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Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations.
Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell, Michelle L; Armstrong, Ben; Schwartz, Joel; Jaakkola, Jouni J K; Zanobetti, Antonella; Lavigne, Eric; Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario; Kan, Haidong; Royé, Dominic; Milojevic, Ai; Overcenco, Ala; Urban, Ales; Schneider, Alexandra; Entezari, Alireza; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Zeka, Ariana; Tobias, Aurelio; Nunes, Baltazar; Alahmad, Barrak; Forsberg, Bertil; Pan, Shih-Chun; Íñiguez, Carmen; Ameling, Caroline; De la Cruz Valencia, César; Åström, Christofer; Houthuijs, Danny; Van Dung, Do; Samoli, Evangelia; Mayvaneh, Fatemeh; Sera, Francesco; Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel; Lei, Yadong; Orru, Hans; Kim, Ho; Holobaca, Iulian-Horia; Kyselý, Jan; Teixeira, João Paulo; Madureira, Joana; Katsouyanni, Klea; Hurtado-Díaz, Magali; Maasikmets, Marek; Ragettli, Martina S; Hashizume, Masahiro; Stafoggia, Massimo; Pascal, Mathilde.
Afiliação
  • Chen G; Guangdong Provincial Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental and Health Risk Assessment, Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
  • Guo Y; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. Electronic address: yuming.guo@monash.edu.
  • Yue X; Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China.
  • Tong S; Shanghai Children's Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; School of Public Health, Institute of Environment and Human Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China; Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, C
  • Gasparrini A; Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Centre for Statistical Methodology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Centre on Climate Change & Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropic
  • Bell ML; School of Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
  • Armstrong B; Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
  • Schwartz J; Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Jaakkola JJK; Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
  • Zanobetti A; Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Lavigne E; School of Epidemiology & Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada; Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
  • Nascimento Saldiva PH; Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
  • Kan H; Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
  • Royé D; Department of Geography, University of Santiago de Compostela, CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Spain.
  • Milojevic A; Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
  • Overcenco A; National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health, Chisinau, Moldova.
  • Urban A; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic; Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
  • Schneider A; Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München-German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.
  • Entezari A; Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar, Khorasan Razavi, Iran.
  • Vicedo-Cabrera AM; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine and Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
  • Zeka A; Institute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, London, UK.
  • Tobias A; Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research (IDAEA), Spanish Council for Scientific Research (CSIC), Barcelona, Spain; School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
  • Nunes B; Department of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Alahmad B; Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Forsberg B; Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
  • Pan SC; National Institute of Environmental Health Science, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan.
  • Íñiguez C; Department of Statistics and Computational Research. Universitat de València, Valencia, CIBERESP, Spain.
  • Ameling C; National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health, Bilthoven, Netherlands.
  • De la Cruz Valencia C; Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
  • Åström C; Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
  • Houthuijs D; National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health, Bilthoven, Netherlands.
  • Van Dung D; Department of Environmental Health, Faculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
  • Samoli E; Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
  • Mayvaneh F; Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar, Khorasan Razavi, Iran.
  • Sera F; Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications "G Parenti", University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
  • Carrasco-Escobar G; Institute of Tropical Medicine "Alexander von Humboldt", Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.
  • Lei Y; Climate Change Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
  • Orru H; Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
  • Kim H; Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.
  • Holobaca IH; Faculty of Geography, Babes-Bolay University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
  • Kyselý J; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic; Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
  • Teixeira JP; Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal.
  • Madureira J; Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal; EPIUnit-Instituto de Saúde Pública, Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal.
  • Katsouyanni K; Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
  • Hurtado-Díaz M; Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
  • Maasikmets M; Estonian Environmental Research Centre, Tallinn, Estonia.
  • Ragettli MS; Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland; Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
  • Hashizume M; Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Stafoggia M; Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
  • Pascal M; Santé Publique France, Department of Environmental and occupational Health, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France.
Lancet Planet Health ; 5(9): e579-e587, 2021 09.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34508679
BACKGROUND: Many regions of the world are now facing more frequent and unprecedentedly large wildfires. However, the association between wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality has not been well characterised. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality across various regions of the world. METHODS: For this time series study, data on daily counts of deaths for all causes, cardiovascular causes, and respiratory causes were collected from 749 cities in 43 countries and regions during 2000-16. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2·5 were estimated using the three-dimensional chemical transport model GEOS-Chem at a 0·25°â€ˆ× 0·25° resolution. The association between wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure and mortality was examined using a quasi-Poisson time series model in each city considering both the current-day and lag effects, and the effect estimates were then pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. Based on these pooled effect estimates, the population attributable fraction and relative risk (RR) of annual mortality due to acute wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure was calculated. FINDINGS: 65·6 million all-cause deaths, 15·1 million cardiovascular deaths, and 6·8 million respiratory deaths were included in our analyses. The pooled RRs of mortality associated with each 10 µg/m3 increase in the 3-day moving average (lag 0-2 days) of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure were 1·019 (95% CI 1·016-1·022) for all-cause mortality, 1·017 (1·012-1·021) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1·019 (1·013-1·025) for respiratory mortality. Overall, 0·62% (95% CI 0·48-0·75) of all-cause deaths, 0·55% (0·43-0·67) of cardiovascular deaths, and 0·64% (0·50-0·78) of respiratory deaths were annually attributable to the acute impacts of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure during the study period. INTERPRETATION: Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 was associated with increased risk of mortality. Urgent action is needed to reduce health risks from the increasing wildfires. FUNDING: Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Incêndios Florestais / Poluentes Atmosféricos Tipo de estudo: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies / Systematic_reviews País/Região como assunto: Oceania Idioma: En Revista: Lancet Planet Health Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: China
Texto completo
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Incêndios Florestais / Poluentes Atmosféricos Tipo de estudo: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies / Systematic_reviews País/Região como assunto: Oceania Idioma: En Revista: Lancet Planet Health Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: China