Ultra-processed food consumption and risk of diabetes: results from a population-based prospective cohort.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Understanding the impact of the overall construct of ultra-processed foods on diabetes risk can inform dietary approaches to diabetes prevention. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the association between ultra-processed food consumption and risk of diabetes in a community-based cohort of middle-aged adults in the USA. We hypothesised that a higher intake of ultra-processed foods is associated with a higher risk of incident diabetes. METHODS: The study included 13,172 participants without diabetes at baseline (1987-1989) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Dietary intake was assessed with a 66-item semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire, and foods were categorised by processing level using the Nova classification system. Ultra-processed food was analysed categorically (quartiles of energy-adjusted intake) and continuously (per one additional serving/day). We used Cox regression to evaluate the association of ultra-processed food intake with risk of diabetes with adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, total energy intake, health behaviours and clinical factors. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 21 years, there were 4539 cases of incident diabetes. Participants in the highest quartile of ultra-processed food intake (8.4 servings/day on average) had a significantly higher risk of diabetes (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.03, 1.23) compared with participants in the lowest quartile of intake after adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and clinical factors. Each additional serving of ultra-processed food consumed daily was associated with a 2% higher risk of diabetes (HR 1.02; 95% CI 1.00, 1.04). Highest quartile consumption of certain ultra-processed food groups, including sugar- and artificially sweetened beverages, ultra-processed meats and sugary snacks, was associated with a 29%, 21% and 16% higher risk of diabetes, respectively, compared with the lowest quartile. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We found that a higher intake of ultra-processed food was associated with higher risk of incident diabetes, particularly sugar- and artificially sweetened beverages, ultra-processed meats and sugary snacks. Our findings suggest interventions reducing ultra-processed food consumption and specific food groups may be an effective strategy for diabetes prevention.

Myocardial Injury Thresholds for 4 High-Sensitivity Troponin Assays in a Population-Based Sample of US Children and Adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial injury is an important pediatric diagnosis. Establishing normative data from a representative pediatric sample is vital to provide accurate upper reference limits (URLs) for defining myocardial injury using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin. METHODS: Among participants 1 to 18 years of age in the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we measured high-sensitivity troponin T using one assay (Roche) and high-sensitivity troponin I using 3 assays (Abbott, Siemens, and Ortho). In a strictly defined healthy subgroup, we estimated 97.5th and 99th percentile URLs for each assay using the recommended nonparametric method. RESULTS: Of 5695 pediatric participants, 4029 met criteria for the healthy subgroup (50% males; mean age 12.6 years). Our 99th percentile URL estimates for all 4 high-sensitivity troponin assays among children and adolescents were lower than the manufacturer-reported URLs (derived from adults). The 99th percentile URLs (95% CI) were 15 ng/L (95% CI, 12-17) for high-sensitivity troponin T, 16 ng/L (95% CI, 12-19) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Abbott assay, 38 ng/L (95% CI, 25-46) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Siemens assay, and 7 ng/L (95% CI, 5, 12) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Ortho assay. The 95% CIs for age-, sex-, and race and ethnicity-specific 99th percentile URLs overlapped. However, the 97.5th percentile URL for each assay was measured with superior statistical precision (ie, tighter 95% CIs) and demonstrated differences by sex. For male compared with female children and adolescents, 97.5th percentile URLs were 11 ng/L (95% CI, 10-12) versus 6 ng/L (95% CI, 6-7) for high-sensitivity troponin T, 9 ng/L (95% CI, 7-10) versus 5 ng/L (95% CI, 4-6) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Abbott assay, 21 ng/L (95% CI, 18-25) versus 11 ng/L (95% CI, 9-13) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Siemens assay, and 4 ng/L (95% CI, 3-5) versus 2 ng/L (95% CI, 1-3) for high-sensitivity troponin I with the Ortho assay. In contrast to the 99th percentiles, the point estimates of 97.5th percentile pediatric URLs for high-sensitivity troponin were also much more stable to differences in the analytic approaches taken to estimate URLs. CONCLUSIONS: Because myocardial infarction is rare in children and adolescents, the use of statistically more precise and reliable sex-specific 97.5th percentile high-sensitivity troponin URLs might be considered to define pediatric myocardial injury.

Trends in Diabetes Treatment and Control in U.S. Adults, 1999-2018.

