Targeted hepatitis C screening among ex-injection drug users in the community.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide. It is highly prevalent among injection drug users (IDUs) but is often undiagnosed because they represent an underprivileged group that faces multiple barriers to medical care. Here, we report the results of the New Life New Liver Project, which provides targeted HCV screening and education for ex-IDUs in the community. METHODS: Patients were recruited through the social worker networks and referrals by fellow ex-IDUs, and rapid diagnosis was based on point-of-care anti-HCV testing at rehabilitation centers. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2012, we served 234 subjects. One hundred thirty (56%) subjects were anti-HCV positive. The number needed to screen to detect one patient with positive anti-HCV was 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.6-2.0). However, only 69 (53%) HCV patients attended subsequent follow-up at regional hospitals, and 26 (20%) received antiviral therapy. Patients who attended follow-up were older, had higher education level and more active disease as evidenced by higher alanine aminotransferase, HCV RNA, and liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted screening in ex-IDUs is effective in identifying patients with HCV infection in the community. Improvement in the referral system and introduction of interferon-free regimens are needed to increase treatment uptake.

Surrogate end points and long-term outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is unclear whether surrogate end points reported in clinical trials correlate with long-term outcome of patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: Patients with chronic hepatitis B who participated in any of 4 randomized controlled trials were followed prospectively for liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma, ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal bleeding, liver transplantation, and death). Biochemical (normal ALT levels), virologic (levels of hepatitis B virus DNA below 10,000 copies/mL), and histologic (reduction of necroinflammation grading by 2 points or more with no increase in fibrosis staging) responses were evaluated at the end of each trial. RESULTS: One hundred ninety-five patients with adequate pretreatment and post-treatment liver biopsies (15 mm long and 6 portal tracts) were followed for 86 months (interquartile range, 77-98). Liver-related events occurred in 12 patients (6%). The risk of liver-related events was lower in patients with biochemical (hazard ratio, 0.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.068-0.68) and histologic (hazard ratio, 0.095; 95% confidence interval, 0.012-0.74) responses. Only 1 patient with a histologic response and 1 patient with an ALT level below Prati's cutoffs (30 IU/L in men and 19 IU/L in women) developed liver-related events. Fifteen of 25 patients (60%) with cirrhosis at baseline had regression of cirrhosis, and none of these patients died or developed liver-related events. In contrast, 3 of these patients still developed liver-related events, despite an initial virologic response, and 2 had virologic breakthrough. CONCLUSIONS: Biochemical and histologic responses, particularly regression of cirrhosis, in patients with chronic hepatitis B are associated with decreased liver-related complications.

Virodynamic predictors of response to pegylated interferon and lamivudine combination treatment of hepatitis B e antigen-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of non-responders to interferon-alpha and development of stopping rules are needed in patients with chronic hepatitis B to reduce treatment-related costs and morbidity. METHODS: In total, 47 patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B received pegylated interferon-alpha2b for 8 weeks, lamivudine plus pegylated interferon-alpha2b combination therapy for 24 weeks and lamivudine monotherapy for 28 weeks. Sustained virological response was defined as HBeAg seroconversion and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA < 10(5) copies/ml at the end of treatment and after 52 weeks of follow-up. The early HBV DNA data from the first 12 weeks of therapy were fitted by a viral kinetic model. RESULTS: Cutoff values for prediction of sustained virological response were defined as a rate of infected cell loss delta > or = 0.005 per day (negative predictive value [NPV] 100% and positive predictive value [PPV] 33.3%) and log values of the area under the mathematically predicted HBV DNA curve between baseline and week 12 of therapy < or = 8.9 log10 copies/ml x days (NPV 100% and PPV 50%). By the latter cutoff, 25/36 (69.4%) patients without sustained virological response could be identified after 12 weeks of therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, mathematical modelling of viral dynamics allowed prediction of sustained virological response after 12 weeks of therapy. Virodynamic predictors for sustained virological response should be further validated. The area under the mathematically predicted HBV DNA curve seems a promising candidate for potential cutoff values as it summarizes the influence of baseline HBV DNA and treatment effects.

