ctDNA guiding adjuvant immunotherapy in urothelial carcinoma.

Minimally invasive approaches to detect residual disease after surgery are needed to identify patients with cancer who are at risk for metastatic relapse. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) holds promise as a biomarker for molecular residual disease and relapse1. We evaluated outcomes in 581 patients who had undergone surgery and were evaluable for ctDNA from a randomized phase III trial of adjuvant atezolizumab versus observation in operable urothelial cancer. This trial did not reach its efficacy end point in the intention-to-treat population. Here we show that ctDNA testing at the start of therapy (cycle 1 day 1) identified 214 (37%) patients who were positive for ctDNA and who had poor prognosis (observation arm hazard ratio = 6.3 (95% confidence interval: 4.45-8.92); P < 0.0001). Notably, patients who were positive for ctDNA had improved disease-free survival and overall survival in the atezolizumab arm versus the observation arm (disease-free survival hazard ratio = 0.58 (95% confidence interval: 0.43-0.79); P = 0.0024, overall survival hazard ratio = 0.59 (95% confidence interval: 0.41-0.86)). No difference in disease-free survival or overall survival between treatment arms was noted for patients who were negative for ctDNA. The rate of ctDNA clearance at week 6 was higher in the atezolizumab arm (18%) than in the observation arm (4%) (P = 0.0204). Transcriptomic analysis of tumours from patients who were positive for ctDNA revealed higher expression levels of cell-cycle and keratin genes. For patients who were positive for ctDNA and who were treated with atezolizumab, non-relapse was associated with immune response signatures and basal-squamous gene features, whereas relapse was associated with angiogenesis and fibroblast TGFß signatures. These data suggest that adjuvant atezolizumab may be associated with improved outcomes compared with observation in patients who are positive for ctDNA and who are at a high risk of relapse. These findings, if validated in other settings, would shift approaches to postoperative cancer care.

Circulating tumor DNA monitoring for early recurrence detection in epithelial ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is the most lethal gynecologic malignancy. We examined the utility of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic biomarker for EOC by assessing its relationship with patient outcome and CA-125, pre-surgically and during post-treatment surveillance. METHODS: Plasma samples were collected from patients with stage I-IV EOC. Cohort A included patients with pre-surgical samples (N = 44, median follow-up: 2.7 years), cohort B and C included: patients with serially collected post-surgically (N = 12) and, during surveillance (N = 13), respectively (median follow-up: 2 years). Plasma samples were analyzed using a tumor-informed, personalized multiplex-PCR NGS assay; ctDNA status and CA-125 levels were correlated with clinical features and outcomes. RESULTS: Genomic profiling was performed on the entire cohort and was consistent with that seen in TCGA. In cohort A, ctDNA-positivity was observed in 73% (32/44) of presurgical samples and was higher in high nuclear grade disease. In cohort B and C, ctDNA was only detected in patients who relapsed (100% sensitivity and specificity) and preceded radiological findings by an average of 10 months. The presence of ctDNA at a single timepoint after completion of surgery +/- adjuvant chemotherapy and serially during surveillance was a strong predictor of relapse (HR:17.6, p = 0.001 and p < 0.0001, respectively), while CA-125 positivity was not (p = 0.113 and p = 0.056). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of ctDNA post-surgically is highly prognostic of reduced recurrence-free survival. CtDNA outperformed CA-125 in identifying patients at highest risk of recurrence. These results suggest that monitoring ctDNA could be beneficial in clinical decision-making for EOC patients.

Validation of an Enhanced Version of a Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism-Based Noninvasive Prenatal Test for Detection of Fetal Aneuploidies.

OBJECTIVE: To validate an updated version (Version 2) of a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based noninvasive prenatal test (NIPT) and to determine the likelihood of success when testing for fetal aneuploidies following a redraw. METHODS: Version 2 was analytically validated using 587 plasma samples with known genotype (184 trisomy 21, 37 trisomy 18, 15 trisomy 13, 9 monosomy X, 4 triploidy and 338 euploid). Sensitivity, specificity and no-call rate were calculated, and a fetal-fraction adjustment was applied to enable projection of these values in a commercial distribution. Likelihood of success of a second blood draw was computed based on fetal fraction and maternal weight from the first draw. RESULTS: Validation of this methodology yielded high sensitivities (≥99.4%) and specificities (100%) for all conditions tested with an observed no-call rate of 2.3%. The no-call threshold for sample calling was reduced to 2.8% fetal fraction. The redraw success rate was driven by higher initial fetal fractions and lower maternal weights, with the fetal fraction being the more significant variable. CONCLUSIONS: The enhanced version of this SNP-based NIPT method showed a reduced no-call rate and a reduced fetal-fraction threshold for sample calling in comparison to the earlier version, while maintaining high sensitivity and specificity.

