Association of polygenic scores with chronic kidney disease phenotypes in a longitudinal study of older adults.

Risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is influenced by environmental and genetic factors and increases sharply in individuals 70 years and older. Polygenic scores (PGS) for kidney disease-related traits have shown promise but require validation in well-characterized cohorts. Here, we assessed the performance of recently developed PGSs for CKD-related traits in a longitudinal cohort of healthy older individuals enrolled in the Australian ASPREE randomized controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin with CKD risk at baseline and longitudinally. Among 11,813 genotyped participants aged 70 years or more with baseline eGFR measures, we tested associations between PGSs and measured eGFR at baseline, clinical phenotype of CKD, and longitudinal rate of eGFR decline spanning up to six years of follow-up per participant. A PGS for eGFR was associated with baseline eGFR, with a significant decrease of 3.9 mL/min/1.73m2 (95% confidence interval -4.17 to -3.68) per standard deviation (SD) increase of the PGS. This PGS, as well as a PGS for CKD stage 3 were both associated with higher risk of baseline CKD stage 3 in cross-sectional analysis (Odds Ratio 1.75 per SD, 95% confidence interval 1.66-1.85, and Odds Ratio 1.51 per SD, 95% confidence interval 1.43-1.59, respectively). Longitudinally, two separate PGSs for eGFR slope were associated with significant kidney function decline during follow-up. Thus, our study demonstrates that kidney function has a considerable genetic component in older adults, and that new PGSs for kidney disease-related phenotypes may have potential utility for CKD risk prediction in advanced age.

Impact of donor kidney biopsy on kidney yield and posttransplant outcomes.

Procurement biopsy is performed to determine kidney quality, but evidence supporting such association is poor. We investigated the impact of glomerulosclerosis percentage (GS%) on kidney yield and patient outcomes. Information on deceased kidney donors from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2019, was collected. Association between GS% and kidney yield (number of kidneys procured per donor) and posttransplant graft and patient outcomes were studied. Maximal GS% and minimal GS% were calculated to determine the relationship between GS% and kidney yield; minimal GS% only for correlation with posttransplant outcomes. Multinomial logistic regression and Cox models with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to analyze the association of GS% with kidney yield and posttransplant outcomes, respectively. The kidney yield was 1.63 when maximal GS% and minimal GS% were <5%, but was 0.88 when both GS% were >20%. The hazard ratio for graft failure 1 year after transplant was 1.05 when minimal GS% was 16% to 20%, but was 1.3 for GS% of >20%. The hazard ratio for mortality increased from 1 to 1.2 when minimal GS% reached >20%. In summary, higher GS% was associated with lower kidney yield and inferior posttransplant outcomes. Incorporation of GS% into Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients models may reassure organ procurement organizations and transplant centers pursuing kidneys with relatively high GS% levels, thereby reducing kidney discard rates.

Apixaban Dosing Patterns Versus Warfarin in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Dialysis: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Comparison of clinical outcomes across anticoagulation regimens using different apixaban dosing or warfarin is not well-defined in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) who are receiving dialysis. This study compared these outcomes in a US national cohort of patients with kidney failure receiving maintenance dialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients receiving dialysis represented in the US Renal Data System database 2013-2018 who had AF and were treated with apixaban or warfarin. EXPOSURE: First prescribed treatment with apixaban dosed according to the label, apixaban dosed below the label, or warfarin. OUTCOME: Ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weighting. Analyses simulating an intention-to-treat (ITT) approach as well as those incorporating censoring at drug switch or discontinuation (CAS) were also implemented. Inverse probability of censoring weighting was used to account for possible informative censoring. RESULTS: Among 17,156 individuals, there was no difference in risk of stroke/systemic embolism among the label-concordant apixaban, below-label apixaban, and warfarin treatment groups. Both label-concordant (HR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.55-0.81]) and below-label (HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.55-0.84]) apixaban dosing were associated with a lower risk of major bleeding compared with warfarin in ITT analyses. Compared with label-concordant apixaban, below-label apixaban was not associated with a lower bleeding risk (HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.78-1.34]). In the ITT analysis of mortality, label-concordant apixaban dosing was associated with a lower risk versus warfarin (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.78-0.92]) while there was no significant difference in mortality between below-label dosing of apixaban and warfarin (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.89-1.05]). Overall, results were similar for the CAS analyses. LIMITATIONS: Study limited to US Medicare beneficiaries; reliance on administrative claims to ascertain outcomes of AF, stroke, and bleeding; likely residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with nonvalvular AF undergoing dialysis, warfarin is associated with an increased risk of bleeding compared with apixaban. The risk of bleeding with below-label apixaban was not detectably less than with label-concordant dosing. Label-concordant apixaban dosing is associated with a mortality benefit compared to warfarin. Label-concordant dosing, rather than reduced-label dosing, may offer the most favorable benefit-risk trade-off for dialysis patients with nonvalvular AF.