Long-term follow-up of lamivudine treatment in patients with severe acute exacerbation of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: The long-term efficacy of lamivudine treatment for patients suffering from severe acute exacerbation of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B is unknown. METHODS: Consecutive patients with severe acute exacerbation of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B were prospectively recruited from 1999 to 2004 and treated with lamivudine. All patients had alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and serum bilirubin levels 10x and 3x above the upper limit of normal, respectively. HBeAg-positive patients without severe acute exacerbation served as controls. RESULTS: Forty-five patients with severe acute exacerbation and 31 controls were treated with lamivudine for a median of 2.8 (range 1.0-7.1) years and 3.8 (range 3.5-8.4) years, respectively. Compared with controls, patients with severe acute exacerbation had higher HBeAg seroconversion rates (78% versus 52%; P=0.02) and lower risk of virological breakthrough. However, 33% of patients with severe acute exacerbation still developed lamivudine resistance and virological breakthrough by year 5. HBV DNA levels at week 4 and prolonged baseline prothrombin time were independent factors associated with virological breakthrough. All patients with week 4 HBV DNA <3 log10 copies/ml had maintained virological response. Among 15 patients who stopped lamivudine after sustained HBeAg seroconversion for > or =6 months, 11 (73%) had virological relapse at a median of 1.4 (0.2-3.9) years. ALT increased beyond 10x the upper limit of normal in six (38%) patients who stopped lamivudine and two (7%) patients on maintained lamivudine treatment (P=0.02). CONCLUSION: Among patients with severe acute exacerbation of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B treated with lamivudine, virological breakthrough and post-treatment relapse are common despite a high rate of HBeAg seroconversion. Severe hepatitis flare is also common particularly among patients developing virological relapse after discontinuation of lamivudine.

Validation of the NAFLD fibrosis score in a Chinese population with low prevalence of advanced fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in prevalence worldwide. This study aimed to validate the NAFLD fibrosis score in the Chinese population. METHODS: NAFLD patients were prospectively recruited for liver biopsy and blood tests. The NAFLD fibrosis score was calculated as -1.675 + 0.037 x age (yr) + 0.094 x BMI (kg/m(2)) + 1.13 x impaired fasting glucose/diabetes (yes = 1, no = 0) + 0.99 x AST/ALT ratio-0.013 x platelet (x10(9)/L)-0.66 x albumin (g/dL). Advanced fibrosis was defined as stage 3 to 4 fibrosis. RESULTS: One hundred sixty-two patients (age 46 +/- 10 yr, male 59%) were included in the study. Advanced fibrosis was found in 18 (11%) patients. Only 11 of 128 patients with the NAFLD fibrosis score below the proposed low cutoff point (<-1.455) were under-staged, resulting in a high negative predictive value of 91%. Only two patients exceeded the proposed high cutoff point (>0.676), but neither had advanced fibrosis. If the NAFLD fibrosis score was implemented in the Chinese population, 79% of liver biopsies could be avoided. CONCLUSIONS: The NAFLD fibrosis score has high negative predictive value in excluding advanced fibrosis in the Chinese population, and can reduce the burden of liver biopsy in the vast majority of cases. Since there were few cases of advanced fibrosis in this cohort, this study had limited power in validating the high cutoff point.

Genetic polymorphisms of adiponectin and tumor necrosis factor-alpha and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Chinese people.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hypoadiponectinemia and high tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) levels are associated with the development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aimed to investigate the genetic polymorphisms of adiponectin and TNF-alpha in Chinese NAFLD patients and their association with disease severity. METHODS: Seventy-nine patients with histology-proven NAFLD (61 with simple steatosis and 18 with stage 2-4 fibrosis) and 40 controls were tested for the nucleotide polymorphisms at adiponectin -11 391, -11 377, +45, and +276 and TNF-alpha promoters -863, -308, and -238. RESULTS: There was no significant deviation in the adiponectin and TNF-alpha gene polymorphisms between NAFLD patients and controls, or between patients with simple steatosis and those with stage 2-4 fibrosis. NAFLD patients with -11377G and +45G at the adiponectin gene were more likely to have hypertriglyceridemia. On multivariate analysis, older age, higher body mass index, and higher fasting glucose were independent factors associated with stage 2-4 fibrosis in NAFLD patients. CONCLUSIONS: Adiponectin and TNF-alpha gene polymorphisms were not shown to be associated with NAFLD or significant fibrosis in Chinese people. The adiponectin -11377G and +45G alleles were associated with hypertriglyceridemia in NAFLD patients. Since the current study is not adequately powered to detect smaller differences in allele frequencies, larger-sized studies in different ethnic groups are required.