Expanding the scope of noninvasive prenatal testing: detection of fetal microdeletion syndromes.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to estimate the performance of a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-based noninvasive prenatal test for 5 microdeletion syndromes. STUDY DESIGN: Four hundred sixty-nine samples (358 plasma samples from pregnant women, 111 artificial plasma mixtures) were amplified with the use of a massively multiplexed polymerase chain reaction, sequenced, and analyzed with the use of the Next-generation Aneuploidy Test Using SNPs algorithm for the presence or absence of deletions of 22q11.2, 1p36, distal 5p, and the Prader-Willi/Angelman region. RESULTS: Detection rates were 97.8% for a 22q11.2 deletion (45/46) and 100% for Prader-Willi (15/15), Angelman (21/21), 1p36 deletion (1/1), and cri-du-chat syndromes (24/24). False-positive rates were 0.76% for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (3/397) and 0.24% for cri-du-chat syndrome (1/419). No false positives occurred for Prader-Willi (0/428), Angelman (0/442), or 1p36 deletion syndromes (0/422). CONCLUSION: SNP-based noninvasive prenatal microdeletion screening is highly accurate. Because clinically relevant microdeletions and duplications occur in >1% of pregnancies, regardless of maternal age, noninvasive screening for the general pregnant population should be considered.

Clinical experience and follow-up with large scale single-nucleotide polymorphism-based noninvasive prenatal aneuploidy testing.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to report on laboratory and clinical experience following 6 months of clinical implementation of a single-nucleotide polymorphism-based noninvasive prenatal aneuploidy test in high- and low-risk women. STUDY DESIGN: All samples received from March through September 2013 and drawn ≥9 weeks' gestation were included. Samples that passed quality control were analyzed for trisomy 21, trisomy 18, trisomy 13, and monosomy X. Results were reported as high or low risk for fetal aneuploidy for each interrogated chromosome. Relationships between fetal fraction and gestational age and maternal weight were analyzed. Follow-up on outcome was sought for a subset of high-risk cases. False-negative results were reported voluntarily by providers. Positive predictive value (PPV) was calculated from cases with an available prenatal or postnatal karyotype or clinical evaluation at birth. RESULTS: Samples were received from 31,030 patients, 30,705 met study criteria, and 28,739 passed quality-control metrics and received a report detailing aneuploidy risk. Fetal fraction correlated positively with gestational age, and negatively with maternal weight. In all, 507 patients received a high-risk result for any of the 4 tested conditions (324 trisomy 21, 82 trisomy 18, 41 trisomy 13, 61 monosomy X; including 1 double aneuploidy case). Within the 17,885 cases included in follow-up analysis, 356 were high risk, and outcome information revealed 184 (51.7%) true positives, 38 (10.7%) false positives, 19 (5.3%) with ultrasound findings suggestive of aneuploidy, 36 (10.1%) spontaneous abortions without karyotype confirmation, 22 (6.2%) terminations without karyotype confirmation, and 57 (16.0%) lost to follow-up. This yielded an 82.9% PPV for all aneuploidies, and a 90.9% PPV for trisomy 21. The overall PPV for women aged ≥35 years was similar to the PPV for women aged <35 years. Two patients were reported as false negatives. CONCLUSION: The data from this large-scale report on clinical application of a commercially available noninvasive prenatal test suggest that the clinical performance of this single-nucleotide polymorphism-based noninvasive prenatal test in a mixed high- and low-risk population is consistent with performance in validation studies.

Multi-wavelength multi-distance diffuse correlation spectroscopy system for assessment of premature infants' cerebral hemodynamics.

Infants born at an extremely low gestational age (ELGA, < 29 weeks) are at an increased risk of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), and there is a need for standalone, safe, easy-to-use tools for monitoring cerebral hemodynamics. We have built a multi-wavelength multi-distance diffuse correlation spectroscopy device (MW-MD-DCS), which utilizes time-multiplexed, long-coherence lasers at 785, 808, and 853 nm, to simultaneously quantify the index of cerebral blood flow (CBFi) and the hemoglobin oxygen saturation (SO2). We show characterization data on liquid phantoms and demonstrate the system performance on the forearm of healthy adults, as well as clinical data obtained on two preterm infants.

