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1.
Value Health ; 21(6): 677-684, 2018 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29909872

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Assessment of drug costs for cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) in the United States is not straightforward because the prices paid for drugs are not publicly available and differ between payers. CEAs have relied on list prices that do not reflect the rebates and discounts known to be associated with these purchases. OBJECTIVES: To review available cost measures and propose a novel strategy that is transparent, consistent, and applicable to all CEAs taking a US health care sector perspective or a societal payer's perspective. METHODS: We propose using the National Average Drug Acquisition Cost (NADAC), the Veterans Affairs Federal Supply Schedule (VAFSS), and their midpoint as the upper bound, lower bound, and base case, respectively, to estimate net drug prices for various payers. We compare this approach with wholesale acquisition cost (WAC), the most common measure observed in our literature review. The minimum WAC is used to provide the most conservative comparison. RESULTS: Our sample consists of 1436 brand drugs and 1599 generic drugs. On average, the upper bound (NADAC) is 1% and 9.8% lower than the WAC for brand and generic drugs respectively, whereas the lower bound (VAFSS) is 48.3% and 54.2% lower than the WAC. The NADAC is less than the WAC in 89.6% of drug groups. The distributions of these relationships do not show a clear mode and have wide variation. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that the WAC may be an overestimate for the base case because the minimum WAC is higher than the NADAC for most drugs. Our approach balances uncertainty and lack of data for the cost of pharmaceuticals with the need for a transparent and consistent approach for valid CEAs.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Farmacoeconomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Indústria Farmacêutica/economia , Medicamentos Genéricos/economia , Humanos , Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Estados Unidos , United States Department of Veterans Affairs
2.
J Public Health Dent ; 84(1): 3-12, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38031495

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association among barriers to dental care services, dentition groups, and self-reported oral health status for Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: We used data from the 2017 to 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), which included participants aged ≥65 years who were enrolled in Medicare and had completed the oral health exam. We created a dentition group variable using the detailed dental examination data to account for the presence of natural, replaced, removable, or missing teeth. Through bivariate and logistic analyses, we explored the relationship between barriers to receiving dental care services, dentition groups, and reported oral and general health statuses, along with other control variables. RESULTS: For the total Medicare population as well as in the four subgroup analyses, we showed that those with barriers to dental care services were more likely to report fair or poor oral health status. Those who were edentulous, had complete dentures, or had less than a full mouth of teeth had greater barriers and worse oral and general health than did those with all-natural teeth. Among those who reported fair or poor general health, those with less than a full mouth of teeth showed similar levels of barriers to dental care services and worse perceived oral health than did those without any teeth. CONCLUSIONS: Helping the 65 years and older population retain their teeth in good condition will improve their overall health. Investment in oral hygiene and health for the current and future Medicare populations could improve their overall health.


Assuntos
Dentição , Saúde Bucal , Humanos , Idoso , Estados Unidos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Medicare , Assistência Odontológica
3.
Breast Cancer Res Treat ; 138(2): 519-28, 2013 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23417335

RESUMO

Black women tend to be diagnosed with breast cancer at a more advanced stage than whites and subsequently experience elevated breast cancer mortality. We sought to determine whether there are racial differences in tumor natural history that contribute to these disparities. We used the University of Wisconsin Breast Cancer Simulation Model, a validated member of the National Cancer Institute's Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network, to evaluate the contribution of racial differences in tumor natural history to observed disparities in breast cancer incidence. We fit eight natural history parameters in race-specific models by calibrating to the observed race- and stage-specific 1975-2000 U.S. incidence rates, while accounting for known racial variation in population structure, underlying risk of breast cancer, screening mammography utilization, and mortality from other causes. The best fit models indicated that a number of natural history parameters must vary between blacks and whites to reproduce the observed stage-specific incidence patterns. The mean of the tumor growth rate parameter was 63.6 % higher for blacks than whites (0.18, SE 0.04 vs. 0.11, SE 0.02). The fraction of tumors considered highly aggressive based on their tendency to metastasize at a small size was 2.2 times greater among blacks than whites (0.41, SE 0.009 vs. 0.019, SE 0.008). Based on our simulation model, breast tumors in blacks grow faster and are more likely to metastasize earlier than tumors in whites. These differences suggest that targeted prevention and detection strategies that go beyond equalizing access to mammography may be needed to eliminate breast cancer disparities.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano , Neoplasias da Mama/etnologia , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Calibragem , Feminino , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Biológicos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Programa de SEER , Carga Tumoral , Estados Unidos , População Branca
4.
Nat Genet ; 32(1): 175-9, 2002 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12185364

