Global Trends in Melanoma Burden: A Comprehensive Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study, 1990-2021.

BACKGROUND: Melanoma, a significant global health concern, has shown evolving epidemiological trends. Accurate estimation of melanoma's burden is essential for public health strategies and interventions. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to estimate the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for melanoma, stratified by region, gender, and age group, from 1990 to 2021. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021, we analyzed melanoma incidence, mortality rates, and DALYs in 204 countries from 1990 to 2021. These metrics were age-standardized and stratified by age, sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), region, and country. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to track temporal trends. RESULTS: Our study shows a substantial global increase in melanoma incidence, with significant disparities between genders and age groups. Higher SDI regions had increased incidence rates, while global mortality declined, likely due to improved detection and treatment. LIMITATIONS: The reliance on estimates and models may introduce bias due to variability in disease definitions, diagnostic criteria, and data collection methods. CONCLUSION: This study underscores the dynamic nature of melanoma's burden and the need for targeted, age-specific, and gender-specific interventions. Continued research is essential to address the growing challenges posed by melanoma.

Cardiovascular diseases burden attributable to ambient PM2.5 pollution from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Ambient PM2.5 pollution (APMP2.5) was the leading environmental risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) worldwide. An up-to-date comprehensive study is needed to provide global epidemiological patterns. METHODS: Detailed data on CVDs burden attributable to APMP2.5 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to assess temporal trends in age-standardized rates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) over 30 years. RESULTS: Globally, CVDs attributable to APMP2.5 resulted in 2.48 million deaths and 60.91 million DALYs, with an increase of 122%, respectively from 1990 to 2019. In general, men suffered markedly higher burden than women, but the gap will likely turn narrow. As for age distribution, CVDs deaths and DALYs attributable to APMP2.5 mainly occurred in the elder group (>70 years). Low- and middle-income regions endured the higher CVDs burden due to the higher exposure to APMP2.5, and the gap may potentially expand further compared with high-income regions. For regions, the highest age-standardized rates of APMP2.5-related CVDs deaths and DALYs were observed mainly in Central Asia, while the lowest was observed in Australasia. At the national level, countries with the largest ASDR decline were clustered in western Europe, while Equatorial Guinea, Timor-Leste and Bhutan exhibited relatively rapid increases over this period. CONCLUSIONS: The global CVDs burden attributable to APMP2.5 has contributed to the heterogeneity of spatial and temporal distribution. APMP2.5-related CVDs deaths have largely shifted from higher SDI regions to those with a lower SDI. Globally, APMP2.5-attributable CVDs pose a significant threat to public health and diseases burden has increased over time, particularly in male, old-aged populations. The governments and health systems should take measures to reduce air pollution to impede this rising trend.

Global, regional, and national burden of intracerebral hemorrhage and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021: results from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study.

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) results from the rupture of blood vessels causing bleeding within the brain and is one of the major causes of death and long-term disability globally, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Despite having a lower incidence than ischemic stroke, ICH imposes a greater social and economic burden. To our knowledge, since the release of the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) report, there has been no comprehensive update on the epidemiology and trends of ICH. This study aims to analyze the impact of gender, age, and the Sociodemographic Index (SDI) on the burden of ICH at global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: Data on the incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of ICH and its related risk factors from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD 2021 project, encompassing 203 countries and regions. Furthermore, temporal trends of the global intracerebral hemorrhage burden were assessed through Joinpoint analysis. RESULTS: In 2021, there were 3.444 million new cases of ICH worldwide, with an age-standardized prevalence rate of 40.8 per 100,000 people, representing a 31.4% decrease compared to 1990. In 2021, ICH caused 3.308 million deaths, with an age-standardized mortality rate of 39.1 per 100,000 people, a reduction of 36.6% since 1990. Globally, ICH accounted for 79.457 million DALYs, with an age-standardized DALY rate of 92.4 per 100,000 people, representing a 39.1% decrease since 1990. Regionally, Central Asia, Oceania, and Southeast Asia had the highest age-standardized prevalence rates of ICH, whereas Australasia, high-income North America, and Western Europe had the lowest rates. Nationally, the Solomon Islands, Mongolia, and Kiribati had the highest age-standardized prevalence rates, whereas Switzerland, New Zealand, and Australia had the lowest. Hypertension, smoking, and environmental pollution were identified as the primary risk factors for ICH. This study also validated the significant association between SDI and the burden of ICH, with the age-standardized DALY rate of ICH decreasing significantly as SDI increased. CONCLUSION: Despite the decreasing burden of intracerebral hemorrhage, it remains a significant public health issue in countries with a lower SDI. Prevention strategies should prioritize hypertension management, air quality improvement, and smoking control to further mitigate the impact of intracerebral hemorrhage.