Choosing a camera and optimizing system parameters for speckle contrast optical spectroscopy.

Speckle contrast optical spectroscopy (SCOS) is an emerging camera-based technique that can measure human cerebral blood flow (CBF) with high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). At low photon flux levels typically encountered in human CBF measurements, camera noise and nonidealities could significantly impact SCOS measurement SNR and accuracy. Thus, a guide for characterizing, selecting, and optimizing a camera for SCOS measurements is crucial for the development of next-generation optical devices for monitoring human CBF and brain function. Here, we provide such a guide and illustrate it by evaluating three commercially available complementary metal-oxide-semiconductor cameras, considering a variety of factors including linearity, read noise, and quantization distortion. We show that some cameras that are well-suited for general intensity imaging could be challenged in accurately quantifying spatial contrast for SCOS. We then determine the optimal operating parameters for the preferred camera among the three and demonstrate measurement of human CBF with this selected low-cost camera. This work establishes a guideline for characterizing and selecting cameras as well as for determining optimal parameters for SCOS systems.

ninjaCap: A fully customizable and 3D printable headgear for fNIRS and EEG brain imaging.

Significance: Accurate sensor placement is vital for non-invasive brain imaging, particularly for functional near infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) and diffuse optical tomography (DOT), which lack standardized layouts like EEG. Custom, manually prepared probe layouts on textile caps are often imprecise and labor-intensive. Aim: We introduce a method for creating personalized, 3D-printed headgear, enabling accurate translation of 3D brain coordinates to 2D printable panels for custom fNIRS and EEG sensor layouts, reducing costs and manual labor. Approach: Our approach uses atlas-based or subject-specific head models and a spring-relaxation algorithm for flattening 3D coordinates onto 2D panels, using 10-5 EEG coordinates for reference. This process ensures geometrical fidelity, crucial for accurate probe placement. Probe geometries and holder types are customizable and printed directly on the cap, making the approach agnostic to instrument manufacturers and probe types. Results: Our ninjaCap method offers 2.2±1.5 mm probe placement accuracy. Over the last five years, we have developed and validated this approach with over 50 cap models and 500 participants. A cloud-based ninjaCap generation pipeline along with detailed instructions is now available at openfnirs.org. Conclusions: The ninjaCap marks a significant advancement in creating individualized neuroimaging caps, reducing costs and labor while improving probe placement accuracy, thereby reducing variability in research.

Serial Postoperative Circulating Tumor DNA Assessment Has Strong Prognostic Value During Long-Term Follow-Up in Patients With Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Here, we report the sensitivity of a personalized, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay (Signatera) for detection of molecular relapse during long-term follow-up of patients with breast cancer. METHODS: A total of 156 patients with primary breast cancer were monitored clinically for up to 12 years after surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Semiannual blood samples were prospectively collected, and analyzed retrospectively to detect residual disease by ultradeep sequencing using ctDNA assays, developed from primary tumor whole-exome sequencing data. RESULTS: Personalized Signatera assays detected ctDNA ahead of clinical or radiologic relapse in 30 of the 34 patients who relapsed (patient-level sensitivity of 88.2%). Relapse was predicted with a lead interval of up to 38 months (median, 10.5 months; range, 0-38 months), and ctDNA positivity was associated with shorter relapse-free survival (P < .0001) and overall survival (P < .0001). All relapsing triple-negative patients (n = 7/23) had a ctDNA-positive test within a median of 8 months (range, 0-19 months), while the 16 nonrelapsed patients with triple-negative breast cancer remained ctDNA-negative during a median follow-up of 58 months (range, 8-99 months). The four patients who had negative tests before relapse all had hormone receptor-positive (HR+) disease and conversely, five of the 122 nonrelapsed patients (all HR+) had an occasional positive test. CONCLUSION: Serial postoperative ctDNA assessment has strong prognostic value, provides a potential window for earlier therapeutic intervention, and may enable more effective monitoring than current clinical tests such as cancer antigen 15-3. Our study provides evidence that those with serially negative ctDNA tests have superior clinical outcomes, providing reassurance to patients with breast cancer. For select cases with HR+ disease, decisions about treatment management might require serial monitoring despite the ctDNA-positive result.