RESUMO

The disorder Amish microcephaly (MCPHA) is characterized by severe congenital microcephaly, elevated levels of alpha-ketoglutarate in the urine and premature death. The disorder is inherited in an autosomal recessive pattern and has been observed only in Old Order Amish families whose ancestors lived in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. Here we show, by using a genealogy database and automated pedigree software, that 23 nuclear families affected with MCPHA are connected to a single ancestral couple. Through a whole-genome scan, fine mapping and haplotype analysis, we localized the gene affected in MCPHA to a region of 3 cM, or 2 Mb, on chromosome 17q25. We constructed a map of contiguous genomic clones spanning this region. One of the genes in this region, SLC25A19, which encodes a nuclear mitochondrial deoxynucleotide carrier (DNC), contains a substitution that segregates with the disease in affected individuals and alters an amino acid that is highly conserved in similar proteins. Functional analysis shows that the mutant DNC protein lacks the normal transport activity, implying that failed deoxynucleotide transport across the inner mitochondrial membrane causes MCPHA. Our data indicate that mitochondrial deoxynucleotide transport may be essential for prenatal brain growth.


Assuntos
Proteínas de Transporte/genética , Desoxirribonucleotídeos/metabolismo , Proteínas de Membrana Transportadoras , Microcefalia/genética , Proteínas de Transporte/metabolismo , Cristianismo , Cromossomos Humanos Par 17 , Clonagem Molecular , Escherichia coli , Etnicidade , Feminino , Marcadores Genéticos , Haplótipos , Humanos , Escore Lod , Masculino , Proteínas de Transporte da Membrana Mitocondrial , Mutação , Linhagem , Mapeamento Físico do Cromossomo , Proteínas Recombinantes/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/metabolismo
5.
Risk Anal ; 32 Suppl 1: S25-38, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22882890

RESUMO

The purpose of this study was to develop life tables by smoking status removing lung cancer as a cause of death. These life tables are inputs to studies that compare the effectiveness of lung cancer treatments or interventions, and provide a way to quantify time until death from causes other than lung cancer. The study combined actuarial and statistical smoothing methods, as well as data from multiple sources, to develop separate life tables by smoking status, birth cohort, by single year of age, and by sex. For current smokers, separate life tables by smoking quintiles were developed based on the average number of cigarettes smoked per day by birth cohort. The end product is the creation of six non-lung-cancer life tables for males and six tables for females: five current smoker quintiles and one for never smokers. Tables for former smokers are linear combinations of the appropriate table based on the current smoker quintile before quitting smoking and the never smoker probabilities, plus added covariates for the smoking quit age and time since quitting.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Calibragem , Causas de Morte , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Tábuas de Vida , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar
6.
Med Decis Making ; 39(5): 593-604, 2019 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31409187

