External validation of the Codman score in colorectal surgery: a pragmatic tool to drive quality improvement.

AIM: The simple six-variable Codman score is a tool designed to reduce the complexity of contemporary risk-adjusted postoperative mortality rate predictions. We sought to externally validate the Codman score in colorectal surgery. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) participant user file and colectomy targeted dataset of 2020 were merged. A Codman score (composed of six variables: age, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, emergency status, degree of sepsis, functional status and preoperative blood transfusion) was assigned to every patient. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and secondary outcome was morbidity at 30 days. Logistic regression analyses were performed using the Codman score and the ACS NSQIP mortality and morbidity algorithms as independent variables for the primary and secondary outcomes. The predictive performance of discrimination area under receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration of the Codman score and these algorithms were compared. RESULTS: A total of 40 589 patients were included and a Codman score was generated for 40 557 (99.02%) patients. The median Codman score was 3 (interquartile range 1-4). To predict mortality, the Codman score had an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI 0.91-0.93) compared to the NSQIP mortality score 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.94). To predict morbidity, the Codman score had an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI 0.66-0.68) compared to the NSQIP morbidity score 0.72 (95% CI 0.71-0.73). When body mass index and surgical approach was added to the Codman score, the performance was no different to the NSQIP morbidity score. The calibration of observed versus expected predictions was almost perfect for both the morbidity and mortality NSQIP predictions, and only well fitted for Codman scores of less than 4 and greater than 7. CONCLUSION: We propose that the six-variable Codman score is an efficient and actionable method for generating validated risk-adjusted outcome predictions and comparative benchmarks to drive quality improvement in colorectal surgery.

A Prospective Audit of 805 Consecutive Patients With Penetrating Abdominal Trauma: Evolving Beyond Injury Mechanism Dictating Management.

BACKGROUND: Global trends of penetrating abdominal trauma (PAT) have seen a shift toward a selectively conservative management strategy. However, its widespread adoption for gunshot injuries has been sluggish. The purpose of this study is to compare the injury mechanisms of gunshot (GSW) and stab wounds (SW) to the abdomen in presentation, management, and outcomes. METHODS: Prospective cohort study, set in Cape Town, South Africa, over 2 years. All patients presenting to the center with PAT during this time were included. Presentation, management, and outcomes were compared by injury mechanism, with a focus on the operative strategy (operative vs nonoperative). RESULTS: During the study period, 805 patients (SW 37.6%; GSW 62.4%) with PAT were managed. Immediate laparotomies were performed in 119 (39.3%) SW and 355 (70.7%) GSW, with a therapeutic laparotomy rate of 85.7% and 91.8% for SW and GSW, respectively. Nonoperative management (NOM) was implemented in 184 SW (60.7%) and 147 GSW (29.3%) (P < 0.001), with a 92.9% and 92.5% success rate for SW and GSW, respectively. The therapeutic laparotomy rate for the delayed laparotomies (DOM) was 69.2% for SW, and 90.9% for GSW. The accuracy of clinical assessment (with adjuncts) in determining the need for laparotomy was: GSW-92% and SW-91%. Univariate analysis revealed the mechanism not to be associated with DOM. The overall mortality rate was 7.2%, and nonfatal morbidities 22.2%. CONCLUSION: Although GSW is a more morbid and often fatal injury, the general principles of selective conservatism hold true for both GSW and SW, equally.

Anastomotic leak after colorectal surgery: does timing affect failure to rescue?

