Is the generalizability of a developed artificial intelligence algorithm for COVID-19 on chest CT sufficient for clinical use? Results from the International Consortium for COVID-19 Imaging AI (ICOVAI).

OBJECTIVES: Only few published artificial intelligence (AI) studies for COVID-19 imaging have been externally validated. Assessing the generalizability of developed models is essential, especially when considering clinical implementation. We report the development of the International Consortium for COVID-19 Imaging AI (ICOVAI) model and perform independent external validation. METHODS: The ICOVAI model was developed using multicenter data (n = 1286 CT scans) to quantify disease extent and assess COVID-19 likelihood using the COVID-19 Reporting and Data System (CO-RADS). A ResUNet model was modified to automatically delineate lung contours and infectious lung opacities on CT scans, after which a random forest predicted the CO-RADS score. After internal testing, the model was externally validated on a multicenter dataset (n = 400) by independent researchers. CO-RADS classification performance was calculated using linearly weighted Cohen's kappa and segmentation performance using Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC). RESULTS: Regarding internal versus external testing, segmentation performance of lung contours was equally excellent (DSC = 0.97 vs. DSC = 0.97, p = 0.97). Lung opacities segmentation performance was adequate internally (DSC = 0.76), but significantly worse on external validation (DSC = 0.59, p < 0.0001). For CO-RADS classification, agreement with radiologists on the internal set was substantial (kappa = 0.78), but significantly lower on the external set (kappa = 0.62, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: In this multicenter study, a model developed for CO-RADS score prediction and quantification of COVID-19 disease extent was found to have a significant reduction in performance on independent external validation versus internal testing. The limited reproducibility of the model restricted its potential for clinical use. The study demonstrates the importance of independent external validation of AI models. KEY POINTS: • The ICOVAI model for prediction of CO-RADS and quantification of disease extent on chest CT of COVID-19 patients was developed using a large sample of multicenter data. • There was substantial performance on internal testing; however, performance was significantly reduced on external validation, performed by independent researchers. The limited generalizability of the model restricts its potential for clinical use. • Results of AI models for COVID-19 imaging on internal tests may not generalize well to external data, demonstrating the importance of independent external validation.

A Dempster-Shafer Approach to Trustworthy AI With Application to Fetal Brain MRI Segmentation.

Deep learning models for medical image segmentation can fail unexpectedly and spectacularly for pathological cases and images acquired at different centers than training images, with labeling errors that violate expert knowledge. Such errors undermine the trustworthiness of deep learning models for medical image segmentation. Mechanisms for detecting and correcting such failures are essential for safely translating this technology into clinics and are likely to be a requirement of future regulations on artificial intelligence (AI). In this work, we propose a trustworthy AI theoretical framework and a practical system that can augment any backbone AI system using a fallback method and a fail-safe mechanism based on Dempster-Shafer theory. Our approach relies on an actionable definition of trustworthy AI. Our method automatically discards the voxel-level labeling predicted by the backbone AI that violate expert knowledge and relies on a fallback for those voxels. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed trustworthy AI approach on the largest reported annotated dataset of fetal MRI consisting of 540 manually annotated fetal brain 3D T2w MRIs from 13 centers. Our trustworthy AI method improves the robustness of four backbone AI models for fetal brain MRIs acquired across various centers and for fetuses with various brain abnormalities.