BACKGROUND: Documenting current trends in diabetes treatment and risk-factor control may inform public health policy and planning. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of data from adults with diabetes in the United States participating in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) to assess national trends in diabetes treatment and risk-factor control from 1999 through 2018. RESULTS: Diabetes control improved from 1999 to the early 2010s among the participants but subsequently stalled and declined. Between the 2007-2010 period and the 2015-2018 period, the percentage of adult NHANES participants with diabetes in whom glycemic control (glycated hemoglobin level, <7%) was achieved declined from 57.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.9 to 61.8) to 50.5% (95% CI, 45.8 to 55.3). After major improvements in lipid control (non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, <130 mg per deciliter) in the early 2000s, minimal improvement was seen from 2007-2010 (52.3%; 95% CI, 49.2 to 55.3) to 2015-2018 (55.7%; 95% CI, 50.8 to 60.5). From 2011-2014 to 2015-2018, the percentage of participants in whom blood-pressure control (<140/90 mm Hg) was achieved decreased from 74.2% (95% CI, 70.7 to 77.4) to 70.4% (95% CI, 66.7 to 73.8). The percentage of participants in whom all three targets were simultaneously achieved plateaued after 2010 and was 22.2% (95% CI, 17.9 to 27.3) in 2015-2018. The percentages of participants who used any glucose-lowering medication or any blood-pressure-lowering medication were unchanged after 2010, and the percentage who used statins plateaued after 2014. After 2010, the use of combination therapy declined in participants with uncontrolled blood pressure and plateaued for those with poor glycemic control. CONCLUSIONS: After more than a decade of progress from 1999 to the early 2010s, glycemic and blood-pressure control declined in adult NHANES participants with diabetes, while lipid control leveled off. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.).

New Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based Equations to Estimate GFR without Race.

BACKGROUND: Current equations for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) that use serum creatinine or cystatin C incorporate age, sex, and race to estimate measured GFR. However, race in eGFR equations is a social and not a biologic construct. METHODS: We developed new eGFR equations without race using data from two development data sets: 10 studies (8254 participants, 31.5% Black) for serum creatinine and 13 studies (5352 participants, 39.7% Black) for both serum creatinine and cystatin C. In a validation data set of 12 studies (4050 participants, 14.3% Black), we compared the accuracy of new eGFR equations to measured GFR. We projected the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and GFR stages in a sample of U.S. adults, using current and new equations. RESULTS: In the validation data set, the current creatinine equation that uses age, sex, and race overestimated measured GFR in Blacks (median, 3.7 ml per minute per 1.73 m2 of body-surface area; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8 to 5.4) and to a lesser degree in non-Blacks (median, 0.5 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 0.0 to 0.9). When the adjustment for Black race was omitted from the current eGFR equation, measured GFR in Blacks was underestimated (median, 7.1 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 5.9 to 8.8). A new equation using age and sex and omitting race underestimated measured GFR in Blacks (median, 3.6 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 1.8 to 5.5) and overestimated measured GFR in non-Blacks (median, 3.9 ml per minute per 1.73 m2; 95% CI, 3.4 to 4.4). For all equations, 85% or more of the eGFRs for Blacks and non-Blacks were within 30% of measured GFR. New creatinine-cystatin C equations without race were more accurate than new creatinine equations, with smaller differences between race groups. As compared with the current creatinine equation, the new creatinine equations, but not the new creatinine-cystatin C equations, increased population estimates of CKD prevalence among Blacks and yielded similar or lower prevalence among non-Blacks. CONCLUSIONS: New eGFR equations that incorporate creatinine and cystatin C but omit race are more accurate and led to smaller differences between Black participants and non-Black participants than new equations without race with either creatinine or cystatin C alone. (Funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.).

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and the risk of atrial fibrillation in adults with diabetes: a real-world study.

BACKGROUND: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) have cardiovascular benefits in type 2 diabetes, but none of the cardiovascular trials studied atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF) as a primary endpoint. Data from post-marketing surveillance studies remains sparse. OBJECTIVE: To examine the real-world risk of AF comparing GLP-1RA with other non-insulin glucose-lowering agents. DESIGN: Cohort study using de-identified electronic health record data from the Optum Labs Data Warehouse. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients with diabetes who were newly prescribed add-on non-insulin glucose-lowering agents and were on metformin between 2005-2020. EXPOSURES: New users of GLP-1RA were separately compared with new users of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), using 1:1 propensity score matching to adjust for differences in patient characteristics. MAIN MEASURES: The primary outcome was incident AF, defined and captured by diagnosis code for AF. Incidence rate difference (IRD) and hazard ratio (HR) were estimated in the matched cohorts. KEY RESULTS: In the matched cohort of 14,566 pairs of GLP-1RA and DPP4i followed for a median of 3.8 years, GLP-1RA use was associated with a lower risk of AF (IRD, -1.0; 95% CI, -1.8 to -0.2 per 1000 person-years; HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.96). In the matched cohort of 9,424 pairs of patients on GLP-1RA and SGLT2i with a median follow-up of 2.9 years, there was no difference in the risk for AF (IRD, 0.4; 95% CI -0.7 to 1.5 per 1000 person-years; HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.89 to 1.42). CONCLUSIONS: In this real-word study, GLP-1RA was associated with a lower risk of AF compared with DPP4i, but no difference compared with SGLT2i, suggesting that cardiovascular benefits of GLP-1RA use may extend to prevention for AF in patients with diabetes. Our findings call for future randomized controlled trials to focus on the effects of GLP-1RA on AF prevention.

