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1.
Cardiovasc Drugs Ther ; 35(3): 663-676, 2021 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33528719

RESUMO

Pharmacogenomics has a burgeoning role in cardiovascular medicine, from warfarin dosing to antiplatelet choice, with recent developments in sequencing bringing the promise of personalised medicine ever closer to the bedside. Further scientific evidence, real-world clinical trials, and economic modelling are needed to fully realise this potential. Additionally, tools such as polygenic risk scores, and results from Mendelian randomisation analyses, are only in the early stages of clinical translation and merit further investigation. Genetically targeted rational drug design has a strong evidence base and, due to the nature of genetic data, academia, direct-to-consumer companies, healthcare systems, and industry may meet in an unprecedented manner. Data sharing navigation may prove problematic. The present manuscript addresses these issues and concludes a need for further guidance to be provided to prescribers by professional bodies to aid in the consideration of such complexities and guide translation of scientific knowledge to personalised clinical action, thereby striving to improve patient care. Additionally, technologic infrastructure equipped to handle such large complex data must be adapted to pharmacogenomics and made user friendly for prescribers and patients alike.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/genética , Farmacogenética/métodos , Medicina de Precisão/métodos , Pesquisa Translacional Biomédica/métodos , Bioética , Análise Custo-Benefício , Descoberta de Drogas/métodos , Humanos , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Medição de Risco
2.
BMC Med ; 18(1): 367, 2020 11 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33234119

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The number of patients living with co-existing diseases is growing. This study aimed to assess the extent of multimorbidity, medication use, and drug- and gene-based interactions in patients following a non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). METHODS: In 1456 patients discharged from hospital for a NSTE-ACS, comorbidities and multimorbidity (≥ 2 chronic conditions) were assessed. Of these, 698 had complete drug use recorded at discharge, and 652 (the 'interaction' cohort) had drug use and actionable genotypes available for CYP2B6, CYP2C9, CYP2C19, CYP2D6, CYP3A5, DPYD, F5, SLCO1B1, TPMT, UGT1A1, and VKORC1. The following drug interactions were investigated: pharmacokinetic drug-drug (DDIs) involving CYPs (CYPs above, plus CYP1A2, CYP2C8, CYP3A4), SLCO1B1, and P-glycoprotein; drug-gene (DGIs); drug-drug-gene (DDGIs); and drug-gene-gene (DGGIs). Interactions predicted to be 'substantial' were defined as follows: DDIs due to strong inhibitors/inducers, DGIs due to variant homozygous/compound heterozygous genotypes, and DDGIs/DGGIs where the constituent DDI/DGI(s) both influenced the victim drug in the same direction. RESULTS: In the whole cohort, 727 (49.9%) patients had multimorbidity. Non-linear relationships between age and increasing comorbidities and decreasing coronary intervention were observed. There were 98.1% and 39.8% patients on ≥ 5 and ≥ 10 drugs, respectively (from n = 698); women received more non-cardiovascular drugs than men (median (IQR) 3 (1-5) vs 2 (1-4), p = 0.014). Overall, 98.7% patients had at least one actionable genotype. Within the interaction cohort, 882 interactions were identified in 503 patients (77.1%), of which 346 in 252 patients (38.7%) were substantial: 59.2%, 11.6%, 26.3%, and 2.9% substantial interactions were DDIs, DGIs, DDGIs, and DGGIs, respectively. CYP2C19 (49.5% of all interactions) and SLCO1B1 (18.4%) were involved in the largest number of interactions. Multimorbidity (p = 0.019) and number of drugs (p = 9.8 × 10-10) were both associated with patients having ≥ 1 substantial interaction. Multimorbidity (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.10-2.82, p = 0.019), number of drugs (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.04-1.16, p = 1.2 × 10-3), and age (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07, p = 8.9 × 10-7), but not drug interactions, were associated with increased subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: Multimorbidity, polypharmacy, and drug interactions are common after a NSTE-ACS. Replication of results is required; however, the high prevalence of DDGIs suggests integrating co-medications with genetic data will improve medicines optimisation.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/dietoterapia , Multimorbidade/tendências , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST/tratamento farmacológico , Farmacogenética/métodos , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Interações Medicamentosas , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Polimedicação , Estudos Prospectivos
3.
Epidemiol Infect ; 147: e155, 2019 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31063086

