Inferring Incidence of Unreported SARS-CoV-2 Infections Using Seroprevalence of Open Reading Frame 8 Antigen, Hong Kong.

We tested seroprevalence of open reading frame 8 antigens to infer the number of unrecognized SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infections in Hong Kong during 2022. We estimate 33.6% of the population was infected, 72.1% asymptomatically. Surveillance and control activities during large-scale outbreaks should account for potentially substantial undercounts.

Prevalence of oral human papillomavirus infection among the general adult population in Hong Kong.

A cross-sectional study in 2021-23 collected oral rinse gargle samples from an human papillomaviruses (HPV) vaccine-naïve general adult population in Hong Kong. HPV was detected by a PCR using SPF10 primers, and genotyped by a linear array covering 25 genotypes. Epidemiologic information including sociodemographics, medical history, oral health, and sexual behavior were collected by a self-administered questionnaire. Altogether, 2323 subjects aged 18-75 (median 47) years with 50.1% male were recruited. The prevalence for oral HPV infection with all genotypes combined, high-risk, and low-risk genotypes was 1.5%, 0.7%, and 0.7%, respectively; and with no statistically significant difference between participant gender. The prevalence increased with age and was highest in women at 45-54 years (2.7% for all genotypes combined), and highest in men aged >64 years (4.1% for all genotypes combined). HPV52 was the most common genotype among all participants. Univariate analysis suggested more lifetime sexual or oral sexual partners as risk factors, but they did not reach statistical significance upon multivariate analysis; whereas higher educational level had an independent protective effect. To conclude, oral HPV prevalence increased with age in Hong Kong. Strategies to prevent oral HPV infection and the associated cancers are urgently needed.

Evaluating the impact of sugar-sweetened beverages tax on overweight, obesity, and type 2 diabetes in an affluent Asian setting: A willingness-to-pay survey and simulation analysis.

BACKGROUND: The potential health effects of taxing sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has been insufficiently examined in Asian contexts. This study aimed to assess the impact of SSB taxation on the prevalence of obesity/overweight and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Hong Kong using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) survey and simulation analysis. METHODS: A random telephone survey was conducted with 1000 adults from May to June 2020. We used a contingent valuation approach to assess individuals' WTP for SSBs under four tax payment scenarios (5%, 10%, 40%, and 50% of the current market price). Based on the WTP, a simulation analysis was conducted to project changes in SSB purchase and associated reductions in the prevalence of obesity/overweight and T2DM over a 10-year simulation period. FINDINGS: When 5% and 10% taxation rates were introduced, approximately one-third of the population were unwilling to maintain their SSB purchase. Our simulation demonstrated a gradual decline in the prevalence of obesity/overweight and diabetes with a more pronounced decrease when higher taxation rates were introduced. 10% taxation resulted in a mean reduction of 1532.7 cases of overweight/obesity per 100 thousand population at the sixth year, while T2DM prevalence decreased by 267.1 (0.3%). CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the effects of an SSB tax on purchase behaviors and health outcomes in an affluent Asia setting, with a more pronounced influence on adult population. These findings are expected to inform policymakers in making decisions regarding an effective and equitable tax rate on SSBs.

Association between asthma and COVID-19 severity during Omicron epidemic: a retrospective cohort study using real-world data.

BACKGROUND: The available evidence presented inconsistencies and inconclusive findings regarding the associations between co-existing asthma and mortality among COVID-19 patients. The objective of the current study is to investigate the relationship between asthma and severe outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection in an infection-naïve population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using propensity score matching was conducted. The COVID-19 patients requiring hospitalisation in Hong Kong from January 1, 2022, to November 13, 2022, an Omicron-predominated period, were identified. Severe clinical outcomes were defined as ICU admission and inpatient death after the first positive PCR results as well as a composite outcome of both. RESULTS: Of the 74,396 hospitalised COVID-19 patients admitted, 1,290 asthma patients and 18,641 non-asthma patients were included in the matched cohort. The rates of death and the composite outcome were 15·3% and 17·2%, respectively, among the non-asthma patients,12·2% and 13·6%, respectively, among the asthma patients, with adjusted hazard ratios equal to 0·775 (95% CI: 0·660-0·909) and 0·770 (95% CI: 0·662-0·895), respectively. The negative association was more apparent in the elderly and female groups. Asthma remained a factor that lowered the risk of disease severity even though the patients were not fully vaccinated with at least two doses. CONCLUSIONS: We used real-world data to demonstrate that asthma was not a risk factor for COVID-19 severity of the infections of Omicron variant, even though the patients were not fully vaccinated.

