Linoleic acid, a dietary n-6 polyunsaturated fatty acid, and the aetiology of ulcerative colitis: a nested case-control study within a European prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Dietary linoleic acid, an n-6 polyunsaturated fatty acid, is metabolised to arachidonic acid, a component of colonocyte membranes. Metabolites of arachidonic acid have pro-inflammatory properties and are increased in the mucosa of patients with ulcerative colitis. The aim of this investigation was to conduct the first prospective cohort study investigating if a high dietary intake of linoleic acid increases the risk of developing incident ulcerative colitis. DESIGN AND SETTING: Dietary data from food frequency questionnaires were available for 203 193 men and women aged 30-74 years, resident in the UK, Sweden, Denmark, Germany or Italy and participating in a prospective cohort study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). These participants were followed up for the diagnosis of ulcerative colitis. Each case was matched with four controls and the risk of disease calculated by quartile of intake of linoleic acid adjusted for gender, age, smoking, total energy intake and centre. RESULTS: A total of 126 participants developed ulcerative colitis (47% women) after a median follow-up of 4.0 years (range, 1.7-11.3 years). The highest quartile of intake of linoleic acid was associated with an increased risk of ulcerative colitis (odds ratio (OR) = 2.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.23 to 5.07, p = 0.01) with a significant trend across quartiles (OR = 1.32 per quartile increase, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.66, p = 0.02 for trend). CONCLUSIONS: The data support a role for dietary linoleic acid in the aetiology of ulcerative colitis. An estimated 30% of cases could be attributed to having dietary intakes higher than the lowest quartile of linoleic acid intake.

COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.

BACKGROUND: Cruise ships carry a large number of people in confined spaces with relative homogeneous mixing. On 3 February, 2020, an outbreak of COVID-19 on cruise ship Diamond Princess was reported with 10 initial cases, following an index case on board around 21-25th January. By 4th February, public health measures such as removal and isolation of ill passengers and quarantine of non-ill passengers were implemented. By 20th February, 619 of 3700 passengers and crew (17%) were tested positive. METHODS: We estimated the basic reproduction number from the initial period of the outbreak using SEIR models. We calibrated the models with transient functions of countermeasures to incidence data. We additionally estimated a counterfactual scenario in absence of countermeasures, and established a model stratified by crew and guests to study the impact of differential contact rates among the groups. We also compared scenarios of an earlier versus later evacuation of the ship. RESULTS: The basic reproduction rate was initially 4 times higher on-board compared to the ${R}_0$ in the epicentre in Wuhan, but the countermeasures lowered it substantially. Based on the modeled initial ${R}_0$ of 14.8, we estimated that without any interventions within the time period of 21 January to 19 February, 2920 out of the 3700 (79%) would have been infected. Isolation and quarantine therefore prevented 2307 cases, and lowered the ${R}_0$ to 1.78. We showed that an early evacuation of all passengers on 3 February would have been associated with 76 infected persons in their incubation time. CONCLUSIONS: The cruise ship conditions clearly amplified an already highly transmissible disease. The public health measures prevented more than 2000 additional cases compared to no interventions. However, evacuating all passengers and crew early on in the outbreak would have prevented many more passengers and crew from infection.

Hypothyroidism after external radiotherapy for head and neck cancer.

PURPOSE: To study the development of thyroid hypofunction in patients with head and neck cancers admitted for external radiotherapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between November 1990 and July 1996, thyroid function was measured in 264 consecutive patients, where the entire thyroid gland or part of it was included in the target volume. The time to development of hypothyroidism (HT) was calculated from the start of the radiotherapy. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 19 months. Seventeen patients (6%) developed elevated serum thyroid-stimulating hormone levels with depressed (free) thyroxine levels (i.e., clinical HT). Elevated serum thyroid-stimulating hormone level with normal (free) thyroxine levels (i.e., chemical HT) developed in 57 (22%). The median time to clinical HT was 15 months (range: 7 to 32). The median time to chemical HT was also 15 months (range: 2 to 28). The actuarial risk of developing clinical or chemical HT 3 years after treatment was 15 and 40%, respectively. The incidence of chemical HT was significantly higher (p = 0.041) when the whole thyroid was included in the target volume compared to patients where only part of the thyroid was irradiated. The same trend was seen as regards clinical HT (p = 0.063). For those 20 patients who underwent laryngectomy, there was an increased risk of both chemical and clinical HT (p = 0.011 and 0.019, respectively). Increasing age was associated with an increased risk of chemical HT (p = 0.001), but not of clinical HT (p = 0.553). Sex, tumor site, radiation dose, and combination of radiotherapy and chemotherapy were not significant factors for thyroid hypofunction. CONCLUSION: Depressed thyroid function is common after external radiotherapy for cancers of the head and neck. Routine testing for possible thyroid hypofunction should be included in the follow-up procedures, even many years after end of radiotherapy.