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1.
Circulation ; 144(17): 1362-1376, 2021 10 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34445886

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: High intake of added sugar is linked to weight gain and cardiometabolic risk. In 2018, the US National Salt and Sugar Reduction Initiative proposed government-supported voluntary national sugar reduction targets. This intervention's potential effects and cost-effectiveness are unclear. METHODS: A validated microsimulation model, CVD-PREDICT (Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model for Risk, Events, Detection, Interventions, Costs, and Trends), coded in C++, was used to estimate incremental changes in type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, and cost-effectiveness of the US National Salt and Sugar Reduction Initiative policy. The model was run at the individual level, incorporating the annual probability of each person's transition between health statuses on the basis of risk factors. The model incorporated national demographic and dietary data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey across 3 cycles (2011 through 2016), added sugar-related diseases from meta-analyses, and policy costs and health-related costs from established sources. A simulated nationally representative US population was created and followed until age 100 years or death, with 2019 as the year of intervention start. Findings were evaluated over 10 years and a lifetime from health care and societal perspectives. Uncertainty was evaluated in a 1-way analysis by assuming 50% industry compliance and probabilistic sensitivity analyses through a second-order Monte Carlo approach. Model outputs included averted diabetes cases, CVD events and CVD deaths, QALYs gained, and formal health care cost savings, stratified by age, race, income, and education. RESULTS: Achieving the US National Salt and Sugar Reduction Initiative sugar reduction targets could prevent 2.48 million CVD events, 0.49 million CVD deaths, and 0.75 million diabetes cases; gain 6.67 million QALYs; and save $160.88 billion net costs from a societal perspective over a lifetime. The policy became cost-effective (<150 000/QALYs) at 6 years, highly cost-effective (<50 000/QALYs) at 7 years, and cost-saving at 9 years. Results were robust from a health care perspective, with lower (50%) industry compliance, and in probabilistic sensitivity analyses. The policy could also reduce disparities, with greatest estimated health gains per million adults among Black or Hispanic individuals, lower income, and less educated Americans. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing and achieving the US National Salt and Sugar Reduction Initiative sugar reformation targets could generate substantial health gains, equity gains, and cost savings.


Assuntos
Nível de Saúde , Cloreto de Sódio na Dieta/economia , Açúcares/química , Redução de Custos , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Açúcares/economia , Estados Unidos
2.
Circulation ; 142(6): 523-534, 2020 08 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32564614

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sugar-sweetened beverage taxes are a rapidly growing policy tool and can be based on absolute volume, sugar content tiers, or absolute sugar content. Yet, their comparative health and economic impacts have not been quantified, in particular, tiered or sugar content taxes that provide industry incentives for sugar reduction. METHODS: We estimated incremental changes in diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease, quality-adjusted life-years, costs, and cost-effectiveness of 3 sugar-sweetened beverage tax designs in the United States, on the basis of (1) volume ($0.01/oz), (2) tiers (<5 g of added sugar/8 oz: no tax; 5-20 g/8 oz: $0.01/oz; and >20 g/8 oz: $0.02/oz), and (3) absolute sugar content ($0.01 per teaspoon added sugar), each compared with a base case of modest ongoing voluntary industry reformulation. A validated microsimulation model, CVD-PREDICT (Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model for Risk, Events, Detection, Interventions, Costs, and Trends), incorporated national demographic and dietary data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, policy effects and sugar-sweetened beverage-related diseases from meta-analyses, and industry reformulation and health-related costs from established sources. RESULTS: Over a lifetime, the volume, tiered, and absolute sugar content taxes would generate $80.4 billion, $142 billion, and $41.7 billion in tax revenue, respectively. From a healthcare perspective, the volume tax would prevent 850 000 cardiovascular disease (95% CI, 836 000-864 000) and 269 000 diabetes mellitus (265 000-274 000) cases, gain 2.44 million quality-adjusted life-years (2.40-2.48), and save $53.2 billion net costs (52.3-54.1). Health gains and savings were approximately doubled for the tiered and absolute sugar content taxes. Results were robust for societal and government perspectives, at 10 years follow-up, and with lower (50%) tax pass-through. Health gains were largest in young adults, blacks and Hispanics, and lower-income Americans. CONCLUSIONS: All sugar-sweetened beverage tax designs would generate substantial health gains and savings. Tiered and absolute sugar content taxes should be considered and evaluated for maximal potential gains.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Bebidas Adoçadas com Açúcar/análise , Açúcares/química , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/economia , Simulação por Computador , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Avaliação do Impacto na Saúde , Humanos , Imposto de Renda , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Política Pública , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
3.
PLoS Med ; 16(3): e1002761, 2019 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30889188

