MetS Risk Score: A Clear Scoring Model to Predict a 3-Year Risk for Metabolic Syndrome.

Although several risk factors for metabolic syndrome (MetS) have been reported, there are few clinical scores that predict its incidence. Therefore, we created and validated a risk score for prediction of 3-year risk for MetS. Three-year follow-up data of 4395 initially MetS-free subjects, enrolled for an annual physical examination from Wenzhou Medical Center were analyzed. Subjects at enrollment were randomly divided into the training and the validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were employed for model development. The selected variables were assigned an integer or half-integer risk score proportional to the estimated coefficient from the logistic model. Risk scores were tested in a validation cohort. The predictive performance of the model was tested by computing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Four independent predictors were chosen to construct the MetS risk score, including BMI (HR=1.906, 95% CI: 1.040-1.155), FPG (HR=1.507, 95% CI: 1.305-1.741), DBP (HR=1.061, 95% CI: 1.002-1.031), HDL-C (HR=0.539, 95% CI: 0.303-0.959). The model was created as -1.5 to 4 points, which demonstrated a considerable discrimination both in the training cohort (AUROC=0.674) and validation cohort (AUROC=0.690). Comparison of the observed with the estimated incidence of MetS revealed satisfactory precision. We developed and validated the MetS risk score with 4 risk factors to predict 3-year risk of MetS, useful for assessing the individual risk for MetS in medical practice.

Personalized treatment of patients with very early hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), in its very early stage, is heterogeneous both in terms of liver function (i.e., presence or absence of portal hypertension, model for end-stage liver disease score, Child-Pugh score 5 or 6, bilirubin level) and tumor characteristics (i.e., location, alpha-fetoprotein values, pathological features such as microvascular invasion, tumor grade and satellitosis). Existing evidence in comparing different curative options for patients with very early HCC is poor due to small sample sizes and lack of solid subgroup analyses. Large observational studies are available, with the potential to identify effective interventions in different subgroup of patients and to discover which treatments work "in a real world setting". These studies suggest some important treatment selection strategies in very early HCC patients. According to extent of liver resection, and liver function, percutaneous ablation or liver resection are the recommended first line therapies in these patients. Laparoscopic surgery (resection or ablation) is the preferable strategy when the tumor is in the surface of the liver or close to extra-hepatic organs. Due to scarce donor resources and competition with patients at high transplant benefit (HCC patients unsuitable for non-transplant radical therapies and non-HCC patients with decompensated cirrhosis), transplantation is recommended only as second line therapy in patients with very early stage HCC in case of tumor recurrence or liver failure after ablation or liver resection.

Eye lens dosimetry in anesthesiology: a prospective study.

The eye lens is one of the most sensitive organs for radiation injury and exposure might lead to radiation induced cataract. Eye lens dosimetry in anesthesiology has been published in few clinical trials and an active debate about the causality of radiation induced cataract is still ongoing. Recently, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) recommended a reduction in the annual dose limit for occupational exposure for the lens of the eye from 150 to 20 mSv, averaged over a period of 5 years, with the dose in a single year not exceeding 50 mSv. This prospective study investigated eye lens dosimetry in anesthesiology practice during a routine year of professional activity. The radiation exposure measured represented the exposure in a normal working schedule of a random anesthesiologist during 1 month and this cumulative eye lens dose was extrapolated to 1 year. Next, eye lens doses were measured in anesthesiology during neuro-embolisation procedures, radiofrequency ablations or vertebroplasty/kyphoplasty procedures. The eye lens doses are measured in terms of the dose equivalent H p(3) with the Eye-D dosimeter (Radcard, Poland) close to the right eye (on the temple). In 16 anesthesiologists, the estimated annual eye lens doses range from a minimum of 0.4 mSv to a maximum of 3.5 mSv with an average dose of 1.33 mSv. Next, eye lens doses were measured for nine neuro-embolisation procedures, ten radiofrequency ablations and six vertebroplasty/kyphoplasty procedures. Average eye lens doses of 77 ± 76 µSv for neuro-embolisations, 38 ± 34 µSv for cardiac ablations and 40 ± 44 µSv for vertebro-/kyphoplasty procedures were recorded. The maximum doses were respectively 264, 97 and 122 µSv. This study demonstrated that the estimated annual eye lens dose is well below the revised ICRP's limit of 20 mSv/year. However, we demonstrated high maximum and average doses during neuro-embolisation, cardiac ablation and vertebro-/kyphoplasty procedures. With radiation induced cataract being explained as a possible stochastic effect, without a threshold dose, anesthesiologists who regularly work in a radiological environment should remain vigilant and maintain radiation safety standards at all times. This includes adequately protective equipment (protection shields, apron, thyroid shield and leaded eye wear), keeping distance, routine monitoring and appropriate education.

