Five-Year Outcomes of the Danish Cardiovascular Screening (DANCAVAS) Trial.

BACKGROUND: Limited data suggest a benefit of population-based screening for cardiovascular disease with respect to the risk of death. METHODS: We performed a population-based, parallel-group, randomized, controlled trial involving men 65 to 74 years of age living in 15 Danish municipalities. The participants were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio to undergo screening (the invited group) or not to undergo screening (the control group) for subclinical cardiovascular disease. Randomization was based on computer-generated random numbers and stratified according to municipality. Only the control group was unaware of the trial-group assignments. Screening included noncontrast electrocardiography-gated computed tomography to determine the coronary-artery calcium score and to detect aneurysms and atrial fibrillation, ankle-brachial blood-pressure measurements to detect peripheral artery disease and hypertension, and a blood sample to detect diabetes mellitus and hypercholesterolemia. The primary outcome was death from any cause. RESULTS: A total of 46,611 participants underwent randomization. After exclusion of 85 men who had died or emigrated before being invited to undergo screening, there were 16,736 men in the invited group and 29,790 men in the control group; 10,471 of the men in the invited group underwent screening (62.6%). In intention-to-treat analyses, after a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 2106 men (12.6%) in the invited group and 3915 men (13.1%) in the control group had died (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90 to 1.00; P = 0.06). The hazard ratio for stroke in the invited group, as compared with the control group, was 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86 to 0.99); for myocardial infarction, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.03); for aortic dissection, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.49); and for aortic rupture, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.49 to 1.35). There were no significant between-group differences in safety outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: After more than 5 years, the invitation to undergo comprehensive cardiovascular screening did not significantly reduce the incidence of death from any cause among men 65 to 74 years of age. (Funded by the Southern Region of Denmark and others; DANCAVAS ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN12157806.).

User-defined outcomes of the Danish cardiovascular screening (DANCAVAS) trial: A post hoc analyses of a population-based, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The Danish cardiovascular screening (DANCAVAS) trial, a nationwide trial designed to investigate the impact of cardiovascular screening in men, did not decrease all-cause mortality, an outcome decided by the investigators. However, the target group may have varied preferences. In this study, we aimed to evaluate whether men aged 65 to 74 years requested a CT-based cardiovascular screening examination and to assess its impact on outcomes determined by their preferences. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This is a post hoc study of the randomised DANCAVAS trial. All men 65 to 74 years of age residing in specific areas of Denmark were randomised (1:2) to invitation-to-screening (16,736 men, of which 10,471 underwent screening) or usual-care (29,790 men). The examination included among others a non-contrast CT scan (to assess the coronary artery calcium score and aortic aneurysms). Positive findings prompted preventive treatment with atorvastatin, aspirin, and surveillance/surgical evaluation. The usual-care group remained unaware of the trial and the assignments. The user-defined outcome was based on patient preferences and determined through a survey sent in January 2023 to a random sample of 9,095 men from the target group, with a 68.0% response rate (6,182 respondents). Safety outcomes included severe bleeding and mortality within 30 days after cardiovascular surgery. Analyses were performed on an intention-to-screen basis. Prevention of stroke and myocardial infarction was the primary motivation for participating in the screening examination. After a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 1,800 of 16,736 men (10.8%) in the invited-to-screening group and 3,420 of 29,790 (11.5%) in the usual-care group experienced an event (hazard ratio (HR), 0.93 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.88 to 0.98; p = 0.010); number needed to invite at 6 years, 148 (95% CI, 80 to 986)). A total of 324 men (1.9%) in the invited-to-screening group and 491 (1.7%) in the usual-care group had an intracranial bleeding (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.35; p = 0.029). Additionally, 994 (5.9%) in the invited-to-screening group and 1,722 (5.8%) in the usual-care group experienced severe gastrointestinal bleeding (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.11; p = 0.583). No differences were found in mortality after cardiovascular surgery. The primary limitation of the study is that exclusive enrolment of men aged 65 to 74 renders the findings non-generalisable to women or men of other age groups. CONCLUSION: In this comprehensive population-based cardiovascular screening and intervention program, we observed a reduction in the user-defined outcome, stroke and myocardial infarction, but entail a small increased risk of intracranial bleeding. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN12157806 https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN12157806.

The association between diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysms in men: results of two Danish screening studies, a systematic review, and a meta-analysis of population-based screening studies.

