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1.
Proc Biol Sci ; 291(2023): 20240356, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38772422

RESUMO

Behavioural and physiological resistance are key to slowing epidemic spread. We explore the evolutionary and epidemic consequences of their different costs for the evolution of tolerance that trades off with resistance. Behavioural resistance affects social cohesion, with associated group-level costs, while the cost of physiological resistance accrues only to the individual. Further, resistance, and the associated reduction in transmission, benefit susceptible hosts directly, whereas infected hosts only benefit indirectly, by reducing transmission to kin. We therefore model the coevolution of transmission-reducing resistance expressed in susceptible hosts with resistance expressed in infected hosts, as a function of kin association, and analyse the effect on population-level outcomes. Using parameter values for guppies, Poecilia reticulata, and their gyrodactylid parasites, we find that: (1) either susceptible or infected hosts should invest heavily in resistance, but not both; (2) kin association drives investment in physiological resistance more strongly than in behavioural resistance; and (3) even weak levels of kin association can favour altruistic infected hosts that invest heavily in resistance (versus selfish tolerance), eliminating parasites. Overall, our finding that weak kin association affects the coevolution of infected and susceptible investment in both behavioural and physiological resistance suggests that kin selection may affect disease dynamics across systems.


Assuntos
Resistência à Doença , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita , Poecilia , Animais , Poecilia/fisiologia , Poecilia/parasitologia , Doenças dos Peixes/parasitologia , Evolução Biológica , Modelos Biológicos
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(11): 2275-2284, 2023 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37877548

RESUMO

SARS-CoV-2 induces illness and death in humans by causing systemic infections. Evidence suggests that SARS-CoV-2 can induce brain pathology in humans and other hosts. In this study, we used a canine transmission model to examine histopathologic changes in the brains of dogs infected with SARS-CoV-2. We observed substantial brain pathology in SARS-CoV-2-infected dogs, particularly involving blood-brain barrier damage resembling small vessel disease, including changes in tight junction proteins, reduced laminin levels, and decreased pericyte coverage. Furthermore, we detected phosphorylated tau, a marker of neurodegenerative disease, indicating a potential link between SARS-CoV-2-associated small vessel disease and neurodegeneration. Our findings of degenerative changes in the dog brain during SARS-CoV-2 infection emphasize the potential for transmission to other hosts and induction of similar signs and symptoms. The dynamic brain changes in dogs highlight that even asymptomatic individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 may develop neuropathologic changes in the brain.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Neurodegenerativas , Humanos , Animais , Cães , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/veterinária , Encéfalo
3.
Trop Med Int Health ; 28(9): 689-698, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37488635

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To analyse acute Chagas disease (CD) outbreaks through a qualitative systematic review and discuss the determinants for its prevention and control. METHODS: Review of studies in which clinical cases of oral transmission were confirmed by parasitological and/or serological tests that included an epidemiological investigation of sources of infection, vectors and reservoirs. RESULTS: Thirty-two outbreaks (1965-2022) were analysed. The main foods involved in oral transmission outbreaks are homemade fruit juices. Different species of vectors were identified. Reservoirs were mainly dogs, rodents and large American opossums (didelphids). CONCLUSION: Under a One Health approach, environmental changes are one of the factors responsible of the rise of oral transmission of CD. Entomological surveillance of vectors and control of the changes in wild and domestic reservoirs and reinforcement of hygiene measures around food in domestic and commercial sites are needed.