Cinacalcet and gastrointestinal bleeding risk in patients receiving hemodialysis.

PURPOSE: Secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) is common among dialysis patients, and calcimimetics are a mainstay of treatment. This study assessed whether cinacalcet use is associated with gastrointestinal bleeding in a large hemodialysis cohort. METHODS: A linked database of clinical records and medical claims for patients receiving hemodialysis in a large dialysis organization, 2007-2010, was used. A nested case-control study was performed among patients aged ≥18 years who had received hemodialysis for ≥90 days, had Medicare Parts A, B, and D coverage for ≥1 year, and had clinical evidence of SHPT (parathyroid hormone >300 pg/mL). Cases were those who experienced death or hospitalization caused by gastrointestinal bleeding. Each case was matched to up to four controls. Exposure was measured by any cinacalcet use, current use, past use, cumulative exposure days, and cumulative dosage. Conditional logistic models were used to assess the association. RESULTS: Of 48 437 patients included, 2570 experienced gastrointestinal bleeding events (2498 non-fatal, 72 fatal), and 2465 (2397 non-fatal, 68 fatal) were matched to 9500 controls; 17.2% of cases and 15.8% of controls had cinacalcet exposure and 11.1% of both cases and controls had current use. The adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) of gastrointestinal bleeding for any use, current use, and past use of cinacalcet were 1.04 (0.91-1.19), 0.97 (0.83-1.13), and 1.22 (0.99-1.50), respectively, with no use as the reference. CONCLUSION: The results do not suggest an elevated risk of gastrointestinal bleeding resulting in hospitalization or death for hemodialysis patients exposed to cinacalcet.

Changes in Treatment of Patients with Incident ESKD during the Novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions to care for patients with advanced CKD. METHODS: We investigated the incidence of documented ESKD, ESKD treatment modalities, changes in eGFR at dialysis initiation, and use of incident central venous catheters (CVCs) by epidemiologic week during the first half of 2020 compared with 2017-2019 historical trends, using Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data. We used Poisson and logistic regression for analyses of incidence and binary outcomes, respectively. RESULTS: Incidence of documented ESKD dropped dramatically in 2020 compared with the expected incidence, particularly during epidemiologic weeks 15-18 (April, incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.78). The decrease was most pronounced for individuals aged ≥75 years (IRR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.73). Pre-emptive kidney transplantation decreased markedly during weeks 15-18 (IRR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.67). Mean eGFR at dialysis initiation decreased by 0.33 ml/min per 1.73 m2 in weeks 19-22; non-Hispanic Black patients exhibited the largest decrease, at 0.61 ml/min per 1.73 m2. The odds of initiating dialysis with eGFR <10 ml/min per 1.73 m2 were highest during weeks 19-22 (May, OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.17), corresponding to an absolute increase of 2.9%. The odds of initiating peritoneal dialysis (versus hemodialysis) were 24% higher (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.34) in weeks 11-14, an absolute increase of 2.3%. Initiation with a CVC increased by 3.3% (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.41). CONCLUSIONS: During the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of patients starting treatment for ESKD fell to a level not observed since 2011. Changes in documented ESKD incidence and other aspects of ESKD-related care may reflect differential access to care early in the pandemic.

Initial Effects of COVID-19 on Patients with ESKD.