Virological response to different combination regimes of peginterferon alpha-2b and lamivudine in hepatitis B e antigen positive chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether simultaneous commencement of peginterferon alpha-2b and lamivudine treatment has more potent hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA suppression than staggered regimes. METHODS: Thirty HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients were randomized in 1:1:1 ratio to 32-week peginterferon started simultaneously with lamivudine (group 1), eight weeks before lamivudine (group 2) or eight weeks after commencement of lamivudine (group 3). All patients received lamivudine until week 104. RESULTS: At week 52, the log HBV DNA reduction in group 1 (6.38) was more profound than that in group 2 (3.43, P = 0.022) and tended to be superior to that in group 3 (4.44, P = 0.060). HBeAg seroconversion developed in six (67%) patients in group 1, three (33%) patients in group 2 (P = 0.35 versus group 1) and one (10%) patient in group 3 (P = 0.037 versus group 1). At week 104, the log HBV DNA reduction in group 1 (6.13) versus that in group 2 (5.24) and group 3 (5.15) was insignificantly different. Lamivudine resistance was found in four (14%) patients at week 104. There was 1.22 and 2.52 median log reduction in covalently closed circular DNA and total intrahepatic HBV DNA, respectively, at week 104, but there was no difference among the three groups. At 24 weeks post-treatment, sustained HBeAg seroconversion was observed in five (56%), three (33%) and four (40%) of the patients in groups 1, 2 and 3, respectively (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Simultaneous commencement of peginterferon and lamivudine tend to provide more profound viral suppression than staggered regimes in the early phase of treatment.

Long-term lamivudine treatment is associated with a good maintained response in severe acute exacerbation of chronic HBeAg-negative hepatitis B.

Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis B is difficult to treat and there is little long-term data for lamivudine treatment of severe acute exacerbation. We report a prospective, consecutive cohort of severe acute exacerbation of HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients treated by lamivudine between 1999 and 2004. All patients had respectively increased alanine aminotransferase and serum bilirubin to at least 10 and 2 times the upper limit of laboratory normal. Thirty-two patients were treated with lamivudine for 130 +/- 58 (range 48-217) weeks. Five patients had evidence of virological breakthrough (HBV DNA >10,000 copies/ml) during lamivudine treatment. The cumulative probability of maintained response without any virological breakthrough was 94% (95% confidence interval [CI], 86-100%) at year 1, 94% (95% CI, 82-100%) at year 2 and 71% (95% CI, 41-100%) at year 3. At the last follow-up visit, 31 (97%) lamivudine patients had HBV DNA <10,000 copies/ml. The prevalence of lamivudine resistance mutation was 1 in 32 patients (3%; 95% CI, 0-9%) at year 1, 1 in 17 patients (6%; 95% CI, 0-17%) at year 2, 1 in 9 patients (11%, 95% CI, 0-32%) at year 3 and 1 in 4 patients (25%; 95% CI, 0-67%) at year 4 of lamivudine treatment. In conclusion, extended lamivudine treatment is associated with a high maintained virological response and a low rate of drug resistance in severe acute exacerbation of HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.

A randomized, controlled trial of combination therapy for chronic hepatitis B: comparing pegylated interferon-alpha2b and lamivudine with lamivudine alone.

