Nimodipine Protects Vascular and Cognitive Function in an Animal Model of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral small vessel disease is a common cause of vascular cognitive impairment and dementia. There is an urgent need for preventative treatments for vascular cognitive impairment and dementia, and reducing vascular dysfunction may provide a therapeutic route. Here, we investigate whether the chronic administration of nimodipine, a central nervous system-selective dihydropyridine calcium channel blocking agent, protects vascular, metabolic, and cognitive function in an animal model of cerebral small vessel disease, the spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat. METHODS: Male spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rats were randomly allocated to receive either a placebo (n=24) or nimodipine (n=24) diet between 3 and 6 months of age. Animals were examined daily for any neurological deficits, and vascular function was assessed in terms of neurovascular and neurometabolic coupling at 3 and 6 months of age, and cerebrovascular reactivity at 6 months of age. Cognitive function was evaluated using the novel object recognition test at 6 months of age. RESULTS: Six untreated control animals were terminated prematurely due to strokes, including one due to seizure, but no treated animals experienced strokes and so had a higher survival (P=0.0088). Vascular function was significantly impaired with disease progression, but nimodipine treatment partially preserved neurovascular coupling and neurometabolic coupling, indicated by larger (P<0.001) and more prompt responses (P<0.01), and less habituation upon repeated stimulation (P<0.01). Also, animals treated with nimodipine showed greater cerebrovascular reactivity, indicated by larger dilation of arterioles (P=0.015) and an increase in blood flow velocity (P=0.001). This protection of vascular and metabolic function achieved by nimodipine treatment was associated with better cognitive function (P<0.001) in the treated animals. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic treatment with nimodipine protects from strokes, and vascular and cognitive deficits in spontaneously hypertensive stroke-prone rat. Nimodipine may provide an effective preventive treatment for stroke and cognitive decline in cerebral small vessel disease.

Pneumococcal Vaccination Strategies in 50-Year-Olds to Decrease Racial Disparities: A US Societal Perspective Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the impact of expanding pneumococcal vaccination to all 50-year-olds to decrease racial disparities by estimating from the societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) and 15-valent conjugate vaccine followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PCV15/PPSV23) for 50-year-olds. METHODS: A Markov model compared the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 in all general population 50- and 65-years-olds compared with current US recommendations and with no vaccination in US Black and non-Black cohorts. US data informed model parameters. Pneumococcal disease societal costs were estimated using direct and indirect costs of acute illness and of pneumococcal-related long-term disability and mortality. Hypothetical 50-year-old cohorts were followed over their lifetimes with costs and effectiveness discounted 3% per year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses assessed model uncertainty. RESULTS: In Black cohorts, PCV20 for all at ages 50 and 65 was the least costly strategy and had greater effectiveness than no vaccination and current recommendation strategies, whereas PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared with PCV20 at 50 and 65. In non-Black cohorts, PCV20 at 50 and 65 cost $62 083/QALY and PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million/QALY with current recommendations, again being more costly and less effective. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 at 50 and 65 was favored in 85.7% (Black) and 61.8% (non-Black) of model iterations at a $100 000/QALY gained willingness-to-pay threshold. CONCLUSIONS: When considering the societal costs of pneumococcal disease, PCV20 at ages 50 and 65 years in the general US population is a potentially economically viable strategy, particularly in Black cohorts.

Hope and illness expectations: A cross-sectional study in patients with advanced cancer.

