Excess mortality due to COVID-19 in Germany.
J Infect
; 81(5): 797-801, 2020 Nov.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-32956730
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES:
The first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Germany lasted from week 10 to 23 in 2020. The aim is to provide estimates of excess mortality in Germany during this time.METHODS:
We analyzed age-specific numbers of deaths per week from 2016 to week 26 in 2020. We used weekly mean numbers of deaths of 2016-2019 to estimate expected weekly numbers for 2020. We estimated standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals.RESULTS:
During the first wave observed numbers of deaths were higher than expected for age groups 60-69, 80-89, and 90+. The age group 70-79 years did not show excess mortality. The net excess number of deaths for weeks 10-23 was +8,071. The overall SMR was 1â¢03 (95%CI 1â¢03-1â¢04). The largest increase occurred among people aged 80-89 and 90+ (SMR=1â¢08 and SMR=1â¢09). A sensitivity analysis that accounts for demographic changes revealed an overall SMR of 0â¢98 (95%CI 0â¢98-0â¢99) and a deficit of 4,926 deaths for week 10-23, 2020.CONCLUSIONS:
The excess mortality existed for two months. The favorable course of the first wave may be explained by a younger age at infection at the beginning of the pandemic, lower contact rates, and a more efficient pandemic management.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Pneumonia Viral
/
Infecções por Coronavirus
/
Betacoronavirus
Limite:
Adolescent
/
Adult
/
Aged
/
Aged80
/
Child
/
Child, preschool
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Infant
/
Male
País/Região como assunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Infect
Ano de publicação:
2020
Tipo de documento:
Article