Using phylogenetics to infer HIV-1 transmission direction between known transmission pairs.

Inferring the transmission direction between linked individuals living with HIV provides unparalleled power to understand the epidemiology that determines transmission. Phylogenetic ancestral-state reconstruction approaches infer the transmission direction by identifying the individual in whom the most recent common ancestor of the virus populations originated. While these methods vary in accuracy, it is unclear why. To evaluate the performance of phylogenetic ancestral-state reconstruction to determine the transmission direction of HIV-1 infection, we inferred the transmission direction for 112 transmission pairs where transmission direction and detailed additional information were available. We then fit a statistical model to evaluate the extent to which epidemiological, sampling, genetic, and phylogenetic factors influenced the outcome of the inference. Finally, we repeated the analysis under real-life conditions with only routinely available data. We found that whether ancestral-state reconstruction correctly infers the transmission direction depends principally on the phylogeny's topology. For example, under real-life conditions, the probability of identifying the correct transmission direction increases from 32%-when a monophyletic-monophyletic or paraphyletic-polyphyletic tree topology is observed and when the tip closest to the root does not agree with the state at the root-to 93% when a paraphyletic-monophyletic topology is observed and when the tip closest to the root agrees with the root state. Our results suggest that documenting larger differences in relative intrahost diversity increases our confidence in the transmission direction inference of linked pairs for population-level studies of HIV. These findings provide a practical starting point to determine our confidence in transmission direction inference from ancestral-state reconstruction.

SpliceAPP: an interactive web server to predict splicing errors arising from human mutations.

BACKGROUND: Splicing variants are a major class of pathogenic mutations, with their severity equivalent to nonsense mutations. However, redundant and degenerate splicing signals hinder functional assessments of sequence variations within introns, particularly at branch sites. We have established a massively parallel splicing assay to assess the impact on splicing of 11,191 disease-relevant variants. Based on the experimental results, we then applied regression-based methods to identify factors determining splicing decisions and their respective weights. RESULTS: Our statistical modeling is highly sensitive, accurately annotating the splicing defects of near-exon intronic variants, outperforming state-of-the-art predictive tools. We have incorporated the algorithm and branchpoint information into a web-based tool, SpliceAPP, to provide an interactive application. This user-friendly website allows users to upload any genetic variants with genome coordinates (e.g., chr15 74,687,208 A G), and the tool will output predictions for splicing error scores and evaluate the impact on nearby splice sites. Additionally, users can query branch site information within the region of interest. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, SpliceAPP represents a pioneering approach to screening pathogenic intronic variants, contributing to the development of precision medicine. It also facilitates the annotation of splicing motifs. SpliceAPP is freely accessible using the link https://bc.imb.sinica.edu.tw/SpliceAPP . Source code can be downloaded at https://github.com/hsinnan75/SpliceAPP .

Glutamine metabolism-related genes and immunotherapy in nonspecific orbital inflammation were validated using bioinformatics and machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Nonspecific orbital inflammation (NSOI) is an idiopathic, persistent, and proliferative inflammatory condition affecting the orbit, characterized by polymorphous lymphoid infiltration. Its pathogenesis and progression have been linked to imbalances in tumor metabolic pathways, with glutamine (Gln) metabolism emerging as a critical aspect in cancer. Metabolic reprogramming is known to influence clinical outcomes in various malignancies. However, comprehensive research on glutamine metabolism's significance in NSOI is lacking. METHODS: This study conducted a bioinformatics analysis to identify and validate potential glutamine-related molecules (GlnMgs) associated with NSOI. The discovery of GlnMgs involved the intersection of differential expression analysis with a set of 42 candidate GlnMgs. The biological functions and pathways of the identified GlnMgs were analyzed using GSEA and GSVA. Lasso regression and SVM-RFE methods identified hub genes and assessed the diagnostic efficacy of fourteen GlnMgs in NSOI. The correlation between hub GlnMgs and clinical characteristics was also examined. The expression levels of the fourteen GlnMgs were validated using datasets GSE58331 and GSE105149. RESULTS: Fourteen GlnMgs related to NSOI were identified, including FTCD, CPS1, CTPS1, NAGS, DDAH2, PHGDH, GGT1, GCLM, GLUD1, ART4, AADAT, ASNSD1, SLC38A1, and GFPT2. Biological function analysis indicated their involvement in responses to extracellular stimulus, mitochondrial matrix, and lipid transport. The diagnostic performance of these GlnMgs in distinguishing NSOI showed promising results. CONCLUSIONS: This study successfully identified fourteen GlnMgs associated with NSOI, providing insights into potential novel biomarkers for NSOI and avenues for monitoring disease progression.

Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors signature reveal the head and neck squamous cell carcinoma energy metabolism phenotype and clinical outcome.

BACKGROUND: Peroxisome proliferator activating receptors (PPARs) are important regulators of nuclear hormone receptor function, and they play a key role in biological processes such as lipid metabolism, inflammation and cell proliferation. However, their role in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC) is unclear. METHODS: We used multiple datasets, including TCGA-HNSC, GSE41613, GSE139324, PRJEB23709 and IMVigor, to perform a comprehensive analysis of PPAR-related genes in HNSC. Single-cell sequencing data were preprocessed using Seurat packets, and intercellular communication was analyzed using CellChat packets. Functional enrichment analysis of PPAR-related genes was performed using ClusterProfile and GSEA. Prognostic models were constructed using LASSO and Cox regression models, and immunohistochemical analyses were performed using human protein mapping (The Human Protein Atlas). RESULTS: Our single-cell RNA sequencing analysis revealed distinct cell populations in HNSC, with T cells having the most significant transcriptome differences between tumors and normal tissues. The PPAR features were higher in most cell types in tumor tissues compared with normal tissues. We identified 17 PPAR-associated differentially expressed genes between tumors and normal tissues. A prognostic model based on seven PPAR-associated genes was constructed with high accuracy in predicting 1, 2 and 3 year survival in patients with HNSC. In addition, patients with a low risk score had a higher immune score and a higher proportion of T cells, CD8+ T cells and cytotoxic lymphocytes. They also showed higher immune checkpoint gene expression, suggesting that they might benefit from immunotherapy. PPAR-related genes were found to be closely related to energy metabolism. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a comprehensive understanding of the role of PPAR related genes in HNSC. The identified PPAR features and constructed prognostic models may serve as potential biomarkers for HNSC prognosis and treatment response. In addition, our study found that PPAR-related genes can differentiate energy metabolism and distinguish energy metabolic heterogeneity in HNSC, providing new insights into the molecular mechanisms of HNSC progression and therapeutic response.

Intestinal mRNA expression profiles associated with mucosal healing in ustekinumab-treated Crohn's disease patients: bioinformatics analysis and prospective cohort validation.

BACKGROUND: Variations exist in the response of patients with Crohn's disease (CD) to ustekinumab (UST) treatment, but the underlying cause remains unknown. Our objective was to investigate the involvement of immune cells and identify potential biomarkers that could predict the response to interleukin (IL) 12/23 inhibitors in patients with CD. METHODS: The GSE207022 dataset, which consisted of 54 non-responders and 9 responders to UST in a CD cohort, was analyzed. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified and subjected to Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analyses. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to screen the most powerful hub genes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive performances of these genes. Single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA) was used to estimate the proportions of immune cell types. These significantly altered genes were subjected to cluster analysis into immune cell-related infiltration. To validate the reliability of the candidates, patients prescribed UST as a first-line biologic in a prospective cohort were included as an independent validation dataset. RESULTS: A total of 99 DEGs were identified in the integrated dataset. GO and KEGG analyses revealed significant enrichment of immune response pathways in patients with CD. Thirteen genes (SOCS3, CD55, KDM5D, IGFBP5, LCN2, SLC15A1, XPNPEP2, HLA-DQA2, HMGCS2, DDX3Y, ITGB2, CDKN2B and HLA-DQA1), which were primarily associated with the response versus nonresponse patients, were identified and included in the LASSO analysis. These genes accurately predicted treatment response, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.938. T helper cell type 1 (Th1) cell polarization was comparatively strong in nonresponse individuals. Positive connections were observed between Th1 cells and the LCN2 and KDM5D genes. Furthermore, we employed an independent validation dataset and early experimental verification to validate the LCN2 and KDM5D genes as effective predictive markers. CONCLUSIONS: Th1 cell polarization is an important cause of nonresponse to UST therapy in patients with CD. LCN2 and KDM5D can be used as predictive markers to effectively identify nonresponse patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration number: NCT05542459; Date of registration: 2022-09-14; URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov .

A multi-parametric prognostic model based on clinicopathologic features: vessels encapsulating tumor clusters and hepatic plates predict overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: Vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) is a newly described vascular pattern that is distinct from microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Despite its importance, the current pathological diagnosis report does not include information on VETC and hepatic plates (HP). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of integrating VETC and HP (VETC-HP model) in the assessment of HCC. METHODS: A total of 1255 HCC patients who underwent radical surgery were classified into training (879 patients) and validation (376 patients) cohorts. Additionally, 37 patients treated with lenvatinib were studied, included 31 patients in high-risk group and 6 patients in low-risk group. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to establish a prognostic model for the training set. Harrell's concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve (tdROC), and decision curve analysis were utilized to evaluate our model's performance by comparing it to traditional tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging for individualized prognosis. RESULTS: A prognostic model, VETC-HP model, based on risk scores for overall survival (OS) was established. The VETC-HP model demonstrated robust performance, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.832 and 0.780 for predicting 3- and 5-year OS in the training cohort, and 0.805 and 0.750 in the validation cohort, respectively. The model showed superior prediction accuracy and discrimination power compared to TNM staging, with C-index values of 0.753 and 0.672 for OS and disease-free survival (DFS) in the training cohort, and 0.728 and 0.615 in the validation cohort, respectively, compared to 0.626 and 0.573 for TNM staging in the training cohort, and 0.629 and 0.511 in the validation cohort. Thus, VETC-HP model had higher C-index than TNM stage system(p < 0.01).Furthermore, in the high-risk group, lenvatinib alone appeared to offer less clinical benefit but better disease-free survival time. CONCLUSIONS: The VETC-HP model enhances DFS and OS prediction in HCC compared to traditional TNM staging systems. This model enables personalized temporal survival estimation, potentially improving clinical decision-making in surveillance management and treatment strategies.

Integrative analysis of aging-related genes reveals CEBPA as a novel therapeutic target in non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: To explore the impact of ARGs on the prognosis of NSCLC, and its correlation with clinicopathological parameters and immune microenvironment. Preliminary research on the biological functions of CEBPA in NSCLC. METHODS: Using consensus clustering analysis to identify molecular subtypes of ARGs in NSCLC patients; employing LASSO regression and multivariate Cox analysis to select 7 prognostic risk genes and construct a prognostic risk model; validating independent prognostic factors of NSCLC using forest plot analysis; analyzing immune microenvironment correlations using ESTIMATE and ssGSEA; assessing correlations between prognostic risk genes via qPCR and Western blot in NSCLC; measuring mRNA and protein expression levels of knocked down and overexpressed CEBPA in NSCLC using CCK-8 and EdU assays; evaluating the effects of knocked down and overexpressed CEBPA on cell proliferation using Transwell experiments; examining the correlation of CEBPA with T cells and B cells using mIHC analysis. RESULTS: Consensus clustering analysis identified three molecular subtypes, suggesting significant differential expression of these ARGs in NSCLC prognosis and clinical pathological parameters. There was significant differential expression between the two risk groups in the prognostic risk model, with P < 0.001. The risk score of the prognostic risk model was also P < 0.001. CEBPA exhibited higher mRNA and protein expression levels in NSCLC cell lines. Knockdown of CEBPA significantly reduced mRNA and protein expression levels of CEBPB, YWHAZ, ABL1, and CDK1 in H1650 and A549 cells. siRNA-mediated knockdown of CEBPA markedly inhibited proliferation, migration, and invasion of NSCLC cells, whereas overexpression of CEBPA showed the opposite trend. mIHC results indicated a significant increase in CD3 + CD4+, CD3 + CD8+, and CD20 + cell counts in the high CEBPA expression group. CONCLUSIONS: The risk score of the prognostic risk model can serve as an independent prognostic factor, guiding the diagnosis and treatment of NSCLC. CEBPA may serve as a potential tumor biomarker and immune target, facilitating further exploration of the biological functions and immunological relevance in NSCLC.