BACKGROUND: The fear of taking away hope hinders clinicians' willingness to share serious news with patients with advanced disease. Unrealistic illness expectations, on the other hand, can complicate decision making and end-of-life care outcomes. Exploration of the association between hope and illness expectations can support clinicians in better communication with their patients. AIM: The aim of this study was to explore whether realistic illness expectations are associated with reduced hope in people with advanced cancer. DESIGN: This is a cross-sectional secondary analysis of baseline data from a primary palliative care cluster-randomized trial CONNECT (data collected from July 2016 to October 2020). Hope was measured by Herth Hope Index. Illness expectations were measured by assessing patients' understanding of their treatment goals, life expectancy, and terminal illness acknowledgement. Multivariable regression was performed, adjusting for demographical and clinical confounders. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients with advanced solid cancers recruited across 17 oncology clinics. RESULTS: Data from 672 patients were included in the study, with mean age of 69.3 years (±10.2), 53.6% were female. Proportion of patients indicating realistic expectations varied based on which question was asked from 10% to 46%. Median level of hope was 39 (IQR = 36-43). Multivariate non-inferiority regression did not find any significant differences in hope between patients with more and less realistic illness expectations. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that hope can be sustained while holding both realistic and unrealistic illness expectations. Communication about serious news should focus on clarifying the expectations as well as supporting people's hopes.

Tissue Hypoxia and Associated Innate Immune Factors in Experimental Autoimmune Optic Neuritis.

Visual loss in acute optic neuritis is typically attributed to axonal conduction block due to inflammatory demyelination, but the mechanisms remain unclear. Recent research has highlighted tissue hypoxia as an important cause of neurological deficits and tissue damage in both multiple sclerosis (MS) and experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) and, here, we examine whether the optic nerves are hypoxic in experimental optic neuritis induced in Dark Agouti rats. At both the first and second peaks of disease expression, inflamed optic nerves labelled significantly for tissue hypoxia (namely, positive for hypoxia inducible factor-1α (HIF1α) and intravenously administered pimonidazole). Acutely inflamed nerves were also labelled significantly for innate markers of oxidative and nitrative stress and damage, including superoxide, nitric oxide and 3-nitrotyrosine. The density and diameter of capillaries were also increased. We conclude that in acute optic neuritis, the optic nerves are hypoxic and come under oxidative and nitrative stress and damage. Tissue hypoxia can cause mitochondrial failure and thus explains visual loss due to axonal conduction block. Tissue hypoxia can also induce a damaging oxidative and nitrative environment. The findings indicate that treatment to prevent tissue hypoxia in acute optic neuritis may help to restore vision and protect from damaging reactive oxygen and nitrogen species.

Factors associated with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) treatment patterns and patient-reported outcomes across a large integrated health network.

PURPOSE: To examine associations between ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) patients' characteristics, treating locations and DCIS treatments received and to pilot assessing quality-of-life (QoL) values among DCIS patients with diverse backgrounds. METHODS: We performed a retrospective tumor registry review of all patients diagnosed and treated with DCIS from 2018 to 2019 in the UPMC-integrated network throughout central and western Pennsylvania. Demographics, clinical information, and administered treatments were compiled from tumor registry records. We categorized contextual factors such as different hospital setting (academic vs. community), socioeconomic status based on the neighborhood deprivation index (NDI) as well as age and race. QoL survey was administered to DCIS patients with diverse backgrounds via QoL questionnaire breast cancer module 23 and qualitative assessment questions. RESULTS: A total of 912 patients were reviewed. There were no treatment differences noted for age, race, or NDI. Mastectomy rate was higher in academic sites than community sites (29 vs. 20.4%; p = 0.0045), while hormone therapy (HT) utilization rate was higher in community sites (74 vs. 62%; p = 0.0012). QoL survey response rate was 32%. Only HT side effects negatively affected in QoL scores and there was no significant difference in QoL domains and decision-making process between races, age, NDI, treatment groups, and treatment locations. CONCLUSION: Our integrated health network did not show chronically noted disparities arising from social determinates of health for DCIS treatments by implementing clinical pathways and system-wide peer review. Also, we demonstrated feasibility in collecting QoL for DCIS women with diverse backgrounds and different socioeconomic statuses.