BACKGROUND: A paradoxical protective effect of diabetes on the development and progression of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has been known for years. This study aimed to investigate whether the protective role of diabetes on AAAs has evolved over the years. METHODS: A cross-sectional study, a systematic review and meta-analysis. This study was based on two large, population-based, randomised screening trials of men aged 65-74; VIVA (2008-2011) and DANCAVAS (2014-2018), including measurement of the abdominal aorta by ultrasound or CT, respectively. Analyses were performed using multiple logistic regressions to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) for AAAs in men with diabetes compared to those not having diabetes. Moreover, a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based screening studies of AAAs to visualise a potential change of the association between diabetes and AAAs. Studies reporting only on women or Asian populations were excluded. RESULTS: In VIVA, the prevalence of AAA was 3.3%, crude OR for AAA in men with diabetes 1.04 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.80-1.34), and adjusted OR 0.64 (CI 0.48-0.84). In DANCAVAS, the prevalence of AAA was 4.2%, crude OR 1.44 (CI 1.11-1.87), and adjusted OR 0.78 (CI 0.59-1.04). Twenty-three studies were identified for the meta-analysis (N = 224 766). The overall crude OR was 0.90 (CI 0.77-1.05) before 2000 and 1.16 (CI 1.03-1.30) after 1999. The overall adjusted OR was 0.63 (CI 0.59-0.69) before 2000 and 0.69 (CI 0.57-0.84) after 1999. CONCLUSION: Both the crude and adjusted OR showed a statistically non-significant trend towards an increased risk of AAA by the presence of diabetes. If this represents an actual trend, it could be due to a change in the diabetes population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: DANCAVAS: Current Controlled Trials: ISRCTN12157806. VIVA: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00662480.

Cost effectiveness of population screening vs. no screening for cardiovascular disease: the Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial (DANCAVAS).

AIMS: A recent trial has shown that screening of men for cardiovascular disease (CVD) may reduce all-cause mortality. This study assesses the cost effectiveness of such screening vs. no screening from the perspective of European healthcare systems. METHODS AND RESULTS: Randomized controlled trial-based cost-effectiveness evaluation with a mean 5.7 years of follow-up. Screening was based on low-dose computed tomography to detect coronary artery calcification and aortic/iliac aneurysms, limb blood pressure measurement to detect peripheral artery disease and hypertension, telemetric assessment of the heart rhythm to detect atrial fibrillation, and measurements of the cholesterol and HgbA1c levels. Censoring-adjusted incremental costs, life years (LY), and quality-adjusted LY (QALY) were estimated and used for cost-effectiveness analysis. The incremental cost of screening for the entire health care sector was €207 [95% confidence interval (CI) -24; 438, P = 0.078] per invitee for which gains of 0.019 LY (95% CI -0.007; 0.045, P = 0.145) and 0.023 QALY (95% CI -0.001; 0.046, P = 0.051) were achieved. The corresponding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were of €10 812 per LY and €9075 per QALY, which would be cost effective at probabilities of 0.73 and 0.83 for a willingness to pay of €20 000. Assessment of population heterogeneity showed that cost effectiveness could be more attractive for younger men without CVD at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Comprehensive screening for CVD is overall cost effective at conventional thresholds for willingness to pay and also competitive to the cost effectiveness of common cancer screening programmes. The screening target group, however, needs to be settled.

Association Between Diverticular Disease and Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: Pooled Analysis of Two Population Based Screening Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The aetiology of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is multifactorial, and many risk factors are shared with diverticular disease. It is unknown whether an independent association exists between these conditions. METHODS: Individuals enrolled in two Danish population based randomised AAA screening trials and assigned to cross sectional screening and evaluation of cardiovascular risk factors were identified. Diagnoses of diverticular disease were interrogated from a national patient registry covering the period from 1977 to the screening date. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% CI were calculated as risk measures. RESULTS: 24,632 individuals (median age, 69 years) were included. At screening, 687 patients had pre-existing diverticular disease. Patients with diverticular disease were more likely to have AAA at screening compared with those without diverticular disease (5.2% vs. 3.3%) (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.14-2.27). This association persisted after adjusting for potential confounders (aOR 1.49, 95% CI 1.04-2.12) and on sensitivity analyses. The association was most pronounced for those with a diagnosis of diverticular disease for at least 10 years (aOR 2.56, 95% CI 1.49-4.38). Following screening, 6.2% of patients with diverticular disease and AAA experienced aneurysm rupture, compared with 2.2% of patients with AAA without diverticular disease (aHR 4.1, 95% CI 1.6-10.8). CONCLUSION: An association was found between diverticular disease and AAA in a large population based cohort. Biological causality remains to be established, and a potential impact of diverticular disease on the natural history of AAA needs to be explored further.

