Medial arterial calcification score is associated with increased risk of major limb amputation.

OBJECTIVE: The pedal medial arterial calcification (MAC) score has been associated with risk of major limb amputation in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia. This study aimed to validate the pedal MAC scoring system in a multi-institutional analysis to validate its usefulness in limb amputation risk prediction. METHODS: A multi-institution, retrospective study of patients who underwent endovascular or open surgical infrainguinal revascularization for chronic limb-threatening ischemia was performed. MAC scores of 0 to 5 were assigned based on visible calcified arteries on foot X ray then trichotomized (0-1, 2-4, 5) for analysis. The primary outcome was major limb amputation at 6 months. Adjusted Kaplan-Meier models were used to analyze time-to-major amputation across groups. RESULTS: There were 176 patients with 184 affected limbs (mean age, 66 years; 61% male; 60% White), of whom 97% presented with a wound. The MAC score was 0 in 41%, 1 in 9%, 2 in 13%, 3 in 11%, 4 in 13%, and 5 in 13% of the limbs. There were 26 major amputations (14%) and 16 deaths (8.7%) within 6 months. Patients with MAC 5 had a significantly higher risk of major limb amputation than both the 0 to 1 and 2 to 4 groups (P = .001 and P = .044, respectively), and lower overall amputation-free survival (log-rank P = .008). CONCLUSIONS: Pedal MAC score is a reproducible and generalizable measure of inframalleolar arterial disease that can be used with Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection staging to predict major limb amputation in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia.

Differential impact of missed initial wound clinic visit on 6-month wound healing by race/ethnicity among patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia.

Chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) is associated with significant morbidity, including major limb amputation, and mortality. Healing ischemic wounds is necessary to optimise vascular outcomes and can be facilitated by dedicated appointments at a wound clinic. This study aimed to estimate the association between successful wound care initiation and 6-month wound healing, with specific attention to differences by race/ethnicity. This retrospective study included 398 patients with CLTI and at least one ischaemic wound who scheduled an appointment at our wound clinic between January 2015 and July 2020. The exposure was the completion status of patients' first scheduled wound care appointment (complete/not complete) and the primary outcome was 6-month wound healing (healed/not healed). The analysis focused on how this association was modified by race/ethnicity. We used Aalen-Johansen estimators to produce cumulative incidence curves and calculated risk ratios within strata of race/ethnicity. The final adjustment set included age, revascularization, and initial wound size. Patients had a mean age of 67 ± 14 years, were 41% female, 46% non-White and had 517 total wounds. In the overall cohort, 70% of patients completed their first visit and 34% of wounds healed within 6-months. There was no significant difference in 6-month healing based on first visit completion status for White/non-Hispanic individuals (RR [95% CI] = 1.18 [0.91, 1.45]; p-value = 0.130), while non-White individuals were roughly 3 times more likely to heal their wounds if they completed their first appointment (RR [95% CI] = 2.89 [2.66, 3.11]; p-value < 0.001). In conclusion, non-White patients were approximately three times more likely to heal their wound in 6 months if they completed their first scheduled wound care appointment while White/non-Hispanic individuals' risk of healing was similar regardless of first visit completion status. Future efforts should focus on providing additional resources to ensure minority groups with wounds have the support they need to access and successfully initiate wound care.

Sex-Based Differences in Survival Among Patients with Acute Abdomen Undergoing Surgery in Malawi: A Propensity Weighted Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Sex disparities in access to health care in low-resource settings have been demonstrated. Still, there has been little research on the effect of sex on postoperative outcomes. We evaluated the relationship between sex and mortality after emergency abdominal surgery. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the acute care surgery database at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Malawi. We included patients who underwent emergency abdominal surgery between 2013 and 2021. We created a propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards model to assess the relationship between sex and inpatient survival. RESULTS: We included 2052 patients in the study, and 76% were males. The most common admission diagnosis in both groups was bowel obstruction. Females had a higher admission shock index than males (0.91 vs. 0.81, p < 0.001) and a longer delay from admission until surgery (1.47 vs. 0.79 days, p < 0.001). Females and males had similar crude postoperative mortality (16.3% vs. 15.3%, p = 0.621). The final Cox proportional hazards regression model was based on the propensity-weighted cohort. The mortality hazard ratio was 0.65 among females compared to males (95% CI 0.46-0.92, p = 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Our results show a survival advantage among female patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery despite sex-based disparities in access to surgical care that favors males. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms underlying these findings.

