Implications of atrial fibrillation on the clinical course and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients: results of the Cardio-COVID-Italy multicentre study.

AIMS: To assess the clinical relevance of a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 696 consecutive patients (mean age 67.4 ± 13.2 years, 69.7% males) admitted for COVID-19 in 13 Italian cardiology centres between 1 March and 9 April 2020. One hundred and six patients (15%) had a history of AF and the median hospitalization length was 14 days (interquartile range 9-24). Patients with a history of AF were older and with a higher burden of cardiovascular risk factors. Compared to patients without AF, they showed a higher rate of in-hospital death (38.7% vs. 20.8%; P < 0.001). History of AF was associated with an increased risk of death after adjustment for clinical confounders related to COVID-19 severity and cardiovascular comorbidities, including history of heart failure (HF) and increased plasma troponin [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.73; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-2.84; P = 0.029]. Patients with a history of AF also had more in-hospital clinical events including new-onset AF (36.8% vs. 7.9%; P < 0.001), acute HF (25.3% vs. 6.3%; P < 0.001), and multiorgan failure (13.9% vs. 5.8%; P = 0.010). The association between AF and worse outcome was not modified by previous or concomitant use of anticoagulants or steroid therapy (P for interaction >0.05 for both) and was not related to stroke or bleeding events. CONCLUSION: Among hospitalized patients with COVID-19, a history of AF contributes to worse clinical course with a higher mortality and in-hospital events including new-onset AF, acute HF, and multiorgan failure. The mortality risk remains significant after adjustment for variables associated with COVID-19 severity and comorbidities.

Procedural and one-year outcomes following drug-eluting stent and drug-coated balloon combination for the treatment of de novo diffuse coronary artery disease: the HYPER Study.

BACKGROUND: De novo diffuse coronary artery disease (CAD) is a challenging scenario in interventional cardiology with limited treatment option, beside stent implantation. In this context, a hybrid approach, combining the use of drug-eluting stent (DES) and drug-coated balloon (DCB) to treat different segments of the same lesion (e.g. long lesion and/or true bifurcation), might be an interesting and alternative strategy to limit the metal amount. The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of a hybrid approach in addressing percutaneous treatment of de novo diffuse CAD. METHODS: This was a prospective, multicenter study including patients affected by de novo diffuse CAD treated with a hybrid approach from April 2019 to December 2020. Angiographic and clinical data were collected. The primary endpoint was the one-year device-oriented composite endpoint (DOCE, cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction and ischemia-driven target lesion revascularization [ID-TLR]). Periprocedural myocardial infarctions and periprocedural success were included among secondary endpoints. RESULTS: One hundred six patients were included, mean age was 68.2±10.2 years and 78.3% were male. De novo diffuse CAD consisted of 52.8% long lesions and 47.2% true bifurcation lesions. Significant increase in the final minimal lumen diameters and significant decrease in the final diameter stenosis were observed when compared to the baseline values in both DES- and DCB-target segments. Procedural success was 96.2%. DOCE at one-year was 3.7%, with all the adverse events characterized by ID-TLR. CONCLUSIONS: Combination of DES and DCB could be a safe and effective treatment option for the treatment of de novo diffuse CAD (NCT03939468).

