A Simple Prognostic Scoring System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Selective Internal Radiation Therapy.

INTRODUCTION: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a local treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its exact role next to other HCC therapies has yet to be defined. In order to identify patients most suitable for SIRT, a SIRT-specific prognostic score should be developed. METHODS: A cohort of 72 SIRT patients treated at the University Hospital of Munich was retrospectively analyzed. The prognostic performance of 12 HCC staging systems and prognostic scores was assessed. Cox-regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors, which formed the basis of the Munich-SIRT score (M-SIRT). All scores were ranked by calculating the c-Index and Akaike information criterion (AIC). External validation was performed in a cohort of 128 SIRT patients treated at the University Hospital of Pamplona, Spain. RESULTS: median overall survival was 13 months (95% confidence interval 9.9-21.9). AFP (p = 0.005; hazard ratio [HR] 2.38), albumin (p < 0.001; HR 5.87), and alkaline phosphatase (p < 0.001; HR 8.38) were identified as independent prognostic factors. M-SIRT comprises 3 prognostic groups with a median survival of 38.9, 14.6, and 7.7 months, respectively (I vs. II: p = 0.003, II vs. III: p < 0.001). AIC (318) and concordance index (0.711) ranked M-SIRT superior to the established HCC staging systems, and the score successfully passed external validation in an independent SIRT cohort (I vs. II: p = 0.03; II vs. III: p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: Therapy-specific prognostic scores can facilitate treatment decisions and prognostication for HCC patients. Considering its performance in 200 SIRT patients, M-SIRT is a promising prognostic tool for HCC patients evaluated for SIRT.

Incorporating albumin-bilirubin grade into the cancer of the liver Italian program system for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a recently emerging alternative of the Child-Pugh (CP) grade. The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) was demonstrated to be a useful prognostic model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in large prospective cohorts. We aimed to investigate the feasibility of substituting the CP grade by the ALBI grade in the CLIP system and compare the prognostic performance with other existing staging systems. METHODS: A large cohort of 1973 Chinese patients with HCC was recruited to evaluate the prognostic performance of CP-based CLIP (CP-CLIP) and ALBI-based CLIP (ALBI-CLIP) systems and nine other staging systems by homogeneity likelihood chi-square, c-index, and corrected Akaike information criterion. RESULTS: The ALBI-CLIP system provided comparable prognostic performance than the CP-CLIP system, which was indicated by homogeneity likelihood chi-squares (ALBI-CLIP 1186.35 vs CP-CLIP 1145.54), c-indices (ALBI-CLIP 0.789 vs CP-CLIP 0.785) and AICs (ALBI-CLIP 15 493.47 vs CP-CLIP 15 534.28). Among 11 staging systems, ALBI-CLIP and CP-CLIP systems were associated with the highest homogeneity chi-squares and c-indices, and the lowest corrected Akaike information criterion. Patients in ALBI-CLIP score 0-4 had better median survival than those in corresponding CP-CLIP score. CONCLUSIONS: The ALBI grade performs as well as the CP grade when integrating into the CLIP system. ALBI-CLIP and CP-CLIP systems are the most accurate prognostic models among 11 existing staging systems.

Prognosis of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who failed first-line systemic therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: No approved therapy is available for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who fail first-line therapy. The prognosis of these patients, especially those eligible for clinical trials of second-line therapy, is unclear. METHODS: All patients who participated in clinical trials of first-line systemic therapy for metastatic or locally advanced HCC in a referral center of Taiwan between 2005 and 2011 were included. Their clinicopathologic characteristics, when the first-line treatment failed, were analyzed and correlated with the overall survival (OS) from the date of first-line treatment failure. RESULTS: A total of 192 patients were included. Before the start of the first-line therapy, all patients had Child-Pugh class A liver reserves and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scores ≤4. After the failure of the first-line therapy, the median OS of the entire group was 4.0 months. Patients with Child-Pugh class A liver reserves, when the first-line treatment failed, had significantly better OS than patients with Child-Pugh class B or C liver reserves (median, A vs. B vs. C=7.5 vs. 1.3 vs. 1.0 month, p<0.001). According to the key eligibility criteria of 3 published clinical trials for second-line therapy, 41%-56% of patients were potentially eligible. Compared to patients who were ineligible for clinical trials, potentially eligible patients had longer OS with a median of 7.8-8.6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with advanced HCC who failed first-line therapy could have substantially improved prognosis if they had Child-Pugh A liver reserves or were potentially eligible for clinical trials.

