A simple nomogram to predict dengue shock syndrome: A study of 4522 south east Asian children.

Dengue shock syndrome (DSS) substantially worsens the prognosis of children with dengue infection. This study aimed to develop a simple clinical tool to predict the risk of DSS. A cohort of 2221 Thai children with a confirmed dengue infection who were admitted to King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital between 1987 and 2007 was conducted. Another data set from a previous publication comprising 2,301 Vietnamese children with dengue infection was employed to create a pooled data set, which was randomly split into training (n = 3182), testing (n = 697) and validating (n = 643) datasets. Logistic regression was compared to alternative machine learning algorithms to derive the most predictive model for DSS. 4522 children, including 899 DSS cases (758 Thai and 143 Vietnamese children) with a mean age of 9.8 ± 3.4 years, were analyzed. Among the 12 candidate clinical parameters, the Bayesian Model Averaging algorithm retained the most predictive subset of five covariates, including body weight, history of vomiting, liver size, hematocrit levels, and platelet counts. At an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.81-0.90) in testing data set, logistic regression outperformed random forest, XGBoost and support vector machine algorithms, with AUC values being 0.82 (0.77-0.88), 0.82 (0.76-0.88), and 0.848 (0.81-0.89), respectively. At its optimal threshold, this model had a sensitivity of 0.71 (0.62-0.80), a specificity of 0.84 (0.81-0.88), and an accuracy of 0.82 (0.78-0.85) on validating data set with consistent performance across subgroup analyses by age and gender. A logistic regression-based nomogram was developed to facilitate the application of this model. This work introduces a simple and robust clinical model for DSS prediction that is well-tailored for children in resource-limited settings.

Hand knob sign in osmotic demyelinating syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Osmotic demyelinating syndrome, commonly recognized as a consequence of the rapid correction of hyponatremia, has been known to cause motor, neuropsychiatric, or extrapyramidal symptoms. We reported a patient with an unusual presentation involving bilateral hand weakness, and pseudobulbar affect. The imaging was compatible with osmotic demyelinating syndrome with bilateral hand knob lesions, despite no history of overcorrection of hyponatremia. CASE PRESENTATION: A 44-year-old female presented with three weeks of emotional lability, spastic dysarthria, and bilateral hand weakness following ankle surgery and a mild head injury. Physical examination revealed weakness in the intrinsic hand muscles, leading to a claw-like deformity of the hands, although sensation remained unimpaired. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain revealed several hyperintensities on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery imaging involving various areas, including the hand knob area of the bilateral precentral gyri, caudate, lentiform nuclei, and pons, suggestive of osmotic demyelinating syndrome. Clinical improvement was observed following a trial of intravenous pulse methylprednisolone and plasmapheresis. CONCLUSIONS: Bilateral hand weakness is an unusual manifestation of osmotic demyelinating syndrome. The precentral gyrus, specifically in the hand knob area, is the vulnerable region that can result from osmotic demyelinating syndrome.