Air pollutants, seasonal influenza, and acute otitis media in children: a population-based analysis using 22-year hospitalization data.

BACKGROUND: Acute otitis media (AOM) is a prevalent childhood acute illness, with 13.6 million pediatric office visits annually, often stemming from upper respiratory tract infections (URI) and affected by environmental factors like air pollution and cold seasons. METHODS: Herein, we made use of territory-wide hospitalization data to investigate the relationships between meteorological factors, air pollutants, influenza infection, and AOM for children observed from 1998 to 2019 in Hong Kong. Quasi-Poisson generalized additive model, combined with a distributed-lag non-linear model, was employed to examine the relationship between weekly AOM admissions in children and weekly influenza-like illness-positive (ILI +) rates, as well as air pollutants (i.e., oxidant gases, sulfur dioxide, and fine particulate matter), while accounting for meteorological variations. RESULTS: There were 21,224 hospital admissions due to AOM for children aged ≤ 15 years throughout a 22-year period. The cumulative adjusted relative risks (ARR) of AOM were 1.15 (95% CI, 1.04-1.28) and 1.07 (95% CI, 0.97-1.18) at the 95th percentile concentration of oxidant gases (65.9 ppm) and fine particulate matter (62.2 µg/m3) respectively, with reference set to their medians of concentration. The ARRs exhibited a monotone increasing trend for all-type and type-specific ILI + rates. Setting the reference to zero, the cumulative ARRs of AOM rose to 1.42 (95% CI, 1.29-1.56) at the 95th percentile of ILI + Total rate, and to 1.07 (95% CI, 1.01-1.14), 1.19 (95% CI, 1.11-1.27), and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.13-1.32) for ILI + A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggested that policy on air pollution control and influenza vaccination for children need to be implemented, which might have significant implications for preventing AOM in children.

Effect of environmental exposome and influenza infection on febrile seizure in children over 22 years: a time series analysis.

Febrile seizures are convulsions predominately occurring in young children. The effects of various exposomes, including influenza infection and external environmental factors, on febrile seizures have not been well-studied. In this study, we elucidated the relationships between ambient temperature, air pollutants, influenza infection, and febrile seizures using 22-year territory-wide hospitalization data in Hong Kong. The aggregated data were matched with the meteorological records and air pollutant concentrations. All-type and type-specific influenza-like illness positive (ILI+) rates were used as proxies for influenza activity. Distributed lag non-linear model in conjunction with the quasi-poisson generalized additive model was used to examine the associations of interest. According to the results, all-type influenza infections were significantly associated with an increased risk of hospital admissions for febrile seizures (cumulative adjusted relative risk [ARR] = 1.59 at 95th percentile vs. 0; 95% CI, 1.51-1.68). The effect of ILI + A/H3N2 on febrile seizure was more pronounced than other type-specific ILI + rates. A low mean ambient temperature was identified as a significant risk factor for febrile seizures (cumulative ARR = 1.50 at 5th percentile vs. median; 95% CI, 1.35-1.66), while the redox-weighted oxidant capacity and sulfur dioxide were not associated with febrile seizures. In conclusion, our study underscores that influenza infections and exposure to cold conditions were related to an increased risk of febrile seizures in children. Thus, we advocate for influenza vaccination before the onset of the cold season for children to mitigate the burden of febrile seizures.