Evaluation of acute ischemia in pre-procedure ECG predicts myocardial salvage after primary PCI in STEMI patients with symptoms >12hours.

BACKGROUND: Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) is recommended in patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) and symptom duration <12hours. However, a considerable amount of myocardium might still be salvaged in STEMI patients with symptom durations >12hours (late-presenters). The Anderson-Wilkin's score (AW-score) estimates the acuteness of myocardial ischemia from the electrocardiogram (ECG) in STEMI patients. We hypothesized that the AW-score is superior to symptom duration in identifying substantial salvage potential in late-presenters. METHODS: The AW-score (range 1-4) was obtained from the pre-pPCI ECG in 55 late-presenters and symptoms 12-72 hours. Myocardial perfusion imaging was performed to assess area at risk before pPCI and after 30days to assess myocardial salvage index (MSI). We correlated both the AW-score and pain-to-balloon with MSI and determined the salvage potential (MSI) according to AW-score ≥3 (acute ischemia) and AW-score <3 (late ischemia). RESULTS: Late-presenters had median MSI 53% (inter quartile range (IQR) 27-89). The AW-score strongly correlated with MSI (ß=0.60, R(2)=0.36, p<0.0001), while pain-to-balloon time did not (ß=-0.21, R(2)=0.04, p=0.14). Patients with AW-score ≥3 (n=16) compared to those with AW-score <3 (n=27) had significant larger MSI (82.7% vs 41.5%, p=0.014). MSI>median was observed in 79% in patients with AW-score ≥3 vs 32% in patients with AW-score <3 (adjusted OR 6.74 [95% CI 1.35-33.69], p=0.02). CONCLUSION: AW-score was strongly associated with myocardial salvage while pain-to-balloon time was not. STEMI patients with symptom duration between 12 -72hours and AW-score ≥3 achieved substantial salvage after pPCI.

Association of Autoimmune Diseases With Coronary Atherosclerosis Severity and Ischemic Events.

BACKGROUND: Some autoimmune diseases carry elevated risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), yet the underlying mechanism and the influence of traditional risk factors remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine whether autoimmune diseases independently correlate with coronary atherosclerosis and ASCVD risk and whether traditional cardiovascular risk factors modulate the risk. METHODS: The study included 85,512 patients from the Western Denmark Heart Registry undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography. A diagnosis of 1 of 18 autoimmune diseases was assessed. Adjusted OR (aOR) for any plaque, any coronary artery calcification (CAC), CAC of >90th percentile, and obstructive coronary artery disease as well as adjusted HR (aHR) for ASCVD were calculated. RESULTS: During 5.3 years (Q1-Q3: 2.8-8.2 years) of follow-up, 3,832 ASCVD events occurred. A total of 4,064 patients had a diagnosis of autoimmune disease, which was associated with both presence of any plaque (aOR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.20-1.40), any CAC (aOR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.19-1.37), and severe CAC of >90th percentile (aOR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.39-1.68), but not with having obstructive coronary artery disease (aOR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.91-1.17). Patients with autoimmune diseases had a 46% higher risk (aHR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.29-1.65) for ASCVD. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were strongly associated with future ASCVD events, and a favorable cardiovascular risk factor profile in autoimmune patients was associated with ∼54% lower risk compared to patients with presence of risk factors (aHR: 0.46; 95% CI: 0.27-0.81). CONCLUSIONS: Autoimmune diseases were independently associated with higher burden of coronary atherosclerosis and higher risk for future ASCVD events, with risk accentuated by traditional cardiovascular risk factors. These findings suggest that autoimmune diseases increase risk through accelerated atherogenesis and that cardiovascular risk factor control is key for improving prognosis in patients with autoimmune diseases.

Diagnostic and Clinical Value of FFRCT in Stable Chest Pain Patients With Extensive Coronary Calcification: The FACC Study.

