Stroke genetics informs drug discovery and risk prediction across ancestries.

Previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of stroke - the second leading cause of death worldwide - were conducted predominantly in populations of European ancestry1,2. Here, in cross-ancestry GWAS meta-analyses of 110,182 patients who have had a stroke (five ancestries, 33% non-European) and 1,503,898 control individuals, we identify association signals for stroke and its subtypes at 89 (61 new) independent loci: 60 in primary inverse-variance-weighted analyses and 29 in secondary meta-regression and multitrait analyses. On the basis of internal cross-ancestry validation and an independent follow-up in 89,084 additional cases of stroke (30% non-European) and 1,013,843 control individuals, 87% of the primary stroke risk loci and 60% of the secondary stroke risk loci were replicated (P < 0.05). Effect sizes were highly correlated across ancestries. Cross-ancestry fine-mapping, in silico mutagenesis analysis3, and transcriptome-wide and proteome-wide association analyses revealed putative causal genes (such as SH3PXD2A and FURIN) and variants (such as at GRK5 and NOS3). Using a three-pronged approach4, we provide genetic evidence for putative drug effects, highlighting F11, KLKB1, PROC, GP1BA, LAMC2 and VCAM1 as possible targets, with drugs already under investigation for stroke for F11 and PROC. A polygenic score integrating cross-ancestry and ancestry-specific stroke GWASs with vascular-risk factor GWASs (integrative polygenic scores) strongly predicted ischaemic stroke in populations of European, East Asian and African ancestry5. Stroke genetic risk scores were predictive of ischaemic stroke independent of clinical risk factors in 52,600 clinical-trial participants with cardiometabolic disease. Our results provide insights to inform biology, reveal potential drug targets and derive genetic risk prediction tools across ancestries.

Neutrophil counts and cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Anti-inflammatory trials have shown considerable benefits for cardiovascular disease. High neutrophil counts, an easily accessible inflammation biomarker, are associated with atherosclerosis in experimental studies. This study aimed to investigate the associations between neutrophil counts and risk of nine cardiovascular endpoints using observational and genetic approaches. METHODS: Observational studies were conducted in the Copenhagen General Population Study (n = 101 730). Genetic studies were firstly performed using one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) with individual-level data from the UK Biobank (n = 365 913); secondly, two-sample MR analyses were performed using summary-level data from the Blood Cell Consortium (n = 563 085). Outcomes included ischaemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, ischaemic cerebrovascular disease, ischaemic stroke, vascular-related dementia, vascular dementia, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Observational analyses showed associations between high neutrophil counts with high risks of all outcomes. In the UK Biobank, odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) per 1-SD higher genetically predicted neutrophil counts were 1.15 (1.08, 1.21) for ischaemic heart disease, 1.22 (1.12, 1.34) for myocardial infarction, and 1.19 (1.04, 1.36) for peripheral arterial disease; similar results were observed in men and women separately. In two-sample MR, corresponding estimates were 1.14 (1.05, 1.23) for ischaemic heart disease and 1.11 (1.02, 1.20) for myocardial infarction; multiple sensitivity analyses showed consistent results. No robust associations in two-sample MR analyses were found for other types of leucocytes. CONCLUSIONS: Observational and genetically determined high neutrophil counts were associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, supporting that high blood neutrophil counts is a causal risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Plasma Concentrations of Calcium and Risk of Alzheimer Disease-Observational and Genetic Studies.

BACKGROUND: Dysregulation of calcium ion homeostasis in neurons is well documented in Alzheimer disease (AD), and high plasma calcium concentrations have been associated with cognitive decline in the elderly; however, a potential causal nature for this association has not been elucidated. METHODS: Plasma calcium ion concentrations of 97 968 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS) were included and multifactorial Cox regressions using splines or quartiles was performed to investigate the observational association. A plasma calcium ion genome-wide association study (GWAS) was performed in 2 independent subgroups of the CGPS. The plasma calcium ion GWAS and publicly available genomic data sets for plasma total calcium and AD were used to perform the currently most powerful 2-sample Mendelian randomization studies. RESULTS: The hazard ratio for lowest vs highest quartile of the calcium ion concentration was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.08-1.43) for AD. The plasma calcium ion GWAS identified 3 independent loci. None of the genetic instruments for plasma concentrations of calcium ions or total calcium were associated with AD risk. CONCLUSIONS: High plasma concentrations of calcium ions were observationally associated with increased risk of AD but genetic associations were not found, suggesting that the observational findings may be due to reverse causation or residual confounding.

