Utility of the Revised Version of the Ability for Basic Movement Scale in Predicting Ambulation during Rehabilitation in Poststroke Patients.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to test the hypothesis that the Revised Version of the Ability for Basic Movement Scale (ABMSII) can predict ambulation during rehabilitation in poststroke patients. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The study included first-ever stroke patients who were admitted to the rehabilitation ward and were dependent in walking. ABMSII scores were assessed by physical therapists on admission to the hospital. Functional ambulation category (FAC) was assessed every 2 weeks during hospitalization. The primary outcome was independent ambulation, defined as 4 points or higher on the FAC. RESULTS: After setting the inclusion criteria, data of 374 stroke patients (mean age: 70 years, 153 women) were eligible for the analysis. Of these, 193 patients achieved independent ambulation during hospitalization. The ABMSII score was significantly higher in the patients who regained independent walking ability than in those who required assistance in walking. Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, an ABMSII score of 16 points or higher had a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 71%. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis after log-rank test demonstrated a significantly higher event rate in patients with an ABMSII score of 16 or higher compared to those with an ABMSII score lower than 16. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified the ABMSII score as a significant and independent predictor of ambulation during rehabilitation. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that the ABMSII score is a potentially useful tool to predict ambulation during rehabilitation in poststroke patients.

Investigating Biomarkers for COVID-19 Morbidity and Mortality.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: This retrospective study aims to disclose further early parameters of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. METHODS: Three hundred and eighty-two COVID-19 patients, recruited between March and April 2020, were divided into three groups according to their outcome: (1) hospital ward group (patients who entered the hospital wards and survived); (2) intensive care unit (ICU) group (patients who attended the ICU and survived); (3) the deceased group (patients admitted to ICU with a fatal outcome). We investigated routine laboratory parameters such as albumin, glycemia, hemoglobin amylase, lipase, AST, ALT, GGT, LDH, CK, MGB, TnT-hs, IL-6, ferritin, CRP, PCT, WBC, RBC, PLT, PT, INR, APTT, FBG, and D-dimer. Blood withdrawal was carried out at the beginning of the hospitalization period. RESULTS: ANOVA and ROC data evidenced that the concomitant presence of alterations in albumin, lipase, AST, ALT, LDH, MGB, CK, IL-6, ferritin in women, CRP and D-dimer is an early sign of fatal outcomes. CONCLUSION: The present study confirms and extends the validity of routine laboratory biomarkers (i.e., lipase, AST, ALT, LDH, CK, IL-6, ferritin in women, CRP and D-dimer) as indicators of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. Furthermore, the investigation suggests that both gross changes in albumin and MGB, markers of liver and heart damage, may early disclose COVID-19 fatal outcomes.

Role of Serum Irisin During Early Pregnancy to Predict The Development of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus at 24-28 Weeks of Pregnancy in high-risk patients.

Aims: The aim of this prospective study was to investigate the role of serum irisin during early pregnancy to predict the development of GDM at 24-28 weeks in high-risk patients. Methodology: This study was conducted among the pregnant women attending the Department of Endocrinology and antenatal clinic of Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology of MKCG Medical College for a period of one year with at least one risk factor for the development of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Blood samples were collected for measurement of fasting plasma glucose, serum insulin, serum irisin, lipids (TC, LDL, HDL, TG), and HbA1c. Oral glucose tolerance test was performed using 75 g of glucose during the first trimester and between 24-28 weeks of pregnancy. Patients were diagnosed as GDM based upon IADPSG criteria at 24-28 weeks. Serum irisin, glycemic parameters, and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance during first trimester were analyzed for predicting GDM between 24-28 weeks. Results: Sixty-five patients were included in the study, out of which 20 (30.8%) patients developed GDM and the rest 45 patients had normal glucose tolerance (NGT). The first trimester mean serum irisin concentration was significantly lower in women who later developed GDM compared with women who had NGT (111.65 ± 25.43 µg/L vs 185.89 ± 28.89 µg/L). Serum irisin concentration was the best predictor with an optimal threshold value of 149 µg/L, which had sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 90%, 91.1%, 81.8%, 95.3%, respectively, for predicting GDM at 24-28 weeks of pregnancy. Conclusion: We suggest the utility of serum irisin as an early biomarker to predict the development of GDM later in pregnancy in high-risk patients.

Variations in insulin requirements can be an early indicator of sepsis in burn patients.