SNP-based non-invasive prenatal testing detects sex chromosome aneuploidies with high accuracy.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop a single-nucleotide polymorphism-based and informatics-based non-invasive prenatal test that detects sex chromosome aneuploidies early in pregnancy. METHODS: Sixteen aneuploid samples, including thirteen 45,X, two 47,XXY, and one 47,XYY, along with 185 euploid controls, were analyzed. Cell-free DNA was isolated from maternal plasma, amplified in a single multiplex polymerase chain reaction assay that targeted 19,488 polymorphic loci covering chromosomes 13, 18, 21, X, and Y, and sequenced. Sequencing results were analyzed using a Bayesian-based maximum likelihood statistical method to determine copy number of interrogated chromosomes, calculating sample-specific accuracies. RESULTS: Of the samples that passed a stringent quality control metric (93%), the algorithm correctly identified copy number at all five chromosomes in all but one of the 187 samples, for 934/935 correct calls as early as 9.4 weeks of gestation. We detected 45,X with 91.7% sensitivity (CI: 61.5-99.8%) and 100% specificity (CI: 97.9-100%), and 47,XXY and 47,XYY. The average calculated accuracy was 99.78%. CONCLUSION: This method non-invasively detected 45,X, 47,XXY, and 47,XYY fetuses from cell-free DNA isolated from maternal plasma with high calculated accuracies and thus offers a non-invasive method with the potential to function as a routine screen allowing for early prenatal detection of rarely diagnosed yet commonly occurring sex aneuploidies.

Measuring human cerebral blood flow and brain function with fiber-based speckle contrast optical spectroscopy system.

Cerebral blood flow (CBF) is crucial for brain health. Speckle contrast optical spectroscopy (SCOS) is a technique that has been recently developed to measure CBF, but the use of SCOS to measure human brain function at large source-detector separations with comparable or greater sensitivity to cerebral rather than extracerebral blood flow has not been demonstrated. We describe a fiber-based SCOS system capable of measuring human brain activation induced CBF changes at 33 mm source detector separations using CMOS detectors. The system implements a pulsing strategy to improve the photon flux and uses a data processing pipeline to improve measurement accuracy. We show that SCOS outperforms the current leading optical modality for measuring CBF, i.e. diffuse correlation spectroscopy (DCS), achieving more than 10x SNR improvement at a similar financial cost. Fiber-based SCOS provides an alternative approach to functional neuroimaging for cognitive neuroscience and health science applications.

How much do time-domain functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) moments improve estimation of brain activity over traditional fNIRS?

Significance: Advances in electronics have allowed the recent development of compact, high channel count time domain functional near-infrared spectroscopy (TD-fNIRS) systems. Temporal moment analysis has been proposed for increased brain sensitivity due to the depth selectivity of higher order temporal moments. We propose a general linear model (GLM) incorporating TD moment data and auxiliary physiological measurements, such as short separation channels, to improve the recovery of the HRF. Aims: We compare the performance of previously reported multi-distance TD moment techniques to commonly used techniques for continuous wave (CW) fNIRS hemodynamic response function (HRF) recovery, namely block averaging and CW GLM. Additionally, we compare the multi-distance TD moment technique to TD moment GLM. Approach: We augmented resting TD-fNIRS moment data (six subjects) with known synthetic HRFs. We then employed block averaging and GLM techniques with "short-separation regression" designed both for CW and TD to recover the HRFs. We calculated the root mean square error (RMSE) and the correlation of the recovered HRF to the ground truth. We compared the performance of equivalent CW and TD techniques with paired t-tests. Results: We found that, on average, TD moment HRF recovery improves correlations by 98% and 48% for HbO and HbR respectively, over CW GLM. The improvement on the correlation for TD GLM over TD moment is 12% (HbO) and 27% (HbR). RMSE decreases 56% and 52% (HbO and HbR) for TD moment compared to CW GLM. We found no statistically significant improvement in the RMSE for TD GLM compared to TD moment. Conclusions: Properly covariance-scaled TD moment techniques outperform their CW equivalents in both RMSE and correlation in the recovery of the synthetic HRFs. Furthermore, our proposed TD GLM based on moments outperforms regular TD moment analysis, while allowing the incorporation of auxiliary measurements of the confounding physiological signals from the scalp.

Correlation between variant allele frequency and mean tumor molecules with tumor burden in patients with solid tumors.

