Uric acid and renal function in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the circadian distribution of creatinine and uric acid clearances in subjects with Multiple Sclerosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eleven subjects with MS, 6 women (48+/-7y) and 5 men (58+/-5y) volunteered for this circadian study. Thirteen healthy females (39+/-11y) served as controls. Data of seven healthy male controls (64+/-8 y) were extracted from a similar circadian study conducted previously. Each MS patient, and each male control had blood samples drawn around the clock, at 3h intervals (8/24h), and each collected urines over 3h periods (8/24h). Each female control contributed only one blood sample and one complete 24h urine collection. Blood and urine samples were analyzed for a number of relevant analytes: ELAM, IL-6, NO, insulin, ACTH, aldosterone, cortisol, electrolytes, lymphocytes, monocytes including creatinine and uric acid clearances. Those were standardized to an average body surface area of 1.73 m2. RESULTS: The relevant analytes demonstrated increased synthesis of insulin, IL-6, ELAM, monocytes, and reduced concentrations of serum NO. The creatinine clearances were significantly lower in MS females than in female controls, 63+/-22 vs.108+/-18 ml/min. They were also lower than those of MS males and male controls, 107.8+/-17, 97.5+/-8.2 ml/min. Uric acid clearances in MS females were also lower 6.9+/-2.4 vs. 10.5+/-4.4 ml/min. The uric acid clearance in MS males was higher than in male controls, 7.0+/-4.5 vs. 4.0+/-1.0 ml/min. CONCLUSIONS: The alterations in selected relevant analytes and the reduced creatinine and uric acid clearances in females but not in males, suggest a renal dysfunction in MS females. These observations may contribute to understanding better the mechanism of renal dysfunction in female patients and perhaps this may be an additional factor contributing to greater frequency of MS in females than in male subjects.

Circadian distribution of hematology variables in subjects with multiple sclerosis.

Hematology variables were measured in blood samples obtained every 3h (8/24h) from 10 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients and 34 healthy subjects and analyzed for circadian characteristics using the population multiple-components method. Red blood cell (RBC) and hemoglobin levels as well as hematocrits exhibited circadian rhythms with minimal amplitudes in healthy individuals and insignificant variability in the smaller group of MS patients. In contrast the total white blood cell (WBC) and platelet counts for MS patients and healthy individuals both showed significant circadian characteristics while the mean 24h WBC and platelet levels did not significantly differ between the two groups. When the different WBC subsets were examined independently, statistically significant circadian rhythms were seen for lymphocytes and eosinophils for both MS patients and healthy individuals and for neutrophils only in the latter. Moreover, the 24h mean levels of lymphocytes, basophils, and eosinophils were significantly higher for the healthy controls while those of monocytes were higher for the MS patients. However, of all the variables tested with significant circadian rhythms in both groups of individuals, only those of lymphocyte numbers exhibited different patterns with somewhat higher amplitude in healthy individuals and a peak level occurring over an hour after that of MS patients. These changes may be the reflection of a disturbance in the regulation of patterns of lymphocyte activity and migration in MS patients. In addition, the elevation in circulating monocytes in MS patients is consistent with the inflammatory nature of the disease.

Diagnosing gestational hypertension and preeclampsia with the 24-hour mean of blood pressure.