Self-Rated Health in Middle Age and Risk of Hospitalizations and Death: Recurrent Event Analysis of the ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Self-rated health is a simple measure that may identify individuals who are at a higher risk for hospitalization or death. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the association between a single measure of self-rated health and future risk of recurrent hospitalizations or death. PARTICIPANTS: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a community-based prospective cohort study of middle-aged men and women with follow-up beginning from 1987 to 1989. MAIN MEASURES: We quantified the associations between initial self-rated health with risk of recurrent hospitalizations and of death using a recurrent events survival model that allowed for dependency between the rates of hospitalization and hazards of death, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors. KEY RESULTS: Of the 14,937 ARIC cohort individuals with available self-rated health and covariate information, 34% of individuals reported "excellent" health, 47% "good," 16% "fair," and 3% "poor" at study baseline. After a median follow-up of 27.7 years, 1955 (39%), 3569 (51%), 1626 (67%), and 402 (83%) individuals with "excellent," "good," "fair," and "poor" health, respectively, had died. After adjusting for demographic factors and medical history, a less favorable self-rated health status was associated with increased rates of hospitalization and death. As compared to those reporting "excellent" health, adults with "good," "fair," and "poor" health had 1.22 (1.07 to 1.40), 2.01 (1.63 to 2.47), and 3.13 (2.39 to 4.09) times the rate of hospitalizations, respectively. The hazards of death also increased with worsening categories of self-rated health, with "good," "fair," and "poor" health individuals experiencing 1.30 (1.12 to 1.51), 2.15 (1.71 to 2.69), and 3.40 (2.54 to 4.56) times the hazard of death compared to "excellent," respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Even after adjusting for demographic and clinical factors, having a less favorable response on a single measure of self-rated health taken in middle age is a potent marker of future hospitalizations and death.

Associations of Cardiac Biomarkers With Peripheral Artery Disease and Peripheral Neuropathy in US Adults Without Prevalent Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-troponin T), and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-troponin I) are increasingly being recommended for risk stratification for a variety of cardiovascular outcomes. The aims of our study were to establish the prevalence and associations of elevated NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I with lower extremity disease, including peripheral artery disease (PAD) and peripheral neuropathy (PN), in the US general adult population without known cardiovascular disease. We also assessed whether the combination of PAD or PN and elevated cardiac biomarkers was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the associations of NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I with PAD (based on ankle-brachial index <0.90) and PN (diagnosed by monofilament testing) in adult participants aged ≥40 years of age without prevalent cardiovascular disease in NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) 1999 to 2004. We calculated the prevalence of elevated cardiac biomarkers among adults with PAD and PN and used multivariable logistic regression to assess the associations of each cardiac biomarker, modeled using clinical cut points, with PAD and PN separately. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to assess the adjusted associations of cross categories of clinical categories of each cardiac biomarker and PAD or PN with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: In US adults aged ≥40 years, the prevalence (±SE) of PAD was 4.1±0.2% and the prevalence of PN was 12.0±0.5%. The prevalence of elevated NT-proBNP (≥125 ng/L), hs-troponin T (≥6 ng/L), and hs-troponin I (≥6 ng/L for men and ≥4 ng/L for women) was 54.0±3.4%, 73.9±3.5%, and 32.3±3.7%, respectively, among adults with PAD and 32.9±1.9%, 72.8±2.0%, and 22.7±1.9%, respectively, among adults with PN. There was a strong, graded association of higher clinical categories of NT-proBNP with PAD after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Clinical categories of elevated hs-troponin T and hs-troponin I were strongly associated with PN in adjusted models. After a maximum follow-up of 21 years, elevated NT-proBNP, hs-troponin T, and hs-troponin I were each associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, with higher risks of death observed among adults with elevated cardiac biomarkers plus PAD or PN compared with elevated biomarkers alone. CONCLUSIONS: Our study establishes a high burden of subclinical cardiovascular disease defined by cardiac biomarkers in people with PAD or PN. Cardiac biomarkers provided prognostic information for mortality within and across PAD and PN status, supporting the use of these biomarkers for risk stratification among adults without prevalent cardiovascular disease.

