Aztreonam/avibactam effect on pharmacodynamic indices for mutant selection of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae harbouring serine- and New Delhi metallo-ß-lactamases.

OBJECTIVES: Ceftazidime/avibactam is not active against MBL-producing bacteria. Combining ceftazidime/avibactam or avibactam with aztreonam can counter the resistance of MBL-producing Enterobacterales. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the addition of avibactam could reduce or close the mutant selection window (MSW) of aztreonam in Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae harbouring MBLs; MSW is a pharmacodynamic (PD) parameter for the selection of emergent resistant mutants. METHODS: In vitro susceptibility of 19 clinical isolates to ceftazidime/avibactam, aztreonam alone, and in co-administration (aztreonam/ceftazidime/avibactam and aztreonam/avibactam) was determined, as well as the mutant prevention concentration (MPC). The fraction of time within 24 h that the free drug concentration was within the MSW (fTMSW) and the fraction of time that the free drug concentration was above the MPC (fT>MPC) in both plasma and epithelial lining fluid (ELF) were determined from simulations of 10 000 profiles. The joint PTA was used to derive a joint cumulative fraction of response (CFR). RESULTS: All isolates were resistant to ceftazidime/avibactam or aztreonam. Combining aztreonam and avibactam or ceftazidime/avibactam resulted in synergistic bactericidal activities against all isolates. Synergism was primarily due to the aztreonam/avibactam combination. For aztreonam/avibactam dosing regimens evaluated in clinical trials, fT>MPC values were >90% and >80%, whereas fTMSW measures were <10% and <20% in plasma and ELF, respectively. The CFR was 100% for aztreonam/avibactam against the collection of clinical isolates. CONCLUSIONS: Effective antimicrobial combination optimized the PD parameters measuring selection for emergent mutants by increasing fT>MPC and reducing fTMSW.

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic evaluation of meropenem plus fosfomycin in paediatrics.

AIMS: The objective of the current study was to evaluate paediatric dosing regimens for meropenem plus fosfomycin that generate sufficient coverage against multidrug-resistant bacteria. METHODS: The physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models of meropenem and fosfomycin were developed from previously published pharmacokinetic studies in five populations: healthy subjects of Japanese origin, and healthy adults, geriatric, paediatric and renally impaired of primarily Caucasian origins. Pharmacodynamic (PD) analyses were carried out by evaluating dosing regimens that achieved a ≥90% joint probability of target attainment (PTA), which was defined as the minimum of the marginal probabilities to achieve the target PD index of each antibiotic. For meropenem, the percentage of time over a 24-hour period wherein the free drug concentration was above the minimum inhibitory concentration (fT > MIC) of at least 40% was its PD target. The fosfomycin PD index was described by fAUC/MIC of at least 40.8. RESULTS: For coadministration consisting of 20 mg/kg meropenem q8h as a 3-hour infusion and 35 mg/kg fosfomycin q8h also as a 3-hour infusion in a virtual paediatric population between 1 month and 12 years of age with normal renal function and a corresponding body weight between 3 and 50 kg, a joint PTA ≥ 90% is achieved at MICs of 16 and 64 mg/L for meropenem and fosfomycin coadministration, respectively, against Klebsiella pneumoniae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. CONCLUSION: The current study identified potentially effective paediatric dosing regimens for meropenem plus fosfomycin coadministration against multidrug-resistant bacteria.

A randomised, double-blind trial to demonstrate bioequivalence of GP2013 and reference rituximab combined with methotrexate in patients with active rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this report is to demonstrate pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) equivalence as well as similar efficacy, safety and immunogenicity between GP2013, a biosimilar rituximab, and innovator rituximab (RTX) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with inadequate response or intolerance to tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) treatment. METHODS: In this multinational, randomised, double-blind, parallel-group study, 312 patients with active disease despite prior TNFi therapy were randomised to receive GP2013 or either the EU (RTX-EU) or the US (RTX-US) reference product, along with methotrexate (MTX) and folic acid. The primary endpoint was the area under the serum concentration-time curve from study drug infusion to infinity (AUC0-inf). Additional PK and PD parameters, along with efficacy, immunogenicity and safety outcomes were also assessed up to week 24. RESULTS: The 90% CI of the geometric mean ratio of the AUCs were within the bioequivalence limits of 80% to 125% for all three comparisons; GP2013 versus RTX-EU: 1.106 (90% CI 1.010 to 1.210); GP2013 versus RTX-US: 1.012 (90% CI 0.925 to 1.108); and RTX-EU versus RTX-US: 1.093 (90% CI 0.989 to 1.208). Three-way PD equivalence of B cell depletion was also demonstrated. Efficacy, safety and immunogenicity profiles were similar between GP2013 and RTX. CONCLUSIONS: Three-way PK/PD equivalence of GP2013, RTX-EU and RTX-US was demonstrated. Efficacy, safety and immunogenicity profiles were similar between GP2013 and RTX. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01274182; Results.