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic leak (AL) is a common complication after colectomy with a relatively high failure to rescue rate (FTR), or death after major complications. There is emerging evidence to suggest an early AL may be associated with increased technical difficulty. Whether the timing of an AL is associated with higher FTR has not been established. METHODS: Patients who underwent a colectomy between 2012 and 2017 were identified from the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP database). The primary outcome was FTR after AL. The predictor variable used was day of post-operative leak (POD) categorized into early (POD ≤ 3), intermediate (3 < POD ≤ 20) and late (20 < POD ≤ 30) AL. These POD groups were compared to generate hypotheses to explain any association observed between timing of AL and FTR. RESULTS: Of 135,539 identified patients, 4613 patients experienced an AL (3.4%) with an overall FTR of 6.4%. FTR differed by timing of AL: early AL was found to have a FTR of 28/195 (12.6%), with a FTR in intermediate AL of 152/2550 (5.6%) and 3/356 (0.8%) in late AL patients (p < 0.0001). When compared by timing of AL, patients differed by sex, pre-operative bowel preparation, de-functioning ostomy rates and re-operation rates (p < 0.05). Controlling for age, ASA, sex, emergency status, operative approach, indication, de-functioning ostomy, re-operation and concurrent procedure, an early AL was found to have a 2.3-fold increased risk of FTR (95% CI 1.38-3.84, p = 0.001), with a late AL having a 0.15-fold decreased risk (95% CI 0.04-0.49, p = 0.002), both compared to an intermediate AL. CONCLUSION: Early ALs, occurring within three days of surgery, may carry a significant risk of FTR. Given the findings identified here, this may support the use of early detection algorithms and interventions of AL to minimize the risk of FTR.

The effect of operative duration on the outcome of colon cancer procedures.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged operative duration has been associated with increased post-operative morbidity in numerous surgical subspecialties; however, data are limited in operations for colon cancer specifically and existing literature makes unwarranted methodological assumptions of linearity. We sought to assess the effects of extended operative duration on perioperative outcomes in those undergoing segmental colectomy for cancer using a methodologically sound approach. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing segmental colectomy for cancer between 2014 and 2018, logged in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program datasets. Our primary outcome was a composite of any complication within 30 days; secondary outcomes included length of stay and discharge disposition. Our main factor of interest was operative duration. RESULTS: We analyzed 26,380 segmental colectomy cases, the majority of which were approached laparoscopically (64.95%) and were right sided (62.93%). Median operative duration was 152 (95% CI 112-206) minutes. On multivariable regression, increased operative duration was linearly associated with any complication (OR = 1.003, 95% CI 1.003-1.003, p < 0.0001) in the overall cohort, as was length of stay (p < 0.0001). All subgroups except for the laparoscopic left colectomy group were linearly associated with operative duration. In the laparoscopic left colectomy group, an inflection point in the odds of any complication was found at 176 min (OR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.20-1.61, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the risk of perioperative complications increases linearly with increasing operative duration, where each additional 30 min increases the odds of complication by 10%. In those undergoing laparoscopic left colectomy, the risk of complications sharply increases after ~ 3 h, suggesting that surgeons should aim to complete these procedures within 3 h where possible.

Will My Patient Survive an Anastomotic Leak? Predicting Failure to Rescue Using the Modified Frailty Index.

IMPORTANCE: Failure to rescue (FTR), or death after major complications, has emerged as a marker of hospital-level quality of care. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive performance of the ACS-NSQIP modified frailty index (mFI) in determining FTR following an anastomotic leak (AL) after a colectomy for colorectal cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Multicenter interrogation of the 2012-2016 American College of Surgeons (ACS) colectomy procedure targeted National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 50,944 patients who underwent colectomy for colorectal cancer. EXPOSURE: Frailty as measured by: (1) Age, ASA, and emergency status (model 1), (2) Age, ASA, emergency status, and mFI (model 2), (3) ACS-NSQIP mortality prediction (model 3). MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: Primary outcome was FTR after AL. RESULTS: A total of 1755 patients experienced an AL (3.46%) with a FTR rate of 6.44%. The mean age was 65.6 years (95% CI 65.28-65.58 years), median ASA was 3 (IQR 2-3), 51 patients (2.92%) were partially or totally dependent, 366 (20.86%) were diabetic, 105 (5.98%) had a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), 32 (1.82%) had a history of congestive heart disease (CHD), and 966 (55.04%) were on hypertensive treatment. The performance of model 1 (AUROC 0.77; 95% CI 0.72-0.81), model 2 (AUROC 0.77; 95% CI 0.73-0.82), and model 3 (AUROC 0.79; 95% CI 0.75-0.83) to predict FTR was not different (p = 0.44). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Age and ASA remain the most reliable predictors of failure to rescue anastomotic leak after colectomy for colorectal cancer. Addition of the modified frailty index, or all variables collected by NSQIP, did not significantly improve predictive performance.