Several studies have demonstrated the prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA); however, the correlation of mean tumor molecules (MTM)/ml of plasma and mean variant allele frequency (mVAF; %) with clinical parameters is yet to be understood. In this study, we analyzed ctDNA data in a pan-cancer cohort of 23 543 patients who had ctDNA testing performed using a personalized, tumor-informed assay (Signatera™, mPCR-NGS assay). For ctDNA-positive patients, the correlation between MTM/ml and mVAF was examined. Two subanalyses were performed: (a) to establish the association of ctDNA with tumor volume and (b) to assess the correlation between ctDNA dynamics and patient outcomes. On a global cohort, a positive correlation between MTM/ml and mVAF was observed. Among 18 426 patients with longitudinal ctDNA measurements, 13.3% had discordant trajectories between MTM/ml and mVAF at subsequent time points. In metastatic patients receiving immunotherapy (N = 51), changes in ctDNA levels expressed both in MTM/ml and mVAF showed a statistically significant association with progression-free survival; however, the correlation with MTM/ml was numerically stronger.

Noninvasive prenatal aneuploidy testing of chromosomes 13, 18, 21, X, and Y, using targeted sequencing of polymorphic loci.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a noninvasive prenatal test on the basis of the analysis of cell-free DNA in maternal blood to detect fetal aneuploidy at chromosomes 13, 18, 21, X, and Y. METHODS: A total of 166 samples from pregnant women, including 11 trisomy 21, three trisomy 18, two trisomy 13, two 45,X, and two 47,XXY samples, were analyzed using an informatics-based method. Cell-free DNA from maternal blood was isolated, amplified using a multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay targeting 11,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms on chromosomes 13, 18, 21, X, and Y in a single reaction, and sequenced. A Bayesian-based maximum likelihood statistical method was applied to determine the chromosomal count of the five chromosomes interrogated in each sample, along with a sample-specific calculated accuracy for each test result. RESULTS: The algorithm correctly reported the chromosome copy number at all five chromosomes in 145 samples that passed a DNA quality test, for a total of 725/725 correct calls. The average calculated accuracy for these samples was 99.92%. Twenty-one samples did not pass the DNA quality test. CONCLUSIONS: This informatics-based method noninvasively detected fetuses with trisomy 13, 18, and 21, 45,X, and 47,XXY with high sample-specific calculated accuracies for each individual chromosome and across all five chromosomes.

Model of dynamic speckle evolution for evaluating laser speckle contrast measurements of tissue dynamics.

We introduce a dynamic speckle model (DSM) to simulate the temporal evolution of fully developed speckle patterns arising from the interference of scattered light reemitted from dynamic tissue. Using this numerical tool, the performance of laser speckle contrast imaging (LSCI) or speckle contrast optical spectroscopy (SCOS) systems which quantify tissue dynamics using the spatial contrast of the speckle patterns with a certain camera exposure time is evaluated. We have investigated noise sources arising from the fundamental speckle statistics due to the finite sampling of the speckle patterns as well as those induced by experimental measurement conditions including shot noise, camera dark and read noise, and calibrated the parameters of an analytical noise model initially developed in the fundamental or shot noise regime that quantifies the performance of SCOS systems using the number of independent observables (NIO). Our analysis is particularly focused on the low photon flux regime relevant for human brain measurements, where the impact of shot noise and camera read noise can become significant. Our numerical model is also validated experimentally using a novel fiber based SCOS (fb-SCOS) system for a dynamic sample. We have found that the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of fb-SCOS measurements plateaus at a camera exposure time, which marks the regime where shot and fundamental noise dominates over camera read noise. For a fixed total measurement time, there exists an optimized camera exposure time if temporal averaging is utilized to improve SNR. For a certain camera exposure time, photon flux value, and camera noise properties, there exists an optimized speckle-to-pixel size ratio (s/p) at which SNR is maximized. Our work provides the design principles for any LSCI or SCOS systems given the detected photon flux and properties of the instruments, which will guide the experimental development of a high-quality, low-cost fb-SCOS system that monitors human brain blood flow and functions.

Assessment of Molecular Residual Disease Using Circulating Tumor DNA to Identify Multiple Myeloma Patients at High Risk of Relapse.