Ecology and geography of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Changsha, China.

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) is an important public health problem in mainland China. HFRS is particularly endemic in Changsha, the capital city of Hunan Province, with one of the highest incidences in China. The occurrence of HFRS is influenced by environmental factors. However, few studies have examined the relationship between environmental variation (such as land use changes and climate variations), rodents and HFRS occurrence. The purpose of this study is to predict the distribution of HFRS and identify the risk factors and relationship between HFRS occurrence and rodent hosts, combining ecological modeling with the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. METHODS: Ecological niche models (ENMs) were used to evaluate potential geographic distributions of rodent species by reconstructing details of their ecological niches in ecological dimensions, and projecting the results onto geography. The Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production was used to produce ENMs. Data were collected on HFRS cases in Changsha from 2005 to 2009, as well as national land survey data, surveillance data of rodents, meteorological data and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). RESULTS: The highest occurrence of HFRS was in districts with strong temperature seasonality, where elevation is below 200 m, mean annual temperature is around 17.5°C, and annual precipitation is below 1600 mm. Cultivated and urban lands in particular are associated with HFRS occurrence. Monthly NDVI values of areas predicted present is lower than areas predicted absent, with high seasonal variation. The number of HFRS cases was correlated with rodent density, and the incidence of HFRS cases in urban and forest areas was mainly associated with the density of Rattus norvegicus and Apodemus agrarius, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Heterogeneity between different areas shows that HFRS occurrence is affected by the intensity of human activity, climate conditions, and landscape elements. Rodent density and species composition have significant impacts on the number of HFRS cases and their distribution.

Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic Evaluation of Aztreonam/Amoxicillin/Clavulanate Combination against New Delhi Metallo-ß-Lactamase and Serine-ß-Lactamase Co-Producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae.

This study aimed to examine specific niches and usage for the aztreonam/amoxicillin/clavulanate combination and to use population pharmacokinetic simulations of clinical dosing regimens to predict the impact of this combination on restricting mutant selection. The in vitro susceptibility of 19 New-Delhi metallo-ß-lactamase (NDM)-producing clinical isolates to amoxicillin/clavulanate and aztreonam alone and in co-administration was determined based on the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) and mutant prevention concentration (MPC). The fractions of a 24-h duration that the free drug concentration was within the mutant selection window (fTMSW) and above the MPC (fT>MPC) in both plasma and epithelial lining fluid were determined from simulations of 10,000 subject profiles based on regimens by renal function categories. This combination reduced the MIC of aztreonam and amoxicillin/clavulanate to values below their clinical breakpoint in 7/9 K. pneumoniae and 8/9 E. coli, depending on the ß-lactamase genes detected in the isolate. In the majority of the tested isolates, the combination resulted in fT>MPC > 90% and fTMSW < 10% for both aztreonam and amoxicillin/clavulanate. Clinical dosing regimens of aztreonam and amoxicillin/clavulanate were sufficient to provide mutant restriction coverage for MPC and MIC ≤ 4 mg/L. This combination has limited coverage against NDM- and extended-spectrum ß-lactamase co-producing E. coli and K. pneumoniae and is not effective against isolates carrying plasmid-mediated AmpC and KPC-2. This study offers a potential scope and limitations as to where the aztreonam/amoxicillin/clavulanate combination may succeed or fail.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modeling to inform dosing regimens and routes of administration of rifampicin and colistin combination against Acinetobacter baumannii.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) is resistant to major antibiotics such as penicillin, cephalosporin, fluoroquinolone and aminoglycoside, and has become a significant nosocomial pathogen. The efficacy of rifampicin and colistin combination against CRAB could be dependent on the administration routes and drug concentrations at the site of infection. OBJECTIVE: The objective is to predict drug disposition in biological tissues. Treatment efficacy is extrapolated by assessing respective pharmacodynamic (PD) indices, as well as parameters associated with the emergence of resistance. METHODS: Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models of rifampicin and colistin were utilized to predict tissue exposures. Dosing regimens and administration routes for combination therapy were evaluated in terms of in vitro antimicrobial susceptibility of A. baumannii associated with targeted PD indices and resistance parameters. RESULTS: Simulated exposures in blood, heart, lung, skin and brain were consistent with reported penetration rates. The results demonstrated that a combination of colistin and rifampicin using conventional intravenous (i.v.) doses could achieve effective exposures in the blood and skin. However, for lung infections, colistin by inhalation would be required due to low lung penetration from intravenous route. Inhaled colistin alone provided good PD coverage but this practice could encourage the emergence of additional resistance which may be overcome by a combination regimen that includes inhaled rifampicin. CONCLUSION: This in silico extrapolation provides valuable information on dosing regimens and routes of administration against CRAB infections in specific tissues. The PBPK modeling approach could be a non-invasive way to inform therapeutic benefits of combination antimicrobial therapy.

