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1.
N Engl J Med ; 382(4): 309-317, 2020 01 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31971676

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In September 2015, the United Kingdom introduced the multicomponent meningococcal group B vaccine (4CMenB, Bexsero) into its publicly funded national immunization program at a reduced two-dose priming schedule for infants, with a 12-month booster. METHODS: Using data from enhanced national surveillance of invasive meningococcal disease in England, we evaluated the effect of vaccination on the incidence of meningococcal group B disease during the first 3 years of the program. The effect of vaccination was assessed by comparing the observed incidence of disease with the expected incidence based on the incidence during the 4-year prevaccination period in equivalent cohorts and with the use of disease trends in cohorts of children younger than 5 years of age who were not eligible to receive the vaccine. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated with the use of the indirect screening method. RESULTS: 4CMenB uptake in England remained consistently high; data from the first 3 months of 2018 showed that 92.5% of children had completed the primary immunizations by their first birthday and 87.9% had received all three doses by 2 years. From September 2015 through August 2018, the incidence of meningococcal group B disease in England (average annual birth cohort, approximately 650,000 infants) was significantly lower in vaccine-eligible cohorts than the expected incidence (63 observed cases as compared with 253 expected cases; incidence rate ratio, 0.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.19 to 0.36), with a 75% reduction in age groups that were fully eligible for vaccination. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness against meningococcal group B disease was 52.7% (95% CI, -33.5 to 83.2) with a two-dose priming schedule for infants and 59.1% (95% CI, -31.1 to 87.2) with a two-dose priming schedule plus a booster at 1 year). Over the 3-year period, there were 169 cases of meningococcal group B disease in the vaccine-eligible cohorts, and an estimated 277 cases (95% CI, 236 to 323) were prevented. CONCLUSIONS: The 4CMenB program was associated with continued positive effect against meningococcal group B disease in children in England, and protection after three doses of the vaccine was sustained for at least 2 years. (Funded by Public Health England.).


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Meningocócicas/imunologia , Neisseria meningitidis Sorogrupo B , Pré-Escolar , Intervalos de Confiança , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Humanos , Esquemas de Imunização , Imunização Secundária , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Medicina Estatal , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido
2.
Glob Chang Biol ; 29(6): 1423-1436, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36537002

RESUMO

Fire seasons have become increasingly variable and extreme due to changing climatological, ecological, and social conditions. Earth observation data are critical for monitoring fires and their impacts. Herein, we present a whole-system framework for identifying and synthesizing fire monitoring objectives and data needs throughout the life cycle of a fire event. The four stages of fire monitoring using Earth observation data include the following: (1) pre-fire vegetation inventories, (2) active-fire monitoring, (3) post-fire assessment, and (4) multi-scale synthesis. We identify the challenges and opportunities associated with current approaches to fire monitoring, highlighting four case studies from North American boreal, montane, and grassland ecosystems. While the case studies are localized to these ecosystems and regional contexts, they provide insights for others experiencing similar monitoring challenges worldwide. The field of remote sensing is experiencing a rapid proliferation of new data sources, providing observations that can inform all aspects of our fire monitoring framework; however, significant challenges for meeting fire monitoring objectives remain. We identify future opportunities for data sharing and rapid co-development of information products using cloud computing that benefits from open-access Earth observation and other geospatial data layers.


Assuntos
Incêndios , Incêndios Florestais , Ecossistema , Florestas
3.
PLoS Med ; 19(2): e1003916, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35192611