Early platelet recovery following cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.

Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) is frequently associated with low platelet count (PC) and disturbed platelet function (PF). While PC is easy to measure, PF is more difficult to assess. Moreover, the time-related platelet dysfunction and recovery after CPB is not fully elucidated. Platelet dysfunction could lead to bleeding but also to coronary graft failure. Laboratory tests could provide more insights into PF after CABG. The aim of the current study was to investigate the time-related PF induced by CPB. Blood samples of 20 patients with a preoperative PC of more than 250 × 109/L were collected before incision, after weaning from CPB, and 24 h postoperative. Platelet contribution to coagulation was quantified by PLTEM (calculated by means of EXTEM and FIBTEM results). PF was assessed by multiple electrode impedance aggregometry (MEIA) in whole blood and by light transmission aggregometry (LTA) in platelet-rich plasma after stimulation with arachidonic acid (AA), adenosine diphosphate, collagen, and thrombin-receptor-activating peptide. LTA and MEIA analysis demonstrated significant platelet dysfunction after CPB, with partial recovery within 24 h after surgery. AA-induced platelet aggregation increased to higher levels within 24 h after surgery compared to baseline values as measured by LTA. PLTEM maximum clot firmness remained unchanged throughout the study. Correlation analyses revealed that MEIA and rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM), but not LTA, were dependent on PC and hematocrit. No correlations were found between LTA, MEIA, ROTEM, PC, and clinical outcome parameters. Our results demonstrate a reversible platelet dysfunction recovering within 24 h after CPB. Interestingly, AA-induced platelet aggregation increases to higher levels during the first 24 h postoperatively, which might be important for early initiation of antiplatelet therapy after CABG. MEIA as POC test is able to detect platelet dysfunction during cardiac surgery with a PC of ≥150 × 109/L.

Platelet Function During Hypothermia in Experimental Mock Circulation.