Identification of 12/15-lipoxygenase as a suppressor of myeloproliferative disease.

Though Abl inhibitors are often successful therapies for the initial stages of chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML), refractory cases highlight the need for novel molecular insights. We demonstrate that mice deficient in the enzyme 12/15-lipoxygenase (12/15-LO) develop a myeloproliferative disorder (MPD) that progresses to transplantable leukemia. Although not associated with dysregulation of Abl, cells isolated from chronic stage 12/15-LO-deficient (Alox15) mice exhibit increased activation of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3-K) pathway, as indicated by enhanced phosphorylation of Akt. Furthermore, the transcription factor interferon consensus sequence binding protein (ICSBP) is hyperphosphorylated and displays decreased nuclear accumulation, translating into increased levels of expression of the oncoprotein Bcl-2. The ICSBP defect, exaggerated levels of Bcl-2, and prolonged leukemic cell survival associated with chronic stage Alox15 MPD are all reversible upon treatment with a PI3-K inhibitor. Remarkably, the evolution of Alox15 MPD to leukemia is associated with additional regulation of ICSBP on an RNA level, highlighting the potential usefulness of the Alox15 model for understanding the transition of CML to crisis. Finally, 12/15-LO expression suppresses the growth of a human CML-derived cell line. These data identify 12/15-LO as an important suppressor of MPD via its role as a critical upstream effector in the regulation of PI3-K-dependent ICSBP phosphorylation.

[Study on sensitivity of climatic factors on influenza A (H1N1) based on classification and regression tree and wavelet analysis].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the periodicity of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in Changsha in year 2009 and its correlation with sensitive climatic factors. METHODS: The information of 5439 cases of influenza A (H1N1) and synchronous meteorological data during the period between May 22th and December 31st in year 2009 (223 days in total) in Changsha city were collected. The classification and regression tree (CART) was employed to screen the sensitive climatic factors on influenza A (H1N1); meanwhile, cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence analysis were applied to assess and compare the periodicity of the pandemic disease and its association with the time-lag phase features of the sensitive climatic factors. RESULTS: The results of CART indicated that the daily minimum temperature and daily absolute humidity were the sensitive climatic factors for the popularity of influenza A (H1N1) in Changsha. The peak of the incidence of influenza A (H1N1) was in the period between October and December (Median (M) = 44.00 cases per day), simultaneously the daily minimum temperature (M = 13°C) and daily absolute humidity (M = 6.69 g/m(3)) were relatively low. The results of wavelet analysis demonstrated that a period of 16 days was found in the epidemic threshold in Changsha, while the daily minimum temperature and daily absolute humidity were the relatively sensitive climatic factors. The number of daily reported patients was statistically relevant to the daily minimum temperature and daily absolute humidity. The frequency domain was mostly in the period of (16 ± 2) days. In the initial stage of the disease (from August 9th and September 8th), a 6-day lag was found between the incidence and the daily minimum temperature. In the peak period of the disease, the daily minimum temperature and daily absolute humidity were negatively relevant to the incidence of the disease. CONCLUSION: In the pandemic period, the incidence of influenza A (H1N1) showed periodic features; and the sensitive climatic factors did have a "driving effect" on the incidence of influenza A (H1N1).