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In 2020, the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic and lockdown control measures threatened to disrupt routine childhood immunisation programmes with early reports suggesting uptake would fall. In response, public health bodies in Scotland and England collected national data for childhood immunisations on a weekly or monthly basis to allow for rapid analysis of trends. The aim of this study was to use these data to assess the impact of different phases of the pandemic on infant and preschool immunisation uptake rates. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted an observational study using routinely collected data for the year prior to the pandemic (2019) and immediately before (22 January to March 2020), during (23 March to 26 July), and after (27 July to 4 October) the first UK "lockdown". Data were obtained for Scotland from the Public Health Scotland "COVID19 wider impacts on the health care system" dashboard and for England from ImmForm. Five vaccinations delivered at different ages were evaluated; 3 doses of "6-in-1" diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio, Haemophilus influenzae type b, and hepatitis B vaccine (DTaP/IPV/Hib/HepB) and 2 doses of measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine. This represented 439,754 invitations to be vaccinated in Scotland and 4.1 million for England. Uptake during the 2020 periods was compared to the previous year (2019) using binary logistic regression analysis. For Scotland, uptake within 4 weeks of a child becoming eligible by age was analysed along with geographical region and indices of deprivation. For Scotland and England, we assessed whether immunisations were up-to-date at approximately 6 months (all doses 6-in-1) and 16 to 18 months (first MMR) of age. We found that uptake within 4 weeks of eligibility in Scotland for all the 5 vaccines was higher during lockdown than in 2019. Differences ranged from 1.3% for first dose 6-in-1 vaccine (95.3 versus 94%, odds ratio [OR] compared to 2019 1.28, 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 1.18 to 1.39) to 14.3% for second MMR dose (66.1 versus 51.8%, OR compared to 2019 1.8, 95% CI 1.74 to 1.87). Significant increases in uptake were seen across all deprivation levels. In England, fewer children due to receive their immunisations during the lockdown period were up to date at 6 months (6-in-1) or 18 months (first dose MMR). The fall in percentage uptake ranged from 0.5% for first 6-in-1 (95.8 versus 96.3%, OR compared to 2019 0.89, 95% CI 0.86- to 0.91) to 2.1% for third 6-in-1 (86.6 versus 88.7%, OR compared to 2019 0.82, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.83). The use of routinely collected data used in this study was a limiting factor as detailed information on potential confounding factors were not available and we were unable to eliminate the possibility of seasonal trends in immunisation uptake. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that the national lockdown in Scotland was associated with an increase in timely childhood immunisation uptake; however, in England, uptake fell slightly. Reasons for the improved uptake in Scotland may include active measures taken to promote immunisation at local and national levels during this period and should be explored further. Promoting immunisation uptake and addressing potential vaccine hesitancy is particularly important given the ongoing pandemic and COVID-19 vaccination campaigns.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/farmacologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Dados de Saúde Coletados Rotineiramente , SARS-CoV-2/efeitos dos fármacos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/estatística & dados numéricos , Lactente , Masculino , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(7): e1661-e1668, 2021 10 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32845996

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: 4CMenB is a protein-based meningococcal B vaccine, but the vaccine antigens may be present on non-group B meningococci. In September 2015, the UK implemented 4CMenB into the national infant immunization program, alongside an emergency adolescent meningococcal ACWY (MenACWY) program to control a national outbreak of group W (MenW) disease caused by a hypervirulent strain belonging to the ST-11 clonal complex. The adolescent program aimed to provide direct protection for adolescents and indirect protection across the population. METHODS: Public Health England conducts meningococcal disease surveillance in England. MenW cases confirmed during 4 years before and 4 years after implementation of both vaccines were analyzed. Poisson models were constructed to estimate direct protection against MenW disease offered by the infant 4CMenB program along with the indirect impact of the adolescent MenACWY program in children eligible for 4CMenB but not MenACWY. RESULTS: Model estimates showed 69% (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR], .31; 95% CI, .20-.67) and 52% (aIRR, .48; 95% CI, .28-.81) fewer MenW cases than predicted among age-cohorts that were fully- and partly-eligible for 4CMenB, respectively. There were 138 MenW cases in <5-year-olds. 4CMenB directly prevented 98 (95% CI, 34-201) cases, while the MenACWY program indirectly prevented an additional 114 (conservative) to 899 (extreme) cases over 4 years. Disease severity was similar in 4CMenB-immunized and unimmunized children. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first real-world evidence of direct protection afforded by 4CMenB against MenW:cc11 disease. 4CMenB has the potential to provide some protection against all meningococcal serogroups.


