RESUMO
PURPOSE: Predicting the risk of early distant brain failure (DBF) is in demand for management decisions in patients who are candidates for local treatment of brain metastases. This study aimed to analyze the association between circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and brain disease control after stereotactic radiation therapy/radiosurgery (SRT) for breast cancer brain metastasis (BCBM). METHODS AND MATERIALS: We prospectively assessed CTCs before (CTC1) and 4 to 5 weeks after (CTC2) SRT and their relationship with the number of new lesions (NL) suggestive of BCBM before SRT. CTC were quantified and analyzed by immunocytochemistry to evaluate the expression of the proteins COX2, EGFR, ST6GALNAC5, NOTCH1, and HER2. Distant brain failure-free survival (DBFFS), the primary endpoint, diffuse DBFFS (D-DBFFS), and overall survival were estimated. Analysis for DBF within 6 months, with death as competing risk, was performed. RESULTS: Patients were included between 2016 and 2018. CTCs were detected in all 39 patients before and in 34 of 35 patients after SRT. After median follow-up of 16.6 months, median DBFFS, D-DBFFS, and overall survival were 15.3, 14.1, and 19.5 months, respectively. DBF at 6 months was 40% with CTC1 ≤0.5 and 8.82% with CTC1 >0.5 CTC/mL (P = .007), and D-DBF at 6 months was 40% with CTC1 ≤0.5 and 0 with CTC1 >0.5 CTC/mL (P = .005) and 25% with NL/CTC1 >6.8 and 2.65% with NL/CTC1 ≤6.8 (P = .063). On multivariate analysis, DBFFS was inferior with CTC1 ≤0.5 (hazard ratio, 8.27; 95% confidence interval, 2.12-32.3; P = .002), and D-DBFFS was inferior with CTC1 ≤0.5 (hazard ratio, 10.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.99-52.41; P = .005). Protein expression was not associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that CTC1 and NL/CTC1 may have a role as a biomarker of early diffuse DBF and as a subsequent guide between focal or whole-brain radiation therapy in patients with BCBM.