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GOALS: To identify factors associated with transplantation and death in alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) patients presenting with first evidence of ascites. BACKGROUND: Ascites development is a poor prognostic sign for patients with cirrhosis. Among ALD patients, the baseline factors at time of ascites development that are associated with eventual transplantation or death are currently unknown. STUDY: Adult patients with ascites in the "Evaluating Alcohol Use in Alcohol-related Liver Disease Prospective Cohort Study" (NCT03267069 clinicaltrials.gov) were identified from 2016 to 2020. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory factors at initial ascites presentation were identified as potential predictors of transplant and death as competing risks. RESULTS: A total of 96 patients were identified. Median (interquartile range) follow-up time was 2.00 years (0.87 to 3.85). By last follow-up, 34/96 patients had been transplanted (35.4%) and 11/96 had died (11.4%). Prognostic factors for transplant included age per decade [hazard ratio (HR): 0.52 (95% CI, 0.33 to 0.83)], employed status [HR: 0.35 (95% CI, 0.14 to 0.90)], and sodium [HR: 0.94 (95% CI, 0.90 to 0.99)], whereas prognostic factors for death were body mass index [HR: 1.11 (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.22)], Charlson index [HR: 2.14 [95% CI, 1.13 to 4.08]), Maddrey Discriminant Function >32 (HR: 5.88 (95% CI, 1.18, 29.39)], aspartate aminotransferase [HR: 0.99 (95% CI, 0.98 to 0.997)], and a prior 12-month abstinence period [HR: 5.53 (95% CI, 1.10 to 27.83)], adjusted for age, sex, and ALD subcategory. CONCLUSIONS: Several factors at initial ascites presentation are associated with increased risk of transplantation or death and validation in larger cohorts will allow for improved risk stratification for ALD patients.
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Hepatopatías Alcohólicas , Adulto , Humanos , Ascitis/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/complicaciones , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/diagnóstico , Trasplante de Hígado , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Clínicos como AsuntoRESUMEN
Clinical manifestations of liver inflammation in alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) can range from asymptomatic to severe alcoholic hepatitis. While biopsy is the gold standard for identifying liver inflammation, it is an invasive procedure with risks of bleeding, visceral damage, and infection. We aim to establish the state of the current literature on non-invasive markers of inflammation in ALD. We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for original studies on the association between one or more non-invasive biomarker(s) and histological inflammation or hepatitis in ALD patients. Exclusion criteria were lack of histological data, abstract only, non-English-language articles, and animal studies. Two independent reviewers screened abstracts, reviewed full texts, and extracted data from included papers. Our search identified 8051 unique studies. Title and abstract screening resulted in 563 studies, and full-text screening resulted in 31 studies for final inclusion. The majority were single-center observational cohorts with an average sample size of 124. Review of these studies identified 44 unique biomarkers and 8 calculated scores associated with histological inflammation and/or hepatitis, in addition to a metabolomic panel of 468 metabolites. Six studies examined diagnostic accuracy for histological inflammation and/or hepatitis. The highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.932 using a model based on four metabolites. This review highlights the available literature on non-invasive markers of inflammation in ALD. There is a dearth of studies that evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of these biomarkers, and larger studies are needed to confirm findings identified in small cohorts.
