Transdermal oestradiol for androgen suppression in prostate cancer: long-term cardiovascular outcomes from the randomised Prostate Adenocarcinoma Transcutaneous Hormone (PATCH) trial programme.

BACKGROUND: Androgen suppression is a central component of prostate cancer management but causes substantial long-term toxicity. Transdermal administration of oestradiol (tE2) circumvents first-pass hepatic metabolism and, therefore, should avoid the cardiovascular toxicity seen with oral oestrogen and the oestrogen-depletion effects seen with luteinising hormone releasing hormone agonists (LHRHa). We present long-term cardiovascular follow-up data from the Prostate Adenocarcinoma Transcutaneous Hormone (PATCH) trial programme. METHODS: PATCH is a seamless phase 2/3, randomised, multicentre trial programme at 52 study sites in the UK. Men with locally advanced or metastatic prostate cancer were randomly allocated (1:2 from August, 2007 then 1:1 from February, 2011) to either LHRHa according to local practice or tE2 patches (four 100 µg patches per 24 h, changed twice weekly, reducing to three patches twice weekly if castrate at 4 weeks [defined as testosterone ≤1·7 nmol/L]). Randomisation was done using a computer-based minimisation algorithm and was stratified by several factors, including disease stage, age, smoking status, and family history of cardiac disease. The primary outcome of this analysis was cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Cardiovascular events, including heart failure, acute coronary syndrome, thromboembolic stroke, and other thromboembolic events, were confirmed using predefined criteria and source data. Sudden or unexpected deaths were attributed to a cardiovascular category if a confirmatory post-mortem report was available and as other relevant events if no post-mortem report was available. PATCH is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN70406718; the study is ongoing and adaptive. FINDINGS: Between Aug 14, 2007, and July 30, 2019, 1694 men were randomly allocated either LHRHa (n=790) or tE2 patches (n=904). Overall, median follow-up was 3·9 (IQR 2·4-7·0) years. Respective castration rates at 1 month and 3 months were 65% and 93% among patients assigned LHRHa and 83% and 93% among those allocated tE2. 157 events from 145 men met predefined cardiovascular criteria, with a further ten sudden deaths with no post-mortem report (total 167 events in 153 men). 26 (2%) of 1694 patients had fatal cardiovascular events, 15 (2%) of 790 assigned LHRHa and 11 (1%) of 904 allocated tE2. The time to first cardiovascular event did not differ between treatments (hazard ratio 1·11, 95% CI 0·80-1·53; p=0·54 [including sudden deaths without post-mortem report]; 1·20, 0·86-1·68; p=0·29 [confirmed group only]). 30 (34%) of 89 cardiovascular events in patients assigned tE2 occurred more than 3 months after tE2 was stopped or changed to LHRHa. The most frequent adverse events were gynaecomastia (all grades), with 279 (38%) events in 730 patients who received LHRHa versus 690 (86%) in 807 patients who received tE2 (p<0·0001) and hot flushes (all grades) in 628 (86%) of those who received LHRHa versus 280 (35%) who received tE2 (p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Long-term data comparing tE2 patches with LHRHa show no evidence of a difference between treatments in cardiovascular mortality or morbidity. Oestrogens administered transdermally should be reconsidered for androgen suppression in the management of prostate cancer. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK, and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit at University College London.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source and Patent Foramen Ovale: Risk of Paradoxical Embolism Score Validation and Atrial Fibrillation Prediction.