Malawi Trauma Score is Predictive of Mortality at a District Hospital: A Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Trauma scoring systems can identify patients who should be transferred to referral hospitals, but their utility in LMICs is often limited. The Malawi Trauma Score (MTS) reliably predicts mortality at referral hospitals but has not been studied at district hospitals. We sought to validate the MTS at a Malawi district hospital and evaluate whether MTS is predictive of transfer to a referral hospital. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study using trauma registry data from Salima District Hospital (SDH) from 2017 to 2021. We excluded patients brought in dead, discharged from the Casualty Department, or missing data needed to calculate MTS. We used logistic regression modeling to study the relationship between MTS and mortality at SDH and between MTS and transfer to a referral hospital. We used receiver operating characteristic analysis to validate the MTS as a predictor of mortality. RESULTS: We included 2196 patients (84.3% discharged, 12.7% transferred, 3.0% died). These groups had similar ages, sex, and admission vitals. Mean (SD) MTS was 7.9(3.0) among discharged patients, 8.4(3.9) among transferred patients, and 14.2(8.0) among patients who died (p < 0.001). Higher MTS was associated with increased odds of mortality at SDH (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.14-1.29, p < 0.001) but was not related to transfer. ROC area for mortality was 0.73 (95% CI 0.65-0.80). CONCLUSIONS: MTS is predictive of district hospital mortality but not inter-facility transfer. We suggest that MTS be used to identify patients with severe trauma who are most likely to benefit from transfer to a referral hospital.

Inter-hospital Transfer Delays to a Tertiary Referral Center and Postoperative Outcomes in Patients with Abdominal Surgical Emergencies in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: In low-income countries (LICs), patients with abdominal surgical emergencies often initially present to primary or district hospitals and are transferred to referral hospitals for surgical management. The transfer process introduces a delay to care, but the relationship between transfer time and outcomes has not been studied in LICs. We sought to evaluate the effect of transfer delays on postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the acute care surgery database at Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH), a referral hospital in Malawi. Patients were eligible for inclusion if transferred from another facility to KCH for emergency abdominal surgery. We used logistic regression modeling to evaluate the relationship between transfer time and postoperative complications and mortality. RESULTS: The study included 2037 patients. Female patients, patients transferred from district hospitals, and patients with bowel obstructions were most likely to spend over three days at a referring facility before transfer. On regression modeling, each additional day until transfer was associated with an 18% increase in odds of developing a postoperative complication (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.31, p = 0.005) and a 19% increase in odds of postoperative mortality (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.08-1.31, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among patients requiring emergency abdominal surgery in Malawi, transfer delays are associated with higher postoperative complications and mortality rates. Further research should focus on identifying the factors causing delays so that interventions aimed at improving the transfer process can be developed.

Reallocation of Hospital Resources During COVID-19 Pandemic and Effect on Trauma Outcomes in a Resource-Limited Setting.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions to surgical care worldwide, particularly in low-resource countries. We sought to characterize the association between pre-and intra-pandemic trauma clinical outcomes at a busy tertiary hospital in Malawi. METHODS: We analyzed trauma patients that presented to Kamuzu Central Hospital in Lilongwe, Malawi, from 2011 through July 2021. Burn patients were excluded. We compared patients based on whether they presented before or during the pandemic (defined as starting March 11, 2020, the date of the official WHO designation). We used logistic regression modeling to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on presentation. RESULTS: A total of 137,867 patients presented during the study period, with 13,526 patients during the pandemic. During the pandemic, patients were more likely to be older (mean 28 vs. 25 years, p < 0.001), male (79 vs. 74%, p < 0.001), and suffer a traumatic brain injury (TBI) as their primary injury (9.7 vs. 4.9%, p < 0.001). Crude trauma-associated mortality was higher during the pandemic at 3.7% vs. 2.1% (p < 0.001). The odds ratio of mortality during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic presentation was 1.28 (95% CI 1.06, 1.53) adjusted for age, sex, initial AVPU score, transfer status, injury type, and mechanism. CONCLUSIONS: During the pandemic, adjusted trauma-associated mortality significantly increased at a tertiary trauma center in a low-resource setting despite decreasing patient volume. Further research is urgently needed to prepare for future pandemics. Potential targets for improvement include improving pre-hospital care and transportation, planning for intensive care utilization, and addressing nursing shortages.