RESUMO

Introduction. Estimating costs of medical care attributable to treatments over time is difficult due to costs that cannot be explained solely by observed risk factors. Unobserved risk factors cannot be accounted for using standard econometric techniques, potentially leading to imprecise prediction. The goal of this work is to describe methodology to account for latent variables in the prediction of longitudinal costs. Methods. Latent class growth mixture models (LCGMMs) predict class membership using observed risk factors and class-specific distributions of costs over time. Our motivating example models cost of care for children with cystic fibrosis from birth to age 17. We compare a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) with LCGMMs. Both models use the same covariates and distribution to predict average costs by combinations of observed risk factors. We adopt a Bayesian estimation approach to both models and compare results using the deviance information criterion (DIC). Results. The 3-class LCGMM model has a lower DIC than the GLMM. The LCGMM latent classes include a low-cost group where costs increase slowly over time, a medium-cost group with initial higher costs than the low-cost group and with more rapidly increasing costs at older ages, and a high-cost group with a U-shaped trajectory. The risk profile-specific mixtures of classes are used to predict costs over time. The LCGMM model shows more delineation of costs by age by risk profile and with less uncertainty than the GLMM model. Conclusions. The LCGMM approach creates flexible prediction models when using longitudinal cost data. The Bayesian estimation approach to LCGMM presented fits well into cost-effectiveness modeling where the estimated trajectories and class membership can be used for prediction.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Fibrose Cística/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Econômicos , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Incerteza
7.
Am J Prev Med ; 32(2): 139-42, 2007 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17196785

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Employers cite a lack of information on the cost of insurance coverage for smoking-cessation treatment as a barrier to its provision. This study describes the use of a new insurance benefit for smoking-cessation pharmacotherapy, and its pharmaceutical costs to a large public employer between 2001 and 2003. METHODS: Annual enrollment and pharmaceutical claims data were collected from the health plans that contracted with the Wisconsin Department of Employee Trust Funds (ETF). State employees, retirees, and adult dependents who obtained health insurance through the ETF constituted our sample, approximately 150,000/year. Pharmacotherapy benefit use was defined as a paid claim for one of four U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved smoking-cessation medications. Pharmaceutical cost was defined as the ingredient cost (+) dispensing fee (-) member copayment. Analyses included estimation of the proportion of smokers who used the benefit each year and across 3 years, the average annual cost per user, and the per member per month (PMPM) pharmaceutical cost to the employer. Data were collected from 2001 to 2004 and analyzed in 2005-2006. RESULTS: Annual benefit use among smokers ranged from 6% to 7% with a 3-year rate of approximately 17%. The PMPM cost of the covered pharmacotherapy was approximately 0.13 dollars. CONCLUSIONS: The cost to employers of providing insurance coverage for smoking-cessation pharmacotherapy to their employees is low. By informing insurance purchasing decisions, these results may facilitate the adoption of such coverage, with the goal of ultimately reducing the proportion of employees who smoke.


Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico/economia , Planos de Assistência de Saúde para Empregados/economia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Adolescente , Adulto , California , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
8.
J Natl Cancer Inst Monogr ; (36): 15-9, 2006.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17032889

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Simulation models analyzing the impact of treatment interventions and screening on the level of breast cancer mortality require an input of mortality from causes other than breast cancer, or competing risks. METHODS: This chapter presents an actuarial method of creating cohort life tables using published data that removes breast cancer as a cause of death. RESULTS: Mortality from causes other than breast cancer as a percentage of all-cause mortality is smallest for women in their forties and fifties, as small as 85% of the all-cause rate, although the level and percentage of the impact varies by birth cohort. CONCLUSION: This method produces life tables by birth cohort and by age that are easily included as a common input by the various CISNET modeling groups to predict mortality from other causes. Attention to removing breast cancer mortality from all-cause mortality is worthwhile, because breast cancer mortality can be as high as 15% at some ages.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Simulação por Computador , Tábuas de Vida , Modelos Estatísticos , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
9.
J Natl Cancer Inst Monogr ; (36): 37-47, 2006.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17032893