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Economic incentives through health insurance may promote healthier behaviors. Little is known about health and economic impacts of incentivizing diet, a leading risk factor for diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD), through Medicare and Medicaid. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A validated microsimulation model (CVD-PREDICT) estimated CVD and diabetes cases prevented, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), health-related costs (formal healthcare, informal healthcare, and lost-productivity costs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of two policy scenarios for adults within Medicare and Medicaid, compared to a base case of no new intervention: (1) 30% subsidy on fruits and vegetables ("F&V incentive") and (2) 30% subsidy on broader healthful foods including F&V, whole grains, nuts/seeds, seafood, and plant oils ("healthy food incentive"). Inputs included national demographic and dietary data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2009-2014, policy effects and diet-disease effects from meta-analyses, and policy and health-related costs from established sources. Overall, 82 million adults (35-80 years old) were on Medicare and/or Medicaid. The mean (SD) age was 68.1 (11.4) years, 56.2% were female, and 25.5% were non-whites. Health and cost impacts were simulated over the lifetime of current Medicare and Medicaid participants (average simulated years = 18.3 years). The F&V incentive was estimated to prevent 1.93 million CVD events, gain 4.64 million QALYs, and save $39.7 billion in formal healthcare costs. For the healthy food incentive, corresponding gains were 3.28 million CVD and 0.12 million diabetes cases prevented, 8.40 million QALYs gained, and $100.2 billion in formal healthcare costs saved, respectively. From a healthcare perspective, both scenarios were cost-effective at 5 years and beyond, with lifetime ICERs of $18,184/QALY (F&V incentive) and $13,194/QALY (healthy food incentive). From a societal perspective including informal healthcare costs and lost productivity, respective ICERs were $14,576/QALY and $9,497/QALY. Results were robust in probabilistic sensitivity analyses and a range of one-way sensitivity and subgroup analyses, including by different durations of the intervention (5, 10, and 20 years and lifetime), food subsidy levels (20%, 50%), insurance groups (Medicare, Medicaid, and dual-eligible), and beneficiary characteristics within each insurance group (age, race/ethnicity, education, income, and Supplemental Nutrition Assistant Program [SNAP] status). Simulation studies such as this one provide quantitative estimates of benefits and uncertainty but cannot directly prove health and economic impacts. CONCLUSIONS: Economic incentives for healthier foods through Medicare and Medicaid could generate substantial health gains and be highly cost-effective.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício/métodos , Dieta Saudável/economia , Dieta Saudável/métodos , Medicaid/economia , Medicare/economia , Motivação , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Análise Custo-Benefício/tendências , Dieta Saudável/tendências , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Medicaid/tendências , Medicare/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais/economia , Inquéritos Nutricionais/métodos , Inquéritos Nutricionais/tendências , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
4.
Phys Rev Lett ; 123(5): 055001, 2019 Aug 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31491308

RESUMO

We report on the first comprehensive experimental and numerical study of fast ion transport in the helical reversed-field pinch (RFP). Classical orbit effects dominate the macroscopic confinement properties. The strongest effect arises from growth in the dominant fast ion guiding-center island, but substantial influence from remnant subdominant tearing modes also plays a critical role. At the formation of the helical RFP, neutron flux measurements indicate a drastic loss of fast ions at sufficient subdominant mode amplitudes. Simulations corroborate these measurements and suggest that subdominant tearing modes strongly limit fast ion behavior. Previous work details a sharp thermal transport barrier and suggests the helical RFP as an Ohmically heated fusion reactor candidate; the enhanced transport of fast ions reported here identifies a key challenge for this scheme, but a workable scenario is conceivable with low subdominant tearing mode amplitudes.