Global, Regional, and National Burdens of Blindness and Vision Loss in Children and Adolescents from 1990 to 2019: A Trend Analysis.

PURPOSE: To provide estimates for regional and national burdens of blindness and vision loss among children and adolescents between 1990 and 2019 by disease, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI). DESIGN: This was a retrospective demographic analysis based on aggregated data. METHODS: This was a population-based study using 1990-2019 data on the burden of vision loss and blindness from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. The burden of vision loss and blindness was evaluated in terms of case numbers, rates per 100 000 population, and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in prevalence rates and years lived with disability (YLDs). RESULTS: Globally, the rates of blindness and vision loss per 100 000 population decreased in all age groups between 1990 and 2019, with prevalence rates decreasing from 1091.4 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 895.2-1326.1) to 1036.9 (95% UI, 847.8-1265.9, AAPC, -0.2) and YLDs decreasing from 44.5 (95% UI, 28.1-66.5) to 40.2 (95% UI, 25.1-60.7, AAPC, -0.4). Most of these reductions in prevalence rates (AAPC, -0.2, 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.2 to -0.1) and YLDs (AAPC, -0.2, 95% CI, -0.3 to -0.2) were due to decreases in refractive disorder. Notably, near-vision loss prevalence (AAPC, 0.3, 95% CI, 0.2-0.4) and YLDs (AAPC, 0.3, 95% CI, 0.2-0.4) substantially increased in all age groups. Children and adolescents in low- and low-middle SDI countries exhibited substantial decreases in the prevalence rates and YLDs of blindness and vision loss, but their counterparts in high- and middle-high SDI countries experienced a substantial increase in prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: Globally, efforts in the past 3 decades have substantially decreased the burdens of blindness and vision loss among children and adolescents. However, there is extensive variation according to the kind of impairment, age group, and country SDI. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.

Global burden of gout in 1990-2019: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although gout is one of the most common rheumatic diseases, world data are lacking because most studies have focused on industrialized countries. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the global burden of gout and its associations with the year of diagnosis, age, geographical region, sociodemographic status and various further risk factors. METHODS: Retrospective data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) were used, initially collected between 1990 and 2019. Raw numbers and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 persons) of prevalence, incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) of gout were extracted from GBD 2019 for 204 countries and territories and stratified by sex, age, year, sociodemographic index and geographic region. Correlations between gout and other chronic diseases were identified, and the burden attributable to high body mass index (BMI) and kidney dysfunction was described. RESULTS: The total number of patients and gout age-standardized prevalence rate increased between 1990 and 2019. Gout was most prevalent in Australasia and high-income North America, and a higher sociodemographic index (SDI) was associated with higher age-standardized prevalence, incidence and YLDs. High BMI and kidney dysfunction were risk factors for gout, while gout was correlated with other kidney diseases. CONCLUSIONS: The global prevalence of gout, as well as incidence, and YLDs increased worldwide from 1990 to 2019 and had a significant association with sex, age, geographic region, SDI and risk factors. Understanding the complex interplay of environmental, sociodemographic and geographic risk factors is essential in mitigating the ever-rising disease burden of gout.

Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease from 1990 to 2019 Attributable to Dietary Factors.

