A U-shaped association between dietary phosphorus intake and new-onset diabetes: A nationwide cohort study in China.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between dietary phosphorus intake and the risk of diabetes remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the relation of dietary phosphorus intake with new-onset diabetes among Chinese adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 16,272 participants who were free of diabetes at baseline from the China Health and Nutrition Survey were included. Dietary intake was measured by 3 consecutive 24-h dietary recalls combined with a household food inventory. Participants with self-reported physician-diagnosed diabetes, or fasting glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L or glycated hemoglobin ≥6.5% during the follow-up were defined as having new-onset diabetes. During a median follow-up of 9.0years, 1101 participants developed new-onset diabetes. Overall, the association between dietary phosphorus intake with new-onset diabetes followed a U-shape (P for nonlinearity<0.001). The risk of new-onset diabetes significantly decreased with the increment of dietary phosphorus intake (per SD increment HR, 0.64; 95%CI, 0.48-0.84) in participants with phosphorus intake <921.6 mg/day, and increased with the increment of dietary phosphorus intake (per SD increment HR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.16-1.53) in participants with phosphorus intake ≥921.6 mg/day. Consistently, when dietary phosphorus intake was assessed as quintiles, compared with those in the 3rd quintile (905.0-<975.4 mg/day), significantly higher risks of new-onset diabetes were found in participants in the 1st-2nd quintiles (<905.0 mg/day HR, 1.59; 95%CI, 1.30-1.94), and 4th-5th quintiles (≥975.4 mg/day HR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.19-1.78). CONCLUSIONS: There was a U-shaped association between dietary phosphorus intake and new-onset diabetes in general Chinese adults, with an inflection point at 921.6 mg/day and a minimal risk at 905.0-975.4 mg/day of dietary phosphorus intake.