Machine learning for prediction of in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019 patients: results from an Italian multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Several risk factors have been identified to predict worse outcomes in patients affected by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Machine learning algorithms represent a novel approach to identifying a prediction model with a good discriminatory capacity to be easily used in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to obtain a risk score for in-hospital mortality in patients with coronavirus disease infection (COVID-19) based on a limited number of features collected at hospital admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied an Italian cohort of consecutive adult Caucasian patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized in 13 cardiology units during Spring 2020. The Lasso procedure was used to select the most relevant covariates. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set containing 80% of the data, used for estimating the model, and a test set with the remaining 20%. A Random Forest modeled in-hospital mortality with the selected set of covariates: its accuracy was measured by means of the ROC curve, obtaining AUC, sensitivity, specificity and related 95% confidence interval (CI). This model was then compared with the one obtained by the Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and with logistic regression. Finally, to understand if each model has the same performance in the training and test set, the two AUCs were compared using the DeLong's test. Among 701 patients enrolled (mean age 67.2 ±â€Š13.2 years, 69.5% male individuals), 165 (23.5%) died during a median hospitalization of 15 (IQR, 9-24) days. Variables selected by the Lasso procedure were: age, oxygen saturation, PaO2/FiO2, creatinine clearance and elevated troponin. Compared with those who survived, deceased patients were older, had a lower blood oxygenation, lower creatinine clearance levels and higher prevalence of elevated troponin (all P < 0.001). The best performance out of the samples was provided by Random Forest with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68-0.88) and a sensitivity of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.58-1.00). Moreover, Random Forest was the unique model that provided similar performance in sample and out of sample (DeLong test P = 0.78). CONCLUSION: In a large COVID-19 population, we showed that a customizable machine learning-based score derived from clinical variables is feasible and effective for the prediction of in-hospital mortality.

A HYbrid APproach Evaluating a DRug-Coated Balloon in Combination With a New-Generation Drug-Eluting Stent in the Treatment of De Novo Diffuse Coronary Artery Disease: The HYPER Pilot Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess feasibility, safety and efficacy of hybrid approach, consisting in a combination of modern drug-eluting stent (DES) and drug-eluting balloon (DCB), for treatment of de-novo diffuse coronary artery disease (CAD). BACKGROUNDS: Contemporary DES are associated with a persistent risk of major cardiovascular events, due to in-stent thrombosis and restenosis. The hybrid approach, reducing the permanent metallic cage length, is supposed to mitigate the risk of device-related adverse events, especially in diffuse CAD. METHODS: This is a prospective, non-randomized, observational, multicenter study intended to obtain data from 100 consecutive patients affected by de-novo diffuse CAD undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention with a hybrid approach, consisting in the combined use of DES and DCB in contiguous coronary segments. The study is recorded in ClinicalTrials.gov with the identifier: NCT03939468. RESULTS: The primary endpoint is a device oriented composite end-point (DOCE) of cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction (TV-MI) and ischemia-driven target lesion revascularization (ID-TLR) in DES- and/or DCB-treated segment. DOCE will be assessed at 12-months follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This will be the first study investigating the feasibility, safety and efficacy of hybrid DES/DCB approach for the treatment of de-novo diffuse CAD. Here we describe the rationale and the design of the study.

Pulmonary embolism in patients with COVID-19: characteristics and outcomes in the Cardio-COVID Italy multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary embolism (PE) has been described in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) critically ill patients, but the evidence from more heterogeneous cohorts is limited. METHODS: Data were retrospectively obtained from consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to 13 Cardiology Units in Italy, from March 1st to April 9th, 2020, and followed until in-hospital death, discharge, or April 23rd, 2020. The association of baseline variables with computed tomography-confirmed PE was investigated by Cox hazards regression analysis. The relationship between D-dimer levels and PE incidence was evaluated using restricted cubic splines models. RESULTS: The study included 689 patients (67.3 ± 13.2 year-old, 69.4% males), of whom 43.6% were non-invasively ventilated and 15.8% invasively. 52 (7.5%) had PE over 15 (9-24) days of follow-up. Compared with those without PE, these subjects had younger age, higher BMI, less often heart failure and chronic kidney disease, more severe cardio-pulmonary involvement, and higher admission D-dimer [4344 (1099-15,118) vs. 818.5 (417-1460) ng/mL, p < 0.001]. They also received more frequently darunavir/ritonavir, tocilizumab and ventilation support. Furthermore, they faced more bleeding episodes requiring transfusion (15.6% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001) and non-significantly higher in-hospital mortality (34.6% vs. 22.9%, p = 0.06). In multivariate regression, only D-dimer was associated with PE (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.13-2.62; p = 0.01). The relation between D-dimer concentrations and PE incidence was linear, without inflection point. Only two subjects had a baseline D-dimer < 500 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: PE occurs in a sizable proportion of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The implications of bleeding events and the role of D-dimer in this population need to be clarified.