BACKGROUND: Although dietary factors play a crucial role in the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), the specific dietary risk factors vary across regions and require further investigation. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to analyze the burden of CVD due to different dietary factors by sex, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI) for 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 and analyzed to determine population attributable fractions (PAFs), mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and trends thereof, for CVDs attributable to dietary risk factors from 1990 to 2019. We used a generalized linear model with a Gaussian distribution to calculate the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in CVD mortality and DALY rates attributable to dietary risk factors. We also used a comparative risk-assessment framework to estimate CVD mortality and DALYs attributable to dietary risk factors. RESULTS: Approximately 40% of CVD mortality and DALY rates were attributable to dietary risk factors, with high-sodium intake, low whole grain intake, and low legume intake being the greatest dietary risk factors globally. Moreover, high SDI regions had the highest PAFs for CVD mortality and DALYs associated with high red and processed meat intake, middle SDI regions had the highest PAFs with high-sodium intake, and low SDI regions had the highest PAFs with low fruit and vegetable intake. The highest PAFs for CVD mortality and DALYs were associated with low whole grain intake in 13 and 9 regions, respectively. CONCLUSION: Reducing sodium intake and increasing whole grain and legume intake should be the top priority worldwide for improving regional diets and thereby decreasing CVD burdens. Other priorities should be set for regions with different SDIs, depending on the predominant dietary risk factors for CVDs in the respective regions.

Global disease burden attributed to high sugar-sweetened beverages in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.

High sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) are a controllable risk factor for chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but their effect on the global disease burden is uncertain. The study aims to assess the global burden of high SSBs from 1990 to 2019. Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 provides data on deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life with disabilities (YLDs) and years of life lost (YLLs) ascribe to high SSBs by ages, genders, regions and countries. For the past 30 years, overall exposure to high SSBs decreased for males and increased for females. The number of deaths from chronic NCDs ascribed to high SSBs increased from 149,988 (110,278-182,947) to 242,218 (172,045-302,250), DALYs increased from 3,698,578 (2,693,476-4,559,740) to 6,307,562 (4,300,765-8,079,556), especially the males. Age-standardized YLDs rate (ASYLDs) increased from 11.58 to 17.03. The number of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) deaths and DALYs ascribed to high SSBs has been increasing. Age-standardized death rate (ASDR) for DM risen from 0.56 to 0.62, age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDALYs) risen from 21.41 to 28.21. The burden of disease ascribed to high SSBs was in the elderly significantly higher than in the young and middle-aged, mainly concentrated in Central Asia and Oceania. The disease burden was highest in regions with moderate sociodemographic index (SDI). More extraordinary efforts should be made to raise awareness among the general public about interventions aimed at limiting the use of high SSBs, to reduce disease burden ascribed to high SSBs.

Trends and patterns in stroke incidence, mortality, DALYs and case-fatality by sociodemographic index worldwide: an age-period-cohort analysis using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

OBJECTIVES: Stroke is a significant public health burden worldwide. This study aimed to explore the trends and patterns of stroke incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and case-fatality percent (CFP) worldwide from 1990 to 2019. STUDY DESIGN: Age-period-cohort analysis. METHODS: Trends in stroke burden worldwide were evaluated using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. In addition, the relationship between the burden of stroke and sociodemographic index (SDI) was examined by quantile regression. Age, period and cohort patterns in stroke burden across different SDI groups were estimated using age-period-cohort analysis. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardised rates (ASRs) of stroke incidence, mortality and DALYs declined significantly worldwide, with decreases of -16.89% (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: -18.41 to -15.29), -36.43% (95% UI: -41.65 to -31.20) and -35.23% (95% UI: -40.49 to -30.49), respectively. Regions with ASRs in the 75th percentile and below experienced significant decreases in ASRs with increasing SDI. After 2014, there was a stable or slightly increased period effect for stroke incidence in all groups, while mortality, DALYs and CFP increased only in the high SDI group. The cohort effect of stroke incidence remained constant in the high SDI group from the 1960-1964 cohort onwards. CONCLUSIONS: Although high SDI regions had a lower stroke burden and a faster overall decline in burden, the recent relative risk data suggest a potential deceleration in the progress of reducing stroke burden in these areas. There is a need for more active measures to reduce the stroke burden in areas with the highest incidence, mortality and DALYs, as increasing SDI alone cannot lower the burden in these regions.