RESUMO

Unlike for many other respiratory infections, the seasonality of pertussis is not well understood. While evidence of seasonal fluctuations in pertussis incidence has been noted in some countries, there have been conflicting findings including in the context of Australia. We investigated this issue by analysing the seasonality of pertussis notifications in Australia using monthly data from January 1991 to December 2016. Data were made available for all states and territories in Australia except for the Australian Capital Territory and were stratified into age groups. Using a time-series decomposition approach, we formulated a generalised additive model where seasonality is expressed using cosinor terms to estimate the amplitude and peak timing of pertussis notifications in Australia. We also compared these characteristics across different jurisdictions and age groups. We found evidence that pertussis notifications exhibit seasonality, with peaks observed during the spring and summer months (November-January) in Australia and across different states and territories. During peak months, notifications are expected to increase by about 15% compared with the yearly average. Peak notifications for children <5 years occurred 1-2 months later than the general population, which provides support to the theory that older household members remain an important source of pertussis infection for younger children. In addition, our results provide a more comprehensive spatial picture of seasonality in Australia, a feature lacking in previous studies. Finally, our findings suggest that seasonal forcing may be useful to consider in future population transmission models of pertussis.


Assuntos
Notificação de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Estações do Ano , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Austrália/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem
4.
Stat Med ; 37(29): 4557-4570, 2018 12 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30155902

RESUMO

Motivated by two case studies using primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we describe statistical methods that facilitate the analysis of tall data, with very large numbers of observations. Our focus is on investigating the association between patient characteristics and an outcome of interest, while allowing for variation among general practices. We explore ways to fit mixed-effects models to tall data, including predictors of interest and confounding factors as covariates, and including random intercepts to allow for heterogeneity in outcome among practices. We introduce (1) weighted regression and (2) meta-analysis of estimated regression coefficients from each practice. Both methods reduce the size of the dataset, thus decreasing the time required for statistical analysis. We compare the methods to an existing subsampling approach. All methods give similar point estimates, and weighted regression and meta-analysis give similar standard errors for point estimates to analysis of the entire dataset, but the subsampling method gives larger standard errors. Where all data are discrete, weighted regression is equivalent to fitting the mixed model to the entire dataset. In the presence of a continuous covariate, meta-analysis is useful. Both methods are easy to implement in standard statistical software.


Assuntos
Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Metanálise como Assunto , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Regressão , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Medicina Geral/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos
5.
Stat Med ; 37(1): 60-70, 2018 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28929507

RESUMO

Rich meta-epidemiological data sets have been collected to explore associations between intervention effect estimates and study-level characteristics. Welton et al proposed models for the analysis of meta-epidemiological data, but these models are restrictive because they force heterogeneity among studies with a particular characteristic to be at least as large as that among studies without the characteristic. In this paper we present alternative models that are invariant to the labels defining the 2 categories of studies. To exemplify the methods, we use a collection of meta-analyses in which the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool has been implemented. We first investigate the influence of small trial sample sizes (less than 100 participants), before investigating the influence of multiple methodological flaws (inadequate or unclear sequence generation, allocation concealment, and blinding). We fit both the Welton et al model and our proposed label-invariant model and compare the results. Estimates of mean bias associated with the trial characteristics and of between-trial variances are not very sensitive to the choice of model. Results from fitting a univariable model show that heterogeneity variance is, on average, 88% greater among trials with less than 100 participants. On the basis of a multivariable model, heterogeneity variance is, on average, 25% greater among trials with inadequate/unclear sequence generation, 51% greater among trials with inadequate/unclear blinding, and 23% lower among trials with inadequate/unclear allocation concealment, although the 95% intervals for these ratios are very wide. Our proposed label-invariant models for meta-epidemiological data analysis facilitate investigations of between-study heterogeneity attributable to certain study characteristics.


