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1.
J Environ Manage ; 241: 488-500, 2019 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30979560

RESUMO

Empirical research on land sharing and land sparing has been criticized because preferences of local stakeholders, socio-economic aspects, a bundle of ecosystem services and the local context were only rarely integrated. Using storylines and scenarios is a common approach to include land use drivers and local contexts or to cope with the uncertainties of future developments. The objective of the presented research is to develop comparable participatory regional land use scenarios for the year 2030 reflecting land sharing, land sparing and more intermediate developments across five different European landscapes (Austria, Germany, Switzerland, The Netherlands and Spain). In order to ensure methodological consistency among the five case studies, a hierarchical multi-scale scenario approach was developed, which consisted of i) the selection of a common global storyline to frame a common sphere of uncertainty for all case studies, ii) the definition of three contrasting qualitative European storylines (representing developments for land sharing, land sparing and a balanced storyline), and iii) the development of three explorative case study-specific land use scenarios with regional stakeholders in workshops. Land use transition rules defined by stakeholders were used to generate three different spatially-explicit scenarios for each case study by means of high-resolution land use maps. All scenarios incorporated various aspects of land use and management to allow subsequent quantification of multiple ecosystem services and biodiversity indicators. The comparison of the final scenarios showed both common as well as diverging trends among the case studies. For instance, stakeholders identified further possibilities to intensify land management in all case studies in the land sparing scenario. In addition, in most case studies stakeholders agreed on the most preferred scenario, i.e. either land sharing or balanced, and the most likely one, i.e. balanced. However, they expressed some skepticism regarding the general plausibility of land sparing in a European context. It can be concluded that stakeholder perceptions and the local context can be integrated in land sharing and land sparing contexts subject to particular process design principles.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Áustria , Alemanha , Países Baixos , Espanha , Suíça
2.
Environ Manage ; 64(6): 701-720, 2019 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31705203

RESUMO

This study demonstrates the importance of considering potential land use and management changes in climate impact research. By taking into account possible trends of economic development and environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the "business as usual", "crisis", "managed horizons", and "set-aside" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period. Modeling results suggest a large spatial variability of potential impacts across the study areas, due to differences in the projected precipitation trends and the current environmental and socio-economic conditions. While climate change may reduce water and nutrients input to the Ria de Aveiro and Tyligulsyi Liman and increase water inflow to the Vistula Lagoon the socio-economic scenarios and their implications may balance out or reverse these trends. In the intensely managed Mar Menor catchment, climate change has no notable direct impact on water resources, but changes in land use and water management may certainly aggravate the current environmental problems. The great heterogeneity among results does not allow formulating adaptation or mitigation measures at pan-European level, as initially intended by this study. It rather implies the need of a regional approach in coastal zone management.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Recursos Hídricos , Polônia , Portugal , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Espanha , Abastecimento de Água
3.
Opt Express ; 26(22): 28827-28833, 2018 Oct 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30470053

RESUMO

Waveguide circuits play a key role in modern integrated optics and provide an appealing approach to scalability in quantum optics. We report on periodically poled ridge waveguides in z-cut potassium titanyl phosphate (KTiOPO4 or KTP), a material that has recently received growing interest due to its unique dispersion properties. Ridges were defined in surface-near rubidium-exchanged KTP by use of a precise diamond-blade dicing saw. We fabricated single-mode ridge waveguides at around 800 nm which exhibit widths of 1.9-3.2 µm and facilitated type-II second harmonic generation from 792 nm to 396 nm with high efficiency of 6.6 %/W·cm2. Temperature dependence of the second harmonic process was found to be 53 pm/K. The low temperature dependence and high nonlinear conversion efficiency make our waveguides ideally suited for future operations in classical nonlinear integrated optics and integrated quantum networking applications.