Global and national burden and trends of mortality and disability-adjusted life years for silicosis, from 1990 to 2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Silicosis, as an important type of pneumoconiosis, leads to progressive and irreversible conditions from the beginning of inflammation and fibrosis. However, the data on the global burden of silicosis and long-term trends were limited. METHODS: Derived from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (online publicly available: Global Health Data Exchange), data on both crude and age-standardized rates (ASR) per 100,00 people of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to silicosis was collected and analyzed. The burden and trends of mortality and DALYs due to silicosis was assessed by 204 countries and territories, by 5-year interval of age group and by sex from 1990 to 2019. And all the regions were divided into 5 categories according to Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Temporal trends in mortality and DALY were evaluated only to ASR by the Joinpoint regression model. RESULTS: More than 12.9 thousand [95% Uncertainty Intervals (UI): 10.9, 16.2] death cases occurred due to silicosis worldwide, and 655.7 thousand (95% UI: 519.3, 828.0) DALYs were attributed to silicosis in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, global number of mortality and DALYs in countries with high SDI quintile decreased by 0.35% (95% UI: - 0.45, - 0.17) and 0.32% (95% UI: - 0.45, - 0.01), respectively. There was a greater burden in low- and middle-income countries were estimated in 2019 according to ASRs. The global number of mortality and DALYs among males accounted for over 95% of all in 2019. Both age-sex-specific mortality and DALY rate were increasing with aging and reached their peak at 85-89 age group. During the past 30 years, ASR of mortality and DALYs showed a decreasing trend with average annual percentage change at -3.0% [95% Confidence Intervals (CI): - 3.2, - 2.9] and - 2.0 (95% CI: - 1.7, - 2.2), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Silicosis remains an important health issue and causes a potentially serious burden worldwide. Attention should be paid to making preventable, affordable and effective measures in lower SDI regions.

Epidemiological trends of maternal hypertensive disorders of pregnancy at the global, regional, and national levels: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Relevant studies focusing on epidemiological of profiles hypertensive disorders of pregnancy from global data that report the cause-specific prevalence and trends of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy at global, regional and national levels from 1990 to 2019 by age and sociodemographic index are still limited. METHODS: For hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, point prevalence, annual incidence, and years lived with disability numbers and age standardized rates per 100,000 population were compared at regional and national levels by age and sociodemographic index using data from the global Burden of Disease 2019 Study, covering populations from 204 countries and territories. Estimates are reported with uncertainty intervals to exhibit the changing trends during a specific period. RESULTS: The incidence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy increased from 16.30 million to 18.08 million globally, with a total increase of 10.92 % from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate decreased, with an estimated annual percent change of -0.68 (95 % confidence interval [CI] -0.49 to -0.86). The number of deaths due to hypertensive disorders of pregnancy was approximately 27.83 thousand in 2019, representing a 30.05 % decrease from 1990. Based on the incidence and prevalence, the number of deaths and years lived with disability were highest in the group aged 25-29 years, followed by the groups aged 30-34 and 20-24 years, while the lowest estimated incidence rate was observed in the group aged 25-29 years and higher incidence rates were observed in the youngest and oldest groups. Positive associations between incidence rates and the sociodemographic index and human development index were found for all countries and regions in 2019. Age-standardized incidence rates were higher in countries/regions with lower sociodemographic indices and human development indices. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a comprehensive overview of the global burden of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. The death and incidence rates are decreasing in most countries and all regions except for those with low sociodemographic and human development indexes. This difference is mainly due to the increasing attention to prenatal examinations and health education. Further investigations should focus on forecasting the global disease burden of specific hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and modifiable risk factors.

Epidemiological Transition in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS): Evidence from the Global Burden of Disease 1990-2017.

INTRODUCTION: This study sought to explore the pattern of epidemiological transition in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). METHODS: We extracted data from the global burden of disease study. Countries were grouped using the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). The DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was used as the main method of estimating variations in epidemiologic data sources and other parameters. Examples of these included model predictions, as well as 95% corresponding uncertainty intervals for all death, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived with Disability, and DisabilityAdjusted Life Years (DALYs). RESULTS: The DALYs from Group 1 diseases were higher in all the countries in the region compared to those from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and injuries, as well as total NCDs in 1990 and this was the same in the subregion in 2017, except in Cape Verde (with the highest SDI), where there were higher DALYs from NCDs/ injuries and the total NCDs than the Group 1 diseases. In 1990, deaths from Group 1 diseases were higher in all the countries in the region than those from the total NCDs except in Cape Verde, while in 2017, deaths from Group 1 diseases were higher than those from Total NCDs except in Cape Verde, the Gambia, Ghana, and Senegal. CONCLUSION: The overall pattern is that of concurrent communicable disease and increasing NCD burden with increasing SDI. Detailed understanding of these patterns and contextual factors are needed to help inform national and regional policies to address the epidemiological transition in the ECOWAS.