Alterations in platelet function are a common finding in surgical procedures involving cardiopulmonary bypass and hypothermia. Although the combined impact of hypothermia and artificial circulation on platelets has been studied before, the ultimate strategy to safely minimize the risk for bleeding and thrombosis is yet unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the use of a mock circulation loop to study the impact of hypothermia for platelet-related hemostatic changes. Venous blood was collected from healthy adult humans (n = 3). Closed mock circulation loops were assembled, each consisting of a centrifugal pump, an oxygenator with integrated heat exchanger, and a hardshell venous reservoir. The experiment started with the mock circulation temperature set at 37°C (T0 [0 h]). Cooling was then initiated at T1 (+2 h), where temperature was adjusted from 37°C to 32°C. Hypothermia was maintained from T2 (+4 h) to T3 (+28 h). From that point in time, rewarming from 32°C to 37°C was initiated with similar speed as cooling. From time point T4 (+30 h), normothermia (37°C) was maintained until the experiment ended at T5 (+32 h). Blood samples were analyzed in standard hematological tests: light transmission aggregometry (LTA) (arachidonic acid [AA], adenosine diphosphate [ADP], collagen [COL], thrombin-receptor-activating-peptide-14 [TRAP]), multiple electrode aggregometry (MEA) (AA, ADP, COL, TRAP), and rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) (EXTEM, FIBTEM, PLTEM). Hemoglobin, hematocrit, and platelet count decrease more substantially during temperature drop (37-32°C) than during hypothermia maintenance. Hb and Hct continue to follow this trend during active rewarming (32-37°C). PC increase from the moment active rewarming was initiated. None of the values return to the initial values. LTA values demonstrate a similar decrease in aggregation after stimulation with the platelet agonists between the start of the mock circulation and the start of cooling. Except for platelet stimulation using COL, this trend continues during temperature drop from 37°C to 32°C. LTA values using AA and TRAP demonstrate a considerable decline in platelet function throughout the experiment that was most pronounced after 24 h of circulation at 32°C. LTA values using ADP and COL further decline after rewarming. MEA ADP, ASPI, and COL identify platelet dysfunction patterns analogous with LTA, between the start of the mock circulation and the start of cooling. Except for MEA TRAP, this trend continues during temperature drop from 37°C to 32°C. MEA ASPI and ADP demonstrate a considerable decline in platelet function throughout the experiment, which was most pronounced after 24 h of circulation at 32°C. For MEA COL and TRAP, further decline in platelet function is observed after rewarming. This study quantitatively assessed the effect of temperature changes on platelet function during experimental mock circulation demonstrating a considerable decline in platelet function during hypothermia without uniform recovery of platelet function observed after rewarming.

Are Randomized Controlled Trials the (G)old Standard? From Clinical Intelligence to Prescriptive Analytics.

Despite the accelerating pace of scientific discovery, the current clinical research enterprise does not sufficiently address pressing clinical questions. Given the constraints on clinical trials, for a majority of clinical questions, the only relevant data available to aid in decision making are based on observation and experience. Our purpose here is 3-fold. First, we describe the classic context of medical research guided by Poppers' scientific epistemology of "falsificationism." Second, we discuss challenges and shortcomings of randomized controlled trials and present the potential of observational studies based on big data. Third, we cover several obstacles related to the use of observational (retrospective) data in clinical studies. We conclude that randomized controlled trials are not at risk for extinction, but innovations in statistics, machine learning, and big data analytics may generate a completely new ecosystem for exploration and validation.

Hypothermia: effects on platelet function and hemostasis.

Mild therapeutic hypothermia is considered standard care in the treatment of patients resuscitated from cardiac arrest. With increasingly more frequent concomitant use of platelet-inhibiting drugs, clinicians must be cognizant of the ramifications of hypothermia on platelet function as part of hemostasis. The effects of hypothermia on platelet function have been studied for more than 50 years, but the results are inconsistent and may be related to the circumstances during which hypothermia is achieved. This review summarizes current knowledge of platelet function during hypothermia and the impact on hemostasis.

The effect of anesthesia on hemodynamics and outcome of patients undergoing thrombectomy after acute ischemic stroke: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Anesthesia during thrombectomy remains a matter of debate. We retrospectively investigated the influence of intraprocedural blood pressure and type of anaesthetic agent on 3-month functional outcome and mortality in stroke patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy under general anesthesia in a single center study. METHODS: All patients suffering from stroke who presented between January 2019 and July 2021 at Ziekenhuis Oost-Limburg Genk, Belgium and who received thrombectomy were included. Patient's characteristics and outcome data had been collected for benchmarking. Detailed perioperative data were exported from the electronic anesthesia records and clinically validated. Patients were stratified by peri-operative presence of hypotension (MAP < 65 mmHg at any time point) versus no-hypotension (MAP ≥ 65 mmHg). RESULTS: All 98 patients received mechanical thrombectomy under general anesthesia. Thirty-six percent (n = 35) was hypotensive peri-operatively at any time point. Proportion of sevoflurane use was higher in non-hypotensive patients compared to hypotensive patients (73% (n = 45) vs. 51% (n = 18), p = 0.04). Peri-operative use of vasopressors was higher in the hypotensive group compared to non-hypotensive (88% (n = 30) vs. 63% (n = 39), p = 0.008). Proportion of patients with good functional outcome at 3 months (mRS 0-2) was higher in non-hypotensive patients compared to hypotensive patients 44% (n = 27) vs. 24% (n = 8), p < 0.05. 90-day mortality was lower in non-hypotensive patients compared to hypotensive patients 21% (n = 13) vs. 43% (n = 15), (p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Patients who are hypotensive at any given time during thrombectomy under general anesthesia may have worse neurological outcome compared to non-hypotensive patients. The best anaesthetic management for mechanical thrombectomy needs to be clarified prospectively in large multicenter studies.