Estimation of the serial interval of monkeypox during the early outbreak in 2022.

With increased transmissibility and novel transmission mode, monkeypox poses new threats to public health globally in the background of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Estimates of the serial interval, a key epidemiological parameter of infectious disease transmission, could provide insights into the virus transmission risks. As of October 2022, little was known about the serial interval of monkeypox due to the lack of contact tracing data. In this study, public-available contact tracing data of global monkeypox cases were collected and 21 infector-infectee transmission pairs were identified. We proposed a statistical method applied to real-world observations to estimate the serial interval of the monkeypox. We estimated a mean serial interval of 5.6 days with the right truncation and sampling bias adjusted and calculated the reproduction number of 1.33 for the early monkeypox outbreaks at a global scale. Our findings provided a preliminary understanding of the transmission potentials of the current situation of monkeypox outbreaks. We highlighted the need for continuous surveillance of monkeypox for transmission risk assessment.

Comparing the incubation period, serial interval, and infectiousness profile between SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variants.

In January 2022, the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants initiated major outbreaks and dominated the transmissions in Hong Kong, displacing an earlier outbreak seeded by the Delta variants. To provide insight into the transmission potential of the emerging variants, we aimed to compare the epidemiological characteristics of the Omicron and Delta variants. We analyzed the line-list clinical and contact tracing data of the SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in Hong Kong. Transmission pairs were constructed based on the individual contact history. We fitted bias-controlled models to the data to estimate the serial interval, incubation period and infectiousness profile of the two variants. Viral load data were extracted and fitted to the random effect models to investigate the potential risk modifiers for the clinical viral shedding course. Totally 14 401 confirmed cases were reported between January 1 and February 15, 2022. The estimated mean serial interval (4.4 days vs. 5.8 days) and incubation period (3.4 days vs. 3.8 days) were shorter for the Omicron than the Delta variants. A larger proportion of presymptomatic transmission was observed for the Omicron (62%) compared to the Delta variants (48%). The Omicron cases had higher mean viral load over an infection course than the Delta cases, with the elder cases appearing more infectious than the younger cases for both variants. The epidemiological features of Omicron variants were likely an obstacle to contact tracing measures, imposed as a major intervention in settings like Hong Kong. Continuously monitoring the epidemiological feature for any emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the future is needed to assist officials in planning measures for COVID-19 control.

Determining meteorologically-favorable zones for seasonal influenza activity in Hong Kong.

Investigations of simple and accurate meteorology classification systems for influenza epidemics, particularly in subtropical regions, are limited. To assist in preparing for potential upsurges in the demand on healthcare facilities during influenza seasons, our study aims to develop a set of meteorologically-favorable zones for epidemics of influenza A and B, defined as the intervals of meteorological variables with prediction performance optimized. We collected weekly detection rates of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases from four local major hospitals in Hong Kong between 2004 and 2019. Meteorological and air quality records for hospitals were collected from their closest monitoring stations. We employed classification and regression trees to identify zones that optimize the prediction performance of meteorological data in influenza epidemics, defined as a weekly rate > 50th percentile over a year. According to the results, a combination of temperature > 25.1℃ and relative humidity > 79% was favorable to epidemics in hot seasons, whereas either temperature < 16.4℃ or a combination of < 20.4℃ and relative humidity > 76% was favorable to epidemics in cold seasons. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in model training achieved 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.83) and was kept at 0.71 (95%CI, 0.65-0.77) in validation. The meteorologically-favorable zones for predicting influenza A or A and B epidemics together were similar, but the AUC for predicting influenza B epidemics was comparatively lower. In conclusion, we established meteorologically-favorable zones for influenza A and B epidemics with a satisfactory prediction performance, even though the influenza seasonality in this subtropical setting was weak and type-specific.

