Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

BACKGROUND: Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to implement strategies that can mitigate diseases. It can also facilitate more rigorous monitoring of progress towards national and international health targets, such as the Sustainable Development Goals. For three decades, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) has filled that need. A global network of collaborators contributed to the production of GBD 2021 by providing, reviewing, and analysing all available data. GBD estimates are updated routinely with additional data and refined analytical methods. GBD 2021 presents, for the first time, estimates of health loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: The GBD 2021 disease and injury burden analysis estimated years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries using 100 983 data sources. Data were extracted from vital registration systems, verbal autopsies, censuses, household surveys, disease-specific registries, health service contact data, and other sources. YLDs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific prevalence of sequelae by their respective disability weights, for each disease and injury. YLLs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific deaths by the standard life expectancy at the age that death occurred. DALYs were calculated by summing YLDs and YLLs. HALE estimates were produced using YLDs per capita and age-specific mortality rates by location, age, sex, year, and cause. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for all final estimates as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles values of 500 draws. Uncertainty was propagated at each step of the estimation process. Counts and age-standardised rates were calculated globally, for seven super-regions, 21 regions, 204 countries and territories (including 21 countries with subnational locations), and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. Here we report data for 2010 to 2021 to highlight trends in disease burden over the past decade and through the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. FINDINGS: Global DALYs increased from 2·63 billion (95% UI 2·44-2·85) in 2010 to 2·88 billion (2·64-3·15) in 2021 for all causes combined. Much of this increase in the number of DALYs was due to population growth and ageing, as indicated by a decrease in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates of 14·2% (95% UI 10·7-17·3) between 2010 and 2019. Notably, however, this decrease in rates reversed during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, with increases in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates since 2019 of 4·1% (1·8-6·3) in 2020 and 7·2% (4·7-10·0) in 2021. In 2021, COVID-19 was the leading cause of DALYs globally (212·0 million [198·0-234·5] DALYs), followed by ischaemic heart disease (188·3 million [176·7-198·3]), neonatal disorders (186·3 million [162·3-214·9]), and stroke (160·4 million [148·0-171·7]). However, notable health gains were seen among other leading communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases. Globally between 2010 and 2021, the age-standardised DALY rates for HIV/AIDS decreased by 47·8% (43·3-51·7) and for diarrhoeal diseases decreased by 47·0% (39·9-52·9). Non-communicable diseases contributed 1·73 billion (95% UI 1·54-1·94) DALYs in 2021, with a decrease in age-standardised DALY rates since 2010 of 6·4% (95% UI 3·5-9·5). Between 2010 and 2021, among the 25 leading Level 3 causes, age-standardised DALY rates increased most substantially for anxiety disorders (16·7% [14·0-19·8]), depressive disorders (16·4% [11·9-21·3]), and diabetes (14·0% [10·0-17·4]). Age-standardised DALY rates due to injuries decreased globally by 24·0% (20·7-27·2) between 2010 and 2021, although improvements were not uniform across locations, ages, and sexes. Globally, HALE at birth improved slightly, from 61·3 years (58·6-63·6) in 2010 to 62·2 years (59·4-64·7) in 2021. However, despite this overall increase, HALE decreased by 2·2% (1·6-2·9) between 2019 and 2021. INTERPRETATION: Putting the COVID-19 pandemic in the context of a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of causes of health loss is crucial to understanding its impact and ensuring that health funding and policy address needs at both local and global levels through cost-effective and evidence-based interventions. A global epidemiological transition remains underway. Our findings suggest that prioritising non-communicable disease prevention and treatment policies, as well as strengthening health systems, continues to be crucially important. The progress on reducing the burden of CMNN diseases must not stall; although global trends are improving, the burden of CMNN diseases remains unacceptably high. Evidence-based interventions will help save the lives of young children and mothers and improve the overall health and economic conditions of societies across the world. Governments and multilateral organisations should prioritise pandemic preparedness planning alongside efforts to reduce the burden of diseases and injuries that will strain resources in the coming decades. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Assessment of the impact of Uber system implementation on mortality from traffic injuries in Brazilian capital cities.