Association of diabetes and glycemic control with left atrial function: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although glycemic status is associated with impaired cardiac structure and function, less is known on left atrial (LA) function across the glycemic spectrum. We evaluated the association of diabetes and glycemic control with LA function in a community-based cohort of older adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: This cross-sectional analysis included 5075 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (mean age 75.5 years, 58 % women, and 20 % Black adults) with echocardiographic strain data for LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile function. Multivariable linear regression was used to assess associations of diabetes status and glycemic control with LA function. In participants without diabetes, we used ordinal linear regression to evaluate associations of fasting glucose and HbA1c with LA function. Compared to individuals with a normal fasting glucose, prevalent diabetes was associated with 0.68 % lower LA conduit function (95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.11 to -0.25) and prediabetes a 0.47 % reduction (95 % CI: 0.85 to -0.09) in fully adjusted analyses. Persons with diabetes and high HbA1c (HgbA1c ≥ 7 % vs <7 %) had 1.05 % lower LA conduit function (95 % CI: 1.63, -0.48). Among individuals without diagnosed diabetes, higher fasting glucose, but not HbA1c, was significantly associated with worse LA conduit function. No significant associations were observed for LA reservoir and contractile function. CONCLUSIONS: A history of diabetes, prediabetes, and higher fasting glucose levels in persons without diabetes were associated with worse LA conduit function. Corroborative research is needed in prospective cohorts as well as studies that explore underlying mechanisms.

A Novel Creatinine Muscle Index Based on Creatinine Filtration: Associations with Frailty and Mortality.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Low muscle mass is related to frailty and increased mortality in older adults. However, muscle mass is not easily assessed in routine clinical practice. This paper describes a novel creatinine muscle index (CMI) on the basis of serum creatinine and cystatin C. CMI was moderately associated with frailty among older adults. A significantly higher proportion of individuals with weak grip strength were in the lowest tertile of CMI. The index was also associated with mortality. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that creatinine filtration may be an index of muscle mass, which may have utility in clinical practice. BACKGROUND: Low muscle mass is related to frailty and increased mortality in older adults. However, muscle mass is not easily assessed in routine clinical practice. METHODS: This study describes a novel creatinine muscle index (CMI) on the basis of serum creatinine and cystatin C in a community-based sample of older adults from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Analyses included 4639 participants who attended visit 5 (2011-2013) and 12,786 participants who attended visit 2 (1990-1992). CMI was defined as creatinine filtration (the product of serum creatinine times eGFR on the basis of cystatin C) and was analyzed in sex-specific tertiles. Cross-sectional associations of CMI with a frailty trichotomy, defined by the number (robust [0]/prefrail [1-2]/frail [3-5]) of five frailty components (weight loss, slowness, exhaustion, weakness, and low physical activity), were studied using polychotomous logistic regression and binary logistic regression with each frailty component. Cox regression was used to estimate associations of CMI at visit 5 and visit 2 with mortality. Models were adjusted for demographics, clinical variables, and comorbid conditions. RESULTS: CMI (tertile 1 versus 3) was moderately associated with frailty (visit 5: adjusted odds ratio 4.23 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.02 to 8.87] in men and 2.34 [95% CI, 1.41 to 3.89] in women) and with mortality (visit 5: adjusted hazard ratio 1.45 [95% CI, 1.08 to 1.94] in men and 1.55 [95% CI, 1.13 to 2.12] in women; similar results were seen at visit 2). CONCLUSION: Lower CMI was associated with frailty and increased mortality, two clinical outcomes known to be associated with decreased muscle mass. Creatinine filtration may be an index of muscle mass and have utility in clinical practice, particularly at low levels.

High-sensitivity troponins and mortality in the general population.

