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1.
Epidemiol Infect ; 152: e54, 2024 03 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38487840

RESUMEN

There has been a lack of information on vaccine acceptance for Finnish adults. We conducted a secondary analysis of cross-sectional data collected through the Finnish Medicines Agency Medicine Barometer 2021 survey (response rate: 20.6%). We described and explained vaccine acceptance by investigating the associations between socio-demographic factors and statements using logistic regression and conducted a factor analysis. The majority of respondents (n = 2081) considered vaccines to be safe (93%), effective (97%), and important (95%). However, 20% and 14% felt they did not have enough information about vaccines and vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs), respectively. Respondents aged 18-39 were 2.8 times more likely to disagree that they had enough information about VPDs compared to respondents aged 60-79 (p < 0.001), while respondents with poorer self-perceived health were 1.8 times more likely to declare not having enough information about vaccines (p < 0.001). We generated three-factor dimensions from the eight statements. They were related to 'Confidence and attitudes towards vaccines', 'Access to information on vaccines and VPDs', and 'Debate on vaccine issues', which may reflect the underlying thinking patterns. Access to and understanding of information about vaccines and VPDs need to be improved for Finnish adults to increase vaccine acceptance and uptake, thus preventing the spread of VPDs.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Finlandia , Vacunación
2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 973, 2024 Apr 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38582850

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: European epidemic intelligence (EI) systems receive vast amounts of information and data on disease outbreaks and potential health threats. The quantity and variety of available data sources for EI, as well as the available methods to manage and analyse these data sources, are constantly increasing. Our aim was to identify the difficulties encountered in this context and which innovations, according to EI practitioners, could improve the detection, monitoring and analysis of disease outbreaks and the emergence of new pathogens. METHODS: We conducted a qualitative study to identify the need for innovation expressed by 33 EI practitioners of national public health and animal health agencies in five European countries and at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). We adopted a stepwise approach to identify the EI stakeholders, to understand the problems they faced concerning their EI activities, and to validate and further define with practitioners the problems to address and the most adapted solutions to their work conditions. We characterized their EI activities, professional logics, and desired changes in their activities using NvivoⓇ software. RESULTS: Our analysis highlights that EI practitioners wished to collectively review their EI strategy to enhance their preparedness for emerging infectious diseases, adapt their routines to manage an increasing amount of data and have methodological support for cross-sectoral analysis. Practitioners were in demand of timely, validated and standardized data acquisition processes by text mining of various sources; better validated dataflows respecting the data protection rules; and more interoperable data with homogeneous quality levels and standardized covariate sets for epidemiological assessments of national EI. The set of solutions identified to facilitate risk detection and risk assessment included visualization, text mining, and predefined analytical tools combined with methodological guidance. Practitioners also highlighted their preference for partial rather than full automation of analyses to maintain control over the data and inputs and to adapt parameters to versatile objectives and characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: The study showed that the set of solutions needed by practitioners had to be based on holistic and integrated approaches for monitoring zoonosis and antimicrobial resistance and on harmonization between agencies and sectors while maintaining flexibility in the choice of tools and methods. The technical requirements should be defined in detail by iterative exchanges with EI practitioners and decision-makers.


Asunto(s)
Salud Digital , Brotes de Enfermedades , Animales , Humanos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Salud Pública , Inteligencia
3.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1488, 2023 08 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37542208