5.
Public Health Nutr ; 22(10): 1794-1806, 2019 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30917878

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine if US household food purchases with lower levels of red meat spending generate lower life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE), greater nutritional quality and improved alignment with the Dietary Guidelines for Americans. Affordability of purchasing patterns by red meat spending levels was also assessed. DESIGN: Household food purchase and acquisition data were linked to an environmentally extended input-output life-cycle assessment model to calculate food GHGE. Households (n 4706) were assigned to quintiles by the share of weekly food spending on red meat. Average weekly kilojoule-adjusted GHGE, total food spending, nutrients purchased and 2010 Healthy Eating Index (HEI-2010) were evaluated using ANOVA and linear regression. SETTING: USA.ParticipantsHouseholds participating in the 2012-2013 National Household Food Acquisition and Purchase Survey. RESULTS: There was substantial variation in the share of the household food budget spent on red meat and total spending on red meat. The association between red meat spending share and total food spending was mixed. Lower red meat spending share was mostly advantageous from a nutritional perspective. Average GHGE were significantly lower and HEI-2010 scores were significantly higher for households spending the least on red meat as a share of total food spending. CONCLUSIONS: Only very low levels of red meat spending as a share of total food spending had advantages for food affordability, lower GHGE, nutrients purchased and diet quality. Further studies assessing changes in GHGE and other environmental burdens, using more sophisticated analytical techniques and accounting for substitution towards non-red meat animal proteins, are needed.


Assuntos
Comportamento do Consumidor/economia , Dieta Saudável/estatística & dados numéricos , Abastecimento de Alimentos/economia , Gases de Efeito Estufa/análise , Carne Vermelha/economia , Características da Família , Humanos , Estados Unidos
6.
J Acad Nutr Diet ; 123(10S): S5-S19, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36669754

RESUMO

This article sets the stage for the "25 Years of Food Security Measurement: Answered Questions and Further Research" conference, with support from the Economic Research Service of the US Department of Agriculture, by providing some history of federal food security measurement, summarizing notable findings, and reviewing selected special topics in analysis methods. The federal government uses food security surveys to monitor national progress toward reducing food insecurity and to evaluate federal nutrition assistance programs. For the monitoring purpose, there is a tension between focus (on a single authoritative measurement approach) and breadth (encompassing multiple tools or instruments suitable for diverse populations, contexts, and applications). For the program evaluation purpose, challenges include coordination with study designs capable of real causal estimation in the face of strong self-selection effects and tailored reference periods in survey questions that match the timing of program participation. Some analysis methods treat the food security survey items as distinct experiences of hardship, whereas others treat the food security survey items as windows on an underlying latent variable, a food insecurity score. The severity of food-related hardship may be assessed quantitatively by the number of distinct hardships reported, by the estimated value of a latent food insecurity score, or by the frequency of occurrence for sentinel hardships. Ongoing work investigates statistical approaches that are sufficiently simple for policy application and yet sufficiently flexible to accurately match the empirical survey evidence.


Assuntos
Assistência Alimentar , Abastecimento de Alimentos , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Fome , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estado Nutricional , Segurança Alimentar
7.
J Nutr ; 142(9): 1741-7, 2012 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22810984

RESUMO

Household food insecurity contributes to poor nutritional health, with negative consequences on growth and development during childhood. Although early childhood nutrition needs have received much attention, another important nutritional phase is adolescence. In a sample of 670 adolescents from Kilosa District, Tanzania, this study used 3 approaches to better understand the relationship between food insecurity and undernutrition. First, this study examined the associations between 3 commonly used measures of household food security and undernutrition among 670 adolescents from Kilosa District, Tanzania. The measures of household food security, energy adequacy per adult equivalent, dietary diversity score, and coping strategies index, were strongly correlated with each other and household assets (P < 0.05). Second, this study measured the nutritional status of adolescents in this district, finding a high prevalence of undernutrition (21% with BMI-for-age <5th percentile of the National Center for Health Statistics/WHO reference). Third, this study measured the association between the log odds of undernutrition (as the dependent variable) and each of the 3 measures of household food security. In separate models, household energy adequacy per adult equivalent and household dietary diversity score were inversely associated with undernutrition after adjusting for gender, age, puberty, and the interaction between age and puberty. By contrast, a greater use of coping strategies was not associated with undernutrition. Strategies focused on increasing household energy intake and improving dietary diversity among the most vulnerable households could improve the nutritional health of adolescents.