4.
Anal Chem ; 89(12): 6807-6814, 2017 06 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28513153

RESUMO

It is demonstrated that the adsorption of bovine serum albumin (BSA) to aqueous gold colloids can be quantified with molecular resolution by differential centrifugal sedimentation (DCS). This method separates colloidal particles of comparable density by mass. When proteins adsorb to the nanoparticles, both their mass and their effective density change, which strongly affects the sedimentation time. A straightforward analysis allows quantification of the adsorbed layer. Most importantly, unlike many other methods, DCS can be used to detect chemisorbed proteins ("hard corona") as well as physisorbed proteins ("soft corona"). The results for BSA on gold colloid nanoparticles can be modeled in terms of Langmuir-type adsorption isotherms (Hill model). The effects of surface modification with small thiol-PEG ligands on protein adsorption are also demonstrated.


Assuntos
Coloide de Ouro/química , Nanopartículas/química , Soroalbumina Bovina/química , Ultracentrifugação/métodos , Adsorção , Animais , Bovinos , Ligantes , Polietilenoglicóis/química , Compostos de Sulfidrila/química
5.
Bioconjug Chem ; 28(1): 11-22, 2017 01 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28095686

RESUMO

A key aspect of nanoscience is to control the assembly of complex materials from a "bottom-up" approach. The self-assembly and self-organization of small ligands at the surface of nanoparticles represent a possible starting route for the preparation of (bio)nanomaterials with precise (bio)physical and (bio)chemical properties. However, surface characterization and elucidation of the structure-properties relationship, essential to envisioning such control, remain challenging and are often poorly investigated. This Topical Review aims to discuss different levels of surface characterization, giving an overview of the experimental and computational approaches that are used to provide insights into the self-assembled monolayer with molecular details. The methods and strategies discussed focus on the characterization of self-assembled monolayers at the gold nanoparticle surface, but most of them could also be applied to other types of nanoparticles.


Assuntos
Ouro/química , Nanopartículas Metálicas/química , Análise Espectral/métodos , Propriedades de Superfície
6.
Opt Express ; 25(17): 19872-19877, 2017 Aug 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29041674

RESUMO

We report on characterization of ridge waveguides fabricated in KTP (KTiOPO4) by use of diamond-blade dicing and Rb/Ba ion exchange. The waveguides were prepared in substrates that have their z-axis in the surface plane, perpendicular to the waveguide direction. This hinders the RbBa ions from diffusion into the depth, as they are only mobile along the z-axis, and improves the waveguide's resistance against elevated temperature. Attenuation coefficients of 0.3 dB/cm (0.4 dB/cm) for TM (TE) polarization were measured at 1060 nm wavelength. Internal conversion efficiency of up to 3.3%/(W cm2) was determined for type-II SHG of 1064 nm.

7.
Langmuir ; 33(1): 438-449, 2017 01 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27982599

RESUMO

The self-assembly and self-organization of small molecules on the surface of nanoparticles constitute a potential route toward the preparation of advanced proteinlike nanosystems. However, their structural characterization, critical to the design of bionanomaterials with well-defined biophysical and biochemical properties, remains highly challenging. Here, a computational model for peptide-capped gold nanoparticles (GNPs) is developed using experimentally characterized Cys-Ala-Leu-Asn-Asn (CALNN)- and Cys-Phe-Gly-Ala-Ile-Leu-Ser-Ser (CFGAILSS)-capped GNPs as a benchmark. The structure of CALNN and CFGAILSS monolayers is investigated using both structural biology techniques and molecular dynamics simulations. The calculations reproduce the experimentally observed dependence of the monolayer secondary structure on the peptide capping density and on the nanoparticle size, thus giving us confidence in the model. Furthermore, the computational results reveal a number of new features of peptide-capped monolayers, including the importance of sulfur movement for the formation of secondary structure motifs, the presence of water close to the gold surface even in tightly packed peptide monolayers, and the existence of extended 2D parallel ß-sheet domains in CFGAILSS monolayers. The model developed here provides a predictive tool that may assist in the design of further bionanomaterials.