[Study on the influence of landscape elements regarding on the transmission of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Changsha].

OBJECTIVE: To explore the influence of landscape elements on the transmission of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Changsha. METHODS: A total of 327 cases of HFRS diagnosed between year 2005 - 2009 were recruited in the study. Based on the demographic data, meteorological data and the data of second national land survey during the same period, a GIS landscape elements database of HFRS at the township scale of Changsha was established. Spatial-temporal cluster analysis methods were adopted to explore the influence of landscape elements on the spatial-temporal distribution of HFRS in Changsha during the year of 2005 - 2009. RESULTS: The annual incidences of HFRS in Changsha between year 2005 - 2009 were 1.16/100 000 (70 cases), 0.95/100 000 (58 cases), 1.40/100 000(87 cases), 0.75/100 000(47 cases) and 1.02/100 000(65 cases) respectively. The results of poisson regression model analysis of principal component showed that the incidence of HFRS was positively correlated with farmland area (M = 29.00 km2) and urban and rural area (M = 6.12 km2; incidence rate ratios (IRR) = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.27 - 1.41); but negatively correlated with forestland area (M = 39.00 km2; IRR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.55 - 0.81) and garden plot area (M = 0.99 km2; IRR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.63 - 0.86). A significant cluster of the spatial-temporal distribution of HFRS cases was found in the study. The primary cluster (28.9 N, 113.37 E, radius at 22.22 km, RR = 5.23, log likelihood ratio (LLR) = 51.61, P <0.01, 67 cases of HFRS and incidence at 4.4/100 000) was found between year 2006 and 2007; and the secondary cluster (28.2 N, 113.6 E, RR = 10.77, LLR = 16.01, P < 0.01, 11 cases of HFRS and the incidence at 10.6/100 000) was found between year 2008 and 2009. CONCLUSION: The landscape elements were found to be closely related to the prevalence and transmission of HFRS.

Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use and Landscape Ecological Risk Response Based on Planning Control.

This study applied territorial spatial planning control to a land use multi-scenario simulation in Changde, China, and measured the landscape ecological risk response. It embedded five planning control schemes, respectively, involving inertial development, urban expansion size quantity control, ecological spatial structure control, land use zoning control, and comprehensive control. Findings show that: (1) Woodland and arable land in Changde occupy 31.10% and 43.35% of land use, respectively, and constitute the main functional space of the research area. The scale of construction land in Changde has enlarged continuously, with ecological space represented by woodland and water constantly squeezed and occupied. (2) Comprehensive control has the most remarkable restraining effect on the disordered spread of construction land, while ecological space structure control is the most effective way to control ecological land shrinkage. (3) The overall landscape ecological risk index expanded over 2009-2018, presenting an S-type time evolution curve of "sharp increase-mitigation". Landscape ecological risk presents a single-core, double-layer circle structure with the north and east regions as the core, attenuating to the periphery. (4) Landscape ecological risk under land use zoning control increased significantly more than in other scenarios. Comprehensive control best prevented landscape ecological risk and restrained the disorderly expansion of construction land.

Prediction of Tissue Exposures of Meropenem, Colistin, and Sulbactam in Pediatrics Using Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling.