Direct Transfer to a Tertiary Care Hospital After Traumatic Injury is Associated with a Survival Benefit in a Resource-Limited Setting.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and patients in low- and middle-income countries are disproportionately affected. Organized trauma systems, including appropriate transfer to a higher level of care, improve trauma outcomes. We sought to evaluate the relationship between transfer status and trauma mortality in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of trauma patients admitted to Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH), a trauma center in Lilongwe, Malawi, between January 1, 2013, and May 30, 2018. Transfer status was categorized as direct if a patient arrives at KCH from the injury scene and indirect if a patient comes to KCH from another health care facility. We used logistic regression modeling to evaluate the relationship between transfer status and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 8369 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 34.6 years (SD 15.8), and 81% of patients were male. The most common mechanism of injury was motor vehicle collision. Injury severity did not significantly differ between the two groups. Crude mortality was 4.8% for indirect and 2.6% for direct transfers. After adjusting for relevant covariates, odds ratio of mortality was 2.12 (1.49-3.02, p < 0.001) for indirect versus direct transfers. CONCLUSION: Trauma patients indirectly transferred to a trauma center have nearly double the risk of mortality compared to direct transfers. Trauma outcome improvement efforts must focus on strengthening prehospital care, improving district hospital capacity, and developing protocols for early assessment, treatment, and transfer of trauma patients to a trauma center.

Cues to care: Chronic disease diagnosis in young adult trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Prevention of chronic disease necessitates early diagnosis and intervention. In young adults, a trauma admission may be an early contact with the health care system, representing an opportunity for screening and intervention. This study estimates the prevalence of previously diagnosed disease and undiagnosed disease (UD)-diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity, and alcohol and substance use-in a young adult trauma population. We determine factors associated with UD and examine outcomes in patients with UD. METHODS: This is a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of adult trauma patients 18 to 40 years old admitted to participating Level I trauma centers between January 2018 and December 2020. Three Level 1 trauma centers in a single state participated in the study. Trauma registry data and chart review were examined for evidence of previously diagnosed disease or UD. Patient demographics and outcomes were compared between cohorts. Multivariable regression modeling was performed to assess risk factors associated with any UD. RESULTS: The analysis included 6,307 admitted patients. Of these, 4,843 (76.8%) had evidence of at least 1 UD, most commonly hypertension and obesity. In multivariable models, factors most associated with risk of UD were age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-0.99), male sex (aOR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.25-1.63), and uninsured status (aOR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.38-1.80). Only 24.5% of patients had evidence of a primary care provider (PCP), which was not associated with decreased odds of UD. Clinical outcomes were significantly associated with the presence of chronic disease. Of those with UD and no PCP, only 11.2% were given a referral at discharge. CONCLUSION: In the young adult trauma population, the UD burden is high, especially among patients with traditional sociodemographic risk factors and even in patients with a PCP. Because of short hospital stays in this population, the full impact of UD may not be visible during a trauma admission. Early chronic disease diagnosis in this population will require rigorous, standard screening measures initiated within trauma centers. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

Acute care surgery in a Malawian district hospital: Epidemiology, outcomes, and assessment of operative capacity.

District hospitals (DHs) care for the majority of surgical patients in Malawi, but data on district hospital surgical capacity are limited. We sought to evaluate the management and outcomes of surgical patients presenting to Salima District Hospital (SDH) in Malawi. Using the SDH surgery registry, we compared patients managed operatively and those non-operatively and performed logistic regression to identify factors associated with operative management. We then compared cases performed at SDH with procedures recommended to be performed at DHs. We included 1374 patients, of whom half were managed operatively. The most common procedures performed were abscess drainage and wound debridement. Logistic regression analysis revealed that patients with abdominal diagnoses were least likely to be treated operatively. Though SDH performs most procedures recommended for the district hospital level, patients requiring laparotomies were most likely to be transferred to a referral hospital. Future studies should assess barriers to performing laparotomies at SDH.