Assuntos
Abastecimento de Alimentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Desnutrição/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Adolescente , Antropometria , Índice de Massa Corporal , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Características da Família , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Prevalência , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Nações Unidas
8.
J Exp Med ; 189(3): 461-70, 1999 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9927508

RESUMO

It has been proposed that the generally low affinities of T cell receptors (TCRs) for their peptide-major histocompatibility complex (pMHC) ligands (Kd approximately 10(-4) to 10(-7) M) are the result of biological selection rather than an intrinsic affinity limitation imposed by the TCR framework. Using a soluble version of the 2C TCR, we have used complementarity determining region (CDR)-directed mutagenesis to investigate whether the affinity of this receptor for its allogeneic pMHC ligand can be improved upon. We report that several mutants at positions lying within CDR3alpha and CDR2beta showed increased affinities for pMHC compared with the wild-type receptor. Additionally, we have investigated whether Valpha mutations that have been implicated in the phenomenon of CD8(+) repertoire skewing achieve this skewing by means of generalized increases in affinity for MHC-I molecules. Two mutants (S27F and S51P), which each promote skewing toward a CD8(+) phenotype, exhibited significantly reduced affinity for pMHC-I, consistent with a quantitative-instructional model of CD4/CD8 lineage commitment. This model predicts that CD8 is downregulated on thymocytes that have TCR-ligand interactions above a minimal energy threshold. Together, the results (a) demonstrate that engineering higher affinity TCRs is feasible, and (b) provide TCR-pMHC energy values associated with CD4/CD8 repertoire skewing.


Assuntos
Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/imunologia , Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos/imunologia , Rearranjo Gênico do Linfócito T , Antígenos de Histocompatibilidade Classe I/imunologia , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/imunologia , Alanina/genética , Antígenos de Histocompatibilidade Classe I/metabolismo , Ligantes , Modelos Imunológicos , Modelos Moleculares , Mutagênese Sítio-Dirigida , Mutação , Peptídeos/metabolismo , Ligação Proteica , Receptores de Antígenos , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/química , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/genética , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/metabolismo , Serina/genética , Termodinâmica
9.
J Exp Med ; 191(5): 835-46, 2000 Mar 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10704464

RESUMO

Binding of the T cell receptor (TCR) to a bacterial superantigen (SAG) results in stimulation of a large population of T cells and subsequent inflammatory reactions. To define the functional contribution of TCR residues to SAG recognition, binding by 24 single-site alanine substitutions in the TCR Vbeta domain to Staphylococcus aureus enterotoxin (SE) C3 was measured, producing an energy map of the TCR-SAG interaction. The results showed that complementarity determining region 2 (CDR2) of the Vbeta contributed the majority of binding energy, whereas hypervariable region 4 (HV4) and framework region 3 (FR3) contributed a minimal amount of energy. The crystal structure of the Vbeta8.2-SEC3 complex suggests that the CDR2 mutations act by disrupting Vbeta main chain interactions with SEC3, perhaps by affecting the conformation of CDR2. The finding that single Vbeta side chain substitutions had significant effects on binding and that other SEC3-reactive Vbeta are diverse at these same positions indicates that SEC3 binds to other TCRs through compensatory mechanisms. Thus, there appears to be strong selective pressure on SAGs to maintain binding to diverse T cells.


Assuntos
Enterotoxinas/imunologia , Ligação Proteica , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/imunologia , Staphylococcus aureus/imunologia , Superantígenos/imunologia , Alanina/genética , Animais , Sítios de Ligação , Enterotoxinas/metabolismo , Humanos , Camundongos , Modelos Moleculares , Mutagênese , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/química , Receptores de Antígenos de Linfócitos T alfa-beta/genética , Superantígenos/metabolismo , Termodinâmica
10.
Am J Public Health ; 100(10): 1930-7, 2010 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20724691