Minimally Invasive Surgical Approaches Are Safe and Appropriate in N2 Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: There is emerging evidence of the oncological safety of minimally invasive surgery in T4 colorectal cancer; however, such support is lacking in N2 disease. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare oncological and perioperative outcomes of surgical resection for N2 colorectal cancer using an open versus minimally invasive approach. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's generic and targeted colectomy data sets. SETTINGS: Data about surgery for N2 colorectal cancer were obtained regarding North American hospitals participating in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. PATIENTS: All patients undergoing elective surgical resection for N2 colorectal cancer in participating hospitals between 2014 and 2018 were selected. INTERVENTIONS: Surgical resection of N2 colorectal cancer was performed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Our primary outcome was nodal yield. Secondary outcomes included perioperative complications and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1837 patients underwent open and 3907 patients underwent minimally invasive surgery colectomies for N2 colorectal cancer (n = 5744). Median nodal yield was 20 (interquartile range, 15-27) in the open group and 21 (interquartile range, 16-28) in the minimally invasive group (p < 0.0001); however, nodal harvest between the 2 groups was not significantly different on multivariate analysis. Perioperative complications were higher on univariate analysis in the open surgery group, with respect to key outcomes including anastomotic leak and death (p < 0.001). LIMITATIONS: This study is limited by its retrospective design and by the fact that the staging data collected by the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program are pathological rather than clinical; however, prior studies found a 97% concordance between pathological and clinical N2 determination. CONCLUSIONS: Minimally invasive surgery approaches to colorectal cancer with N2 disease result in equivalent nodal harvests compared with open approaches. Our group supports the use of a minimally invasive approach in advanced nodal stage colorectal cancer in the appropriately selected patient. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B417. LOS ABORDAJES QUIRRGICOS MNIMAMENTE INVASIVOS SON SEGUROS Y APROPIADOS EN EL CNCER COLORRECTAL N: ANTECEDENTES:Existe evidencia emergente de la seguridad oncológica de la cirugía mínimamente invasiva en el cáncer colorrectal T4; sin embargo, semenjante apoyo falta en la enfermedad N2.OBJETIVO:comparar los resultados oncológicos y perioperatorios de la resección quirúrgica para el cáncer colorrectal N2 utilizando un abordaje abierto versus mínimamente invasivo.DISEÑO:Realizamos un estudio de cohorte retrospectivo utilizando los conjuntos de datos de colectomía genéricos y específicos del Programa Nacional de Mejoramiento de la Calidad Quirúrgica.AJUSTE:Hospitales de Norte America que participan en el Programa Nacional de Mejoramiento de la Calidad Quirúrgica del Colegio Americano de Cirujanos.PACIENTES:Todos los pacientes sometidos a resección quirúrgica electiva por cáncer colorrectal N2 en los hospitales participantes entre 2014 y 2018.INTERVENCIONES:Resección quirúrgica de cáncer colorrectal N2.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VOLORACION:Nuestro resultado principal fue el rendimiento nodal. Los resultados secundarios incluyeron complicaciones perioperatorias y mortalidad.RESULTADOS:1837 pacientes fueron sometidos a cirugía abierta y 3907 pacientes fueron sometidos a colectomías de cirugía mínimamente invasiva por cáncer colorrectal N2 (n = 5744). La mediana del rendimiento nodal fue 20 (IQR 15-27) en el grupo abierto y 21 (IQR 16-28) en el grupo mínimamente invasivo (p <0,0001); sin embargo, el rendimiento nodal entre los dos grupos no fue significativamente diferente en el análisis multivariado. Las complicaciones perioperatorias fueron mayores en el análisis univariado en el grupo de cirugía abierta, con respecto a los resultados clave, incluida la fuga anastomótica y la muerte (p <0,001).LIMITACIONES:Este estudio está limitado por su diseño retrospectivo y por el hecho de que los datos de estadificación recopilados por NSQIP son patológicos más que clínicos; sin embargo, estudios previos encontraron una concordancia del 97% entre la determinación patológica y clínica de N2.CONCLUSIONES:Los enfoques de cirugía mínimamente invasiva para el cáncer colorrectal con enfermedad N2 dan rendimientos nodales equivalentes a abordajes abiertos. Nuestro grupo apoya el uso de abordaje mínimamente invasivo en el cáncer colorrectal avanzado en estadio ganglionar en el paciente adecuadamente seleccionado. Consulte Video Resumenhttp://links.lww.com/DCR/B417.