BACKGROUND: The influence of extensive coronary calcifications on the diagnostic and prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography-derived fractional flow reserve (FFRCT) has been scantily investigated. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic and short-term role of FFRCT in chest pain patients with Agatston score (AS) >399. METHODS: This was a prospective multicenter study of 260 stable patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) and AS >399. FFRCT was measured blinded by an independent core laboratory. All patients underwent invasive coronary angiography (ICA) and FFR if indicated. The agreement of FFRCT ≤0.80 with hemodynamically significant CAD on ICA/FFR (≥50% left main or ≥70% epicardial artery stenosis and/or FFR ≤0.80) was assessed. Patients undergoing FFR had colocation FFRCT measured, and the lowest per-patient FFRCT was registered in all patients. The association among per-patient FFRCT, coronary revascularization, and major clinical events (all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or unstable angina hospitalization) at 90-day follow-up was evaluated. RESULTS: Median age and AS were 68.5 years (IQR: 63-74 years) and 895 (IQR: 587-1,513), respectively. FFRCT was ≤0.80 in 204 patients (78%). Colocation FFRCT (n = 112) showed diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity to identify hemodynamically significant CAD of 71%, 87%, and 54%. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) was 0.75. When using the lowest FFRCT (n = 260), per-patient accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 57%, 95%, and 32%, respectively. The AUC was 0.84. A total of 85 patients underwent revascularization, and FFRCT was ≤0.80 in 96% of these. During follow-up, major clinical events occurred in 3 patients (1.2%), all with FFRCT ≤0.80. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with AS >399 had FFRCT ≤0.80. Using ICA/FFR as the reference revealed a moderate diagnostic accuracy of colocation FFRCT. Compared with the lowest per-patient FFRCT, colocation FFRCT measurement improved diagnostic accuracy and specificity. The 90-day follow-up was favorable with few coronary revascularizations and no major clinical events occurring in patients with FFRCT >0.80. (Use of FFR-CT in Stable Intermediate Chest Pain Patients With Severe Coronary Calcium Score [FACC]; NCT03548753).

Association of Left Atrial Size Measured by Non-Contrast Computed Tomography with Cardiovascular Risk Factors-The Danish Cardiovascular Screening Trial (DANCAVAS).

Left atrium (LA) size is associated with adverse cardiovascular events. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of LA enlargement measured by non-contrast CT (NCCT) with traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Individuals aged 60-75 years from the population-based multicentre Danish Cardiovascular Screening (DANCAVAS) trial were included in this cross-sectional study. The LA was manually traced on the NCCT scans, and the largest cross-section area was indexed to body surface area. All traditional risk factors were recorded, and a subgroup received an echocardiographic examination. We enrolled 14,987 individuals. Participants with known cardiovascular disease or lacking measurements of LA size or body surface area were excluded, resulting in 10,902 men for the main analysis and 616 women for a sensitivity analysis. Adjusted multivariable analysis showed a significantly increased indexed LA size by increasing age and pulse pressure, while smoking, HbA1c, and total cholesterol were associated with decreased indexed LA size. The findings were confirmed in a supplementary analysis including left ventricle ejection fraction and mass. In this population-based cohort of elderly men, an association was found between age and pulse pressure and increasing LA size. Surprisingly, smoking, HbA1c, and total cholesterol were associated with a decrease in LA size. This indicates that the pathophysiology behind atrial cardiomyopathy is not only reflected by enlargement, but also shrinking.

Prevalence and extent of coronary artery calcification in the middle-aged and elderly population.

AIMS: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) measured on cardiac computed tomography (CT) is an important risk marker for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and has been included in the prevention guidelines. The aim of this study was to describe CAC score reference values in the middle-aged and elderly population and to develop a freely available CAC calculator. METHODS AND RESULTS: All participants from two population-based cardiac CT screening cohorts (DanRisk and DANCAVAS) were included. The CAC score was measured as a part of a screening session. Positive CAC scores were log-transformed and non-parametrically regressed on age for each gender, and percentile curves were transposed according to proportions of zero CAC scores. Men had higher CAC scores than women, and the prevalence and extend of CAC increased steadily with age. An online CAC calculator was developed, http://flscripts.dk/cacscore. After entering sex, age, and CAC score, the CAC score percentile and the coronary age are depicted including a figure with the specific CAC score and 25%, 50%, 75%, and 90% percentiles. The specific CAC score can be compared to the entire background population or only those without prior CVD. CONCLUSION: This study provides modern population-based reference values of CAC scores in men and woman and a freely accessible online CAC calculator. Physicians and patients are very familiar with blood pressure and lipids, but unfamiliar with CAC scores. Using the calculator makes it easy to see if a CAC value is low, moderate, or high, when a physician in the future communicate and discusses a CAC score with a patient.