Assuntos
Infecções Meningocócicas , Vacinas Meningocócicas , Neisseria meningitidis , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Estudos Prospectivos
6.
Euro Surveill ; 25(19)2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32431288

RESUMO

Using electronic health records, we assessed the early impact of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on routine childhood vaccination in England by 26 April 2020. Measles-mumps-rubella vaccination counts fell from February 2020, and in the 3 weeks after introduction of physical distancing measures were 19.8% lower (95% confidence interval: -20.7 to -18.9) than the same period in 2019, before improving in mid-April. A gradual decline in hexavalent vaccination counts throughout 2020 was not accentuated by physical distancing.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Coronavirus , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Pré-Escolar , Inglaterra , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Lactente , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Caxumba/prevenção & controle , Quarentena , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2
7.
Euro Surveill ; 25(11)2020 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32209165

RESUMO

BackgroundDiphtheria is a potentially fatal disease caused by toxigenic strains of Corynebacterium diphtheriae, C. ulcerans or C. pseudotuberculosis.AimOur objective was to review the epidemiology of diphtheria in the United Kingdom (UK) and the impact of recent changes in public health management and surveillance.MethodsPutative human toxigenic diphtheria isolates in the UK are sent for species confirmation and toxigenicity testing to the National Reference Laboratory. Clinical, epidemiological and microbiological information for toxigenic cases between 2009 and 2017 are described in this population-based prospective surveillance study.ResultsThere were 33 toxigenic cases of diphtheria aged 4 to 82 years. Causative species were C. diphtheriae (n = 18) and C. ulcerans (n = 15). Most C. diphtheriae cases were cutaneous (14/18) while more than half of C. ulcerans cases had respiratory presentations (8/15). Two thirds (23/33) of cases were inadequately immunised. Two cases with C. ulcerans infections died, both inadequately immunised. The major risk factor for C. diphtheriae aquisition was travel to an endemic area and for C. ulcerans, contact with a companion animal. Most confirmed C. diphtheriae or C. ulcerans isolates (441/507; 87%) submitted for toxigenicity testing were non-toxigenic, however, toxin positivity rates were higher (15/23) for C. ulcerans than C. diphtheriae (18/469). Ten non-toxigenic toxin gene-bearing (NTTB) C. diphtheriae were also detected.ConclusionDiphtheria is a rare disease in the UK. In the last decade, milder cutaneous C. diphtheriae cases have become more frequent. Incomplete vaccination status was strongly associated with the risk of hospitalisation and death.


Assuntos
Corynebacterium diphtheriae/isolamento & purificação , Corynebacterium/genética , Toxina Diftérica/metabolismo , Difteria/epidemiologia , Vigilância em Saúde Pública/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Corynebacterium/classificação , Corynebacterium/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Corynebacterium/diagnóstico , Infecções por Corynebacterium/epidemiologia , Difteria/diagnóstico , Difteria/microbiologia , Toxoide Diftérico/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tipagem de Sequências Multilocus , Vigilância da População , Estudos Prospectivos , Administração em Saúde Pública , Viagem , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
8.
Bull World Health Organ ; 97(11): 754-763, 2019 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31673191

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To illustrate how data triangulation involving routine data sources can optimize data usage and provide insights into vaccine programme effectiveness by considering measles vaccination and disease incidence data in England. METHODS: We obtained data on measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine coverage in birth cohorts from 1985 to 2016 from child health records and adjusted for under-ascertainment and catch-up campaigns. We assumed that the population had no natural immunity and that vaccine effectiveness was 95% for one dose and 99.75% for two doses. Vaccinations done outside the routine schedule and in people who entered England after the age of immunization were identified from primary care records. Measles susceptibility was defined as the percentage of individuals who were not immune despite all vaccination activities. We triangulated measles susceptibility and incidence data. FINDINGS: Median susceptibility was 4.6% (range: 1.2-9.2). Among cohorts eligible for two MMR vaccine doses, those born between 1998 and 2004 were most susceptible. Measles incidence was highest in these cohorts. Data from primary care and child health records were comparable for cohorts after 2000, suggesting that little supplementary vaccination took place. For cohorts before 2000, primary care data quality was insufficient for accurately estimating coverage. CONCLUSION: Triangulating routine data on measles vaccination coverage and disease surveillance provided new insights into population immunity and helped identify vulnerable groups, which was useful for prioritizing public health actions to close gaps in immunity. This approach could be applied in any country that routinely records vaccine coverage and disease incidence.