Assuntos
Ouro , Nanopartículas , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/química , Sequência de Aminoácidos , Oligopeptídeos , Estrutura Secundária de Proteína
8.
Opt Express ; 24(2): 1386-91, 2016 Jan 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26832519

RESUMO

We report on the fabrication and characterization of ridge waveguides in lithium niobate thin films by diamond blade dicing. The lithium niobate thin films with a thickness of 1 µm were fabricated by bonding a He-implanted lithium niobate wafer to a SiO(2)-coated lithium niobate wafer and crystal ion slicing. Propagation losses of 1.2 dB/cm for TE and 2.8 dB/cm for TM polarization were measured at 1550 nm for a 9.28 mm long and 2.1 µm wide waveguide using the Fabry-Perot method.

9.
Opt Express ; 24(15): 16434-9, 2016 Jul 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27464095

RESUMO

We report on the fabrication of ridge waveguides in KTiOPO4 nonlinear optical crystals through carbon ion irradiation followed by precise diamond blade dicing. The diced side-walls have low roughness, which allows for low propagation loss of ~1dB/cm in fabricated of ridges. The waveguide property investigation has been performed at 1064 nm as well as 532 nm, showing good guidance at both TE and TM polarizations. Based on type II phase matching configuration, efficient second harmonic generation of green light at room temperature has been realized. High conversion efficiencies of ~1.12%W-1 and ~12.4% have been obtained for frequency doubling under the pump of continuous-wave (CW) and pulsed fundamental waves at 1064 nm, respectively.

10.
Opt Express ; 23(23): 30188-94, 2015 Nov 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26698499

RESUMO

We report on the fabrication and second harmonic generation from a periodically-poled MgO-doped lithium niobate ridge waveguide within the telecommunication L-band. The ridge waveguide is fabricated by carbon ion implantation and the following diamond blade dicing method. A normalized second harmonic conversion efficiency of 20.3%W-1cm-2 was obtained with a total insertion loss of 4.3dB at wavelength of 1612.7nm. Our analysis shows that at least ~70% of the second-order nonlinearity was preserved after the implantation and thermal annealing process.

11.
Langmuir ; 31(32): 8892-900, 2015 Aug 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26212147

RESUMO

The interaction between many proteins and hydrophobic functionalized surfaces is known to induce ß-sheet and amyloid fibril formation. In particular, insulin has served as a model peptide to understand such fibrillation, but the early stages of insulin misfolding and the influence of the surface have not been followed in detail under the acidic conditions relevant to the synthesis and purification of insulin. Here we compare the adsorption of human insulin on a hydrophobic (-CH3-terminated) silane self-assembled monolayer to a hydrophilic (-NH3(+)-terminated) layer. We monitor the secondary structure of insulin with Fourier transform infrared attenuated total reflection and side-chain orientation with sum frequency spectroscopy. Adsorbed insulin retains a close-to-native secondary structure on both hydrophobic and hydrophilic surfaces for extended periods at room temperature and converts to a ß-sheet-rich structure only at elevated temperature. We propose that the known acid stabilization of human insulin and the protection of the aggregation-prone hydrophobic domains on the insulin monomer by adsorption on the hydrophobic surface work together to inhibit fibril formation at room temperature.


Assuntos
Insulina/química , Silanos/síntese química , Adsorção , Interações Hidrofóbicas e Hidrofílicas , Modelos Moleculares , Proteínas/química , Silanos/química , Propriedades de Superfície , Temperatura
12.
Phys Chem Chem Phys ; 17(2): 762-82, 2015 Jan 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25412176

RESUMO

Although protein folding is often described by motion on a funnel-shaped overall topology of the energy landscape, the many local interactions that can occur result in considerable landscape roughness which slows folding by increasing internal friction. Recent experimental results have brought to light that this roughness also causes unusual diffusional behaviour of the backbone of an unfolded protein, i.e. the relative motion of protein sections cannot be described by the normal diffusion equation, but shows strongly subdiffusional behaviour with a nonlinear time dependence of the mean square displacement, 〈r(2)(t)〉∝t(α) (α≪ 1). This results in significantly slower configurational equilibration than had been assumed hitherto. Analysis of the results also allows quantification of the energy landscape roughness, i.e. the root-mean-squared depth of local minima, yielding a value of 4-5kBT for a typical small protein.