Unveiling heterogeneity and prognostic markers in ductal breast cancer through single-cell RNA-seq.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer (BC) is a heterogeneous disease, with the ductal subtype exhibiting significant cellular diversity that influences prognosis and response to treatment. Single-cell RNA sequencing data from the GEO database were utilized in this study to investigate the underlying mechanisms of cellular heterogeneity and to identify potential prognostic markers and therapeutic targets. METHODS: Bioinformatics analysis was conducted using R packages to analyze the single-cell sequencing data. The presence of highly variable genes and differences in malignant potency within the same BC samples were examined. Differential gene expression and biological function between Type 1 and Type 2 ductal epithelial cells were identified. Lasso regression and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were employed to identify genes associated with patient prognosis. Experimental validation was performed in vitro and in vivo to confirm the functional relevance of the identified genes. RESULTS: The analysis revealed notable heterogeneity among BC cells, with the presence of highly variable genes and differences in malignant behavior within the same samples. Significant disparities in gene expression and biological function were identified between Type 1 and Type 2 ductal epithelial cells. Through regression analyses, CYP24A1 and TFPI2 were identified as pivotal genes associated with patient prognosis. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated their prognostic significance, and experimental validation confirmed their inhibitory effects on malignant behaviors of ductal BC cells. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the cellular heterogeneity in ductal subtype breast cancer and delineates the differential gene expressions and biological functions between Type 1 and Type 2 ductal epithelial cells. The genes CYP24A1 and TFPI2 emerged as promising prognostic markers and therapeutic targets, exhibiting inhibitory effects on BC cell malignancy in vitro and in vivo. These findings offer the potential for improved BC management and the development of targeted treatment strategies.

Employing a synergistic bioinformatics and machine learning framework to elucidate biomarkers associating asthma with pyrimidine metabolism genes.

BACKGROUND: Asthma, a prevalent chronic inflammatory disorder, is shaped by a multifaceted interplay between genetic susceptibilities and environmental exposures. Despite strides in deciphering its pathophysiological landscape, the intricate molecular underpinnings of asthma remain elusive. The focus has increasingly shifted toward the metabolic aberrations accompanying asthma, particularly within the domain of pyrimidine metabolism (PyM)-a critical pathway in nucleotide synthesis and degradation. While the therapeutic relevance of PyM has been recognized across various diseases, its specific contributions to asthma pathology are yet underexplored. This study employs sophisticated bioinformatics approaches to delineate and confirm the involvement of PyM genes (PyMGs) in asthma, aiming to bridge this significant gap in knowledge. METHODS: Employing cutting-edge bioinformatics techniques, this research aimed to elucidate the role of PyMGs in asthma. We conducted a detailed examination of 31 PyMGs to assess their differential expression. Through Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA), we explored the biological functions and pathways linked to these genes. We utilized Lasso regression and Support Vector Machine-Recursive Feature Elimination (SVM-RFE) to pinpoint critical hub genes and to ascertain the diagnostic accuracy of eight PyMGs in distinguishing asthma, complemented by an extensive correlation study with the clinical features of the disease. Validation of the gene expressions was performed using datasets GSE76262 and GSE147878. RESULTS: Our analyses revealed that eleven PyMGs-DHODH, UMPS, NME7, NME1, POLR2B, POLR3B, POLR1C, POLE, ENPP3, RRM2B, TK2-are significantly associated with asthma. These genes play crucial roles in essential biological processes such as RNA splicing, anatomical structure maintenance, and metabolic processes involving purine compounds. CONCLUSIONS: This investigation identifies eleven PyMGs at the core of asthma's pathogenesis, establishing them as potential biomarkers for this disease. Our findings enhance the understanding of asthma's molecular mechanisms and open new avenues for improving diagnostics, monitoring, and progression evaluation. By providing new insights into non-cancerous pathologies, our work introduces a novel perspective and sets the stage for further studies in this field.

Insights into inflammation and implications for the pathogenesis and long-term outcomes of endometrial cancer: genome-wide surveys and a clinical cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Despite evidence showing a connection between inflammation and endometrial cancer (EC) risk, the surveys on genetic correlation and cohort studies investigating the impact on long-term outcomes have yet to be refined. We aimed to address the impact of inflammation factors on the pathogenesis, progression and consequences of EC. METHODS: For the genetic correlation analyses, a two-sample of Mendelian randomization (MR) study was applied to investigate inflammation-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms involved with endometrial cancer from GWAS databases. The observational retrospective study included consecutive patients diagnosed with EC (stage I to IV) with surgeries between January 2010 and October 2020 at the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College. RESULTS: The 2-sample MR surveys indicated no causal relationship between inflammatory cytokines and endometrial cancer. 780 cases (median age, 55.0 years ) diagnosed with EC were included in the cohort and followed up for an average of 6.8 years. Increased inflammatory parameters at baseline were associated with a higher FIGO stage and invasive EC risk (odds ratios [OR] 1.01 to 4.20). Multivariate-cox regression suggested that multiple inflammatory indicators were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) (P < 0.05). Nomogram models based on inflammatory risk and clinical factors were developed for OS and PFS with C-index of 0.811 and 0.789, respectively. LASSO regression for the validation supported the predictive efficacy of inflammatory and clinical factors on the long-term outcomes of EC. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the fact that the genetic surveys did not show a detrimental impact of inflammatory cytokines on the endometrial cancer risk, our cohort study suggested that inflammatory level was associated with the progression and long-term outcomes of EC. This evidence may contribute to new strategies targeted at decreasing inflammation levels during EC therapy.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting lymph node metastasis in 1-3 cm lung adenocarcinoma.