Assuntos
Doença de Chagas , Saúde Única , Trypanosoma cruzi , Animais , Cães , Doença de Chagas/epidemiologia , Doença de Chagas/prevenção & controle , Reservatórios de Doenças/veterinária , Genótipo , Gambás
4.
Helicobacter ; 28(1): e12945, 2023 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36645421

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), a gram-negative bacterium that colonizes the stomach, can cause chronic gastritis and peptic ulcers, as well as gastric cancer as a Class I carcinogen. However, the modes of H. pylori transmission are not clear. This review aims to clarify the transmission routes and patterns of H. pylori and identify efficacious prevention measures. METHODS: Studies of H. pylori transmission were identified using PubMed, the Web of Science, and Cochrane Central; the retrieval deadline was October 2022. RESULTS: The transmission routes of H. pylori are discussed, focusing on the five primary transmission routes, namely fecal-oral, oral-oral, gastric-oral, anal-oral, and genital-oral. We propose that H. pylori is contracted through multiple transmission routes. Additionally, we summarize the key transmission patterns of H. pylori, including person-to-person and animal-to-human transmission, as well as foodborne and occupational exposure. CONCLUSION: Fecal-oral appears to be the most common H. pylori transmission routes. Although the oral-oral pathway is also important, the evidence does not support that this route of transmission is universal. The gastric-oral route occurs primarily in children and patients who are prone to vomiting. Meanwhile, the anal-oral and genital-oral routes remain hypothetical. Person-to-person and foodborne infections represent the predominant transmission patterns of H. pylori, whereas strong environmental and occupational limitations are associated with animal-to-human and occupational exposure.


Assuntos
Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Úlcera Péptica , Neoplasias Gástricas , Criança , Animais , Humanos , Infecções por Helicobacter/microbiologia , Fezes/microbiologia
5.
Risk Anal ; 43(4): 677-685, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35739067

RESUMO

Since 2013, wild poliovirus (WPV) transmission occurred only for type 1 (WPV1). Following several years of increasing reported incidence (2017-2019) and programmatic disruptions caused by COVID-19 (early 2020), Pakistan and Afghanistan performed a large number of supplementary immunization activities (late 2020-2021). This increased intensity of immunization, following widespread transmission, substantially decreased WPV1 cases and positive environmental samples during 2021. Modeling the potential for undetected circulation of WPV1 after apparent interruption can support regional and global decisions about certification of the eradication of indigenous WPV1 transmission. We apply a stochastic model to estimate the confidence about no circulation (CNC) of WPV1 in Pakistan and Afghanistan as a function of time since the last reported case and/or positive environmental sample. Exploration of different assumptions about surveillance quality suggests a range for CNC for WPV1 as a function of time since the last positive surveillance signal, and supports the potential use of a time with no evidence of transmission of less than 3 years as sufficient to assume die out in the context of good acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance. We show high expected CNC based on AFP surveillance data alone, even with imperfect surveillance and some use of inactivated poliovirus vaccine masking the ability of AFP surveillance to detect transmission. Ensuring high quality AFP and environmental surveillance may substantially shorten the time required to reach high CNC. The time required for high CNC depends on whether immunization activities maintain high population immunity and the quality of surveillance data.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Poliovirus , Humanos , Afeganistão , Paquistão/epidemiologia , alfa-Fetoproteínas
6.
J Environ Manage ; 342: 118282, 2023 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37315468

RESUMO

Environmental waters (EW) substantially lend to the transmission of Helicobacter pylori (Hp). But the increase in Hp infections and antimicrobial resistance is often attributed to socioeconomic status. The connection between socioeconomic status and Hp prevalence in EW is however yet to be investigated. This study aimed to assess the impacts of socioeconomic indices (SI: continent, world bank region (WBR), world bank income (WBI), WHO region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI quintile), Sustainable Development Index (SuDI), and Human Development Index (HDI)) on the prevalence of Hp in EW. Hp-EW data were fitted to a generalized linear mixed-effects model and SI-guided meta-regression models with a 1000-resampling test. The worldwide prevalence of Hp in EW was 21.76% [95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.29-40.29], which declined significantly from 59.52% [43.28-74.37] in 1990-99 to 19.36% [3.99-58.09] in 2010-19 and with increasing trend in 2020-22 (33.33%, 22.66-45.43). Hp prevalence in EW was highest in North America (45.12%, 17.07-76.66), then Europe (22.38%, 5.96-56.74), South America (22.09%, 13.76-33.49), Asia (2.98%, 0.02-85.17), and Africa (2.56%, 0.00-99.99). It was negligibly different among sampling settings, WBI, and WHO regions demonstrating highest prevalence in rural location [42.62%, 3.07-94.56], HIEs [32.82%, 13.19-61.10], and AMR [39.43%, 19.92-63.01], respectively. However, HDI, sample size, and microbiological method robustly predict Hp prevalence in EW justifying 26.08%, 21.15%, and 16.44% of the true difference, respectively. In conclusion, Hp is highly prevalence in EW across regional/socioeconomic strata and thus challenged the uses of socioeconomic status as surrogate for hygienic/sanitary practices in estimating Hp infection prevalence.