AIMS: Cardiac troponin T and I can be measured using a number of high-sensitivity (hs) assays. This study aimed to characterize correlations between four such assays and test their comparative associations with mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among adults without cardiovascular disease in the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, hs-troponin T was measured using one assay (Roche) and hs-troponin I using three assays (Abbott, Siemens, and Ortho). Cox regression was used to estimate associations with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Pearson's correlation coefficients comparing concentrations from each assay ranged from 0.53 to 0.77. There were 2188 deaths (488 cardiovascular) among 9810 participants. Each hs-troponin assay [log-transformed, per 1 standard deviation (SD)] was independently associated with all-cause mortality: hazard ratio (HR) 1.20 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.28] for Abbott hs-troponin I; HR 1.10 (95% CI 1.02-1.18) for Siemens hs-troponin I; HR 1.23 (95% CI 1.14-1.33) for Ortho hs-troponin I; and HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.21-1.42) for Roche hs-troponin T. Each hs-troponin assay was also independently associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.44 to 1.65 per 1 SD). Associations of hs-troponin T and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality remained significant after adjusting for hs-troponin I. Furthermore, associations of hs-troponin I remained significant after mutually adjusting for hs-troponin I from the other individual assays: e.g. cardiovascular mortality HR 1.46 (95% CI 1.19-1.79) for Abbott after adjustment for the Siemens assay and HR 1.29 (95% CI 1.09-1.53) for Abbott after adjustment for the Ortho assay. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates only modest correlations between hs-troponin T and three hs-troponin I assays and that hs-troponin I assays can provide distinct risk information for mortality in the general population.

Liver integrity and the risk of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias.

INTRODUCTION: We examined midlife (1990-1992, mean age 57) and late-life (2011-2013, mean age 75) nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and aminotransferase with incident dementia risk through 2019 in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. METHODS: We characterized NAFLD using the fatty liver index and fibrosis-4, and we categorized aminotransferase using the optimal equal-hazard ratio (HR) approach. We estimated HRs for incident dementia ascertained from multiple data sources. RESULTS: Adjusted for demographics, alcohol consumption, and kidney function, individuals with low, intermediate, and high liver fibrosis in midlife (HRs: 1.45, 1.40, and 2.25, respectively), but not at older age, had higher dementia risks than individuals without fatty liver. A U-shaped association was observed for alanine aminotransferase with dementia risk, which was more pronounced in late-life assessment. DISCUSSION: Our findings highlight dementia burden in high-prevalent NAFLD and the important feature of late-life aminotransaminase as a surrogate biomarker linking liver hypometabolism to dementia. Highlights Although evidence of liver involvement in dementia development has been documented in animal studies, the evidence in humans is limited. Midlife NAFLD raised dementia risk proportionate to severity. Late-life NAFLD was not associated with a high risk of dementia. Low alanine aminotransferase was associated with an elevated dementia risk, especially when measured in late life.

Proteomic analysis of diabetes genetic risk scores identifies complement C2 and neuropilin-2 as predictors of type 2 diabetes: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Genetic predisposition to type 2 diabetes is well-established, and genetic risk scores (GRS) have been developed that capture heritable liabilities for type 2 diabetes phenotypes. However, the proteins through which these genetic variants influence risk have not been thoroughly investigated. This study aimed to identify proteins and pathways through which type 2 diabetes risk variants may influence pathophysiology. METHODS: Using a proteomics data-driven approach in a discovery sample of 7241 White participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) cohort and a replication sample of 1674 Black ARIC participants, we interrogated plasma levels of 4870 proteins and four GRS of specific type 2 diabetes phenotypes related to beta cell function, insulin resistance, lipodystrophy, BMI/blood lipid abnormalities and a composite score of all variants combined. RESULTS: Twenty-two plasma proteins were identified in White participants after Bonferroni correction. Of the 22 protein-GRS associations that were statistically significant, 10 were replicated in Black participants and all but one were directionally consistent. In a secondary analysis, 18 of the 22 proteins were found to be associated with prevalent type 2 diabetes and ten proteins were associated with incident type 2 diabetes. Two-sample Mendelian randomisation indicated that complement C2 may be causally related to greater type 2 diabetes risk (inverse variance weighted estimate: OR 1.65 per SD; p=7.0 × 10-3), while neuropilin-2 was inversely associated (OR 0.44 per SD; p=8.0 × 10-3). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Identified proteins may represent viable intervention or pharmacological targets to prevent, reverse or slow type 2 diabetes progression, and further research is needed to pursue these targets.