The use of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring has provided a method of blood pressure assessment that may compensate for some of the limitations of isolated measurements. Here we aim to examine prospectively the effectiveness of the commonly used 24-hour mean as a potential screening test for the identification of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia. We analyzed 503 blood pressure series from 71 healthy pregnant women and 256 series from 42 women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. Forty-eight-hour blood pressure monitoring was done once every 4 weeks after the first obstetric consultation. Sensitivity and specificity of the 24-hour mean of blood pressure were computed for each trimester of pregnancy by comparing distributions of values obtained for healthy and complicated pregnancies, without assuming an a priori threshold for diagnosing gestational hypertension on the basis of mean blood pressure. Sensitivity ranges from 31.8% for diastolic blood pressure in the second trimester to 84.1% for systolic blood pressure in the third trimester. However, specificity is as low as 6.9% for diastolic blood pressure in the first trimester. The positive predictive value does not reach 55% for any variable in any trimester. The higher relative risk was consistently obtained for systolic blood pressure (4.9 in the third trimester). Despite the highly statistically significant differences in blood pressure found between healthy and complicated pregnancies in all trimesters, the daily mean of blood pressure does not provide a proper and stable individualized test for diagnosing hypertensive complications in pregnancy. Other indexes obtained from the blood pressure series have been shown, however, to identify early in pregnancy those women who subsequently will develop gestational hypertension or preeclampsia, rendering ambulatory blood pressure monitoring a useful, but still costly, technique in pregnancy.

Reproducibility of the hyperbaric index as a measure of blood pressure excess.

The approach of establishing a time-specified tolerance limit reflecting the circadian variability in blood pressure and then determining the hyperbaric index, the area of blood pressure excess above the upper limit of the tolerance interval, has been proposed for diagnosing hypertension as well as for evaluating the patient's response to treatment. The retrospective evaluation of this test provided high sensitivity and specificity in the diagnosis of hypertension, with a threshold value for the hyperbaric index of 15 mm Hg. h. To evaluate the stability and reproducibility of this tolerance-hyperbaric test, we studied 332 previously untreated subjects (218 men) who underwent sequential 48-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring for 2 years, providing a total of 1337 blood pressure profiles. Diagnosis of hypertension was established for each subject on the restricted basis of presenting at least 1 blood pressure profile with a hyperbaric index above the previously defined threshold. Sensitivity of this tolerance-hyperbaric test was 98.6%, with a negative predictive value of 99.7%. For the same subjects, the blood pressure load (percentage of values >140/110/90 mm Hg for systolic/mean arterial/diastolic blood pressure during activity or >120/95/80 mm Hg during resting hours) had a sensitivity of 49% and specificity of 25%. The 24-hour mean, still the most common approach for diagnosing hypertension on the basis of ambulatory monitoring, had sensitivities of 40% and 31% for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively. Despite the limitations of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, the tolerance-hyperbaric test represents a reproducible, noninvasive, and high-sensitivity test for the identification of subjects in need of prophylactic or therapeutic intervention.

Circadian blood pressure variability in healthy and complicated pregnancies.

With the aim to describe the circadian pattern of noninvasive ambulatorily monitored blood pressure during the trimesters of pregnancy in clinically healthy women as well as in pregnant women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia, we analyzed 759 blood pressure series sampled by ambulatory monitoring for about 48 hours every 4 weeks after the first obstetric visit in 71 women with uncomplicated pregnancies, 28 with gestational hypertension, and 14 with preeclampsia. The circadian pattern of blood pressure variation for each group (complicated versus uncomplicated pregnancies) and trimester of gestation was established by linear least-squares methods. A highly statistically circadian pattern is demonstrated for systolic and diastolic blood pressure for both groups of pregnant women in all trimesters (P<.001 in all cases). Blood pressure decreases from the first trimester to the second and rises again in the third for healthy pregnant women. For women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia, blood pressure is stable during the first half of pregnancy and then continuously increases until delivery. The differences in circadian rhythm-adjusted mean between complicated and uncomplicated pregnancies are highly statistically significant in all trimesters (always P<.001). This study confirms and extends to ambulatory everyday life conditions the predictable circadian variability in blood pressure during gestation. The differences in blood pressure between healthy and complicated pregnancies can be observed as early as the first trimester of pregnancy. Those differences are found when both systolic and diastolic blood pressures for women with a later diagnosis of gestational hypertension or preeclampsia are well within the accepted normal physiological range of blood pressure variability.

Time-dependent effects of low-dose aspirin administration on blood pressure in pregnant women.