INTRODUCTION: A >25% increase in daily insulin dosing is suggestive of possible sepsis in burn patients, however, no conclusive evidence is available regarding the time point at which insulin dosing begins to increase. The purpose of this study is to determine the exact time point at which the insulin requirement increases among non-diabetic burn patients with sepsis. METHODS: A retrospective chart review in non-diabetic burn patients with ≥20% total body surface area burned (TBSA) during 2010-2018 who received a blood culture for suspected sepsis. Absolute insulin dosing at intervals (0, 24, 48, 72, and 96 h prior to blood culture) were Box-Cox transformed and compared vs.-96 h reference using mixed-effects models accounting for within-patient dependencies. RESULTS: Fifty-eight patients (84% males, age 44 ± 17 years, TBSA% 49 ± 17.5) were included. When cube root of daily insulin dosing was regressed on each time point in a mixed-effects model, statistically significant increase in insulin dosing compared to baseline was observed for -48 (p = 0.018), -24 (p = 0.011), and 0 h (p = 0.008). CONCLUSION: Daily insulin dosing increases 48 h prior to development of other clinical signs of sepsis and can be used as a sensitive early marker.

Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction and Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease: Analysis of KNOW-CKD Data.

Background Few studies have examined the association between the early diastolic mitral inflow velocity/early diastolic mitral annulus velocity ratio (E/e') and chronic kidney disease progression. Methods and Results We reviewed data from 2238 patients with nondialysis chronic kidney disease from the KNOW-CKD (Korean Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease); data from 163 patients were excluded because of missing content. A >50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline, doubling of serum creatinine, or dialysis initiation and/or kidney transplantation were considered renal events. At baseline, median (interquartile range) ejection fraction and E/e' were 64.0% (60.0%-68.0%) and 9.1 (7.4-11.9), respectively. Proportions of ejection fraction <50% and E/e' ≥15 were 1.3% and 9.6%, respectively. More than one quarter of patients (27.2%) had an estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min per 1.73 m2. During the mean 59.1-month follow-up period, 724 patients (34.9%) experienced renal events. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, the hazard ratio with 95% CI per 1-unit increase in E/e' was 1.027 (1.005-1.050; P=0.016). Penalized spline curve analysis yielded a suggested threshold of E/e' for renal events of 12; in our data set, the proportion of E/e' ≥12 was 4.1%. Conclusions Increased E/e' was associated with an increased hazard of renal events, suggesting that diastolic heart dysfunction is a novel risk factor for chronic kidney disease progression.

IFI27 transcription is an early predictor for COVID-19 outcomes, a multi-cohort observational study.

Purpose: Robust biomarkers that predict disease outcomes amongst COVID-19 patients are necessary for both patient triage and resource prioritisation. Numerous candidate biomarkers have been proposed for COVID-19. However, at present, there is no consensus on the best diagnostic approach to predict outcomes in infected patients. Moreover, it is not clear whether such tools would apply to other potentially pandemic pathogens and therefore of use as stockpile for future pandemic preparedness. Methods: We conducted a multi-cohort observational study to investigate the biology and the prognostic role of interferon alpha-inducible protein 27 (IFI27) in COVID-19 patients. Results: We show that IFI27 is expressed in the respiratory tract of COVID-19 patients and elevated IFI27 expression in the lower respiratory tract is associated with the presence of a high viral load. We further demonstrate that the systemic host response, as measured by blood IFI27 expression, is associated with COVID-19 infection. For clinical outcome prediction (e.g., respiratory failure), IFI27 expression displays a high sensitivity (0.95) and specificity (0.83), outperforming other known predictors of COVID-19 outcomes. Furthermore, IFI27 is upregulated in the blood of infected patients in response to other respiratory viruses. For example, in the pandemic H1N1/09 influenza virus infection, IFI27-like genes were highly upregulated in the blood samples of severely infected patients. Conclusion: These data suggest that prognostic biomarkers targeting the family of IFI27 genes could potentially supplement conventional diagnostic tools in future virus pandemics, independent of whether such pandemics are caused by a coronavirus, an influenza virus or another as yet-to-be discovered respiratory virus.