Prediabetes, intervening diabetes and subsequent risk of dementia: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this work was to evaluate whether the association of prediabetes with dementia is explained by the intervening onset of diabetes. METHODS: Among participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study we defined baseline prediabetes as HbA1c 39-46 mmol/mol (5.7-6.4%) and subsequent incident diabetes as a self-reported physician diagnosis or use of diabetes medication. Incident dementia was ascertained via active surveillance and adjudicated. We quantified the association of prediabetes with dementia risk before and after accounting for the subsequent development of diabetes among ARIC participants without diabetes at baseline (1990-1992; participants aged 46-70 years). We also evaluated whether age at diabetes diagnosis modified the risk of dementia. RESULTS: Among 11,656 participants without diabetes at baseline, 2330 (20.0%) had prediabetes. Before accounting for incident diabetes, prediabetes was significantly associated with the risk of dementia (HR 1.12 [95% CI 1.01, 1.24]). After accounting for incident diabetes, the association was attenuated and non-significant (HR 1.05 [95% CI 0.94, 1.16]). Earlier age of onset of diabetes had the strongest association with dementia: HR 2.92 (95% CI 2.06, 4.14) for onset before 60 years; HR 1.73 (95% CI 1.47, 2.04) for onset at 60-69 years; and HR 1.23 (95% CI 1.08, 1.40) for onset at 70-79 years. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Prediabetes is associated with dementia risk but this risk is explained by the subsequent development of diabetes. Earlier age of onset of diabetes substantially increases dementia risk. Preventing or delaying progression of prediabetes to diabetes will reduce dementia burden.

Peripheral Neuropathy and Vision and Hearing Impairment in US Adults With and Without Diabetes.

We aimed to assess the associations of peripheral neuropathy (PN) with vision and hearing impairment among adults aged ≥40 years who attended the lower-extremity disease exam for the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (United States, 1999-2004). Overall, 11.8% (standard error (SE), 0.5) of adults had diabetes, 13.2% (SE, 0.5) had PN (26.6% (SE, 1.4) with diabetes, 11.4% (SE, 0.5) without diabetes), 1.6% (SE, 0.1) had vision impairment, and 15.4% (SE, 1.1) had hearing impairment. The prevalence of vision impairment was 3.89% (95% CI: 2.99, 5.05) among adults with PN and 1.29% (95% CI: 1.04, 1.60) among adults without PN (P < 0.001). After adjustment, PN was associated with vision impairment overall (odds ratio (OR) = 1.48, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 2.13) and among adults without diabetes (OR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.17, 2.77) but not among adults with diabetes (P for interaction = 0.018). The prevalence of hearing impairment was 26.5% (95% CI: 20.4, 33.7) among adults with PN and 14.2% (95% CI: 12.4, 16.3) among adults without PN (P < 0.001). The association of PN with moderate/severe hearing impairment was significant overall (OR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.40, 4.64) and among adults without diabetes (OR = 3.26, 95% CI: 1.80, 5.91). Overall, these findings suggest an association between peripheral and audiovisual sensory impairment that is unrelated to diabetes.

Associations of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and mortality in US adults.

BACKGROUND: NT-proBNP is an important predictor of mortality but is inversely related to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Whether the prognostic value of NT-proBNP is similar at different levels of kidney function is unknown. AIMS: We evaluated the association of NT-proBNP with eGFR and its implications for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk in the general population. METHODS: We included adults without prior cardiovascular disease from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999 to 2004. We used linear regression to characterize the cross-sectional associations of NT-proBNP with eGFR. We used Cox regression to assess the prospective associations of NT-proBNP with mortality across categories of eGFR. RESULTS: Among 11,456 participants (mean age 43 years, 48% female, 71% White, 11% Black), there was an inverse association between NT-proBNP and eGFR, which was stronger in those with more impaired kidney function. Per 15-unit decrease in eGFR, NT-proBNP was 4.3-fold higher for eGFR<30; 1.7-fold higher for eGFR 30 to 60, 1.4-fold higher for eGFR 61 to 90, 1.1-fold higher for eGFR 91 to 120 mL/min/1.73 m2. Over a median 17.6 years of follow-up, 2,275 deaths (622 cardiovascular) occurred. Higher NT-proBNP was associated with higher all-cause (HR per doubling of NT-proBNP: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.16-1.25) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.25-1.44). Associations were similar across eGFR categories (P-interaction >.10). Adults with NT-proBNP≥450 pg/mL and eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73m2 had 3.4-fold higher all-cause mortality and 5.5-fold higher cardiovascular mortality risk, compared to those with NT-proBNP<125 pg/mL and eGFR>90 mL/min/1.73m2. CONCLUSION: Despite its strong inverse association with eGFR, NT-proBNP has robust associations with mortality across the full range of kidney function in the general US adult population.