RESUMO

The Wisconsin Breast Cancer Epidemiology Simulation Model is a discrete-event, stochastic simulation model using a systems-science modeling approach to replicate breast cancer incidence and mortality in the U.S. population from 1975 to 2000. Four interacting processes are modeled over time: (1) natural history of breast cancer, (2) breast cancer detection, (3) breast cancer treatment, and (4) competing cause mortality. These components form a complex interacting system simulating the lives of 2.95 million women (approximately 1/50 the U.S. population) from 1950 to 2000 in 6-month cycles. After a "burn in" of 25 years to stabilize prevalent occult cancers, the model outputs age-specific incidence rates by stage and age-specific mortality rates from 1975 to 2000. The model simulates occult as well as detected disease at the individual level and can be used to address "What if?" questions about effectiveness of screening and treatment protocols, as well as to estimate benefits to women of specific ages and screening histories.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Simulação por Computador , Modelos Estatísticos , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/tratamento farmacológico , Quimioterapia Adjuvante , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Processos Estocásticos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Wisconsin
10.
J Cyst Fibros ; 5(1): 33-41, 2006 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16275171

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although there are more than 1000 mutations in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene, most of them are uncommon and only limited information exists regarding genotype-pulmonary phenotype relationships. METHODS: We determined and classified the CFTR mutations using denaturing high-performance liquid chromatography and developed new, quantitative methods to categorize pulmonary phenotypes. RESULTS: Two novel alleles were discovered, namely G1047R and 1525-2A-->G, which were accompanied by F508del and G551D mutations, respectively. Assessment of numerous options revealed that CF pulmonary phenotype categorization in children cannot be accomplished with clinical or pulmonary function data but is facilitated by longitudinal quantitative chest radiology. It was most useful to categorize pulmonary disease status by evaluating the typical pattern of abnormalities in patients homozygous for the F508del mutation, and then compare patients with minor mutations to this typical CF pulmonary phenotype. By this method, both patients with novel mutations have pulmonary phenotypes typical of F508del homozygotes. However, patients with class IV mutations (e.g., R347P) or with pancreatic sufficiency showed serial chest radiographs that were atypically mild. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal quantitative chest radiography provides a new strategy for CF pulmonary phenotype categorization that should be useful for genotype-phenotype delineation in individual patients and in both epidemiologic studies and clinical trials involving groups of children with CF.


Assuntos
Regulador de Condutância Transmembrana em Fibrose Cística/genética , Fibrose Cística/genética , DNA/genética , Mutação Puntual , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Cromatografia Líquida de Alta Pressão , Fibrose Cística/diagnóstico por imagem , Fibrose Cística/fisiopatologia , Progressão da Doença , Seguimentos , Volume Expiratório Forçado/fisiologia , Genótipo , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Fenótipo , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Radiografia Torácica , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Espirometria
11.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 51(12): 1295-1303, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27740724

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous estimates of the cost of care for pediatric Cystic fibrosis (CF) showed wide variation, without specific summary of pulmonary drug costs. METHODS: Enrolled CF children from the Wisconsin newborn screening trial were evaluated quarterly per protocol. Assessments systematically included all treatments, hospitalizations, and nutritional and pulmonary outcomes. Direct medical costs from hospital billing and medical records from 1989 to 2010 were used to describe costs by age-ranges and subgroups throughout follow-up. Outpatient drugs were separated by category (pulmonary/otherwise). Inpatient and drug costs were examined by clinical risk factors (presence of meconium ileus, pancreatic insufficiency, and expected severity of genetic mutations). RESULTS: Seventy-three children were followed for an average of 12.9 years with an average annual total cost of care of $24,768. Outpatient drug costs (53%) and hospitalizations (32%) represented the majority of costs. Drug costs were 48% for pulmonary indications and 52% for non-pulmonary. Pulmonary drug costs for children taking dornase were 54% of their drug costs while pulmonary drug costs were only 31% for children not taking dornase. Significant differences in frequency of inpatient stays existed for children with pancreatic insufficiency. Substantial differences in treatment costs exist as children age and by clinical risk factor. CONCLUSION: This study provides more accurate longitudinal estimates of CF care costs throughout childhood and shows that increasing age, pancreatic insufficiency, use of dornase, and hospitalizations are key determinants of cost. These estimates can be included in evaluations of the cost-effectiveness of new, highly expensive treatments being introduced for any CF population. Pediatr Pulmonol. 2016;51:1295-1303. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.