Assuntos
Peptídeos/química , Proteínas/química , Sequência de Aminoácidos , Difusão , Dados de Sequência Molecular , Movimento , Peptídeos/metabolismo , Dobramento de Proteína , Proteínas/metabolismo , Termodinâmica
13.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 109(48): 19563-8, 2012 Nov 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23150572

RESUMO

The dynamics of protein conformational changes, from protein folding to smaller changes, such as those involved in ligand binding, are governed by the properties of the conformational energy landscape. Different techniques have been used to follow the motion of a protein over this landscape and thus quantify its properties. However, these techniques often are limited to short timescales and low-energy conformations. Here, we describe a general approach that overcomes these limitations. Starting from a nonnative conformation held by an aromatic disulfide bond, we use time-resolved spectroscopy to observe nonequilibrium backbone dynamics over nine orders of magnitude in time, from picoseconds to milliseconds, after photolysis of the disulfide bond. We find that the reencounter probability of residues that initially are in close contact decreases with time following an unusual power law that persists over the full time range and is independent of the primary sequence. Model simulations show that this power law arises from subdiffusional motion, indicating a wide distribution of trapping times in local minima of the energy landscape, and enable us to quantify the roughness of the energy landscape (4-5 k(B)T). Surprisingly, even under denaturing conditions, the energy landscape remains highly rugged with deep traps (>20 k(B)T) that result from multiple nonnative interactions and are sufficient for trapping on the millisecond timescale. Finally, we suggest that the subdiffusional motion of the protein backbone found here may promote rapid folding of proteins with low contact order by enhancing contact formation between nearby residues.


Assuntos
Dobramento de Proteína , Proteínas/química , Modelos Moleculares
14.
J Environ Qual ; 43(1): 67-74, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25602541

RESUMO

The study area (Alegria watershed, Basque Country, Northern Spain) considered here is influenced by an important alluvial aquifer that plays a significant role in nitrate pollution from agricultural land use and management practices. Nitrates are transported primarily from the soil to the river through the alluvial aquifer. The agricultural activity covers 75% of the watershed and is located in a nitrate-vulnerable zone. The main objective of the study was to find land management options for water pollution abatement by using model systems. In a first step, the SWAT model was applied to simulate discharge and nitrate load in stream flow at the outlet of the catchment for the period between October 2009 and June 2011. The LOADEST program was used to estimate the daily nitrate load from measured nitrate concentration. We achieved satisfactory simulation results for discharge and nitrate loads at monthly and daily time steps. The results revealed clear variations in the seasons: higher nitrate loads were achieved for winter (20,000 kg mo NO-N), and lower nitrate loads were simulated for the summer (<1000 kg mo NO-N) period. In a second step, the calibrated model was used to evaluate the long-term effects of best management practices (BMPs) for a 50-yr period by maintaining actual agricultural practices, reducing fertilizer application by 20%, splitting applications (same total N but applied over the growing period), and reducing 20% of the applied fertilizer amount and splitting the fertilizer doses. The BMPs were evaluated on the basis of local experience and farmer interaction. Results showed that reducing fertilizer amounts by 20% could lead to a reduction of 50% of the number of days exceeding the nitrate concentration limit value (50 mg L) set by the European Water Framework Directive.