Cost-Effectiveness of Management Strategies in Recurrent Acute Otitis Media.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tympanostomy tube placementvs nonsurgical medical management, with the option of tympanostomy tube placement in the event of treatment failure, in children with recurrent acute otitis media (AOM). STUDY DESIGN: A Markov decision model compared management strategies in children ages 6-35 months, using patient-level data from a recently completed, multicenter, randomized clinical trial of tympanostomy tube placement vs medical management. The model ran over a 2-year time horizon using a societal perspective. Probabilities, including risk of AOM symptoms, were derived from prospectively collected patient diaries. Costs and quality-of-life measures were derived from the literature. We performed one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, and secondary analyses in predetermined low- and high-risk subgroups. The primary outcome was incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained. RESULTS: Tympanostomy tubes cost $989 more per child than medical management. Children managed with tympanostomy tubes gained 0.69 more quality-adjusted life-days than children managed medically, corresponding to $520 855 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Results were sensitive to the costs of oral antibiotics, missed work, special childcare, the societal cost of antibiotic resistance, and the quality of life associated with AOM. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, medical management was favored in 66% of model iterations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000/quality-adjusted life-year. Medical management was preferred in secondary analyses of low- and high-risk subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: For young children with recurrent AOM, the additional cost associated with tympanostomy tube placement outweighs the small improvement in quality of life. Medical management for these children is an economically reasonable strategy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02567825.

Oxygen treatment reduces neurological deficits and demyelination in two animal models of multiple sclerosis.

AIMS: The objective of the study is to explore the importance of tissue hypoxia in causing neurological deficits and demyelination in the inflamed CNS, and the value of inspiratory oxygen treatment, using both active and passive experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE). METHODS: Normobaric oxygen treatment was administered to Dark Agouti rats with either active or passive EAE, compared with room air-treated, and naïve, controls. RESULTS: Severe neurological deficits in active EAE were significantly improved after just 1 h of breathing approximately 95% oxygen. The improvement was greater and more persistent when oxygen was applied either prophylactically (from immunisation for 23 days), or therapeutically from the onset of neurological deficits for 24, 48, or 72 h. Therapeutic oxygen for 72 h significantly reduced demyelination and the integrated stress response in oligodendrocytes at the peak of disease, and protected from oligodendrocyte loss, without evidence of increased oxidative damage. T-cell infiltration and cytokine expression in the spinal cord remained similar to that in untreated animals. The severe neurological deficit of animals with passive EAE occurred in conjunction with spinal hypoxia and was significantly reduced by oxygen treatment initiated before their onset. CONCLUSIONS: Severe neurological deficits in both active and passive EAE can be caused by hypoxia and reduced by oxygen treatment. Oxygen treatment also reduces demyelination in active EAE, despite the autoimmune origin of the disease.

Axonal response of mitochondria to demyelination and complex IV activity within demyelinated axons in experimental models of multiple sclerosis.

AIMS: Axonal injury in multiple sclerosis (MS) and experimental models is most frequently detected in acutely demyelinating lesions. We recently reported a compensatory neuronal response, where mitochondria move to the acutely demyelinated axon and increase the mitochondrial content following lysolecithin-induced demyelination. We termed this homeostatic phenomenon, which is also evident in MS, the axonal response of mitochondria to demyelination (ARMD). The aim of this study is to determine whether ARMD is consistently evident in experimental demyelination and how its perturbation relates to axonal injury. METHODS: In the present study, we assessed axonal mitochondrial content as well as axonal mitochondrial respiratory chain complex IV activity (cytochrome c oxidase or COX) of axons and related these to axonal injury in nine different experimental disease models. We used immunofluorescent histochemistry as well as sequential COX histochemistry followed by immunofluorescent labelling of mitochondria and axons. RESULTS: We found ARMD a consistent and robust phenomenon in all experimental disease models. The increase in mitochondrial content within demyelinated axons, however, was not always accompanied by a proportionate increase in complex IV activity, particularly in highly inflammatory models such as experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE). Axonal complex IV activity inversely correlated with the extent of axonal injury in experimental disease models. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that ARMD is a consistent and prominent feature and emphasise the importance of complex IV activity in the context of ARMD, especially in autoimmune inflammatory demyelination, paving the way for the development of novel neuroprotective therapies.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of tumor molecular testing in stage III endometrial cancer.