Mild Behavioral Impairment: An Early Sign and Predictor of Alzheimer's Disease Dementia.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common form of dementia in the elderly population and places heavy burdens on medical care and nursing. Recently, the psychiatric and behavioral symptoms of prodromal AD, especially mild behavioral impairment (MBI), have attracted much attention. In 2012, Alzheimer's Association International Conference, MBI was proposed as a syndrome with psychiatric and behavioral disturbance before the onset of typical clinical cognitive symptoms in dementia. Increasing lines of evidence have indicated the link between MBI and early AD pathologies including Aß and tau. OBJECTIVE: This narrative review aims to summarize the advantages of MBI over other concept of psychiatric and behavioral symptoms associated with AD in the early prediction of AD dementia. We also discuss the possible common genetic basis and pathological mechanisms underlying the interactions between MBI and AD. METHODS: Papers cited here were retrieved from PubMed up to February 2022. We selected a total of 95 articles for summary and discussion. RESULTS: The occurrence of MBI is mainly due to the overlapped genetic and pathological risk factors with AD and is related to the brain's response to environmental stressors. MBI may be a warning sign for the early pathology of AD, and more attention should be paid on the number and duration of MBI symptoms. CONCLUSION: MBI may be an early sign and predictor of Alzheimer's disease dementia. Early intervention for MBI may have a positive effect on alleviating long-term cognitive decline.

Early Routine Biomarkers of SARS-CoV-2 Morbidity and Mortality: Outcomes from an Emergency Section.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is a severe acute respiratory disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a virus belonging to the Coronaviridae family. This disease has spread rapidly around the world and soon became an international public health emergency leading to an unpredicted pressure on the hospital emergency units. Early routine blood biomarkers could be key predicting factors of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality as suggested for C-reactive protein (CRP), IL-6, prothrombin and D-dimer. This study aims to identify other early routine blood biomarkers for COVID-19 severity prediction disclosed directly into the emergency section. METHODS: Our research was conducted on 156 COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the Sapienza University Hospital "Policlinico Umberto I" of Rome, Italy, between March 2020 and April 2020 during the paroxysm's initial phase of the pandemic. In this retrospective study, patients were divided into three groups according to their outcome: (1) emergency group (patients who entered the emergency room and were discharged shortly after because they did not show severe symptoms); (2) intensive care unit (ICU) group (patients who attended the ICU after admission to the emergency unit); (3) the deceased group (patients with a fatal outcome who attended the emergency and, afterward, the ICU units). Routine laboratory tests from medical records were collected when patients were admitted to the emergency unit. We focused on Aspartate transaminase (AST), Alanine transaminase (ALT), Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), Creatine kinase (CK), Myoglobin (MGB), Ferritin, CRP, and D-dimer. RESULTS: As expected, ANOVA data show an age morbidity increase in both ICU and deceased groups compared with the emergency group. A main effect of morbidity was revealed by ANOVA for all the analyzed parameters with an elevation between the emergency group and the deceased group. Furthermore, a significant increase in LDH, Ferritin, CRP, and D-dimer was also observed between the ICU group and the emergency group and between the deceased group and ICU group. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses confirmed and extended these findings. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the contemporaneous presence of high levels of LDH, Ferritin, and as expected, CRP, and D-dimer could be considered as potential predictors of COVID-19 severity and death.

Post-mastectomy and post-breast conservation surgery pain syndrome: a review of etiologies, risk prediction, and trends in management.

Postmastectomy pain syndrome (PMPS) or breast conservation surgery (BCS) pain syndrome could be long-term and lead to disability and impairment on body and social function. The pain syndromes are not uncommon in breast cancer patients. It can affect social, psychological, physical and behavioral aspects of a patient. Surgery, radiation, chemotherapy and psychological factors can all contribute to the development of pain syndromes. Axillary dissection is a strong predictor for pain development. Pain medications, ganglion blocks are typically given to the patient for management. Integrative medicine such as acupuncture and psychological management methods are promising modalities in the management arsenal. In this study, we summarized the up-to-date literature to elucidate the etiology, risk factors and management strategies for PMPS.

Can immature platelet fraction be an early predictor for congenital pneumonia?