BACKGROUND: Conventional interferon and lamivudine monotherapy are unsatisfactory in treating hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of pegylated interferon-alpha2b and lamivudine combination therapy for chronic hepatitis B. DESIGN: Randomized, controlled, open-label trial. SETTING: Outpatient clinic in a referral center. PARTICIPANTS: 100 treatment-naive patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B and moderately elevated alanine aminotransferase levels. MEASUREMENT: The primary end point was sustained virologic response (HBeAg seroconversion and HBV DNA level < 500,000 copies/mL) at 24 weeks after cessation of treatment. INTERVENTION: A staggered regimen of combination therapy with pegylated interferon-alpha2b (1.5 microg/kg of body weight per week; maximum, 100 microg) given for 32 weeks plus lamivudine (100 mg daily) given for 52 weeks versus lamivudine (100 mg daily) monotherapy given for 52 weeks. Of the 100 participants, 96% completed treatment and 80% completed post-treatment follow-up. RESULTS: The rate of sustained virologic response was 36% for the combination treatment group and 14% for the lamivudine monotherapy group (absolute difference, 22 percentage points [95% CI, 6 to 38 percentage points]). End-of-treatment outcomes showed that, compared with monotherapy, patients receiving combination therapy more often had virologic response (60% vs. 28% [absolute difference, 32 percentage points (CI, 14 to 50 percentage points)]); had more substantial reductions of HBV DNA (3.91 log10 copies/mL vs. 2.83 log10 copies/mL); and less often had lamivudine-resistant mutants (21% vs. 40%). The percentages of patients with normalization of alanine aminotransferase levels and histologic improvement did not differ. Adverse effects, such as transient influenza-like symptoms, alopecia, and local erythematous reactions, were more common with combination therapy. LIMITATIONS: This study lacked a double-blind design and was conducted at 1 institution. Because of the staggered pegylated interferon-lamivudine regimen, patients assigned to combination therapy received treatment for 8 weeks longer than those assigned to monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B, staggered combination treatment with pegylated interferon-alpha2b and lamivudine may lead to a higher rate of virologic response than lamivudine monotherapy.

A hospital clinic-based survey on traditional Chinese medicine usage among chronic hepatitis B patients.

OBJECTIVES: To survey the pattern of traditional Chinese medicine usage among chronic hepatitis B patients. DESIGN: Self-administered questionnaire survey. SETTING: Hepatitis clinic at a university hospital in Hong Kong. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of chronic hepatitis B patients who have ever used traditional Chinese medicine for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B and factors associated with the use. RESULTS: Three hundred and sixty-two patients completed the survey (response rate 93%). One hundred and sixteen (32%) patients reported history of traditional Chinese medicine usage. One hundred and five (91%) patients felt that Chinese medicine had few or no side effects. Most (81%) patients did not inform their physicians on Chinese medicine usage. On multivariate analysis, recent travel to Mainland China, perceived active hepatitis and family members with chronic hepatitis B were independent factors associated with the use of Chinese medicine. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic hepatitis B patients commonly use traditional Chinese medicine. As patients seldom inform the physicians about the use of Chinese medicine, doctors should explicitly enquire about this because of potential therapeutic implications.

Effect of prostaglandin E2 and prostaglandin I2 on PDGF-induced proliferation of LI90, a human hepatic stellate cell line.

Hepatic stellate cells (HSC) are central to liver fibrosis. The eicosanoid pathway and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) may be an important signaling mechanism in HSC. We investigated the role of COX-2, prostaglandin E(2) (PGE(2)) and prostaglandin I(2) (PGI(2)) in proliferation of LI90, an immortalized cell line of HSC. Our results showed that COX-2 was upregulated by platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF), a mitogen in HSC. COX-2 was responsible for the production of PGE(2) and PGI(2) in PDGF-stimulated LI90 cells. Furthermore, we demonstrated that COX-2 and PGE(2) mediated the proliferative response of LI90 to PDGF while synthetic analogue of PGI(2) exhibited anti-proliferative effect. Our findings suggest complex interactions of prostaglandins in liver fibrogenesis. In vivo studies using animal models are needed to elucidate the effect of COX-2 inhibition by non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or COX-2 inhibitor in hepatic fibrosis.