BACKGROUND: Standard of care for adjuvant treatment of stage III endometrial cancer includes chemotherapy and radiation. In addition to stage, tumor molecular profiles may predict treatment outcomes, and prospective clinical trials are ongoing. However, tumor molecular testing is costly and time-consuming. Our objective was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tumor molecular testing in stage III endometrial cancer. METHODS: A Markov decision model compared two strategies for stage III endometrial cancer: Tumor Molecular Testing (TMT) versus No TMT. TMT included sequential POLE next generation sequencing, mismatch repair immunohistochemistry (IHC), and p53 IHC. POLE-mutated patients were assigned to adjuvant radiation therapy; all others including controls were assigned to adjuvant chemoradiation. First recurrences were treated with 6 cycles of carboplatin and paclitaxel. Second recurrences were treated with pembrolizumab alone for mismatch repair deficient patients and both pembrolizumab and lenvatinib for other patients. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test model robustness. RESULTS: Compared to No TMT, TMT was cost saving with equivalent effectiveness. On one-way sensitivity analysis, TMT remained cost saving over all parameter ranges. TMT was also favored on probabilistic sensitivity analysis in 80% of iterations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/quality adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. However, when TMT was compared to mismatch repair IHC alone, TMT cost $182,798/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: In this model of patients with stage III endometrial cancer, TMT was cost saving compared to No TMT. However, when compared to mismatch repair IHC alone, TMT was economically unfavorable.

Primary Palliative Care Improves Uptake of Advance Care Planning Among Patients With Advanced Cancers.

BACKGROUND: Palliative care specialists are experts in conducting advance care planning (ACP) but are a limited resource. Oncology nurses often have special relationships with their patients and thus may be poised to provide primary palliative care. We sought to determine the impact of a nurse-led primary palliative care intervention on ACP uptake among patients with advanced cancer. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a cluster randomized controlled trial examining the impact of nurse-based primary palliative care. In the parent trial, patients with advanced cancer received either monthly primary palliative care visits with trained nurses within their cancer center or standard care. Nurses in the intervention arm received special training in ACP. ACP uptake was assessed at enrollment and 3 months later evaluating (1) whether an end-of-life conversation (EOLC) occurred with one's oncologist, and (2) completion of an advance directive (AD). Multivariable logistic regression tested differences in ACP uptake by treatment arm adjusted for age, religious importance, education, time with current oncologist, and performance status. RESULTS: Of 672 patients enrolled, 182/336 (54%) patients in the intervention arm and 196/336 (58%) in the standard care arm lacked an EOLC at baseline and completed the 3-month assessment. Of those, 82/182 (45.1%) patients in the intervention arm and 29/196 (14.8%) in the standard care arm reported having an EOLC at 3 months (adjusted odds ratio, 5.28; 95% CI, 3.10-8.97; P<.001). Similarly, 111/336 (33%) patients in the intervention arm and 105/336 (31%) in the standard care arm lacked an AD at baseline and completed the 3-month assessment. Of those, 48/111 (43.2%) patients in the intervention arm and 19/105 (18.1%) in the standard care arm completed an AD over the study period (adjusted odds ratio, 3.68; 95% CI, 1.89-7.16; P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Nurse-led primary palliative care increased ACP uptake among patients with advanced cancer. Training oncology nurses embedded within community cancer centers to provide primary palliative care may help improve ACP access.

Program Factors Affecting Weight Loss and Mobility in Older Adults: Evidence From the Mobility and Vitality Lifestyle Program (MOVE UP).