BACKGROUND: Reports from around the world have indicated a fatality rate of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the range of 20%-30% among patients with ESKD. Population-level effects of COVID-19 on patients with ESKD in the United States are uncertain. METHODS: We identified patients with ESKD from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data during epidemiologic weeks 3-27 of 2017-2020 and corresponding weeks of 2017-2019, stratifying them by kidney replacement therapy. Outcomes comprised hospitalization for COVID-19, all-cause death, and hospitalization for reasons other than COVID-19. We estimated adjusted relative rates (ARRs) of death and non-COVID-19 hospitalization during epidemiologic weeks 13-27 of 2020 (March 22 to July 4) versus corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. RESULTS: Among patients on dialysis, the rate of COVID-19 hospitalization peaked between March 22 and April 25 2020. Non-Hispanic Black race and Hispanic ethnicity associated with higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalization, whereas peritoneal dialysis was associated with lower rates. During weeks 13-27, ARRs of death in 2020 versus 2017-2019 were 1.17 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.16 to 1.19) and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.24 to 1.36) among patients undergoing dialysis or with a functioning transplant, respectively. Excess mortality was higher among non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Asian patients. Among patients on dialysis, the rate of non-COVID-19 hospitalization during weeks 13-27 in 2020 was 17% lower versus hospitalization rates for corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. CONCLUSIONS: During the first half of 2020, the clinical outcomes of patients with ESKD were greatly affected by COVID-19, and racial and ethnic disparities were apparent. These findings should be considered in prioritizing administration of COVID-19 vaccination.

Subgroup analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly randomized clinical trial suggests aspirin did not improve outcomes in older adults with chronic kidney disease.

The role of aspirin for primary prevention in older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear. Therefore, post hoc analysis of the randomized controlled trial ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) was undertaken comparing 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin daily against matching placebo. Participants were community dwelling adults aged 70 years and older in Australia, 65 years and older in the United States, all free of a history of dementia or cardiovascular disease and of any disease expected to lead to death within five years. CKD was defined as present at baseline if either eGFR under 60mL/min/1.73m2 or urine albumin to creatinine ratio 3 mg/mmol or more. In 4758 participants with and 13004 without CKD, the rates of a composite endpoint (dementia, persistent physical disability or death), major adverse cardiovascular events and clinically significant bleeding in the CKD participants were almost double those without CKD. Aspirin's effects as estimated by hazard ratios were generally similar between CKD and non-CKD groups for dementia, persistent physical disability or death, major adverse cardiovascular events and clinically significant bleeding. Thus, in our analysis aspirin did not improve outcomes in older people while increasing the risk of bleeding, with mostly consistent effects in participants with and without CKD.

Development and outcomes of hyperkalemia in hospitalized patients: potential implications for care.

INTRODUCTION: While severe hyperkalemia is commonly encountered, its manifestation in hospitalized patients and related outcomes are unclear. We aimed to examine development of hyperkalemia in hospitalized patients and associated outcomes. METHODS: Data from a county hospital electronic health record were used to assess all inpatient admissions, 2012-2016, for non-dialysis-dependent patients with ≥1 K value for development of hyperkalemia. Unadjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for associations of the maximum K value with in-hospital mortality and adjusted ORs were calculated for death associated with hyperkalemia. RESULTS: In 47,018 individual patient hospitalizations, 1.3% had a maximum K ≥6.0 mEq/L and 4.2% <3.5 mEq/L. Fifth and 95th percentiles for maximum K values were 3.5 and 5.3 mEq/L. For high-K patients with a prior K value, the mean (SD) of the immediate pre-maximum K value was 5.0 ± 1.0 mEq/L, and the mean difference in K values (immediate pre-maximum to maximum) was 1.5 ± 1.1 mEq/L; mean duration between these two K tests was 10.7 ± 14.9 hours. Compared with maximum K values 3.5 to 4.0 mEq/L, ORs for death were 37.1 (95% confidence intervals, 25.8-53.3) for K 6.0 to <6.5, 88.6 (56.8-138.2) for K ≥7.0, and 18.9 (4.3-82.2) for K <3.0 mEq/L. In adjusted models, the OR for death for K ≥6.0 mEq/L was 4.9 (3.7-6.4). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: Peak K values ≥6.0 mEq/L were associated with mortality. Values tended to increase rapidly, limiting opportunities for detection and treatment. Systems-based approaches to detect life-threatening hyperkalemia should be studied.