Assuntos
Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Humanos , Prevalência , Classe Social , América do Sul , América do Norte/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia
7.
Clin Infect Dis ; 75(7): 1217-1223, 2022 09 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35100614

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) frequently contaminate hospital environments. We performed a multicenter, cluster-randomized, crossover trial of 2 methods for monitoring of terminal cleaning effectiveness. METHODS: Six intensive care units (ICUs) at 3 medical centers received both interventions sequentially, in randomized order. Ten surfaces were surveyed each in 5 rooms weekly, after terminal cleaning, with adenosine triphosphate (ATP) monitoring or an ultraviolet fluorescent marker (UV/F). Results were delivered to environmental services staff in real time with failing surfaces recleaned. We measured monthly rates of MDRO infection or colonization, including methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Clostridioides difficile, vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus, and MDR gram-negative bacilli (MDR-GNB) during a 12-month baseline period and sequential 6-month intervention periods, separated by a 2-month washout. Primary analysis compared only the randomized intervention periods, whereas secondary analysis included the baseline. RESULTS: The ATP method was associated with a reduction in incidence rate of MDRO infection or colonization compared with the UV/F period (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.876; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.807-0.951; P = .002). Including the baseline period, the ATP method was associated with reduced infection with MDROs (IRR 0.924; 95% CI, 0.855-0.998; P = .04), and MDR-GNB infection or colonization (IRR 0.856; 95% CI, 0.825-0.887; P < .001). The UV/F intervention was not associated with a statistically significant impact on these outcomes. Room turnaround time increased by a median of 1 minute with the ATP intervention and 4.5 minutes with UV/F compared with baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Intensive monitoring of ICU terminal room cleaning with an ATP modality is associated with a reduction of MDRO infection and colonization.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Enterococos Resistentes à Vancomicina , Trifosfato de Adenosina , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Bactérias Gram-Negativas , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Vancomicina
8.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 37(5): 437-445, 2022 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35486338

RESUMO

We aimed to review Semmelweis's complete work on puerperal sepsis mortality in maternity wards in relation to exposure to cadavers and chlorine handwashing and other factors from the perspective of modern epidemiological methods. We reviewed Semmelweis' complete work and data as published by von Györy 1905 according to current standards. We paid particular attention to Semmelweis's definition of mortality in and of itself, to concepts of modern epidemiology that were already recognizable in Semmelweis's work, and to bias sources. We did several quantitative bias analyses to address selection bias and information bias from outcome measurement error. Semmelweis addressed biases that have become known to modern epidemiology, such as confounding, selection bias and bias from outcome misclassification. Our bias analysis shows that differential loss to follow-up is an unlikely explanation for his results. Bias due to outcome misclassification would only be relevant if misclassification differed between time periods. Confounding by health status was likely but could not be quantitatively addressed. Semmelweis was aware that cause-specific mortality is a function of incidence and prognosis. He reasoned in potential outcome terms to estimate the reduced number of deaths from an intervention. He advanced a hypothesis of clinic overcrowding as a risk factor for puerperal sepsis mortality that turns out to be wrong. Semmelweis' data provide a great pool for illustrating the logic of scientific discovery by use of the numerical method. The explanatory power of his work was strong and Semmelweis was able to refute several previous causal explanations.