Background. The Mobility and Vitality Lifestyle Program (MOVE UP) is a behavioral weight-management intervention for improving mobility among community-dwelling older adults. We examined program factors that affect implementation outcomes and participant-level health outcomes. Methods. The MOVE UP program was implemented in the greater Pittsburgh area from January 2015 to June 2019 to improve lower extremity performance in community-dwelling older adults who were overweight or obese. Thirty-two sessions were delivered over 13 months. All sessions were designed to be 1-hour in length, on-site, group-based, and led by trained and supported community health workers (CHWs). Participants completed weekly Lifestyle Logs for self-monitoring of body weight, diet, and physical activity. We evaluated the MOVE UP program using the RE-AIM framework, and collected quantitative data at baseline, 5-, 9-, and 13-months. Multilevel linear regression models assessed the impacts of program factors (site, CHW, and participant characteristics) on implementation outcomes and participant-level health outcomes. Results. Twenty-two CHWs delivered MOVE UP program to 303 participants in 26 cohorts. Participants were similar to the target source population in weight but differed in some demographic characteristics. The program was effective for weight loss and lower extremity function in both intervention and maintenance periods (Ps < .01), with an independent effect for Lifestyle Logs submission but not session attendance. Discussion. CHWs were able to deliver a multi-component weight loss intervention effectively in community settings. CHW and site characteristics had independent impacts on participants' adherence. Lifestyle Log submission may be a more potent measure of adherence in weight loss interventions than attendance.

High Dietary Fat Consumption Impairs Axonal Mitochondrial Function In Vivo.

Peripheral neuropathy (PN) is the most common complication of prediabetes and diabetes. PN causes severe morbidity for Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and prediabetes patients, including limb pain followed by numbness resulting from peripheral nerve damage. PN in T2D and prediabetes is associated with dyslipidemia and elevated circulating lipids; however, the molecular mechanisms underlying PN development in prediabetes and T2D are unknown. Peripheral nerve sensory neurons rely on axonal mitochondria to provide energy for nerve impulse conduction under homeostatic conditions. Models of dyslipidemia in vitro demonstrate mitochondrial dysfunction in sensory neurons exposed to elevated levels of exogenous fatty acids. Herein, we evaluated the effect of dyslipidemia on mitochondrial function and dynamics in sensory axons of the saphenous nerve of a male high-fat diet (HFD)-fed murine model of prediabetes to identify mitochondrial alterations that correlate with PN pathogenesis in vivo We found that the HFD decreased mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP) in axonal mitochondria and reduced the ability of sensory neurons to conduct at physiological frequencies. Unlike mitochondria in control axons, which dissipated their MMP in response to increased impulse frequency (from 1 to 50 Hz), HFD mitochondria dissipated less MMP in response to axonal energy demand, suggesting a lack of reserve capacity. The HFD also decreased sensory axonal Ca2+ levels and increased mitochondrial lengthening and expression of PGC1α, a master regulator of mitochondrial biogenesis. Together, these results suggest that mitochondrial dysfunction underlies an imbalance of axonal energy and Ca2+ levels and impairs impulse conduction within the saphenous nerve in prediabetic PN.SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Diabetes and prediabetes are leading causes of peripheral neuropathy (PN) worldwide. PN has no cure, but development in diabetes and prediabetes is associated with dyslipidemia, including elevated levels of saturated fatty acids. Saturated fatty acids impair mitochondrial dynamics and function in cultured neurons, indicating a role for mitochondrial dysfunction in PN progression; however, the effect of elevated circulating fatty acids on the peripheral nervous system in vivo is unknown. In this study, we identify early pathogenic events in sensory nerve axons of mice with high-fat diet-induced PN, including alterations in mitochondrial function, axonal conduction, and intra-axonal calcium, that provide important insight into potential PN mechanisms associated with prediabetes and dyslipidemia in vivo.

Hope and advance care planning in advanced cancer: Is there a relationship?