CKD Progression in Medicare Beneficiaries With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Apixaban Versus Warfarin.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Comparing kidney disease progression among patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus warfarin has not been well studied. We hypothesized that apixaban would be associated with lower risks of progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and progression to incident kidney failure than warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare recipients with stage 3, 4, or 5 CKD and incident AF who received a new prescription for apixaban or warfarin from 2013 through 2017. EXPOSURE: Apixaban or warfarin. OUTCOMES: Progression to incident kidney failure or, separately, to a more advanced stage of CKD. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Marginal structural cause-specific proportional hazards models with inverse probability weighting to estimate marginal hazard ratios (HRs) for each outcome. HRs compared apixaban to warfarin in intention-to-treat and censored-at-drug-switch analyses. RESULTS: 12,816 individuals met inclusion criteria (50.3% received apixaban; 49.7% received warfarin). After weighting, the mean age of the cohort was 80 ± 7 years, 51% were women, and 88% were White. Approximately 84% had stage 3, 15% had stage 4, and 1% had stage 5 CKD. In the intention-to-treat analysis, apixaban, relative to warfarin, was associated with an HR of developing incident kidney failure of 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-1.22) and of CKD stage progression of 0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.99). Corresponding HRs for censored-at-drug-switch analyses were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.56-1.17) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70-0.92). Results were similar for a series of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. LIMITATIONS: CKD was defined based on diagnosis codes from claims; findings may not be generalizable to non-Medicare CKD populations. CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban, compared with warfarin, was associated with lower risk of CKD stage progression, but not with incident kidney failure.

Risk of hyperkalemia from renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and factors associated with treatment discontinuities in a real-world population.

BACKGROUND: Hyperkalemia rates in renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitor users, and factors associated with treatment interruptions and cessations, have not been explored in a large, population-wide database. METHODS: RAAS inhibitor users were identified in the linked UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-Hospital Episodes Statistics data set, 2009-15. Treatment interruptions (no active prescription followed by reappearance) and cessations were determined. Hyperkalemia (serum K+>5.5 mmol/L) rates were calculated and factors associated with interruptions and cessations modeled using time-varying Cox regression, including hyperkalemia (as a time-dependent variable). RESULTS: Among 434 027 RAAS inhibitor users, the hyperkalemia rate was 1.30 (95% confidence interval 1.28-1.32) per 100 patient-years. Of 73.7% of patients who experienced off-treatment periods, 57.6% experienced interruption only, 7.5% cessation only and 8.6% both. Within 1 year of initiating RAAS inhibitor treatment, approximately one-third of the patients experienced interruption or cessation. Hazard ratios for patients with severe hyperkalemia were 1.10 (10.5-1.16) for interruptions and 3.37 (3.25-3.50) for cessation. Compared with no chronic kidney disease (CKD), risk of interruption was 1.20 (1.16-1.25) and 1.57 (1.44-1.72) for Stages 4 and 5, respectively, and of cessation was 2.20 (2.07-2.33) and 2.87 (2.56-3.22). Risk of interruption increased for patients with heart failure or diabetes [1.04 (1.02-1.05); 1.13 (1.12-1.14), respectively] but the risk of cessation decreased [0.85 (0.82-0.87); 0.92 (0.90-0.94)]. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of RAAS inhibitor interruption and cessation increased as CKD stage progressed. Efforts targeting reasons for interruptions and, especially, cessations, such as hyperkalemia prevention, could decrease off-treatment periods for patients who would otherwise benefit, such as those with CKD, heart failure or diabetes.

Changes in hemodialysis catheter management after introduction of the end-stage renal disease prospective payment system.