Short-term association among meteorological variation, outdoor air pollution and acute bronchiolitis in children in a subtropical setting.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association among acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation in children, meteorological variation and outdoor air pollution. METHODS: We obtained the daily counts of acute bronchiolitis-related admission of children≤2 years old from all public hospitals, meteorological data and outdoor air pollutants' concentrations between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2017 in Hong Kong. We used quasi-Poisson generalised additive models together with distributed lag non-linear models to estimate the associations of interest adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: A total of 29 688 admissions were included in the analysis. Increased adjusted relative risk (ARR) of acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation was associated with high temperature (ambient temperature and apparent temperature) and was marginally associated with high vapour pressure, a proxy for absolute humidity. High concentration of NO2 was associated with elevated risk of acute bronchiolitis admission; the risk of bronchiolitis hospitalisation increased statistically significantly with cumulative NO2 exposure over the range 66.2-119.6 µg/m3. For PM10, the significant effect observed at high concentrations appears to be immediate but not long lasting. For SO2, ARR increased as the concentration approached the 75th percentile and then decreased though the association was insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: Acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation among children was associated with temperature and exposure to NO2 and PM10 at different lag times, suggesting a need to adopt sustainable clean air policies, especially to target pollutants produced by motor vehicles, to protect young children's health.

Long-term effectiveness of elderly health care voucher scheme strategies: a system dynamics simulation analysis.

BACKGROUND: The elderly healthcare voucher (EHCV) scheme is expected to lead to an increase in the number of elderly people selecting private primary healthcare services and reduce reliance on the public sector in Hong Kong. However, studies thus far have reported that this scheme has not received satisfactory responses. In this study, we examined changes in the ratio of visits between public and private doctors in primary care (to measure reliance on the public sector) for different strategic scenarios in the EHCV scheme. METHODS: Based on comments from an expert panel, a system dynamics model was formulated to simulate the impact of various enhanced strategies in the scheme: increasing voucher amounts, lowering the age eligibility, and designating vouchers for chronic conditions follow-up. Data and statistics for the model calibration were collected from various sources. RESULTS: The simulation results show that the current EHCV scheme is unable to reduce the utilization of public healthcare services, as well as the ratio of visits between public and private primary care among the local aging population. When comparing three different tested scenarios, even if the increase in the annual voucher amount could be maintained at the current pace or the age eligibility can be lowered to include those aged 60 years, the impact on shifts from public-to-private utilization were insignificant. The public-to-private ratio could only be marginally reduced from 0.74 to 0.64 in the first several years. Nevertheless, introducing a chronic disease-oriented voucher could result in a significant drop of 0.50 in the public-to-private ratio during the early implementation phase. However, the effect could not be maintained for an extended period. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings will assist officials in improving the design of the EHCV scheme, within the wider context of promoting primary care among the elderly. We suggest that an additional chronic disease-oriented voucher can serve as an alternative strategy. The scheme must be redesigned to address more specific objectives or provide a separate voucher that promotes under-utilized healthcare services (e.g., preventive care), instead of services designed for unspecified reasons, which may lead to concerns regarding exploitation.

Risk-adjusted zero-inflated Poisson CUSUM charts for monitoring influenza surveillance data.

BACKGROUND: The influenza surveillance has been received much attention in public health area. For the cases with excessive zeroes, the zero-inflated Poisson process is widely used. However, the traditional control charts based on zero-inflated Poisson model, ignore the association between influenza cases and risk factors, and thus may lead to unexpected mistakes when implementing monitoring charts. METHOD: In this paper, we proposed risk-adjusted zero-inflated Poisson cumulative sum control charts, in which the risk factors were put to adjust the risk of influenza and the adjustment was made by zero-inflated Poisson regression. We respectively proposed the control chart monitoring the parameters individually and simultaneously. RESULTS: The performance of our proposed risk-adjusted zero-inflated Poisson cumulative sum control chart was evaluated and compared with the unadjusted standard cumulative sum control charts in simulation studies. The results show that for different distribution of impact factors and different coefficients, the risk-adjusted cumulative sum charts can generate much less false alarm than the standard ones. Finally, the influenza surveillance data from Hong Kong is used to illustrate the application of the proposed chart. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the adjusted cumulative sum control chart we proposed is more accurate and credible than the unadjusted standard control charts because of the lower false alarm rate of the adjusted ones. Even the unadjusted control charts may signal a little faster than the adjusted ones, the alarm they raise may have low credibility since they also raise alarm frequently even the processes are in control. Thus we suggest using the risk-adjusted cumulative sum control charts to monitor the influenza surveillance data to alert accurately, credibly and relatively quickly.