BACKGROUND: Clinicians often cite a fear of giving up hope as a reason they defer advance care planning (ACP) among patients with advanced cancer. The objective of this study was to determine whether engagement in ACP affects hope in these patients. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of primary palliative care in advanced cancer. Patients who had not completed ACP at baseline were included in the analysis. ACP was assessed in the forms of an end-of-life (EOL) conversation with one's oncologist and completion of a living will or advance directive (AD). Measurements were obtained at baseline and at 3 months. Hope was measured using the Herth Hope Index (HHI) (range, 12-48; higher scores indicate higher hope). Multivariate regression was performed to assess associations between ACP and hope, controlling for baseline HHI score, study randomization, patient age, religious importance, education, marital status, socioeconomic status, time since cancer diagnosis, pain/symptom burden (Edmonton Symptom Assessment System), and anxiety/depression score (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale)-all variables known to be associated with ACP and/or hope. RESULTS: In total, 672 patients with advanced cancer were enrolled in the overall study. The mean age was 69 ± 10 years, and the most common cancer types were lung cancer (36%), gastrointestinal cancer (20%) and breast/gynecologic cancers (16%). In this group, 378 patients (56%) had not had an EOL conversation at baseline, of whom 111 of 378 (29%) reported having an EOL conversation by 3 months. Hope was not different between patients who did or did not have an EOL conversation over the study period (mean ± standard deviation ∆HHI, 0.20 ± 5.32 vs -0.53 ± 3.80, respectively; P = .136). After multivariable adjustment, hope was significantly increased in patients who had engaged in an EOL conversation (adjusted mean difference in ∆HHI, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.08-1.82; P = .032). Similarly, of 216 patients (32%) without an AD at baseline, 67 (31%) had subsequently completed an AD. Unadjusted hope was not different between those who did and did not complete an AD (∆HHI, 0.20 ± 3.89 vs -0.91 ± 4.50, respectively; P = .085). After adjustment, hope was significantly higher in those who completed an AD (adjusted mean difference in ∆HHI, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.13-2.49; P = .030). CONCLUSIONS: The current results demonstrate that hope is not decreased after engagement in ACP and indeed may be increased. These findings may provide reassurance to clinicians who are apprehensive about having these important and difficult conversations. LAY SUMMARY: Many oncologists defer advance care planning (ACP) out of concern for giving up hope. This study demonstrates that hope is not decreased in patients who have engaged in ACP either as a conversation with their oncologists or by completing an advance directive. With this information, providers may feel more comfortable having these important conversations with their patients.

Imaging versus Intervention in Managing Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend active surveillance with serial magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) for management of small, asymptomatic unruptured anterior circulation aneurysms (UIAs). We sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to immediate surgery. METHODS: We developed a Markov cost-effectiveness model simulating patients with small (<7 mm) UIAs managed by active surveillance via MRA, immediate surgery, or watchful waiting. Inputs for the model were abstracted from the literature and used to construct a comprehensive model following persons from diagnosis to death. Outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), lifetime medical costs (2015 USD), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Cost-effectiveness, deterministic, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Immediate surgical treatment was the most cost-effective management strategy for small UIAs with ICER of USD 45,772 relative to active surveillance. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated immediate surgery was the preferred strategy, if rupture rate was >0.1%/year and if the diagnosis age was <70 years, while active surveillance was preferred if surgical complication risk was >11%. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that at a willingness-to-pay of USD 100,000/QALY, immediate surgical treatment was the most cost-effective strategy in 64% of iterations. CONCLUSION: Immediate surgical treatment is a cost-effective strategy for initial management of small UIAs in patients <70 years of age. While more costly than MRA, surgical treatment increased QALY. The cost-effectiveness of immediate surgery is highly sensitive to diagnosis age, rupture rate, and surgical complication risk. Though there are a wide range of rupture rates and complications associated with treatment, this analysis supports the treatment of small, unruptured anterior circulation intracranial aneurysms in patients <70 years of age.