BACKGROUND: We investigated whether implementation of the end-stage renal disease prospective payment system (ESRD PPS) was associated with changes in thrombolytic therapy use and other aspects of catheter management in hemodialysis (HD) patients. METHODS: Using quarterly, period prevalent cohorts of patients undergoing maintenance HD with a catheter in the US Renal Data System (2008-2015), we studied rates of claims for within- and outside-HD-unit thrombolytic use, and thrombus/fibrin sheath removal, and rates of delayed HD treatment after ESRD PPS implementation, January 1, 2011. Associations between PPS implementation and change in trend of rates of each outcome were assessed using covariate-adjusted Poisson regression, using a piecewise linear function for quarter-time (with breakpoint at PPS implementation). RESULTS: Among an average of 69,428 quarterly catheter users, rates of claims for within-HD-unit thrombolytic use declined from 236.6 (Q1-2008) to 81.4 (Q4-2012) per 100 person-years (P < 0.0001, PPS association with change in trend); rates of claims for thrombus/fibrin sheath removal procedures increased from 3.9 (Q1-2008) to 8.8 (Q3-2015) per 100 person-years (P = 0.0001, PPS association with change in trend). Rates of delayed HD treatment increased from 1.6 (Q2-2008) to 2.3 (Q3-2015) per patient-quarter, although PPS implementation was associated with a decrease in this rising trend (1.6% increase per quarter pre-PPS, 1.2% post-PPS; P < 0.0001, change in trend). CONCLUSIONS: After PPS implementation, thrombolytic use decreased and thrombus/fibrin sheath removal increased. The increasing trend in delayed HD treatment appeared to slow after PPS implementation, but delayed sessions continued to increase year over year for unclear reasons.

Direct-Acting Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin in Medicare Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease and Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The comparative effectiveness of direct-acting oral anticoagulants, compared with warfarin, for risks of stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, or death have not been studied in Medicare beneficiaries with atrial fibrillation and nondialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease. METHODS: Medicare data from 2011 to 2017 were used to identify patients with stages 3, 4, or 5 chronic kidney disease and new atrial fibrillation who received a new prescription for warfarin, apixaban, rivaroxaban, or dabigatran. We estimated marginal hazard ratios with 95% CIs for the association of each direct-acting oral anticoagulant, compared with warfarin, for the outcomes of interest using inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards models in as-treated and intention-to-treat analyses. RESULTS: A total of 22 739 individuals met criteria (46.3% warfarin, 29.6% apixaban, 17.2% rivaroxaban, 6.9% dabigatran). Across the groups of anticoagulant users, mean age was 78.4 to 79.0 years; 50.3% to 51.4% were women, and 80.3% to 82.8% had stage 3 chronic kidney disease. In the as-treated analysis, for stroke/systemic embolism, hazard ratios, all compared with warfarin, were 0.70 (0.51-0.96) for apixaban, 0.80 (0.54-1.17) for rivaroxaban, and 1.15 (0.69-1.94) for dabigatran. For major bleeding, analogous hazard ratios were 0.47 (0.37-0.59) for apixaban, 1.05 (0.85-1.30) for rivaroxaban, and 0.95 (0.70-1.31) for dabigatran. There was no difference in the risk of all-cause mortality between the direct-acting oral anticoagulants and warfarin. Results of the intention-to-treat analysis were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban, compared with warfarin, was associated with decreased risk of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding; risks for both outcomes with rivaroxaban and dabigatran did not differ from risks with warfarin.

Outcomes Following Ischemic Stroke in Older Patients With CKD Stages 4 and 5: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The associations between ischemic stroke and time to dialysis initiation and/or death in adults with late-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) have not been explored. We sought to measure the rate and factors associated with stroke in CKD stages 4 and 5 (CKD4-5) and assess the association of stroke with initiation of dialysis and death. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients with CKD4-5 in Medicare 2007 to 2014. EXPOSURE OR PREDICTOR: Ischemic stroke in CKD4-5. OUTCOMES: Initiation of maintenance dialysis or death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazard modeling assessed factors associated with ischemic stroke. A matched analysis (stroke/no stroke) estimated the cumulative incidence of incident kidney failure and death, treated as competing events. Simulations using a state transition model determined differences in expected time to kidney failure or death and death alone for patients with and without stroke with CKD5. RESULTS: 123,251 patients with CKD4 and 22,054 with CKD5 were identified. Mean ages were 81.0 and 79.2 years, respectively. Female sex (HRs of 1.21 [95% CI, 1.12-1.31] and 1.39 [95% CI, 1.04-1.86] for CKD4 and CKD5, respectively) and black race (HRs of 1.25 [95% CI, 1.12-1.39] and 1.12 [95% CI, 0.80-1.58] for CKD4 and CKD5, respectively) were factors associated with ischemic stroke. Rates for 30-day mortality were 13.3% and 18.8%, and for 1-year mortality, 40.0% and 38.2%. For patients with CKD5, kidney failure or death occurred an average of 3.6 months sooner for patients with an ischemic stroke, and death (irrespective of kidney failure), a mean of 24.3 months sooner. LIMITATIONS: Study design cannot determine causality; lack of data for stroke severity. CONCLUSIONS: Female sex and black race were associated with increased risk for stroke in CKD4 and CKD5. In CKD5, stroke was associated with a shorter time to kidney failure or death by nearly 4 months, and to death, by more than 2 years.