Assuntos
Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola/uso terapêutico , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Masculino , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Registro Médico Coordenado , Irlanda do Norte/epidemiologia , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Vacinação
9.
Euro Surveill ; 23(39)2018 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30280689

RESUMO

In early 2017, a United Kingdom (UK)-born person in their 20s presented with a skin ulcer on the foot 3 weeks after returning from Ghana. The patient had last received a diphtheria-containing vaccine in 2013, completing the recommended course. MALDI-TOF of a cutaneous swab identified Corynebacterium diphtheriae. Real-time PCR ascertained the species and presence of the diphtheria toxin gene. An Elek test confirmed toxigenicity. The isolate was macrolide sensitive and penicillin resistant. The local Public Health England (PHE) Health Protection Team obtained the patient's clinical history and traced contacts to inform appropriate public health action. One close contact (in their early 80s with uncertain immunisation status who had not recently travelled) had a positive throat swab for toxigenic C. diphtheriae and reported a history of mild coryzal symptoms. Multilocus sequence typing revealed that strains from the index case and contact had Sequence Type 463. Diphtheria is extremely rare in the UK due to high vaccine coverage and this is the first documented transmission in 30 years. Clinicians and laboratory staff should remain highly suspicious of lesions in overseas travellers, even when patients are fully vaccinated. Older individuals who might not have completed a full immunisation course may have higher diphtheria susceptibility.


Assuntos
Busca de Comunicante , Infecções por Corynebacterium/transmissão , Corynebacterium diphtheriae/genética , Corynebacterium diphtheriae/isolamento & purificação , Difteria/diagnóstico , Viagem , Infecções por Corynebacterium/diagnóstico , Notificação de Doenças , Gana , Humanos , Tipagem de Sequências Multilocus , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Reino Unido
10.
Lancet ; 388(10061): 2775-2782, 2016 12 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28100432

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In September, 2015, the UK became the first country to introduce the multicomponent group B meningococcal (MenB) vaccine (4CMenB, Bexsero) into a publicly funded national immunisation programme. A reduced two-dose priming schedule was offered to infants at 2 months and 4 months, alongside an opportunistic catch-up for 3 month and 4 month olds. 4CMenB was predicted to protect against 73-88% of MenB strains. We aimed to assess the effectiveness and impact of 4CMenB in vaccine-eligible infants in England. METHODS: Public Health England (PHE) undertakes enhanced surveillance of meningococcal disease through a combination of clinical, public health, and laboratory reporting. Laboratory-confirmed cases of meningococcal disease are followed up with PHE local health protection teams, general practitioners, and hospital clinicians to collect demographic data, vaccination history, clinical presentation, and outcome. For cases diagnosed between Sept 1, 2015, and June 30, 2016, vaccine effectiveness was assessed using the screening method. Impact was assessed by comparing numbers of cases of MenB in vaccine-eligible children to equivalent cohorts in the previous 4 years and to cases in vaccine-ineligible children. FINDINGS: Coverage of 4CMenB in infants eligible for routine vaccination was high, achieving 95·5% for one dose and 88·6% for two doses by 6 months of age. Two-dose vaccine effectiveness was 82·9% (95% CI 24·1-95·2) against all MenB cases, equivalent to a vaccine effectiveness of 94·2% against the highest predicted MenB strain coverage of 88%. Compared with the prevaccine period, there was a 50% incidence rate ratio (IRR) reduction in MenB cases in the vaccine-eligible cohort (37 cases vs average 74 cases; IRR 0·50 [95% CI 0·36-0·71]; p=0·0001), irrespective of the infants' vaccination status or predicted MenB strain coverage. Similar reductions were observed even after adjustment for disease trends in vaccine-eligible and vaccine-ineligible children. INTERPRETATION: The two-dose 4CMenB priming schedule was highly effective in preventing MenB disease in infants. Cases in vaccine-eligible infants halved in the first 10 months of the programme. While ongoing national surveillance will continue to monitor the longer-term impact of the programme, these findings represent a step forward in the battle against meningococcal disease and will help reassure that the vaccine protects against this deadly infection. FUNDING: Public Health England.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Meningocócicas/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Esquemas de Imunização , Lactente , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/microbiologia , Saúde Pública , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
11.
Glob Chang Biol ; 23(3): 1036-1047, 2017 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27506958