The rapid expansion of Uber Technologies, Inc.'s ride-sharing, courier service, and food delivery system and e-hailing applications has been transforming the logistics network and urban mobility around the world. We aimed to evaluate the impact of the Uber system on traffic injury (TI) mortality during its implementation in Brazilian capital cities. A quasiexperimental design of interrupted time series was used. The monthly mortality rates for TI standardized by age were analyzed. The date of availability of the Uber app, specific to each capital, was considered the start date. Data from the Brazilian Mortality Information System and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics were used. For the data analysis, from an interrupted time-series design, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models with a transfer function were fitted. In 92.6% (n = 25) of Brazilian capitals, there was no impact of Uber system implementation, 12 months after the start of its activities, on TI mortality. A reduction in mortality from this cause was observed after the system was implemented in Belo Horizonte and Rio de Janeiro. The impact on TI mortality was progressive and continuous in both. More studies are needed to establish the factors associated with the inequalities observed in the impact of Uber system implementation between different locations and the heterogeneity of effects.

The Efficacy of Low-Titer Group O Whole Blood Compared With Component Therapy in Civilian Trauma Patients: A Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess if transfusion with low-titer group O whole blood (LTOWB) is associated with improved early and/or late survival compared with component blood product therapy (CT) in bleeding trauma patients. DATA SOURCES: A systematic search of PubMed, CINAHL, and Web of Science was performed from their inception through December 1, 2023. Key terms included injury, hemorrhage, bleeding, blood transfusion, and whole blood. STUDY SELECTION: All studies comparing outcomes in injured civilian adults and children who received LTOWB versus CT were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Data including author, publication year, sample size, total blood volumes, and clinical outcomes were extracted from each article and reported following the Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. Main outcomes were 24-hour (early) and combined 28-day, 30-day, and in-hospital (late) mortality rates between recipients of LTOWB versus CT, which were pooled using random-effects models. DATA SYNTHESIS: Of 1297 studies reviewed, 24 were appropriate for analysis. Total subjects numbered 58,717 of whom 5,164 received LTOWB. Eleven studies included adults-only, seven included both adults and adolescents, and six only included children. The median (interquartile range) age for patients who received LTOWB and CT was 35 years (24-39) and 35.5 years (23-39), respectively. Overall, 14 studies reported early mortality and 22 studies reported late mortality. LTOWB was associated with improved 24-hour survival (risk ratios [RRs] [95% CI] = 1.07 [1.03-1.12]) and late (RR [95% CI] = 1.05 [1.01-1.09]) survival compared with component therapy. There was no evidence of small study bias and all studies were graded as a moderate level of bias. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest hemostatic resuscitation with LTOWB compared with CT improves early and late survival outcomes in bleeding civilian trauma patients. The majority of subjects were injured adults; multicenter randomized controlled studies in injured adults and children are underway to confirm these findings.

Expired blood transfusion and mortality outcomes in combat trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Expired blood can be transfused if clinically indicated but outcome data do not exist. We hypothesized that modestly outdated blood can effectively support a hemorrhaging patient until surgical control is achieved. This study assessed whether expired blood was associated with mortality in combat trauma patients. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of Armed Services Blood Program and Department of Defense Trauma Registry databases evaluated combat casualty records (2001-2023). The intervention of interest was transfusion of at least one unit of whole blood (WB), red blood cells (RBC), or platelets within one week past expiration. The outcome of interest was mortality at discharge. A control cohort that only received in-date blood was matched to the treatment cohort for logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: One hundred patients received expired RBCs (86), WB (11), and platelets (3). Mortality at discharge was 11.6% for expired RBC recipients and 13.4% for the control cohort (p = .97). After adjustment for injury severity, expired RBCs were not associated with mortality (OR = 0.40 [95% CI, 0.14-1.16]; p = .09). Of 10 patients who received the most expired RBCs by volume or storage duration, two were deceased at discharge. All 14 expired WB and platelet recipients were alive at discharge, but sample sizes were underpowered for regression analysis. DISCUSSION: Transfusion of modestly outdated RBCs was not associated with mortality in combat trauma patients. Expired WB and platelet recipients did well, but sample sizes were too small to draw significant conclusions. Expired blood should be further investigated for possible use in extenuating circumstances.

Maternal and child life years gained by transfusing low titer group O whole blood in trauma: A computer simulation.