BACKGROUND: Despite treatment with high-dose chemotherapy followed by autologous stem cell transplantation (AHCT), patients with multiple myeloma (MM) invariably relapse. Molecular residual disease (MRD)-negativity post-AHCT has emerged as an important prognostic marker predicting the duration of remission. Current techniques for MRD assessment involve bone marrow (BM) aspirate sampling, which is invasive, subject to sample variability and is limited by spatial heterogeneity. We compared the performance of a non-invasive, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based MRD assay with multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC) of marrow aspirate to predict relapse in AHCT recipients with MM. METHODS: MRD assessment using ctDNA was retrospectively analyzed on 80 plasma samples collected at different time points from 28 patients, post-AHCT. MFC was used to assess MRD from BM biopsy. Individual archived BM aspirate slides or formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded slides from the time of MM diagnosis and matched blood were used to assess MRD at 3 months, post-AHCT, using a personalized, tumor-informed ctDNA assay. RESULTS: ctDNA was detectable in 70.8% (17/24) of pre-AHCT patients and 53.6% (15/28) of post-AHCT patients (3-month time point). Of the 15 post-AHCT ctDNA-positive patients, 14 relapsed on follow-up. The median PFS for ctDNA-positive patients was 31 months, and that for ctDNA-negative patients was 84 months (HR: 5.6; 95%CI: 1.8-17;p=0.0003). No significant difference in PFS was observed in patients stratified by MFC-based MRD status (HR 1.2; 95%CI: 0.3-3.4;p=0.73). The positive predictive value for ctDNA was also significantly higher than MFC (93.3% vs. 68.4%). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates tumor-informed ctDNA analysis is strongly predictive of MM relapse.

Combining Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Fraction and Quantity to Detect Kidney Transplant Rejection Using Molecular Diagnoses and Histology as Confirmation.

BACKGROUND: Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) fraction and quantity have both been shown to be associated with allograft rejection. The present study compared the relative predictive power of each of these variables to the combination of the two, and developed an algorithm incorporating both variables to detect active rejection in renal allograft biopsies. METHODS: The first 426 sequential indication biopsy samples collected from the Trifecta study ( ClinicalTrials.gov # NCT04239703) with microarray-derived gene expression and dd-cfDNA results were included. After exclusions to simulate intended clinical use, 367 samples were analyzed. Biopsies were assessed using the molecular microscope diagnostic system and histology (Banff 2019). Logistic regression analysis examined whether combining dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity adds predictive value to either alone. The first 149 sequential samples were used to develop a two-threshold algorithm and the next 218 to validate the algorithm. RESULTS: In regression, the combination of dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity was found to be significantly more predictive than either variable alone ( P = 0.009 and P < 0.0001). In the test set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the two-variable system was 0.88, and performance of the two-threshold algorithm showed a sensitivity of 83.1% and specificity of 81.0% for molecular diagnoses and a sensitivity of 73.5% and specificity of 80.8% for histology diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective, biopsy-matched, multisite dd-cfDNA study in kidney transplant patients found that the combination of dd-cfDNA fraction and quantity was more powerful than either dd-cfDNA fraction or quantity alone and validated a novel two-threshold algorithm incorporating both variables.

Clinical Validation of a Plasma Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Assay to Detect Allograft Rejection and Injury in Lung Transplant.

Background: Lung transplant patients are vulnerable to various forms of allograft injury, whether from acute rejection (AR) (encompassing acute cellular rejection [ACR] and antibody-mediated rejection [AMR]), chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), or infection (INFXN). Previous research indicates that donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) is a promising noninvasive biomarker for the detection of AR and allograft injury. Our aim was to validate a clinical plasma dd-cfDNA assay for detection of AR and other allograft injury and to confirm and expand on dd-cfDNA and allograft injury associations observed in previous studies. Methods: We measured dd-cfDNA fraction using a novel single-nucleotide polymorphism-based assay in prospectively collected plasma samples paired with clinical-pathologic diagnoses. dd-cfDNA fraction was compared across clinical-pathologic cohorts: stable, ACR, AMR, isolated lymphocytic bronchiolitis, CLAD/neutrophilic-responsive allograft dysfunction (NRAD), and INFXN. Performance characteristics were calculated for AR and combined allograft injury (AR + CLAD/NRAD + INFXN) versus the stable cohort. Results: The study included 195 samples from 103 patients. Median dd-cfDNA fraction was significantly higher for ACR (1.43%, interquartile range [IQR]: 0.67%-2.32%, P = 5 × 10-6), AMR (2.50%, IQR: 2.06%-3.79%, P = 2 × 10-5), INFXN (0.74%, IQR: 0.46%-1.38%, P = 0.02), and CLAD/NRAD (1.60%, IQR: 0.57%-2.60%, P = 1.4 × 10-4) versus the stable cohort. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for AR versus stable was 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.98). Using a ≥1% dd-cfDNA fraction threshold, sensitivity for AR was 89.1% (95% CI: 76.2%-100.0%), specificity 82.9% (95% CI: 73.3%-92.4%), positive predictive value, 51.9% (95% CI: 37.5%-66.3%), and negative predictive value, 97.3% (95% CI: 94.3%-100%). For combined allograft injury area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66-0.85), sensitivity 59.9% (95% CI: 46.0%-73.9%), specificity 83.9% (95% CI: 74.1%-93.7%), positive predictive value, 43.6% (95% CI: 27.6%-59.6%), and negative predictive value, 91.0% (95% CI: 87.9%-94.0%). Conclusions: These results indicate that our dd-cfDNA assay detects AR and other allograft injury. dd-cfDNA monitoring, accompanied by standard clinical assessments, represents a valuable precision tool to support lung transplant health and is appropriate for further assessment in a prospective randomized-controlled study.