15.
J Environ Qual ; 43(1): 55-66, 2014 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25602540

RESUMO

Sediment delivery from hillslopes to rivers is spatially variable and may lead to long-term delays between initial erosion and related sediment yield at the watershed outlet. Consideration of spatial variability is important for developing sound strategies for water quality improvement and soil protection at the watershed scale. Hence, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was modified and tested in this study to simulate the landscape transport capacity of sediment. The study area was the steeply sloped Arroio Lino watershed in southern Brazil. Observed sediment yield data at the watershed outlet were used to calibrate and validate a modified SWAT model. For the calibration period, the modified model performed better than the unaltered SWAT2009 version; the models achieved Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values of 0.7 and -0.1, respectively. Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies were less for the validation period, but the modified model's NSE was higher than the unaltered model (-1.4 and -12.1, respectively). Despite the relatively low NSE values, the results of this first test are promising because the model modifications lowered the percent bias in sediment yield from 73 to 18%. Simulation results for the modified model indicated that approximately 60% of the mobilized soil is deposited along the landscape before it reaches the river channels. This research demonstrates the modified model's ability to simulate sediment yield in watersheds with steep slopes. The results suggest that integration of the sediment deposition routine in SWAT increases accuracy in steeper areas while significantly improving its ability to predict the spatial distribution of sediment deposition areas. Further work is needed regarding (i) improved strategies for spatially distributed sediment transport measurements (for improving process knowledge and model evaluation) and (ii) extensive model tests in other well instrumented experimental watersheds with differing topographic configurations and land uses.

16.
Med Phys ; 2024 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38922963

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Historically, [131I]I has been a common isotope in radionuclide therapy, with [177Lu]Lu-labelled radiopharmaceuticals now seeing a surge in use. These can include no-carrier-added or carrier-added [177Lu]Lu with slight impurities of [177mLu]Lu with a significantly longer half-life than [131I]I. Wastewater from therapy wards can contain a mixture of these radioisotopes. In some countries, national regulations require wastewater to be stored in dedicated systems before it is discharged into the public sewage system. To fulfill legal requirements, the nuclide specific activity concentration must be verified. PURPOSE: We evaluate a method for determining the activity concentration of [177mLu]Lu /[177Lu]Lu at equilibrium and [131I]I in pure and mixed samples in order to prove that the determined values are reliably below the limits for release. METHODS: We analysed the emitted energy spectrum of 1 L samples with a wastewater counter using an energy window-based approach by evaluating measurements from two different time points. Based on the law of decay and the time and energy-dependent measured values, equation systems were set up to calculate the count rates for [131I]I and [177mLu]Lu, which were converted into activity concentration using calibration factors. RESULTS: There is strong linear correlation between the nominal and determined activity concentrations (correlation coefficients R = 0.99; coefficient of determinations R2 = 0.99). We underestimate the actual activity concentration by a median of -1.4% for [177mLu]Lu and overestimate the activity concentration for [131I]I by a median of 7.1%. CONCLUSION: We show that an undercut of the clearance levels for material release is measurable. We analyse and determine activity concentrations of mixed samples consisting of [131I]I and [177mLu]Lu/[177Lu]Lu in equilibrium. The method is simple to implement using a conventional wastewater counter, however with a slightly increased effort, as two samples and measurements are required. The methodology can be adapted for the analysis of other nuclide mixtures.

17.
Opt Lett ; 38(12): 2156-8, 2013 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23939008

RESUMO

We designed and implemented a gradient index metasurface for in-plane focusing of confined terahertz (THz) surface waves. We measured the spatial propagation of the surface waves by two-dimensional mapping of the complex electric field using a THz near-field spectroscope. The surface waves were focused to a diameter of 500 µm after a focal length of approximately 2 mm. In the focus, we measured a field amplitude enhancement of a factor of 3.