This study investigated the effects of low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (aspirin) on blood pressure in pregnant women who were at risk of developing gestational hypertension or preeclampsia and who received aspirin at different times of the day according to their rest-activity cycle. A double-blind, randomized, controlled trial was conducted in 100 pregnant women. Blood pressure for each subject was automatically monitored for 2 days every 4 weeks from the day of recruitment until delivery. Women were randomly assigned to one of six groups according to treatment (placebo, 50 subjects or aspirin, 100 mg/d, starting at 12 to 16 weeks of gestation) and the time of treatment: on awakening (time 1), 8 hours after awakening (time 2), or before bedtime (time 3). Results indicated that there was (1) no effect on blood pressure from placebo at any time (P>.212) and (2) a highly statistically significant (P<.001) time-dependent effect on blood pressure from aspirin. There was no effect of aspirin on blood pressure at time 1 (compared with placebo), but the blood pressure reduction was highly statistically significant after time 2 and, to a greater extent, after time 3 (mean reduction of 12 and 8 mm Hg in 24 hours for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively, at the time of delivery compared with placebo given at the same time). These time-dependent effects of aspirin on blood pressure should be taken into account for the optimization of long-term aspirin administration at low doses for prevention of preeclampsia. In any meta-analysis of aspirin effects, inquiries about the time when the subjects took the drug are indicated and may account for discrepancies in the literature.

Blood pressure variability during gestation in healthy and complicated pregnancies.

The evaluation of predictable variability in blood pressure by the use of ambulatory devices, and the proper processing of the time series thus obtained, can be useful for the early assessment of hypertensive complications in pregnancy. We have used this approach to quantify a predictable pattern of blood pressure and heart rate throughout pregnancy in clinically healthy women as well as in pregnant women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. We analyzed 503 blood pressure series from 71 healthy pregnant women and 256 series from 42 women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. Blood pressure monitoring (48-hour) was done once every 4 weeks after the first obstetric consultation. The pattern of variation along gestation of the 24-hour mean of blood pressure for groups of normotensive and hypertensive pregnant women was established by polynomial regression analysis. This method revealed predictable patterns of variation of 24-hour means with gestational age: for normotensive pregnant women, results indicate a steady decrease in blood pressure up to the 21st week of pregnancy, followed by an increase in blood pressure up to the day of delivery. This pattern of variation is not found in pregnancies complicated with gestational hypertension or even preeclampsia: the 24-hour mean of blood pressure is stable until the 22nd week of pregnancy and then correlated with gestational age, indicating a significant linear increase of blood pressure in the second half of pregnancy. For both healthy and complicated pregnancies, heart rate slightly increases until the end of the second trimester, and it is stable thereafter. This study confirms and extends to ambulatory everyday life conditions the predictable pregnancy-associated variability in blood pressure. The differences between uncomplicated and complicated pregnancies offer new end points for an early identification of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia.

Blood pressure patterns in normal pregnancy, gestational hypertension, and preeclampsia.

With the aim to describe the daily pattern of blood pressure during the trimesters of pregnancy in clinically healthy women as well as in pregnant women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia, we analyzed 1494 blood pressure series systematically sampled by ambulatory monitoring for 48 hours every 4 weeks after the first obstetric visit in 124 women with uncomplicated pregnancies, 55 with gestational hypertension, and 23 with a final diagnosis of preeclampsia. The circadian pattern of blood pressure variation for each group and trimester of gestation was established by population multiple-component analysis. A highly statistically significant circadian pattern represented by a linear model that includes components with periods of 24 and 12 hours is demonstrated for systolic and diastolic blood pressure for all groups of pregnant women in all trimesters (P:<0.001 in all cases). The differences in circadian rhythm-adjusted mean between complicated and uncomplicated pregnancies are highly statistically significant in all trimesters (always P:<0.001). There is also a statistically significant difference in circadian amplitude (extent of daily change) of blood pressure between healthy and complicated pregnancies in all trimesters (always P:<0.004). Results further indicate similar circadian characteristics between women who later developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia in the first trimester of pregnancy. The difference between these 2 groups in circadian mean is statistically significant in the second trimester for systolic (P:=0.022) but not for diastolic blood pressure (P:=0.986). In the third trimester, the difference in circadian mean is highly statistically significant for both variables (P:<0.001). The differences in blood pressure between healthy and complicated pregnancies can be observed as early as in the first trimester of pregnancy. Those highly significant differences are found when both systolic and diastolic blood pressure for women with a later diagnosis of gestational hypertension or preeclampsia are well within the accepted normal physiological range of blood pressure variability. These differing changes in the circadian pattern of blood pressure with advancing gestational age between healthy and complicated pregnancies offer new end points that may lead to an early identification of hypertensive complications in pregnancy as well as to the establishment of prophylactic intervention.