AIM: Timely diagnosis and treatment of congenital pneumonia are crucial. A new hematologic parameter, immature platelet fraction, has been used to gather clinical information on the prognosis of thrombocytopenia, as well as to measure inflammatory activity in adult patients. This study aimed to compare immature platelet fraction and sepsis biomarkers in late-preterm infants diagnosed as having congenital pneumonia and to evaluate its predictive value for congenital pneumonia. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Late-preterms were categorized based on infectious vs. non-infectious etiology of respiratory distress. Two sets of blood samples for markers were taken at 12-24 (sample-1) and 48-72 hours (sample-2) after birth. Immature platelet fraction was measured using a Sysmex XN-3000 analyzer. RESULTS: From a total of 30 non-thrombocytopenic late-preterms, 16 were included in the congenital pneumonia group and 14 comprised the transient tachypnea group. The groups were comparable in terms of gestational age, birth weight, and cesarean section rate. The proportion of prolonged membrane rupture was significantly higher in the congenital pneumonia group. Values of immature platelet fraction-1, immature platelet fraction-2, and procalcitonin-2 were significantly higher in the congenital pneumonia group than in the transient tachypnea group. No significant differences were found between the groups in other biomarkers. It was determined that an immature platelet fraction-1 cut-off value of 2.9% could predict congenital pneumonia with a sensitivity of 65%, a specificity of 71.4%, a positive predictive value of 70.5%, and negative predictive value of 63.7% (area under the curve=0.724; p=0.028). CONCLUSION: Immature platelet fraction may have an early predictive role in the diagnosis of congenital pneumonia.

C-reactive protein as an early predictor of COVID-19 severity.

BACKGROUND: Data for predicting severity of patients with COVID-19 infection are sparse and still under investigation. We retrospectively studied whether the admission serum C-reactive protein level (CRP) can serve as nearly predictor of disease severity during COVID-19 infection in comparison with other hematologic and inflammatory markers. METHODS: We included all consecutive patients who were admitted in Cheikh Khalifa International University Hospital, Casablanca, Morocco, between February to April 2020, with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 infection using SARS-CoV-2 viral nucleic acid via RT-PCR. The complete blood count and serum CRP level were routinely measured on admission. All clinical and laboratory data of patients were collected and analyzed. The classification of the disease severity was in accordance with the clinical classification of the WHO interim guidance, and the management of patients were adapted to the national management guideline. We estimated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of blood routine parameters as well as their association with COVID-19 disease severity. RESULTS: 145 COVID-19 patients were included in the study. The median age (range) was 50 (32-63) years, and 75 (51.7%) were men. 101 patients were classified in the non-severe group and 44 patients in the severe group. Based on disease severity, significant differences were observed in the age, gender, comorbidities, and respiratory symptom. Similarly, the biological analysis found significant differences for the neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, eosinophil count, and CRP level. However, according to ROC curves of these laboratory biomarkers, the AUC of CRP at 0.872 was significantly higher than all other parameters. Further, CRP was independently associated with severity of COVID-19 disease (OR = 1.11, 95% IC (1.01-1.22) and or = 1.13, 95% IC (1.04-1.23)). CONCLUSIONS: This study found that the CRP level at admission represent a simple and independent factor that can be useful for early detection of severity during COVID-19 and the easy guidance of primary care.

Postoperative circulating tumor cells: An early predictor of extrahepatic metastases in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing curative surgical resection.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative extrahepatic metastases (EHM) contribute to a grim outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are undergoing curative surgical resection. The current study investigated the clinical value of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in predicting EHM after curative surgery. METHODS: A total of 197 patients with HCC who were undergoing curative surgical resection were assigned to a retrospective training cohort (144 patients) or a prospective validation cohort (53 patients). The CELLSEARCH system was used for the detection of CTCs prior to surgical resection and 1 month thereafter. The cutoff value of CTCs was estimated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Bonferroni correction was applied for multiple testing in a Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: In the training cohort, EHM was found to be associated with a higher postoperative CTC burden compared with no EHM (mean: 4.33 vs 0.52; P < .001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated a postoperative CTC count ≥3 as the optimal cutoff value for the prediction of EHM. Patients with a postoperative CTC count ≥3 experienced a higher EHM risk (56.3% vs 5.5%) and a shorter median overall survival (31.25 months vs not reached) (all P < .001). The prognostic significance of a postoperative CTC count ≥3 also applied to patient subgroups with a low EHM risk, such as those with an α-fetoprotein level ≤400 ng/mL, absence of vascular invasion, well differentiation, and early tumor stage, and its predictive value was retained in patients with a continuous normal α-fetoprotein level during postoperative follow-up (all P < .05). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: A postoperative CTC count ≥3 appears to be a surrogate marker for the prediction of EHM after curative surgical resection of HCC. More careful surveillance should be recommended to patients with a high CTC load to ensure the greater possibility of early interventions for postoperative EHM.

