and patient characteristics were included as variables. These data were then assessed by a machine learning classifier to assess the risk of developing CR-POPF. Among the 100 patients evaluated, 20 had CR-POPF. The predictive model based on logistic regression demonstrated specificity of 0.824 (0.133) and sensitivity of 0.571 (0.337), with an AUC of 0.807 (0.155), PPV of 0.468 (0.310) and NPV of 0.890 (0.084). The performance of the model minimally decreased utilizing a random forest approach, with specificity of 0.914 (0.106), sensitivity of 0.424 (0.346), AUC of 0.749 (0.209), PPV of 0.502 (0.414) and NPV of 0.869 (0.076). Interestingly, using the same data, the model was also able to predict postoperative overall complications and a postoperative length of stay over the median with AUCs of 0.690 (0.209) and 0.709 (0.160), respectively. These findings suggest that preoperative CT scans evaluated by machine learning may provide a novel set of information to help clinicians choose a tailored therapeutic pathway in patients candidated to pancreatoduodenectomy.

[Correlations between pancreatic carcinoma and previous neoplasms.] / Correlazioni tra carcinoma pancreatico e pregresse neoplasie.

INTRODUCTION: Into blood relatives of patients affected by breast cancer, the prevalence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) seems to be elevated. BRCA1/2 mutations as other VUS (variants of uncertain significance) could be responsible. METHODS: We retrospectively revised dataset of Pancreatic Surgery Unit of Humanitas Clinical and Research Center - IRCCS and identified patients who underwent resection for PDAC between 2010 and 2018. We evaluated neoplastic family history and remote pathological history, particularly for breast and prostate tumors. The characteristics of family history were described. Overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were calculated for different identified groups. RESULTS: 483 PDAC have been analyzed; 57% had a family history positive for neoplasia; 25% at least showed a blood relative affected by one of these type of cancers: PDAC, breast and prostate, of which 88% was a first degree relative (FDR). One hundred and six patients (22%) had a previous neoplasia, of which 8% a breast cancer and 4% a prostate one. Into this group of patients, 54% had a family history positive for neoplasia and 23% consisted of either a pancreatic neoplasm, or breast tumor or prostate cancer; 71% was a FDR. With a median follow-up of 54.9 months (range 0.066-120), the median survival was 22,8 months. Both OS than PFS weren't statistically significant, considering family history and remote pathological history. CONCLUSIONS: There appears to be a high prevalence of breast and prostate cancer in family members and patients with PDAC. PDAC patients have the prognosis of the pancreatic cancer, not influenced by a previous treated neoplasia.