Extended duration of faecal diversion is associated with increased ileus upon loop ileostomy reversal.

AIM: The timing of ileostomy reversal has been the subject of controversy, with researchers investigating the safety of early versus late stoma closure. Anecdotally, a longer duration of faecal diversion is associated with a greater incidence of postoperative ileus. We sought to investigate the association between duration of diversion and postoperative ileus. METHOD: We conducted an institutional retrospective cohort study on 173 patients undergoing ileostomy closure between 2012 and 2018. Our primary outcome was ileus; secondary outcomes included postoperative complications and descriptive factors. We investigated the association between duration of diversion and ileus using several analyses to ensure that time was treated appropriately as a continuous, nonlinear variable. RESULTS: In all, 20.2% of patients had an ileus. Multivariate analysis did not identify a significant association between any independent predictors and ileus, although there was a trend towards increased risk of ileus with increasing duration of diversion. When treated as a categorical variable, a duration of diversion >328 days independently increased the odds of ileus (OR = 3.25, P = 0.033). Duration of diversion was associated with days to first flatus and to first diet (P = 0.025 and P = 0.004, respectively). When patients received nasogastric intubation, the mean duration of intubation was 3.2 days. CONCLUSION: Greater duration of diversion was associated with a trend towards increased risk of ileus; this risk tripled when diversion lasted more than 328 days.

Faith Communities' Improvements in Readiness to Engage in Addictions Resilience and Recovery Support Programming.

Spirituality and religion are well-documented components of prevention, treatment and recovery of substance use disorders. Faith communities are in a distinct position to support recovery and resilience regarding substance use disorders-not only in times of crisis, but every day. We conducted an exploratory study of congregational (i.e., organizational) "levers" that can drive change readiness in implementing recovery and resilience programming for substance use disorders within faith communities. Findings point to enhanced effectiveness post-intervention and the importance of developing awareness of resources to help with someone who has an alcohol or other drug problem.

A New Recalibrated Four-Category Child-Pugh Score Performs Better than the Original Child-Pugh and MELD Scores in Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Decompensated Alcoholic Cirrhotic Patients with Acute Variceal Bleeding: a Real-World Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: There currently is no consensus on how to accurately predict early rebleeding and death after a major variceal bleed. This study investigated the relative predictive performances of the original Child-Pugh (CP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and a four-category recalibrated Child-Pugh (rCP). METHODS: This prospective study included all adult patients admitted to Groote Schuur Hospital with acute esophageal variceal bleeding secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis, between January 2000 and December 2017. CP and rCP grades and MELD score were calculated on admission, and the predictive ability in discriminating in-hospital rebleeding and death was compared by area under receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. RESULTS: During the study period, 403 consecutive adult patients were treated for bleeding esophageal varices of whom 225 were secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis. Twenty-four (10.6%) patients were CP grade A, 88 (39.1%) grade B and 113 (50.2%) grade C on hospital admission. MELD scores ranged from 6 to 40. Thirty-one (13.8%) patients rebleed, and 41 (18.2%) patients died. There was no difference in the discriminatory capacity of the CP (AUROC 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.670) and MELD (AUROC 0.62, 95% CI 0.51-0.73) to predict rebleeding (p = 0.72), or between the Child-Pugh (AUROC 0.75, 95% CI 0.71-0.81) and MELD (AUROC 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.80) to predict death (p = 0.35). The rCP classification (A-D) had a significantly improved discriminatory capacity (AUROC 0.83 95% CI 0.77-0.89) compared to the CP score (A-C) and MELD to predict death (p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: A recalibrated Child-Pugh score outperforms the original Child-Pugh grade and MELD score in predicting in-hospital death in patients with bleeding esophageal varices secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis.

Data Improvement Through Simplification: Implications for Low-Resource Settings.