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We investigated Cambodian refugee women's past food experiences and the relationship between those experiences and current food beliefs, dietary practices, and weight status. METHODS: Focus group participants (n = 11) described past food experiences and current health-related food beliefs and behaviors. We randomly selected survey participants (n = 133) from a comprehensive list of Cambodian households in Lowell, Massachusetts. We collected height, weight, 24-hour dietary recall, food beliefs, past food experience, and demographic information. We constructed a measure of past food deprivation from focus group and survey responses. We analyzed data with multivariate logistic and linear regression models. RESULTS: Participants experienced severe past food deprivation and insecurity. Those with higher past food-deprivation scores were more likely to currently report eating meat with fat (odds ratio [OR] = 1.14 for every point increase on the 9-to-27-point food-deprivation measure), and to be overweight or obese by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (OR = 1.28) and World Health Organization (OR = 1.18) standards. CONCLUSIONS: Refugees who experienced extensive food deprivation or insecurity may be more likely to engage in unhealthful eating practices and to be overweight or obese than are those who experienced less-extreme food deprivation or insecurity.


Assuntos
Peso Corporal , Comportamento Alimentar , Abastecimento de Alimentos , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Refugiados , Adulto , Camboja/etnologia , Gorduras na Dieta , Comportamento Alimentar/etnologia , Feminino , Grupos Focais , Humanos , Incidência , Massachusetts/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/epidemiologia
11.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 13(6): e006313, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32493057

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Excess caloric intake is linked to weight gain, obesity, and related diseases, including type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Obesity incidence is rising, with nearly 3 in 4 US adults being overweight or obese. In 2018, the US federal government finalized the implementation of mandatory labeling of calorie content on all menu items across major chain restaurants nationally as a strategy to support informed consumer choice, reduce caloric intake, and potentially encourage restaurant reformulations. Yet, the potential health and economic impacts of this policy remain unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used a validated microsimulation model (CVD-PREDICT) to estimate reductions in CVD events, diabetes mellitus cases, gains in quality-adjusted life years, costs, and cost-effectiveness of the menu calorie labeling intervention, based on consumer responses alone, and further accounting for potential industry reformulation. The model incorporated nationally representative demographic and dietary data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 2009 to 2016; policy effects on consumer diets and body mass index-disease effects from published meta-analyses; and policy effects on industry reformulation, policy costs (policy administration, industry compliance, and reformulation), and health-related costs (formal and informal healthcare costs, productivity costs) from established sources or reasonable assumptions. We modeled change in calories to change in weight using an established dynamic weight-change model, assuming 50% of expected calorie reductions would translate to long-term reductions. Findings were evaluated over 5 years and a lifetime from healthcare and societal perspectives, with uncertainty incorporated in both 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Between 2018 and 2023, implementation of the restaurant menu calorie labeling law was estimated, based on consumer response alone, to prevent 14 698 new CVD cases (including 1575 CVD deaths) and 21 522 new type 2 diabetes mellitus cases, gaining 8749 quality-adjusted life years. Over a lifetime, corresponding values were 135 781 new CVD cases (including 27 646 CVD deaths), 99 736 type 2 diabetes mellitus cases, and 367 450 quality-adjusted life years. Assuming modest restaurant item reformulation, both health and economic benefits were estimated to be about 2-fold larger than based on consumer response alone. The consumer response alone was estimated to be cost-saving by 2023, with net lifetime savings of $10.42B from a healthcare perspective and $12.71B from a societal perspective. Findings were robust in a range of sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Our national model suggests that the full implementation of the US calorie menu labeling law will generate significant health gains and healthcare and societal cost-savings. Industry responses to modestly reformulate menu items would provide even larger additional benefits.


Assuntos
Restrição Calórica , Dieta Saudável , Ingestão de Energia , Legislação sobre Alimentos , Planejamento de Cardápio , Obesidade/prevenção & controle , Restaurantes/legislação & jurisprudência , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Restrição Calórica/economia , Fatores de Risco Cardiometabólico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/economia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Simulação por Computador , Redução de Custos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/economia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevenção & controle , Dieta Saudável/economia , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Legislação sobre Alimentos/economia , Masculino , Planejamento de Cardápio/economia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Valor Nutritivo , Obesidade/economia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Obesidade/fisiopatologia , Formulação de Políticas , Qualidade de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Recomendações Nutricionais/legislação & jurisprudência , Restaurantes/economia , Medição de Risco , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
12.
JNCI Cancer Spectr ; 4(6): pkaa073, 2020 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33409452