Automatic colorimetric calibration of human wounds.

BACKGROUND: Recently, digital photography in medicine is considered an acceptable tool in many clinical domains, e.g. wound care. Although ever higher resolutions are available, reproducibility is still poor and visual comparison of images remains difficult. This is even more the case for measurements performed on such images (colour, area, etc.). This problem is often neglected and images are freely compared and exchanged without further thought. METHODS: The first experiment checked whether camera settings or lighting conditions could negatively affect the quality of colorimetric calibration. Digital images plus a calibration chart were exposed to a variety of conditions. Precision and accuracy of colours after calibration were quantitatively assessed with a probability distribution for perceptual colour differences (dE_ab). The second experiment was designed to assess the impact of the automatic calibration procedure (i.e. chart detection) on real-world measurements. 40 Different images of real wounds were acquired and a region of interest was selected in each image. 3 Rotated versions of each image were automatically calibrated and colour differences were calculated. RESULTS: 1st EXPERIMENT: Colour differences between the measurements and real spectrophotometric measurements reveal median dE_ab values respectively 6.40 for the proper patches of calibrated normal images and 17.75 for uncalibrated images demonstrating an important improvement in accuracy after calibration. The reproducibility, visualized by the probability distribution of the dE_ab errors between 2 measurements of the patches of the images has a median of 3.43 dE* for all calibrated images, 23.26 dE_ab for all uncalibrated images. If we restrict ourselves to the proper patches of normal calibrated images the median is only 2.58 dE_ab! Wilcoxon sum-rank testing (p < 0.05) between uncalibrated normal images and calibrated normal images with proper squares were equal to 0 demonstrating a highly significant improvement of reproducibility. In the second experiment, the reproducibility of the chart detection during automatic calibration is presented using a probability distribution of dE_ab errors between 2 measurements of the same ROI. CONCLUSION: The investigators proposed an automatic colour calibration algorithm that ensures reproducible colour content of digital images. Evidence was provided that images taken with commercially available digital cameras can be calibrated independently of any camera settings and illumination features.

Comparative analysis of two methods for wound bed area measurement.

Wound bed area measurements are considered to be an essential part of the wound assessment process. Wound care professionals should be aware of the reliability and validity of the techniques they use. The purpose of this study was to assess whether wound care professionals are able to make as accurate and reproducible a measurement of the wound bed area using two methods for area measurement. Five wound care professionals independently assessed 2285 digital wound images for the wound bed area. Each image was measured in random order, three times, and in four angles by providing the rotated versions of each image (0°, 90°, 180° and 270°). Two techniques were compared: free hand drawing and closed polygon (CP) graph algorithm. Comparison of the two techniques showed differences that are, in our opinion, not acceptable in clinical practice when these techniques are used interchangeably and/or the measurements are carried out by different observers. Variations observed between wounds and observers seem related to the difference in perception of the wound bed margin. Our results indicate that repetition of CP graph area measurement results in the lowest difference in repetitive measurements. Study limitations are related to an incomplete consensus on definitions of wound, wound bed, wound edge and wound border. The development of an ontology related to wound images could aid to reduce these ambiguities.

Prediction of Functional Outcome After Acute Ischemic Stroke: Comparison of the CT-DRAGON Score and a Reduced Features Set.