BACKGROUND: The focus of many data collection efforts centers on creation of more granular data. The assumption is that more complex data are better able to predict outcomes. We hypothesized that data are often needlessly complex. We sought to demonstrate this concept by examination of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scoring system. METHODS: First, we created every possible consecutive two, three and four category combinations of the current five category ASA score. This resulted in 14 combinations of simplified ASA. We compared the predictive ability of these simplified scores for postoperative outcomes for 2.3 million patients in the NSQIP database. Individual model performance was assessed by comparing receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves for each model with the standard ASA. RESULTS: Two of our 4-category models and one of our 3-category models had ability to predict all outcomes equivalent to standard ASA. These results held for all outcomes and on all subgroups tested. The performance of the three best performing simplified ASA scores were also equivalent to the standard ASA score in the univariate analysis and when included in a multivariate model. CONCLUSIONS: It is assumed that the most granular data and use of the largest number of variables for risk-adjusted predictions will increase accuracy. This complexity is often at the expense of utility. Using the single best predictor in surgical outcomes research, we have shown this is not the case. In this example, we demonstrate that one can simplify ASA into a 3-category variable without losing any ability to predict outcomes.

Derivation, Validation and Application of a Pragmatic Risk Prediction Index for Benchmarking of Surgical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Despite the existence of multiple validated risk assessment and quality benchmarking tools in surgery, their utility outside of high-income countries is limited. We sought to derive, validate and apply a scoring system that is both (1) feasible, and (2) reliably predicts mortality in a middle-income country (MIC) context. METHODS: A 5-step methodology was used: (1) development of a de novo surgical outcomes database modeled around the American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) in South Africa (SA dataset), (2) use of the resultant data to identify all predictors of in-hospital death with more than 90% capture indicating feasibility of collection, (3) use these predictors to derive and validate an integer-based score that reliably predicts in-hospital death in the 2012 ACS-NSQIP, (4) apply the score in the original SA dataset and demonstrate its performance, (5) identify threshold cutoffs of the score to prompt action and drive quality improvement. RESULTS: Following step one-three above, the 13 point Codman's score was derived and validated on 211,737 and 109,079 patients, respectively, and includes: age 65 (1), partially or completely dependent functional status (1), preoperative transfusions ≥4 units (1), emergency operation (2), sepsis or septic shock (2) American Society of Anesthesia score ≥3 (3) and operative procedure (1-3). Application of the score to 373 patients in the SA dataset showed good discrimination and calibration to predict an in-hospital death. A Codman Score of 8 is an optimal cutoff point for defining expected and unexpected deaths. CONCLUSION: We have designed a novel risk prediction score specific for a MIC context. The Codman Score can prove useful for both (1) preoperative decision-making and (2) benchmarking the quality of surgical care in MIC's.

Development and validation of a pancreatic injury mortality score (PIMS) based on 473 consecutive patients treated at a level 1 trauma center.

BACKGROUND: This study sought to develop a pancreatic injury mortality score (PIMS) to identify patients at greatest risk of in-hospital mortality after a major pancreatic injury. METHODS: The study used data from a prospective database of 473 patients treated for pancreatic injuries between January 1990 and December 2015. Two thirds of the patients were assigned to the derivation cohort and one third to the validation cohort. Clinical correlates of in-hospital death were identified and considered in stepwise logistic regression analyses that identified the factors included in the risk index. RESULTS: Five variables, age >55, shock on admission, a vascular injury, number of associated injuries and American Association for the Study of Trauma (AAST) pancreatic injury scale correlated with in-hospital death and were used to calculate PIMS. The final score ROC in the derivation dataset was 0.84 (95% CI 0.79-0.89) and in the validation dataset was 0.91 (95% CI 0.84-0.97), which were comparable (p = 0.1). Finally, cut-off scores were used to generate three risk groups and the rate of mortality within the low (PIMS 0-4), medium (PIMS 5-9), and high risk (PIMS 10-20) groups were not significantly different. The scoring system was tested in a validation cohort and showed good calibration and discrimination for in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: We have derived and validated the PIMS, a novel organ-specific risk prediction score calculated from five variables for in-hospital mortality following major pancreatic trauma. PIMS is simple, quick and easily understandable, increases clinical risk prediction for patients with complex pancreatic and can be used as a benchmark for survival.