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Hepatitis A , Hepatitis Alcohólica , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas , Animales , Humanos , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/complicaciones , Hepatopatías Alcohólicas/diagnóstico , Inflamación , Biomarcadores , BiopsiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Hospital admissions for patients with cirrhosis continue to increase. In New York City, 25% to 30% of hospitalized cirrhotics are readmitted within 30 days. Rehospitalization is associated with increased mortality, poor quality of life, and financial burden to patients, hospitals, and payers. Preventable readmissions are partially accounted for by a well-documented quality gap between evidence-based guidelines for cirrhosis management and real-world adherence to these recommendations. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study that compared outcomes among cirrhotic patients admitted to 4 internal medicine teams over a 6-month period. An electronic medical record (EMR) note template that outlined best-practice measures for cirrhotics was developed. Inpatient providers on 2 teams were instructed to include it in daily progress notes and discharge summaries. The recommended practices included diagnostic paracentesis and diuretics for ascites, rifaximin, and lactulose for hepatic encephalopathy, beta blockers for esophageal varices, and antibiotic prophylaxis for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. The remaining 2 teams continued the standard of care for cirrhotic patients. The primary outcome was 30-day readmissions. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, length of stay, and adherence to best-practice guidelines. RESULTS: Over a 6-month period, 108 cirrhotic patients were admitted, 83 in the interventional group and 25 in the control group. MELD-Na scores on admission did not differ between the groups (20.1 vs. 21.1, P =0.56). Thirty-day readmissions were not significantly different between the interventional and control groups (19.3% vs. 24%, P =0.61). However, 30-day mortality was significantly lower in the interventional group (8.4% vs. 28%, P =0.01). There was no difference between the 2 groups in in-hospital mortality (4.8% vs. 0%, P =0.27), 90-day mortality (15.7% vs. 28.0%, P =0.17) or length of stay (10.2 vs. 12.6 d, P =0.34). Adherence to best-practice metrics was similar between the groups, except for rates of diagnostic paracentesis, which were higher in the interventional group (98% vs. 80%, P =0.01). CONCLUSION: Implementation of an EMR note template with cirrhosis best practices was associated with lower 30-day mortality and higher rates of diagnostic paracentesis among admitted patients with cirrhosis. These findings suggest that the integration of best-practice measures into the EMR may improve outcomes in hospitalized cirrhotic patients. Larger studies are required to validate these findings.
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Hospitalización , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática/terapia , Cirrosis Hepática/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score may have eliminated racial disparities on the waitlist for liver transplantation (LT), but disparities prior to waitlist placement have not been adequately quantified. We aimed to analyze differences in patients who are listed for LT, undergo transplantation, and die from end-stage liver disease (ESLD), stratified by state and race/ethnicity. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed two databases retrospectively, the Center for Disease Control Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) and the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) databases, from 2014 to 2018. We included patients aged 25-64 years who had a primary cause of death of ESLD and were listed for transplant in the CDC WONDER or UNOS database. Our primary outcome was the ratio of listing for LT to death from ESLD-listing to death ratio (LDR). Our secondary outcome was the transplant to listing and transplant to death ratios. Chi-squared and multivariable linear regression evaluated for differences between races/ethnicities. There were 135,367 patients who died of ESLD, 54,734 patients who were listed for transplant, and 26,571 who underwent transplant. Patients were mostly male and White. The national LDR was 0.40, significantly lowest in Black patients (0.30), P < 0.001. The national transplant to listing ratio was 0.48, highest in Black patients (0.53), P < 0.01. The national transplant to death ratio was 0.20, lowest in Black patients (0.16), P < 0.001. States that had an above-mean LDR had a lower transplant to listing ratio but a higher transplant to death ratio. Multivariable analysis confirmed that Black race is significantly associated with a lower LDR and transplant to death ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Black patients face a disparity in access to LT due to low listing rates for transplant relative to deaths from ESLD.
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Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/etnología , Trasplante de Hígado , Listas de Espera/mortalidad , Adulto , Asiático/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Femenino , Hispánicos o Latinos/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Estados Unidos , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Infection is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality in cirrhosis, but presumably, not all infections carry the same risk of mortality. We compared outcomes of different sites of infection in a nationally representative sample of inpatients with cirrhosis. METHODS: We queried the Nationwide Readmissions Database for patients with cirrhosis from 2011 to 2014. Cirrhosis and infection diagnoses were identified by previously used algorithms of ICD-9 codes. The following infections were compared: urinary tract infection (UTI), pneumonia, cellulitis, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). The primary outcome was inpatient mortality. Secondary outcomes included sepsis, any organ failure, multiple organ failures, and 30-day readmission. Outcomes were analyzed using logistic regression and included a priori covariates. RESULTS: A total of 1 798 830 weighted index admissions were identified. Infection was present in 29.2% overall-including UTI (13.7%), pneumonia (8.9%), cellulitis (5.2%), CDI (2.8%), and SBP (2.0%). Mortality was significantly higher in pneumonia (19.6%), SBP (18.6%), and CDI (17.4%) compared with cellulitis (7.6%) and UTI (11.8%). Sepsis, any, and multiple organ failures were most commonly seen in pneumonia, SBP, and CDI. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that pneumonia had the highest associated mortality (odds ratio [OR] 2.73, confidence interval [CI] 2.68-2.80) and multiple organ failures (OR 3.59, CI 3.50-3.68). Significantly increased 30-day readmission was seen only with SBP (24.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Outcomes of inpatients with cirrhosis vary significantly depending on the type of infection. The severity and epidemiology of infection in cirrhosis appears to be shifting with pneumonia, not SBP, having the highest prevalence of multiple organ failures and inpatient mortality.