Assuntos
Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Metanálise como Assunto , Modelos Estatísticos , Viés , Bioestatística/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Análise Multivariada , Tamanho da Amostra
6.
Int J Clin Pract ; 70(10): 806-824, 2016 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27582503

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Vital signs monitoring is an old hospital practice for patient safety but evaluation of its effectiveness is not widespread. We aimed to identify strategies to improve intermittent or continuous vital signs monitoring in general wards; and their effectiveness in preventing adverse events on general hospital wards. METHODS: Publications searched between 1980 and June 2014 in five databases. Main outcome measures were in-hospital death, cardiac arrest, intensive care unit (ICU) transfers, length of stay, identification of physiological deterioration and activation of rapid response systems. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies assessing the effect of continuous (9) or intermittent monitoring (13) and reporting outcomes on 203,407 patients in-hospital wards across 13 countries were included in this review. Both monitoring practices led to early identification of patient deterioration, increased rapid response activations and improvements in timeliness or completeness of vital signs documentation. Innovative intermittent monitoring approaches are associated with modest reduction in in-hospital mortality over intermittent vital signs monitoring in 'usual care'. However, there was no evidence of significant reduction in ICU transfers or other adverse events with either intermittent or continuous monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: This review of heterogeneous monitoring approaches found no conclusive confirmation of improvements in prevention of cardiac arrest, reduction in length of hospital stay, or prevention of other neurological or cardiovascular adverse events. The evidence found to date is insufficient to recommend continuous vital signs monitoring in general wards as routine practice. Future evaluations of effectiveness need to be undertaken with more rigorous methods and homogeneous outcome measurements.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Monitorização Fisiológica/métodos , Segurança do Paciente , Sinais Vitais/fisiologia , Cuidados Críticos , Parada Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Equipe de Respostas Rápidas de Hospitais , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Transferência de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Quartos de Pacientes
7.
Int J Qual Health Care ; 28(4): 456-69, 2016 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27353273

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To investigate the extent of objective 'non-beneficial treatments (NBTs)' (too much) anytime in the last 6 months of life in routine hospital care. DATA SOURCES: English language publications in Medline, EMBASE, PubMed, Cochrane library, and the grey literature (January 1995-April 2015). STUDY SELECTION: All study types assessing objective dimensions of non-beneficial medical or surgical diagnostic, therapeutic or non-palliative procedures administered to older adults at the end of life (EOL). DATA EXTRACTION: A 13-item quality score estimated independently by two authors. RESULTS OF DATA SYNTHESIS: Evidence from 38 studies indicates that on average 33-38% of patients near the EOL received NBTs. Mean prevalence of resuscitation attempts for advanced stage patients was 28% (range 11-90%). Mean death in intensive care unit (ICU) was 42% (range 11-90%); and mean death rate in a hospital ward was 44.5% (range 29-60%). Mean prevalence of active measures including dialysis, radiotherapy, transfusions and life support treatment to terminal patient was 7-77% (mean 30%). Non-beneficial administration of antibiotics, cardiovascular, digestive and endocrine treatments to dying patients occurred in 11-75% (mean 38%). Non-beneficial tests were performed on 33-50% of patients with do-not-resuscitate orders. From meta-analyses, the pooled prevalence of non-beneficial ICU admission was 10% (95% CI 0-33%); for chemotherapy in the last six weeks of life was 33% (95% CI 24-41%). CONCLUSION: This review has confirmed widespread use of NBTs at the EOL in acute hospitals. While a certain level of NBT is inevitable, its extent, variation and justification need further scrutiny.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Cuidados Paliativos , Assistência Terminal , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva
8.
Br J Surg ; 102(8): 883-93, 2015 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25919321

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: MRI has been used increasingly in the diagnosis and management of women with invasive breast cancer. However, its usefulness in the preoperative assessment of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) remains questionable. A meta-analysis was conducted to examine the effects of MRI on surgical treatment of DCIS by analysing studies comparing preoperative MRI with conventional preoperative assessment. METHODS: Using random-effects modelling, the proportion of women with various outcomes in the MRI versus no-MRI groups was estimated, and the odds ratio (OR) and adjusted OR (adjusted for study-level median age) for each model were calculated. RESULTS: Nine eligible studies were identified that included 1077 women with DCIS who had preoperative MRI and 2175 who did not. MRI significantly increased the odds of having initial mastectomy (OR 1·72, P = 0·012; adjusted OR 1·76, P = 0·010). There were no significant differences in the proportion of women with positive margins following breast-conserving surgery (BCS) in the MRI and no-MRI groups (OR 0·80, P = 0·059; adjusted OR 1·10, P = 0·716), nor in the necessity of reoperation for positive margins after BCS (OR 1·06, P = 0·759; adjusted OR 1·04, P = 0·844). Overall mastectomy rates did not differ significantly according to whether or not MRI was performed (OR 1·23, P = 0·340; adjusted OR 0·97, P = 0·881). CONCLUSION: Preoperative MRI in women with DCIS is not associated with improvement in surgical outcomes.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/cirurgia , Carcinoma Ductal de Mama/cirurgia , Carcinoma Intraductal não Infiltrante/cirurgia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Cuidados Pré-Operatórios , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Carcinoma Ductal de Mama/patologia , Carcinoma Intraductal não Infiltrante/patologia , Feminino , Humanos , Mastectomia , Mastectomia Segmentar
9.
J Equine Vet Sci ; 141: 105167, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39151810