Assuntos
Assistência Ambulatorial/economia , Fibrose Cística/economia , Desoxirribonuclease I/economia , Custos de Medicamentos , Insuficiência Pancreática Exócrina/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Hospitalização/economia , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Análise Custo-Benefício , Fibrose Cística/complicações , Fibrose Cística/tratamento farmacológico , Desoxirribonuclease I/uso terapêutico , Insuficiência Pancreática Exócrina/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Triagem Neonatal , Proteínas Recombinantes/economia , Proteínas Recombinantes/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Wisconsin
12.
WMJ ; 115(6): 295-9, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29094862

RESUMO

PROBLEM CONSIDERED: Accessibility by telephone to cystic fibrosis (CF) centers for a diagnostic sweat test appointment from a parental perspective­which can be stressful­compared to experience in contacting a general pediatrics practice in the same area. METHODS: We called each CF center and affiliate twice, plus a sample of multiphysician general pediatrics practices selected from yellowpages.com after being matched by area and ZIP codes to 50 randomly selected CF centers, including Wisconsin's 2 nationally accredited centers. After alerts to CF centers nationally, we made follow-up calls to randomly selected centers. A call was considered successful if the center or practice provided the time and date of the next available sweat test or well-baby checkup appointment. RESULTS: In contrast to calls made to general pediatricians' offices, in which 98% were successful and an appointment was available in an average of 8.6 days, only 31% of CF centers and affiliates could be contacted successfully. Although a sweat test appointment was available in 4.9 days on average, delays as long as 26 days were possible. In subsequent follow-up calls, only 40% were successful. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial difficulties and inconsistencies were encountered in accessing CF centers, suggesting that parents often may be challenged in their efforts, while they generally have no difficulty contacting and scheduling an appointment with a general pediatrician. This contrasting experience could be stressful to parents when their baby has a positive screening test. The role of primary care physicians in newborn screening communications is increasingly important, while the role of regional centers needs reconsideration.


Assuntos
Instituições de Assistência Ambulatorial/estatística & dados numéricos , Agendamento de Consultas , Fibrose Cística/diagnóstico , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Telefone , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Triagem Neonatal , Inquéritos e Questionários , Wisconsin
13.
Prev Chronic Dis ; 2(4): A15, 2005 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16164819

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Uncertainty about levels of employee use of an insurance benefit for smoking-cessation treatment has presented a barrier to employers considering the adoption of such coverage. This study examined self-reported awareness and use of a new insurance benefit for smoking-cessation treatment among a sample of Wisconsin state employees, retirees, and adult dependents. METHODS: We evaluated the self-reported use of insurance coverage for smoking-cessation treatment during the first 2 years of its availability to the Wisconsin state employee, retiree, and adult dependent population. We conducted analyses of responses to smoking-related questions in 2001 and 2002 cross-sectional surveys of insured state employees, retirees, and adult dependents, weighted to represent this population. RESULTS: In 2002, benefit use among smokers aware of the benefit was 39.6%, and benefit use among smokers unaware of the benefit was 3.5%. Only 27.4% of smokers were aware of the benefit in 2002; use among all smokers was 13.6%. Of all smokers, 30.4% used smoking-cessation treatment medication (over-the-counter or covered) in 2002. Smoking prevalence was 15.6% in 2001 and 13.2% in 2002. CONCLUSION: In an educated employee population, self-reported smoking-cessation treatment benefit use was modest among all smokers during its first 2 years of availability. Benefit awareness was low in this educated population, which may help explain low use rates, particularly given the 30% of all smokers who attempted to quit smoking with the help of smoking-cessation treatment medication. These data provide use-rate estimates for states contemplating adoption of an evidence-based smoking-cessation treatment benefit.