BACKGROUND: The combination of polymyxins, meropenem, and sulbactam demonstrated efficacy against multi-drug-resistant bacillus Acinetobacter baumannii. These three antibiotics are commonly used against major blood, skin, lung, and heart muscle infections. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to predict drug disposition and extrapolate the efficacy in these tissues using a physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling approach that linked drug exposures to their target pharmacodynamic indices associated with antimicrobial activities against A. baumannii. METHODS: An adult physiologically based pharmacokinetic model was developed for meropenem, colistin, and sulbactam and scaled to pediatrics accounting for both renal and non-renal clearances. The model reliability was evaluated by comparing simulated plasma and tissue drug exposures to observed data. Target pharmacodynamic indices were used to evaluate whether pediatric and adult dosing regimens provided sufficient coverage. RESULTS: The modeled plasma drug exposures in adults and pediatric patients were consistent with reported literature data. The mean fold errors for meropenem, colistin, and sulbactam were in the range of 0.710-1.37, 0.981-1.47, and 0.647-1.39, respectively. Simulated exposures in the blood, skin, lung, and heart were consistent with reported penetration rates. In a virtual pediatric population aged from 2 to < 18 years, the interpretive breakpoints were achieved in 85-90% of subjects for their targeted pharmacodynamic indices after administration of pediatric dosing regimens consisting of 30 mg/kg of meropenem, and 40 mg/kg of sulbactam three times daily as a 3-h or continuous infusion and 5 mg/kg/day of colistin base activity. CONCLUSIONS: The physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling supports pediatric dosing regimens of meropenem/colistin/sulbactam in a co-administration setting against infections in the blood, lung, skin, and heart tissues due to A. baumannii.

The combination effect of meropenem/sulbactam/polymyxin-B on the pharmacodynamic parameters for mutant selection windows against carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii.

The objective of this study was to evaluate whether combinations of sulbactam, meropenem, and polymyxin-B could reduce or close the gap of mutant selection window (MSW) of individual antibiotics against Acinetobacter baumannii harboring OXA-23. MICs of three antimicrobials used alone and in combination (meropenem/polymyxin-B or meropenem/polymyxin-B/sulbactam) were obtained in 11 clinical isolates and mutant prevention concentrations were determined in 4 of the 11 isolates. All isolates were resistant to meropenem or polymyxin-B. Combining meropenem and polymyxin-B with or without sulbactam resulted in synergistic bactericidal activities. Pharmacokinetic (PK) simulations of drug concentrations in the blood and epithelial lining fluid coupled with pharmacodynamic (PD) evaluations revealed that the fractions of time over the 24-h in terms of free drug concentration within the MSW (fTMSW) and above the MPC (fT>MPC) were optimized by combination therapy. The resultant clinical regimens of meropenem, polymyxin-B, and sulbactam evaluated in the PK-PD analysis were 2 g q8h, 2.5 mg/kg loading dose followed by 1.5 mg/kg q12h, and 3 g q8h, respectively, in patients with normal renal function. Subsequent corresponding equivalent exposure regimens would depend on the extent of renal failure. The overall results indicate that combination antibiotics consisting of sulbactam/meropenem/polymyxin-B can confer potential efficacy against A. baumannii harboring OXA-23, and reduce the opportunity for bacteria to develop further resistance. This study provides a framework for pharmacodynamic evaluation of drug-resistant mutant suppression in an antimicrobial co-administration setting. The results thereby lay the groundwork for additional studies and future clinical confirmation is warranted.

Dosing Regimen Prediction and Confirmation With Rivaroxaban for Thromboprophylaxis in Children After the Fontan Procedure: Insights From the Phase III UNIVERSE Study.

Thrombosis remains an important complication for children with single-ventricle physiology following the Fontan procedure, and effective thromboprophylaxis is an important unmet medical need. To obviate conventional dose-finding studies and expedite clinical development, a rivaroxaban dose regimen for this indication was determined using a model-informed drug development approach. A physiologically based pharmacokinetic rivaroxaban model was used to predict a pediatric dosing regimen that would produce drug exposures similar to that of 10 mg once daily in adults. This regimen was used in an open-label, multicenter phase III study, which investigated the use of rivaroxaban for thromboprophylaxis in post-Fontan patients 2 to 8 years of age. The pharmacokinetics (PK) of rivaroxaban was assessed in part A (n = 12) and in part B (n = 64) of the UNIVERSE study. The safety and efficacy in the rivaroxaban group were compared to those in the acetylsalicylic acid group for 12 months. Pharmacodynamic end points were assessed in both parts of the study. Rivaroxaban exposures achieved in parts A and B were similar to the adult reference exposures. Prothrombin time also showed similarity to the adult reference. Exposure-response analysis did not identify a quantitative relationship between rivaroxaban exposures and efficacy/safety outcomes within the observed exposure ranges. A body weight-based dose regimen selected by physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling was shown in the UNIVERSE study to be appropriate for thromboprophylaxis in the post-Fontan pediatric population. Model-based dose selection can support pediatric drug development and bridge adult dose data to pediatrics, thereby obviating the need for dose-finding studies in pediatric programs.

Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response Modeling of Daratumumab Subcutaneous Administration in Patients With Light-Chain Amyloidosis.

The purpose of this study is to characterize the population pharmacokinetics (popPK) of subcutaneous (SC) daratumumab in combination with bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone and explore the relationship between daratumumab systemic exposure and selected efficacy and safety end points in patients with newly diagnosed systemic amyloid light-chain amyloidosis. The popPK analysis included pharmacokinetic and immunogenicity data from patients receiving daratumumab SC in combination with bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone in the ANDROMEDA study (AMY3001; safety run-in, n = 28; randomized phase, n = 183). Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling was used to characterize the popPK and quantify the impact of potential covariates. The exposure-response (E-R) analysis included data from all patients in the randomized phase of ANDROMEDA (n = 388). Logistic regression and survival analysis were used to evaluate the relationships between daratumumab systemic exposure and efficacy end points. The E-R analysis on safety was conducted using quartile comparison and logistic regression analysis. The observed concentration-time data of daratumumab SC were well described by a 1-compartment popPK model with first-order absorption and parallel linear and nonlinear Michaelis-Menten elimination pathways. None of the investigated covariates were determined to be clinically meaningful. Daratumumab systemic exposure was generally similar across subgroups that achieved different levels of hematologic response, and there was no apparent relationship between daratumumab systemic exposure and the investigated safety end points. In conclusion, the popPK and E-R analyses supported the selected 1800-mg flat dose of daratumumab SC in combination with the bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone regimen for the treatment of light-chain amyloidosis. No dose adjustment was recommended for investigated covariates.

[The warning model and influence of climatic changes on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Changsha city].

OBJECTIVE: To realize the influence of climatic changes on the transmission of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS), and to explore the adoption of climatic factors in warning HFRS. METHODS: A total of 2171 cases of HFRS and the synchronous climatic data in Changsha from 2000 to 2009 were collected to a climate-based forecasting model for HFRS transmission. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was employed to explore the variation trend of the annual incidence of HFRS. Cross-correlations analysis was then adopted to assess the time-lag period between the climatic factors, including monthly average temperature, relative humidity, rainfall and Multivariate Elño-Southern Oscillation Index (MEI) and the monthly HFRS cases. Finally the time-series Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the influence of different climatic factors on the HFRS transmission. RESULTS: The annual incidence of HFRS in Changsha between 2000 - 2009 was 13.09/100 000 (755 cases), 9.92/100 000 (578 cases), 5.02/100 000 (294 cases), 2.55/100 000 (150 cases), 1.13/100 000 (67 cases), 1.16/100 000 (70 cases), 0.95/100 000 (58 cases), 1.40/100 000 (87 cases), 0.75/100 000 (47 cases) and 1.02/100 000 (65 cases), respectively. The incidence showed a decline during these years (Z = -5.78, P < 0.01). The results of Poisson regression model indicated that the monthly average temperature (18.00°C, r = 0.26, P < 0.01, 1-month lag period; IRR = 1.02, 95%CI: 1.00 - 1.03, P < 0.01), relative humidity (75.50%, r = 0.62, P < 0.01, 3-month lag period; IRR = 1.03, 95%CI: 1.02 - 1.04, P < 0.01), rainfall (112.40 mm, r = 0.25, P < 0.01, 6-month lag period; IRR = 1.01, 95CI: 1.01 - 1.02, P = 0.02), and MEI (r = 0.31, P < 0.01, 3-month lag period; IRR = 0.77, 95CI: 0.67 - 0.88, P < 0.01) were closely associated with monthly HFRS cases (18.10 cases). CONCLUSION: Climate factors significantly influence the incidence of HFRS. If the influence of variable-autocorrelation, seasonality, and long-term trend were controlled, the accuracy of forecasting by the time-series Poisson regression model in Changsha would be comparatively high, and we could forecast the incidence of HFRS in advance.

Pharmacodynamic evaluation of suppression of in vitro resistance in Acinetobacter baumannii strains using polymyxin B-based combination therapy.