Aim: This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for lymph node metastasis in 1-3 cm adenocarcinoma and develop a new nomogram to predict the probability of lymph node metastasis.Materials & methods: This study collected clinical data from 1656 patients for risk factor analysis and an additional 500 patients for external validation. The logistic regression analyses were employed for risk factor analysis. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select variables, and important variables were used to construct the nomogram and an online calculator.Results: The nomogram for predicting lymph node metastasis comprises six variables: tumor size (mediastinal window), consolidation tumor ratio, tumor location, lymphadenopathy, preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level and pathological grade. According to the predicted results, the risk of lymph node metastasis was divided into low-risk group and high-risk group. We confirmed the exceptional clinical efficacy of the model through multiple evaluation methods.Conclusion: The importance of intraoperative frozen section is increasing. We discussed the risk factors for lymph node metastasis and developed a nomogram to predict the probability of lymph node metastasis in 1-3 cm adenocarcinomas, which can guide lymph node resection strategies during surgery.

[Box: see text].

Unlocking potential biomarkers bridging coronary atherosclerosis and pyrimidine metabolism-associated genes through an integrated bioinformatics and machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: This study delves into the intricate landscape of atherosclerosis (AS), a chronic inflammatory disorder with significant implications for cardiovascular health. AS poses a considerable burden on global healthcare systems, elevating both mortality and morbidity rates. The pathological underpinnings of AS involve a marked metabolic disequilibrium, particularly within pyrimidine metabolism (PyM), a crucial enzymatic network central to nucleotide synthesis and degradation. While the therapeutic relevance of pyrimidine metabolism in diverse diseases is acknowledged, the explicit role of pyrimidine metabolism genes (PyMGs) in the context of AS remains elusive. Utilizing bioinformatics methodologies, this investigation aims to reveal and substantiate PyMGs intricately linked with AS. METHODS: A set of 41 candidate PyMGs was scrutinized through differential expression analysis. GSEA and GSVA were employed to illuminate potential biological pathways and functions associated with the identified PyMGs. Simultaneously, Lasso regression and SVM-RFE were utilized to distill core genes and assess the diagnostic potential of four quintessential PyMGs (CMPK1, CMPK2, NT5C2, RRM1) in discriminating AS. The relationship between key PyMGs and clinical presentations was also explored. Validation of the expression levels of the four PyMGs was performed using the GSE43292 and GSE9820 datasets. RESULTS: This investigation identified four PyMGs, with NT5C2 and RRM1 emerging as key players, intricately linked to AS pathogenesis. Functional analysis underscored their critical involvement in metabolic processes, including pyrimidine-containing compound metabolism and nucleotide biosynthesis. Diagnostic evaluation of these PyMGs in distinguishing AS showcased promising results. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, this exploration has illuminated a constellation of four PyMGs with a potential nexus to AS pathogenesis. These findings unveil emerging biomarkers, paving the way for novel approaches to disease monitoring and progression, and providing new avenues for therapeutic intervention in the realm of atherosclerosis.

Decoding the genetic landscape of allergic rhinitis: a comprehensive network analysis revealing key genes and potential therapeutic targets.

BACKGROUND: Allergic Rhinitis (AR), an inflammatory affliction impacting the upper respiratory tract, has been registering a substantial surge in incidence across the globe. METHODS: We embarked on examination of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and the Weighted Gene Co-Expression Network Analysis (WGCNA). With this armory of genes identified, we engaged the tools of Gene Ontology (GO) and the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG). Our study continued with the establishment of a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network and the application of LASSO regression. Finally, we leveraged a docking model to elucidate potential drug-gene interactions involving these key genes. RESULTS: Through WGCNA and different express genes screening, PPI network was performed, identifying top 20 key genes, including CD44, CD69, CD274. LASSO regression identified three independent factors, STARD5, CST1, and CHAC1, that were significantly associated with AR. A predictive model was developed with an AUC value over 0.75. Also, 105 potential therapeutic agents were discovered, including Fluorouracil, Cyclophosphamide, Doxorubicin, and Hydrocortisone, offering promising therapeutic strategies for AR. CONCLUSION: By fuzing DEGs with key genes derived from WGCNA, this study has illuminated a comprehensive network of gene interactions involved in the pathogenesis of AR, paving the way for future biomarker and therapeutic target discovery in AR.