BACKGROUND: Using low titer group O whole blood (LTOWB) is increasingly popular for resuscitating trauma patients. LTOWB is often RhD-positive, which might cause D-alloimmunization and hemolytic disease of the fetus and newborn (HDFN) if transfused to RhD-negative females of childbearing potential (FCP). This simulation determined the number of life years gained by the FCP and her future children if she was resuscitated with LTOWB compared with conventional component therapy (CCT). METHODS: The model simulated 500,000 injured FCPs of each age between 0 and 49 years with LTOWB mortality relative reductions (MRRs) compared with components between 0.1% and 25%. For each surviving FCP, number of life years gained was calculated using her age at injury and average life expectancy for American women. The number of expected future pregnancies for FCPs that did not survive was also based on her age at injury; each future child was assigned the maximum lifespan unless they suffered perinatal mortality or serious neurological events from HDFN. RESULTS: The LTOWB group with an MRR 25% compared with CCT had the largest total life years gained. The point of equivalence for RhD-positive LTOWB compared to CCT, where life years lost due to severe HDFN was equivalent to life years gained due to FCP survival/future childbearing, occurred at an MRR of approximately 0.1%. CONCLUSION: In this model, RhD-positive LTOWB resulted in substantial gains in maternal and child life years compared with CCT. A >0.1% relative mortality reduction from LTOWB offset the life years lost to HDFN mortality and severe neurological events.

Association of freeze-dried plasma with 24-h mortality among trauma patients at risk for hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Blood products form the cornerstone of contemporary hemorrhage control but are limited resources. Freeze-dried plasma (FDP), which contains coagulation factors, is a promising adjunct in hemostatic resuscitation. We explore the association between FDP alone or in combination with other blood products on 24-h mortality. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a secondary data analysis from a cross-sectional prospective observational multicenter study of adult trauma patients in the Western Cape of South Africa. We compare mortality among trauma patients at risk of hemorrhage in three treatment groups: Blood Products only, FDP + Blood Products, and FDP only. We apply inverse probability of treatment weighting and fit a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to assess the hazard of 24-h mortality. RESULTS: Four hundred and forty-eight patients were included, and 55 (12.2%) died within 24 h of hospital arrival. Compared to the Blood Products only group, we found no difference in 24-h mortality for the FDP + Blood Product group (p = .40) and a lower hazard of death for the FDP only group (hazard = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.15-1.00; p = .05). However, sensitivity analyses showed no difference in 24-h mortality across treatments in subgroups with moderate and severe shock, early blood product administration, and accounting for immortal time bias. CONCLUSION: We found insufficient evidence to conclude there is a difference in relative 24-h mortality among trauma patients at risk for hemorrhage who received FDP alone, blood products alone, or blood products with FDP. There may be an adjunctive role for FDP in hemorrhagic shock resuscitation in settings with significantly restricted access to blood products.

Shock Index is a Stronger Predictor of Outcomes in Older Compared to Younger Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The shock index (SI) is a known predictor of unfavorable outcomes in trauma. This study seeks to examine and compare the SI values between geriatric patients and younger adults. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of the Trauma Quality Improvement Program database from 2017 to 2019. All patients≥ 25 y with injury severity score ≥ 16 were included. Age groups were defined as 25-44 y (group A), 45-64 y (group B), and ≥65 y (group C). SI was calculated for all patients. The primary outcome was mortality and secondary outcomes were need for blood transfusion and need for major surgical intervention (consisting angiography, exploratory laparotomy, and thoracotomy). RESULTS: A total of 244,943 patients were studied. The SI was highest in group A (0.82 ± 0.33) and lowest in group C (0.62 ± 0.30) (P < 0.001). Mortality rate of group C (17%) was significantly higher than group A (9.7%) and B (11.3%) (P < 0.001). In group A, each 0.1 increase in SI was associated with mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 1.079), need for blood transfusion (OR = 1.225) and need for major surgical intervention (OR = 1.347) (P < 0.001 for all). In group C, each 0.1 increase in SI was associated with mortality (OR = 1.126), need for blood transfusion (OR = 1.318), and need for major surgical intervention (OR = 1.648) (P < 0.001 for all). The area under the curve of SI was significantly higher in group C compared to other groups for needing a major surgical intervention and need for blood transfusion (P < 0.05 for both). CONCLUSIONS: These results highlight the significance of the SI as a valuable indicator in geriatric patients with severe trauma. The findings show that SI predicts outcomes in geriatrics more strongly than in younger counterparts.