Assuntos
Infecção Puerperal , Sepse , Causalidade , Feminino , História do Século XIX , Humanos , Hungria , Masculino , Gravidez , Infecção Puerperal/epidemiologia , Infecção Puerperal/história , Fatores de Risco , Viés de Seleção , Sepse/epidemiologia
9.
Sensors (Basel) ; 22(18)2022 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36146346

RESUMO

The SARS-CoV-2 virus has posed formidable challenges that must be tackled through scientific and technological investigations on each environmental scale. This research aims to learn and report about the current state of user activities, in real-time, in a specially designed private indoor environment with sensors in infection transmission control of SARS-CoV-2. Thus, a real-time learning system that evolves and updates with each incoming piece of data from the environment is developed to predict user activities categorized for remote monitoring. Accordingly, various experiments are conducted in the private indoor space. Multiple sensors, with their inputs, are analyzed through the experiments. The experiment environment, installed with microgrids and Internet of Things (IoT) devices, has provided correlating data of various sensors from that special care context during the pandemic. The data is applied to classify user activities and develop a real-time learning and monitoring system to predict the IoT data. The microgrids were operated with the real-time learning system developed by comprehensive experiments on classification learning, regression learning, Error-Correcting Output Codes (ECOC), and deep learning models. With the help of machine learning experiments, data optimization, and the multilayered-tandem organization of the developed neural networks, the efficiency of this real-time monitoring system increases in learning the activity of users and predicting their actions, which are reported as feedback on the monitoring interfaces. The developed learning system predicts the real-time IoT data, accurately, in less than 5 milliseconds and generates big data that can be deployed for different usages in larger-scale facilities, networks, and e-health services.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Internet das Coisas , Humanos , Monitorização Fisiológica , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2
10.
J Occup Environ Hyg ; 19(5): 271-280, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35311626

RESUMO

Fresh air ventilation has been identified as a widely accepted engineering control effective at diluting air contaminants in enclosed environments. The goal of this study was to evaluate the effects of selected ventilation measures on air change rates in school buses. Air changes per hour (ACH) of outside air were measured using a well-established carbon dioxide (CO2) tracer gas decay method. Ventilation was assessed while stationary and while traversing standardized route during late autumn/winter months in Colorado. Seven CO2 sensors located at the driver's seat and at passenger seats in the front, middle, and rear of the bus yielded similar and consistent measurements. Buses exhibited little air exchange in the absence of ventilation (ACH = 0.13 when stationary; ACH = 1.85 when mobile). Operating the windshield defroster to introduce fresh outside air increased ACH by approximately 0.5-1 ACH during mobile and stationary phases. During the mobile phase (average speed of 23 miles per hour (mph)), the combination of the defroster and two open ceiling hatches (with a powered fan on the rear hatch) yielded an ACH of approximately 9.3 ACH. A mobile phase ACH of 12.4 was achieved by the combination of the defroster, ceiling hatches, and six passenger windows open 2 inches in the middle area of the bus. A maximum mobile phase ACH of 22.1 was observed by using the defroster, open ceiling hatches, driver window open 4 inches, and every other passenger window open 2 inches. For reference, ACHs recommended in patient care settings where patients are being treated for airborne infectious diseases range from 6 to ≥12 ACHs. The results indicate that practical ventilation protocols on school buses can achieve air change rates thought to be capable of reducing airborne viral transmission to the bus driver and student passengers during the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Dióxido de Carbono , Humanos , Veículos Automotores , Pandemias , Instituições Acadêmicas , Ventilação
11.
Ergonomics ; 65(7): 943-959, 2022 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34747334

RESUMO

Analysis of thirty-one hours of video-data documenting 36 experienced drivers highlighted the prevalence of face-touching, with 819 contacts identified (mean frequency: 26.4 face touches/hour (FT/h); mean duration: 3.9-seconds). Fewer face-touches occurred in high primary workload conditions (where additional physical/cognitive demands were placed on drivers), compared to low workload (4.4 and 26.1 FT/h, respectively). In 42.5% of touches (or 11.2 FT/h), mucous membrane contact was made, with fingertips (33.1%) and thumbs (35.6%) most commonly employed. Individual behaviours differed (ranging from 5.1 to 90.7 FT/h), but there were no significant differences identified between genders, age-groups or hand used. Results are of relevance from an epidemiological/hygiene perspective within the context of the COVID-19 pandemic (and can therefore inform the design of practical solutions and encourage behavioural change to reduce the risk of self-inoculation while driving), but they also help to elucidate how habitual human behaviours are imbricated with the routine accomplishment of tasks.