Background and Purpose: The Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) score stratifies patients with stroke according to the probability of having a patent foramen ovale (PFO), which (through Bayes theorem and simple assumptions) can be used to estimate the probability that a PFO is pathogenic in a given subgroup of patients with specific features (ie, a given RoPE score value): a higher PFO prevalence corresponds to a higher probability that a PFO is pathogenic. Among alternative mechanisms in embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), the actual stroke cause may be covert atrial fibrillation. We aimed to validate the RoPE score in a large ESUS population and investigate the rate of stroke recurrence and new incident atrial fibrillation during follow-up according to PFO status and RoPE score. Methods: We pooled data of consecutive patients with ESUS from 3 prospective stroke registries. We assessed RoPE score's calibration and discrimination for the presence of PFO (and consequently for the probability that it is pathogenic). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with PFO. Results: Among 455 patients with ESUS (median age 59 years), 184 (40%) had PFO. The RoPE score's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.75. In addition to RoPE score variables, absence of left ventricular hypertrophy, absence of atherosclerosis, and infratentorial lesions were independently associated with PFO. In patients with PFO and RoPE 7 to 10, PFO and RoPE 0 to 6, and without PFO, new incident atrial fibrillation rate was 3.1%, 20.5%, and 31.8%, respectively (log-rank test=6.28, P=0.04). Stroke recurrences in patients with likely pathogenic PFO were not statistically different from other patients. Conclusions: This multicenter study validates the RoPE score to predict the presence/absence of PFO in patients with ESUS, which strongly suggests that RoPE score is helpful in identifying patients with ESUS with pathogenic versus incidental PFOs. Left ventricular hypertrophy, atherosclerosis, and infratentorial stroke may further improve the score. Low RoPE scores were associated with more incidental atrial fibrillation during 10-year follow-up.

Dabigatran or Aspirin in East Asian Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: RE-SPECT ESUS Subgroup Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We assessed the outcomes of dabigatran versus aspirin in a prespecified subgroup analysis of East Asian patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source in the RE-SPECT ESUS trial (Randomized, Double-Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source). METHODS: Patients with a recent embolic stroke of undetermined source were randomized to dabigatran (150 or 110 mg BID) or aspirin (100 mg QD). The primary efficacy outcome was recurrent stroke; the primary safety outcome was major bleeding. The East Asia cohort was compared with patients from all other countries (non-East Asia cohort). RESULTS: Overall, 988 of 5390 patients (18%) were randomized in East Asia. During a median follow-up of 18.8 months, there was no statistically significant difference in recurrent stroke (hazard ratio, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.41-1.03]) or major bleeding (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.57-1.91]) in East Asian patients receiving dabigatran versus aspirin. Death from any cause occurred more often in the dabigatran versus the aspirin group (hazard ratio, 3.98 [95% CI, 1.32-12.01]). CONCLUSIONS: The treatment effect of dabigatran versus aspirin was consistent between cohorts, with no apparent superiority for dabigatran over aspirin in preventing recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

ASPECTS-Region-Dependent Functional Outcomes after Endovascular Therapy in Patients with Cardioembolic Stroke.

OBJECTIVES: Cardioembolic stroke has a poor prognosis. We evaluated the region-dependent efficacy of endovascular therapy (EVT) based on diffusion-weighted imaging-Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (DWI-ASPECTS). METHODS: This post-hoc analysis of the RELAXED study, which investigated the optimal timing of rivaroxaban to prevent nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) recurrence in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), included NVAF patients admitted with AIS or transient ischemic attack in the middle cerebral artery (MCA), with internal carotid artery (ICA), M1, or M2-MCA occlusion. Relationships between DWI-ASPECTS region and functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS]), mortality, recurrence, and hemorrhagic stroke were compared between patients with and without EVT, and adjusted odds ratios for age, pre-stroke mRS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), ICA occlusion, infarct size, recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) use, and onset-to-hospitalization time were estimated. RESULTS: EVT patients had significantly lower hemoglobin levels, higher median NIHSS scores, more lentiform nucleus infarcts, ICA or M1-MCA occlusions, treatment with rt-PA, and fewer M3, M5, or M6 infarcts and M2-MCA occlusions than no-EVT patients. EVT patients had shorter onset-to-hospitalization times and more frequent favorable functional outcomes (p=0.007). Mortality, recurrent ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic infarction were similar in both groups. EVT was associated with significantly better functional outcomes among patients with insular ribbon (p=0.043) and M3 (p=0.0008) infarcts. M3 patients had significantly fewer rt-PA and EVT, and longer onset-to-hospitalization times. CONCLUSIONS: An occlusion in the insular ribbon or M3 region was associated with favorable functional outcomes in patients treated with EVT after cardioembolic stroke.

Sex Differences in Management and Outcomes of Cardioembolic Stroke: Post HOC Analyses of the RELAXED Study.