Development and Validation of Futility of Resuscitation Measure in Older Adult Trauma Patients.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to develop and validate Futility of Resuscitation Measure (FoRM) for predicting the futility of resuscitation among older adult trauma patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons-Trauma Quality Improvement Program database (2017-2018) (derivation cohort) and American College of Surgeons level I trauma center database (2017-2022) (validation cohort). We included all severely injured (injury severity score >15) older adult (aged ≥60 y) trauma patients. Patients were stratified into decades of age. Injury characteristics (severe traumatic brain injury [Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 8], traumatic brain injury midline shift), physiologic parameters (lowest in-hospital systolic blood pressure [≤1 h], prehospital cardiac arrest), and interventions employed (4-h packed red blood cell transfusions, emergency department resuscitative thoracotomy, resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta, emergency laparotomy [≤2 h], early vasopressor requirement [≤6 h], and craniectomy) were identified. Regression coefficient-based weighted scoring system was developed using the Schneeweiss method and subsequently validated using institutional database. RESULTS: A total of 5562 patients in derivation cohort and 873 in validation cohort were identified. Mortality was 31% in the derivation cohort and FoRM had excellent discriminative power to predict mortality (area under the receiver operator characteristic = 0.860; 95% confidence interval [0.847-0.872], P < 0.001). Patients with a FoRM score of >16 had a less than 10% chance of survival, while those with a FoRM score of >20 had a less than 5% chance of survival. In validation cohort, mortality rate was 17% and FoRM had good discriminative power (area under the receiver operator characteristic = 0.76; 95% confidence interval [0.71-0.80], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: FoRM can reliably identify the risk of futile resuscitation among older adult patients admitted to our level I trauma center.

The Magic Number 63 - Redefining the Geriatric Age for Massive Transfusion in Trauma.

INTRODUCTION: The arbitrary geriatric age cutoff of 65 may not accurately define older adults at higher risk of mortality following massive transfusion (MT). We sought to redefine a new geriatric age threshold for MT and understand its association with outcomes. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The 2013-2018 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database was queried for all adults who received ≥10 units of packed red blood cells (pRBCs) within 24 h of admission. A bootstrap analysis using multiple logistic regression established transfusion futility thresholds (TTs), where additional pRBCs no longer improved mortality for various age cutoffs. The age cutoff at which the TT for those relatively older and relatively younger was statistically significant was used to define the new "geriatric" age for MT. Outcomes were then compared between the newly defined geriatric and nongeriatric patients. RESULTS: The difference in TT first became significant when the age cutoff was 63 y. The TT for patients aged ≥63 y (new geriatric, n = 2870) versus <63 y (nongeriatric, n = 17,302) was 34 and 40 units of pRBCs, respectively (P = 0.04). Although geriatric patients had a higher Glasgow coma scale score (9 versus 6, P < 0.01) and lower abbreviated injury score-abdomen (3 versus 4, P < 0.01) than the nongeriatric, they suffered higher overall mortality (62% versus 45%, P < 0.01). A lower percentage of geriatric patients were discharged to home (7% versus 35%, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The new geriatric age for MT is 63 y, with a TT of 34 units. Despite suffering less severe injuries, physiologically "geriatric" patients have worse outcomes following MT.

Assessing Fall Mortality by Field-Relevant Categories at an Urban Level I Trauma Center.

INTRODUCTION: Little research has focused on assessing the mortality for fall height based on field-relevant categories like falls from greater than standing (FFGS), falls from standing (FFS), and falls from less than standing. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included patients evaluated for a fall incident at an urban Level I Trauma Center or included in Medical Examiner's log from January 1, 2015, to June 31, 2017. Descriptive statistics characterized the sample based on demographic variables such as age, race, sex, and insurance type, as well as injury characteristics like relative fall height, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), traumatic brain injury, intensive care unit length of stay, and mortality. Bivariate analysis included Chi-square tests for categorical variables and Student t-tests for continuous variables. Subsequent multiple logistic regression modeled significant variables from bivariate analyses, including age, race, insurance status, fall height, ISS, and GCS. RESULTS: When adjusting for sex, age, race, insurance, ISS, and GCS, adults ≥65 who FFS had 1.93 times the odds of mortality than those who FFGS. However, those <65 who FFGS had 3.12 times the odds of mortality than those who FFS. Additionally, commercial insurance was not protective across age groups. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality for FFS may be higher than FFGS under certain circumstances, particularly among those ≥65 y. Therefore, prehospital collection should include accurate assessment of fall height and surface (i.e., water, concrete). Lastly, commercial insurance was likely a proxy for industrial falls, accounting for the surprising lack of protection against mortality.