Assuntos
Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Benefícios do Seguro/estatística & dados numéricos , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/economia , Adulto , Conscientização , Planos de Assistência de Saúde para Empregados , Humanos , Medicamentos sem Prescrição/economia , Medicamentos sem Prescrição/uso terapêutico , Prevalência , Aposentadoria , Fumar/economia , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/terapia , Governo Estadual , Wisconsin/epidemiologia
14.
Med Decis Making ; 35(5): 622-32, 2015 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25532826

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: In the United States, more than 10% of national health expenditures are for prescription drugs. Assessing drug costs in US economic evaluation studies is not consistent, as the true acquisition cost of a drug is not known by decision modelers. Current US practice focuses on identifying one reasonable drug cost and imposing some distributional assumption to assess uncertainty. METHODS: We propose a set of Rules based on current pharmacy practice that account for the heterogeneity of drug product costs. The set of products derived from our Rules, and their associated costs, form an empirical distribution that can be used for more realistic sensitivity analyses and create transparency in drug cost parameter computation. The Rules specify an algorithmic process to select clinically equivalent drug products that reduce pill burden, use an appropriate package size, and assume uniform weighting of substitutable products. Three diverse examples show derived empirical distributions and are compared with previously reported cost estimates. RESULTS: The shapes of the empirical distributions among the 3 drugs differ dramatically, including multiple modes and different variation. Previously published estimates differed from the means of the empirical distributions. Published ranges for sensitivity analyses did not cover the ranges of the empirical distributions. In one example using lisinopril, the empirical mean cost of substitutable products was $444 (range = $23-$953) as compared with a published estimate of $305 (range = $51-$523). CONCLUSIONS: Our Rules create a simple and transparent approach to creating cost estimates of drug products and assessing their variability. The approach is easily modified to include a subset of, or different weighting for, substitutable products. The derived empirical distribution is easily incorporated into 1-way or probabilistic sensitivity analyses.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício/métodos , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Medicamentos sob Prescrição/economia , Algoritmos , Custos de Medicamentos , Indústria Farmacêutica/economia , Indústria Farmacêutica/métodos , Humanos , Lisinopril/administração & dosagem , Lisinopril/economia , Naproxeno/administração & dosagem , Naproxeno/economia , Estados Unidos
15.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 51(2): 234-9, 2003 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12558721

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To ascertain the variation in strategies for managing delirium of physicians with expertise in geriatrics. DESIGN: Cross-sectional mail survey. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: A probability sample of physician members of the American Geriatrics Society. MEASUREMENTS: Management choices presented in a two-part case vignette of an older woman hospitalized with a hip fracture who develops mild and then severe delirium. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-two respondents (43%) selected the three answers constituting current "best practice," 50 (18%) selected an unnecessary diagnostic test (brain imaging, lumbar puncture, or electroencephalogram), and 47 (17%) selected unnecessary pharmacologic therapy for mild delirium. For severe delirium, 270 (96%) selected pharmacological therapy, of whom 180 chose haloperidol alone, 55 chose lorazepam alone, 23 chose lorazepam in combination with haloperidol, and 12 wrote in another drug. Thirty percent of the respondents made any selection of lorazepam, alone or in combination with haloperidol, for mild or severe delirium. Sixty-one percent of those selecting haloperidol for severe delirium chose a dose greater than that recommended for geriatric patients. Sex, date of graduation from medical school, clinical specialty, completion of a geriatric fellowship, or certification in geriatrics had no significant effect on responses. CONCLUSIONS: The common selection of lorazepam to treat delirium is troubling because benzodiazepines themselves are implicated in delirium. Selection of an initial dose of haloperidol higher than that recommended for geriatric patients by more than half of the respondents is also of concern. There is a paucity of sound clinical evidence to guide the choice of pharmacological agents for treating delirium in older hospitalized patients.