Diagnostic and prognostic significance of cell death and macrophage activation markers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The serum cell death parameters M30 and M65 and the macrophage activation marker sCD163 (soluble CD163) are elevated in patients with acute and chronic liver diseases. However, their diagnostic and prognostic potential in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not yet been investigated. METHODS: Serum levels of M30, M65, and sCD163 were measured in two cohorts of HCC patients and a cohort of cirrhotic patients. The parameters were compared between patients with and without HCC and the overall survival (OS) times according to M30, M65, and sCD163 were assessed. RESULTS: M30 and M65 levels were higher in HCC patients than in cirrhotic patients (both p < 0.001). M65 was an independent parameter for non-invasive identification of HCC patients by logistic regression analysis and could supplement AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) and abdominal ultrasound in non-invasive detection of HCC patients. High M65 serum levels as well as high sCD163 concentrations were associated with an impaired prognosis in univariate Cox regression analysis. The sCD163 level was associated with OS independently of the CLIP (Cancer of the Liver Italian Program) score, the BCLC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer) stage, and the CRP (C-reactive protein) level in a multivariate Cox regression model. CONCLUSIONS: Serum M65 has the potential as a new diagnostic parameter for HCC and serum sCD163 is a new prognostic parameter in HCC patients.

Prognosis and treatment pattern of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after failure of first-line atezolizumab and bevacizumab treatment.

BACKGROUND: The combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atezo-Bev) has become the standard first-line therapy for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the prognosis and treatment pattern after its treatment failure are unclear. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of patients who failed first-line Atezo-Bev treatment for advanced HCC from January 2018 to May 2021 in four Taiwan medical centers. Post-first-line survival (PFLS) was defined as the date from the failure of Atezo-Bev treatment to the date of death or last follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 41 patients were included in the study. All patients had Child-Pugh A liver reserve before the initiation of Atezo-Bev treatment, but the liver reserve of 6 (15%) and 7 (17%) patients deteriorated to Child-Pugh B and C, respectively, after treatment failure. The median PFLS was 5.9 months. PFLS significantly differed among patients with various liver reserves after the failure of Atezo-Bev treatment (median 9.6 vs 3.8 vs 1.2 months, for Child-Pugh A, B, and C; p < 0.001). In total, 30 (73%) patients received second-line systemic therapy, and they exhibited significantly longer PFLS (median 8.0 vs 1.8 months, p = 0.033) than patients who did not. Deteriorated liver function and not receiving second-line therapy remained associated with inferior PFLS in multivariate analysis. The most common second-line therapies were sorafenib (n = 19, 63%) and lenvatinib (n = 9, 30%), with no significant differences in efficacies. CONCLUSION: Receiving second-line therapy and good liver reserve were associated with favorable PFLS after the failure of first-line Atezo-Bev treatment.

Time-Varying mHAP-III Is the Most Accurate Predictor of Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

INTRODUCTION: The prognosis of patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is extremely variable, and a confounding factor is that TACE is often repeated several times. We retrospectively evaluated the accuracy of different prognostic scores and staging systems in estimating overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: An analysis considering prognostic models as time-varying variables was performed, calculating OS from the time of TACE to the time of the subsequent treatment. Total follow-up time for each patient was therefore split into several observation times accounting for each TACE procedure. Values of the likelihood ratio test (LRT) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare different systems. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted to identify additional factors predictive of OS. We analyzed 1,610 TACE performed in 1,058 patients recorded in the Italian Liver Cancer database from 2008 through 2016. RESULTS: The median OS of the enrolled patients was 41 months. According to LRT χ2 and AIC values based on the time-varying analysis, mHAP-III achieved the best values (41.72 and 4,625.49, respectively, p < 0.0001), indicating the highest predictive performance compared with all other scores (HAP, mHAP-II, ALBI, and pALBI) and staging systems (MELD, ITALICA, CLIP, MESH, MESIAH, JIS, HKLC, and BCLC). In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, mHAP-III maintained an independent effect on OS (hazard ratio 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.55, p < 0.0001). Time-varying age, alcoholic etiology, radiologic response to TACE, and performing ablation or surgery after TACE were additional significant variables resulting from the multivariable model. CONCLUSION: An innovative time-varying analysis revealed that mHAP-III was the most accurate model in predicting OS in patients with HCC undergoing TACE. Other clinical pre- and post-TACE variables were also found to be relevant for this prediction.