Factors Associated with Elective Withdrawal of Maintenance Hemodialysis: A Case-Control Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Associations of demographic factors with elective dialysis withdrawal and setting of death, patterns of illness trajectories preceding death, and how illness trajectories, particularly worsening putative disability, are associated with elective withdrawal are poorly understood. METHODS: Using United States Renal Data System data, we performed a case-control analysis of hemodialysis patients who died in 2010-2015. A disability proxy score characterized disability; logistic regression identified characteristics associated with death from withdrawal and with death setting; and group-based trajectory models characterized the trajectory of disability in the months preceding death. RESULTS: We identified 14,571 (9.2%) patients who withdrew and 144,305 (90.8%) who died of a non-withdrawal cause. Women were more likely than men to withdraw (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.15-1.24). The most rural patients were more likely to withdraw than the most urban (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.25-1.50). Medicaid coverage (a marker for impoverishment) was associated with less withdrawal (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.86-0.94). Disability proxy score was strongly related to withdrawal: the OR for patients in the highest score category was 31.16 (95% CI 28.40-34.20) versus those with a score of 0. Women and whites (vs. blacks) were overrepresented in the worst, versus better, proxy disability score trajectory. In-hospital death and death in the intensive care unit were more common in women and minorities than in men and whites, but less common in the most rural patients. CONCLUSIONS: Important differences separate patients who electively withdraw from those who die of non-withdrawal causes. Worsening disability, in particular, may be a marker for withdrawal.

Excess Deaths Attributable to Influenza-Like Illness in the ESRD Population.

BACKGROUND: Morbidity and mortality vary seasonally. Timing and severity of influenza seasons contribute to those patterns, especially among vulnerable populations such as patients with ESRD. However, the extent to which influenza-like illness (ILI), a syndrome comprising a range of potentially serious respiratory tract infections, contributes to mortality in patients with ESRD has not been quantified. METHODS: We used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Outpatient Influenza-like Illness Surveillance Network and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ESRD death data from 2000 to 2013. After addressing the increasing trend in deaths due to the growing prevalent ESRD population, we calculated quarterly relative mortality compared with average third-quarter (summer) death counts. We used linear regression models to assess the relationship between ILI data and mortality, separately for quarters 4 and 1 for each influenza season, and model parameter estimates to predict seasonal mortality counts and calculate excess ILI-associated deaths. RESULTS: An estimated 1% absolute increase in quarterly ILI was associated with a 1.5% increase in relative mortality for quarter 4 and a 2.0% increase for quarter 1. The average number of annual deaths potentially attributable to ILI was substantial, about 1100 deaths per year. CONCLUSIONS: We found an association between community ILI activity and seasonal variation in all-cause mortality in patients with ESRD, with ILI likely contributing to >1000 deaths annually. Surveillance efforts, such as timely reporting to the CDC of ILI activity within dialysis units during influenza season, may help focus attention on high-risk periods for this vulnerable population.

Adherence to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Mineral and Bone Guidelines for Monitoring Biochemical Parameters.