Clinical Outcomes After Early Palliative Care Evaluations in Geriatric Trauma Intensive Care.

INTRODUCTION: Older trauma patients are at risk for worse outcomes compared to younger patients. We hypothesized that early initiation of palliative care (EPC) evaluations, within 72 h of trauma intensive care unit (ICU) admission, would be associated with reduced invasive procedures without a change in hospital mortality. METHODS: A retrospective cohort review was performed of all trauma patients aged ≥65 y admitted to the trauma (ICU) from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2021. Patients who received formal palliative care assessments were included. Patient demographics and injury characteristics were evaluated. The primary outcome was ICU length of stay (LOS). Secondary outcomes included code status change, tracheostomy or percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy placement, use and length of mechanical ventilation, in-hospital mortality, and withdrawal of life-sustaining care. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-five patients met inclusion. One hundred and six had EPC while 119 had late palliative care. EPC was associated with decreased ICU LOS (3 versus 9 d, P < 0.001), hospital LOS (3 versus 11 d, P < 0.001), and days on mechanical ventilation (P < 0.001), and fewer tracheostomy (P = 0.007) and percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy tubes (P = 0.049). There was no difference in withdrawal of life-sustaining care (P = 0.581) or in-hospital mortality (P = 0.172). Pre-existing code status or code status clarification early in admission was associated with EPC (P = 0.003) and decreased interventions. CONCLUSIONS: EPC is associated with decreased LOS and fewer invasive procedures without a change in hospital mortality. Early discussions regarding code status are helpful in decreasing hospital costs and futile interventions. Further investigation is required to standardize palliative care in this population.

The Synergy Factor: Trauma and Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma and cancer are the leading causes of death in the US. There is a paucity of data describing the impact of cancer on trauma patients. We aimed to determine the influence of cancer on outcomes of trauma patients. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis of American College of Surgeons-Trauma Quality Improvement Program 2019-2021, we included all adult trauma patients (≥18 y) and excluded patients with severe head injuries and nonmelanomatous skin cancers. Patients were stratified into cancer (C), and no cancer (No-C). Propensity score matching (1:3) was performed. Outcomes were complications and mortality. RESULTS: A matched cohort of 3236 patients (C, 809; No-C, 2427) was analyzed. The mean age was 70 y, 50.5% were males, and the median injury severity score was 8 (4-10). There were no differences in terms of receiving thromboprophylaxis (C 51%: No-C 50%, P = 0.516). Compared to No-C group, the C group had higher rates of deep vein thrombosis (C 1.1% versus No-C 0.3%, P = 0.004), but there was no difference in terms of overall complications. Patients in the C group had higher mortality (C 7.5% versus No-C 2.7%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Trauma patients with cancer have nearly 4 times higher odds of deep vein thrombosis and 3 times higher odds of mortality. Developing pathways specific to cancer patients might be necessary to improve the outcomes of trauma patients with cancer.

Decline in Explanatory Power of Trauma Mortality Models With Age: Varying Contribution of Glasgow Coma Scale, Injury Severity Score, Comorbidities, and Frailty.

INTRODUCTION: Adjusting for confounding variables is critical for objective comparison of outcomes. The explanatory power of variables used in adjusted models for injury and their relative utility across age groups has not been well-defined. This study aimed to assess the explanatory power of covariates commonly adjusted in injury research and their relative performance across age groups. METHODS: Inpatients 18-100 y (2017-2022) were selected from 90 hospital trauma registries. Patients were grouped into sequential 5-y age blocks. Mortality was defined as the proportion of patients "expired + hospice". Dominance analysis was used to determine the average contribution (McFadden's R2) for covariates commonly included in multivariable logistic regressions. RESULTS: Three hundred seventeen-thousand one hundred thirty-six patients were included (51.1% male, mean age: 63, mean injury severity score [ISS]: 9.8, mean Glasgow Coma Scale: 14.3, 93.5% blunt). Total explanatory power (McFadden's R2) for mortality was highest in youngest age group (52.7% in 18-24 group) and decreased with age, with the lowest R2 (19.6%) in 95-100 group. Regardless of age, the Glasgow Coma Scale was the most important covariate (R2 ranging from 9.0% to 20.4%). At age 18-24 y, ISS was a more dominant contributor than Elixhauser Score, but beyond 55 y, Elixhauser Score became more dominant than ISS. CONCLUSIONS: The explanatory power of adjustment models including common covariates is limited and varies significantly across age groups, decreasing linearly with age. Adjusting for outcomes using these covariates may limit objective comparisons especially for older adults. Additional research is needed to identify covariates that enhance the explanatory power of adjustment models to allow for more objective comparisons across all ages.