Fulminant hepatic failure in a patient with inactive HBsAg carrier state, acute hepatitis E and thyrotoxicosis.

A 38-year-old man presented with jaundice and significant weight loss. Investigations found positive hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). His hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) was negative and HBV DNA was not detectable in the blood. Further tests revealed that he also had acute hepatitis E infection and uncontrolled thyrotoxicosis. The hypercatabolic state of coexisting thyrotoxicosis and acute hepatitis caused marked weight loss and clinical deterioration with fulminant hepatic failure. Institution of successful anti-thyroid treatment and supplemental nutrition effectively reversed the disease progression and the patient recovered fully.

Hepatitis B virus genotype has no impact on hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion after lamivudine treatment.

AIM: To investigate the association of hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotype and HBeAg seroconversion after nucleotide analogue treatment. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients receiving lamivudine followed up for at least 6 months post-treatment were studied. Consecutive treatment-naïve patients who were prospectively followed up in the clinic for at least 18 months were studied as controls. HBeAg seroconversion was defined as loss of HBeAg, appearance of anti-HBe and normalization of alanine aminotransferase for at least 6 months. RESULTS: Thirty-five patients on lamivudine and 96 control patients followed up for 39 (18-49) months were studied. Lamivudine was given for 12 (10-18) months, and patients were followed up for 15 (6-34) months after drug cessation. Genotype B and C HBV were found in 43 and 88 patients and HBeAg seroconversion occurred in 12 (28%) and 16 (18%) patients, respectively (P=0.30). There was no difference in HBeAg seroconversion between patients infected by genotype B and C HBV in the control (35% vs 21%, P=0.25) and lamivudine-treated (14% vs 10%, P=1.00) groups. CONCLUSION: HBeAg seroconversion after treatment by lamivudine was not influenced by the HBV genotype.

Effect of celecoxib on experimental liver fibrosis in rat.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), an inducible enzyme that catalyzes prostaglandin synthesis, has been implicated in a number of hepatic stellate cell (HSC) functions. In the current study, we assessed the in vivo effect of celecoxib, a COX-2-selective inhibitor, in experimental liver fibrosis in rats. METHODS: Male Sprague-Dawley rats received experimental treatments for 5 weeks. Serum alanine transminase at the time of sacrifice was measured. Quantitative assessment of liver fibrosis was performed by computerized morphometry. Expression of COX-2, alpha smooth muscle actin and connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) was evaluated by immunohistochemistry. Real-time quantitative PCR was used to determine the expression of genes associated with fibrogenesis and extracellular matrix degradation. RESULTS: Liver fibrosis was significantly worse in rats that received both carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) and celecoxib, compared with rats that received CCl4 and gavage of water (P = 0.037). There was also more HSC activation, and upregulation of collagen alpha1(I), heat-shock protein 47, alphaB crystallin, matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-2, MMP-9 and tissue inhibitor of MMP (TIMP)-2. The expression of TIMP-1 and CTGF was not significantly different between the two groups. The pro-fibrogenic effect of celecoxib in toxin-induced liver fibrosis in rats was further confirmed in thioacetamide model of liver injury. CONCLUSIONS: Celecoxib potentiates experimental liver fibrosis; further studies are warranted to investigate the potential pro-fibrogenic effect of celecoxib in other animal models of liver fibrosis and in patients with chronic hepatitis.

Metabolic and adipokine profile of Chinese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic syndrome are reaching epidemic levels worldwide, but data in Asia remain scarce. This cross-sectional study examined the metabolic and adipokine profiles of Chinese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and factors associated with severe disease. METHODS: Eighty ethnic Chinese with NAFLD and 41 healthy controls were recruited. Metabolic parameters and fasting adiponectin, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), leptin, and resistin levels were measured on the day of liver biopsy. Histology was scored according to Brunt's criteria. Metabolic syndrome was assessed by using both the International Diabetes Federation and Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. RESULTS: Twenty-eight patients had simple steatosis, and 52 patients had nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), defined as necroinflammatory grade >/=2 and/or fibrosis by Brunt's criteria. The ethnic-specific International Diabetes Federation criteria identified more cases of metabolic syndrome among NAFLD patients than the Adult Treatment Panel III criteria (70% vs 56%, P < .0001). On multivariate analysis, low adiponectin level, increased leptin level, and diabetes mellitus were associated with NAFLD. High TNF-alpha level and high body mass index were independent factors associated with NASH. TNF-alpha level had positive correlation with necroinflammatory grade (R = .35, P = .002) and fibrosis stage (R = .31, P = .005). CONCLUSIONS: Hypoadiponectinemia and elevated TNF-alpha levels are associated with the development of NAFLD and NASH, respectively, independent of other metabolic factors. Ethnic-specific definition of metabolic syndrome is more useful in the assessment of NAFLD patients.