INTRODUCTION: Cette étude a cherché à explorer le modèle de transition épidémiologique dans la Communauté économique des États de l'Afrique de l'Ouest (CEDEAO). MÉTHODES: Nous avons extrait les données de l'étude sur la charge mondiale de morbidité. Les pays ont été regroupés à l'aide de l'indice sociodémographique (IDS). Le DisMod-MR 2.1, un outil de métarégression bayésienne, a été utilisé comme principale méthode d'estimation des variations des sources de données épidémiologiques et d'autres paramètres. Des exemples de ceux-ci comprenaient les prédictions du modèle, ainsi que les intervalles d'incertitude correspondants à 95 % pour tous les décès, les années de vie perdues, les années vécues avec une incapacité et les années de vie corrigées de l'incapacité (DALY). RÉSULTATS: Les DALY des maladies du groupe 1 étaient plus élevées dans tous les pays de la région par rapport à celles des maladies non transmissibles (MNT) et des traumatismes, ainsi que le total des MNT en 1990 et il en était de même dans la sous-région en 2017, sauf au Cap. Verde (avec le SDI le plus élevé), où il y avait des DALY des MNT/blessures plus élevées et le total des MNT que les maladies du groupe 1. En 1990, les décès dus aux maladies du groupe 1 étaient plus élevés dans tous les pays de la région que ceux du total des MNT sauf au Cap-Vert, tandis qu'en 2017, les décès dus aux maladies du groupe 1 étaient plus élevés que ceux du total des MNT sauf au CapVert, le Gambie, Ghana et Sénégal. CONCLUSION: Le schéma général est celui d'une maladie transmissible concomitante et d'un fardeau croissant des MNT avec l'augmentation du SDI. Une compréhension détaillée de ces modèles et facteurs contextuels est nécessaire pour aider à éclairer les politiques nationales et régionales pour faire face à la transition épidémiologique dans la CEDEAO. Mots clés: Transition épidémiologique, Afrique de l'Ouest, Maladie non transmissible, Maladie transmissible, Index sociodémographique.

Associations of socioeconomic factors with cause-specific Mortality and burden of cardiovascular diseases: findings from the vital registration in urban Shanghai, China, during 1974-2015.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. The effect of socioeconomic factors on cause-specific mortality and burden of CVD is rarely evaluated in low- and middle-income countries, especially in a rapidly changing society. METHODS: Original data were derived from the vital registration system in Yangpu, a representative, population-stable district of urban Shanghai, China, during 1974-2015. Temporal trends for the mortality rates and burden of CVD during 1974-2015 were evaluated using Joinpoint Regression Software. The burden was evaluated using age-standardized person years of life loss per 100,000 persons (SPYLLs). Age-sex-specific CVD mortality rates were predicted by using age-period-cohort Poisson regression model. RESULTS: A total of 101,822 CVD death occurred during 1974-2015, accounting for 36.95% of total death. Hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic heart disease, and ischemic stroke were the 3 leading causes of CVD death. The age-standardized CVD mortality decreased from 144.5/100,000 to 100.7/100,000 in the residents (average annual percentage change [AAPC] -1.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] -1.7 to - 0.2), which was mainly contributed by women (AAPC -1.3, 95% CI - 2.0 to - 0.7), not by men. Hemorrhagic stroke, the major CVD death in the mid-aged population, decreased dramatically after 1991. The crude mortality of ischemic heart disease kept increasing but its age-adjusted mortality decreased continually after 1997. SPYLLs of CVD death increased from 1974 to 1986 (AAPC 2.1, 95% CI 0.4 to 3.8) and decreased after 1986 (AAPC 1.8, 95% CI - 2.3 to - 1.3). These changes were in concert with the implementation of policies including extended medical insurance coverage, pollution control, active prophylaxis of CVD including lifestyle promotion, and national health programs. The mortality of CVD increased in those born during 1937-1945, a period of the Japanese military occupation, and during 1958-1965, a period including the Chinese Famine. Sequelae of CVD and ischemic heart disease are predicted to be the leading causes of CVD death in 2029. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to serious malnutrition in early life might increase CVD mortality in later life. Improvements in medical services, pollution control, and lifestyle could decrease CVD death. New strategy is needed to prevent the aging-related CVD death and burden in the future.