Practitioner summary: The study highlights the propensity of face touching whilst driving through the analysis of on-road video datasets. Results have implications for the design of technological interventions (such as touchless interfaces and driver monitoring systems) and can inform awareness campaigns to reduce the risk of self-inoculation and infection transmission while driving.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , COVID-19 , Percepção do Tato , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Higiene , Masculino , Pandemias , Tato
12.
Indian J Crit Care Med ; 26(10): 1120-1125, 2022 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36876194

RESUMO

Aims and objectives: In coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia, guidelines on timing and method of tracheostomy are evolving. The aim of the study was to analyze the outcomes of moderate-to-severe COVID-19 pneumonia patients who required tracheostomy and the safety with regard to the risk of transmission to the healthcare workers. Materials and methods: We retrospectively analyzed 30-day survival outcome of a total of 70 moderate-to-severe COVID-19 pneumonia patients on a ventilator, wherein tracheostomy was performed only in 28 (tracheostomy group), and the remaining were with endotracheal intubation beyond 7 days (non-tracheostomy group). Besides demographics, comorbidities and clinical data including 30-day survival and complications of tracheostomy were analyzed in both groups with respect to the timing of tracheostomy from the day of intubation. Healthcare workers were monitored for COVID-19 symptoms by carrying out periodical COVID tests. Results: The 30-day survival of the tracheostomy group was 75% as compared to 26.2% of the non-tracheostomy group. The majority of the patients (71.4%) had severe disease with PaO2/FiO2 (P/F ratio) <100. The first wave showed an 80% (4/5) while the second wave 100% (8/8) thirty days survival in the tracheostomy group performed before 13 days. All patients during the second wave underwent tracheostomy before 13 days with a median of 12th day from the day of intubation. These tracheostomies were performed percutaneously at the bedside, without any major complications and no transmission of disease to healthcare workers. Conclusion: Early percutaneous tracheostomy within 13 days of intubation demonstrated a good 30-day survival rate in severe COVID-19 pneumonia patients. How to cite this article: Shah M, Bhatuka N, Shalia K, Patel M. A 30-day Survival and Safety of Percutaneous Tracheostomy in Moderate-to-severe COVID-19 Pneumonia Patients: A Single-center Experience. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(10):1120-1125.

13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(11): 2874-2877, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34469286

RESUMO

Although coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreaks have been relatively well controlled in Hong Kong, containment remains challenging among socioeconomically disadvantaged persons. They are at higher risk for widespread COVID-19 transmission through sizable clustering, probably because of exposure to social settings in which existing mitigation policies had differential socioeconomic effects.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , SARS-CoV-2 , Fatores Socioeconômicos
14.
Indoor Air ; 31(6): 1860-1873, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34096643

RESUMO

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has created a great demand for a better understanding of the spread of viruses in indoor environments. A novel measurement system consisting of one portable aerosol-emitting mannequin (emitter) and a number of portable aerosol-absorbing mannequins (recipients) was developed that can measure the spread of aerosols and droplets that potentially contain infectious viruses. The emission of the virus from a human is simulated by using tracer particles solved in water. The recipients inhale the aerosols and droplets and quantify the level of solved tracer particles in their artificial lungs simultaneously over time. The mobile system can be arranged in a large variety of spreading scenarios in indoor environments and allows for quantification of the infection probability due to airborne virus spreading. This study shows the accuracy of the new measurement system and its ability to compare aerosol reduction measures such as regular ventilation or the use of a room air purifier.