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Infecciones , Cirrosis Hepática , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Infecciones/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/mortalidad , Cirrosis Hepática/terapia , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/epidemiología , Neumonía/epidemiología , Sepsis/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Liver disease is associated with altered serum osmolality, increased thrombin generation, and systemic inflammation, all of which may contribute to perihematomal edema (PHE) after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We evaluated the association between a validated liver fibrosis index and PHE growth in a cohort of patients with primary ICH. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive-ICH. We included adult patients with primary ICH presenting within 6 h of symptom onset. The exposure of interest was the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, a validated liver fibrosis index; this was modeled as a continuous variable. The primary outcome was absolute PHE growth over 96 h. Secondary outcomes were absolute admission and 96-h PHE volumes. We used multiple linear regression models adjusted for established determinants of PHE. In a secondary analysis, the FIB-4 score was modeled as a categorical variable to compare patients with versus without liver fibrosis. RESULTS: Among 354 patients with ICH, 8% had evidence of liver fibrosis based on a validated cutoff. The FIB-4 score was not associated with PHE growth in unadjusted (ß, 0.03; 95% CI, - 0.01 to 0.12) or adjusted models (ß, 0.04; 95% CI, - 0.03 to 0.13). In a secondary analysis treating FIB-4 as a categorical variable, patients with liver fibrosis did not have greater PHE growth than those without liver fibrosis. FIB-4 score was also not associated with absolute admission or 96-h PHE volumes. CONCLUSIONS: In a multicenter cohort of patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage, a liver fibrosis score was not associated with PHE volume or growth.
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Edema Encefálico , Edema Encefálico/etiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/complicaciones , Edema , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Background and Purpose- Cirrhosis-clinically overt, advanced liver disease-is associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke and poor stroke outcomes. We sought to investigate whether subclinical liver disease, specifically liver fibrosis, is associated with clinical and radiological outcomes in patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods- We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive-Intracerebral Hemorrhage. We included adult patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage presenting within 6 hours of symptom onset. We calculated 3 validated fibrosis indices-Aspartate Aminotransferase-Platelet Ratio Index, Fibrosis-4 score, and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score-and modeled them as continuous exposure variables. Primary outcomes were admission hematoma volume and hematoma expansion. Secondary outcomes were mortality, and the composite of major disability or death, at 90 days. We used linear and logistic regression models adjusted for previously established risk factors. Results- Among 432 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, the mean Aspartate Aminotransferase-Platelet Ratio Index, Fibrosis-4, and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score values on admission reflected intermediate probabilities of fibrosis, whereas standard hepatic assays and coagulation parameters were largely normal. After adjusting for potential confounders, Aspartate Aminotransferase-Platelet Ratio Index was associated with hematoma volume (ß, 0.20 [95% CI, 0.04-0.36]), hematoma expansion (odds ratio, 1.6 [95% CI, 1.1-2.3]), and mortality (odds ratio, 1.8 [95% CI, 1.1-2.7]). Fibrosis-4 was also associated with hematoma volume (ß, 0.27 [95% CI, 0.07-0.47]), hematoma expansion (odds ratio, 1.9 [95% CI, 1.2-3.0]), and mortality (odds ratio, 2.0 [95% CI, 1.1-3.6]). Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score was not associated with any outcome. Indices were not associated with the composite of major disability or death. Conclusions- In patients with largely normal liver chemistries, 2 liver fibrosis indices were associated with admission hematoma volume, hematoma expansion, and mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage.