RESUMEN

Epidemic Intelligence (EI) encompasses all activities related to early identification, verification, analysis, assessment, and investigation of health threats. It integrates an indicator-based (IBS) component using systematically collected surveillance data, and an event-based component (EBS), using non-official, non-verified, non-structured data from multiple sources. We described current EI practices in Europe by conducting a survey of national Public Health (PH) and Animal Health (AH) agencies. We included generic questions on the structure, mandate and scope of the institute, on the existence and coordination of EI activities, followed by a section where respondents provided a description of EI activities for three diseases out of seven disease models. Out of 81 gatekeeper agencies from 41 countries contacted, 34 agencies (42%) from 26 (63%) different countries responded, out of which, 32 conducted EI activities. Less than half (15/32; 47%) had teams dedicated to EI activities and 56% (18/34) had Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) in place. On a national level, a combination of IBS and EBS was the most common data source. Most respondents monitored the epidemiological situation in bordering countries, the rest of Europe and the world. EI systems were heterogeneous across countries and diseases. National IBS activities strongly relied on mandatory laboratory-based surveillance systems. The collection, analysis and interpretation of IBS information was performed manually for most disease models. Depending on the disease, some respondents did not have any EBS activity. Most respondents conducted signal assessment manually through expert review. Cross-sectoral collaboration was heterogeneous. More than half of the responding institutes collaborated on various levels (data sharing, communication, etc.) with neighbouring countries and/or international structures, across most disease models. Our findings emphasise a notable engagement in EI activities across PH and AH institutes of Europe, but opportunities exist for better integration, standardisation, and automatization of these efforts. A strong reliance on traditional IBS and laboratory-based surveillance systems, emphasises the key role of in-country laboratories networks. EI activities may benefit particularly from investments in cross-border collaboration, the development of methods that can automatise signal assessment in both IBS and EBS data, as well as further investments in the collection of EBS data beyond scientific literature and mainstream media.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Animales , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Inteligencia , Salud Pública , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
4.
Euro Surveill ; 28(36)2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37676148

RESUMEN

We present the findings from the European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET) Alumni Network (EAN) Member Survey conducted in October to December 2021. The EAN consists of field epidemiologists (EPIET) and public health microbiologists (European Public Health Microbiology Training Programme (EUPHEM)) who stay connected after their 2-year fellowship. This active alumni network provides opportunities for career development, mentorship, knowledge exchange and sharing of best practices for community members, affiliated professionals and public health organisations in Europe. Overall, 281 of 732 members participated in the survey. Of the 192 European fellowship alumni respondents, 173 (90%) indicated that skills and competencies acquired during their fellowship improved performance in their role compared with their abilities before the fellowship. Reported skills and competencies that could be further strengthened included data management/analysis, communication, mathematical modelling and leadership/team management. The EAN Member Survey provides valuable feedback to the EAN, as well as the fellowship programme offices at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and affiliated field epidemiology programmes. The COVID-19 pandemic was a stark reminder of how essential cross-border collaborations are for continued European health security. Maintaining and increasing the professional, well-trained workforce remains crucial for optimal response to infectious diseases and protection of public health.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Salud Pública , Humanos , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Comunicación , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología
5.
Euro Surveill ; 28(42)2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37855903

RESUMEN

BackgroundTick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a disease which can lead to severe neurological symptoms, caused by the TBE virus (TBEV). The natural transmission cycle occurs in foci and involves ticks as vectors and several key hosts that act as reservoirs and amplifiers of the infection spread. Recently, the incidence of TBE in Europe has been rising in both endemic and new regions.AimIn this study we want to provide comprehensive understanding of the main ecological and environmental factors that affect TBE spread across Europe.MethodsWe searched available literature on covariates linked with the circulation of TBEV in Europe. We then assessed the best predictors for TBE incidence in 11 European countries by means of statistical regression, using data on human infections provided by the European Surveillance System (TESSy), averaged between 2017 and 2021.ResultsWe retrieved data from 62 full-text articles and identified 31 different covariates associated with TBE occurrence. Finally, we selected eight variables from the best model, including factors linked to vegetation cover, climate, and the presence of tick hosts.DiscussionThe existing literature is heterogeneous, both in study design and covariate types. Here, we summarised and statistically validated the covariates affecting the variability of TBEV across Europe. The analysis of the factors enhancing disease emergence is a fundamental step towards the identification of potential hotspots of viral circulation. Hence, our results can support modelling efforts to estimate the risk of TBEV infections and help decision-makers implement surveillance and prevention campaigns.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Encefalitis Transmitidos por Garrapatas , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas , Ixodes , Garrapatas , Animales , Humanos , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas/prevención & control , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Clima
6.
Euro Surveill ; 27(4)2022 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35086610