Blood pressure excess for the early identification of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia.

We have examined prospectively whether the combined approach of establishing tolerance intervals for the circadian variability of blood pressure (BP) as a function of gestational age, and then determining the so-called hyperbaric index (area of BP excess above the upper limit of the tolerance interval) by comparison of any patient's BP profile (obtained by ambulatory monitoring) with those intervals provides a high sensitivity test for the early detection of pregnant women who subsequently will develop gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. We analyzed 657 BP series from 92 women with uncomplicated pregnancies and 378 series from 60 women who developed gestational hypertension or preeclampsia. BP was sampled for about 48 hours once every 4 weeks after the first obstetric consultation. Circadian 90% tolerance limits were determined as a function of trimester of gestation from 497 series previously sampled from a reference group of 189 normotensive pregnant women. The hyperbaric index was then determined for each individual BP series in the validation sample. Sensitivity of this test for diagnosing gestational hypertension was 93% for women sampled during the first trimester of gestation and increased up to 99% in the third trimester. The positive and negative predictive values were above 96% in all trimesters. Despite the limitations of ambulatory monitoring, the approach presented here, now validated prospectively, represents a reproducible, noninvasive, and high sensitivity test for the very early identification of subsequent gestational hypertension and preeclampsia, on the average, 23 weeks before the clinical confirmation of the disease.

Administration time-dependent effects of aspirin in women at differing risk for preeclampsia.

This study extends previous results on the effects of low-dose aspirin on blood pressure in pregnant women at differing risk of developing hypertension in pregnancy and who received aspirin at different times according to their rest-activity cycle. A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial was conducted in 240 pregnant women randomly assigned to 1 of 6 groups according to treatment (placebo or aspirin, 100 mg/d, starting at 12 to 16 weeks of gestation) and the time of treatment: on awakening (time 1), 8 hours after awakening (time 2), or before bedtime (time 3). Blood pressure and heart rate for each subject were automatically monitored for 2 days every 4 weeks from the day of recruitment until delivery, as well as at puerperium (6 to 8 weeks after delivery). Subjects were further divided for comparative purposes according to the results of the tolerance-hyperbaric test for early identification of those with a higher risk for developing hypertensive complications in pregnancy. Results indicated that there was no effect of aspirin on blood pressure at time 1 (compared with placebo). A blood pressure reduction was, however, highly statistically significant at time 2 and, to a greater extent, at time 3 (mean reductions of 14.2 and 9.6 mm Hg in 24-hour means for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively, at the time of delivery compared with placebo given at the same time). Effects of aspirin on blood pressure were significantly larger for women with a positive test at the time of recruitment (P<0.001). Differences in blood pressure among pregnant women receiving aspirin at different times in the circadian cycle disappeared at puerperium (P>0.212). There was no effect of aspirin or placebo on heart rate. This study corroborates the statistically significant, time-dependent effect of low-dose aspirin on blood pressure in pregnant women with differing risk of developing hypertensive complications in pregnancy. Although the mechanism involved in the administration-time-dependent responsiveness of blood pressure to aspirin still remains uncertain, the use of doses of aspirin <80 mg/d that do not affect placental thromboxane, initiation of the use of aspirin after 16 weeks' gestation, and the lack of circadian timing for aspirin administration could all explain the lack of positive results in previous clinical trials.