Epidemiological changes in measles infections in southern China between 2009 and 2016: a retrospective database analysis.

BACKGROUND: The incidence rate of measles in China reached a nadir in 2012 after 2 supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) were undertaken in 2009 and 2010. However, the disease began re-emerging in 2013, with a high prevalence rate observed in 2013-2014 in the southern province of Guangdong. In this study, we assessed the changes that occurred in measles epidemiology during 2009-2016, particularly between 2009 and 2011 (when the influence of the SIAs were in full effect) and between 2012 and 2016 (when this influence subsided). METHODS: Data from 22,362 patients with measles diagnosed between 2009 and 2016, and whose diagnoses were confirmed clinically and/or with laboratory testing, were extracted from the National Infectious Disease Monitoring Information System. Descriptive analyses were performed, and changes in epidemiological characteristics between 2009 and 2011 and 2012-2016 were compared. RESULTS: There was a substantial surge in 0-8-month-old patients after 2012; the incidence rate increased from 4.0 per 100,000 population in 2011 (10.3% of the total) to 280 per 100,000 population in 2013 (32.8% of the total). Patients aged 0-6 years represented 73.4% of the total increase between 2011 and 2013. Compared with 2009-2011, adults aged ≥25 years accounted for a higher proportion of patients in 2013 and after (p < 0.01), and were highest in 2016 (31% of the patient total). CONCLUSION: Despite the remarkable results achieved by SIAs in terms of providing herd immunity, the 2013 resurgence of measles revealed insufficient immunization coverage among children. Therefore routine immunization programs should be strengthened, and supplementary vaccinations targeting adults should also be contemplated.

Ambient temperature, seasonal influenza and risk of cardiovascular disease in a subtropical area in Southern China.

BACKGROUND: Given the regular winter recurrence of influenza epidemics and the biologically plausible association between seasonal influenza and cardiovascular events, researchers assumed a valid and reliable influenza forecast could envision the timing and burden of winter surge in cardiovascular (CVD) hospitalizations. This, however, is well justified only in temperate regions. In this study, we aim to investigate the temporal association between ambient temperature, seasonal influenza and risk of cardiovascular events in a subtropical city. METHODS: Generalized additive model was used in conjunction with distributed-lag non-linear model of quasi-Poisson family to estimate the association of interest with daily CVD admissions as outcome and daily influenza admissions as predictor, while controlling for meteorological factors (i.e. temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and total rainfall) and respiratory pollutants (i.e. nitrogen dioxide, sulphur dioxide, ozone and PM10). Results were expressed in the form of relative risk (RR). RESULTS: Using median as the reference value, a U-shaped association was observed between CVD admissions and temperature. A slight decrease in RR was detected mainly towards the lower end of the temperature scale after adjusting for influenza admissions. Risk of CVD admission was found to be positively associated with the number of influenza hospitalization cases; this association remained consistent and statistically significant across subgroups of age except for those aged 5-49 years. CONCLUSION: The slight reduction in CVD admission risk towards the lower end of the temperature scale after controlling for influenza activity might be attributed to the winter peaks of influenza, meaning that the effect of low temperature on CVD admissions might be partly mediated by influenza infection. In summary, this study reassures us that ambient temperature is independently associated with CVD hospital admissions and offers support for a positive association between seasonal influenza activity and cardiovascular events in Hong Kong.