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Hemorragia Cerebral/complicaciones , Hemorragia Cerebral/terapia , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aspartato Aminotransferasas/sangre , Hemorragia Cerebral/mortalidad , Evaluación de la Discapacidad , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/diagnóstico , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/mortalidad , Recuento de Plaquetas , Estudios Retrospectivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries high short-term mortality. The North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD)-ACLF score, positive if ≥2 organ failures are present, is a bedside tool that predicts short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis. However, it was created using major liver referral centers, where a minority of patients with cirrhosis are hospitalized. Therefore, this study used the Nationwide Inpatient Sample, a nationally representative database, from 2005 to 2014 to externally validate the NACSELD-ACLF score in a cohort of patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were identified by a validated algorithm. Organ failures were identified using diagnosis codes. The primary objective was to evaluate the association between the NACSELD-ACLF score and inpatient mortality, whereas secondary objectives compared outcomes depending on presence of infection or hospitalization at a transplant center. Multivariate logistic regression was used to compare outcomes, and area under the curve was calculated. There were 1,523,478 discharges that were included with 106,634 (7.0%) having a positive NACSELD-ACLF score. Patients were a mean 58 years old, and a majority were white men. Infection was present in 33.7% of the sample. Inpatient survival decreased with each organ failure and if infection was present. Patients with the NACSELD-ACLF score had significantly lower inpatient survival on crude (94% versus 48%; P < 0.001) and multivariate analysis (odds ratio [OR], 0.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.07-0.08) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.77 (95% CI, 0.77-0.78). Liver transplant centers had clinically similar but significantly better survival at each organ failure, in patients with the NACSELD-ACLF score, and on multivariate analysis (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22). Using a national cohort, our study validated the NACSELD-ACLF score as an excellent, simple bedside tool to predict short-term survival in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.
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Insuficiencia Hepática Crónica Agudizada , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal , Trasplante de Hígado , Insuficiencia Hepática Crónica Agudizada/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Hepática Crónica Agudizada/epidemiología , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/diagnóstico , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Symptomatic ascites is the most common indication for hospitalization in patients with cirrhosis. Although guidelines recommend paracentesis for all inpatients with ascites, the timing of paracentesis is likely to be crucial. Performance of an early paracentesis and its relationship to outcomes are unknown, particularly among patients at high risk of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). METHODS: We included 75,462 discharges of adult patients with cirrhosis presenting with ascites who underwent paracentesis from the State Inpatient Databases of New York, Florida, and Washington from 2009 to 2013. High-risk patients were identified as having concomitant hepatic encephalopathy or acute kidney injury present on admission. The primary outcome was performance of early paracentesis (within 1 hospital day) with secondary outcomes being inpatient mortality, SBP-related mortality, and 30-day readmission. Multivariable logistic regression models included a priori covariates known to impact outcomes. RESULTS: There were 43,492 (57.6%) patients who underwent early paracentesis. High-risk patients (27,496) had lower rates of early paracentesis (52.8% vs 60.5%, P < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, high-risk patients had significantly decreased odds of undergoing early paracentesis (odds ratio [OR] 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-0.78, P < 0.001). Early paracentesis was associated with a reduced inpatient all-cause mortality (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.63-0.73, P < 0.001), SBP-related mortality (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.94, P = 0.01), and 30-day readmission (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.82-0.92, P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: Early paracentesis is associated with reduced inpatient mortality, SBP-related mortality, and 30-day readmission. Given its impact on outcomes, early paracentesis should be a new quality metric. Further education and interventions are needed to improve both adherence and outcomes.
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Ascitis/terapia , Intervención Médica Temprana/estadística & datos numéricos , Paracentesis/estadística & datos numéricos , Peritonitis/epidemiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Anciano , Ascitis/etiología , Femenino , Encefalopatía Hepática/epidemiología , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Readmisión del Paciente , Peritonitis/mortalidad , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Medición de Riesgo , Tiempo de TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Although the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program (HRRP) has decreased readmissions in targeted conditions, outcomes in high-risk subgroups are unknown. This study analyzed the impact of cirrhosis as a comorbidity on readmissions in conditions subjected to the HRRP. METHODS: Using a longitudinal analysis of the New York, Florida, and Washington State inpatient databases from 2009 to 2013, adult Medicare beneficiaries with a diagnosis-related group of targeted conditions by the HRRP-pneumonia, congestive heart failure (CHF), and myocardial