RESUMO

Historically, 8 × 0.5 ml straws, containing approximately 800 million sperm and 250 million progressively motile sperm were provided as a single 'breeding dose' of cryopreserved stallion semen. With the use of deep horn artificial insemination, there is a trend to reduce the number of 0.5 ml straws sold as a breeding dose, sometimes down to as little as one straw. Our aims were to determine if the number of straws provided as a breeding dose, as well as other mare, stallion and management factors, have an impact on pregnancy outcome in mares inseminated with cryopreserved semen. Unexpectedly, we identified no effect of the number of 0.5 ml straws on pregnancy outcome. We also identified no difference in pregnancy outcome for those mares inseminated once post-ovulation compared to mares inseminated once pre- and once post- ovulation. Additionally, for mares inseminated once post-ovulation, we identified no benefit of breeding 0-3 hours post-ovulation vs. breeding 0-6 hours post-ovulation. Other factors not associated with pregnancy outcome included: whether an endometrial sample was obtained for bacteriologic culture, whether the endometrial sample produced bacterial growth, whether a mare developed fluid after breeding, whether a mare was treated for bacterial endometritis and/or uterine fluid, and post-thaw progressive sperm motility. These results suggest the existence of an effective industry self-selection process in which only semen from the most fertile stallions is marketed in these 'ultra-low' doses and that breeding mares within 3 hours post- ovulation provides no benefit to pregnancy outcome compared to breeding mares within 6 hours post-ovulation.


Assuntos
Criopreservação , Inseminação Artificial , Preservação do Sêmen , Cavalos , Feminino , Animais , Gravidez , Preservação do Sêmen/veterinária , Preservação do Sêmen/métodos , Inseminação Artificial/veterinária , Taxa de Gravidez , Masculino , Sêmen
10.
Science ; 383(6680): 293-297, 2024 01 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38236975

RESUMO

Plants sustain human life. Understanding geographic patterns of the diversity of species used by people is thus essential for the sustainable management of plant resources. Here, we investigate the global distribution of 35,687 utilized plant species spanning 10 use categories (e.g., food, medicine, material). Our findings indicate general concordance between utilized and total plant diversity, supporting the potential for simultaneously conserving species diversity and its contributions to people. Although Indigenous lands across Mesoamerica, the Horn of Africa, and Southern Asia harbor a disproportionate diversity of utilized plants, the incidence of protected areas is negatively correlated with utilized species richness. Finding mechanisms to preserve areas containing concentrations of utilized plants and traditional knowledge must become a priority for the implementation of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework.


Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Dispersão Vegetal , Plantas , Humanos , África , Ecossistema , Alimentos , Conhecimento
11.
Clin Transplant ; 27(5): E571-9, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23952788

RESUMO

Screening for polyoma BK virus (BK) using nucleic testing (NAT) is recommended for kidney and kidney-pancreas transplant recipients, but the performance characteristics of quantitative BK NAT at different thresholds of plasma BK viral loads are unclear. We aim to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of quantitative BK NAT as an add-on test to qualitative polyoma NAT for the diagnosis of BK virus-associated nephropathy (BKVAN) in kidney and kidney transplant recipients. We calculated the test sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values at the different thresholds of plasma BK viral load for BKVAN. At the recommended threshold of >1 × 10(3) serum BK copies/mL serum for test positivity, the sensitivity for BKVAN was 92.9% (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 66.1-99.8) and specificity 79.1% (95%: CI 67.4-88.1), with corresponding positive and negative predictive values of 42.0% (95% CI: 24.8-57.7%) and 98.6% (95% CI: 98.3-99.9%), respectively. The overall area under curve for the quantitative BK NAT was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.85-0.97). Quantitative BK NAT displays properties of high sensitivity and specificity that are fit for purpose as an add-on test to qualitative polyomavirus NAT for kidney and kidney-pancreas transplant recipients at risk of BKVAN.