Assuntos
Aerossóis/análise , Filtros de Ar , Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados , Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/análise , COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2
15.
BMC Pediatr ; 21(1): 520, 2021 11 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34809592

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the transmission of cytomegalovirus (CMV) via breast milk in low birth weight (LBW) and premature infants and its effects. METHODS: PubMed, Medline, Cochrane Library, and Embase were searched for studies (without language and time restriction) published before March 27, 2020, that examined the effect of CMV transmitted by breast milk on LBW and premature infants. The rates of breast milk-acquired CMV infection, CMV-related symptoms, and CMV-related sepsis-like syndrome (CMV-SLS) in LBW and premature infants were pooled from each study. RESULTS: Eighteen studies with 1920 LBW and premature infants were included. The pooled CMV infection rate from breast milk for infants fed untreated breast milk was significantly higher than those fed frozen breast milk [19.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 11.8-29.9% vs. 13.5, 95% CI = 8.0-22.0%, P < 0.01). Similarly, the pooled CMV infection rate for infants fed untreated breast milk was significantly higher than those with mixed feeding (P < 0.0001). The mixed feeding group had a significantly lower rate of CMV-related symptoms than the other groups (2.4%, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggested a higher CMV infection rate in LBW or premature infants fed untreated breast milk than other feeding groups. Studies on the long-term outcomes of CMV infection transmitted from breast milk are needed to address the optimal feeding practice.


Assuntos
Infecções por Citomegalovirus , Citomegalovirus , Aleitamento Materno , Infecções por Citomegalovirus/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Leite Humano
16.
Risk Anal ; 41(2): 303-311, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32348634

RESUMO

Silent circulation of polioviruses complicates the polio endgame by affecting the confidence with which we can certify successful eradication (i.e., the end of transmission everywhere) given a long enough period of time with active surveillance and no observed detections. The Global Polio Eradication Initiative continues to use three years without observing paralytic cases caused by wild poliovirus (WPV) infection as an indication of sufficient confidence that poliovirus circulation stopped (assuming good surveillance). Prior modeling demonstrated the complexities of real populations and the imperfect nature of real surveillance systems, and highlighted the need for modeling the specific last reservoirs of undetected circulation. We use a poliovirus transmission model developed for Borno and Yobe to characterize the probability of undetected poliovirus circulation once apparent die-out occurs (i.e., in the absence of epidemiological signals) for WPV serotypes 1 and 3. Specifically, we convert the model to a stochastic form that supports estimates of confidence about no circulation given the time since the last detected event and considering the quality of both immunization and surveillance activities for these states. We find high confidence of no WPV3 circulation, and increasing confidence of WPV1 circulation, which we anticipate will imply high confidence in the absence of any detected cases in mid-2020 so long as Borno and Yobe maintain similar or achieve improved conditions. Our results confirm that gaps in poliovirus surveillance or reaching elimination with borderline sufficient population immunity can substantially increase the time to reach a high confidence about no undetected poliovirus transmission.


Assuntos
Poliomielite/epidemiologia , Poliomielite/transmissão , Poliomielite/virologia , Poliovirus , Erradicação de Doenças , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Modelos Teóricos , Nigéria/epidemiologia , Vacina Antipólio Oral , Vigilância da População , Probabilidade , Sorogrupo , Processos Estocásticos , Vacinação
17.
J Obstet Gynaecol Res ; 47(1): 407-410, 2021 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33058362

RESUMO

On April 2, 2020, we received a maternal transport from a local city hospital of a pregnant woman (38 weeks and 0 days of gestation) in her 20s, who had the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We performed an emergency cesarean section with spinal anesthesia because of an abnormal fetal heart rate pattern. A healthy 3106-g male baby was delivered. All the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 polymerase chain reaction tests of nasal and oral discharges, anal swabs and blood samples of the neonate at 9 h, 30 h and 4 days after birth were negative. Because the mother was diagnosed as having COVID-19 pneumonia, the neonate was given formula milk. The mother's nasal discharge samples at 20 and 21 days were negative. The mother first held her baby in her arms on the 22nd day after birth, and they were discharged on the following day. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report in Japan of a delivery of a baby from a woman infected with COVID-19.