An Online Tool for Global Benchmarking of Risk-Adjusted Surgical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence demonstrates significant variation in adverse outcomes following surgery between countries. In order to better quantify these variations, we hypothesize that freely available online risk calculators can be used as a tool to generate global benchmarking of risk-adjusted surgical outcomes. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study conducted at an academic teaching hospital in South Africa (GSH). Consecutive adult patients undergoing major general or vascular surgery who met the ACS-NSQIP inclusion criteria for a 3-month period were included. Data variables required by the ACS risk calculator were prospectively collected, and patients were followed for 30 days post-surgery for the occurrence of endpoints. Calculating observed-to-expected ratios for ten outcome measures of interest generated risk-adjusted outcomes benchmarked against the ACS-NSQIP consortium. RESULTS: A total of 373 major general and vascular surgery procedures met the inclusion criteria. The GSH operative cohort varied significantly compared to the 2012 ACS-NSQIP database. The risk-adjusted O/E ratios were significant for any complication O/E 1.91 (95 % CI 1.57-2.31), surgical site infections O/E 4.76 (95 % CI 3.71-6.01), renal failure O/E 3.29 (95 % CI 1.50-6.24), death O/E 3.43 (95 % CI 2.19-5.11), and total length of stay (LOS) O/E 3.43 (95 % CI 2.19-5.11). CONCLUSION: Freely available online risk calculators can be utilized as tools for global benchmarking of risk-adjusted surgical outcomes.

Mobile health technology transforms injury severity scoring in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The burden of data collection associated with injury severity scoring has limited its application in areas of the world with the highest incidence of trauma. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Since January 2014, electronic records (electronic Trauma Health Records [eTHRs]) replaced all handwritten records at the Groote Schuur Hospital Trauma Unit in South Africa. Data fields required for Glasgow Coma Scale, Revised Trauma Score, Kampala Trauma Score, Injury Severity Score (ISS), and Trauma Score-Injury Severity Score calculations are now prospectively collected. Fifteen months after implementation of eTHR, the injury severity scores were compared as predictors of mortality on three accounts: (1) ability to discriminate (area under receiver operating curve, ROC); (2) ability to calibrate (observed versus expected ratio, O/E); and (3) feasibility of data collection (rate of missing data). RESULTS: A total of 7460 admissions were recorded by eTHR from April 1, 2014 to July 7, 2015, including 770 severely injured patients (ISS > 15) and 950 operations. The mean age was 33.3 y (range 13-94), 77.6% were male, and the mechanism of injury was penetrating in 39.3% of cases. The cohort experienced a mortality rate of 2.5%. Patient reserve predictors required by the scores were 98.7% complete, physiological injury predictors were 95.1% complete, and anatomic injury predictors were 86.9% complete. The discrimination and calibration of Trauma Score-Injury Severity Score was superior for all admissions (ROC 0.9591 and O/E 1.01) and operatively managed patients (ROC 0.8427 and O/E 0.79). In the severely injured cohort, the discriminatory ability of Revised Trauma Score was superior (ROC 0.8315), but no score provided adequate calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Emerging mobile health technology enables reliable and sustainable injury severity scoring in a high-volume trauma center in South Africa.

Factors associated with adverse events after emergency laparotomy in Cape Town, South Africa: identifying opportunities for quality improvement.

BACKGROUND: Surgical outcomes research is limited in areas of the world with the greatest unmet surgical need and likely greatest variation in outcomes. Measurement alone may improve outcomes-the so-called Hawthorne effect. The purpose of this multicenter cohort study was to identify factors that are both feasible to collect and are associated with a major adverse event following a targeted procedure in Cape Town, South Africa. METHODS: A collaborative of four acute care surgical units was formed to develop a data set with minimal data burden describing outcomes after an emergency exploratory laparotomy during a 3-mo period (February-April 2015). Controlling for patient, problem, provider, procedure and process predictors, multivariate models were built to identify risk factors for a major adverse event and higher resource use after surgery in our collaborative. RESULTS: The outcomes of 450 exploratory laparotomies from the four participating hospitals were audited, 319 (70.9%) were for non-trauma and 131 (29.1%) were for trauma. The major adverse event rate was 15.7% (95% CI 12.6-19.4). In the multivariate analysis, factors associated with the primary outcome included age, American Society of Anesthesia score of greater than 2, bowel resection, preoperative CT scan, and a nontherapeutic laparotomy. A major adverse event was associated with all three outcomes assessing increased resource utilization. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the comparative outcome assessment of a high-volume or high-risk procedure as a proxy for measuring the quality of care provided in a surgical collaborative. Such an exercise can identify opportunities for quality improvement.