BACKGROUND: Mineral and bone disorder (MBD) is common in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and is associated with risk of fractures, cardiovascular disease, and death. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines recommend monitoring CKD-MBD biochemical markers, including parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphorus, 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25D), calcium, and alkaline phosphatase (ALP), in patients with moderate-to-severe CKD. METHODS: To determine guideline adherence, we used administrative claims records from the 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries with Parts A, B, and D coverage, 2007 to 2015, and identified cohorts of patients with nondialysis stage 3, 4, or 5 CKD. Testing for biochemical markers during follow-up was defined based on laboratory procedure codes. Baseline factors associated with laboratory testing were determined using logistic regression. All analyses were performed separately by CKD stage. RESULTS: A total of 640,946 stage 3, 136,278 stage 4, and 22,076 stage 5 CKD patients, 50.2-52.9% women, mean age 74.4-78.0 years, were followed for a mean of 2.5, 1.3, and 0.7 years respectively. The frequency of testing was low for PTH (35.2-48.2%), phosphorus (46.6-62.0%), and 25D (29.3-46.7%). Testing was somewhat higher for calcium (88.1-95.4%) and ALP (63.5-88.1%); most tests were features of larger panels (e.g., basic metabolic panel). Older age, most comorbid conditions, and lack of prior nephrology care were associated with lower likelihood of testing. CONCLUSIONS: In fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries, laboratory testing for CKD-MBD biochemical markers appears to be suboptimal in relation to KDIGO guidelines. Competing priories, such as management of comorbid disease and preparation for renal replacement therapy, may distract from CKD-MBD monitoring.

Association of diabetes-related kidney disease with cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular outcomes: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes-related kidney disease is associated with end-stage renal disease and mortality, but opportunities remain to quantify its association with cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular morbidity outcomes. METHODS: We used the Truven Health MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters Database, 2010-2014, which includes specific health services records for employees and their dependents from a selection of large employers, health plans, and government and public organizations. We used administrative claims data to quantify the association between diabetes-related kidney disease and end-stage renal disease, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, stroke, and infections. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios of developing complications. RESULTS: Among 2.2 million patients with diabetes, 7.1% had diabetes-related kidney disease: 13.5%, stage 1-2; 33.8%, stage 3; 13.2% stages 4-5; 39.5%, unknown stage. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for demographic characteristics, baseline comorbid conditions, and total hospital days during the baseline period, hazard ratios for each outcome increased with greater diabetes-related kidney disease severity (stage 1-2 vs. stage 4-5) compared with no diabetes-related kidney disease: myocardial infarction, 1.2 (95% confidence interval 1.1-1.4) and 3.1 (2.9-3.4); congestive heart failure, 1.7 (1.6-1.9) and 5.6 (5.3-5.8); stroke, 1.3 (1.2-1.5) and 2.3 (2.1-2.5); infection, 1.4 (1.3-1.5) and 2.9 (2.8-3.0). Among patients with stage 4-5 disease, 36-month cumulative incidence was nearly 22.8% for congestive heart failure, and 25.8% for infections. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes-related kidney disease appears to be formally diagnosed at a more advanced stage than might be expected, given clinical practice guidelines. Risks of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular outcomes are high.

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease in the elderly using the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly study cohort.

AIM: The prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the elderly is controversial because age-related decline in kidney function may not truly reflect underlying kidney disease. We estimate the baseline prevalence and predictors of CKD using the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPIeGFR ) and Berlin Initiative Study 1 (BIS1eGFR ) eGFR equations in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial cohort of healthy older participants. METHODS: GFR was estimated using CKD-EPI and BIS1 equations. CKD was defined as eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with urine albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥ 3 mg/mmol. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of CKD prevalence defined by each eGFR equation. RESULTS: Data for analysis were complete for 17,762 participants. Mean age was 75.1 years (SD 5); 56.4% were female, 76.4% had hypertension, 9% had diabetes mellitus. Mean CKD-EPIeGFR was 73.0 (SD 14.2), compared with mean BIS1eGFR of 62.7 (11.4). Median UACR was 0.8 (IQR 0.5, 1.5) mg/mmol. Prevalence of CKD by CKD-EPIeGFR was 27% (predominantly due to normoalbuminuric stage 3a CKD), substantially lower than 47.1% by BIS1eGFR ; the difference was predominantly driven by reclassification of individuals from G1 and G2 CKD to stage G3a without albuminuria. Increased prevalence of CKD by either equation was related to older age, hypertension, diabetes, or higher body mass index. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of CKD with CKD-EPIeGFR was 27%, and doubled using the elderly specific BIS1eGFR , with most participants reclassified from stage 2 to stage 3a. Increased prevalence of CKD was related older age, hypertension, diabetes, or increased body mass index.