Assuntos
Vírus BK/genética , DNA Viral/genética , Nefropatias/diagnóstico , Transplante de Rim , Transplante de Pâncreas , Infecções por Polyomavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções Tumorais por Vírus/diagnóstico , Adulto , Vírus BK/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Transversais , DNA Viral/sangue , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Nefropatias/sangue , Nefropatias/virologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatopatias/sangue , Pancreatopatias/diagnóstico , Pancreatopatias/virologia , Infecções por Polyomavirus/sangue , Infecções por Polyomavirus/virologia , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Infecções Tumorais por Vírus/sangue , Infecções Tumorais por Vírus/virologia
12.
Stat Med ; 31(13): 1307-22, 2012 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22362374

RESUMO

Outcomes in clinical trials may be affected by the choice of treatment that participants might make, if they were indeed allowed to choose (a so-called selection effect), and by whether they actually receive their preferred treatment (a preference effect). Selection and preference effects can be important, but they cannot be estimated in the conventional trial design. An alternative approach is the two-stage randomised trial, in which participants are first randomly divided into two subgroups. In one subgroup, participants are randomly assigned to treatments, while in the other, participants are allowed to choose their own treatment. This approach yields estimates of the direct treatment effect, and of the preference and selection effects. The latter two provide insight that goes considerably beyond what is possible in the standard randomised trial. In this paper, we determine the optimal proportion of participants who should be allocated to the choice subgroup. The precision of the estimated selection, preference and treatment effects are functions of: the total sample size; the proportion of participants allocated to choose their treatment; the variances of the outcome; the proportions of participants who select each treatment in the choice group; and the selection, preference and treatment effects themselves. We develop general expressions for the optimum proportion of participants in the choice group, depending on which effects are of primary interest. We illustrate the results with trial data comparing alternative clinical management strategies for women with abnormal results on cervical screening.


Assuntos
Preferência do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Seleção de Pacientes , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/estatística & dados numéricos , Projetos de Pesquisa/estatística & dados numéricos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/psicologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Preferência do Paciente/psicologia , Satisfação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/psicologia , Resultado do Tratamento , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/psicologia , Esfregaço Vaginal/psicologia , Esfregaço Vaginal/estatística & dados numéricos
13.
Reprod Domest Anim ; 47 Suppl 4: 178-86, 2012 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22827368

RESUMO

Studies in laboratory rodents are shedding light on the pathophysiology of testicular ageing and now suggest a complicated basis for age-related declines in testicular function. A highly significant contributor to infertility may involve failure of specific and complex testicular microenvironments (niches) comprised of a variety of cellular and molecular components. Our laboratory has applied testis tissue xenografting to the study of testicular ageing in the stallion. Using this technique, we have confirmed that the disease is tissue autologous. As would be expected from a tissue autologous disease, hormonal and non-hormonal therapies designed to drive the function of the diseased testis are ineffective. However, we have some evidence that contact with young, normal testicular tissue may improve the condition of aged, degenerate testes. Perhaps, paracrine factors from young testicular cells may partially restore a young microenvironment and allow for the maintenance of testicular function. These findings form the basis for future studies designed to determine whether cells, genes or proteins from a normal testis can aid the function of a degenerate testis.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento/fisiologia , Cavalos/fisiologia , Testículo/fisiologia , Animais , Masculino
14.
Theriogenology ; 192: 52-61, 2022 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36049382

RESUMO

Nocardioform placentitis (NP) has been associated with mid to late pregnancy loss in mares. To date, disease outbreaks have been described only in central Kentucky, although sporadic, isolated cases have been reported globally. This study describes a series of cases of NP that occurred in a sample population of 299 mares foaling in southeastern Pennsylvania and northeastern Maryland in 2020. These cases coincided with an outbreak of NP that occurred in Kentucky that same year. On farms that reported information on both normal and abnormal foalings, nocardioform organisms/DNA were isolated from 6.3% of placental samples based on aerobic culture and/or PCR. In cases with characteristic gross lesions of the chorion, 41% of cases were positive on aerobic culture and/or PCR. NP was confirmed in 16 mares that had not resided in Kentucky for breeding or any part of gestation. Characteristics of mares confirmed positive for NP, including age, gestation length, and problems during gestation are described. Standardbred mares bred by artificial insemination were less likely to be affected than Thoroughbred mares bred by natural cover. Affected mares had prolonged Stage III labor compared with normal mares. These findings suggest that regional increases in NP may occur outside of Kentucky, potentially in parallel with Kentucky outbreaks.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Cavalos , Doenças Placentárias , Aborto Animal/epidemiologia , Animais , Feminino , Doenças dos Cavalos/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Cavalos/patologia , Cavalos , Maryland/epidemiologia , Pennsylvania/epidemiologia , Placenta/patologia , Doenças Placentárias/veterinária , Gravidez
15.
Osteoporos Int ; 22(4): 1183-9, 2011 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20521028

