MTHFR Glu429Ala and ERCC5 His46His polymorphisms are associated with prognosis in colorectal cancer patients: analysis of two independent cohorts from Newfoundland.

INTRODUCTION: In this study, 27 genetic polymorphisms that were previously reported to be associated with clinical outcomes in colorectal cancer patients were investigated in relation to overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) in colorectal cancer patients from Newfoundland. METHODS: The discovery and validation cohorts comprised of 532 and 252 patients, respectively. Genotypes of 27 polymorphisms were first obtained in the discovery cohort and survival analyses were performed assuming the co-dominant genetic model. Polymorphisms associated with disease outcomes in the discovery cohort were then investigated in the validation cohort. RESULTS: When adjusted for sex, age, tumor stage and microsatellite instability (MSI) status, four polymorphisms were independent predictors of OS in the discovery cohort MTHFR Glu429Ala (HR: 1.72, 95%CI: 1.04-2.84, p = 0.036), ERCC5 His46His (HR: 1.78, 95%CI: 1.15-2.76, p = 0.01), SERPINE1 -675indelG (HR: 0.52, 95%CI: 0.32-0.84, p = 0.008), and the homozygous deletion of GSTM1 gene (HR: 1.4, 95%CI: 1.03-1.92, p = 0.033). In the validation cohort, the MTHFR Glu429Ala polymorphism was associated with shorter OS (HR: 1.71, 95%CI: 1.18-2.49, p = 0.005), although with a different genotype than the discovery cohort (CC genotype in the discovery cohort and AC genotype in the validation cohort). When stratified based on treatment with 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU)-based regimens, this polymorphism was associated with reduced OS only in patients not treated with 5-FU. In the DFS analysis, when adjusted for other variables, the TT genotype of the ERCC5 His46His polymorphism was associated with shorter DFS in both cohorts (discovery cohort: HR: 1.54, 95%CI: 1.04-2.29, p = 0.032 and replication cohort: HR: 1.81, 95%CI: 1.11-2.94, p = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, associations of the MTHFR Glu429Ala polymorphism with OS and the ERCC5 His46His polymorphism with DFS were identified in two colorectal cancer patient cohorts. Our results also suggest that the MTHFR Glu429Ala polymorphism may be an adverse prognostic marker in patients not treated with 5-FU.

A histology-based model for predicting microsatellite instability in colorectal cancers.

Identifying colorectal cancers (CRCs) with high levels of microsatellite instability (MSI-H) is clinically important. MSI-H is a positive prognostic marker for CRC, a predictive marker for resistance to standard 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy, and an important feature for identifying individuals and families with Lynch syndrome. Our aim was to compare and improve upon the existing predictive pathology models for MSI-H CRCs. We tested 2 existing models used to predict MSI-H tumors, (1) Revised Bethesda Guidelines and (2) MsPath, in our population-based cohort of CRCs diagnosed less than 75 years from Newfoundland (N=710). We also scored additional histologic features not described in the other models. From this analysis, we developed a model for the prediction of MSI-H CRCs; Pathologic Role in Determination of Instability in Colorectal Tumors (PREDICT). An independent pathologist validated this model in a second cohort of all CRCs (N=276). Tumor histology was a better predictor of MSI status than was personal and family history of cancer. MsPath identified MSI-H CRCs with a sensitivity of 92.1% and a specificity of 37.8%, whereas the Revised Bethesda Guidelines had a sensitivity of 81.3% and a specificity of 39.5%. PREDICT included some new histology features, including peritumoral lymphocytic reaction and increased proportion of plasma cells in the tumor stroma. PREDICT was superior to both existing models in the development cohort with a sensitivity of 97.4% and a specificity of 53.9%. In the validation cohort, sensitivity was 96.9% and specificity 76.6%. We conclude that PREDICT is a good predictor of MSI-H CRC.

Validity of random-digit-dialing in recruiting controls in a case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether the participating controls represented the underlying population in a colorectal cancer case-control study in a geographically isolated North American population. METHODS: The characteristics of the study controls recruited through Random-digit-dialing (RDD) were compared with those in the corresponding target population estimates. RESULTS: Participating controls were more likely to have higher levels of education and income and were less likely to be smokers. CONCLUSION: Study controls recruited through RDD tend to have higher socioeconomic status, which may lead to overestimation of a number of risk factors in this study.

MLH1 -93G>A promoter polymorphism and the risk of microsatellite-unstable colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Although up to 30% of patients with colorectal cancer have a positive family history of colorectal neoplasia, few colorectal cancers can be explained by mutations in high-penetrance genes. We investigated whether polymorphisms in DNA mismatch repair genes are associated with the risk of colorectal cancer. METHODS: We genotyped 929 case patients and 1098 control subjects from Ontario and 430 case patients and 275 control subjects from Newfoundland and Labrador for five polymorphisms in the mismatch repair genes MLH1 and MSH2 with the fluorogenic 5' nuclease assay. Tumor microsatellite instability (MSI) was determined with a polymerase chain reaction-based method; MSI status was assigned as high (MSI-H, > or = 30% unstable markers among all markers tested), low (MSI-L, <30% markers unstable), or stable (MSS, no unstable markers). We used unconditional logistic regression to evaluate the association between each polymorphism and colorectal cancer after adjusting for age and sex. The associations between polymorphisms and tumor clinicopathologic features were evaluated with a Pearson's chi-square or Fisher's exact test. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: We observed strong associations between the MLH1 -93G>A polymorphism and MSI-H tumors among case patients from Ontario (P = .001) and Newfoundland (P = .003). When compared with the control populations, homozygosity for the MLH1 -93G>A variant allele was associated with MSI-H tumors among case patients in Ontario (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 3.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.65 to 6.30) and in Newfoundland (OR = 8.88, 95% CI = 2.33 to 33.9), as was heterozygosity among case patients in Ontario (OR = 1.84, 95% CI = 1.20 to 2.83) and in Newfoundland (OR = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.14 to 5.75). Genotype frequencies were similar among case patients with MSS and MSI-L tumors and control subjects, and the majority of homozygous variant carriers had MSS tumors. Among case patients from Ontario, an association between the MLH1 -93G>A polymorphism and a strong family history of colorectal cancer (for Amsterdam criteria I and II, P = .004 and P = .02, respectively) was observed. CONCLUSION: In two patient populations, the MLH1 -93G>A polymorphism was associated with an increased risk of MSI-H colorectal cancer.