C-reactive protein levels and risk of dementia-Observational and genetic studies of 111,242 individuals from the general population.

INTRODUCTION: Increased plasma levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) in midlife are associated with increased risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD), whereas in older age the opposite association is observed. Whether genetically determined CRP is associated with AD remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 111,242 White individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Copenhagen City Heart Study were included. Plasma levels of CRP and four regulatory genetic variants in the CRP gene were determined. RESULTS: For CRP percentile group 1 to 5 (lowest plasma CRP) versus the 50 to 75 group (reference), the hazard ratio for AD was 1.69 (95% confidence interval 1.29-2.16). Genetically low CRP was associated with increased risk of AD in individuals with body mass index ≤25 kg/m2 (P = 4 × 10-6 ). DISCUSSION: Low plasma levels of CRP at baseline were associated with high risk of AD in individuals from the general population. These observational findings were supported by genetic studies.

Plasma Concentrations of Magnesium and Risk of Dementia: A General Population Study of 102 648 Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Low and high concentrations of plasma magnesium are associated with increased risk of future all-cause dementia; however, the underlying reasons remain elusive. The magnesium ion is an important electrolyte serving as a cofactor in many enzymatic processes in the human organism. Magnesium affects both neuronal and vascular functions. We investigated the associations of plasma concentrations of magnesium associate with common subtypes of dementia as Alzheimer dementia and non-Alzheimer dementia, and potential pathways by which magnesium may affect risk of dementia. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of magnesium were measured in 102 648 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study. Cox regression and natural effects mediation analyses evaluated associations with either Alzheimer dementia or non-Alzheimer dementia. RESULTS: Multifactorially adjusted hazard ratios for non-Alzheimer dementia were 1.50(95% confidence interval (CI):1.21-1.87) for the lowest and 1.34(1.07-1.69) for the highest vs the fourth quintile (reference) of plasma magnesium concentrations. Diabetes, cumulated smoking, stroke, and systolic blood pressure mediated 10.4%(3.1-22.8%), 6.8%(1.2-14.0%), 1.3%(0.1-3.6%), and 1.0%(0.2-2.6%), respectively, in the lowest quintile, whereas stroke mediated 3.2%(0.4-11.9%) in the highest quintile. No associations were observed for Alzheimer dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Low and high plasma magnesium concentrations were associated with high risk of vascular-related non-Alzheimer dementia, with the lowest risk observed at a concentration of 2.07 mg/dL (0.85 mmol/L). No association was observed for Alzheimer dementia. Mediation analysis suggested that diabetes may be in the causal pathway between low plasma magnesium concentrations and high risk of non-Alzheimer dementia, while cumulated smoking, stroke, and systolic blood pressure played minor mediating roles.

Genetic Associations Between Modifiable Risk Factors and Alzheimer Disease.

Importance: An estimated 40% of dementia is potentially preventable by modifying 12 risk factors throughout the life course. However, robust evidence for most of these risk factors is lacking. Effective interventions should target risk factors in the causal pathway to dementia. Objective: To comprehensively disentangle potentially causal aspects of modifiable risk factors for Alzheimer disease (AD) to inspire new drug targeting and improved prevention. Design, Setting, and Participants: This genetic association study was conducted using 2-sample univariable and multivariable mendelian randomization. Independent genetic variants associated with modifiable risk factors were selected as instrumental variables from genomic consortia. Outcome data for AD were obtained from the European Alzheimer & Dementia Biobank (EADB), generated on August 31, 2021. Main analyses were conducted using the EADB clinically diagnosed end point data. All analyses were performed between April 12 and October 27, 2022. Exposures: Genetically determined modifiable risk factors. Main Outcomes and Measures: Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs for AD were calculated per 1-unit change of genetically determined risk factors. Results: The EADB-diagnosed cohort included 39 106 participants with clinically diagnosed AD and 401 577 control participants without AD. The mean age ranged from 72 to 83 years for participants with AD and 51 to 80 years for control participants. Among participants with AD, 54% to 75% were female, and among control participants, 48% to 60% were female. Genetically determined high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol concentrations were associated with increased odds of AD (OR per 1-SD increase, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.05-1.16]). Genetically determined high systolic blood pressure was associated with increased risk of AD after adjusting for diastolic blood pressure (OR per 10-mm Hg increase, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.02-1.46]). In a second analysis to minimize bias due to sample overlap, the entire UK Biobank was excluded from the EADB consortium; odds for AD were similar for HDL cholesterol (OR per 1-SD unit increase, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.15]) and systolic blood pressure after adjusting for diastolic blood pressure (OR per 10-mm Hg increase, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.01-1.50]). Conclusions and Relevance: This genetic association study found novel genetic associations between high HDL cholesterol concentrations and high systolic blood pressure with higher risk of AD. These findings may inspire new drug targeting and improved prevention implementation.