Reproducible and predictable yearly pattern in the incidence of uterine cervical cancer.

A yearly pattern in the occurrence of uterine cervical cancer (UCC), obtained from cytological examinations reported as type V (cases concluding a malignant alteration), has been previously shown for data obtained in the Monterrey Metropolitan Area (state of Nuevo Leon, Mexico) for a span of 10 years (1978-1987), with a peak of relative incidence in the month of February being high stable for consecutive years. With the aim of extending and validating those results, we analyzed the monthly totals of positive detected cases of UCC in the states of Nuevo Leon, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and Tamaulipas (covering most of Northern Mexico) during the same period. To eliminate bias due to the seasonal variation in the number of screening smears, data were first expressed in relation to the number of cytological examinations done the same month. The least-squares fit of a 1-year cosine curve to the data of relative incidence in the four states reveals a statistically significant yearly pattern (p = .008), with a maximum of relative incidence in February almost double that during the rest of the year. Results indicate that the relative incidence of UCC is higher than the yearly average during the winter, with secondary peaks in May and October. In view of the nonsinusoidal waveform in the incidence of UCC, we undertook a multiple-component analysis, allowing several cosine functions to be simultaneously fitted to the data. Results indicate that the yearly pattern in the relative incidence of UCC can be represented by a model that includes two components with periods of 12 and 4 months (p = .004). The same model can be documented as statistically significant independently for each of the four states. These results, summarizing over 2200 positive cases of UCC detected in more than 1,100,000 screening smears, are in full agreement with those found previously for part of the state of Nuevo Leon and reveal a highly stable and predictable yearly pattern of variation in the relative incidence of UCC in Northern Mexico.

Circadian time structure of cardiovascular characteristics in human pregnancy.

Conventional time-unspecified single measurements of blood pressure and heart rate may be misleading because they may be influenced, among other factors, by the patient's emotional state, position, diet, and external stimuli. All of these effects depend on the stages of a (mathematical) spectrum of rhythms and trends with age. The evaluation of predictable variability in blood pressure and heart rate by (a) the use of fully ambulatory devices, and (b) chronobiologic data processing, assesses early cardiovascular disease risk, e.g., in pregnancy. We have used this approach to quantify changes in 24-h synchronized (circadian) characteristics of cardiovascular variables in two consecutive pregnancies of a clinically healthy woman. Blood pressure and heart rate were automatically monitored, with few interruptions, at 1-h intervals, each time for at least 48 consecutive h, and for a total of 76 days of monitoring in each pregnancy. Circadian parameters of those circulatory variables were computed for each single day of measurement by the least-squares fit of a 24-h cosine curve. Regression analysis of parameters thus obtained revealed patterns of variation of circadian-rhythm-adjusted means and amplitudes with gestational age. In both pregnancies, the predictable variability of the circadian-rhythm-adjusted mean of blood pressure can be approximated by a second-order polynomial model on gestational age: a steady linear decrease in systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressure up to the 22nd week of pregnancy is followed by an increase in blood pressure up to the day of delivery. This longitudinal study confirms and extends to ambulatory everyday life conditions the predictable pregnancy-associated variability in blood pressure and heart rate and also allows the establishment of prediction and confidence limits for cardiovascular parameters in a healthy pregnancy.

Circannual incidence of Giardia lamblia in Mexico.