The effect of transfer status on trauma outcomes in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Injuries are a leading cause of disability and death worldwide, and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are disproportionately burdened by trauma. Prior studies have shown that transfer status (direct transfer from injury scene to a referral hospital versus indirect transfer from another facility to a referral hospital) may affect patient outcomes. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between transfer status and trauma patient outcomes in LMICs by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: We performed a systematic search to identify studies from LMICs that evaluated the relationship between transfer status and trauma patient outcomes. We extracted data on study country, design, patient characteristics, and outcomes. We report results in the form of a narrative summary stratified by type of outcome. We also performed a meta-analysis of studies that reported mortality by transfer status. We calculated a pooled odds ratio of mortality among indirectly transferred (IT) versus directly transferred (DT) patients using random-effects modeling. RESULTS: We included 17 observational studies from 9 LMICs in this systematic review. Outcomes assessed were time from injury to arrival at a referral hospital, post-trauma functional status, hospital length of stay, and mortality. IT patients took between 0.6 and 37.9 h longer to arrive at referral hospitals than DT patients. Hospital length of stay was up to 6 days longer for IT patients than DT patients. The pooled odds ratio of mortality among IT patients compared to DT patients was 1.55 (95% CI 1.12 - 2.15; p = 0.009). CONCLUSION: Trauma patients in LMICs who are indirectly transferred to referral hospitals have significantly higher mortality rates than patients who present directly to referral hospitals. These results conflict with findings from HICs and reflect the relative immaturity of trauma systems in LMICs. Strategies to narrow the mortality gap between IT and DT patients include improving prehospital and primary hospital care and developing more efficient transfer protocols.

The use of head computerized tomography in patients with GCS 15 following trauma: Less is more.

INTRODUCTION: Computerized tomography (CT) imaging is a standard part of traumatic brain injury (TBI) evaluation but not all patients require it after mild head injury. Given the increasing incidence of TBI in the United States, there is an urgent need to better characterize CT head imaging utilization in evaluating trauma patients, especially patients at low risk of requiring intervention, such as those presenting with a normal GCS. METHODS: We analyzed the 2017-2019 National Trauma Databank using ICD-10 codes to identify patients who received a head CT. We used Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) scores to identify patients with a moderate to severe head injury defined as an AIS severity ≥ 3. Procedural TBI management was defined as having an intracranial monitor or operative decompression. We used a modified Poisson modeling to identify risk factors for a moderate/severe TBI and risk factors for undergoing procedural management among patients with head CT and GCS 15. RESULTS: Of 2,850,036 patients, 1,502,039 (52.7%) had a head CT. Among patients who had a head CT, 1,078,093 patients (74.9%) had a GCS 15 on arrival. Of this group, only 16.6% (n = 176,431) had a moderate/severe head injury. For those with moderate/severe head injury, 6.0% (n = 10,544/176,431) of patients underwent procedural head injury management. Risk factors for undergoing procedural head injury management included: isolated head injury (RR 2.43, 95% CI 2.34, 2.53), male sex (RR 1.73, 95% CI 1.67, 1.80), age > 50 years (RR 1.39 95% CI 1.32, 1.47), falls (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.22, 1.35), and the use of anti-coagulation (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.11, 1.21). CONCLUSION: Few patients had moderate/severe head injury when presenting with a GCS 15. However, patients ≥ 50 years, men, and those who suffered falls were at higher risk. Anti-coagulation use was not associated with moderate/severe head injury but did increase the risk of procedural TBI management. Given the cost and associated radiation, reducing CT utilization for younger patients while using a more liberal head CT strategy for high-risk patients may provide substantial patient value.

Sex dimorphism in pediatric burn mortality in Malawi: A propensity matched analysis.

INTRODUCTION: There is increasing evidence that sex differences may influence pathophysiology after thermal injury and affect clinical outcomes. This study aimed to assess the relationships between sex, thermal injury, and inpatient mortality in a pediatric burn cohort in a resource-limited setting. METHOD: This is a retrospective analysis of data collected from the Kamuzu Central Hospital Burns Unit, in Lilongwe, Malawi, from May 2011 to December 2019 on all pediatric patients (≤12 years). We performed a bivariate analysis by sex comparing demographics, burn characteristics, surgical intervention, and mortality. Standardized estimates were adjusted using the inverse probability of treatment weights to account for confounding. Following weighting, odds of mortality based on sex were obtained via logistic regression modeling. RESULTS: A total of 1904 children were admitted with a male preponderance (n = 1065, 55.9 %). Overall, the median age was 3 years (IQR1-4). Females had a higher percent total body surface area (%TBSA) burn than males, 15 % vs. 13 % (p = 0.03), respectively. Flame burns were more frequent in females compared to males, 32 % and 23 %, respectively (p < 0.001). There were higher rates of surgical intervention in females than males (20.9 % vs. 16.7 %, p = 0.02). The propensity score weighted logistic regression predicting mortality revealed no difference in the odds of mortality based on sex (OR 1.12, 95 % CI 0.82-1.52, p = 0.5). CONCLUSION: We show males are just as likely to die from burns compared to females with similar injuries in this propensity-matched analysis. A lack of difference in mortality may be attributable to the similarities in the hormonal profile in the prepubescent child.