18.
J Environ Manage ; 127 Suppl: S24-36, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23422359

RESUMO

The intense use of water for both public supply and agricultural production causes societal conflicts and environmental problems in the Brazilian Federal District. A serious consequence of this is nonpoint source pollution which leads to increasing water treatment costs. Hence, this study investigates in how far agricultural Best Management Practices (BMPs) might contribute to sustainable water resources management and soil protection in the region. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to study the impact of those practices on streamflow and sediment load in the intensively cropped catchment of the Pipiripau River. The model was calibrated and validated against measured streamflow and turbidity-derived sediment loads. By means of scenario simulations, it was found that structural BMPs such as parallel terraces and small sediment basins ('Barraginhas') can lead to sediment load reductions of up to 40%. The implementation of these measures did not adversely affect the water yield. In contrast, multi-diverse crop rotations including irrigated dry season crops were found to be disadvantageous in terms of water availability by significantly reducing streamflow during low flow periods. The study considers rainfall uncertainty by using a precipitation data ensemble, but nevertheless highlights the importance of well established monitoring systems due to related shortcomings in model calibration. Despite the existing uncertainties, the model results are useful for water resource managers to develop water and soil protection strategies for the Pipiripau River Basin and for watersheds with similar characteristics.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Sedimentos Geológicos/análise , Brasil , Rios
19.
Environ Monit Assess ; 185(2): 1215-35, 2013 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22527462

RESUMO

Remote sensing is an important tool for studying patterns in surface processes on different spatiotemporal scales. However, differences in the spatiospectral and temporal resolution of remote sensing data as well as sensor-specific surveying characteristics very often hinder comparative analyses and effective up- and downscaling analyses. This paper presents a new methodical framework for combining hyperspectral remote sensing data on different spatial and temporal scales. We demonstrate the potential of using the "One Sensor at Different Scales" (OSADIS) approach for the laboratory (plot), field (local), and landscape (regional) scales. By implementing the OSADIS approach, we are able (1) to develop suitable stress-controlled vegetation indices for selected variables such as the Leaf Area Index (LAI), chlorophyll, photosynthesis, water content, nutrient content, etc. over a whole vegetation period. Focused laboratory monitoring can help to document additive and counteractive factors and processes of the vegetation and to correctly interpret their spectral response; (2) to transfer the models obtained to the landscape level; (3) to record imaging hyperspectral information on different spatial scales, achieving a true comparison of the structure and process results; (4) to minimize existing errors from geometrical, spectral, and temporal effects due to sensor- and time-specific differences; and (5) to carry out a realistic top- and downscaling by determining scale-dependent correction factors and transfer functions. The first results of OSADIS experiments are provided by controlled whole vegetation experiments on barley under water stress on the plot scale to model LAI using the vegetation indices Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and green NDVI (GNDVI). The regression model ascertained from imaging hyperspectral AISA-EAGLE/HAWK (DUAL) data was used to model LAI. This was done by using the vegetation index GNDVI with an R (2) of 0.83, which was transferred to airborne hyperspectral data on the local and regional scales. For this purpose, hyperspectral imagery was collected at three altitudes over a land cover gradient of 25 km within a timeframe of a few minutes, yielding a spatial resolution from 1 to 3 m. For all recorded spatial scales, both the LAI and the NDVI were determined. The spatial properties of LAI and NDVI of all recorded hyperspectral images were compared using semivariance metrics derived from the variogram. The first results show spatial differences in the heterogeneity of LAI and NDVI from 1 to 3 m with the recorded hyperspectral data. That means that differently recorded data on different scales might not sufficiently maintain the spatial properties of high spatial resolution hyperspectral images.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Plantas , Tecnologia de Sensoriamento Remoto , Ecossistema
20.
iScience ; 25(12): 105551, 2022 Dec 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36458255

RESUMO

Pathways to eradicate global hunger while bending the curve of biodiversity loss unanimously suggest changing to less energy-rich diets, closing yield gaps through agroecological principles, adopting modern breeding technologies to foster stress resilience and yields, as well as minimizing harvest losses and food waste. Against the background of a brief history of global agriculture, we review the available evidence on how the global food system might look given a global temperature increase by 3°. We show that a moderate gain in the area suitable for agriculture is confronted with substantial yield losses through strains on crop physiology, multitrophic interactions, and more frequent extreme events. Self-amplifying feedback are unresolved and might lead to further losses. In light of these uncertainties, we see that complexity is underestimated and more systemic research is needed. Efficiency gains in agriculture, albeit indispensable, will not be enough to achieve food security under severe climate change.

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