Advances in chronic viral hepatitis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Chronic liver disease due to hepatitis B virus or hepatitis C virus infection results in cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Successful eradication or suppression of viral replication may lead to clinical improvement and better prognosis. Important discoveries have been made in recent years on the management of these diseases. This article aims at reviewing important publications of the past year that contribute to better understanding and treatment of chronic viral hepatitis. RECENT FINDINGS: The effect of virus genotype on the natural history continued to be an important topic of research. Landmark studies on the use of pegylated interferon in chronic hepatitis B and benefit of antiviral treatment in patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis have been published. New antiviral agents were evaluated with encouraging results. In chronic hepatitis C, several treatment trials using pegylated interferon on HIV-coinfected patients have been published. Treatment in specific groups of patients, including those with normal alanine transaminase or posttransplantation recurrence, has also been investigated. SUMMARY: Major progress has been made in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B and pegylated interferon is likely to become one of the first-line therapeutic options in the near future. Combined pegylated interferon and ribavirin will be the standard treatment regimen for hepatitis C and HIV coinfection. Future challenges include treatment of hepatitis B and HIV coinfection and discovery of more potent antiviral agents.

Identification of chronic hepatitis B patients without significant liver fibrosis by a simple noninvasive predictive model.

OBJECTIVE: Histological assessment of liver fibrosis is important in the management of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection but poorly accepted by patients because of its invasiveness. The aim of this study was to develop a noninvasive model to assess liver fibrosis in CHB patients using clinical and routine laboratory data. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective study on 235 treatment-naive viremic CHB patients. Univariate analysis of data from the training cohort (n = 150) followed by multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent predictors of significant fibrosis and generate predictive models. The models were validated with the remaining patients or validation cohort (n = 85) and by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: Body mass index (BMI), platelet count, serum albumin, and total bilirubin levels were identified as independent predictors of bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis (Ishak stage 3-6). ROC analysis was performed using the predictive probabilities derived from the regression models. The area under the ROC curve of the best model was 0.803 (95% CI: 0.729-0.878) for the training cohort, 0.765 (95% CI: 0.644-0.885) for the validation cohort, and 0.791 (95% CI: 0.728-0.854) for the entire cohort. Using the low cut-off probability of 0.15, significant fibrosis could be excluded in 83 patients of the total patient population (negative predictive value 0.92). CONCLUSIONS: Our noninvasive model comprising BMI and three routine laboratory tests was accurate in predicting absence of significant fibrosis. Application of this model could provide useful additional information on the stage of disease, guide future management decisions, and potentially decrease the need for liver biopsy in some CHB patients.

Long-term follow-up of peginterferon and lamivudine combination treatment in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B.