Secular trends in the prevalence of schizophrenia among different age, period and cohort groups between 1990 and 2019.

BACKGROUND: Schizophrenia remains a major public health challenge, and designing efforts to manage it requires understanding its prevalence over time at different geographic scales and population groups. METHODS: Drawing on data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019, annual percentage change of schizophrenia was assessed across different age, period and cohort groups at different geographic scales from 1990 to 2019. We examined associations of prevalence with the sociodemographic index. RESULTS: Global prevalence of schizophrenia in 2019 was 23.60 million (95 % uncertainty interval: 20.23-27.15), with China, India, the USA and Indonesia accounting for 50.72 % of it. Global prevalence increased slightly from 1990 to 2019, with an annual percentage change of 0.03 % (95 % confidence interval 0.01-0.05). Regions with intermediate sociodemographic index accounted for greater proportion of prevalence increasing than regions with high index. Prevalence decreased among those born after 1979 in regions with intermediate sociodemographic index, whereas it consistently improved among all birth cohorts in regions with low index. Regardless of sociodemographic index, prevalence was highest among individuals 30-59 years old than younger or older groups. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of schizophrenia has shown small increases globally over the last three decades. The burden of disease is heavier in relatively less affluent regions, and it disproportionately affects individuals 30-59 years in all regions. Meanwhile, for regions with lower sociodemographic indices, the recent increasing burden among birth cohorts is more pronounced. These findings may help guide futural design of measures to manage or prevent schizophrenia in communities at higher risk.

Global, regional, and national burden of HIV-negative tuberculosis, 1990-2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) is a major infectious disease with significant public health implications. Its widespread transmission, prolonged treatment duration, notable side effects, and high mortality rate pose severe challenges. This study examines the epidemiological characteristics of TB globally and across major regions, providing a scientific basis for enhancing TB prevention and control measures worldwide. METHODS: The ecological study used data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. It assessed new incidence cases, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and trends in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), mortality rates (ASMRs), and DALY rates for drug-susceptible tuberculosis (DS-TB), multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) from 1990 to 2021. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model was applied to project ASIR and ASMR. RESULTS: In 2021, the global ASIR for all HIV-negative TB was 103.00 per 100,000 population [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 92.21, 114.91 per 100,000 population], declining by 0.40% (95% UI: - 0.43, - 0.38%) compared to 1990. The global ASMR was 13.96 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 12.61, 15.72 per 100,000 population), with a decline of 0.44% (95% UI: - 0.61, - 0.23%) since 1990. The global age-standardized DALY rate for HIV-negative TB was 580.26 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 522.37, 649.82 per 100,000 population), showing a decrease of 0.65% (95% UI: - 0.69, - 0.57 per 100,000 population) from 1990. The global ASIR of MDR-TB has not decreased since 2015, instead, it has shown a slow upward trend in recent years. The ASIR of XDR-TB has exhibited significant increase in the past 30 years. The projections indicate MDR-TB and XDR-TB are expected to see significant increases in both ASIR and ASMR from 2022 to 2035, highlighting the growing challenge of drug-resistant TB. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that the ASIR of MDR-TB and XDR-TB has shown an upward trend in recent years. To reduce the TB burden, it is essential to enhance health infrastructure and increase funding in low-SDI regions. Developing highly efficient, accurate, and convenient diagnostic reagents, along with more effective therapeutic drugs, and improving public health education and community engagement, are crucial for curbing TB transmission.