HDL cholesterol concentrations and risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease - Insights from randomized clinical trials and human genetics.

Through seven decades the inverse association between HDL cholesterol concentrations and risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) has been observed in case-control and prospective cohort studies. This robust inverse association fuelled the enthusiasm towards development of HDL cholesterol increasing drugs, exemplified by the cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitor trials and the extended-release niacin HPS2-THRIVE trial. These HDL cholesterol increasing trials were launched without conclusive evidence from human genetics, and despite discrepant species dependent evidence from animal studies. Evidence from human genetics and from randomized clinical trials over the last 13 years now point in the direction that concentrations of HDL cholesterol, do not appear to be a viable future path to target therapeutically for prevention of ASCVD. A likely explanation for the strong observational association between low HDL cholesterol and high ASCVD risk is the concomitant inverse association between HDL cholesterol and atherogenic triglyceride-rich lipoproteins. The purpose of the present review is to bring HDL cholesterol increasing trials into a human genetics context exemplified by candidate gene studies of key players in HDL biogenesis as well as by HDL cholesterol related genome-wide association studies.

Blood Leukocyte Counts in Alzheimer Disease.

Importance: Emerging evidence implicates a role for neuroinflammation in Alzheimer disease (AD) pathogenesis, predominantly involving the innate immune system. Blood leukocyte counts are easily accessible markers of immune function; however, their association with the risk of AD is unknown. Objective: To investigate the observational and genetic associations between types of blood leukocytes and risk of AD. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a cohort study comprising observational and genetic analyses, the Copenhagen General Population Study prospective cohort (n = 101 582) was used for the observational analyses. For the genetic studies, nonlinearity was first evaluated for the association between leukocyte cell counts and AD risk using individual-level data from the UK Biobank (n = 365 913). Subsequently, a 2-sample mendelian randomization framework was applied using genetic instruments for blood leukocyte counts (n = 563 085); for AD, the European Alzheimer & Dementia Biobank was used, including 85 934 individuals with AD and 401 577 controls and the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project, including 21 982 individuals with AD and 41 944 controls. Exposures: Observational and genetically determined types of blood leukocyte counts. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for AD of cell count percentile groups in observational studies and odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs for AD per 1 SD genetically determined cell counts. Results: This cohort study included 101 582 participants (55 891 [55.0%] women) with a median age of 58 years (IQR, 48-67 years); of these, 1588 individuals developed AD. Multivariable-adjusted HRs for participants in the less than 5th vs the 25th to 75th (reference) percentile group were 1.24 (95% CI, 0.99-1.54) for blood monocytes and 1.25 for blood eosinophils (95% CI, 1.05-1.50). For participants in the greater than 95th vs the 25th to 75th percentile group, the HR was 1.30 (95% CI, 1.06-1.61) for blood neutrophils. Genetically, no evidence favored possible nonlinear associations. The ORs for AD per 1-SD decrease in genetically determined blood monocytes were 1.04 (95% CI, 1.00-1.10) in the European Alzheimer & Dementia Biobank consortium and 1.09 (95% CI, 1.01-1.17) in the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Project consortium. Using mendelian randomization, sensitivity analyses and multivariable analysis showed similar results. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that low blood monocyte counts are associated with increased AD risk. These findings highlight a potential role of the innate immune system in AD pathogenesis.

Association of Rare APOE Missense Variants V236E and R251G With Risk of Alzheimer Disease.

