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BACKGROUND: Skeletal muscle mass (SMM) plays a crucial role in risk assessment in transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) candidates, yet it remains underutilized. Traditional methods focus on weakness or performance but omit SMM. This study compared traditional and novel markers of sarcopenia and frailty in terms of their ability to predict adverse outcomes post-TAVR. METHODS: Three risk models were evaluated for the composite outcome of perioperative complications, 1-year rehospitalization, or 1-year mortality: (1) sarcopenia by combining low muscle mass (LMM) and weakness/performance assessed by hand grip strength or gait speed; (2) frailty by an Adapted Green score; and (3) frailty by the Green-SMI score incorporating LMM by multilevel opportunistic pre-TAVR thoracic CT segmentation. RESULTS: In this study we included 184 eligible patients from January to December of 2018, (96.7%) of which were balloon expandable valves. The three risk models identified 22.8% patients as sarcopenic, 63.6% as frail by the Adapted Green score, and 53.8% as frail by the Green-SMI score. There were higher rates of the composite outcome in patients with sarcopenia (54.8%) and frailty (41.9% with the Adapted Green and 50.5% with the Green-SMI score) compared to their nonsarcopenic (30.3%) and nonfrail counterparts (25.4% with the Adapted Green and 18.8% with the Green-SMI score). Sarcopenia and frailty by Green-SMI, but not by the Adapted Green, were associated with higher risks of the composite outcome on multivariable adjustment (HR 2.2 [95% CI: 1.25-4.02], P = .007 and HR 3.4 [95% CI: 1.75-6.65], P < .001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The integration of preoperative CT-based SMM to a frailty score significantly improves the prediction of adverse outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR.
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In Ceará, Brazil, seasonal influenza transmission begins before national annual vaccination campaigns commence. To assess the perinatal consequences of this misalignment, we tracked severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), influenza, and influenza immunizations during 2013-2018. Among 3,297 SARI cases, 145 (4.4%) occurred in pregnant women. Statewide vaccination coverage was >80%; however, national vaccination campaigns began during or after peak influenza season. Thirty to forty weeks after peak influenza season, birthweights decreased by 40 g, and rates of prematurity increased from 10.7% to 15.5%. We identified 61 children born to mothers with SARI during pregnancy; they weighed 10% less at birth and were more likely to be premature than 122 newborn controls. Mistiming of influenza vaccination campaigns adversely effects perinatal outcomes in Ceará. Because Ceará is the presumptive starting point for north-to-south seasonal influenza transmission in Brazil, earlier national immunization campaigns would provide greater protection for pregnant women and their fetuses in Ceará and beyond.
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Influenza Humana , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez , Brasil/epidemiologia , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Parto , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , VacinaçãoRESUMO
Objectives: Identifying the optimal solution for young adults requiring aortic valve replacement (AVR) is challenging, given the variety of options and their lifetime complication risks, impacts on quality of life, and costs. Decision analytic techniques make comparisons incorporating these measures. We evaluated lifetime valve-related outcomes of mechanical aortic valve replacement (mAVR) versus the Ross procedure (Ross) using decision tree microsimulations modeling. Methods: Transition probabilities, utilities, and costs derived from published reports were entered into a Markov model decision tree to explore progression between health states for hypothetical 18-year-old patients. In total, 20,000 Monte Carlo microsimulations were performed to model mortality, quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs), and health care costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Sensitivity analyses was performed to identify transition probabilities at which the preferred strategy switched from baseline. Results: From modeling, average 20-year mortality was 16.3% and 23.2% for Ross and mAVR, respectively. Average 20-year freedom from stroke and major bleeding was 98.6% and 94.6% for Ross, and 90.0% and 82.2% for mAVR, respectively. Average individual lifetime (60 postoperative years) utility (28.3 vs 23.5 QALYs) and cost ($54,233 vs $507,240) favored Ross over mAVR. The average ICER demonstrated that each QALY would cost $95,345 more for mAVR. Sensitivity analysis revealed late annual probabilities of autograft/left ventricular outflow tract disease and homograft/right ventricular outflow tract disease after Ross, and late death after mAVR, to be important ICER determinants. Conclusions: Our modeling suggests that Ross is preferred to mAVR, with superior freedom from valve-related morbidity and mortality, and improved cost-utility for young adults requiring aortic valve surgery.