Should We Keep or Transfer Our Severely Injured Geriatric Patients to Higher Levels of Care?

INTRODUCTION: Interfacility transfer to higher levels of care is becoming increasingly common. This study aims to evaluate the association between transfer to higher levels of care and prolonged transfer times with outcomes of severely injured geriatric trauma patients compared to those who are managed definitively at lower-level trauma centers. METHODS: Severely injured (Injury Severity Score >15) geriatric (≥60 y) trauma patients in the 2017-2018 American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program database managing at an American College of Surgeons/State Level III trauma center or transferring to a level I or II trauma center were included. Outcome measures were 24-h and in-hospital mortality and major complications. RESULTS: Forty thousand seven hundred nineteen patients were identified. Mean age was 75 ± 8 y, 54% were male, 98% had a blunt mechanism of injury, and the median Injury Severity Score was 17 [16-21]. Median transfer time was 112 [79-154] min, and the most common transport mode was ground ambulance (82.3%). Transfer to higher levels of care within 90 min was associated with lower 24-h mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.493, P < 0.001) and similar odds of in-hospital mortality as those managed at level III centers. However, every 30-min delay in transfer time beyond 90 min was progressively associated with increased odds of 24-h (aOR: 1.058, P < 0.001) and in-hospital (aOR: 1.114, P < 0.001) mortality and major complications (aOR: 1.127, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Every 30-min delay in interfacility transfer time beyond 90 min is associated with 6% and 11% higher risk-adjusted odds of 24-h and in-hospital mortality, respectively. Estimated interfacility transfer time should be considered while deciding about transferring severely injured geriatric trauma patients to a higher level of care.

Unhoused and Injured: Injury Characteristics and Outcomes in Unhoused Trauma Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The unhoused population is known to be at high risk for traumatic injury. However, there are scarce data regarding injury patterns and outcomes for this patient group. This study aims to investigate any differences in injury characteristics and hospital outcomes between unhoused and housed patients presenting with traumatic injuries. METHODS: We conducted a 3-y retrospective cohort study at a level 1 trauma center in a metropolitan area with a large unhoused population. All adult trauma patients who were identified as unhoused or housed underinsured (HUI) were included in the study. Injury characteristics, comorbidities, and hospital outcomes were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: A total of 8450 patients were identified, of which 7.5% were unhoused. Compared to HUI patients, unhoused patients were more likely to sustain minor injuries (65.2% versus 59.1%, P = 0.003) and more likely to be injured by assault (17.9% versus 12.4%, P < 0.001), stab wound (17.7% versus 10.8%, P < 0.001), and automobile versus pedestrian or bike (21.0% versus 15.8% P < 0.001). We found that unhoused patients had higher odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 1.93, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10-3.36, P = 0.021), brain death (AOR: 5.40, 95% CI: 2.11-13.83, P < 0.001), bacteremia/sepsis (AOR: 4.36, 95% CI: 1.20-15.81, P = 0.025), and increased hospital length of stay (regression coefficient: 0.08, 95% CI: 0.03-0.12, P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: This study observed significant disparities in injury characteristics and hospital outcomes between the unhoused and HUI groups. Our results suggest that these disparities are impacted by social determinants of health unique to the unhoused population.

The Association Between Home and Crash Site Social Vulnerability on Injury and Mortality After Motor Vehicle Crashes: Implications for Traffic Policy.