RESUMEN

BackgroundIn Finland, surveillance of tularaemia relies on laboratory-confirmed case notifications to the National infectious Diseases Register (NIDR).AimThe aim of the study was to assess the suitability and usefulness of clinical surveillance as an addition to laboratory notification to improve tularaemia surveillance in Finland.MethodsWe retrieved NIDR tularaemia surveillance and primary healthcare data on clinically diagnosed tularaemia cases in Finland between 2013 and 2019. We compared incidences, demographic distributions and seasonal trends between the two data sources.ResultsThe median annual incidence was 0.6 (range: 0.1-12.7) and 0.8 (range: 0.6-7.2) per 100,000 for NIDR notifications and primary healthcare notifications, respectively. Cases reported to NIDR were slightly older than cases reported to primary healthcare (median: 53 years vs 50 years, p = 0.04), but had similar sex distribution. Seasonal peaks differed between systems, both in magnitude and in timing. On average, primary healthcare notifications peaked 3 weeks before NIDR. However, peaks in NIDR were more pronounced, for example in 2017, monthly incidence per 100,000 of NIDR notifications peaked at 12.7 cases in September, while primary healthcare notifications peaked at 7.2 (1.8 ratio) in August.ConclusionsClinically diagnosed cases provide a valuable additional data source for surveillance of tularaemia in Finland. A primary healthcare-based system would allow for earlier detection of increasing incidences and thereby for early warning of outbreaks. This is crucial in order to implement targeted control and prevention measures as early as possible.


Asunto(s)
Tularemia , Notificación de Enfermedades , Finlandia/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Laboratorios , Vigilancia de la Población , Atención Primaria de Salud , Tularemia/epidemiología
7.
Euro Surveill ; 27(31)2022 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35929430

RESUMEN

Sindbis virus (SINV) caused a large outbreak in Finland in 2021 with 566 laboratory-confirmed human cases and a notable geographical expansion. Compared with the last large outbreak in 2002, incidence was higher in several hospital districts but lower in traditionally endemic locations in eastern parts of the country. A high incidence is also expected in 2022. Awareness of SINV should be raised in Finland to increase recognition of the disease and prevent transmission through the promotion of control measures.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Alphavirus , Virus Sindbis , Infecciones por Alphavirus/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Alphavirus/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Finlandia/epidemiología , Geografía , Humanos
8.
Epidemiol Infect ; 149: e187, 2021 08 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34340722

RESUMEN

We update our previous insights into COVID-19 vaccine acceptance and hesitancy in Finland. Vaccine acceptance increased from 64% (November/December 2020) to 74% (April 2021). However, there was a group of participants that were preferring to wait to get vaccinated ranging from 6% of over-64-years-olds to 29% of under-30-years-olds. The previously identified enablers convenience (below-50-years-olds), worry about severe disease and protection for oneself (above-50-years-olds) were no longer significantly associated with increased vaccine acceptance. Understanding barriers and enablers behind vaccine acceptance is decisive in ensuring a successful implementation of COVID-19 vaccination programs, which will be key to ending the pandemic.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Cobertura de Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacunación/psicología , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Femenino , Finlandia , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
9.
Epidemiol Infect ; 149: e123, 2021 05 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33972001

RESUMEN

We investigated likelihood to vaccinate and reasons for and against accepting a coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine among adult residents of Finland. Vaccine acceptance declined from 70% in April to 64% in December 2020. Complacency and worry about side effects were main reasons against vaccination while concern about severe disease was a strong motive for vaccination. Convenience of vaccination and recommendations by healthcare workers were identified as enablers for vaccination among those aged under 50 years. Understanding barriers and enablers behind vaccine acceptance is decisive in ensuring a successful implementation of COVID-19 vaccination programmes, which will be key to ending the pandemic.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Negativa a la Vacunación , Vacunación , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Finlandia , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/psicología , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Vacunación/psicología , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Negativa a la Vacunación/psicología , Negativa a la Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven
10.
Euro Surveill ; 26(4)2021 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33509337

RESUMEN

Healthcare workers (HCWs) are at increased risk of both exposure and transmission of infectious disease. Two European Union (EU) directives state that health services are responsible for assessing their employees' potential exposure to infectious diseases and offering immunisation free of charge. We assessed current policy for immunisation of HCWs and the availability of vaccine coverage data in the Nordic countries by surveying national vaccination experts in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden, as well as Swedish county medical officers (CMOs). All national experts and 17 of 21 Swedish CMOs responded. All EU countries had transposed the European directives into national law, while Norway and Iceland had similar national legislation. Recommendations or guidelines were issued in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and 15 of 17 responding Swedish counties. The range of diseases covered differed by countries and Swedish counties. HCW vaccine coverage data were not systematically collected; incomplete estimates were only available for Finland and two Swedish counties. In conclusion, recommendations or guidelines exist in the Nordic countries, but their impact cannot be assessed, as vaccine uptake among HCWs is not currently measured. Systematic collection of data is a necessary step towards improving HCW immunisation policy and practice in the Nordic countries.