infarction (MI)-were included. Exclusion criteria included inability to assess for readmission, previous liver transplant, or having a readmission not subject to penalty under the HRRP. A sensitivity analysis used the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification codes to identify pneumonia, CHF, and MI hospitalizations. The primary outcome was 30-day readmission, with secondary outcomes including 90-day readmission, trends, and cirrhosis-specific risk factors for readmission. RESULTS: Of the 797,432 patients included, 8,964 (1.1%) had cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis had significantly higher 30-day readmissions overall (29.3% vs 23.8%, P < 0.001) and specifically for pneumonia and CHF, but not for MI. Thirty-day readmission rates significantly decreased in patients without cirrhosis (annual percent change -1.8%, P < 0.001), but not in patients with cirrhosis (P = 0.39). Similar findings were present for 90-day readmissions. A sensitivity analysis confirmed these findings. On multivariable analysis, cirrhosis was associated with significantly higher 30-day readmissions (odds ratio 1.13, P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: When cirrhosis is comorbid in patients with conditions subjected to the HRRP, readmissions are higher and have not improved. Focused efforts are needed to improve outcomes in cirrhosis and other high-risk comorbidities within the HRRP cohort.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Infarto del Miocardio/epidemiología , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Neumonía/epidemiología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Medicare , Análisis Multivariante , Readmisión del Paciente/tendencias , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaAsunto(s)
Encefalopatía Hepática , Lactulosa , Humanos , Lactulosa/uso terapéutico , Fármacos Gastrointestinales , Encefalopatía Hepática/diagnóstico , Encefalopatía Hepática/tratamiento farmacológico , Encefalopatía Hepática/etiología , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática/tratamiento farmacológicoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Cirrhotics are at increased risk of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) and its associated high morbidity and mortality. However, the impact of CDI in cirrhotics over time remains unclear. This study analyses prevalence and mortality in CDI in hospitalized patients with advanced cirrhosis over 15 years and identifies trends. METHODS: Using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 1998 to 2014, 3 049 696 weighted patients with advanced cirrhosis (defined as evidence of decompensation or oesophageal varices) were identified using a validated algorithm of ICD-9-CM codes and included in the study. Trends were analysed using Cochran Armitage test and joinpoint regression and compared to the general population. Multivariable logistic regression was performed controlling for risk factors that affect mortality in cirrhotics. RESULTS: CDI prevalence in advanced cirrhotics increased from 0.8% to 2.6%, annual percent change (APC) 8.8% (compared to 7.6% for the general population), while CDI-related mortality decreased from 20.7% to 11.3%, APC -3.4% (compared to -2.0% for the general population), from 1998 to 2014. CDI independently increased mortality in advanced cirrhotics (OR 1.47, P < 0.001) and was associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) (OR 2.09, P < 0.001), which itself significantly increased mortality (OR 4.54, P < 0.001). Hepatic encephalopathy and Hispanic ethnicity were interestingly associated with a lower prevalence of CDI. CONCLUSIONS: CDI is increasingly common in advanced cirrhotics, but on the contrary, its associated mortality is decreasing. Despite improvements in outcomes in patients with advanced cirrhosis, CDI is associated with an increased mortality, driven by AKI, and therefore, requires aggressive identification and therapy.
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Infecciones por Clostridium/complicaciones , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Cirrosis Hepática/microbiología , Cirrosis Hepática/mortalidad , Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/microbiología , Clostridioides difficile , Infecciones por Clostridium/epidemiología , Femenino , Encefalopatía Hepática/epidemiología , Encefalopatía Hepática/microbiología , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is increasingly common in cirrhotics, but its impact on mortality and outcomes is unclear. Studies evaluating PVT have been limited by small sample size. This study analyzes the trend of the prevalence of PVT and its associated mortality in hospitalized decompensated cirrhotics. METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample, the largest nationally representative database of hospital discharges, was queried from 1998 to 2014. Inpatients older than 18 years with decompensated cirrhosis were included, while those who received liver transplantation or had hepatocellular carcinoma were excluded. The primary outcomes were the trend in prevalence and associated mortality with PVT. Secondary outcomes included identifying risk factors of PVT and the effect of PVT on complications of portal hypertension. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated the outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 3 045 098 discharges were included, of which 1.5% had PVT. PVT prevalence increased from 0.7% to 2.4%, annual percent change of 9%. Mortality associated with PVT declined from 11.9% to 9.1%, annual percent change of -3.0%. In multivariable analysis controlling for factors associated with mortality in cirrhotics, PVT was associated with an increased risk of mortality (OR 1.12, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression also demonstrated that PVT significantly increased the risk of acute kidney injury (OR 1.75, P < 0.001) and hepatorenal syndrome (OR 1.62, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of PVT is increasing while its associated mortality is decreasing. However, PVT still is associated with risk of mortality and kidney injury, implying a significant impact on cirrhotic outcomes.