Assuntos
COVID-19/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Adulto , COVID-19/terapia , Cesárea , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Japão , Masculino , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/terapia
18.
Public Health Nurs ; 38(5): 926-930, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33682199

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This pilot study describes the characteristics of social contact patterns of the elderly, a group at high-risk for contracting infections. DESIGN: A cross-sectional design was used. SAMPLE: Participants included 30 volunteers aged 65 years or older. MEASUREMENTS: Records of a contact diary were maintained for a period of 24-hr. RESULTS: Thirty participants recorded 340 contacts within the 24 hr period, with a mean of 11.3 people daily. Physical encounters accounted for 50.9% of contacts. Participants with an occupation had significantly higher contacts than those without (p=.013). Contact type differed by location and duration (p<.001). Contact locations included: home (11.5%), work (2.4%), elderly welfare facilities (32.9%), transport (1.2%), and other places (52.1%). Contact duration (p < .001) and frequency (p < .001) differed by location. Contact duration differed by frequency (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The elderly participate in frequent physical contact that increases their risk of infection, especially among those with an occupation in comparison to those without an occupation. Infection control nursing should focus on providing education to reduce the risk of infections during contact events. Social distancing should be applied to limited periods of infection transmission risk.


Assuntos
Distanciamento Físico , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Projetos Piloto , República da Coreia/epidemiologia
19.
Clin Infect Dis ; 71(16): 2045-2051, 2020 11 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32302377

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The unprecedented outbreak of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in Wuhan City has caused global concern; the outflow of the population from Wuhan was believed to be a main reason for the rapid and large-scale spread of the disease, so the government implemented a city-closure measure to prevent its transmission considering the large amount of travel before the Chinese New Year. METHODS: Based on the daily reported new cases and the population-movement data between 1 and 31 January, we examined the effects of population outflow from Wuhan on the geographical expansion of the infection in other provinces and cities of China, as well as the impacts of the city closure in Wuhan using different closing-date scenarios. RESULTS: We observed a significantly positive association between population movement and the number of the COVID-19 cases. The spatial distribution of cases per unit of outflow population indicated that the infection in some areas with a large outflow of population might have been underestimated, such as Henan and Hunan provinces. Further analysis revealed that if the city-closure policy had been implemented 2 days earlier, 1420 (95% confidence interval, 1059-1833) cases could have been prevented, and if 2 days later, 1462 (1090-1886) more cases would have been possible. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that population movement might be one important trigger for the transmission of COVID-19 infection in China, and the policy of city closure is effective in controlling the epidemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , China/epidemiologia , Cidades/epidemiologia , Intervalos de Confiança , Humanos , Pandemias
20.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(1): 44-50, 2020 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31855144

RESUMO

The way persons interact when ill could profoundly affect transmission of infectious agents. To obtain data on these patterns in Africa, we recorded self-reported named contacts and opportunities for casual contact in rural northern Malawi. We interviewed 384 patients and 257 caregivers about contacts over three 24-hour periods: day of the clinic visit for acute illness, the next day, and 2 weeks later when well. For participants of all ages, the number of adult contacts and the proportion using public transportation was higher on the day of the clinic visit than later when well. Compared with the day after the clinic visit, well participants (2 weeks later) named a mean of 0.4 extra contacts; the increase was larger for indoor or prolonged contacts. When well, participants were more likely to visit other houses and congregate settings. When ill, they had more visitors at home. These findings could help refine models of infection spread.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Doença Aguda/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda/psicologia , Adolescente , Fatores Etários , Cuidadores/psicologia , Cuidadores/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Entrevistas como Assunto , Malaui , Masculino , População Rural , Adulto Jovem
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