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) consumption contributes to obesity, a risk factor for 13 cancers. Although SSB taxes can reduce intake, the health and economic impact on reducing cancer burdens in the United States are unknown, especially among low-income Americans with higher SSB intake and obesity-related cancer burdens. METHODS: We used the Diet and Cancer Outcome Model, a probabilistic cohort state-transition model, to project health gains and economic benefits of a penny-per-ounce national SSB tax on reducing obesity-associated cancers among US adults aged 20 years and older by income. RESULTS: A national SSB tax was estimated to prevent 22 075 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] = 16 040-28 577) new cancer cases and 13 524 (95% UI = 9841-17 681) cancer deaths among US adults over a lifetime. The policy was estimated to cost $1.70 (95% UI = $1.50-$1.95) billion for government implementation and $1.70 (95% UI = $1.48-$1.96) billion for industry compliance, while saving $2.28 (95% UI = $1.67-$2.98) billion cancer-related healthcare costs. The SSB tax was highly cost-effective from both a government affordability perspective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER] = $1486, 95% UI = -$3516-$9265 per quality-adjusted life year [QALY]) and a societal perspective (ICER = $13 220, 95% UI = $3453-$28 120 per QALY). Approximately 4800 more cancer cases and 3100 more cancer deaths would be prevented, and $0.34 billion more healthcare cost savings would be generated among low-income (federal poverty-to-income ratio [FPIR] ≤ 1.85) than higher-income individuals (FPIR > 1.85). CONCLUSIONS: A penny-per-ounce national SSB tax is cost-effective for cancer prevention in the United States, with the largest health gains and economic benefits among low-income Americans.

13.
Am J Prev Med ; 57(5): e143-e152, 2019 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31564600

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Processed meats are associated with increased risk of colorectal and stomach cancers, but health and economic impacts of policies to discourage processed meats are not well established. This paper aims to evaluate the cost effectiveness of implementing tax and warning labels on processed meats. METHODS: A probabilistic cohort-state transition model was developed in 2018, including lifetime and short-term horizons, healthcare, and societal perspectives, and 3% discount rates for costs and health outcomes. The model simulated 32 subgroups by age, gender, and race/ethnicity from the U.S. adult population and integrated nationally representative 2011-2014 data on processed meat consumption, with etiologic effects of processed meat consumption on cancer incidence, medical and indirect societal costs, and policy costs. RESULTS: Over a lifetime, the 10% excise tax would prevent 77,000 cases of colorectal cancer (95% uncertainty interval=56,800, 107,000) and 12,500 cases of stomach cancer (95% uncertainty interval=6,880, 23,900), add 593,000 quality-adjusted life years (95% uncertainty interval=419,000, 827,000), and generate net savings of $2.7 billion from a societal perspective, including $1.1 billion healthcare costs saved. The warning label policy would avert 85,400 cases of colorectal cancer (95% uncertainty interval=56,600, 141,000) and 15,000 cases of stomach cancer (95% uncertainty interval=6,860, 34,500), and add 660,000 quality-adjusted life years (95% uncertainty interval=418,000, 1,070,000), with net savings of $4.5 billion from a societal perspective, including $1.3 billion healthcare costs saved. In subgroup analyses, greater health and economic benefits accrued to (1) younger subpopulations, (2) subpopulations with greater cancer risk, and (3) those with higher baseline processed meat consumption. CONCLUSIONS: The model shows that implementing tax or warning labels on processed meats would be a cost-saving strategy with substantial health and economic benefits. The findings should encourage policy makers to consider nutrition-related policies to reduce cancer burden.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Análise Custo-Benefício , Produtos da Carne/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Política Nutricional/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Produtos da Carne/economia , Produtos da Carne/normas , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Neoplasias/economia , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/etiologia , Probabilidade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estados Unidos , Adulto Jovem
14.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 89(10): 10B112, 2018 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30399694

