Predicting the outcomes of preterm neonates beyond the neonatal intensive care unit: What are we missing?

Preterm infants are a population at high risk for mortality and adverse health outcomes. With recent improvements in survival to childhood, increasing attention is being paid to risk of long-term morbidity, specifically during childhood and young-adulthood. Although numerous tools for predicting the functional outcomes of preterm neonates have been developed in the past three decades, no studies have provided a comprehensive overview of these tools, along with their strengths and weaknesses. The purpose of this article is to provide an in-depth, narrative review of the current risk models available for predicting the functional outcomes of preterm neonates. A total of 32 studies describing 43 separate models were considered. We found that most studies used similar physiologic variables and standard regression techniques to develop models that primarily predict the risk of poor neurodevelopmental outcomes. With a recently expanded knowledge regarding the many factors that affect neurodevelopment and other important outcomes, as well as a better understanding of the limitations of traditional analytic methods, we argue that there is great room for improvement in creating risk prediction tools for preterm neonates. We also consider the ethical implications of utilizing these tools for clinical decision-making. IMPACT: Based on a literature review of risk prediction models for preterm neonates predicting functional outcomes, future models should aim for more consistent outcomes definitions, standardized assessment schedules and measurement tools, and consideration of risk beyond physiologic antecedents. Our review provides a comprehensive analysis and critique of risk prediction models developed for preterm neonates, specifically predicting functional outcomes instead of mortality, to reveal areas of improvement for future studies aiming to develop risk prediction tools for this population. To our knowledge, this is the first literature review and narrative analysis of risk prediction models for preterm neonates regarding their functional outcomes.

Evaluating the Emergency Department Observation Unit for the management of hyperglycemia in adults.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hyperglycemic patients can be successfully managed in the Emergency Department Observation Unit (EDOU), as determined by the frequency of inpatient admission following their EDOU stay. METHODS: This was a retrospective chart review of patients≥18years presenting to an academic tertiary care ED between May 1, 2014 and May 31, 2016, found to have a glucose≥300mg/dL, and selected for EDOU admission. Patient demographic information, lab results including an HbA1c, disposition, and hospital revisits within 30days of discharge were recorded. RESULTS: There were 124 EDOU patients meeting criteria. A total of 98/124 (79.0%) had a history of type 1 or 2 diabetes, and 26/124 (21.0%) were newly diagnosed with diabetes in the EDOU. The mean initial ED serum glucose was 467±126mg/dL. Of the 119 patients with HbA1c analyzed, the mean value was 12.1±2.2% (109±24mmol/mol) and in 112/119 (94.1%) the level was ≥9.0% (75mmol/mol). Overall, 104/124 (83.9%) were discharged from the EDOU, 18/124 (14.5%) were admitted to the inpatient service, and 2/124 (1.6%) left the EDOU against medical advice. A total of 7/124 (5.6%) patients returned to the ED within 30days of discharge with hypoglycemia, hyperglycemia, or diabetic ketoacidosis, 6/7 (85.7%) of whom had been discharged from the EDOU. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest hyperglycemic patients selected by ED physicians can be managed in the EDOU setting. Nearly all patients managed in the EDOU for hyperglycemia had an HbA1c≥9.0%, suggesting unrecognized or poorly controlled chronic diabetes as the basis for hyperglycemia.

Pleth Variability Index to Assess Course of Illness in Children with Asthma.

BACKGROUND: Status asthmaticus (SA) is a common reason for admission to the pediatric emergency department (ED). Assessing asthma severity efficiently in the ED can be challenging for clinicians. Adjunctive tools for the clinician have demonstrated inconsistent results. Studies have shown that pulsus paradoxus (PP) correlates with asthma severity. Pleth Variability Index (PVI) is a surrogate measure of PP. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether PVI at triage correlates with disposition from the ED. METHODS: We recruited children aged 2-18 years old who presented to the pediatric ED of a tertiary care children's hospital with SA. PVI, Respiratory Severity Score, and vital signs were documented at triage and 2 hours into each patient's ED stay. PVI was measured using the Masimo Radical-7® monitor (Masimo Corp., Irvine, CA). RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients were recruited. Twenty-seven patients were discharged home, 10 patients were admitted to the general pediatrics floor and 1 patient was admitted to the intensive care unit. PVI values at triage did not correlate with disposition from the ED (p = 0.63). Additionally, when trending the change in PVI after 2 hours of therapy in the ED, no statistically significant patterns were demonstrated. CONCLUSIONS: Our study did not demonstrate a correlation between PVI and clinical course for asthmatics. PVI may be more clinically relevant in sicker children. Furthermore, it is possible that continuous monitoring of PVI may demonstrate more unique trends in relation to asthma severity versus single values of PVI. Additional studies are necessary to help clarify the relationship between PVI and the clinical course of children with SA.

Teaching Second-Year Medical Students How to Counsel Pediatric Patients With Unhealthy Body Mass Index.

Obesity affects the health and well-being of children globally. Despite recommendations to routinely screen children for obesity starting at age 6 years, physicians do not consistently address weight or provide effective weight-management counseling. We developed an interactive session for second-year medical students with foundational knowledge and practical communication skills around partnership and discussion of pediatric healthy weight management. Students were administered a pre-/post-Likert survey to self-assess knowledge, comfort, and confidence in counseling patients and caregivers about weight management. Students' related counseling skills were assessed during a standardized patient encounter of a teen with rapid weight gain. The session successfully increased students' self-assessed knowledge, comfort, and confidence, and resulted in successful application of weight management skills in a simulated patient encounter. Utilization of empathy skills requires continued coaching. We propose incorporation of similar sessions into medical school curricula to address the pediatric obesity epidemic.

A Trainee-Led Quality Improvement Project Using Change Management Theory to Improve Bedside Rounding.

OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic disrupted the practice of family-centered rounds. After the height of the pandemic, a trainee-led team identified a low percentage of bedside rounds on general pediatrics resident teams and combined a quality improvement framework and change management theory to increase bedside rounds. Initial efforts focused on a single general pediatrics team with the aim to increase bedside rounds from 18% to 50% within 6 months and sustain improvement for 12 months. A second aim was to increase bedside rounds from 7% to 50% for all general pediatrics resident teams within 6 months of spread. METHODS: The Model for Improvement informed the identification of 3 primary drivers of bedside rounds: knowledge, culture, and logistics. Twelve plan-do-study-act (PDSA) cycles were implemented. Measures included the percentage of bedside rounds (primary outcome), caregiver attendance (secondary outcome), and nurse attendance and rounding time (balancing measures). RESULTS: For the initial team, 13 522 patient days were analyzed for the primary outcome with the average percentage of weekly bedside rounds increasing from 18% to 89% with 12 months of sustained improvement. The spread of the intervention to all teams revealed an increase in bedside rounding from 7% to 54%. The most significant improvements occurred after PDSA cycle 2, a communication bundle, and PDSA cycle 5, when the project was spread to all teams. CONCLUSIONS: This trainee-led initiative reveals the strength of the incorporation of change management theory within a quality improvement framework, resulting in rapid and sustainable increase in bedside rounds.