Risk-stratification in febrile infants 29 to 60 days old: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple clinical prediction rules have been published to risk-stratify febrile infants ≤60 days of age for serious bacterial infections (SBI), which is present in 8-13% of infants. We evaluate the cost-effectiveness of strategies to identify infants with SBI in the emergency department. METHODS: We developed a Markov decision model to estimate outcomes in well-appearing, febrile term infants, using the following strategies: Boston, Rochester, Philadelphia, Modified Philadelphia, Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN), Step-by-Step, Aronson, and clinical suspicion. Infants were categorized as low risk or not low risk using each strategy. Simulated cohorts were followed for 1 year from a healthcare perspective. Our primary model focused on bacteremia, with secondary models for urinary tract infection and bacterial meningitis. One-way, structural, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. The main outcomes were SBI correctly diagnosed and incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. RESULTS: In the bacteremia model, the PECARN strategy was the least expensive strategy ($3671, 0.779 QALYs). The Boston strategy was the most cost-effective strategy and cost $9799/QALY gained. All other strategies were less effective and more costly. Despite low initial costs, clinical suspicion was among the most expensive and least effective strategies. Results were sensitive to the specificity of selected strategies. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, the Boston strategy was most likely to be favored at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. In the urinary tract infection model, PECARN was preferred compared to other strategies and the Boston strategy was preferred in the bacterial meningitis model. CONCLUSIONS: The Boston clinical prediction rule offers an economically reasonable strategy compared to alternatives for identification of SBI.

Economic analysis of screening for subclinical rejection in kidney transplantation using protocol biopsies and noninvasive biomarkers.

Subclinical rejection (SCR) screening in kidney transplantation (KT) using protocol biopsies and noninvasive biomarkers has not been evaluated from an economic perspective. We assessed cost-effectiveness from the health sector perspective of SCR screening in the first year after KT using a Markov model that compared no screening with screening using protocol biopsy or biomarker at 3 months, 12 months, 3 and 12 months, or 3, 6, and 12 months. We used 12% subclinical cellular rejection and 3% subclinical antibody-mediated rejection (SC-ABMR) for the base-case cohort. Results favored 1-time screening at peak SCR incidence rather than repeated screening. Screening 2 or 3 times was favored only with age <35 years and with high SC-ABMR incidence. Compared to biomarkers, protocol biopsy yielded more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at lower cost. A 12-month biopsy cost $13 318/QALY for the base-case cohort. Screening for cellular rejection in the absence of SC-ABMR was less cost effective with 12-month biopsy costing $46 370/QALY. Screening was less cost effective in patients >60 years. Using biomarker twice or thrice was cost effective only if biomarker cost was <$700. In conclusion, in KT, screening for SCR more than once during the first year is not economically reasonable. Screening with protocol biopsy was favored over biomarkers.

Cost-Effectiveness of Primary Liver Transplantation Versus Hepatoportoenterostomy in the Management of Biliary Atresia in the United States.

Biliary atresia (BA) is the leading indication to perform a pediatric liver transplantation (LT). Timely hepatoportoenterostomy (HPE) attempts to interrupt the natural history and allow for enteric bile flow; however, most patients who are treated with HPE require LT by the age of 10 years. We determined the cost-effectiveness of foregoing HPE to perform primary LT (pLT) in children with BA compared with standard-of-care HPE management. A Markov model was developed to simulate BA treatment over 10 years. Costs were measured in 2018 US dollars and effectiveness in life-years (LYs). The primary outcome was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between treatments. Model parameters were derived from the literature. In the base model, we assumed similar LT outcomes after HPE and pLT. Sensitivity analyses on all model parameters were performed, including a scenario in which pLT led to 100% patient and graft survival after LT. Children undergoing HPE accumulated $316,692 in costs and 8.17 LYs per patient. Children undergoing pLT accumulated $458,059 in costs and 8.24 LYs per patient, costing $1,869,164 per LY gained compared with HPE. With parameter variation over plausible ranges, only post-HPE and post-LT costs reduced the ICER below a typical threshold of $100,000 per LY gained. On probabilistic sensitivity analysis, 93% of iterations favored HPE at that threshold. With 100% patient and graft survival after pLT, pLT cost $283,478 per LY gained. HPE is more economically favorable than pLT for BA. pLT is unfavorable even with no graft or patient loss. The ability to predict those patients who may experience high costs after HPE or low costs after LT may help identify those patients for whom pLT could be considered.