Association between obesity, common chronic diseases and health promoting lifestyle profiles in Hong Kong adults: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Recent surveys revealed that the health status of many people from Hong Kong is far from ideal. Although non-communicable diseases are largely preventable, few relevant health promotion and disease prevention programs are available. Thus, we assessed the health indicators of Chinese adults in Hong Kong to investigate the relationship between obesity, common chronic diseases, and health-promoting lifestyle profiles to provide inspirations for decision makers in formulating targeted disease prevention and health management programs. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a data set of 270 community-dwelling Hong Kong adults who were within the eligible age range between 18 and 80 years without eye diseases that affect retinal photographs. The study exposure variable, health-promoting lifestyle profiles, was measured using the Health-Promoting Lifestyle Profile II (HPLP-II) questionnaire. The primary outcome variable, obesity, was defined using body mass index and waist-hip ratio. The secondary study outcome, estimated chronic diseases, including of anemia, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease, were estimated using automatic retinal image analysis from the retinal images. Data were analyzed using tests of proportion, the independent sample t-tests, Welch's t-test, and binary logistic regression models. RESULTS: All HPLP-II subscales had positive responses (≥ 2.5). Significant differences were noted between men and women in the health responsibility and nutrition subscales (Health Responsibility: p = 0.059; Nutrition: p = 0.067). Regression models revealed that nutrition (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.41; p = 0.017), physical activity (AOR = 0.50; p = 0.015), interpersonal relations (AOR = 2.14; p = 0.016), and stress management (AOR = 2.07; p 0.038) were associated with obesity; while spiritual growth (AOR = 0.24; p = 0.077) and interpersonal relations (AOR = 5.06; p 0.069) were associated with estimated chronic kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: Improving health behaviors may control or alleviate the prevalence of obesity and chronic kidney disease. These findings could arouse concern about lifestyle behaviors and promote self-assessment of health-promoting lifestyles to the general public. The study also provided new insights into the relationship between the HPLP-II and other common chronic diseases that warrant further study.

Feasibility, Reliability, and Agreement of Transperineal Ultrasound Measurement: Results from a Longitudinal Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the feasibility, reliability, and agreement of serial transperineal ultrasound (TPU) assessment of fetal head station (parasagittal angle of progression [psAOP], head-perineum distance [HPD], and head-symphysis distance [HSD]) and sonographic cervical dilatation (SCD), compared to fetal head station and cervical dilatation determined by vaginal examination, respectively. METHODS: This was a prospective longitudinal study in singleton pregnancies undergoing induction of labor at term. Paired assessment of fetal head station and cervical dilatation by vaginal examination, with TPU assessment of psAOP, HPD, HSD, and SCD was made serially. Feasibility, correlation, reliability, and agreement were determined. RESULTS: 1,139 paired measurements among 326 women were included. psAOP and HPD were achievable in all assessments. HSD was not achievable in 3.4% (11/326) due to high fetal head station. Fetal head station by vaginal examination was positively correlated with psAOP (rho = 0.70) but negatively correlated with HPD (rho = -0.57) and HSD (rho = -0.52). The feasibility to measure SCD reduced as cervical dilatation increased. Cervical dilatation and SCD were positively correlated (rho = 0.96) with strong agreement (concordant correlation coefficient = 0.925). CONCLUSIONS: Measurements of psAOP and HPD are feasible and correlate significantly with fetal head station by vaginal examination. Measurement of HSD is not feasible when fetal head station is high. Measurement of SCD is feasible, but it is more difficult in the advanced stage of labor. The correlation, reliability, and agreement between SCD and cervical dilatation by vaginal examination are high.

Factors that affect ultrasound-determined labor progress in women undergoing induction of labor.