RESUMO

Correlation techniques have been successfully utilized for plasma diagnostics like electron cyclotron emission to reduce measurement noise. We present the first application of such a technique to Faraday-effect polarimetry measurements on the Madison Symmetric Torus (MST). The MST far infrared (FIR) interferometer-polarimeter diagnostic utilizes 11 vertical chords with a chord separation of 7-8 cm and a heterodyne detection system for fluctuation measurements up to several hundred kHz. The planar-diode mixers viewing each chord represent independent noise sources; modifying the optical setup so that two different mixers view the same chord allows cross correlation between the two independent signals to reduce the noise floor in fluctuation measurements. In this manner, the noise floor in both interferometry and polarimetry measurements in reversed-field pinch discharges has been reduced by a factor of 20-30. The correlation polarimeter provides a sensitive measurement of broadband magnetic fluctuations.

15.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 89(10): 10C120, 2018 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30399673

RESUMO

The new C-2W Thomson scattering (TS) diagnostic consists of two individual subsystems for monitoring electron temperature (Te) and density (ne): one system in the central region is currently operational, and the second system is being commissioned to monitor the open field line region. Validating the performance of the TS's custom designed system components and unique calibration of the detection system and diagnostic as a whole is crucial to obtaining high precision Te and ne profiles of C-2W's plasma. The major components include a diode-pumped Nd:YAG laser which produces 35 pulses at up to 20 kHz, uniquely designed collection lenses with a fast numerical aperture, and uniquely designed polychromators with filters sets to optimize a Te ranging from 10 eV to 2 keV. This paper describes the design principles and techniques used to characterize the main components of the TS diagnostic on C-2W, as well as the results of Rayleigh scattering calibrations performed for the whole system response.

16.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 89(10): 10C118, 2018 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30399708

RESUMO

TAE Technologies' newly constructed C-2W experiment aims to improve the ion and electron temperatures in a sustained field-reversed configuration plasma. A suite of Thomson scattering systems has been designed and constructed for electron temperature and density profile measurements. The systems are designed for electron densities of 1 × 1012 cm-3 to 2 × 1014 cm-3 and temperature ranges from 10 eV to 2 keV. The central system will provide profile measurements of Te and ne at 16 radial locations from r = -9 cm to r = 64 cm with a temporal resolution of 20 kHz for 4 pulses or 1 kHz for 30 pulses. The jet system will provide profile measurements of Te and ne at 5 radial locations in the open field region from r = -5 cm to r = 15 cm with a temporal resolution of 100 Hz. The central system and its components have been characterized, calibrated, installed, and commissioned. A maximum-likelihood algorithm has been applied for data processing and analysis.

17.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 78(2): 024503, 2007 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17578132

RESUMO

We present a method to measure the absolute detection efficiency of a delay-line microchannel-plate detector using the breakup of diatomic molecular ions. This method provides the absolute total detection efficiency, as well as the individual efficiency for each signal of the detector. The method is based on the fact that molecular breakup always yields two hits on the detector, but due to finite detection efficiency some of these events are recorded as single particles while others are detected in pairs. We demonstrate the method by evaluating the detection efficiency for both timing and position signals of a delay-line detector using laser-induced dissociation of molecular ions. In addition, the detection efficiency as a function of position has been determined by dividing the detector into sectors.

18.
J Am Diet Assoc ; 106(11): 1759-65, 2006 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17081826

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the United States, >50% of dietary calcium is provided by milk and milk products. Calcium intakes in the United States are inadequate for many children, and a large proportion do not drink milk or consume dairy products. However, no studies have addressed whether dairy-free diets can provide adequate calcium while meeting other nutrient recommendations. OBJECTIVE: To determine the highest calcium intake for adolescents obtained from dairy-free diets, and to examine the relationship between intakes of calcium-fortified foods, using citrus juice as an example, and maximal calcium intakes. DESIGN: In the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2001 to 2002, 65 females and 62 males, aged 9 to 18 years, reported no intake of dairy. We used linear programming to generate diets with maximal calcium intake, while meeting Dietary Reference Intakes for a set of nutrients, limiting energy and fat intakes, and not selecting food quantities exceeding amounts usually eaten in the population. RESULTS: With food use and energy and fat constraints, diets formulated by linear programming provided 1,150 and 1,411 mg/day of calcium for girls and boys, respectively. With the Dietary Reference Intakes constraints, these decreased to 869 and 1,160 mg/day. When we introduced 1.5 servings of fortified juice to the diets, the highest calcium intake increased to 1,302 mg/day for girls and to 1,640 mg/day for boys. CONCLUSIONS: Adequate intake for calcium cannot be met with dairy-free diets while meeting other nutrient recommendations. To meet the adequate intake for calcium without large changes in dietary patterns, calcium-fortified foods are needed. In addition, greater physical activity and responsible sunlight exposure should be encouraged to promote vitamin D adequacy.