RESUMO

UNLABELLED: Observation-driven Poisson regression models were used to investigate mean daily air temperature and fall-related hip fracture hospitalisations. After adjustment for season, day-of-week effects, long-term trend and autocorrelation, hip fracture rates are higher in both males and females aged 75+ years when there is a lower air temperature. INTRODUCTION: This study investigated whether there was an association between fall-related hip fracture hospitalisations and air temperature at a day-to-day level, after accounting for seasonal trend and autocorrelation. METHODS: Observation-driven Poisson regression models were used to investigate mean daily air temperature and fall-related hip fracture hospitalisations for the period 1 July 1998 to 31 December 2004, inclusive, in the Sydney region of New South Wales, Australia, which has a population of 4 million people. RESULTS: Lower daily air temperature was significantly associated with higher fall-related hip fracture hospitalisations in 75+-year-olds: men aged 75-84 years, rate ratio (RR) for a 1°C increase in temperature of 0.98 with 95% confidence interval (0.96, 0.99), men 85+ years RR = 0.98 (0.96, 1.00), women 75-84 years RR = 0.99 (0.98, 1.00), women 85+ years RR = 0.98 (0.97, 0.99). Moreover, there were fewer hospitalisations on weekends compared to weekdays ranging from RR = 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) in women aged 65-74 years to RR = 0.89 (0.80, 0.98) in men aged 85+ years. CONCLUSIONS: After adjustment for season, day-of-week effects, long-term trend and autocorrelation, fall-related hip fracture hospitalisation rates are higher in both males and females aged 75+ years when there is a lower air temperature.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Temperatura , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Temperatura Baixa/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Fraturas do Quadril/etiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , New South Wales/epidemiologia , Distribuição por Sexo
16.
J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc ; 183(1): 193-209, 2020 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31857745

RESUMO

Flaws in the conduct of randomized trials can lead to biased estimation of the intervention effect. Methods for adjustment of within-trial biases in meta-analysis include the use of empirical evidence from an external collection of meta-analyses, and the use of expert opinion informed by the assessment of detailed trial information. Our aim is to present methods to combine these two approaches to gain the advantages of both. We make use of the risk of bias information that is routinely available in Cochrane reviews, by obtaining empirical distributions for the bias associated with particular bias profiles (combinations of risk of bias judgements). We propose three methods: a formal combination of empirical evidence and opinion in a Bayesian analysis; asking experts to give an opinion on bias informed by both summary trial information and a bias distribution from the empirical evidence, either numerically or by selecting areas of the empirical distribution. The methods are demonstrated through application to two example binary outcome meta-analyses. Bias distributions based on opinion informed by trial information alone were most dispersed on average, and those based on opinions obtained by selecting areas of the empirical distribution were narrowest. Although the three methods for combining empirical evidence with opinion vary in ease and speed of implementation, they yielded similar results in the two examples.

17.
Osteoporos Int ; 20(9): 1479-85, 2009 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19184269

RESUMO

UNLABELLED: The study determined the spatial temporal characteristics of fall-related hip fractures in the elderly using routinely collected injury hospitalization and sociodemographic data. There was significant spatial temporal variation in hospitalized hip fracture rates in New South Wales, Australia. INTRODUCTION: The study determined the spatial temporal characteristics of fall-related hip fractures in the elderly using routinely collected injury hospitalization data. METHODS: All New South Wales (NSW), Australia residents aged 65+ years who were hospitalized for a fall-related hip fracture between 1 July 1998 and 30 June 2004 were included. Bayesian Poisson regression was used to model rates in local government areas (LGAs), allowing for the incorporation of spatial, temporal, and covariate effects. RESULTS: Hip fracture rates were significantly decreasing in one LGA, and there were no significant increases in any LGAs. The proportion of the population in residential aged care facilities was significantly associated with the rate of hospitalized hip fractures with a relative risk (RR) of 1.003 (95% credible interval 1.002, 1.004). Socioeconomic status was also related to hospitalized hip fractures with those in the third and fourth quintiles being at decreased risk of hip fracture compared to those in the least disadvantaged (fifth) quintile [RR = 0.837 (0.717, 0.972) and RR = 0.855 (0.743, 0.989) respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: There was significant spatial temporal variation in hospitalized hip fracture rates in NSW, Australia. The use of Bayesian methods was crucial to allow for spatial correlation, covariate effects, and LGA boundary changes.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , New South Wales/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Conglomerados Espaço-Temporais
18.
Reprod Domest Anim ; 44(5): 846-51, 2009 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19019072