BACKGROUND: The traditional approach to the assessment of labor progress is by digital vaginal examination; however, it is subjective and imprecise. Recent studies have investigated the role of transperineal ultrasonographic assessment of fetal head descent by measuring the angle of progression and head-perineum distance. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate factors that affected labor progress, which were defined by the transperineal ultrasonographic parameters, in women who achieved vaginal delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective longitudinal study performed in 315 women with singleton pregnancy who underwent labor induction at term between December 2016 and December 2017. Paired assessment of cervical dilation and fetal head station by vaginal examination and transperineal ultrasonographic assessment of fetal head descent (parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance) were made serially after the commencement of labor induction until full cervical dilation. The researchers were blinded to the findings of the clinical team's vaginal examination and vice versa. The repeated measure data were analyzed by mixed effect models to identify the significant factors (age ≥35 years, obesity, parity, methods of labor induction, and epidural anesthesia) that affected the relationship between parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance against fetal head station and cervical dilation. RESULTS: The total number of paired vaginal examination and transperineal ultrasonographic assessments among the 261 women (82.9%) with vaginal delivery was 945, with a median of 3 per woman. The median assessment-to-assessment interval was 4.6 hours (interquartile range, 4.3-5.2). Multiparity and mechanical methods of labor induction were associated with a faster rate of fetal head descent, which was determined by head-perineum distance against fetal head station, than nulliparity and the use of a slow-release vaginal pessary, respectively. An additional increase of 0.10 cm in head-perineum distance was observed, for an unit increase in fetal head station in nulliparous women (P=.03) and women who had a slow-release vaginal pessary (P=.02), compared with multiparous women and those who had mechanical methods for labor induction. The use of epidural anesthesia was associated with a slower rate of fetal head descent, which was determined by both parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance, against fetal head station. An additional decrease of 3.66 degrees in parasagittal angle of progression (P=.04) and an additional increase in 0.33 cm in head-perineum distance (P≤.001) were observed for a unit increase in fetal head station in women with the use of epidural anesthesia, compared with those without. Obese women had higher head-perineum distance overall, compared with normal weight women; at different cross-sections of time periods, obesity appeared to be associated with a slower rate of change between head-perineum distance and cervical dilation. Advanced maternal age did not affect transperineal ultrasound-determined labor progress (P>.05). CONCLUSION: Parity, methods of labor induction, the use of epidural anesthesia, and obesity affect labor progress, which has been illustrated objectively by serial transperineal ultrasonographic assessment of fetal head descent.

Labor progress determined by ultrasound is different in women requiring cesarean delivery from those who experience a vaginal delivery following induction of labor.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of labor dystocia generally is determined by the deviation of labor progress, which is assessed by the use of a partogram. Recently, intrapartum transperineal ultrasound for the assessment of fetal head descent has been introduced to assess labor progress in the first stage of labor in a more objective and noninvasive way. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to determine the differences in labor progress by the use of serial transperineal ultrasound assessment of fetal head descent between women having vaginal and cesarean delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective longitudinal study performed in 315 women with singleton pregnancy who were undergoing labor induction at term between December 2016 and December 2017. Paired assessment of cervical dilation and fetal head station by vaginal examination and transperineal ultrasonographic assessment of parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance were made serially after the commencement of labor induction. According to the hospital protocol, assessment was performed every 24 hours and 4 hours, respectively, during latent and active phases of labor. The researchers and the clinical team were blinded to each other's findings. The repeated measures data were analyzed by mixed effect models. To determine the effect of mode of delivery on the association between parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance against fetal head station and cervical dilation, the significance of the interaction term between each mode of delivery and fetal head station or cervical dilation was determined, which accounted for parity and obesity. Area under receiver-operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the performance of serial intrapartum sonography in predicting women with cesarean delivery because of failure to progress. RESULTS: The total number of paired vaginal examination and ultrasound assessments was 1198, with a median of 3 per woman. The median assessment-to-assessment interval was 4.6 hours (interquartile range, 4.3-5.1 hours). Women who achieved vaginal delivery (n=261) had steeper slopes of parasagittal angle of progression and head-perineum distance against fetal head station and cervical dilation than those who achieved cesarean delivery (n=54). Objectively, an additional decrease of 5.11 and 1.37 degrees in parasagittal angle of progression was observed for an unit increase in fetal head station and cervical dilation, respectively, in women who required cesarean delivery (P<.01; P=.01), compared with women who achieved vaginal delivery, after taking account of repeated measures from individuals and confounding factors. The respective additional increases in head-perineum distance for a unit increase in fetal head station and cervical dilation were 0.27 cm (P<.01) and 0.12 cm (P<.01). A combination of maternal characteristics with the temporal changes of parasagittal angle of progression for an unit increase in fetal head station achieved an area under receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.94), with sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 80%, for the prediction of women who required cesarean delivery because of failure to progress. CONCLUSION: The differences in labor progress between vaginal and cesarean delivery have been illustrated objectively by serial intrapartum transperineal ultrasonographic assessment of fetal head descent. This tool is potentially predictive of women who will require cesarean delivery because of failure to progress.