Assuntos
Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição do Adolescente , Conservadores da Densidade Óssea/administração & dosagem , Cálcio da Dieta/administração & dosagem , Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição Infantil , Dieta , Alimentos Fortificados , Adolescente , Criança , Laticínios , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Política Nutricional , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Necessidades Nutricionais , Estados Unidos
19.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 87(11): 11E115, 2016 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27910623

RESUMO

Measuring high-frequency fluctuations (above tearing mode frequencies) is important for diagnosing instabilities and transport phenomena. The Madison Symmetric Torus interferometer-polarimeter system has been upgraded to utilize improved planar-diode mixer technology. The new mixers reduce phase noise and allow more sensitive measurements of fluctuations at high frequency. Typical polarimeter rms phase noise values of 0.05°-0.07° are obtained with 400 kHz bandwidth. The low phase noise enables the resolution of fluctuations up to 250 kHz for polarimetry and 600 kHz for interferometry. The importance of probe beam alignment for polarimetry is also verified; previously reported tolerances of ≤0.1 mm displacement for equilibrium and tearing mode measurements minimize contamination due to spatial misalignment to within acceptable levels for chords near the magnetic axis.

20.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 104(2): 423-35, 2016 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27334234

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: US fruit and vegetable (FV) intake remains below recommendations, particularly for low-income populations. Evidence on effectiveness of rebates in addressing this shortfall is limited. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the USDA Healthy Incentives Pilot (HIP), which offered rebates to Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) participants for purchasing targeted FVs (TFVs). DESIGN: As part of a randomized controlled trial in Hampden County, Massachusetts, 7500 randomly selected SNAP households received a 30% rebate on TFVs purchased with SNAP benefits. The remaining 47,595 SNAP households in the county received usual benefits. Adults in 5076 HIP and non-HIP households were randomly sampled for telephone surveys, including 24-h dietary recall interviews. Surveys were conducted at baseline (1-3 mo before implementation) and in 2 follow-up rounds (4-6 mo and 9-11 mo after implementation). 2784 adults (1388 HIP, 1396 non-HIP) completed baseline interviews; data were analyzed for 2009 adults (72%) who also completed ≥1 follow-up interview. RESULTS: Regression-adjusted mean TFV intake at follow-up was 0.24 cup-equivalents/d (95% CI: 0.13, 0.34 cup-equivalents/d) higher among HIP participants. Across all fruit and vegetables (AFVs), regression-adjusted mean intake was 0.32 cup-equivalents/d (95% CI: 0.17, 0.48 cup-equivalents/d) higher among HIP participants. The AFV-TFV difference was explained by greater intake of 100% fruit juice (0.10 cup-equivalents/d; 95% CI: 0.02, 0.17 cup-equivalents/d); juice purchases did not earn the HIP rebate. Refined grain intake was 0.43 ounce-equivalents/d lower (95% CI: -0.69, -0.16 ounce-equivalents/d) among HIP participants, possibly indicating substitution effects. Increased AFV intake and decreased refined grain intake contributed to higher Healthy Eating Index-2010 scores among HIP participants (4.7 points; 95% CI: 2.4, 7.1 points). CONCLUSIONS: The HIP significantly increased FV intake among SNAP participants, closing ∼20% of the gap relative to recommendations and increasing dietary quality. More research on mechanisms of action is warranted. The HIP trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02651064.


Assuntos
Dieta/economia , Comportamento Alimentar , Frutas , Motivação , Pobreza , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Verduras , Adolescente , Adulto , Custos e Análise de Custo , Dieta/normas , Características da Família , Feminino , Assistência Alimentar , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Massachusetts , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Projetos Piloto , Estados Unidos , United States Department of Agriculture , Adulto Jovem
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