GDF-15: a novel biomarker of heart failure predicts short-term and long-term heart-failure rehospitalization and short-term mortality in patients with acute heart failure syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Acute heart failure (AHF) is a potentially life-threatening clinical syndrome, usually requiring hospital admission. Growth Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) is a distant member of the transforming growth factor-ß. The increased expression of GDF-15 has been observed during heart failure (HF) and is associated with worse outcomes. However, the relationship between GDF-15 and AHF is not well understood with limited evidence among Thai patients. PURPOSE: Investigate the correlation between biomarker levels (measured upon admission and discharge) and short- and long-term adverse outcomes, encompassing all-cause mortality and heart-failure (HF) rehospitalization (at 30, 90, and 180 days, as well as throughout the entire follow-up duration) in individuals experiencing acute HF. METHODS: This is a prospective single-center investigation involving patients admitted for AHF. Biomarkers, including GDF-15, high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), were assessed upon admission and discharge. Outcomes, including all-cause mortality and HF rehospitalization, were examined. Logarithmic transformations were applied to the biomarker variables for subsequent analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses of cause-specific hazards were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, while subdistribution hazards were assessed using the Fine-Gray regression model to evaluate outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 84 patients were enrolled (mean age of 69 years, 52% females). The GDF-15 level significantly decreased during admission (median at the time of admission 6,346 pg/mL, median at the time of discharge 5,711 pg/mL; p < 0.01). All-cause mortality at 30 days and 180 days were 6.0% and 16.7%, respectively. HF rehospitalization at 30 days and 180 days were 15.5% and 28.6%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that total orthoedema congestion score (p = 0.02) and admission GDF-15 level (p = 0.01) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality, whereas hsTnT or NT-proBNP levels did not show significant associations. However, higher levels of NT-proBNP upon admission were associated with all-cause mortality when considering the entire follow-up period (p < 0.01). Both univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that lower discharge GDF-15 levels and a greater reduction in GDF-15 levels from admission to discharge were associated with a lower risk of 30-day rehospitalization. Similarly, univariate analysis revealed that a greater reduction in NT-proBNP levels from admission to discharge was associated with lower 30-day rehospitalization rates. At 180 days, a greater reduction in GDF-15 levels remained associated with lower hazards and incidence of rehospitalization. CONCLUSION: The significant decrease in Growth Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) levels during hospitalization suggests its potential as a dynamic marker reflecting the course of AHF. Importantly, higher GDF-15 levels at admission were associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality, highlighting its prognostic value in this patient population. Moreover, lower discharge GDF-15 levels, reductions in GDF-15 from admission to discharge, and decreases in NT-proBNP from admission to discharge were associated with a reduced risk of 30-day rehospitalization.

Efficacy and safety between radiofrequency ablation and types of cryoablation catheters for atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia: A Network Meta-analysis and Systematic Review.

INTRODUCTION: Atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia (AVNRT) is the most common supraventricular tachycardia referred for ablation. Periprocedural conduction system damage was a primary concern during AVNRT ablation. This study aimed to assess the incidence of permanent atrioventricular (AV) block and the success rate associated with different types of catheters in slow pathway ablation. METHOD: A literature search was performed to identify studies that compared various techniques, including types of radiofrequency ablation (irrigated and nonirrigated) and different sizes of catheter tip cryoablation (4, 6, and 8-mm), in terms of their outcomes related to permanent atrioventricular block and success rate. To assess and rank the treatments for the different outcomes, a random-effects model of network meta-analysis, along with p-scores, was employed. RESULTS: A total of 27 studies with 5110 patients were included in the analysis. Overall success rates ranged from 89.78% to 100%. Point estimation showed 4-mm cryoablation exhibited an odds ratio of 0.649 (95%CI: 0.202-2.087) when compared to nonirrigated RFA. Similarly, 6-mm cryoablation had an odds ratio of 0.944 (95%CI: 0.307-2.905), 8-mm cryoablation had an odds ratio of 0.848 (95%CI: 0.089-8.107), and irrigated RFA had an odds ratio of 0.424 (95%CI: 0.058-3.121) compared to nonirrigated RFA. CONCLUSION: Our study found no significant difference in the incidence of permanent AV block between the types of catheters. The success rates were consistently high across all groups. These findings emphasize the potential of both RF ablation (irrigated and nonirrigated catheter) and cryoablation as viable options for the treatment of AVNRT, with similar safety and efficacy profile.

Output-dependent His bundle pacing: Unexpected His-Purkinje system pathology unmasking.

The anatomy of the His-Purkinje system has been studied, yet there remains a knowledge gap regarding the impact of His bundle pacing and its electrocardiographic implications. This case report highlights the presence of His-Purkinje system pathology without apparent clues on the surface electrocardiogram (EKG). By observing identical QRS morphology with varying HV intervals resulting from different pacing outputs, we demonstrate the presence of an electrical propagation block within the His bundle.