Effects of Kinesio tape on lower limb muscle strength, hop test, and vertical jump performances: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: To date, published systematic reviews concerning the effects of Kinesio Taping (KT) on muscle strength have not analysed facilitatory and inhibitory applications separately. As a result, their results could be substantially affected by clinical heterogeneity. This meta-analysis was conducted to determine the effectiveness of using a facilitatory application of KT for lower limb muscle strength and functional performance (distance in a single-leg hop and vertical jump height) in individuals without disabilities and in those with musculoskeletal conditions (muscle fatigue, chronic musculoskeletal diseases, and post-operative orthopaedic conditions). METHODS: Searches were conducted on six major electronic databases. Randomised controlled trials that used facilitatory KT were included. Standardised mean differences (SMDs) were calculated and random-effects models were used for analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-seven randomised controlled trials were included. KT was superior to controls for improving lower limb muscle strength in individuals with muscle fatigue (short-term effect, pooled SMD = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.09 to 0.96; long-term effect, pooled SMD = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.12 to 1.11) and in individuals with chronic musculoskeletal diseases (pooled SMD = 1.24, 95% CI = 0.33 to 2.16) with large effect sizes. The use of KT in populations without disabilities was not supported. There is insufficient evidence for the effect of KT on functional performance in individuals with musculoskeletal conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to prior research, the existing evidence shows that KT can improve lower limb muscle strength in individuals with muscle fatigue and chronic musculoskeletal diseases. The effect sizes produced in this meta-analysis show that KT may be superior to some existing treatments for these conditions. In addition, this study suggests that practitioners may wish to avoid the use of KT in individuals without disabilities. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number CRD42017075490 , registered on 21 November 2017.

A Zoom-Focus algorithm (ZFA) to locate the optimal testing region for rare variant association tests.

MOTIVATION: Increasing amounts of whole exome or genome sequencing data present the challenge of analysing rare variants with extremely small minor allele frequencies. Various statistical tests have been proposed, which are specifically configured to increase power for rare variants by conducting the test within a certain bin, such as a gene or a pathway. However, a gene may contain from several to thousands of markers, and not all of them are related to the phenotype. Combining functional and non-functional variants in an arbitrary genomic region could impair the testing power. RESULTS: We propose a Zoom-Focus algorithm (ZFA) to locate the optimal testing region within a given genomic region. It can be applied as a wrapper function in existing rare variant association tests to increase testing power. The algorithm consists of two steps. In the first step, Zooming, a given genomic region is partitioned by an order of two, and the best partition is located. In the second step, Focusing, the boundaries of the zoomed region are refined. Simulation studies showed that ZFA substantially increased the statistical power of rare variants' tests, including the SKAT, SKAT-O, burden test and the W-test. The algorithm was applied on real exome sequencing data of hypertensive disorder, and identified biologically relevant genetic markers to metabolic disorders that were undetectable by a gene-based method. The proposed algorithm is an efficient and powerful tool to enhance the power of association study for whole exome or genome sequencing data. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The ZFA software is available at: http://www2.ccrb.cuhk.edu.hk/statgene/software.html. CONTACT: maggiew@cuhk.edu.hk or bzee@cuhk.edu.hk. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.