We have previously demonstrated that combination peginterferon and lamivudine treatment has superior antiviral efficacy to lamivudine monotherapy in chronic hepatitis B. In this study, we investigated the long-term posttreatment virological response to this combination treatment. Sustained virological response of patients who completed 32-week peginterferon and 52-week lamivudine combination treatment was compared to patients who completed 52-week lamivudine monotherapy. Sustained response was defined as sustained hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) loss and HBV DNA < 100,000 copies/mL from treatment cessation until the end of follow-up. Forty-eight patients receiving combination treatment and 47 patients receiving lamivudine monotherapy were studied. The posttreatment follow-up of patients who received combination treatment was 117 +/- 34 weeks and that of patients receiving lamivudine monotherapy was 124 +/- 29 weeks. At the end of treatment, HBeAg loss occurred in 63% of patients in the combination group and 28% of patients in the lamivudine group (P = .001). The probabilities of sustained response for combination treatment and lamivudine monotherapy were 33% and 13% at week 24, 31% and 11% at week 52, and 29% and 9% at week 76, respectively (log-rank test, P = .0015). No patients developed virological relapse after week 76 until the last visit in either treatment group. All sustained responders had no biochemical relapse (alanine aminotransferase [ALT] > 2 times upper limit of normal) during follow-up. Among the non-sustained responders, biochemical relapse occurred in 32 patients (94%) in the combination group and 38 patients (88%) in the lamivudine group, respectively. In conclusion, combination treatment of peginterferon and lamivudine has a higher sustained virological response than lamivudine monotherapy up to 3 years after treatment.

A retrospective study on clinical features and prognostic factors of biopsy-proven primary biliary cirrhosis in Chinese patients.

OBJECTIVES: Though extensive research has been performed on primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) in Caucasian patients, little is known about the disease in the Asian population. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective study of Chinese patients with biopsy-proven PBC. Electronic records of results from all liver biopsies (n = 1,021) performed between January 1996 and April 2004, together with records of patients labeled as "biliary cirrhosis," were retrieved. Patients with biopsy-proven PBC were identified, and their medical notes were reviewed. The demographic, clinical, biochemical, and histological parameters of these patients were analyzed for mortality predictors. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients with biopsy-proven PBC and a median follow-up of 44 (range: 5-114) months were identified. Twelve patients (30.8%) were asymptomatic at diagnosis. The patients were approximately equally divided into one-thirds at stages I, II, and III of the histological disease. Hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 14 (35.9%) patients during the follow-up period. The overall 5-yr survival probability was 81.4%. Hypoalbuminemia was found to be the only independent predictor of mortality on multivariate analysis (hazard ratio = 0.50 per 1 g/L increase, 95% CI 0.30-0.84, p= 0.008). Using the median serum albumin level as the cutoff, the 5-yr survival probability was significantly higher for patients with serum albumin levels >35 g/L than for those with serum albumin levels < or =35 g/L (100% vs 69%, p= 0.007). No significant difference was found when baseline serum albumin was compared with the Mayo Risk Score and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score for prediction of patient survival (p= 0.68) and death (p= 0.12) at 5 yr. CONCLUSIONS: In this longitudinal cohort study of biopsy-proven PBC with up to 9 yr of follow-up, we found that Chinese patients with PBC had significant morbidity and mortality. Hypoalbuminemia at presentation was an independent and strong predictor of mortality.

Survival and prognostic indicators in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis after onset of hepatic decompensation.

GOALS: To determine the 2-year survival and prognostic indicators of hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis after the onset of hepatic decompensation. BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis and resultant hepatic decompensation have reduced survival. However, the natural history of these patients has not been well characterized in previous studies. Better understanding of survival and prognostic indicators is essential in management of these patients, especially in determining who should be candidates for orthotopic liver transplantation. STUDY: This is a retrospective longitudinal study of 96 patients with CHB-related cirrhosis after the onset of hepatic decompensation. The overall survival was ascertained, and clinical and laboratory variables were analyzed. Significant prognostic indicators for survival at 2 years were determined using univariate and multivariate analyses with Cox regression model. RESULTS: The overall survival was 80% at 2 years after onset of decompensation. With univariate and multivariate analyses, hepatic encephalopathy and hypoalbuminemia less than 2.8 g/dL were significant prognostic indicators of poor survival probability. The hazard ratios were 5.22 (95% confidence interval, 1.67-16.3) and 8.57 (95% confidence interval, 1.94-37.8), respectively. Patients with hypoalbuminemia less than 2.8 g/dL had a 2-year survival of only 62%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that of CHB patients who developed the first episode of hepatic decompensation, those with hepatic encephalopathy or significant hypoalbuminemia or both have worse prognoses. They should be considered potential candidates for liver transplantation.