Assuntos
Delírio/terapia , Padrões de Prática Médica , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Inquéritos e Questionários
16.
JAMA Intern Med ; 174(1): 114-21, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24247482

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: Breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is highly sensitive for detecting breast cancer. Low specificity, cost, and little evidence regarding mortality benefits, however, limit recommendations for its use to high-risk women. How breast MRI is actually used in community settings is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To describe breast MRI trends and indications in a community setting. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study at a not-for-profit health plan and multispecialty group medical practice in New England of 10,518 women aged 20 years and older enrolled in the health plan for at least 1 year who had at least 1 breast MRI between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2011. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Breast MRI counts were obtained from claims data. Clinical indication (screening, diagnostic evaluation, staging or treatment, or surveillance) was determined using a prediction model developed from electronic medical records on a subset of participants. Breast cancer risk status was assessed using claims data and, for the subset, also through electronic medical record review. RESULTS; Breast MRI use increased more than 20-fold from 6.5 per 10,000 women in 2000 to 130.7 per 10,000 in 2009. Use then declined and stabilized to 104.8 per 10,000 by 2011. Screening and surveillance, rare indications in 2000, together accounted for 57.6% of MRI use by 2011; 30.1% had a claims-documented personal history and 51.7% a family history of breast cancer, whereas 3.5% of women had a documented genetic mutation. In the subset of women with electronic medical records who received screening or surveillance MRIs, only 21.0% had evidence of meeting American Cancer Society (ACS) criteria for breast MRI. Conversely, only 48.4% of women with documented deleterious genetic mutations received breast MRI screening. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Breast MRI use increased steeply over 10 years and then stabilized, especially for screening and surveillance among women with family or personal history of breast cancer; most women receiving screening and surveillance breast MRIs lacked documented evidence of meeting ACS criteria, and many women with mutations were not screened. Efforts are needed to ensure that breast MRI use and documentation are focused on those women who will benefit most.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Mama/patologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Estudos de Coortes , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Feminino , Genes BRCA1 , Genes BRCA2 , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/economia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Adulto Jovem
17.
Med Decis Making ; 33(2): 176-97, 2013 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23132901

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Simulation models designed to evaluate cancer prevention strategies make assumptions on background mortality-the competing risk of death from causes other than the cancer being studied. Researchers often use the U.S. life tables and assume homogeneous other-cause mortality rates. However, this can lead to bias because common risk factors such as smoking and obesity also predispose individuals for deaths from other causes such as cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We obtained calendar year-, age-, and sex-specific other-cause mortality rates by removing deaths due to a specific cancer from U.S. all-cause life tables. Prevalence across 12 risk factor groups (3 smoking [never, past, and current smoker] and 4 body mass index [BMI] categories [<25, 25-30, 30-35, 35+ kg/m(2)]) were estimated from national surveys (National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys [NHANES] 1971-2004). Using NHANES linked mortality data, we estimated hazard ratios for death by BMI/smoking using a Poisson regression model. Finally, we combined these results to create 12 sets of BMI and smoking-specific other-cause life tables for U.S. adults aged 40 years and older that can be used in simulation models of lung, colorectal, or breast cancer. RESULTS: We found substantial differences in background mortality when accounting for BMI and smoking. Ignoring the heterogeneity in background mortality in cancer simulation models can lead to underestimation of competing risk of deaths for higher-risk individuals (e.g., male, 60-year old, white obese smokers) by as high as 45%. CONCLUSION: Not properly accounting for competing risks of death may introduce bias when using simulation modeling to evaluate population health strategies for prevention, screening, or treatment. Further research is warranted on how these biases may affect cancer-screening strategies targeted at high-risk individuals.