Performance of the Glucose Management Indicator (GMI) in Type 2 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The glucose management indicator (GMI) is an estimated measure of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) recommended for the management of persons with diabetes using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). However, GMI was derived primarily in young adults with type 1 diabetes, and its performance in patients with type 2 diabetes is poorly characterized. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in 144 adults with obstructive sleep apnea and type 2 diabetes not using insulin (mean age: 59.4 years; 45.1% female). HbA1c was measured at the study screening visit. Participants simultaneously wore 2 CGM sensors (Dexcom G4 and Abbott Libre Pro) for up to 4 weeks (2 weeks at baseline and 2 weeks at the 3-month follow-up visit). GMI was calculated using all available CGM data for each sensor. RESULTS: Median wear time was 27 days (IQR: 23-29) for the Dexcom G4 and 28 days (IQR: 24-29) for the Libre Pro. The mean difference between HbA1c and GMI was small (0.12-0.14 percentage points) (approximately 2 mmol/mol). However, the 2 measures were only moderately correlated (r = 0.68-0.71), and there was substantial variability in GMI at any given value of HbA1c (root mean squared error: 0.66-0.69 percentage points [7 to 8 mmol/mol]). Between 36% and 43% of participants had an absolute difference between HbA1c and GMI ≥0.5 percentage points (≥5 mmol/mol), and 9% to 18% had an absolute difference >1 percentage points (>11 mmol/mol). Discordance was higher in the Libre Pro than the Dexcom G4. CONCLUSIONS: GMI may be an unreliable measure of glycemic control for patients with type 2 diabetes and should be interpreted cautiously in clinical practice.Clinicaltrials.gov Registration Number: NCT02454153.

Body Composition Measures and N-terminal pro-B-type Natriuretic Peptide (NT-pro-BNP) in US Adults.

BACKGROUND: The associations of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) with dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA)-derived measures of body mass and composition are largely unknown. METHODS: We included participants aged ≥20 years from the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with NT-pro-BNP and DEXA-derived body composition (fat and lean mass) measures. We used linear and logistic regression to characterize the associations of measures of body mass and composition (body mass index [BMI], waist circumference [WC], fat mass, and lean mass) with NT-pro-BNP, adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: We conducted sex-specific analyses among 9134 adults without cardiovascular disease (mean age 44.4 years, 50.8% women, and 72% White adults). The adjusted mean NT-proBNP values were lowest in the highest quartiles of BMI, WC, fat mass, and lean mass. There were large adjusted absolute differences in NT-pro-BNP between the highest and lowest quartiles of DEXA-derived lean mass, -6.26 pg/mL (95% confidence interval [CI], -8.99 to -3.52) among men and -22.96 pg/mL (95% CI, -26.83 to -19.09) among women. Lean mass exhibited a strong inverse association with elevated NT-pro-BNP ≥ 81.4 pg/mL (highest quartile) - odds ratio (OR) 0.58 (95% CI, 0.39-0.86) in men and OR 0.59 (95% CI, 0.47-0.73) in women for highest lean mass quartile vs. lowest quartile. Further adjustment for fat mass, BMI, or WC did not appreciably alter the inverse association of lean mass with NT-pro-BNP. CONCLUSIONS: In a national sample of US adults, lean mass was inversely associated with NT-pro-BNP.

Within-Person and Between-Sensor Variability in Continuous Glucose Monitoring Metrics.

BACKGROUND: The within-person and between-sensor variability of metrics from different interstitial continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) sensors in adults with type 2 diabetes not taking insulin is unclear. METHODS: Secondary analysis of data from 172 participants from the Hyperglycemic Profiles in Obstructive Sleep Apnea randomized clinical trial. Participants simultaneously wore Dexcom G4 and Abbott Libre Pro CGM sensors for up to 2 weeks at baseline and again at the 3-month follow-up visit. RESULTS: At baseline (up to 2 weeks of CGM), mean glucose for both the Abbott and Dexcom sensors was approximately 150 mg/dL (8.3 mmol/L) and time in range (70180 mg/dL [3.910.0 mmol/L]) was just below 80. When comparing the same sensor at 2 different time points (two 2-week periods, 3 months apart), the within-person coefficient of variation (CVw) in mean glucose was 17.4 (Abbott) and 14.2 (Dexcom). CVw for percent time in range: 20.1 (Abbott) and 18.6 (Dexcom). At baseline, the Pearson correlation of mean glucose from the 2 sensors worn simultaneously was r 0.86, root mean squared error (RMSE), 13 mg/dL (0.7 mmol/L); for time in range, r 0.88, RMSE, 8 percentage points. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial variation was observed within sensors over time and across 2 different sensors worn simultaneously on the same individuals. Clinicians should be aware of this variability when using CGM technology to make clinical decisions.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02454153.