Background and Purpose: The CT-DRAGON score was developed to predict long-term functional outcome after acute stroke in the anterior circulation treated by thrombolysis. Its implementation in clinical practice may be hampered by its plethora of variables. The current study was designed to develop and evaluate an alternative score, as a reduced set of features, derived from the original CT-DRAGON score. Methods: This single-center retrospective study included 564 patients treated for stroke, in the anterior and the posterior circulation. At 90 days, favorable [modified Rankin Scale score (mRS) of 0-2] and miserable outcome (mRS of 5-6) were predicted by the CT-DRAGON in 427 patients. Bootstrap forests selected the most relevant parameters of the CT-DRAGON, in order to develop a reduced set of features. Discrimination, calibration and misclassification of both models were tested. Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the CT-DRAGON was 0.78 (95% CI 0.74-0.81) for favorable and 0.78 (95% CI 0.72-0.83) for miserable outcome. Misclassification was 29% for favorable and 13.5% for miserable outcome, with a 100% specificity for the latter. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), pre-stroke mRS and age were identified as the strongest contributors to favorable and miserable outcome and named the reduced features set. While CT-DRAGON was only available in 323 patients (57%), the reduced features set could be calculated in 515 patients (91%) (p < 0.001). Misclassification was 25.8% for favorable and 14.4% for miserable outcome, with a 97% specificity for miserable outcome. The reduced features set had better discriminative power than CT-DRAGON for both outcomes (both p < 0.005), with an AUROC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.86) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.77-0.87) for favorable and miserable outcome, respectively. Conclusions: The CT-DRAGON score revealed acceptable discrimination in our cohort of both anterior and posterior circulation strokes, receiving all treatment modalities. The reduced features set could be measured in a larger cohort and with better discrimination. However, the reduced features set needs further validation in a prospective, multicentre study. Clinical Trial Registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Identifiers: NCT03355690, NCT04092543.

The top 2,000 cited articles in critical care medicine: a bibliometric analysis.

BACKGROUND: The bibliometric analysis has been performed on several topics in critical care medicine (CCM) focusing on top 100 cited articles, but the analysis on CCM literature as a whole is missing. The present study aimed to perform a complete bibliometric analysis in the field of CCM. METHODS: An electronic search of the Scopus database was performed on Feb 13, 2018. The search strategy involved core terms related to CCM. The top 2,000 most cited articles in the field of CCM were included in the analysis. Descriptive statistics on these top-cited articles, country distributions, and journals are reported. Individual author's productivity was assessed with the Lotka's law. Co-occurrence of keywords was visualized with the Fruchterman-Reingold layout. The Walktrap algorithm was employed for clustering analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2,000 documents were included in the analysis with median citations of 386 times [interquartile range (IQR): 308-562 times]. The most cited article was the original paper that described the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score. The included articles were published in 411 journals. The median number of documents published in one journal was 1, and the mean number was 4.9, indicating a skewed distribution. The maximum number of publications was 217 in CCM. Author's productivity profile was significantly different from the Lotka's law (P=0.001), with n and C values of 2.8 and 0.52, respectively. Fruchterman-Reingold network plot showed that studies involving human subject were the most common literature type. Sepsis was a major research topic that co-occurred with keywords such as disease severity, nonhuman, risk assessment and practice guideline. CONCLUSIONS: The study performed bibliometric analyses of 2,000 top-cited articles in CCM. The most cited article was the one which developed the APACHE II score. Author's productivity was significantly different from the Lotka's law.