Analysis of global prevalence, DALY and trends of inflammatory bowel disease and their correlations with sociodemographic index: Data from 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a kind of chronic inflammatory disorders of the gastrointestinal tract with diverse prevalence rates and patterns globally. Accurate comprehension of the disease's epidemiological characteristics is imperative for disease control and prevention all over the world. OBJECTIVE: To provide the most updated estimates on the global burden of IBD using the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study data, to systematically analyze the IBD epidemiological characteristics at the global, regional, and national levels including the prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates, and to analyze the correlations of the socioeconomic development level with IBD epidemiological characteristics. METHODS: We conducted an overall analysis of the global, regional, and national burden of IBD from 1990 to 2019, data from the 2019 GBD study. The GBD's classification of the world into 21 regions and 204 countries and territories facilitated a thorough examination. Age-standardized estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were computed to assess the temporal trends in IBD age-standardized rates (ASRs), with age standardization employed to mitigate potential confounding effects from age structure. The sociodemographic Index (SDI) was used to correlate the socioeconomic development level with the epidemiological characteristics of IBD. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates of IBD remained high. There was a slight downward trend in the global age-standardized incidence and DALY rates of IBD and men exhibited higher DALY rates than women. In 2019, high-income North America recorded the highest age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates, while Oceania had the lowest age-standardized prevalence and incidence rates. South Asia had the lowest age-standardized DALY rates. The age-standardized mortality and DALY rates decreased as SDI values increased and remained higher than the expected levels over the past three decades. A negative correlation was observed between age-standardized DALY rates and SDI at the national level. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis of the GBD 2019 database demonstrates that the overall global burden of IBD is still high. Meanwhile, an increasing disease burden is observed in the middle and low SDI locations.

Global impact of particulate matter on ischemic stroke.

Objective: This study assesses the worldwide impact of ischemic stroke caused by ambient particulate matter pollution between 1990 and 2019, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019. Methods: An analysis was conducted across various subgroups, including region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) level, country, age, and gender. The study primarily examined metrics such as death cases, death rate, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), DALY rate, and age-standardized indicators. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was calculated to assess trends over time. Results: The study found a moderate increase in the global burden of ischemic stroke attributed to ambient particulate matter, with the age-standardized DALY rate showing an EAPC of 0.41. Subgroup analyses indicated the most substantial increases in Western Sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC 2.64), East Asia (EAPC 2.77), and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC 3.80). Low and middle SDI countries displayed the most notable upward trends, with EAPC values of 3.36 and 3.58 for age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and DALY rate, respectively. Specifically, countries like Equatorial Guinea, Timor-Leste, and Yemen experienced the largest increases in ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate. Furthermore, both death and DALY rates from ischemic stroke due to particulate matter showed significant increases with age across all regions. Conclusion: The study highlights the increasing worldwide health consequences of ischemic stroke linked to particulate matter pollution, particularly in Asia and Africa. This emphasizes the critical necessity for tailored public health interventions in these regions.

Global burden of stroke attributable to secondhand smoke in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019: analysis of the global burden of disease study.

Background: Secondhand smoke (SHS) continues a significant public health concern globally. This study aimed to assess the global burden of stroke attributable to SHS exposure during 1990-2019. Methods: This analysis utilized data on stroke morbidity and mortality from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study covering 204 countries and territories. We estimated stroke burden indicators attributable to SHS exposure, including age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year rate (ASDR), stratified by age, sex, region, and stroke subtype. Results: In 2019, global SHS exposure accounted for 2.01 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 1.49-2.58] million stroke mortality. The ASMR and ASDR were 2.5 (95% UI: 1.9-3.2) and 61.5 (95% UI: 46-78.8) per 100,000 population, respectively. The disease burden was higher among women than men and higher among the elderly than younger populations. Intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke had a more significant burden than subarachnoid hemorrhage. From 1990 to 2019, the ASMR and ASDR declined [estimated annual percentage change: -2.08 (95% CI: -2.21% to -1.95%) and -2.08% (95% CI: -2.19% to -1.97%) for each], but the absolute number of mortalities increased along with population growth. Substantial disparities existed across regions and sociodemographic groups. Conclusion: Despite declining ASMR and ASDR over time, the absolute number of stroke deaths attributable to SHS continued to rise globally, imposing a considerable stroke burden worldwide. These findings can inform targeted interventions and policies aimed at SHS control.

Global, regional, and national burden of bullying related mental disorders of adolescent from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Few studies have assessed the burden of mental disorders in adolescents related to bullying victimization at the global, regional, and national levels. We analyzed adolescent mental disorder disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to bullying in 204 countries, following the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 framework. The DALYs rate of adolescent for bullying-related mental disorders global increased from 110.45 (95 % uncertainty intervals (UI): 40.76, 218.62) per 100,000 in 1990 to 138.92 (95 % UI: 54.37, 268.19) per 100,000 in 2019. The largest increase in DALYs rates were obvious in low-SDI and high-SDI regions. In 2019, the DALYs rate of adolescents with bullying-related anxiety disorders was 1.4 times higher than those depressive disorders; the DALYs rate of adolescents with bullying-related mental disorder in females was 1.3 times higher than that of male, and older adolescent (15-19 years old) was 1.4 times higher than younger adolescent (10-14 years old). High-income North America had the fastest increase in DALYs rates of mental disorders related to bullying. In general, a positive correlation was observed between bullying DALY rate of adolescent and SDIs at the regional and national levels. Our study highlights significant disparities in adolescent mental health burden from bullying. Governments must implement adaptive policies to address diverse needs effectively.

