Mathematical modeling the dynamics of Clonorchiasis in Guangzhou City of China.

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we have set up a mathematical model on the basic life cycle of clonorchiasis to fit the data of human clonorchiasis infection ratios of Guangzhou City of Guangdong Province in China from 2006-2012. By this model, we have proved that the condition of the basic reproductive number R0>1 or R0<1 corresponds the globally asymptotically stable of the endemic equilibrium or the disease-free equilibrium, respectively. The basic reproductive number is estimated as 1.41 with those optimal parameters. Some efficient strategies to control clonorchiasis are provided by numerical analysis of the mathematical model.