Mitral Annulus Calcification and Cardiac Conduction Disturbances: A DANCAVAS Sub-study.

BACKGROUND: Due to its location very close to the bundle of His, mitral annulus calcification (MAC) might be associated with the development of atrioventricular (AV) conduction disturbances. This study assessed the association between MAC and AV conduction disturbances identified by cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) use and electrocardiographic parameters. The association between MAC and traditional cardiovascular risk factors was also assessed. METHODS: This cross-sectional study analyzed 14,771 participants, predominantly men aged 60-75 years, from the population-based Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were obtained. Using cardiac non-contrast computed tomography imaging, MAC scores were measured using the Agatston method and divided into absent versus present and score categories. CIED implantation data were obtained from the Danish Pacemaker and Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Register. A 12-lead electrocardiogram was available for 2,107 participants. Associations between MAC scores and AV conduction disturbances were assessed using multivariate regression analyses. RESULTS: MAC was present in 22.4% of the study subjects. Participants with pacemakers for an AV conduction disturbance had significantly higher MAC scores (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.23) than participants without a CIED, whereas participants with a CIED for other reasons did not. Prolonged QRS-interval was significantly associated with the presence of MAC (OR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.04-2.04), whereas prolonged PQ-interval was not. Female sex and most traditional cardiovascular risk factors were significantly associated with high MAC scores. CONCLUSIONS: MAC was associated with AV conduction disturbances, which could improve our understanding of the development of AV conduction disturbances.

Influence of intensive lipid-lowering on CT derived fractional flow reserve in patients with stable chest pain: Rationale and design of the FLOWPROMOTE study.

INTRODUCTION: Coronary CT angiography (CTA) derived fractional flow reserve (FFRCT ) shows high diagnostic performance when compared to invasively measured FFR. Presence and extent of low attenuation plaque density have been shown to be associated with abnormal physiology by measured FFR. Moreover, it is well established that statin therapy reduces the rate of plaque progression and results in morphology alterations underlying atherosclerosis. However, the interplay between lipid lowering treatment, plaque regression, and the coronary physiology has not previously been investigated. AIM: To test whether lipid lowering therapy is associated with significant improvement in FFRCT , and whether there is a dose-response relationship between lipid lowering intensity, plaque regression, and coronary flow recovery. METHODS: Investigator driven, prospective, multicenter, randomized study of patients with stable angina, coronary stenosis ≥50% determined by clinically indicated first-line CTA, and FFRCT ≤ 0.80 in whom coronary revascularization was deferred. Patients are randomized to standard (atorvastatin 40 mg daily) or intensive (rosuvastatin 40 mg + ezetimibe 10 mg daily) lipid lowering therapy for 18 months. Coronary CTA scans with blinded coronary plaque and FFRCT analyses will be repeated after 9 and 18 months. The primary endpoint is the 18-month difference in FFRCT using (1) the FFRCT value 2 cm distal to stenosis and (2) the lowest distal value in the vessel of interest. A total of 104 patients will be included in the study. CONCLUSION: The results of this study will provide novel insights into the interplay between lipid lowering, and the pathophysiology in coronary artery disease.

Primary angioplasty versus fibrinolysis in acute myocardial infarction: long-term follow-up in the Danish acute myocardial infarction 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: The Danish Acute Myocardial Infarction 2 (DANAMI-2) study found that primary angioplasty (primary percutaneous coronary intervention [pPCI]) compared with fibrinolysis reduced 30-day adverse events in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. The present study investigated whether the benefit of pPCI was maintained at a long-term follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: We randomly assigned 1572 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction-1129 patients at referral hospitals and 443 patients at invasive hospitals-to pPCI or fibrinolysis. Median time from randomization to arrival in the catheterization laboratory for patients admitted to referral hospitals was 67 minutes, with 96% of patients arriving in the catheterization laboratory within 120 minutes. The primary study end point was a composite of death or reinfarction. Median follow-up time was 7.8 years. For the primary end point, 8-year cumulative incidence (1-Kaplan-Meier) was 34.8% in the pPCI group and 41.3% in the fibrinolysis group (hazard ratio, 0.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.66 to 0.92). Reinfarction rates were reduced in the pPCI group (11.7% versus 18.5%; hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% confidence interval, 0.46 to 0.77). Among patients randomized at referral hospitals, pPCI reduced reinfarction (13% versus 18.5%; hazard ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.49 to 0.89) and mortality (26.7% versus 33.3%; hazard ratio, 0.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.63 to 0.97). CONCLUSIONS: The benefit of pPCI over fibrinolysis was maintained at a long-term follow-up. pPCI reduced the risk of reinfarction in the overall cohort and reduced reinfarction and mortality among patients randomized at referral hospitals. This result reinforces that pPCI should be offered to ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients when interhospital transport to an invasive hospital can be completed within 120 minutes.