Giardia lamblia, once considered a harmless commensal organism, has become one of the most common pathogenic intestinal parasites. Evidence for various methods of transmission has accumulated and serious physiological and nutritional disturbances as a result of infestation with this parasite have been clinically documented. Giardia lamblia has now been identified as a causative agent of waterborne, foodborne and sexually transmitted infectious diarrhea. Preventive interventions by health education (especially in personal hygiene) are indicated to reduce its spread in the community. The timing of such educational endeavours may be adjusted to the changes in the incidence of giardiasis if such should be predictable insofar as they are rhythmic. Accordingly, monthly totals of positive detected cases of giardiasis reported in Mexico between 1977 and 1985 were first fitted by linear least-squares with a 1-yr cosine curve. Results indicate a predictable circannual variability of Giardia incidence (P less than 0.001), with a crest time situated on the third week of July and monthly means of detected cases above the yearly average incidence between May and September. The validity of this circannual rhythm was further checked by nonlinear least-squares. Results show a presumably 1-yr synchronized estimated period of 8715.1 hr, with a total predictable change (double amplitude of 1788 cases per month) of 43% the average monthly incidence. Moreover, circannual rhythm parameters computed separately for each consecutive year are similar in terms of acrophase (P = 0.771). Awareness of the thus detected circannual predictable variability in the incidence of giardiasis may be important in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of this infectious disorder. According to the results here found, the timing of prevention interventions by health education should be a readily exploitable factor.

Influence of aspirin usage on blood pressure: dose and administration-time dependencies.

This study investigates the possible effects of acetylsalicylic acid (ASA; aspirin) on systolic (S) and diastolic (D) blood pressure (BP) in healthy and mildly hypertensive subjects receiving ASA at different times according to their rest-activity cycle. A double-blind, randomized, controlled trial was conducted in 73 healthy young adult volunteers and 18 previously untreated subjects with mild hypertension. The BP of each subject was automatically monitored every 30 minutes for 48h before the trial and at the end of a one-week course of placebo and a one-week course of ASA. Healthy volunteers were randomly assigned to one of six groups, defined according to the dose of ASA (either 500 mg/day, the usual commercial dose; or 100 mg/day) and timing of ASA and placebo (within 2h after awakening, Time 1; 7h to 9h after awakening, Time 2; or within 2h of bedtime, Time 3). Subjects with mild hypertension received the low dose of 100 mg/day ASA, as well as one week of placebo, and were randomly assigned to one of the same three groups defined above according to the time of treatment. A small (approximately 2 mmHg in the 24h mean of SBP), but statistically significant, BP reduction was found when 500 mg/day ASA was given to healthy volunteers at Time 2. With 100 mg/day, the effect of ASA in healthy subjects was comparable to the BP reduction found with the higher dose for Time 2; there was again no effect on BP at Time 1, but we found a statistically significant effect at Time 3 (2.3 mmHg reduction in the 24h mean of SBP), larger than for Time 2. For hypertensive patients, the BP reduction was again statistically significant for Time 2 and, to a greater extent, for Time 3 (approximately 4.5 mmHg for both SBP and DBP); all patients in these two groups showed a BP reduction after one week of ASA. The effect was about three times as large as the BP reduction obtained in healthy subjects treated with 100 mg/day ASA. Results indicate a statistically significant time- and dose-dependent effect of ASA on BP. In any meta-analysis of ASA effects, inquiries about the time when subjects took the drug are indicated and may account for discrepancies in the literature. Moreover, the influence of ASA on BP demonstrated here indicates the need to identify and control for ASA effects in patients using ASA before and during their participation in antihypertension medication trials.

Multiple component analysis of plasma growth hormone in children with standard and short stature.