RESUMO

Fire regimes are changing throughout the North American boreal forest in complex ways. Fire is also a major factor governing access to high-quality forage such as terricholous lichens for barren-ground caribou (Rangifer tarandus groenlandicus). Additionally, fire alters forest structure which can affect barren-ground caribou's ability to navigate in a landscape. Here, we characterize how the size and severity of fires are changing across five barren-ground caribou herd ranges in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada. Additionally, we demonstrate how time since fire, fire severity, and season result in complex changes in caribou behavioural metrics estimated using telemetry data. Fire disturbances were identified using novel gap-free Landsat surface reflectance composites from 1985 to 2011 across all herd ranges. Burn severity was estimated using the differenced normalized burn ratio. Annual area burned and burn severity were assessed through time for each herd and related to two behavioural metrics: velocity and relative turning angle. Neither annual area burned nor burn severity displayed any temporal trend within the study period. However, certain herds, such as the Ahiak/Beverly, have more exposure to fire than other herds (i.e. Cape Bathurst had a maximum forested area burned of less than 4 km2 ). Time since fire and burn severity both significantly affected velocity and relative turning angles. During fall, winter, and spring, fire virtually eliminated foraging-focused behaviour for all 26 years of analysis while more severe fires resulted in a marked increase in movement-focused behaviour compared to unburnt patches. Between seasons, caribou used burned areas as early as 1-year postfire, demonstrating complex, nonlinear reactions to time since fire, fire severity, and season. In all cases, increases in movement-focused behaviour were detected postfire. We conclude that changes in caribou behaviour immediately postfire are primarily driven by changes in forest structure rather than changes in terricholous lichen availability.


Assuntos
Comportamento Alimentar , Incêndios , Rena , Migração Animal , Animais , Canadá , Territórios do Noroeste , Nunavut , Telemetria
12.
J Clin Microbiol ; 53(2): 567-72, 2015 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25502525

RESUMO

Human infections caused by toxigenic corynebacteria occur sporadically across Europe. In this report, we undertook the epidemiological and molecular characterization of all toxigenic corynebacterium strains isolated in England between January 2007 and December 2013. Epidemiological aspects include case demographics, risk factors, clinical presentation, treatment, and outcome. Molecular characterization was performed using multilocus sequence typing (MLST) alongside traditional phenotypic methods. In total, there were 20 cases of toxigenic corynebacteria; 12 (60.0%) were caused by Corynebacterium ulcerans, where animal contact was the predominant risk factor. The remaining eight (40.0%) were caused by Corynebacterium diphtheriae strains; six were biovar mitis, which were associated with recent travel abroad. Adults 45 years and older were particularly affected (55.0%; 11/20), and typical symptoms included sore throat and fever. Respiratory diphtheria with the absence of a pharyngeal membrane was the most common presentation (50.0%; 10/20). None of the eight C. diphtheriae cases were fully immunized. Diphtheria antitoxin was issued in two (9.5%) cases; both survived. Two (9.5%) cases died, one due to a C. diphtheriae infection and one due to C. ulcerans. MLST demonstrated that the majority (87.5%; 7/8) of C. diphtheriae strains represented new sequence types (STs). By adapting several primer sequences, the MLST genes in C. ulcerans were also amplified, thereby providing the basis for extension of the MLST scheme, which is currently restricted to C. diphtheriae. Despite high population immunity, occasional toxigenic corynebacterium strains are identified in England and continued surveillance is required.