Reduced Brain Activity in the Right Putamen as an Early Predictor for Treatment Response in Drug-Naive, First-Episode Schizophrenia.

Antipsychotic medications can have a significant effect on brain function after only several days of treatment. It is unclear whether such an acute effect can serve as an early predictor for treatment response in schizophrenia. Thirty-two patients with drug-naive, first-episode schizophrenia and 32 healthy controls underwent resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging. Patients were treated with olanzapine and were scanned at baseline and 1 week of treatment. Healthy controls were scanned once at baseline. Symptom severity was assessed within the patient group using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) at three time points (baseline, 1 week of treatment, and 8 weeks of treatment). The fractional amplitude of low frequency fluctuation (fALFF) and support vector regression (SVR) methods were used to analyze the data. Compared with the control group, the patient group showed increased levels of fALFF in the bilateral putamen at baseline. After 1week of olanzapine treatment, the patient group showed decreased levels of fALFF in the right putamen relative to those at baseline. The SVR analysis found a significantly positive relationship between the reduction in fALFF after 1 week of treatment and the improvement in positive symptoms after 8 weeks of treatment (r = 0.431, p = 0.014). The present study provides evidence that early reduction and normalization of fALFF in the right putamen may serve as a predictor for treatment response in patients with schizophrenia.

Radical dose escalation by high-dose-rate brachytherapy for localized prostate cancer-Significance of prostate-specific antigen nadir level within 18 months as correlation for long-term biochemical control.

PURPOSE: High-dose-rate brachytherapy (HDR-BT) for dose escalation in localized prostate cancer has been established as one standard treatment option. However, long-term results at followup (FU) ≥5 years are usually needed to ensure robustness of reported outcomes. Potential benefit of salvage therapy is, nevertheless, higher when relapse is diagnosed early. This study aimed to solve this dilemma by evaluating the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir for early prediction of long-term biochemical control. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Combined pelvis-external beam radiation/HDR-BT boost to EQD2 >100 Gy (α/ß = 3) was performed in 459 consecutively treated patients. These patients with an FU ≥ 24 months were analyzed and stratified in PSA nadir (nPSA)-groups by PSA nadir within 18 months after radiotherapy (nPSA18). Kaplan-Meier/log-rank tests and Cox-regression models were used to compare the study endpoints. RESULTS: The mean FU was 77 months. A PSA nadir within 18 months (nPSA18) <0.5 ng/mL was achieved in 222 patients with median time to reach nPSA18 of 7 months. The 5-year American Society of Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) biochemical control (prostate-specific antigen disease-free survival) for the nPSA18 group <0.5 ng/mL was 89% and for the group ≥ 0.5 ng/mL, it was 78.6% (p = 0.011). nPSA18 was an independent predictor of cancer-specific survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and biochemical control (ASTRO) (p = 0.026, p = 0.020, and p = 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The present results suggest that the PSA nadir level within 18 months after radiotherapy may serve as an early parameter for long-term biochemical control according to ASTRO definitions following radical dose escalation by HDR-BT for prostate cancer. Excellent outcomes were associated with nPSA18 < 0.5 ng/mL.

Neutrophil Gelatinase-associated Lipocalin: As a Predictor of Early Diabetic Nephropathy in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

This study was carried out to look for diagnostic and prognostic role of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in early diabetic nephropathy (DN) in type 2 diabetes individuals. NGAL was measured in both urinary and serum sample of 144 type 2 diabetes individuals stratified into three categories based on urinary albumin-creatinine ratio and 54 control populations with estimated glomerular filtration rate >60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and serum creatinine <1.2 mg/dl. The serum NGAL (sNGAL), urine NGAL (uNGAL), and uNGAL/urine creatinine were significantly higher in diabetic individuals than in the control populations with significant difference in between the groups (P < 0.05). Difference of above values between control value and normoalbuminuria was also statistically significant (P < 0.05). Again, sNGAL and uNGAL correlate positively with albuminuria (P < 0.05). Tubular injury may precede glomerular injury in diabetic individuals, and NGAL can be used as a biomarker to diagnose DN even earlier to incipient nephropathy. Both sNGAL and uNGAL can predict albuminuria and be used as a noninvasive tool for diagnosis, staging, and progression of DN.

Phrenic Nerve Conduction Study in the Early Stage of Guillain-Barre Syndrome as a Predictor of Respiratory Failure.