LASSO-based nomogram predicts the risk factors of low anterior resection syndrome for middle and low rectal cancer underwent robotic surgery.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to analyze the influencing factors of postoperative Low Anterior Resection Syndrome (LARS) in patients with middle and low rectal cancer who underwent robotic surgery. It also seeks to predict the probability of LARS through a visual, quantitative, and graphical nomogram. This approach is expected to lower the risk of postoperative LARS in these patients and improve their quality of life through effective prevention and early intervention. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This research involved patients with middle and low rectal cancer who underwent robotic surgery in the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from January 2015 to October 2022. A series of intestinal dysfunction symptoms arising from postoperative rectal cancer were diagnosed and graded using LARS scoring criteria. After the initial screening of all variables related to LARS with Lasso regression, they were included in logistic regression for further univariate and multivariate analysis to identify independent risk factors for LARS. A prediction model was then constructed. RESULTS: The study included 358 patients. The parameters identified by Lasso regression included obstruction, BMI, tumor localization, maximum tumor diameter, AJCC stage, stoma, neoadjuvant therapy (NAT), and postoperative adjuvant therapy (AT). Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that a higher BMI, lower tumor localization, higher AJCC stage, neoadjuvant therapy, and postoperative adjuvant therapy were independent risk factors for total LARS. The AUC of the prediction nomogram was 0.834, with a sensitivity of 0.825 and specificity of 0.741. The calibration curve demonstrated excellent concordance with the nomogram, indicating the prediction curve fit the diagonal well. CONCLUSION: Higher BMI, lower tumor localization, higher AJCC stage, neoadjuvant therapy, and adjuvant therapy were identified as independent risk factors for total LARS. A new predictive nomogram for postoperative LARS in patients with middle and low rectal cancer undergoing robotic surgery was developed, proving to be stable and reliable. This tool will assist clinicians in managing the postoperative treatment of these patients, facilitating better clinical decision-making and maximizing patient benefits.

Immunological parameters of maternal peripheral blood as predictors of future pregnancy outcomes in patients with unexplained recurrent pregnancy loss.

INTRODUCTION: Unexplained recurrent pregnancy loss (URPL), affecting approximately 1%-5% of women, exhibits a strong association with various maternal factors, particularly immune disorders. However, accurately predicting pregnancy outcomes based on the complex interactions and synergistic effects of various immune parameters without an automated algorithm remains challenging. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this historical cohort study, we analyzed the medical records of URPL patients treated at Xiangya Hospital, Changsha, China, between January 2020 and October 2022. The primary outcomes included clinical pregnancy and miscarriage. Predictors included complement, autoantibodies, peripheral lymphocytes, immunoglobulins, thromboelastography findings, and serum lipids. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis and logistic regression analysis was performed for model development. The model's performance, discriminatory, and clinical applicability were assessed using area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, respectively. Additionally, models were visualized by constructing dynamic and static nomograms. RESULTS: In total, 502 patients with URPL were enrolled, of whom 291 (58%) achieved clinical pregnancy and 211 (42%) experienced miscarriage. Notable differences in complement, peripheral lymphocytes, and serum lipids were observed between the two outcome groups. Moreover, URPL patients with elevated peripheral NK cells (absolute counts and proportion), decreased complement levels, and dyslipidemia demonstrated a significantly increased risk of miscarriage. Four models were developed in this study, of which Model 2 demonstrated superior performance with only seven predictors, achieving an AUC of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.93-0.99) and an accuracy of 0.92. A web-based platform was established to visually present model 2 and to facilitate its utilization by clinicians in outpatient settings (available from: https://yingrongli.shinyapps.io/liyingrong/). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the implementation of such prediction models could serve as valuable tools for providing comprehensive information and facilitating clinicians in their decision-making processes.

Predictability comparison of sizing parameters for postoperative vault after implantable Collamer lens implantation.