RESUMO

An 18-year-old Friesian stallion was examined approximately one week after reportedly presenting scrotal swelling due to torsion of the spermatic cords. Upon presentation no scrotal swelling was noted, the testes were normally oriented, and no abnormalities of the spermatic cords were noted. However, both testes were smaller than expected for a mature stallion and deep palpation revealed that the consistency of the testes was nodular. Ultrasonographic evaluation of the testes revealed diffuse heterogeneous parenchyma with multiple hypoechoic nodular areas. Grossly, the testicular parenchyma was effaced by multiple gray-tan nodules of varying consistency interspersed with gray-white bands of tissue. Microscopic analysis revealed multiple pleomorphic neoplastic foci disseminated throughout both testes. Histological and immunohistochemical features were atypical and consistent with the diagnosis of bilateral testicular mixed germ cell-sex cord stromal tumours. Bilateral testicular tumours and testicular mixed cell tumours are extremely rare in stallions and this is the first report of bilateral testicular mixed germ cell-sex cord-stromal tumours in a stallion. Our findings indicate that certain ultrasonographic characteristics are suggestive of testicular tumour and that immunohistochemistry markers can be used to better characterize testicular neoplasms in stallions.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Cavalos/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/veterinária , Tumores do Estroma Gonadal e dos Cordões Sexuais/veterinária , Neoplasias Testiculares/veterinária , Animais , Cavalos , Imuno-Histoquímica , Masculino , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Embrionárias de Células Germinativas/patologia , Proteínas Proto-Oncogênicas c-kit/análise , Tumores do Estroma Gonadal e dos Cordões Sexuais/diagnóstico , Tumores do Estroma Gonadal e dos Cordões Sexuais/patologia , Neoplasias Testiculares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Testiculares/patologia , Ultrassonografia/veterinária
20.
Andrology ; 5(2): 336-346, 2017 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28160442

RESUMO

The study of spermatogenesis in the horse is challenging because of the absence of an in vitro system that is capable of reproducing efficient spermatogenesis and because of the difficulties and costs associated with performing well-controlled studies in vivo. In an attempt to develop novel methods for the study of equine spermatogenesis, we tested whether cells from enzymatically digested pre-pubertal equine testicular tissue were capable of de novo tissue formation and spermatogenesis following xenografting under the back skin of immunocompromised mice. Testes were obtained from normal pre-pubertal colts and dissociated into cell suspensions using trypsin/collagenase digestion. Resulting cell pellets, consisting of both somatic and germ cells, were injected into fascial pockets under the back skin of immunocompromised, castrated mice and maintained for between 1 and 14 months. Mice were killed and grafts were recovered and analyzed. As has been reported for testis cell suspensions from pigs, mice, cattle, and sheep, de novo formation of equine testicular tissue was observed, as evidenced by the presence of seminiferous tubules and an interstitial compartment. There was an increased likelihood of de novo testicular formation as grafting period increased. Using indirect immunofluorescence, we confirmed the presence of spermatogonia in de novo formed seminiferous tubules. However, we found no evidence of meiotic or haploid cells. These results indicate that dissociated pre-pubertal equine testis cells are capable of reorganizing into the highly specialized endocrine and spermatogenic compartments of the testis following ectopic xenografting. However, in spite of the presence of spermatogonia within the seminiferous tubules, spermatogenesis does not occur. Although this technique does allow access to the cells within the seminiferous tubule and interstitial compartments of the equine testis prior to reaggregation, the absence of spermatogenesis will limit its use as a method for the study of testicular function in the horse.


Assuntos
Morfogênese/fisiologia , Túbulos Seminíferos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Espermatogênese/fisiologia , Espermatogônias/transplante , Testículo/citologia , Transplante Heterólogo , Animais , Cavalos , Masculino , Camundongos
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