Prognostic importance of left atrial size measured by non-contrast cardiac computed tomography - A DANCAVAS study.

BACKGROUND: Enlargement of left atrium (LA) is a valuable marker of cardiovascular events, and LA size is readily available while performing non-contrast cardiac computed tomography (NCCT) for preventive purposes. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of a single LA area from NCCT in a population-based cohort. METHOD: Mainly men aged 60-75 years from DANCAVAS were included. Traditional risk factors were recorded, and an NCCT scan performed at baseline. Coronary artery calcifications (CAC) score and the largest LA area were measured. LA was indexed to body surface area and categorised into four groups. Data on incident atrial fibrillation (AF), thromboembolic events, heart failure (HF) and death were obtained from Danish national registries. RESULTS: In total, 14,557 individuals were eligible, excluding those without LA measurement (N = 232) and with heart valve replacement (N = 197). Known AF or HF were respectively excluded from follow-up. Median follow-up time was 2.1 to 3.4 years. In total, 304 developed AF, 149 had thromboembolism, 129 developed HF and 482 died. In adjusted analysis, LA enlargement was associated with AF (HR (95% CI): large 1.99 (1.46-2.71) and very large LA 3.77 (2.31-6.14)) and HF (large 2.40 (1.50-3.85) and very large LA 6.54 (4.07-10.51)). A very large LA significantly increased mortality (HR: 2.01 (1.44-2.82)), and was associated with a two-fold increased risk of thromboembolism; however, not significantly in adjusted analysis (p = 0.09). CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that determination of LA area from NCCT was an important predictor of AF, HF and death. This knowledge could inform current risk assessment beyond CAC score.

Population-Based Risk Factors for Ascending, Arch, Descending, and Abdominal Aortic Dilations for 60-74-Year-Old Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Aortic dilations (ectasias and aneurysms) may occur on any segment of the aorta. Pathogenesis varies between locations, suggesting that etiology and risk factors may differ. Despite this discrepancy, guidelines recommend screening of the whole aorta if 1 segmental dilation is discovered. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the most dominant predictors for dilations at the ascending, arch, descending, and abdominal part of the aorta, and to establish comprehensive risk factor profiles for each aortic segment. METHODS: Individuals aged 60-74 years were randomly selected to participate in DANCAVAS I+II (Danish Cardiovascular Multicenter Screening Trials). Participants underwent cardiovascular risk assessments, including blood samples, blood pressure readings, medical records, and noncontrast computed tomography scans. Adjusted odds ratios for potential risk factors of dilations were estimated by multivariate logistic analyses. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 14,989 participants (14,235 men, 754 women) with an average age of 68 ± 4 years. The highest adjusted odd ratios for having any aortic dilation were observed when coexisting aortic dilations were present. Other noteworthy predictors included coexisting iliac dilations, hypertension, increasing body surface area, male sex, familial disposition, and atrial fibrillation, which were present in various combinations for the different aortic parts. Smoking and acute myocardial infarction were inversely associated with ascending and abdominal dilations. Diabetes was a shared protective factor. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors differ for aortic dilations between locations. The most dominant predictor for having a dilation at any aortic segment is the presence of an aortic dilation elsewhere. This supports current guidelines when recommending a full screening of the aorta if a focal aortic dilation is discovered.

Cross-sectional study of aortic valve calcification and cardiovascular risk factors in older Danish men.