Asunto(s)
Personal de Salud , Vacunación , Finlandia , Humanos , Islandia/epidemiología , Noruega/epidemiología , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Suecia/epidemiología
11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(12): 2899-2906, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33219653

RESUMEN

Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is an endemic infection of public health importance in Finland. We investigated the effect of ecologic factors on 2007-2017 TBE trends. We obtained domestic TBE case data from the National Infectious Diseases Register, weather data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and data from the Natural Resources Institute in Finland on mammals killed by hunters yearly in game management areas. We performed a mixed-effects time-series analysis with time lags on weather and animal parameters, adding a random effect to game management areas. During 2007-2017, a total of 395/460 (86%) domestic TBE cases were reported with known place of exposure and date of sampling. Overall, TBE incidence increased yearly by 15%. After adjusting for the density of other animals and minimum temperatures, we found thatTBE incidence was positively associated with white-tailed deer density. Variation in host animal density should be considered when assessing TBE risks and designing interventions.


Asunto(s)
Ciervos , Virus de la Encefalitis Transmitidos por Garrapatas , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas , Ixodes , Animales , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas/epidemiología , Finlandia/epidemiología , Densidad de Población
12.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1450, 2020 Sep 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32972359

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: People who inject drugs (PWID) are the most exposed to hepatitis C virus (HCV). In Thailand, drug use is highly criminalized, and harm reduction services are scarce. This study estimates risky injection practices and assesses the proportion of HCV awareness and screening in the PWID population in Northern Thailand. METHODS: We used respondent-driven sampling (RDS) to recruit PWID in Chiang Mai Province. Social and behavioural data were collected through face-to-face interviews at an addiction treatment facility. Weighted population estimates were calculated to limit biases related to the non-random sampling method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to study factors associated with HCV awareness and screening. RESULTS: One hundred seventy-one PWID were recruited between April 2016 and January 2017. Median age was 33 (Interquartile range: 26-40) years, 12.2% were women, and 49.4% belonged to a minority ethnic group. Among participants, 76.8% injected heroin, 20.7% methadone, and 20.7% methamphetamine. We estimate that 22.1% [95% CI: 15.7-28.6] of the population had shared needles in the last 6 months and that 32.0% [95% CI: 23.6-40.4] had shared injection material. Only 26.6% [95% CI: 17.6-35.6] had heard of HCV. Factors independently associated with knowledge of HCV included belonging to a harm reduction organization (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 5.5 [95% CI: 2.0-15.3]) and voluntary participation in a drug rehabilitation programme (aOR = 4.3 [95% CI: 1.3-13.9]), while Lahu ethnicity was negatively associated (aOR = 0.3 [95% CI: 0.1-0.9]). We estimate that 5% of the PWID population were screened for HCV; the only factor independently associated with being screened was membership of a harm reduction organization (aOR = 5.7 [95% CI: 1.6-19.9]). CONCLUSION: Our study reveals that the PWID population is poorly informed and rarely screened for HCV, despite widespread risky injection practices. A public health approach aimed at reducing the incidence of HCV should target the PWID population and combine harm reduction measures with information and destigmatization campaigns. Civil society organizations working with PWID are a major asset for the success of such an approach, based on their current positive interventions promoting awareness of and screening for HCV.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Hepatitis C , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C/diagnóstico , Hepatitis C/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalencia , Asunción de Riesgos , Muestreo , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Tailandia/epidemiología
14.
Euro Surveill ; 24(49)2019 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31822326