Donor-derived Cell-free DNA Shows High Sensitivity for the Diagnosis of Pancreas Graft Rejection in Simultaneous Pancreas-kidney Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Pancreas graft status in simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant (SPKTx) is currently assessed by nonspecific biochemical markers, typically amylase or lipase. Identifying a noninvasive biomarker with good sensitivity in detecting early pancreas graft rejection could improve SPKTx management. METHODS: Here, we developed a pilot study to explore donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) performance in predicting biopsy-proven acute rejection (P-BPAR) of the pancreas graft in a cohort of 36 SPKTx recipients with biopsy-matched plasma samples. dd-cfDNA was measured using the Prospera test (Natera, Inc.) and reported both as a fraction of the total cfDNA (fraction; %) and as concentration in the recipient's plasma (quantity; copies/mL). RESULTS: In the absence of P-BPAR, dd-cfDNA was significantly higher in samples collected within the first 45 d after SPKTx compared with those measured afterward (median, 1.00% versus 0.30%; median, 128.2 versus 35.3 cp/mL, respectively with both; P = 0.001). In samples obtained beyond day 45, P-BPAR samples presented a significantly higher dd-cfDNA fraction (0.83 versus 0.30%; P = 0.006) and quantity (81.3 versus 35.3 cp/mL; P = 0.001) than stable samples. Incorporating dd-cfDNA quantity along with dd-cfDNA fraction outperformed dd-cfDNA fraction alone to detect active rejection. Notably, when using a quantity cutoff of 70 cp/mL, dd-cfDNA detected P-BPAR with a sensitivity of 85.7% and a specificity of 93.7%, which was more accurate than current biomarkers (area under curve of 0.89 for dd-cfDNA (cp/ml) compared with 0.74 of lipase and 0.46 for amylase). CONCLUSIONS: dd-cfDNA measurement through a simple noninvasive blood test could be incorporated into clinical practice to help inform graft management in SPKTx patients.

Circulating tumor DNA and magnetic resonance imaging to predict neoadjuvant chemotherapy response and recurrence risk.

We investigated whether serial measurements of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and functional tumor volume (FTV) by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be combined to improve prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) and estimation of recurrence risk in early breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We examined correlations between ctDNA and FTV, evaluated the additive value of ctDNA to FTV-based predictors of pCR using area under the curve (AUC) analysis, and analyzed the impact of FTV and ctDNA on distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) using Cox regressions. The levels of ctDNA (mean tumor molecules/mL plasma) were significantly correlated with FTV at all time points (p < 0.05). Median FTV in ctDNA-positive patients was significantly higher compared to those who were ctDNA-negative (p < 0.05). FTV and ctDNA trajectories in individual patients showed a general decrease during NAC. Exploratory analysis showed that adding ctDNA information early during treatment to FTV-based predictors resulted in numerical but not statistically significant improvements in performance for pCR prediction (e.g., AUC 0.59 vs. 0.69, p = 0.25). In contrast, ctDNA-positivity after NAC provided significant additive value to FTV in identifying patients with increased risk of metastatic recurrence and death (p = 0.004). In this pilot study, we demonstrate that ctDNA and FTV were correlated measures of tumor burden. Our preliminary findings based on a limited cohort suggest that ctDNA at surgery improves FTV as a predictor of metastatic recurrence and death. Validation in larger studies is warranted.