An Objective Assessment of the Surgical Trainee in an Urban Trauma Unit in South Africa: A Pilot Study.

BACKGROUND: Surgical outcomes are provider specific. This prospective audit describes the surgical activity of five general surgery residents on their trauma surgery rotation. It was hypothesized that the operating surgical trainee is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes following major trauma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study. All patients admitted, over a 6-month period (August 2014-January 2015), following trauma requiring a major operation performed by a surgical trainee at Groote Schuur Hospital's trauma unit in South Africa were included. Multiple logistic regression models were built to compare risk-adjusted surgical outcomes between trainees. The primary outcome measure was major in-hospital complications. RESULTS: A total of 320 major operations involving 341 procedures were included. The mean age was 28.49 years (range 13-64), 97.2 % were male with a median ISS of 9 (IQR 1-41). Mechanism of injury was penetrating in 93.42 % of cases of which 51.86 % were gunshot injuries. Surgeon A consistently had the lowest risk-adjusted outcomes and was used as the reference for all outcomes in the regression models. Surgeon B, D, and E had statistically significant higher rates of major in-hospital complications than Surgeon A and C, after adjusting for multiple confounders. The final model used to calculate the risk estimates for the primary outcome had a ROC of 0.8649. CONCLUSION: Risk-adjusted surgical outcomes vary by operating surgical trainee. The analysis thereof can add value to the objective assessment of a surgical trainee.

Inter-rater reliability of ACS-NSQIP colorectal procedure coding in Canada.

BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (ACS-NSQIP) uses Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes for risk-adjusted calculations. This study evaluates the inter-rater reliability of coding colorectal resections across Canada by ACS-NSQIP surgical clinical nurse reviewers (SCNR) and its impact on risk predictions. METHODS: SCNRs in Canada were asked to code simulated operative reports. Percent agreement and free-marginal kappa correlation were calculated. The ACS-NSQIP risk calculator was utilized to illustrate its impact on risk prediction. RESULTS: Responses from 44 of 150 (29.3 â€‹%) SCNRs revealed 3 to 6 different codes chosen per case, with agreement ranging from 6.7 â€‹% to 62.3 â€‹%. Free-marginal kappa correlation ranged from moderate agreement (0.53) to high disagreement (-0.17). ACS-NSQIP risk calculator predicted large absolute differences in risk for serious complications (0.2 â€‹%-13.7 â€‹%) and mortality (0.2 â€‹%-6.3 â€‹%). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated low inter-rater reliability in coding ACS-NSQIP colorectal procedures in Canada among SCNRs, impacting risk predictions.

Evaluating patient adherence to antidepressant therapy among uninsured working adults diagnosed with major depression: results of the Texas Demonstration to Maintain Independence and Employment study.

This study examined antidepressant adherence and persistence among uninsured working adults diagnosed with major depression enrolled in the Texas Demonstration to Maintain Independence and Employment (DMIE) program. Antidepressant adherence was measured between intervention and control cohorts using proportion of days covered (PDC) during a 365-day observation period. Persistence examined duration of time from drug initiation to discontinuation based on a ≥35-day refill supply gap. Older, non-minority patients with higher education were more adherent or persistent to antidepressant therapy. Adjusting for covariates, results showed no significant difference in PDC at the end of 12-months between intervention and control participants (b = .07, P = .054, semi-partial η (2) = .02). Exploratory analysis found subgroup differences in PDC among the study recruitment cohorts. No significant difference between intervention and control groups was found in persistence between the groups. Follow-up investigation is planned to assess the longer term impact of the DMIE program on antidepressant adherence and persistence.

Robot-Assisted Common Bile Duct Exploration in Trinidad & Tobago.

Although laparoscopic common bile duct exploration is a feasible and safe option for the operative management of choledocholithiasis, there has been a general reluctance to perform this procedure in Caribbean practice. This is largely because duct exploration is perceived to be difficult with laparoscopic instruments, and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) has become increasingly available. We report a case in which stones were extracted laparoscopically from the common bile duct, aided by the FreeHand® (Freehand 2010 Ltd., Guildford, Surrey, UK) robot, to show that the procedure is feasible and safe in the Caribbean environment.