BACKGROUND: Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) has unpredictable clinical course with severe complication of respiratory failure. OBJECTIVE: To identify clinical profiles and electrophysiological study particularly non-invasive Phrenic nerve conduction study in patients of early GBS to predict respiratory failure. METHODS: 64 adult (age≥18yrs) patients of early GBS (onset ≤ 14 days) during the study period from January 2014 to October 2015 were evaluated by clinical profiles of age, gender, antecedent infection, time to peak disability, single breath counts, cranial nerve involvement, autonomic dysfunction and non-invasive Phrenic nerve conduction study. Patients with predisposition factors of polyneuropathy like diabetes mellitus, hypothyroidism, vitamin deficiency, renal failure were excluded. RESULTS: Among 64 patients abnormal phrenic nerve conduction study was seen in 65.62% cases (42/64) and 45.23% (19/42) of them developed respiratory failure. Phrenic nerve sum latency, amplitude, duration and area were abnormal in those who developed respiratory failure and they had sum of phrenic nerve latency >28 msec, sum of CMAP amplitude <300 µV, sum of CMAP duration >50 msec and sum of area < 4 mVmS. None with normal phrenic nerve study developed respiratory failure. It was found that age, gender, preceding infection, autonomic involvement and types of GB syndrome had no influence on development of respiratory failure (p>0.05). Rapid disease progression to peak disability, more severe disease, shorter single breath counts and cranial nerve involvement were seen more often in patients with respiratory failure. CONCLUSION: Abnormal Phrenic nerve conduction study in the early Guillain-Barré syndrome might be of great value independently in predicting impending respiratory failure.

Early predictors of a clinical response at 8 weeks in patients with first-episode psychosis treated with paliperidone ER.

Identification of early clinical markers that predict later treatment outcomes in first-episode psychosis is highly valuable. The present study was conducted to determine the best time at which to predict the late treatment response in first-episode psychosis patients treated with paliperidone extended release (ER), the factors predicting early treatment responses (at Week 2 and Week 3) and the relationships between the paliperidone ER plasma concentrations at Week 2 and Week 3, and the treatment responses at Week 2, Week 3 and Week 8. Various criteria for assessing treatment response were employed. We determined the plasma paliperidone concentrations at Week 2 and Week 3, using validated high-performance liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry (HPLC-MS/MS). The treatment response at Week 3 optimally predicted the later (Week 8) response, in terms of negative predictive value (NPV). Independent predictors for good treatment responses at Week 2 and Week 3 were: Female gender, a higher educational level, a higher Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) excited score, and/or a shorter duration of untreated psychosis (DUP). The plasma paliperidone concentration at Week 3, but not Week 2, was a significant predictor of the late treatment response at Week 8. These results may help appropriate clinical decision-making for early non-responders after having their first episode of psychosis.

Nucleated red blood cell counts: an early predictor of brain injury and 2-year outcome in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in the era of cooling-based treatment.

BACKGROUND: Raised nucleated red blood cell (NRBC) counts in neonates may indicate in utero hypoxia and brain damage. OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to examine the use of NRBC counts as a predictor of brain injury and neurodevelopmental outcomes in neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) treated under current cooling-based strategy. METHODS: Forty-three neonates with asphyxia between 2004 and 2010 were retrospectively investigated. Twenty neonates with moderate/severe HIE underwent hypothermia (HT), and 23 with mild HIE were treated in normothermia (NT). Neonates were divided into groups according to the presence of cerebral parenchymal lesions on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at 2 weeks after birth. All patients were followed-up neurologically for ⩾ 24 months. NRBC counts during the first 3 days were compared between groups. RESULTS: Eleven HT (HT-N) and 21 NT (NT-N) neonates had normal MRI, and 9 HT (HT-L) and 2 NT (NT-L) neonates had parenchymal lesions. NRBC counts, both absolute and /100 white blood cells (WBC) counts, during the first 3 days in HT-L and NT-L were significantly higher than those in HT-N and NT-N, particularly within 6 hours after birth (HT-N: 502 [0-3060]/mm(3) vs HT-L: 2765 [496-6192]; 0 [0-3417] vs NT-L: 4384 [3978-4789], median [range]). Neonates with /100 white blood cells ⩾ 6/mm(3) and absolute NRBC counts ⩾ 1324/mm(3) within 6 hours of birth had high risks of abnormal MRIs and 2-year outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: NRBC counts can predict brain injury and neurological outcomes in cooled and non-cooled asphyxiated neonates.