OBJECTIVE: Aortic valve calcification (AVC) and coronary artery calcification (CAC) are predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD), presumably sharing risk factors. Our objectives were to determine the prevalence and extent of AVC in a large population of men aged 60-74 years and to assess the association between AVC and cardiovascular risk factors including CAC and biomarkers. METHODS: Participants from the DANish CArdioVAscular Screening and intervention trial (DANCAVAS) with AVC and CAC scores and without previous valve replacement were included in the study. Calcification scores were calculated on non-contrast CT scans. Cardiovascular risk factors were self-reported, measured or both, and further explored using descriptive and regression analysis for AVC association. RESULTS: 14 073 men aged 60-74 years were included. The AVC scores ranged from 0 to 9067 AU, with a median AVC of 6 AU (IQR 0-82). In 8156 individuals (58.0%), the AVC score was >0 and 215 (1.5%) had an AVC score ≥1200. In the regression analysis, all cardiovascular risk factors were associated with AVC; however, after inclusion of CAC ≥400, only age (ratio of expected counts (REC) 1.07 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.09)), hypertension (REC 1.24 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.41)), obesity (REC 1.34 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.50)), known CVD (REC 1.16 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.31)) and serum phosphate (REC 2.25 (95% CI 1.66 to 3.10) remained significantly associated, while smoking, diabetes, hyperlipidaemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate and serum calcium were not. CONCLUSIONS: AVC was prevalent in the general population of men aged 60-74 years and was significantly associated with all modifiable cardiovascular risk factors, but only selectively after adjustment for CAC ≥400 AU. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03946410 and ISRCTN12157806.

Reduction of Myocardial Infarction and All-Cause Mortality Associated to Statins in Patients Without Obstructive CAD.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this work was to evaluate the prognostic impact of statin therapy in symptomatic patients without obstructive CAD. BACKGROUND: Information on the prognostic impact of post-coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) statin use in patients with no or nonobstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) is sparse. METHODS: Patients undergoing CTA with suspected CAD in western Denmark from 2008 to 2017 with <50% coronary stenoses were identified. Information on post-CTA use of statin therapy and cardiovascular events were obtained from national registries. RESULTS: The study included 33,552 patients, median aged 56 years, 58% female, with no (n = 19,669) or nonobstructive (n = 13,883) CAD and a median follow-up of 3.5 years. The absolute risk of the combined end point of myocardial infarction (MI) or all-cause mortality was directly associated with the CAD burden with an event rate/1,000 patient-years of 4.13 (95% CI: 3.69-4.61) in no, 7.74 (95% CI: 6.88-8.71) in mild (coronary artery calcium score [CACS] 0-99), 13.72 (95% CI: 11.61-16.23) in moderate (CACS 100-399), and 32.47 (95% CI: 26.25-40.16) in severe (CACS ≥400) nonobstructive CAD. Statin therapy was associated with a multivariable adjusted HR for MI and death of 0.52 (95% CI: 0.36-0.75) in no, 0.44 (95% CI: 0.32-0.62) in mild, 0.51 (95% CI: 0.34-0.75) in moderate, and 0.52 (95% CI: 0.32-0.86) in severe nonobstructive CAD. The estimated numbers needed to treat to prevent the primary end point were 92 (95% CI: 61-182) in no, 36 (95% CI: 26-58) in mild, 24 (95% CI: 15-61) in moderate, and 13 (95% CI: 7-86) in severe nonobstructive CAD. Residual confounding may persist, but not to an extent explaining all of the observed risk reduction associated with statin treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of MI and all-cause mortality in patients without obstructive CAD is directly associated with the CAD burden. Statin therapy is associated with a reduction of MI and all-cause death across the spectrum of CAD, however, the absolute benefit of treatment is directionally proportional with the CAD burden.

Individual, expected diameters of the ascending aorta and prevalence of dilations in a study-population aged 60-74 years: a DANCAVAS substudy.