Assuntos
Infecções por Corynebacterium/epidemiologia , Infecções por Corynebacterium/microbiologia , Corynebacterium/classificação , Corynebacterium/genética , Toxina Diftérica/metabolismo , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Criança , Corynebacterium/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Corynebacterium/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Corynebacterium/patologia , Demografia , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tipagem de Sequências Multilocus , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
13.
Sci Total Environ ; 912: 169459, 2024 Feb 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38123099

RESUMO

Stream temperatures are influenced by the amount of solar insolation they receive. Increasing stream temperatures associated with climate warming pose detrimental health risks to freshwater ecosystems. In British Columbia (BC), Canada, timber harvesting along forested streams is managed using riparian buffer zones of varying widths and designations. Within buffer zones, depending on distance from the stream, selective thinning may be permitted or harvest may be forbidden. In this study, we used airborne laser scanning (ALS) point cloud data acquired via a remotely piloted aircraft system (RPAS) to derive forest canopy characteristics that were then used to estimate daily incoming summer and fall solar insolation for five stream reaches in coastal conifer-dominated temperate forests in Vancouver Island, BC, Canada. We then examined empirical relationships between estimated insolation and actual instream temperature measurements. Based on these empirical relationships, the potential effects of timber harvest on instream temperatures were simulated by comparing scenarios of different riparian forest harvest intensities. Our results indicated that modeled solar insolation explained 43-90 % of the variation in observed stream reach temperatures, and furthermore, when a single cold-water stream reach was excluded explained an overall 81 % of variation. Simulated harvesting scenarios generally projected increases in maximum stream reach temperatures 1-2 °C in summer and early fall months. However, in a full clearcut scenario (i.e. where all trees were removed), maximum stream reach temperatures increased as much as 5.8 °C. Our results emphasize the importance of retaining riparian vegetation for the maintenance of habitable temperatures for freshwater-reliant fish with thermal restrictions. In addition, we demonstrate the feasibility of RPAS-based monitoring of stream reach shading and canopy cover, enabling detailed assessment of environmental stressors faced by fish populations under climate warming.

14.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 19(1): 29-34, 2013 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23260795

RESUMO

Since 2000 in the United Kingdom, infections caused by spore-forming bacteria have been associated with increasing illness and death among persons who inject drugs (PWID). To assess temporal and geographic trends in these illnesses (botulism, tetanus, Clostridium novyi infection, and anthrax), we compared rates across England and Scotland for 2000-2009. Overall, 295 infections were reported: 1.45 per 1,000 PWID in England and 4.01 per 1,000 PWID in Scotland. The higher rate in Scotland was mainly attributable to C. novyi infection and anthrax; rates of botulism and tetanus were comparable in both countries. The temporal and geographic clustering of cases of C. novyi and anthrax into outbreaks suggests possible contamination of specific heroin batches; in contrast, the more sporadic nature of tetanus and botulism cases suggests that these spores might more commonly exist in the drug supply or local environment although at varying levels. PWID should be advised about treatment programs, injecting hygiene, risks, and vaccinations.


Assuntos
Antraz/epidemiologia , Botulismo/epidemiologia , Infecções por Clostridium/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Esporos Bacterianos/fisiologia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/epidemiologia , Tétano/epidemiologia , Adulto , Antraz/microbiologia , Bacillus anthracis/fisiologia , Botulismo/microbiologia , Clostridium/fisiologia , Infecções por Clostridium/microbiologia , Clostridium botulinum/fisiologia , Clostridium tetani/fisiologia , Contaminação de Medicamentos , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Heroína/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Escócia/epidemiologia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/microbiologia , Tétano/microbiologia
15.
Int J Med Inform ; 170: 104974, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36577202

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In England routine vaccinations are recorded in either the patients General Practice record or in series of sub-national vaccine registers that are not interoperable. During the COVID-19 pandemic it was established that COVID vaccines would need to be delivered in multiple settings where current vaccine registers do not exist. We describe how a national vaccine register was created to collect data on COVID-19 vaccines. METHODS: The National Immunisation Management System (NIMS) was developed by a range of health and digital government agencies. Vaccinations delivered are entered on an application which is verified by individual National Health Service number in a centralised system. UKHSA receive a feed of this data to use for monitoring vaccine coverage, effectiveness, and safety. To validate the vaccination data, we compared vaccine records to self-reported vaccination dose, manufacturer, and vaccination date from the enhanced surveillance system from 11 February 2021 to 24 August 2021. RESULTS: With the Implementation of NIMS, we have been able to successfully record COVID-19 vaccinations delivered in multiple settings. Of 1,129 individuals, 97.8% were recorded in NIMS as unvaccinated compared to those who self-reported as unvaccinated. One hundred percent and 99.3% of individuals recorded in NIMS as having at least one dose and two doses of the COVID-19 vaccine were also self-reported as having at least one and two doses, respectively. Of the 100% reporting at least one dose, 98.3% self-reported the same vaccination date as NIMS. A total of 98.8% and 99.3% had the same manufacturer information for their first dose and second dose as that which was self-reported, respectively. DISCUSSION: Daily access to individual-level vaccine data from NIMS has allowed UKHSA to estimate vaccine coverage and provide some of the world's first vaccine effectiveness estimates rapidly and accurately.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , Humanos , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Pandemias , Medicina Estatal , Programas de Imunização , Sistema de Registros , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação
16.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 18(2): 217-25, 2012 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22304732