Importance: The APOE ε2 and APOE ε4 alleles are the strongest protective and risk-increasing, respectively, genetic variants for late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD). However, the mechanisms linking APOE to AD-particularly the apoE protein's role in AD pathogenesis and how this is affected by APOE variants-remain poorly understood. Identifying missense variants in addition to APOE ε2 and APOE ε4 could provide critical new insights, but given the low frequency of additional missense variants, AD genetic cohorts have previously been too small to interrogate this question robustly. Objective: To determine whether rare missense variants on APOE are associated with AD risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: Association with case-control status was tested in a sequenced discovery sample (stage 1) and followed up in several microarray imputed cohorts as well as the UK Biobank whole-exome sequencing resource using a proxy-AD phenotype (stages 2 and 3). This study combined case-control, family-based, population-based, and longitudinal AD-related cohorts that recruited referred and volunteer participants. Stage 1 included 37 409 nonunique participants of European or admixed European ancestry, with 11 868 individuals with AD and 11 934 controls passing analysis inclusion criteria. In stages 2 and 3, 475 473 participants were considered across 8 cohorts, of which 84 513 individuals with AD and proxy-AD and 328 372 controls passed inclusion criteria. Selection criteria were cohort specific, and this study was performed a posteriori on individuals who were genotyped. Among the available genotypes, 76 195 were excluded. All data were retrieved between September 2015 and November 2021 and analyzed between April and November 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: In primary analyses, the AD risk associated with each missense variant was estimated, as appropriate, with either linear mixed-model regression or logistic regression. In secondary analyses, associations were estimated with age at onset using linear mixed-model regression and risk of conversion to AD using competing-risk regression. Results: A total of 544 384 participants were analyzed in the primary case-control analysis; 312 476 (57.4%) were female, and the mean (SD; range) age was 64.9 (15.2; 40-110) years. Two missense variants were associated with a 2-fold to 3-fold decreased AD risk: APOE ε4 (R251G) (odds ratio, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.33-0.59; P = 4.7 × 10-8) and APOE ε3 (V236E) (odds ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.25-0.56; P = 1.9 × 10-6). Additionally, the cumulative incidence of AD in carriers of these variants was found to grow more slowly with age compared with noncarriers. Conclusions and Relevance: In this genetic association study, a novel variant associated with AD was identified: R251G always coinherited with ε4 on the APOE gene, which mitigates the ε4-associated AD risk. The protective effect of the V236E variant, which is always coinherited with ε3 on the APOE gene, was also confirmed. The location of these variants confirms that the carboxyl-terminal portion of apoE plays an important role in AD pathogenesis. The large risk reductions reported here suggest that protein chemistry and functional assays of these variants should be pursued, as they have the potential to guide drug development targeting APOE.

Update on management of hypokalaemia and goals for the lower potassium level in patients with cardiovascular disease: a review in collaboration with the European Society of Cardiology Working Group on Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy.

Hypokalaemia is common in patients with cardiovascular disease. In this review, we emphasize the importance of tight potassium regulation in patients with cardiovascular disease based on findings from observational studies. To enhance the understanding, we also describe the mechanisms of potassium homeostasis maintenance, the most common causes of hypokalaemia and present strategies for monitoring and management of low potassium levels. We propose elevation of potassium in asymptomatic patients with lower normal concentrations and concurrent cardiovascular disease. These proposals are intended to assist clinicians until more evidence is available.

Type-2 diabetes and risk of dementia: observational and Mendelian randomisation studies in 1 million individuals.