Thrombin generation and platelet activation in cytoreductive surgery combined with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy - A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal peroperative chemotherapy (HIPEC), indicated for patients with peritoneal metastases from digestive or gynecological malignancies alike, demonstrates a considerable impact on hemostatic metabolism, both on platelet and on coagulation level. The potential hemostatic interference in CRS and HIPEC is phase dependent. The hypothesis of this prospective cohort study is that the procedure exposed an increased thrombotic risk, resulting in a faster and increased thrombin generation and hyper platelet function. METHODS: This study explores the combined use of ROTEM (rotational thromboelastometry), PACT (platelet activation test) and CAT (thrombin generation test) assays during CRS and HIPEC with a follow-up of 7 days postoperative in 27 patients with confirmed histological diagnosis of peritoneal disease. RESULTS: Platelet reactivity (relative to before incision values) to CRP (collagen-related peptide) (p value 0.02) and TRAP (thrombin receptor activator peptide) (p value 0.048) seems to be slightly reduced during CRS and HIPEC with regard to αIIbß3 activation, while P-selectin expression is not affected. During surgery, CAT demonstrates that, the LT (lagtime) (p value 0.0003) and TTP (time-to-thrombin peak) values (p value 0.002) decrease while and the TP (thrombin peak) (p value 0.004) and ETP (endogenous thrombin potential) (p value 0.02) increase. Subsequently, after surgery, the LT and TTP increase and ETP and TP decrease in time. ROTEM EXTEM (extrinsic) MCF (maximum clot firmness) (p value 0.005), INTEM (intrinsic) MCF (p value 0.003) and FIBTEM (fibrinogen) MCF (p value <0.001) decreased during CRS. At day 7 INTEM and FIBTEM MCF values (p values of 0.004 and <0.001) were significantly higher than before surgery. No considerable changes in platelet count and hemoglobin concentration and absence of leukopenia are noticed. CONCLUSION: This approach detects changes in coagulation much earlier than noticed by standard coagulation tests.

Serum lactate level accurately predicts mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis with acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Serum lactate levels are routinely measured in critically ill patients with cirrhosis, and hyperlactatemia is a common finding, but its prognostic value remains controversial. Our aim was to examine whether serum lactate level could be used as a predictor of outcome in critically ill patients with cirrhosis (CICP) with acute kidney injury (AKI). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this study, we included 480 consecutive patients with cirrhosis admitted to ICU, complicated with AKI, and were followed up for 365 days. Patients were divided into four groups (Q1-Q4) by serum lactate quartiles: Q1≤1.8 mg/dl, Q2=1.9-2.4 mg/dl, Q3=2.5-4.0 mg/dl, and Q4≥4.1 mg/dl. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for hospital mortality were calculated across each quartile of serum lactate, using the Q1 as reference, and four models were built to adjust for the HR of mortality. RESULTS: Compared with patients in the survival group, nonsurvivors had higher serum lactate levels. Mortality rate increased progressively as the serum lactate level increased (Q1: 56.06%, Q2: 62.16%, Q3: 72.73% and Q4: 75.86%), and this relationship remained statistically significant after rigorous control of confounding factors in Q2, Q3, and Q4 with HRs of 1.03 (95% CI: 0.73-1.46), 1.40 (95% CI: 1.01-1.95), and 1.84 (95% CI: 1.28-2.64), respectively. CONCLUSION: Our study brings a new perspective to the role of lactate monitoring in CICP with AKI. Elevated serum lactate levels are associated with a higher mortality rate in CICP with AKI. Elevated serum lactate levels should be part of rapid diagnosis and initiation of therapy to improve clinical outcome.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease contributes to subclinical atherosclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. In our meta-analysis, we aimed to assess the correlation of NAFLD and four surrogate markers of subclinical atherosclerosis. PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched up until April 2017. Original studies investigating the association between NAFLD and subclinical atherosclerosis were included. The outcome data were extracted and pooled for the effect estimate by using a random-effects model. We used the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale to assess the quality of the included studies. Of the 434 initially retrieved studies, 26 studies involving a total of 85,395 participants (including 29,493 patients with NAFLD) were included in this meta-analysis. The Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale scores suggested the included studies were of high quality. The pooled effects estimate showed that subjects with NAFLD exhibited a significant independent association with subclinical atherosclerosis compared to the non-NAFLD group (odds ratio, 1.60; 95% confidence interval, 1.45-1.78). Subgroup analysis suggested that the presence of NAFLD yielded a remarkable higher risk of increased carotid artery intima-media thickness/plaques, arterial stiffness, coronary artery calcification, and endothelial dysfunction with odds ratios (95% confidence interval) of 1.74 (1.47-2.06), 1.56 (1.24-1.96), 1.40 (1.22-1.60), and 3.73 (0.99-14.09), respectively. Conclusion: Our meta-analysis revealed a close link between NAFLD and subclinical atherosclerosis in light of four different indices. Patients with NAFLD might benefit from screening and surveillance of early atherosclerosis, which would facilitate the prediction of potential cardiovascular disease burden, risk stratification, and appropriate intervention in the long term. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:376-392).