Global, Regional, and National Burdens of Hearing Loss for Children and Adolescents from 1990 to 2019: A Trend Analysis.

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of global, regional, and national trends in the burden of hearing loss (HL) among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019, using data from the Global Burden of Disease study. Over this period, there was a general decline in HL prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) globally, with average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of -0.03% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], -0.04% to -0.01%; p = 0.001) and -0.23% (95% UI, -0.25% to -0.20%; p < 0.001). Males exhibited higher rates of HL prevalence and YLDs than females. Mild and moderate HL were the most common categories across all age groups, but the highest proportion of YLDs was associated with profound HL [22.23% (95% UI, 8.63%-57.53%)]. Among females aged 15-19 years, the prevalence and YLD rates for moderate HL rose, with AAPCs of 0.14% (95% UI, 0.06%-0.22%; p = 0.001) and 0.13% (95% UI, 0.08%-0.18%; p < 0.001). This increase is primarily attributed to age-related and other HL (such as environmental, lifestyle factors, and occupational noise exposure) and otitis media, highlighting the need for targeted research and interventions for this demographic. Southeast Asia and Western Sub-Saharan Africa bore the heaviest HL burden, while High-income North America showed lower HL prevalence and YLD rates but a slight increasing trend in recent years, with AAPCs of 0.13% (95% UI, 0.1%-0.16%; p < 0.001) and 0.08% (95% UI, 0.04% to 0.12%; p < 0.001). Additionally, the analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between sociodemographic index (SDI) and both HL prevalence (r = -0.74; p < 0.001) and YLD (r = -0.76; p < 0.001) rates. However, the changes in HL trends were not significantly correlated with SDI, suggesting that factors beyond economic development, such as policies and cultural practices, also affect HL. Despite the overall optimistic trend, this study emphasizes the continued need to focus on specific high-risk groups and regions to further reduce the HL burden and enhance the quality of life for affected children and adolescents.

Global trends in burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity across 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019.

Background: To promote a comprehensive understanding of global trends and burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to physical inactivity. Methods: We utilized data regarding mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), as well as age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and DALYs rates (ASDR) derived from the global burden of disease study 2019 to evaluate the impact of physical inactivity on the prevalence of type 2 diabetes in 204 countries and territories over the period from 1990 to 2019. This method facilitated the analysis of the diabetes burden across different ages, genders, and regions. To determine the long-term progression of type 2 diabetes prevalence, we computed the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in burden rates. Results: Globally, the number of deaths and DALYs from type 2 diabetes due to physical inactivity more than doubled between 1990 and 2019. Concurrently, there was an increase in the ASMR and ASDR, with EAPC of 0.26 (95% CI: 0.13-0.39) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.89), respectively. As of 2019, the global ASMR and ASDR for physical inactivity stood at 1.6 (95% UI: 0.8-2.7) per 100 000 and 55.9 (95% UI: 27.2-97.6) per 100 000, respectively. Notable disparities were observed in the type 2 diabetes burden associated with physical inactivity worldwide, with higher sociodemographic index (SDI) countries experiencing lower ASDR and ASMR compared to lower SDI countries. Initially, females exhibited higher ASMR and ASDR than males, but this gender disparity in ASMR and ASDR has lessened in recent years. The mortality and DALYs rates associated with physical inactivity exhibit an inverted V-shaped pattern across various age groups, predominantly affecting the elderly population. Conclusion: Between 1990 and 2019, there was a marked rise in the worldwide burden of type 2 diabetes associated with physical inactivity, underscoring the role of physical inactivity as a key changeable risk factor in the global landscape of this disease. This necessitates additional research to explore the variables contributing to the varying levels of disease burden across different countries and between sexes. Furthermore, it calls for the formulation of public health policies aimed at guiding prevention tactics, promoting early detection, and enhancing the management of type 2 diabetes.