AIMS: In observational studies, type-2 diabetes is associated with increased risk of dementia; however, the causal nature of this association remains unanswered. In an unselected nationwide study of all Danes, we wanted to test whether type-2 diabetes is associated with dementia subtypes, and to test whether potential associations are of a causal nature. METHODS: In the current study of nationwide observational registry data in all Danes above the age of 65 years (n = 784 434) combined with genetic consortia data on 213 370 individuals, we investigated the associations between type-2 diabetes and Alzheimer's disease, vascular dementia, unspecified dementia and all-cause dementia, and whether observational associations were of a causal nature by applying a two-sample Mendelian randomisation strategy. We addressed key biases inherent in Mendelian randomisation approaches. RESULTS: Important confounders (age, ethnicity, size of community, region, civil status and education level) were captured on all 784 434 individuals and adjusted for in the models. Multifactorial adjusted hazard ratios were 1.13 (1.06-1.21) for Alzheimer's disease, 1.98 (1.83-2.14) for vascular dementia, 1.53 (1.48-1.59) for unspecified dementia and 1.48 (1.44-1.53) for all-cause dementia in persons with type-2 diabetes v. without. Results were similar for men and women. The two-sample Mendelian randomisation estimate for the association between the genetic instrument and Alzheimer's disease was 1.04 (0.98-1.10), consistent with sensitivity estimates, addressing pleiotropy, measurement bias and weak instrument bias. CONCLUSIONS: In a nationwide study of all Danes above the age of 65 years, we show that type-2 diabetes is associated with major subtypes of dementia - with particularly strong associations for vascular dementia and unspecified dementia - the two types of dementia with the most obvious vascular pathologies. Although the present two-sample Mendelian randomisation approach using genetic consortia data suggests that type-2 diabetes is not a direct cause of Alzheimer's disease, we were unable to test the causal nature of type-2 diabetes for vascular dementia and unspecified dementia, because no publicly available genetic consortia data yet exist for these dementia endpoints. The causal nature of type-2 diabetes for dementia with vascular pathologies is pivotal questions to solve for future public health recommendations and therapeutic advice.

Diagnostic Value of Oligoclonal Bands in Children: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the diagnostic value of cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal bands in individuals less than 18 years of age. METHODS: In a nationwide population-based setting, we retrieved data on 2055 children's oligoclonal band examination, including concordant cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers, during 1994 to 2017. Case ascertainment was by review of medical records and diagnostic codes. We used Fisher's exact test to explore distribution differences of oligoclonal band positivity in acquired demyelinating syndromes (ADS) before and after age 12 years and calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of oligoclonal bands to distinguish ADS from the other diagnostic groups. RESULTS: Median age at oligoclonal band examination was 15.2 years (range = 1.8 to 18.0), and 10% had presence of cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal bands. Oligoclonal band positivity was the highest in ADS (52%), but it was age dependent: 21% in children with ADS before age 12 years and 68% in children aged 12 through 17 years (P < 0.0001) owing to the higher incidence of multiple sclerosis in the latter. Cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal bands were not predictive of ADS before age 12 years compared with the other diagnostic groups. However, cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal bands in children aged 12 through 17 years were highly predictive of ADS compared with central nervous system infections and non-ADS immune-mediated central nervous system diseases (positive predictive value: 0.89; 95% confidence interval = 0.82 to 0.94; P < 0.0001), but negative oligoclonal bands were not discriminatory (negative predictive value: P = 0.17). CONCLUSIONS: In a clinical setting, cerebrospinal fluid oligoclonal band examination may be of higher yield in children aged 12 through 17 years if there is clinical suspicion of multiple sclerosis, and in such circumstances a positive test supports a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis.

IVIVC for fenofibrate immediate release tablets using solubility and permeability as in vitro predictors for pharmacokinetics.

The goal of this study was to investigate the in vitro-in vivo correlation (IVIVC) for fenofibrate immediate release (IR) tablet formulations based on MeltDose-technique. The in vitro determined drug solubility and permeability data were related to the C(max) values observed from two in vivo human studies. Solubility and permeation studies of fenofibrate were conducted in medium simulating the fasted state conditions in the upper jejunum, containing the surfactant compositions of the six formulations at different concentrations. The behavior of all surfactant compositions was characterized by surface tension, dynamic light scattering, and cryo-TEM. The obtained solubility and permeation data were combined and compared with the C(max) values for the fenofibrate formulations, assuming a 50 mL in vivo dissolution volume. A good IVIVC was observed for five fenofibrate formulations (R(2) = 0.94). The in vitro studies revealed that the formulation compositions containing sodium lauryl sulfate (SLS) interfered with the vesicular drug solubilizing system of the biorelevant medium and antagonized its solubilization capacity. The opposing interaction of surfactants with the emulsifying physiological constituents in intestinal juice should be taken into consideration in order to prevent unsatisfactory in vivo performance of orally administered formulations with low soluble active pharmaceutical ingredients.