INTRODUCTION: Experimental models have clearly demonstrated sex differences in the pathophysiology of stroke and prognosis, however clinical evidence remains elusive. In this study, we examined sex differences as a post hoc analysis of RELAXED (Recurrent Embolism Lessened by rivaroxaban, an anti-X agent, of Early Dosing for acute IS and TIA with atrial fibrillation) Study. METHODS: We stratified study participants by sex and compared baseline and clinical characteristics as well as clinical outcomes. The primary outcome measure was a good outcome defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 0-2 at 90 days after stroke. Secondary outcomes were mortality at 90 days, intracranial hemorrhage within 90 days, and recurrence of stroke or transient ischemic attack within 90 days. We constructed a logistic regression model to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of female patients compared with male patients for the primary and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Of 1303 patients, most were male (57.7%) with a mean age of 74.5 years. Female patients were older with a mean age of 80.6 ± 8.9 years and had significantly less frequent anticoagulation therapy before onset of stroke and more severe NIHSS scores. Good outcome was observed in 51.2% and 63.3% of the females and males (p < 0.0001). The adjusted odds ratio of a good outcome in females was 1.12 (95% confidence interval, 0.44-2.87) (p = 0.81). There were no sex differences in secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: Adjusted regression analysis found no sex difference in the treatment outcomes at 90 days after stroke with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

Trends, Predictors and Outcomes of Ischemic Stroke Among Patients Hospitalized with Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy.

OBJECTIVES: This study assessed the temporal trends in the incidence of ischemic stroke among patients hospitalized with takotsubo cardiomyopathy (TCM) stratified by the subtypes of ischemic stroke (cardioembolic versus thrombotic). Predictors of each stroke subtype, the association with atrial fibrillation (AF), the occurrence of ventricular fibrillation/ventricular tachycardia (VF/VT), cardiogenic shock (CS), in-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), and total healthcare cost were also assessed. BACKGROUND: Ischemic stroke in TCM is thought to be primarily cardioembolic from left ventricular mural thromboembolism. Limited data are available on the incidence of thrombotic ischemic stroke in TCM. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 27,970 patients hospitalized with the primary diagnosis of TCM from the 2008 to 2017 National Inpatient Sample, of which 751 (3%) developed ischemic stroke. Of those with ischemic stroke, 571 (76%) had thrombotic stroke while 180 (24%) had cardioembolic stroke. Cochrane armitage test was used to assess the incidence of thrombotic and cardioembolic strokes and multivariate regression was used to identify risk factors associated with each stroke subtype. We compared the incidence of AF, VF/VT, CS, LOS, in-hospital mortality and total cost between hospitalized patients with TCM alone to those with cardioembolic and thrombotic strokes. RESULTS: From 2008 - 2017, the incidence of thrombotic stroke (4.7%-9.5% (p< 0.0001) increased while it was unchanged for cardioembolic stroke (0.5%-0.7% P=0.5). In the multivariate regression, peripheral artery disease, prior history of stroke, and hyperlipidemia were significantly associated with thrombotic stroke, while CS, AF, and Asian race (compared to White race) were associated with cardioembolic stroke. Both cardioembolic and thrombotic strokes were associated with higher odds of IHM, AF, CS, longer LOS and increased cost. Trends in in-hospital mortality and the utilization of thrombolysis, cerebral angiography, and mechanical thrombectomy among patients with TCM and ischemic stroke were unchanged from 2008 to 2017. CONCLUSION: Among patients with TCM and ischemic stroke, thrombotic stroke was more common compared to cardioembolic stroke. Ischemic stroke was associated with poorer outcomes, including higher in-hospital mortality and increased healthcare resource utilization in TCM.

The Effect of Statin Treatment on Outcomes of Cardioembolic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Real-World Studies.