INTRODUCTION: There is a growing body of literature that shows geographic social vulnerability, which seeks to measure the resiliency of a community to withstand unforeseen disasters, may be associated with negative outcomes after traumatic injury. For motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) specifically, it is unknown how the resources of a patient's home environment may interact with resources of the environment where the crash occurred. METHODS: We merged publicly available crash data from the state of Michigan with the Michigan Trauma Quality Improvement dataset. A social vulnerability index (SVI) score was calculated for each ZIP code and was then cross-referenced between the location of the MVC (Crash-SVI) and the patient's home address (Home-SVI). SVI was divided into quintiles, with higher numbers indicating greater vulnerability. Adjusted logistic regression models using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator for feature selection and regularization were performed sequentially using patient, vehicular, and environmental variables to identify associations between Home-SVI and Crash-SVI, with mortality and injury severity score (ISS) greater than 15 (ISS15). RESULTS: Between January 2020 and December 2022, a total of 14,706 patients were identified. Most MVCs (75.3% of all patients) occurred in the second through fourth quintiles of SVI. In all cases, Crash-SVI occurred most frequently within the same quintile as the patient's Home-SVI. Average crash speed limits showed a significant negative association with increasing SVI. On adjusted logistic regression, there were significantly increased odds of mortality for the fifth quintile of Home-SVI in comparison to the first quintile when adjusted for patient factors; but this lost significance after the addition of vehicular or environmental variables. In contrast, there were decreased odds of ISS15 for the highest quintiles of Crash-SVI in all logistic regression models. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic social vulnerability markers were associated with lower MVC-associated injury severity, perhaps in part because of the association with lower speed limit in these areas.

Failure to Rescue in Geriatric Ground-Level Falls: The Role of Frailty on Not-So-Minor Injuries.

INTRODUCTION: The measure of mortality following a major complication (failure to rescue [FTR]) provides a quantifiable assessment of the level of care provided by trauma centers. However, there is a lack of data on the effects of patient-related factors on FTR incidence. The aim of this study was to identify the role of frailty on FTR incidence among geriatric trauma patients with ground-level falls (GLFs). METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program database (2017-2020). All geriatric (aged ≥ 65 ys) trauma patients with GLFs admitted to a level I trauma center were included. Transferred patients, those with severe head injuries (head abbreviated injury scale ≥ 3), and those who died within 24 h of admission or whose length of stay was ≤1 d were excluded. FTR was defined as death following a major complication (cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction, sepsis, acute respiratory distress syndrome, unplanned intubation, acute renal failure, cerebrovascular accident, ventilator-associated pneumonia, or pulmonary embolism). Patients were stratified into frail (F) and nonfrail (NF) based on the 11-Factor Modified Frailty Index. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to identify the independent effect of frailty on the incidence of FTR. RESULTS: Over 4 ys, 34,100 geriatric patients with GLFs were identified, of whom 9140 (26.8%) were F. The mean (standard deviation) age was 78 (7) years and 65% were female. The median injury severity score was 9 (5-10) with no difference among F and NF groups (P = 0.266). Overall, F patients were more likely to develop major complications (F: 3.6% versus NF: 2%, P < 0.001) and experience FTR (F: 1.8%% versus NF: 0.6%, P < 0.001). Moreover, among patients with major complications, F patients were more likely to die (F: 47% versus NF: 27%, P < 0.001). On multivariable regression analysis, frailty was identified as an independent predictor of major complications (adjusted odds ratio: 1.98, 95% confidence interval [1.70-2.29], P < 0.001) and FTR (adjusted odds ratio: 2.26, 95% confidence interval [1.68-3.05], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Among geriatric trauma patients with GLFs, frailty increases the risk-adjusted odds of FTR by more than two times. One in every two F patients with a major complication does not survive to discharge. Future efforts should concentrate on improving patient-related and hospital-related factors to decrease the risk of FTR among these vulnerable populations.

Intubation and In-Hospital Mortality After Trauma With Glasgow Coma Scale Score Eight or Less-A Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Most trauma societies recommend intubating trauma patients with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores ≤8 without robust supporting evidence. We examined the association between intubation and 30-d in-hospital mortality in trauma patients arriving with a GCS score ≤8 in an Indian trauma registry. METHODS: Outcomes of patients with a GCS score ≤8 who were intubated within 1 h of arrival (intubation group) were compared with those who were intubated later or not at all (nonintubation group) using various analytical approaches. The association was assessed in various subgroup and sensitivity analyses to identify any variability of the effect. RESULTS: Of 3476 patients who arrived with a GCS score ≤8, 1671 (48.1%) were intubated within 1 h. Overall, 1957 (56.3%) patients died, 947 (56.7%) in the intubation group and 1010 (56.0%) in the nonintubation group, with no significant difference in mortality (odds ratio = 1.2 [confidence interval, 0.8-1.8], P value = 0.467) in multivariable regression and propensity score-matched analysis. This result persisted across subgroup and sensitivity analyses. Patients intubated within an hour of arrival had longer durations of ventilation, intensive care unit stay, and hospital stay (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Intubation within an hour of arrival with a GCS score ≤8 after major trauma was not associated with differences in-hospital mortality. The indications and benefits of early intubation in these severely injured patients should be revisited to promote optimal resource utilization in LMICs.