The emergence of polymyxin resistance in Gram-negative bacteria infections has motivated the use of combination therapy. This study determined the mutant selection window (MSW) of polymyxin B alone and in combination with meropenem and fosfomycin against A. baumannii strains belonging to clonal lineages I and III. To evaluate the inhibition of in vitro drug resistance, we investigate the MSW-derived pharmacodynamic indices associated with resistance to polymyxin B administrated regimens as monotherapy and combination therapy, such as the percentage of each dosage interval that free plasma concentration was within the MSW (%TMSW) and the percentage of each dosage interval that free plasma concentration exceeded the mutant prevention concentration (%T>MPC). The MSW of polymyxin B varied between 1 and 16 µg/mL for polymyxin B-susceptible strains. The triple combination of polymyxin B with meropenem and fosfomycin inhibited the polymyxin B-resistant subpopulation in meropenem-resistant isolates and polymyxin B plus meropenem as a double combination sufficiently inhibited meropenem-intermediate, and susceptible strains. T>MPC 90% was reached for polymyxin B in these combinations, while %TMSW was 0 against all strains. TMSW for meropenem and fosfomycin were also reduced. Effective antimicrobial combinations significantly reduced MSW. The MSW-derived pharmacodynamic indices can be used for the selection of effective combination regimen to combat the polymyxin B-resistant strain.

Population pharmacokinetic analysis of rivaroxaban in children and comparison to prospective physiologically-based pharmacokinetic predictions.

Rivaroxaban has been investigated in the EINSTEIN-Jr program for the treatment of acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) in children aged 0 to 18 years and in the UNIVERSE program for thromboprophylaxis in children aged 2 to 8 years with congenital heart disease after Fontan-procedure. Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) and population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) modeling were used throughout the pediatric development of rivaroxaban according to the learn-and-confirm paradigm. The development strategy was to match pediatric drug exposures to adult exposure proven to be safe and efficacious. In this analysis, a refined pediatric PopPK model for rivaroxaban based on integrated EINSTEIN-Jr data and interim PK data from part A of the UNIVERSE phase III study was developed and the influence of potential covariates and intrinsic factors on rivaroxaban exposure was assessed. The model adequately described the observed pediatric PK data. PK parameters and exposure metrics estimated by the PopPK model were compared to the predictions from a previously published pediatric PBPK model for rivaroxaban. Ninety-one percent of the individual post hoc clearance estimates were found within the 5th to 95th percentile of the PBPK model predictions. In patients below 2 years of age, however, clearance was underpredicted by the PBPK model. The iterative and integrative use of PBPK and PopPK modeling and simulation played a major role in the establishment of the bodyweight-adjusted rivaroxaban dosing regimen that was ultimately confirmed to be a safe and efficacious dosing regimen for children aged 0 to 18 years with acute VTE in the EINSTEIN-Jr phase III study.

Overexpression of human 15(S)-lipoxygenase-1 in RAW macrophages leads to increased cholesterol mobilization and reverse cholesterol transport.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of 15-lipoxygenase-1 (15-LO-1) on cholesterol mobilization from macrophages. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overexpression of human 15-LO-1 in RAW mouse macrophages led to enhanced cholesterol efflux, increased cholesteryl ester (CE) hydrolysis, and increased reverse cholesterol transport (RCT). Efflux studies comparing 15-LO-1 overexpressing cells to mock-transfected RAW macrophages resulted in a 3- to 7-fold increase in cholesterol efflux to apolipoprotein A-I and a modest increase in efflux to HDL. Additional experiments revealed an increase in mRNA and protein levels of ABCA1 and ABCG1 in the RAW expressing 15-LO-1 compared to controls. Efforts to examine whether the arachidonic acid metabolite of 15-LO-1, (15S)-hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid (HETE), was responsible for the enhanced efflux revealed this eicosanoid metabolite did not play a role. Enhanced steryl ester hydrolysis was observed in 15-LO-1 overexpressing cells suggesting that the CE produced in the 15-LO-1 expressing cells was readily mobilized. To measure RCT, RAW macrophages overexpressing 15-LO-1 or mock-transfected cells were cholesterol enriched by exposure to acetylated low-density lipoprotein and [(3)H]-cholesterol. These macrophages were injected into wild-type animals and RCT was measured as a percent of injected dose of (3)H appearing in the feces at 48 hours. We found 7% of the injected (3)H in the feces of mice that received macrophages overexpressing 15-LO-1 and 4% in the feces of mice that received mock-transfected cells. CONCLUSIONS: These data are consistent with a model in which overexpression of human 15-LO-1 in RAW macrophages promotes RCT through increased CE hydrolysis and ABCA1-mediated cholesterol efflux.