PURPOSE: This study aims to assess the accuracy of three parameters (white-to-white distance [WTW], angle-to-angle [ATA], and sulcus-to-sulcus [STS]) in predicting postoperative vault and to formulate an optimized predictive model. METHODS: In this retrospective study, a cohort of 465 patients (comprising 769 eyes) who underwent the implantation of the V4c implantable Collamer lens with a central port (ICL) for myopia correction was examined. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and classification models were used to predict postoperative vault. The influences of WTW, ATA, and STS on predicting the postoperative vault and ICL size were analyzed and compared. RESULTS: The dataset was randomly divided into training (80%) and test (20%) sets, with no significant differences observed between them. The screened variables included only seven variables which conferred the largest signal in the model, namely, lens thickness (LT, estimated coefficients for logistic least absolute shrinkage of -0.20), STS (-0.04), size (0.08), flat K (-0.006), anterior chamber depth (0.15), spherical error (-0.006), and cylindrical error (-0.0008). The optimal prediction model depended on STS (R2=0.419, RMSE=0.139), whereas the least effective prediction model relied on WTW (R2=0.395, RMSE=0.142). In the classified prediction models of the vault, classification prediction of the vault based on STS exhibited superior accuracy compared to ATA or WTW. CONCLUSIONS: This study compared the capabilities of WTW, ATA, and STS in predicting postoperative vault, demonstrating that STS exhibits a stronger correlation than the other two parameters.

Lipoproteins and metabolites in diagnosing and predicting Alzheimer's disease using machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a chronic neurodegenerative disorder that poses a substantial economic burden. The Random forest algorithm is effective in predicting AD; however, the key factors influencing AD onset remain unclear. This study aimed to analyze the key lipoprotein and metabolite factors influencing AD onset using machine-learning methods. It provides new insights for researchers and medical personnel to understand AD and provides a reference for the early diagnosis, treatment, and early prevention of AD. METHODS: A total of 603 participants, including controls and patients with AD with complete lipoprotein and metabolite data from the Alzheimer's disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database between 2005 and 2016, were enrolled. Random forest, Lasso regression, and CatBoost algorithms were employed to rank and filter 213 lipoprotein and metabolite variables. Variables with consistently high importance rankings from any two methods were incorporated into the models. Finally, the variables selected from the three methods, with the participants' age, sex, and marital status, were used to construct a random forest predictive model. RESULTS: Fourteen lipoprotein and metabolite variables were screened using the three methods, and 17 variables were included in the AD prediction model based on age, sex, and marital status of the participants. The optimal random forest modeling was constructed with "mtry" set to 3 and "ntree" set to 300. The model exhibited an accuracy of 71.01%, a sensitivity of 79.59%, a specificity of 65.28%, and an AUC (95%CI) of 0.724 (0.645-0.804). When Mean Decrease Accuracy and Gini were used to rank the proteins, age, phospholipids to total lipids ratio in intermediate-density lipoproteins (IDL_PL_PCT), and creatinine were among the top five variables. CONCLUSIONS: Age, IDL_PL_PCT, and creatinine levels play crucial roles in AD onset. Regular monitoring of lipoproteins and their metabolites in older individuals is significant for early AD diagnosis and prevention.

Development and validation of a predictive model for failure of ureteral access sheath placement in patients with ureteral calculi.

OBJECTIVE: The Ureteral Access Sheath (UAS) has notable benefits but may fail to traverse the ureter in some cases. Our objective was to develop and validate a dynamic online nomogram for patients with ureteral stones who experienced UAS placement failure during retrograde intrarenal surgery (RIRS). METHODS: This study is a retrospective cohort analysis using medical records from the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University. We reviewed the records of patients with ureteral stones who underwent RIRS in 2022 to identify risk factors associated with UAS placement failure. Lasso combined logistic regression was utilized to identify independent risk factors associated with unsuccessful UAS placement in individuals with ureteral stones. Subsequently, a nomogram model was developed to predict the likelihood of failed UAS placement in this patient cohort. The model's performance was assessed through Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) analysis, calibration curve assessment, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Significant independent risk factors for unsuccessful UAS placement in patients with ureteral stones included age (OR = 0.95, P < 0.001), male gender (OR = 2.15, P = 0.017), body mass index (BMI) (OR = 1.12, P < 0.001), history of stone evacuation (OR = 0.35, P = 0.014), and ureteral stone diameter (OR = 0.23, P < 0.001). A nomogram was constructed based on these variables. Model validation demonstrated an area under the ROC curve of 0.789, indicating good discrimination. The calibration curve exhibited strong agreement, and the decision curve analysis revealed a favorable net clinical benefit for the model. CONCLUSIONS: Young age, male sex, high BMI, no history of stone evacuation, and small diameter of ureteral stones were independent risk factors for failure of UAS placement in patients with ureteral stones, and the dynamic nomogram established with these 5 factors was clinically effective in predicting the outcome of UAS placement.