Hemodynamic Deterioration of Trauma Patients Undergoing Interhospital Transfer.

INTRODUCTION: Organized trauma systems reduce morbidity and mortality after serious injury. Rapid transport to high-level trauma centers is ideal, but not always feasible. Thus, interhospital transfers are an important component of trauma systems. However, transferring a seriously injured patient carries the risk of worsening condition before reaching definitive care. In this study, we evaluated characteristics and outcomes of patients whose hemodynamic status worsened during the transfer process. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcomes Study database from 2011 to 2018. Patients were included if they had a heart rate ≤ 100 and systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 at presentation to the referring hospital and were transferred within 24 h. We defined hemodynamic deterioration (HDD) as admitting heart rate > 100 or systolic blood pressure < 100 at the receiving center. We compared demographics, mechanism of injury, injury severity, management, and outcomes between patients with and without HDD using descriptive statistics and multivariable regression analysis. RESULTS: Of 52,919 included patients, 5331 (10.1%) had HDD. HDD patients were more often moderately-severely injured (injury severity score 9-15; 40.4% versus 39.4%, P < 0.001) and injured via motor vehicle collision (23.2% versus 16.6%, P < 0.001) or gunshot wound (2.1% versus 1.3%, P < 0.001). HDD patients more often had extremity or torso injuries and after transfer were more likely to be transferred to the intensive care unit (35% versus 28.5%, P < 0.001), go directly to surgery (8.4% versus 5.9%, P < 0.001), or interventional radiology (0.8% versus 0.3%, P < 0.001). Overall mortality in the HDD group was 4.9% versus 2.1% in the group who remained stable. These results were confirmed using multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Interhospital transfers are essential in trauma, but one in 10 transferred patients deteriorated hemodynamically in that process. This high-risk component of the trauma system requires close attention to the important aspects of transfer such as patient selection, pretransfer management/stabilization, and communication between facilities.

Determining Outcomes in Nonpenetrating Trauma With qSOFA.

INTRODUCTION: The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score identifies patients with suspected infection at high risk for adverse outcomes. The qSOFA score is the sum of three variables (respiratory rate, systolic blood pressure, and Glasgow Coma Score) with binary thresholds. The role of qSOFA in predicting hospitalization outcomes in nonpenetrating trauma patients was determined at a level 1 and a level 2 trauma center. METHODS: The trauma registries at the two institutions were queried for adult (18+ y) and pediatric (0-17 y) nonpenetrating trauma hospitalizations between January 1, 2019 and September 30, 2021. RESULTS: At institution A, there were 3720 adult hospitalizations (qSOFA = 0: 2906 patients, qSOFA = 1: 677, qSOFA = 2: 124, qSOFA = 3: 13) and 418 pediatric hospitalizations (qSOFA = 0: 238 patients, qSOFA = 1: 159, qSOFA = 2: 20, qSOFA = 3: 1). At institution B, there were 3579 adult hospitalizations (qSOFA = 0: 2638 patients, qSOFA = 1: 816, qSOFA = 2: 121, qSOFA = 3: 4) and 429 pediatric hospitalizations (qSOFA = 0: 273 patients, qSOFA = 1: 149, qSOFA = 2: 6, qSOFA = 3: 1). In adults at both institutions, increased qSOFA was significantly associated with higher mortality rates. Intensive care unit (ICU) admission increased at institution A and increased at institution B to qSOFA = 2. In multivariable analyses, qSOFA predicted ICU admission and mortality. Pediatric patients had low injury severity, morbidity, and mortality. Excluding the one early qSOFA = 3 mortality, higher qSOFA scores were associated with increased ICU admission in pediatric patients. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated qSOFA scores are associated with ICU admission and mortality in adult nonpenetrating trauma patients. Further investigation on qSOFA for resource allocation is indicated.