Comparison of Proteomic Measurements Across Platforms in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: The plasma proteome can be quantified using different types of highly multiplexed technologies, including aptamer-based and proximity-extension immunoassay methods. There has been limited characterization of how these protein measurements correlate across platforms and with absolute measures from targeted immunoassays. METHODS: We assessed the comparability of (a) highly multiplexed aptamer-based (SomaScan v4; Somalogic) and proximity-extension immunoassay (OLINK Proseek® v5003; Olink) methods in 427 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants (Visit 5, 2011-2013), and (b) 18 of the SomaScan protein measurements against targeted immunoassays in 110 participants (55 cardiovascular disease cases, 55 controls). We calculated Spearman correlations (r) between the different measurements and compared associations with case-control status. RESULTS: There were 417 protein comparisons (366 unique proteins) between the SomaScan and Olink platforms. The average correlation was r = 0.46 (range: -0.21 to 0.97; 79 [19%] with r ≥ 0.8). For the comparison of SomaScan and targeted immunoassays, 6 of 18 assays (growth differentiation factor 15 [GDF15], interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 [ST2], interstitial collagenase [MMP1], adiponectin, leptin, and resistin) had good correlations (r ≥ 0.8), 2 had modest correlations (0.5 ≤ r < 0.8; osteopontin and interleukin-6 [IL6]), and 10 were poorly correlated (r < 0.5; metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 [TIMP1], stromelysin-1 [MMP3], matrilysin [MMP7], C-C motif chemokine 2 [MCP1], interleukin-10 [IL10], vascular cell adhesion protein 1 [VCAM1], intercellular adhesion molecule 1 [ICAM1], interleukin-18 [IL18], tumor necrosis factor [TNFα], and visfatin) overall. Correlations for SomaScan and targeted immunoassays were similar according to case status. CONCLUSIONS: There is variation in the quantitative measurements for many proteins across aptamer-based and proximity-extension immunoassays (approximately 1/2 showing good or modest correlation and approximately 1/2 poor correlation) and also for correlations of these highly multiplexed technologies with targeted immunoassays. Design and interpretation of protein quantification studies should be informed by the variation across measurement techniques for each protein.

Long-term Visit-to-Visit Variability in Hemoglobin A1c and Kidney-Related Outcomes in Persons With Diabetes.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: To characterize associations between long-term visit-to-visit variability of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and risk of adverse kidney outcomes in patients with diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: Observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 93,598 adults with diabetes undergoing routine care in Stockholm, Sweden. EXPOSURES AND PREDICTORS: Categories of baseline and time-varying HbA1c variability score (HVS, the percentage of total HbA1c measures that vary by>0.5% [5.5mmol/mol] during a 3-year window): 0-20%, 21%-40%, 41%-60%, 61%-80%, and 81%-100%, with 0-20% as the reference group. OUTCOME: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression (composite of>50% estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decline and kidney failure), acute kidney disease (AKI by clinical diagnosis or transient creatinine elevations according to KDIGO criteria), and worsening of albuminuria. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Compared with persons showing low HbA1c variability (HVS 0-20%), any increase in variability was associated with a higher risk of adverse kidney outcomes beyond mean HbA1c. For example, for patients with a baseline HbA1c variability of 81%-100%, the adjusted HR was 1.6 (95% CI, 1.47-1.74) for CKD progression, 1.23 [1.16-1.3] for AKI, and 1.28 [1.21-1.36] for worsening of albuminuria. The results were consistent across subgroups (diabetes subtypes, baseline eGFR, or albuminuria categories), in time-varying analyses and in sensitivity analyses including time-weighted average HbA1c or alternative metrics of variability. LIMITATIONS: Observational study, limitations of claims data, lack of information on diet, body mass index, medication changes, and diabetes duration. CONCLUSIONS: Higher long-term visit-to-visit HbA1c variability is consistently associated with the risks of CKD progression, AKI, and worsening of albuminuria. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The evidence for current guideline recommendations derives from clinical trials that focus on a single HbA1c as the definitive measure of efficacy of an intervention. However, long-term visit-to-visit fluctuations of HbA1c may provide additional value in the prediction of future kidney complications. We evaluated the long-term fluctuations in glycemic control in almost 100,000 persons with diabetes undergoing routine care in Stockholm, Sweden. We observed that higher long-term HbA1c fluctuation is consistently associated with the risks of chronic kidney disease progression, worsening of albuminuria and acute kidney injury. This finding supports a role for long-term glycemic variability in the development of kidney complications and illustrates the potential usefulness of this metric for risk stratification at the bedside beyond a single HbA1c test.