To determine individual, expected normal diameters of the ascending aorta (AAo) and prevalence of dilations based upon an absolute cut-off point (≥ 40 mm) and individual cut-off point (≥ 25% than expected normal). Non-contrast computed tomography (CT) scans were obtained in 14,993 individuals (95.0% male, mean age 67.8 ± 3.8). A sub-group (n = 291) had AAo diameter measured by transthoracic echocardiography. A prediction formula for AAo diameters was created from multivariate linear regression analysis based upon gender, age, and body surface area. An index was made by dividing observed diameters with predicted diameters. A size-index ≥ 1.25 was defined as dilated. Prevalence of AAo dilations among males and females using 40 mm as cut-off point were 10.6% and 2.1% (p < 0.001), respectively, while 3.3% and 2.6% (p = 0.305) using the size-index ≥ 1.25, respectively. Proportion of agreement between cases of AAo dilations from the size-index and 40 mm was 93.0%. Using the size-index as 'golden standard' for dilation, the sensitivity and specificity using 40 mm as cut-off point for males were 100.0% and 92.4%, respectively, while 75.0% and 99.9%, respectively, for females. For males and females, the positive predicted values were 31.3% and 93.8%, respectively; the negative predicted values were 100.0% and 99.3%, respectively. An absolute echocardiographic size-criterion of 40 mm entails a significant number of females with missed AAo dilation, and a large number of males are mistaken to have dilated AAo. Thus, AAo diameters should be evaluated in relation to gender, age and BSA. This study provides a formula for potential clinical implementation.

Infarct size and myocardial salvage after primary angioplasty in patients presenting with symptoms for <12 h vs. 12-72 h.

AIMS: Primary angioplasty for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is recommended only if symptom duration is <12 h. We evaluated final infarct size (FIS) and myocardial salvage in early presenters (<12 h) vs. late presenters (12-72 h) undergoing primary angioplasty. METHODS AND RESULTS: Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) was performed acutely to assess area at risk (AAR) before angioplasty and repeated after 30 days to assess FIS (% of LV myocardium), salvage index (% non-infarcted AAR), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Late presenters (n = 55) compared with early presenters (n = 341) had larger median FIS [14% (inter-quartile range 3-30) vs. 7% (2-18), P = 0.005], lower salvage index [53% (27-89) vs. 69% (45-91), P = 0.05], and lower LVEF [48% (44-58%) vs. 53% (47-59), P = 0.04]. However, FIS, salvage index, and LVEF correlated weakly with symptom duration (R(2)-values <0.10). In patients with TIMI-flow 0 (n = 247), late presenters had lower salvage index than early presenters [44% (23-73) vs. 57% (42-86), P = 0.03], but substantial salvage (>50% of AAR) was observed in 41% of late presenters despite total infarct-artery occlusion. CONCLUSION: FIS is larger in late presenters (>12 h) than early presenters after primary angioplasty for STEMI. However, substantial myocardial salvage can be obtained beyond the 12 h limit, even when the infarct-related artery is totally occluded.

Survival, Prevalence, Progression and Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: Results from Three Randomised Controlled Screening Trials Over Three Decades.

AIM: The prevalence and mortality of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has been reported to decline. The aim of this study is to compare survival, prevalence, and repair rate of AAA in Denmark in the 1990s, the 2000s and the 2010s - and to examine any change in factors known to influence the prevalence. METHODS: Baseline status and up to 5-year outcomes of 34,079 general population men aged 65-74 were obtained from three RCTs; the Viborg study (1994-1998, n=4,860), the Viborg Vascular (VIVA) trial (2008-2011, n=18,748), and the Danish Cardiovascular (DANCAVAS) trial (2015-2018, n=10,471). After the millennium (VIVA and DANCAVAS) men with AAA were further offered low dose aspirin and statins. Follow-up data were not available for the DANCAVAS trial yet. RESULTS: Across the three decades, the AAA prevalence was 3.8% (Reference), 3.3% (p<0.001) and 4.2% (p=0.882), the proportion of smokers were 62%, 42% and 34% (p<0.001) amongst men with AAA, but AAA risk associations with smoking increased during the decades suggesting increased tobacco consumption of smokers. In addition, the proportions of attenders with ischemic heart disease or stroke increased significantly. The aneurysmal progression rate in the 1990s was 2.90 vs 2.98 mm/year in the 2000s (p=0.91). The need for preventive AAA repair increased insignificantly in the 2000s (Age adj. HR= 1.29, 95% C.I.: 0.95; 1.71, p=0.10), and mortality of men with screen-detected AAA was lower in the 2000s compared to the 1990s (Age-adj. HR= 0.28, 95% C.I.: 0.22; 0.36, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: The Danish prevalence of AAA today compares to the nineties. Unchanged aneurysmal progression rates combined with improved survival of men at risk of AAA leave them in longer time to develop an AAA, be diagnosed and to need later aneurysmal repair or experience rupture. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATIONS: Viborg study: No possibility of registration in the nineties. VIVA: NCT00662480, URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/show/NCT00662480, DANCAVAS: ISRCTN12157806, URL: http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN12157806.