Construction of oxidative phosphorylation-related prognostic risk score model in uveal melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Uveal melanoma (UVM) is a malignant intraocular tumor in adults. Targeting genes related to oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) may play a role in anti-tumor therapy. However, the clinical significance of oxidative phosphorylation in UVM is unclear. METHOD: The 134 OXPHOS-related genes were obtained from the KEGG pathway, the TCGA UVM dataset contained 80 samples, served as the training set, while GSE22138 and GSE39717 was used as the validation set. LASSO regression was carried out to identify OXPHOS-related prognostic genes. The coefficients obtained from Cox multivariate regression analysis were used to calculate a risk score, which facilitated the construction of a prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, logrank test and ROC curve using the time "timeROC" package were conducted. The immune cell frequency in low- and high-risk group was analyzed through Cibersort tool. The specific genomic alterations were analyzed by "maftools" R package. The differential expressed genes between low- or high-risk group were analyzed and performed Gene Ontology (GO) and GSEA. Finally, we verified the function of CYC1 in UVM by gene silencing in vitro. RESULTS: A total of 9 OXPHOS-related prognostic genes were identified, including NDUFB1, NDUFB8, ATP12A, NDUFA3, CYC1, COX6B1, ATP6V1G2, ATP4B and NDUFB4. The UVM prognostic risk model was constructed based on the 9 OXPHOS-related prognostic genes. The prognosis of patients in the high-risk group was poorer than low-risk group. Besides, the ROC curve demonstrated that the area under the curve of the model for predicting the 1 to 5-year survival rate of UVM patients were all more than 0.88. External validation in GSE22138 and GSE39717 dataset revealed that these 9 genes could also be utilized to evaluate and predict the overall survival of patients with UVM. The risk score levels related to immune cell frequency and specific genomic alterations. The DEGs between the low- and high- risk group were enriched in tumor OXPHOS and immune related pathway. In vitro experiments, CYC1 silencing significantly inhibited UVM cell proliferation and invasion, induced cell apoptosis. CONCLUSION: In sum, a prognostic risk score model based on oxidative phosphorylation-related genes in UVM was developed to enhance understanding of the disease. This prognostic risk score model may help to find potential therapeutic targets for UVM patients. CYC1 acts as an oncogene role in UVM.

Simultaneous analysis of shape and internal structure of a curved Hibiscus cannabinus pulvinus: X-ray microtomography and semi-automated quantification.

In the Malvaceae family, dynamic solar tracking by leaves is actuated by the deformation of the pulvinus, a thickened region at the leaf blade-petiole junction. While the internal structure is believed to play a crucial role in this process, experimental verification has been challenging due to technical limitations. To address this gap, we developed a semi-automated workflow, which integrates data analysis and image processing to simultaneously analyze the shape and internal structure of a Malvaceae pulvinus using X-ray microtomography. Firstly, we found that kenaf (Hibiscus cannabinus L.), a Malvaceae species with curved pulvini, exhibited solar-tracking leaf movement and selected it as a model system. We employed diffusible iodine-based contrast-enhanced computed tomography to visualize the internal structure of the kenaf pulvinus. Analysis of the pulvini's shape revealed variations in pulvinus morphology, yet plausible prediction of the centerline was accomplished using polar polynomial regression. Upon slicing the pulvini perpendicular to the centerline, we observed distinct gray value gradients along the proximo-distal and adaxial-abaxial axes, challenging threshold-based tissue segmentation. This workflow successfully generated three modified 3D images and derived quantitative parameters. Using these quantitative parameters, we conducted network analysis and found the linkage between the size-normalized cortex cross-sectional area and curvature. Polynomial least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression revealed the relationship between the size-normalized cortex cross-sectional area and curvature commonly in all three tested samples. This workflow enables simultaneous analysis of the shape and internal structure, significantly improving the reproducibility of Malvaceae leaf pulvinus characterization.