Stratified alpha-fetoprotein pattern accurately predicts mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been shown to predict the prognosis of liver disease in several studies. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of stratified AFP in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). METHODS: A total of 192 patients were included and AFP were categorized into quartiles. The prognostic value was determined for overall survival (OS) and assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses studied the association of all independent parameters with disease prognosis. RESULTS: The optimal cut-off points of AFP were: (Q1) 252.3-4800.0 ng/ml, (Q2) 76.0-252.2 ng/ml, (Q3) 18.6-75.9 ng/ml, and (Q4) 0.7-18.5 ng/ml. Based on the Kaplan-Meier analysis of the OS, each AFP quartile revealed a progressively worse OS and apparent separation (log-rank P = 0.006). The second-highest quartiles of AFP (Q2) always demonstrated an extremely favorable short-term survival. Combining the lowest AFP quartiles with a serum sodium < 131mmol/L or an INR ≥ 3.3 showed a poor outcome (90-days survival of 25.0% and 11.9% respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Stratified AFP could strengthen the predictive power for short-term survival of patients with ACHBLF. Combining AFP quartiles with low serum sodium and high INR may better predict poor outcome in ACHBLF patients.

Hierarchical cluster analysis in clinical research with heterogeneous study population: highlighting its visualization with R.

Big data clinical research typically involves thousands of patients and there are numerous variables available. Conventionally, these variables can be handled by multivariable regression modeling. In this article, the hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) is introduced. This method is used to explore similarity between observations and/or clusters. The result can be visualized using heat maps and dendrograms. Sometimes, it would be interesting to add scatter plot and smooth lines into the panels of the heat map. The inherent R heatmap package does not provide this function. A series of scatter plots can be created using lattice package, and then background color of each panel is mapped to the regression coefficient by using custom-made panel functions. This is the unique feature of the lattice package. Dendrograms and color keys can be added as the legend elements of the lattice system. The latticeExtra package provides some useful functions for the work.

Elevation of plateletcrit increasing the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease development in female adults: A large population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the one of the most common form of chronic liver disease in China, so it is important to apply bio-marker in predict the development of NAFLD. AIMS: This study aims to evaluate association between plateletcrit (PCT) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in Chinese female adults. METHODS: NAFLD was defined as per ultrasound in this study and 9737 NAFLD-free female subjects from Wenzhou People's Hospital were followed for five years in average in the study. The determination of NAFLD PCT quartiles (Q1 to Q4) were defined: 0-0.16, 0.17-0.18, 0.19-0.21, ≥0.22. With Q1 used as reference, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and hazard ratios (HRs) in different models were computed across each quartile. RESULTS: From Q1 to Q4, the incidence ratios (95% CIs) were 8.30 (7.14-9.47), 11.51 (10.12-12.89), 12.68 (11.47-13.89) and 16.46 (15.03-17.88). Simply considering PCT, in the longitudinal population, values in Q2, Q3 and Q4 had HRs (95% CIs) are 1.51 (1.25-1.84), 1.72 (1.44-2.06) and 2.34 (1.96-2.79) versus Q1. After adjusting for all known confounding variables, values in Q2, Q3 and Q4 had HRs (95% CIs) of 1.31 (1.08-1.60), 1.30 (1.09-1.56) and 1.54 (1.29-1.84) in females compared with Q1. CONCLUSIONS: We reported that elevated serum PCT levels are considered as an independently significant predictor for NAFLD development in females. The high PCT level contributes to the development of NAFLD.