Trends in head injury associated mortality in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: To address the problem of surgical workforce deficiencies in Malawi, we partnered with local institutions to establish a surgical residency-training and educational program for local surgeons in 2009. While this program has improved trauma-associated outcomes, it is unclear whether, without additional system improvements, the management of traumatic brain injury (TBI) has similarly advanced. This study sought to describe trends of TBI-associated in-hospital trauma mortality at a tertiary trauma center in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients recorded in the Kamuzu Central Hospital trauma surveillance registry in Lilongwe, Malawi, from 2012 through 2017. Modified Poisson regression modeling was used to compare the risk ratio of TBI associated in-hospital death each year compared to the year 2012, after adjusting for relevant covariates. RESULTS: 87,295 patients were recorded into the KCH Trauma Registry. 3,393 patients with TBI were identified, and most TBI patients were young males. In 2013 (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.48, 0.92) and 2014 (RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.41, 0.79), the adjusted risk ratio of in-hospital death decreased compared to 2012 when adjusted for age, sex, initial AVPU score, transfer status, and multisystem trauma. However, the adjusted risk ratio of mortality in 2015 (0.73, 95% CI 0.53, 1.02) plateaued, with relatively minor improvements in 2016 (0.72, 95% CI 0.54, 0.97) and 2017 (0.71, 95% CI 0.53, 0.96). CONCLUSIONS: A decrease in TBI associated mortality was associated with the establishment of a residency and educational training program for general surgery. This program increased available surgeons, improved critical care and trauma training, and integrated some neurosurgical training. However, improvements in outcomes plateaued in the last few years of the study, despite these enhancements to surgical care. The general surgery workforce must be supplemented with improved neurosurgical services and neurocritical care to decrease TBI-related mortality.

Treatment of superficial and perforator reflux and deep venous stenosis improves healing of chronic venous leg ulcers.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of three treatment modalities, superficial truncal vein ablation, perforator vein ablation, and deep venous stenting on venous leg ulcer (VLU) healing, as well as their cumulative effect on ulcer healing, in an attempt to establish the best algorithm for the treatment of chronic and recalcitrant VLUs. METHODS: Multicenter retrospective cohort study using a standardized database to evaluate patients with chronic venous ulcers treated between January 2013 and December 2017. RESULTS: Eight-hundred thirty-two consecutive patients with VLU were identified at 11 centers in the United States. All patients were initially managed with wound care and compression for at least 2 months. Compression and wound care management alone, used in 187 patients, led to ulcer healing in 75% of patients by 36 months. Ulcer recurrence in patients managed without surgery at 6, 12, and 24 months was 3%, 5% and 15%, respectively. Five hundred twenty-eight patients underwent ablation of incompetent superficial veins, and 344 of those also underwent incompetent perforator ablation. Patients who underwent truncal vein ablation alone had an ulcer healing rate of 51% at 36 months. Patients who received both superficial and perforator ablation were significantly younger, and had a 17% improvement in healing at 36 months (68% vs 51%, respectively), but there was no impact of combined superficial and perforator ablations on ulcer recurrence rates. One hundred thirty-four patients had stenosis of one of more lower extremity deep veins and 95 (71%) underwent endovenous stenting. Ulcer healing and recurrence rates for those who underwent stent placement alone was 77% and 27%, respectively, at 36 months. Patients who underwent deep venous stenting and ablation of both incompetent truncal and perforator veins had an ulcer healing rate of 87% at 36 months and ulcer recurrence of 26% at 24 months. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that correction of superficial truncal vein reflux, as well as deep vein stenosis, both contribute to healing of VLU. Patients who fail to heal their VLU after superficial and perforator ablation should have the iliocaval system imaged to identify hemodynamically significant stenoses or occlusions amenable to stenting, which facilitates venous ulcer healing even in patients with large ulcers.