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BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia and hypoalbuminemia have been identified as independent predictors of increased adverse outcomes, including mortality and readmissions, in hospitalized older adults with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, the impact of coexisting sarcopenia and hypoalbuminemia on morbidity and death in adults with ADHF has not yet been investigated. We aimed to investigate the combined effects of lower muscle mass (LMM) as a surrogate for sarcopenia and hypoalbuminemia on in-hospital and postdischarge outcomes of patients hospitalized for ADHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 385 patients admitted for ADHF between 2017 and 2020 at a single institution were retrospectively identified. Demographic and clinical data were collected, including serum albumin levels at admission and discharge. Skeletal muscle indices were derived from semi-automated segmentation software analysis on axial chest computed tomography at the twelfth vertebral level. Our analysis revealed that patients who had LMM with admission hypoalbuminemia experienced increased diagnoses of infection and delirium with longer hospital length of stay and more frequent discharge to a facility. Upon discharge, 27.9% of patients had higher muscle mass without discharge hypoalbuminemia (reference group), 9.7% had LMM without discharge hypoalbuminemia, 38.4% had higher muscle mass with discharge hypoalbuminemia, and 24.0% had LMM with discharge hypoalbuminemia; mortality rates were 37.6%, 51.4%, 48.9%, and 63.2%, respectively. 1- and 3-year mortality risks were highest in those with LMM and discharge hypoalbuminemia; this relationship remained significant over a median 23.6 (3.1-33.8) months follow-up time despite multivariable adjustments (hazard ratio, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.31-3.16]; P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization with ADHF, LMM, and hypoalbuminemia portend heightened mortality risk.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Hipoalbuminemia , Sarcopenia , Humanos , Idoso , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hipoalbuminemia/complicações , Hipoalbuminemia/epidemiologia , Assistência ao Convalescente , Sarcopenia/diagnóstico , Sarcopenia/diagnóstico por imagem , Alta do Paciente , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , MúsculosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Current practice patterns suggest open rather than minimally invasive (MIS) approaches for thymomas >4 cm. We hypothesized there would be similar perioperative outcomes and overall survival between open and MIS approaches for large (>4 cm) thymoma resection. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was queried for patients who underwent thymectomy from 2010 to 2020. Surgical approach was characterized as either open or MIS. The primary outcome was overall survival and secondary outcomes were margin status, and length of stay (LOS). Differences between approach cohorts were compared after a 1:1 propensity match. RESULTS: Among 4121 thymectomies, 2474 (60%) were open and 1647 (40%) were MIS. Patients undergoing MIS were older, had fewer comorbidities, and had smaller tumors (median; 4.6 vs 6 cm, P < .001). In the unmatched cohort, MIS and open had similar 90-day mortality (1.1% vs 1.8%, P = .158) and rate of positive margin (25.1% vs 27.9%, P = .109). MIS thymectomy was associated with shorter LOS (2 (1-4) vs 4 (3-6) days, P < .001). Propensity matching reduced the bias between the groups. In this cohort, overall survival was similar between the groups by log-rank test (P = .462) and multivariate cox hazard analysis (HR .882, P = .472). Multivariable regression showed shorter LOS with MIS approach (Coef -1.139, P < .001), and similar odds of positive margin (OR 1.130, P = .150). DISCUSSION: MIS has equivalent oncologic benefit to open resection for large thymomas, but is associated with shorter LOS. When clinically appropriate, MIS thymectomy may be considered a safe alternative to open resection for large thymomas.
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Timectomia , Timoma , Neoplasias do Timo , Humanos , Timoma/cirurgia , Timoma/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Timectomia/métodos , Neoplasias do Timo/cirurgia , Neoplasias do Timo/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Timo/patologia , Idoso , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Minimamente Invasivos/métodos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto , Margens de Excisão , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Low muscle mass (LMM) is associated with worse outcomes in various clinical situations. Traditional frailty markers have been used for preoperative risk stratification in patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). However, preoperative imaging provides an opportunity to directly quantify skeletal muscle mass to identify patients at higher risk of procedural complications. We reviewed all TAVR recipients from January to December 2018 and included subjects with preprocedural chest computed tomography. Multi-slice automated measurements of skeletal muscle mass were made from the ninth to twelfth thoracic vertebrae and normalized by height squared to obtain skeletal muscle index (cm2/m2). LMM was defined as the lowest gender-stratified skeletal muscle index tertile. Strength testing was collected during pre-TAVR evaluation. Primary outcome was a composite of perioperative complications, 1-year rehospitalization, or 1-year mortality. In our cohort, 238 patients met inclusion criteria, and 80 (33.6%) were identified to have LMM. Patients with LMM were older with lower body mass index, decreased grip strength, lower hemoglobin A1c, and higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. They had greater rates of the composite outcome and 2-year all-cause mortality, which remained significant on multivariable adjustment (hazard ratio 1.71, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 2.78, p = 0.030 and hazard ratio 2.31, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 5.24, p = 0.045, respectively) compared with patients without LMM; there was no significant difference in 5-year all-cause mortality. In conclusion, LMM was associated with an increase in the primary composite outcome and 2-year all-cause mortality in TAVR recipients. Using automatic muscle processing software on pre-TAVR computed tomography scans may serve as an additional preoperative risk stratification tool.
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Estenose da Valva Aórtica , Substituição da Valva Aórtica Transcateter , Humanos , Substituição da Valva Aórtica Transcateter/métodos , Resultado do Tratamento , Estenose da Valva Aórtica/complicações , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Músculo Esquelético/diagnóstico por imagem , Valva Aórtica/cirurgia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether discriminatory performance of a computational risk model in classifying pulmonary lesion malignancy using demographic, radiographic, and clinical characteristics is superior to the opinion of experienced providers. We hypothesized that computational risk models would outperform providers. METHODS: Outcome of malignancy was obtained from selected patients enrolled in the NAVIGATE trial (NCT02410837). Five predictive risk models were developed using an 80:20 train-test split: univariable logistic regression model based solely on provider opinion, multivariable logistic regression model, random forest classifier, extreme gradient boosting model, and artificial neural network. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve achieved during testing of the predictive models was compared to that of prebiopsy provider opinion baseline using the DeLong test with 10,000 bootstrapped iterations. RESULTS: The cohort included 984 patients, 735 (74.7%) of which were diagnosed with malignancy. Factors associated with malignancy from multivariable logistic regression included age, history of cancer, largest lesion size, lung zone, and positron-emission tomography positivity. Testing area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.830 for provider opinion baseline, 0.770 for provider opinion univariable logistic regression, 0.659 for multivariable logistic regression model, 0.743 for random forest classifier, 0.740 for extreme gradient boosting, and 0.679 for artificial neural network. Provider opinion baseline was determined to be the best predictive classification system. CONCLUSIONS: Computational models predicting malignancy of pulmonary lesions using clinical, demographic, and radiographic characteristics are inferior to provider opinion. This study questions the ability of these models to provide additional insight into patient care. Expert clinician evaluation of pulmonary lesion malignancy is paramount.