Growth hormone (GH) concentrations (in ng/ml) were determined by radioimmunoassay, in plasma obtained at about 3-hr intervals during a 24-hr sampling span, from 42 boys and 12 girls of short stature (2-4 standard deviations below their peer group mean), and 13 boys and 9 girls of standard stature. Subjects had 11.20 +/- 0.37 years of age at the time of study, and were living on a diurnal waking (approximately 07:30 to approximately 22:30), nocturnal resting routine during sampling. Analysis of these data by single and population-mean cosinor methods as well as by analysis of variance revealed circadian and ultradian prominent components characterizing most groups. Accordingly, a multiple component analysis was undertaken for data of each group separately, as well as for all subjects. A comparison of circadian parameters indicates similar characteristics between short and standard children, whether one compares boys [P = 0.674, 0.371 and 0.749 for comparison of rhythm adjusted means (M), amplitudes (A) and acrophases (phi), respectively], girls (P = 0.993, 0.914 and 0.397), or all children (P = 0.859, 0.712 and 0.865). Differences are found, however, in circasemidian characteristics as well as in the prominent 8-hr ultradian component documented for the short but not for the standard children. These ultradian components should be taken into consideration in the design and later evaluation of a time-specified treatment of children of short stature.

Circadian characteristics of plasma cortisol in children with standard and short stature.

Cortisol (CT) concentrations (in micrograms/dl) were determined by radioimmunoassay in plasma obtained at about 3-hr intervals during a 24-hr sampling span from 42 boys and 13 girls of short stature (2-4 standard deviations below their peer group mean), and from a reference group of 11 boys and 10 girls with standard stature, before any treatment were administered to the former. Subjects were 11.20 +/- 0.37 years of age at the time of study, and were living on a diurnal waking (approximately 07:30 to approximately 22:30), nocturnal resting routine during sampling, consuming the usual hospital diet. Circadian rhythm parameters were computed separately for each group by the single and population-mean cosinor fits of a 24-hr cosine curve. A comparison of circadian parameters indicates a statistically significant difference in acrophase (phi; P = 0.033) between short and standard children, as well as added differences in rhythm-adjusted mean (M; P = 0.011) and phi (P = 0.035) between boys and girls of short stature. These differences, as well as any other added information from relevant marker rhythms, should be taken into account for the time-specification of therapy before treatment starts in children of short stature.

Computation of time-specified tolerance intervals for hybrid time series with nonequidistant sampling, illustrated for plasma growth hormone.

The ideal reference interval for a variable of clinical interest would be specific for all deterministic factors affecting that variable, including the time of sampling in relation to biological rhythms. In particular, growth hormone is characterized in children by circadian and ultradian variability, with high peaks of secretion occurring mainly during sleep. For clinical applications, the use of tolerance intervals has been recommended, and they should substitute, whenever possible, for prediction limits. In the case of hybrid data (time series of data collected from a group of subjects), such a tolerance interval could be very difficult to determine following a parametric approach similar to the procedure used for the computation of prediction intervals, especially when consideration of both within-subjects and among-subjects variances is wanted. Accordingly, we have developed a nonparametric method for the computation of such tolerance intervals. Because the method is based on bootstrap techniques, it does not require the assumption of normality or symmetry in the data and is also more appropriate when dealing with small samples. The method was used to establish time-qualified reference limits for a series of growth hormone sampled around the clock in groups of prepubertal children differentiated according to stature. The use of these tolerance intervals may eliminate many false-positive and false-negative diagnoses that might be obtained when relying on time-unspecified single samples. The provision of such tolerance limits introduces time-specification and time-structure evaluation into prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of growth disorders.

Circannual variation in the incidence of uterine cervix cancer.

The impact of uterine cervix cancer (UCC) can be greatly reduced by regular vaginal examination and other preventive measures. With this aim, UCC screening programs had been developed and applied for several years in Mexico and elsewhere. One point still to be considered in such preventive programs is the possible circannual pattern in the morbidity or mortality of UCC. With the aim of identifying a possible circannual pattern of variation in the incidence of UCC, we analyzed the monthly totals of positive detected cases of UCC in the state of Nuevo León (Mexico) between 1978 and 1987. For eliminating bias due to the seasonal variation in the number of preventive check-ups, data were first expressed in percentage of tests done in the same month. The least-squares fit of a 1-year cosine curve to the data reveals a statistically significant circannual pattern (p = 0.013), with a maximum of relative incidence detected in February. Results indicate UCC incidence higher than the yearly average during the winter, with secondary peaks in August and November. This pattern of variation is similar if one considers separately for analysis the relative incidence of type III, IV, or V UCC (relating to cases suggesting, highly suggesting, or concluding a malignant alteration, respectively). For evaluating the cost-effectiveness of the UCC screening campaign providing these data, the monthly totals of screening check-ups done over the same period were also analyzed. Results reveal a statistically significant circannual rhythm (p < 0.001), with a maximum detected in June.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Circadian rhythm of double (rate-pressure) product in healthy normotensive young subjects.