RESUMO

Diphtheria incidence has decreased in Europe since its resurgence in the 1990s, but circulation continues in some countries in eastern Europe, and sporadic cases have been reported elsewhere. Surveillance data from Diphtheria Surveillance Network countries and the World Health Organization European Region for 2000-2009 were analyzed. Latvia reported the highest annual incidence in Europe each year, but the Russian Federation and Ukraine accounted for 83% of all cases. Over the past 10 years, diphtheria incidence has decreased by >95% across the region. Although most deaths occurred in disease-endemic countries, case-fatality rates were highest in countries to which diphtheria is not endemic, where unfamiliarity can lead to delays in diagnosis and treatment. In western Europe, toxigenic Corynebacterium ulcerans has increasingly been identified as the etiologic agent. Reduction in diphtheria incidence over the past 10 years is encouraging, but maintaining high vaccination coverage is essential to prevent indigenous C. ulcerans and reemergence of C. diphtheriae.


Assuntos
Corynebacterium/isolamento & purificação , Difteria/epidemiologia , Epidemias , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Difteria/microbiologia , Difteria/mortalidade , Difteria/prevenção & controle , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Vacinação , Adulto Jovem
17.
Am J Public Health ; 102(1): 122-5, 2012 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22095355

RESUMO

The recent anthrax outbreak among injecting drug users (IDUs) in Europe has highlighted an ongoing problem with severe illness resulting from spore-forming bacteria in IDUs. We collated the numbers of cases of 4 bacterial illnesses (botulism, tetanus, Clostridium novyi, and anthrax) in European IDUs for 2000 to 2009 and calculated population rates. Six countries reported 367 cases; rates varied from 0.03 to 7.54 per million people. Most cases (92%) were reported from 3 neighboring countries: Ireland, Norway, and the United Kingdom. This geographic variation needs investigation.


Assuntos
Infecções Bacterianas/etiologia , Usuários de Drogas/estatística & dados numéricos , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/complicações , Antraz/epidemiologia , Antraz/etiologia , Bacillus anthracis , Infecções Bacterianas/epidemiologia , Botulismo/epidemiologia , Botulismo/etiologia , Clostridium , Infecções por Clostridium/epidemiologia , Infecções por Clostridium/etiologia , Clostridium botulinum , Clostridium tetani , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Humanos , Irlanda/epidemiologia , Noruega/epidemiologia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/epidemiologia , Tétano/epidemiologia , Tétano/etiologia , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
18.
Environ Manage ; 49(1): 163-73, 2012 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22109729

RESUMO

Canada is a large nation with forested ecosystems that occupy over 60% of the national land base, and knowledge of the patterns of Canada's land cover is important to proper environmental management of this vast resource. To this end, a circa 2000 Landsat-derived land cover map of the forested ecosystems of Canada has created a new window into understanding the composition and configuration of land cover patterns in forested Canada. Strategies for summarizing such large expanses of land cover are increasingly important, as land managers work to study and preserve distinctive areas, as well as to identify representative examples of current land-cover and land-use assemblages. Meanwhile, the development of extremely efficient clustering algorithms has become increasingly important in the world of computer science, in which billions of pieces of information on the internet are continually sifted for meaning for a vast variety of applications. One recently developed clustering algorithm quickly groups large numbers of items of any type in a given data set while simultaneously selecting a representative-or "exemplar"-from each cluster. In this context, the availability of both advanced data processing methods and a nationally available set of landscape metrics presents an opportunity to identify sets of representative landscapes to better understand landscape pattern, variation, and distribution across the forested area of Canada. In this research, we first identify and provide context for a small, interpretable set of exemplar landscapes that objectively represent land cover in each of Canada's ten forested ecozones. Then, we demonstrate how this approach can be used to identify flagship and satellite long-term study areas inside and outside protected areas in the province of Ontario. These applications aid our understanding of Canada's forest while augmenting its management toolbox, and may signal a broad range of applications for this versatile approach.