Nimodipine Reduces Dysfunction and Demyelination in Models of Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Treatment of relapses in multiple sclerosis (MS) has not advanced beyond steroid use, which reduces acute loss of function, but has little effect on residual disability. Acute loss of function in an MS model (experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis [EAE]) is partly due to central nervous system (CNS) hypoxia, and function can promptly improve upon breathing oxygen. Here, we investigate the cause of the hypoxia and whether it is due to a deficit in oxygen supply arising from impaired vascular perfusion. We also explore whether the CNS-selective vasodilating agent, nimodipine, may provide a therapy to restore function, and protect from demyelination in 2 MS models. METHODS: A variety of methods have been used to measure basic cardiovascular physiology, spinal oxygenation, mitochondrial function, and tissue perfusion in EAE. RESULTS: We report that the tissue hypoxia in EAE is associated with a profound hypoperfusion of the inflamed spinal cord. Treatment with nimodipine restores spinal oxygenation and can rapidly improve function. Nimodipine therapy also reduces demyelination in both EAE and a model of the early MS lesion. INTERPRETATION: Loss of function in EAE, and demyelination in EAE, and the model of the early MS lesion, seem to be due, at least in part, to tissue hypoxia due to local spinal hypoperfusion. Therapy to improve blood flow not only protects neurological function but also reduces demyelination. We conclude that nimodipine could be repurposed to offer substantial clinical benefit in MS. ANN NEUROL 2020 ANN NEUROL 2020;88:123-136.

Systematic approach to selecting licensed drugs for repurposing in the treatment of progressive multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To establish a rigorous, expert-led, evidence-based approach to the evaluation of licensed drugs for repurposing and testing in clinical trials of people with progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: We long-listed licensed drugs with evidence of human safety, blood-brain barrier penetrance and demonstrable efficacy in at least one animal model, or mechanistic target, agreed by a panel of experts and people with MS to be relevant to the pathogenesis of progression. We systematically reviewed the preclinical and clinical literature for each compound, condensed this into a database of summary documents and short-listed drugs by scoring each one of them. Drugs were evaluated for immediate use in a clinical trial, and our selection was scrutinised by a final independent expert review. RESULTS: From a short list of 55 treatments, we recommended four treatments for immediate testing in progressive MS: R-α-lipoic acid, metformin, the combination treatment of R-α-lipoic acid and metformin, and niacin. We also prioritised clemastine, lamotrigine, oxcarbazepine, nimodipine and flunarizine. CONCLUSIONS: We report a standardised approach for the identification of candidate drugs for repurposing in the treatment of progressive MS.

A hyperspectral imaging system for mapping haemoglobin and cytochrome-c-oxidase concentration changes in the exposed cerebral cortex.

We present a novel hyperspectral imaging (HSI) system using visible and near-infrared (NIR) light on the exposed cerebral cortex of animals, to monitor and quantify in vivo changes in the oxygenation of haemoglobin and in cellular metabolism via measurement of the redox states of cytochrome-c-oxidase (CCO). The system, named hNIR, is based on spectral scanning illumination at 11 bands (600, 630, 665, 784, 800, 818, 835, 851, 868, 881 and 894 nm), using a supercontinuum laser coupled with a rotating Pellin-Broca prism. Image reconstruction is performed with the aid of a Monte Carlo framework for photon pathlength estimation and post-processing correction of partial volume effects. The system is validated on liquid optical phantoms mimicking brain tissue haemodynamics and metabolism, and finally applied in vivo on the exposed cortex of mice undergoing alternating oxygenation challenges. The results of the study demonstrate the capacity of hNIR to map and quantify the haemodynamic and metabolic states of the exposed cortex at microvascular levels. This represents (to the best of our knowledge) the first example of simultaneous mapping and quantification of cerebral haemoglobin and CCO in vivo using visible and NIR HSI, which can potentially become a powerful tool for better understanding brain physiology.