Knowledge regarding human papillomavirus and cervical cancer prevention among medical students from Chulalongkorn University in Thailand.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is one of the leading causes of death among women in Thailand. General practitioners, within their primary healthcare role, play a vital role in the cervical cancer screening program, as they are the healthcare professionals most easily accessible to the general population. This study aims to determine the level of knowledge of cervical cancer and human papillomavirus (HPV) infection, HPV vaccination, and cervical cancer screening among last-year medical students. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among sixth-year medical students using an electronic self-administered questionnaire. The two-part questionnaire comprised demographic data and 12 true/false questions that assessed knowledge regarding HPV infection, HPV vaccination, and cervical cancer screening recommendations. Pilot testing revealed a high Cronbach's alpha and test-retest reliability coefficient. RESULTS: A 67% response rate was achieved. Among the 198 respondents, only one (0.5%) student correctly answered over 80% of the questions while most respondents (172, 71.7%) correctly answered less than 60% of the questions. Less than half of the respondents correctly identified crucial aspects such as the primary cause of cervical cancer, recommended vaccination age, cytology sensitivity compared to HPV testing, and the recommended screening frequency for average-risk women. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights a significant lack of comprehension among Thai medical students concerning HPV infection, vaccination, and cervical cancer screening guidelines. Encouraging educational enhancement, effective communication, and heightened awareness of these crucial topics within the medical school curriculum are imperative.

Occult bleeding from a false-in-true non-Meckelian ileal diverticulum.

Ileal diverticula can be congenital or acquired and are rare even among the already rare entity of small bowel diverticula. What has never been reported, as far as we know, is false diverticula arising within the true non-Meckelian diverticulum with mesenteric erosion causing an occult gastrointestinal bleed. We present a patient with occult gastrointestinal bleeding from a false-in-true ileal diverticulum. Multiple investigations were required to localise the bleeding site after which the patient was taken to the operating room for a laparoscopic ileocaecectomy with complete resolution of symptoms. Preoperative localisation of the bleeding site may be difficult but is critically important in occult gastrointestinal bleeding. Procedure choice for a bleeding ileal diverticulum is dictated by the distance from the ileocaecal valve and the etiopathology of the bleed.

Utility of TTR-INR guided warfarin adjustment protocol to improve time in therapeutic range in patients with atrial fibrillation receiving warfarin.

Warfarin remains the most prescribed oral anticoagulant of choice in atrial fibrillation (AF) patient in resource-limited settings. Despite evidence linking Time in Therapeutic Range (TTR) to patient outcomes, its use in clinical practice is not widespread. This prospective study explores the impact of a TTR-INR guided Warfarin adjustment protocol on TTR in AF patients. Conducted at the Warfarin clinic of King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital. TTR was calculated using the Rosendaal linear interpolation method at baseline, and then at 6 and 12 months post-protocol implementation. The primary outcome was the improvement in TTR following the protocol's implementation. The study analyzed 57 patients, with a mean age of 72 years and an even gender distribution. At baseline, 53% of patients had a TTR of less than 65%. However, TTR significantly improved from 65% at baseline to 80% after 12 months of protocol implementation (p < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a significant increase in the proportion of patients with a TTR of 65% or more, from 47 to 88% (p < 0.001). During the follow-up period in the first 12 months, three patients died, but no ischemic or major bleeding events occurred. The significant improvement in TTR after 12 months of protocol implementation suggests that this strategy could provide additional value in improving TTR and outcomes in AF patients receiving Warfarin.

Diagnostic accuracy of artificial intelligence in detecting left ventricular hypertrophy by electrocardiograph: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Several studies suggested the utility of artificial intelligence (AI) in screening left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). We hence conducted systematic review and meta-analysis comparing diagnostic accuracy of AI to Sokolow-Lyon's and Cornell's criteria. Our aim was to provide a comprehensive overview of the newly developed AI tools for diagnosing LVH. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases for relevant studies until May 2023. Included were observational studies evaluating AI's accuracy in LVH detection. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and pooled sensitivities and specificities assessed AI's performance against standard criteria. A total of 66,479 participants, with and without LVH, were included. Use of AI was associated with improved diagnostic accuracy with summary ROC (SROC) of 0.87. Sokolow-Lyon's and Cornell's criteria had lower accuracy (0.68 and 0.60). AI had sensitivity and specificity of 69% and 87%. In comparison, Sokolow-Lyon's specificity was 92% with a sensitivity of 25%, while Cornell's specificity was 94% with a sensitivity of 19%. This indicating its superior diagnostic accuracy of AI based algorithm in LVH detection. Our study demonstrates that AI-based methods for diagnosing LVH exhibit higher diagnostic accuracy compared to conventional criteria, with notable increases in sensitivity. These findings contribute to the validation of AI as a promising tool for LVH detection.