Assuntos
Modelos Teóricos , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Obesidade/complicações , Fumar , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Índice de Massa Corporal , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/complicações , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Distribuição de Poisson , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
18.
Pediatrics ; 129(2): e339-47, 2012 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22291119

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Because cystic fibrosis can be difficult to diagnose and treat early, newborn screening programs have rapidly developed nationwide but methods vary widely. We therefore investigated the costs and consequences or specific outcomes of the 2 most commonly used methods. METHODS: With available data on screening and follow-up, we used a simulation approach with decision trees to compare immunoreactive trypsinogen (IRT) screening followed by a second IRT test against an IRT/DNA analysis. By using a Monte Carlo simulation program, variation in the model parameters for counts at various nodes of the decision trees, as well as for costs, are included and applied to fictional cohorts of 100 000 newborns. The outcome measures included the numbers of newborns given a diagnosis of cystic fibrosis and costs of screening strategy at each branch and cost per newborn. RESULTS: Simulations revealed a substantial number of potential missed diagnoses for the IRT/IRT system versus IRT/DNA. Although the IRT/IRT strategy with commonly used cutoff values offers an average overall cost savings of $2.30 per newborn, a breakdown of costs by societal segments demonstrated higher out-of-pocket costs for families. Two potential system failures causing delayed diagnoses were identified relating to the screening protocols and the follow-up system. CONCLUSIONS: The IRT/IRT screening algorithm reduces the costs to laboratories and insurance companies but has more system failures. IRT/DNA offers other advantages, including fewer delayed diagnoses and lower out-of-pocket costs to families.


Assuntos
Fibrose Cística/diagnóstico , Fibrose Cística/economia , Árvores de Decisões , Triagem Neonatal/economia , Triagem Neonatal/métodos , Algoritmos , Terapia Combinada , Análise Custo-Benefício , Fibrose Cística/genética , Regulador de Condutância Transmembrana em Fibrose Cística/genética , Análise Mutacional de DNA/economia , Erros de Diagnóstico , Feminino , Seguimentos , Triagem de Portadores Genéticos , Aconselhamento Genético/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Método de Monte Carlo , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Tripsinogênio/sangue
20.
Acad Radiol ; 16(11): 1433-42, 2009 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19683946

RESUMO

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to determine diagnostic radiology faculty members' compliance with recommended health guidelines for physical activity, body weight, diet, and related health indicators and to compare faculty members' compliance with that of radiology residents. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A request to complete an online health survey was electronically sent to members of the Association of University Radiologists in September 2008. Results were compared to those from a similar survey completed by radiology residents in May and June 2007. Frequency counts and Fisher's exact tests were used to summarize results and to determine statistically significant relationships. RESULTS: The sample consisted of 193 of 801 members of the Association of University Radiologists (24%). A greater percentage of faculty members than residents complied with recommendations for physical activity (52% vs 37%, P < .001) and the consumption of vegetables (67% vs 52%, P < .001), saturated fat (51% vs 37%, P < .001), and sodium (53% vs 37%, P < .001). A greater percentage of faculty members felt that they got enough sleep (51% vs 38%, P = .002) and did not think about stress on most days (39% vs 26%, P = .001). Most faculty members (59%) worked 51 to 60 hours a week, whereas most residents (59%) worked > 60 hours, and greater work hours were correlated with less resident physical activity (P = .017). More female than male faculty members (78% vs 57%, P = .010) and residents (83% vs 62%, P < .001) had body mass indexes < 25 kg/m(2). CONCLUSION: A substantial percentage of faculty members were out of compliance with federal health guidelines, although less so than residents in many categories. Comments from both groups suggest a possible benefit from modifications to the work environment.


Assuntos
Docentes de Medicina/estatística & dados numéricos , Fidelidade a Diretrizes/estatística & dados numéricos , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Internato e Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Estudantes de Medicina/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Estados Unidos
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