RESUMEN

We report an outbreak of invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumococcal pneumonia among shipyard workers, in Turku, Southwest Finland. In total, 31 confirmed and six probable cases were identified between 3 May and 28 November 2019. Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes 12F, 4 and 8 were isolated from blood cultures of 25 cases. Occupational hygiene measures and vaccination of ca 4,000 workers are underway to control the outbreak at the shipyard.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Infecciones Neumocócicas/diagnóstico , Neumonía Neumocócica/diagnóstico , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto , Femenino , Finlandia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tipificación de Secuencias Multilocus , Infecciones Neumocócicas/sangre , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/microbiología , Neumonía Neumocócica/sangre , Neumonía Neumocócica/epidemiología , Serogrupo , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genética , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 24(10): 1850-1858, 2018 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30226164

RESUMEN

Congenital Zika virus syndrome consists of a large spectrum of neurologic abnormalities seen in infants infected with Zika virus in utero. However, little is known about the effects of Zika virus intrauterine infection on the neurocognitive development of children born without birth defects. Using a case-control study design, we investigated the temporal association of a cluster of congenital defects with Zika virus infection. In a nested study, we also assessed the early childhood development of children recruited in the initial study as controls who were born without known birth defects,. We found evidence for an association of congenital defects with both maternal Zika virus seropositivity (time of infection unknown) and symptomatic Zika virus infection during pregnancy. Although the early childhood development assessment found no excess burden of developmental delay associated with maternal Zika virus infection, larger, longer-term studies are needed.


Asunto(s)
Desarrollo Infantil , Exposición Materna/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/etiología , Efectos Tardíos de la Exposición Prenatal , Infección por el Virus Zika/complicaciones , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Virus Zika , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Preescolar , Anomalías Congénitas/epidemiología , Anomalías Congénitas/etiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Geografía Médica , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oportunidad Relativa , Evaluación del Resultado de la Atención al Paciente , Polinesia/epidemiología , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/diagnóstico , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/historia , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Adulto Joven , Infección por el Virus Zika/diagnóstico , Infección por el Virus Zika/virología
16.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 23(8): 1421-1423, 2017 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28514228

RESUMEN

Congenital Zika virus infection is associated with severe brain anomalies and impaired function. To determine outcomes, we followed 2 affected children for ≈30 months. For 1 who was symptomatic at birth, transient hepatitis developed. However, neurodevelopment for both children was age appropriate.


Asunto(s)
Periodo Posparto , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Infección por el Virus Zika/patología , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Polinesia/epidemiología
17.
Am J Epidemiol ; 186(10): 1194-1203, 2017 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28200111

RESUMEN

The spread of Zika virus in the Americas has been associated with a surge in Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) cases. Given the severity of GBS, territories affected by Zika virus need to plan health-care resources to manage GBS patients. To inform such planning in Martinique, we analyzed Zika virus surveillance and GBS data from Martinique in real time with a modeling framework that captured dynamics of the Zika virus epidemic, the risk of GBS in Zika virus-infected persons, and the clinical management of GBS cases. We compared our estimates with those from the 2013-2014 Zika virus epidemic in French Polynesia. We were able to predict just a few weeks into the epidemic that, due to lower transmission potential and lower probability of developing GBS following infection in Martinique, the total number of GBS cases in Martinique would be substantially lower than suggested by simple extrapolations from French Polynesia. We correctly predicted that 8 intensive-care beds and 7 ventilators would be sufficient to treat GBS cases. This study showcased the contribution of modeling to inform local health-care planning during an outbreak. Timely studies that estimate the proportion of infected persons that seek care are needed to improve the predictive power of such approaches.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Planificación en Salud/organización & administración , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/etiología , Planificación en Salud/métodos , Humanos , Martinica/epidemiología , Evaluación de Necesidades , Polinesia/epidemiología , Infección por el Virus Zika/complicaciones
18.
Lancet ; 387(10033): 2125-2132, 2016 May 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26993883