The double product (DP), systolic blood pressure multiplied by heart rate, is a surrogate measure of myocardial oxygen demand and cardiac workload used increasingly today in medicine. The double product is more strongly correlated with left ventricular mass than the daily blood pressure mean. The purpose of this study was to describe the normative circadian pattern of the double product in healthy normotensive young adults. We studied 125 men and 75 women, 23.0+/-3.3 (mean +/- SD) years of age, without medical history of hypertension and 24h ambulatory systolic/diastolic blood pressure mean consistently below 135/85 mm Hg. Subjects underwent ambulatory blood pressure monitoring at 30-minute intervals for 48 consecutive hours once each season of the year, yielding 930 protocol-correct blood pressure and heart rate time series. Subjects maintained their usual routine of diurnal activity and nocturnal sleep and avoided use of over-the-counter and other medication. Circadian rhythmicity in the double product was established by population multiple-component analysis. The double product rose rapidly from the lowest value, attained 3h before awaking from sleep at night, to a markedly elevated level at the commencement of morning activity. The double product was highest in the afternoon, roughly 7h after the commencement of diurnal activity. In both men and women, the shape of the high-amplitude circadian rhythm in the double product was best described by a complex model composed of three cosine curves having periods of 24h, 12h, and 6h. The 24h mean in the double product of 8092.51+/-42.76 (mean +/- SD) in men was significantly lower than that of 8353.17+/-37.48 in women (P < .001). The circadian double amplitude of the rhythm was statistically significantly greater (P < .001) in men (50% of the 24h mean) than women (44% of the 24h mean). The double product did not differ between seasons in women, but it did in men (P = .017) due to reduced heart rate in summer. The circadian pattern of large amplitude in the double product and its gender differences must be taken into account when using this variable to assess cardiac workload, risk of left ventricular hypertrophy, and efficiency of antihypertensive therapy.

Neonatal cardiovascular dynamics in relation to matroclinous and patroclinous history of high blood pressure.

Genetic risk is a primary contributing factor to the predisposition of a newborn child to elevated blood pressure later in life. An index of this factor is needed to assess in the neonate the success or failure of preventive interventions instituted for the pregnant women. This index could be based on characteristics of blood pressure and heart rate variability measured during the first 2 days after birth. In the search for such an index, the systolic and diastolic blood pressures and heart rates of 127 newborn babies were automatically monitored at about 30-min intervals for 48 h with a Nippon Colin device, starting early after birth. Circadian parameters (obtained by the linear least-squares fit of a 24-h cosine curve to each individual series) and descriptive statistics for the three circulatory variables were used in a multiple regression analysis to compute a linear prediction function for the cardiovascular risk score. This score was obtained for each neonate on the basis of the presence or absence of overt cardiovascular disease, elevated blood pressure, or obesity across two generations, those of the newborn's parents and grandparents. Results from regression indicate that the best model includes the circadian amplitudes of systolic and diastolic blood pressure and the circadian ranges of systolic blood pressure and heart rate. The contributions from patroclinous versus matroclinous family history were then compared. Results show that linear prediction models include the same variables for both paternal and maternal cardiovascular risk score. These results provide a neonatal index of cardiovascular risk, to be used later for the evaluation of the effects on the newborn of intervention for the pregnant women.