BACKGROUND: Several real-world observational studies have investigated the association between statin treatment and outcomes of cardioembolic stroke. However, substantial uncertainties remain about this association. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the effect of statin treatment on the outcomes of cardioembolic stroke. METHODS: We systematically searched the PubMed and Embase databases for relevant clinical studies. Pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with a random-effects model were used to assess the outcomes of interest. RESULTS: A total of 18 observational studies published between 2009 and 2020 were included. No randomized clinical trial was found. Compared with non-statin treatment, statin treatment was not associated with a decreased risk of stroke recurrence in patients with cardioembolic stroke [PWCS] (RR, 0.93; 95% CI 0.82-1.06). However, compared with non-statin treatment, statin treatment was associated with a lower risk of all-cause death (RR, 0.59; 95% CI 0.49-0.73) and better functional outcomes (RR, 0.67; 95% CI 0.47-0.97) in PWCS. There was no significant association between statin treatment and major bleeding event risk in PWCS (RR, 0.35; 95% CI 0.06-2.16). Compared with non-statin treatment, statin treatment was not associated with a decreased risk of coronary atherosclerotic disease in PWCS (RR, 1.04; 95% CI 0.96-1.11). CONCLUSIONS: Although the use of statins does not enhance the prevention of stroke recurrence in PWCS, statin treatment is associated with improved clinical outcomes in PWCS. Statins play a beneficial role in the treatment of cardioembolic stroke.

Effect of Alteplase Use on Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Analysis of the Initiation of Anticoagulation After Cardioembolic Stroke Study.

Background Intravenous alteplase improves outcome after acute ischemic stroke without a benefit in 90-day mortality. There are limited data on whether alteplase is associated with reduced mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF)-related ischemic stroke whose mortality rate is relatively high. We sought to determine the association of alteplase with hemorrhagic transformation and mortality in patients with AF. Methods and Results We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke between 2015 and 2018 diagnosed with AF included in the IAC (Initiation of Anticoagulation After Cardioembolic Stroke) study, which pooled data from stroke registries at 8 comprehensive stroke centers across the United States. For our primary analysis, we included patients who did not undergo mechanical thrombectomy (MT), and secondary analyses included patients who underwent MT. We used binary logistic regression to determine whether alteplase use was associated with risk of hemorrhagic transformation and 90-day mortality. There were 1889 patients (90.6%) who had 90-day follow-up data available for analyses and were included; 1367 patients (72.4%) did not receive MT, and 522 patients (27.6%) received MT. In our primary analyses we found that alteplase use was independently associated with an increased risk for hemorrhagic transformation (odds ratio [OR], 2.23; 95% CI, 1.57-3.17) but reduced risk of 90-day mortality (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39-0.87). Among patients undergoing MT, alteplase use was not associated with a significant reduction in 90-day mortality (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.45-1.04). Conclusions Alteplase reduced 90-day mortality of patients with acute ischemic stroke with AF not undergoing MT. Further study is required to assess the efficacy of alteplase in patients with AF undergoing MT.

Inflammatory and stress markers predicting pneumonia, outcome, and etiology in patients with stroke: Biomarkers for predicting pneumonia, functional outcome, and death after stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Prognosis of stroke is negatively affected by complications, in particular stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP). We hypothesized that inflammatory and stress biomarkers predict SAP during hospitalization and outcome 3 months after stroke. METHODS: We pooled the clinical data of 2 acute stroke studies with identical assessment: the STRoke Adverse outcome is associated WIth NoSoKomial Infections (STRAWINSKI) and PREDICT studies. Measurement of biomarkers (ultrasensitive procalcitonin [PCTus]; midregional pro-adrenomedullin; midregional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide [MRproANP]; ultrasensitive copeptin [CPus]; C-terminal pro-endothelin) was performed from serum samples drawn on the first 4 days of hospital admission. RESULTS: The combined cohort consists of 573 cases with available backup samples to perform the analysis. SAP was associated with increased admission and maximum levels of all biomarkers. Furthermore, all biomarkers were associated with death and correlated with functional outcome 3 months after stroke. The multivariate logistic regression model retained ultrasensitive CPus and PCTus beyond clinical risk factors for predicting SAP, improving the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) from 0.837 to 0.876. In contrast, the biomarkers did not improve the prediction of death and functional outcome in the multivariate model. Cardioembolic strokes were significantly associated with higher values of all biomarkers, whereas discrimination was best for MRproANP (AUC = 0.811 for maximum value). CONCLUSIONS: The tested biomarkers are associated with SAP and poor functional outcome. However, these biomarkers only slightly improve prediction of SAP and do not improve long-term outcome prediction over clinical parameters. MRproANP showed the best discrimination for identifying cardioembolic stroke, warranting further studies to confirm our finding. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov NCT01264549 and NCT01079728.