Application of Trial Simulation in the Design of a Prospective Study for Concentration-QTc Analysis in Support of a Thorough QT Study Waiver.

The concentration-QTc (C-QTc) analysis is often applied in the first-in-human (FIH) study to demonstrate the absence of a QTc effect in support of a TQT waiver. However, a C-QTc analysis without properly designed sensitivity could fail to conclude the absence of a QTc effect at high concentrations, even though the compound is QTc negative. This is because the 90% confidence interval (CI) of the model-derived ∆∆QTc grows wider with increasing concentration, and the upper-bound could cross the 10-ms threshold, even though the slope is close to 0. So far, there is no simple math formula to calculate the sensitivity/specificity of a C-QTc analysis. A PK/QTc trial simulation scheme was applied to optimize the design features of a C-QTc trial in FIH studies by evaluating the study's sensitivity over a wide concentration range, circumventing the problem of not knowing the target concentration during FIH studies. It was also used to ensure that the specificity of the trial was well-controlled. Simulation showed that the study sensitivity can be quantitatively gauged by optimizing the dose range, the number of samples per subjects or subject number, and by sampling around Tmax, and at steady-state. The specificity of the trial can also be evaluated with this approach, and it is important to combine model-derived ∆∆QTc and slope estimate in the evaluation. The trial simulation approach helps maximize the probability of success of C-QTc analyses in FIH studies intended to support a TQT waiver.

15-oxo-Eicosatetraenoic acid, a metabolite of macrophage 15-hydroxyprostaglandin dehydrogenase that inhibits endothelial cell proliferation.

The formation of 15-oxo-5,8,11,13-(Z,Z,Z,E)-eicosatetraenoic acid (15-oxo-ETE) as a product from rabbit lung 15-hydroxyprostaglandin dehydrogenase (PGDH)-mediated oxidation of 15(S)-hydroperoxy-5,8,11,13-(Z,Z,Z,E)-eicosatetraenoic acid was first reported more than 30 years ago. However, the pharmacological significance of 15-oxo-ETE formation has never been established. We have now evaluated 15-lipoxygenase (LO)-1-mediated arachidonic acid (AA) metabolism to 15-oxo-ETE in human monocytes and mouse RAW macrophages that stably express human 15-LO-1 (R15L cells). A targeted lipidomics approach was used to identify and quantify the oxidized lipids that were formed. 15-oxo-ETE was found to be a major AA-derived LO metabolite when AA was given exogenously or released from endogenous esterified lipid stores by calcium ionophore (CI) calcimycin (A-23187). This established the R15L cells as a useful in vitro model system. Pretreatment of the R15L cells with cinnamyl-3,4-dihydroxycyanocinnamate significantly inhibited AA- or CI-mediated production of 15(S)-hydroperoxy-5,8,11,13-(Z,Z,Z,E)-eicosatetraenoic acid [15(S)-HETE] and 15-oxo-ETE, confirming the role of 15-LO-1 in mediating AA metabolite formation. Furthermore, 15(S)-HETE was metabolized primarily to 15-oxo-ETE. Pretreatment of the R15L cells with the 15-hydroxyprostaglandin dehydrogenase (PGDH) inhibitor 5-[[4-(ethoxycarbonyl)phenyl]azo]-2-hydroxy-benzeneacetic acid (CAY10397) reduced AA- and 15(S)-HETE-mediated formation of 15-oxo-ETE in a dose-dependent manner. This confirmed that macrophage-derived 15-PGDH was responsible for catalyzing the conversion of 15(S)-HETE to 15-oxo-ETE. Finally, 15-oxo-ETE was shown to inhibit the proliferation of human vascular vein endothelial cells by suppressing DNA synthesis, implicating a potential antiangiogenic role. This is the first report describing the biosynthesis of 15-oxo-ETE by macrophage/monocytes and its ability to inhibit endothelial cell proliferation.