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The emergence of Zika virus in the Americas has coincided with increased reports of babies born with microcephaly. On Feb 1, 2016, WHO declared the suspected link between Zika virus and microcephaly to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. This association, however, has not been precisely quantified. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed data from a Zika virus outbreak in French Polynesia, which was the largest documented outbreak before that in the Americas. We used serological and surveillance data to estimate the probability of infection with Zika virus for each week of the epidemic and searched medical records to identify all cases of microcephaly from September, 2013, to July, 2015. Simple models were used to assess periods of risk in pregnancy when Zika virus might increase the risk of microcephaly and estimate the associated risk. FINDINGS: The Zika virus outbreak began in October, 2013, and ended in April, 2014, and 66% (95% CI 62-70) of the general population were infected. Of the eight microcephaly cases identified during the 23-month study period, seven (88%) occurred in the 4-month period March 1 to July 10, 2014. The timing of these cases was best explained by a period of risk in the first trimester of pregnancy. In this model, the baseline prevalence of microcephaly was two cases (95% CI 0-8) per 10,000 neonates, and the risk of microcephaly associated with Zika virus infection was 95 cases (34-191) per 10,000 women infected in the first trimester. We could not rule out an increased risk of microcephaly from infection in other trimesters, but models that excluded the first trimester were not supported by the data. INTERPRETATION: Our findings provide a quantitative estimate of the risk of microcephaly in fetuses and neonates whose mothers are infected with Zika virus. FUNDING: Labex-IBEID, NIH-MIDAS, AXA Research fund, EU-PREDEMICS.


Asunto(s)
Microcefalia/epidemiología , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Virus Zika , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Polinesia/epidemiología , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven
19.
Lancet ; 387(10027): 1531-1539, 2016 Apr 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26948433

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Between October, 2013, and April, 2014, French Polynesia experienced the largest Zika virus outbreak ever described at that time. During the same period, an increase in Guillain-Barré syndrome was reported, suggesting a possible association between Zika virus and Guillain-Barré syndrome. We aimed to assess the role of Zika virus and dengue virus infection in developing Guillain-Barré syndrome. METHODS: In this case-control study, cases were patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome diagnosed at the Centre Hospitalier de Polynésie Française (Papeete, Tahiti, French Polynesia) during the outbreak period. Controls were age-matched, sex-matched, and residence-matched patients who presented at the hospital with a non-febrile illness (control group 1; n=98) and age-matched patients with acute Zika virus disease and no neurological symptoms (control group 2; n=70). Virological investigations included RT-PCR for Zika virus, and both microsphere immunofluorescent and seroneutralisation assays for Zika virus and dengue virus. Anti-glycolipid reactivity was studied in patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome using both ELISA and combinatorial microarrays. FINDINGS: 42 patients were diagnosed with Guillain-Barré syndrome during the study period. 41 (98%) patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome had anti-Zika virus IgM or IgG, and all (100%) had neutralising antibodies against Zika virus compared with 54 (56%) of 98 in control group 1 (p<0.0001). 39 (93%) patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome had Zika virus IgM and 37 (88%) had experienced a transient illness in a median of 6 days (IQR 4-10) before the onset of neurological symptoms, suggesting recent Zika virus infection. Patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome had electrophysiological findings compatible with acute motor axonal neuropathy (AMAN) type, and had rapid evolution of disease (median duration of the installation and plateau phases was 6 [IQR 4-9] and 4 days [3-10], respectively). 12 (29%) patients required respiratory assistance. No patients died. Anti-glycolipid antibody activity was found in 13 (31%) patients, and notably against GA1 in eight (19%) patients, by ELISA and 19 (46%) of 41 by glycoarray at admission. The typical AMAN-associated anti-ganglioside antibodies were rarely present. Past dengue virus history did not differ significantly between patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome and those in the two control groups (95%, 89%, and 83%, respectively). INTERPRETATION: This is the first study providing evidence for Zika virus infection causing Guillain-Barré syndrome. Because Zika virus is spreading rapidly across the Americas, at risk countries need to prepare for adequate intensive care beds capacity to manage patients with Guillain-Barré syndrome. FUNDING: Labex Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, EU 7th framework program PREDEMICS. and Wellcome Trust.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/virología , Infección por el Virus Zika/complicaciones , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Virus del Dengue/aislamiento & purificación , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Polinesia/epidemiología , Dengue Grave/complicaciones , Dengue Grave/epidemiología , Virus Zika/aislamiento & purificación
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