Assuntos
Árvores , Canadá , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecologia , Ecossistema , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Geografia
19.
Vaccine ; 40(3): 444-449, 2022 01 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34955326

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Vaccination coverage of dose two of MMR (MMR2) at 5th birthday has been consistently low in London and measured 76.3% in 2018/19. Since the early 2000s seven boroughs in London started offering dose two earlier, from 15 to 18 months onwards instead of the recommended 3 years 4 months. In this study we investigate whether the accelerated schedule of MMR2 leads to a change in coverage of MMR2 and other childhood vaccines with an ecological study using childhood immunisation data from 2009 to 2018 in London. METHODS: We modelled coverage used generalized estimating equations (GEE) adjusted for year and DTaP/IPV/Hib3 coverage measured at 2nd birthday as a proxy for baseline local vaccination programme performance to determine the percentage point difference in coverage of MMR2 and other childhood vaccines. RESULTS: Average MMR2 coverage was higher among early implementing boroughs from 2012/13 onwards. Coverage difference was highest in 2017/18 (9.2 percentage points, 95% CI 4.8, 13.5, p < 0.001). On average over the 6 years, compared to London boroughs on the routine schedule, MMR2 coverage among early implementing boroughs was 3.3 percentage points higher (95% CI 1.3, 5.3, p = 0.01) after adjusting for DTaP/IPV/Hib3 coverage, IMD score and year. CONCLUSION: Earlier vaccination of MMR2 is associated with significantly higher coverage at five years for this vaccine in London. Further research is needed to assess the association at a more granular level, but our findings underline a potential opportunity to increase MMR coverage.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Caxumba , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão) , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Londres , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola , Caxumba/prevenção & controle
20.
Vaccine ; 40(42): 6125-6132, 2022 10 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36117004

RESUMO

In England, the Meningitis B (MenB) vaccine is scheduled at eight and 16 weeks with a booster dose at one year of age and protects children against invasive bacterial meningococcal disease caused by Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B. Coverage of the second dose of MenB vaccine at 12 months was >92% in 2017/18, but this may mask inequalities in coverage in particular population groups. MenB vaccination records for children aged six, 12 and 18 months of age from December 2016 to May 2018 were routinely extracted from GP patient management systems every month in England via a web-based platform for national monitoring of vaccine coverage. We determined the association between ethnicity, deprivation and area of residence, vaccine coverage and drop-out rates (between dose one and dose two), using binomial regression. After adjusting for other factors, ethnic groups with lowest dose one coverage (Black or Black British-Caribbean, White-Any other White background, White-Irish) also had lowest dose two coverage, but in addition, these ethnic groups also had the largest drop-out rates between dose one and dose two. The drop-out rate for Black or Black British-Caribbean children was 5.7 percentage points higher than for White-British children. Vaccine coverage decreased with increasing deprivation quintile, and this was most marked for the booster coverage (6.2 percentage points lower in the most deprived compared to least deprived quintile, p < 0.001). To achieve high coverage for completed courses across all ethnic groups and deprivation quintiles both high initiation rates and a reduction in drop-out rates for ethnic groups with lowest coverage is necessary. A qualitative approach to better understand reasons behind lower coverage and higher drop-out rates in the most underserved ethnic groups is required to develop tailored approaches addressing these inequalities.


Assuntos
Infecções Meningocócicas , Vacinas Meningocócicas , Neisseria meningitidis Sorogrupo B , Neisseria meningitidis , Vacinas Bacterianas , Criança , Inglaterra , Humanos , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinação
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