Staging of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is different from other malignancies because the prognosis in HCC is not only dependent upon the tumor stage but also on the liver function impairment due to accompanying cirrhosis liver. Various other staging systems used in HCC include the European systems [French staging system, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system and the cancer of the liver Italian program (CLIP)] and Asian systems [Okuda staging system, Japan integrated Staging (JIS), Tokyo score and Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI)]. Out of all the staging systems used in HCC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system is probably the best because it takes in to account the tumor status (defined by tumor size and number, presence of vascular invasion and extrahepatic spread), liver function (defined either by the Child-Pugh's class) and general health status of the patient (defined by the ECOG classification and the presence of symptoms). Since most of the extrahepatic spread in HCC occurs to lymph nodes, lungs and bones, the assessment can be done with either PET/CT or a combination of CT (Chest and abdomen) and a bone scan. This article describes the various staging systems used in HCC, guides choosing a staging system particularly in the Indian context and the assessment of extra-hepatic spread in HCC.

Treatment algorithms for managing hepatocellular carcinoma.

Early diagnosis and aggressive therapy improves outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Several potentially curative as well as palliative treatment options are available for patients. The choice of therapy is influenced by factors such as extent of tumor and severity of underlying liver dysfunction as well as availability of resources and of expertise. A systematic, algorithmic approach would ensure optimal therapy for each patient and is likely to improve outcomes. Even after receiving therapy for HCC, patients remain at risk for recurrent HCC as well as progression of underlying cirrhosis. Proper assessment and monitoring is needed for the underlying liver disease, which may progress to liver failure and have a major impact on long-term survival. Comprehensive care for patients with cirrhosis includes interventions such as antiviral therapy for HBV and HCV, abstention from alcohol, management of fatty liver disease, endoscopic surveillance and treatment for complications of portal hypertension and, if indicated, immunization against HAV and HBV. An algorithmic approach is useful for choosing the most appropriate treatment option for the individual patient from among the various options that are available. The general consensus is that the BCLC system should be preferred for staging HCC as it is useful in predicting outcomes and planning treatment. The BCLC system classifies patients with HCC into five categories: very early, early, intermediate, advanced, and terminal. It incorporates data on tumor status (number and size of nodules, vascular invasion, extra-hepatic spread), liver function (CTP status, presence of portal hypertension) and overall health status (constitutional symptoms, cancer symptoms, performance status). Treatment allocation according to sub-class of patients is a merit of the BCLC system; a few limitations have been noted, particularly with respect to patients with BCLC stage B and C disease. The treatment algorithm as per BCLC system is summarized in this review.

Clinical outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after living-donor liver transplantation.

AIM: To investigate risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) and efficacy of various criteria. METHODS: From October 2000 to November 2011, 233 adult patients underwent LDLT for HCC at our institution. After excluding nine postoperative mortality cases, we analyzed retrospectively 224 patients. To identify risk factors for recurrence, we evaluated recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS) rate, survival rate, and various other factors which are based on the characteristics of both the patient and tumor. Additionally, we developed our own criteria based on our data. Next, we compared our selection criteria with various tumor-grading scales, such as the Milan criteria, University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) criteria, TNM stage, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scoring system. The median follow up was 68 (6-139) mo. RESULTS: In 224 patients who received LDLT for HCC, 37 (16.5%) experienced tumor recurrence during the follow-up period. The 5-year DFS and overall survival rates after LDLT in all patients with HCC were 80.9% and 76.4%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, the tumor diameter {5 cm; P < 0.001; exponentiation of the B coefficient [Exp(B)], 11.89; 95%CI: 3.784-37.368} and alpha fetoprotein level [AFP, 100 ng/mL; P = 0.021; Exp(B), 2.892; 95%CI: 1.172-7.132] had significant influences on HCC recurrence after LDLT. Therefore, these two factors were included in our criteria. Based on these data, we set our selection criteria as a tumor diameter ≤ 5 cm and AFP ≤ 100 ng/mL. Within our new criteria (140/214, 65.4%), the 5-year DFS and overall survival rates were 88.6% and 81.8%, respectively. Our criteria (P = 0.001), Milan criteria (P = 0.009), and UCSF criteria (P = 0.001) showed a significant difference in DFS rate. And our criteria (P = 0.006) and UCSF criteria (P = 0.009) showed a significant difference in overall survival rate. But Milan criteria did not show significant difference in overall survival rate (P = 0.137). Among stages 0, A, B and C of BCLC, stage C had a significantly higher recurrence rate (P = 0.001), lower DFS (P = 0.001), and overall survival rate (P = 0.005) compared with the other stages. Using the CLIP scoring system, the group with a score of 4 to 5 showed a high recurrence rate (P = 0.023) and lower DFS (P = 0.011); however, the overall survival rate did not differ from that of the lower scoring group. The TNM system showed a trend of increased recurrence rate, decreased DFS, or survival rate according to T stage, albeit without statistical significance. CONCLUSION: LDLT is considered the preferred therapeutic option in patients with an AFP level less than 100 ng/mL and a tumor diameter of less than 5 cm.