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Mpox outbroke globally during 2022-2023, with more than 90% of cases occurring in men who have sex with men (MSM). However, the spatiotemporal distribution of mpox is not well established yet. This study aimed to explore the spatiotemporal clustering of mpox cases in MSM worldwide. We obtained the numbers of mpox cases from Our World in Data, the number of MSM from the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), UNAIDS DATA 2021 and UNAIDS Global AIDS Update 2022 and literature. We evaluated the spatiotemporal cluster of mpox in MSM using retrospective space-time analyses method. The total number of mpox cases was 85 795 during May 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023. The most likely cluster was Spain (likelihood ratio = 4764.97; p < 0.001), with a cluster period from July 26 to August 14, 2022. There were 11 secondary clusters, which included 46 countries located in western Europe, eastern and northern South America, northern Europe, Canada, Central Africa, southern and central Europe, Latin America, Turkey, Dominican Republic, New Zealand, and Australia. The findings may inform current and future control strategies of mpox and might provide references for the identification of the spatiotemporal distribution of new and emerging infectious diseases in specific populations.
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Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , Infecciones por VIH , Mpox , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Masculino , Humanos , Homosexualidad Masculina , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
The study aims to estimate the trends in incidence and mortality of congenital birth defects at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2019. Annual incident cases, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), deaths, and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of congenital birth defects during 1990-2019 were collected from Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. We calculated percentage of relative changes and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) to quantify temporal trends, and explored potential influence factors of EAPCs using Pearson correlation. Globally, total incident cases and deaths of congenital birth defects were 8.52 million and 0.55 million in 2019. Congenital heart anomalies were the major category of congenital birth defects worldwide in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the ASIR remained stable (EAPC=0.01, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.05), whereas the ASMR decreased (EAPC=-1.79, 95% CI -1.84 to -1.74). The most pronounced increase in ASIR occurred in low-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) regions (EAPC=0.03, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.06). The number of deaths increased by 14.49% in low SDI regions and the ASMR increased in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC=0.17, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.33). Negative correlations of EAPCs in ASIRs and ASMRs with SDI and universal health coverage index values in 2019 were detected at national levels. Conclusions: Congenital birth defects are an important child health problem. There is urgent need to strengthen surveillance and detection of congenital birth defects, build and improve maternal and child healthcare capacity, and promote treatment and rehabilitation, especially in resource-limited countries. What is known: ⢠Congenital birth defects were the fourth leading cause of death among children under 5 years in 2019, accounting for nearly 10% of deaths. What is new: ⢠In this study using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study, global incident cases, deaths, and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of congenital birth defects decreased, whereas age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) remained stable from 1990 to 2019. ⢠From 1990 to 2019, the most pronounced increase in ASIR occurred in Oceania, and the ASMR increased by an average of 0.17% per year in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Carga Global de Enfermedades , Salud Global , Niño , Humanos , Preescolar , Incidencia , Familia , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de VidaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are a leading cause of death worldwide. We aimed to estimate the trends of global and regional aetiologies, risk factors and mortality of LRIs from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: From the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019, we collected relevant data, including annual LRI deaths, mortality and deaths and mortality attributable to the four high-burden aetiologies and 14 risk factors during 1990-2019. To quantify the temporal trends, estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated by fitting linear regression model. RESULTS: Globally, the age-standardized mortality due to LRIs decreased by an average of 2.39% (95% CI 2.33%-2.45%) per year, from 66.67 deaths per 100,000 in 1990 to 35.72 deaths per 100,000 in 2019. Low Socio-demographic Index regions, South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa had the heaviest burden of LRIs. The age-standardized mortality decreased in 18 GBD regions, whereas increased in Southern Latin America (EAPC = 1.20, 95% CI 1.03-1.37). LRIs led to considerable deaths among children under 5 years and adults older than 70 years. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the first leading aetiology, accounting for over 50% of LRI deaths. Household air pollution from solid fuels, child wasting and ambient particulate matter pollution were the three leading risk factors for LRI mortality in 2019. CONCLUSION: LRIs remain an important health problem globally, especially in some vulnerable areas and among children under 5 and adults over 70 years. Future researches focusing on the aetiologies and risk factors for LRIs are needed to provide targeted and updated prevention strategies.
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Contaminación del Aire , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Niño , Adulto , Humanos , Preescolar , Carga Global de Enfermedades , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Salud Global , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de VidaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To further optimize birth policy, China implemented a new three-child policy to allow per couple to have up to three children on May 31, 2021. METHODS: A national cross-sectional survey was conducted among 18 to 49-year-old Chinese parents who had at least one child in June 2021. We calculated the prevalence of self-reported childrearing barriers and used univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression to analyze associated factors. RESULTS: 94.7% of the respondents self-reported barriers to rearing children aged 0-3 years, and the biggest barrier included high time cost (39.3%), high parenting cost (36.5%) and high education cost (13.5%). Women (aOR 1.49, 95%CI 1.13,1.96) and people with college degree or above (aOR 3.46, 95%CI 2.08, 5.75) were associated with higher prevalence of childrearing barriers, and people who intended to have a second child (aOR 0.58, 95%CI 0.40, 0.83) and people who intended to have a third child (aOR 0.51,95%CI 0.37, 0.71) were less likely to report childrearing barriers. The biggest barrier was more likely to be high time cost for parents one of whom is only child (aOR1.21, 95%CI 1.03, 1.42) and physical factors for parents both of whom are only child (aOR 1.56,95%CI 1.08, 2.26). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of barriers to rearing children aged 0-3 years was high among Chinese people of childbearing age who had children. Full consideration should be given to the barriers of people with different sociodemographic characteristics and people with fertility intention, thus making targeted childrearing policies and supporting measures to reduce the burden on people of childbearing age, encourage suitable couples to have a second or third child and then cope with China's aging population.
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Composición Familiar , Responsabilidad Parental , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Políticas , Prevalencia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although birth defects are of great concern globally, the latest national prevalence has not yet been quantified in China. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the perinatal prevalence of birth defects in the Mainland of China between 2000 and 2021. METHODS: We performed a systematic literature search of six databases for relevant articles published between January 1, 2000, and March 1, 2023. We included published studies that reported data on the perinatal prevalence of birth defects in the Mainland of China. The DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models were used to estimate the pooled prevalence and its 95% confidence interval (CI). We also conducted subgroup analyses and univariable meta-regressions to explore differences in prevalence by time period, geographic region, and other characteristics. RESULTS: We included 254 studies reporting the perinatal prevalence of birth defects and 86 studies reporting only the prevalence of specific types of birth defects. Based on 254 studies covering 74,307,037 perinatal births and 985,115 cases with birth defects, the pooled perinatal prevalence of birth defects was 122.54 (95% CI 116.20-128.89) per 10,000 perinatal births in the Mainland of China during 2000-2021. Overall, the perinatal prevalence of birth defects increased from 95.60 (86.51-104.69) per 10,000 in 2000-2004 to 208.94 (175.67-242.22) per 10,000 in 2020-2021. There were also significant disparities among different geographical regions. Congenital heart defects (33.35 per 10,000), clefts of the lip and/or palate (13.52 per 10,000), polydactyly (12.82 per 10,000), neural tube defects (12.82 per 10,000), and inborn errors of metabolism (11.41 per 10,000) were the five most common types of birth defects. The perinatal prevalence among males was significantly higher than that among females (ß = 2.44 × 10-3, P = 0.003); a higher perinatal prevalence of birth defects was observed among perinatal births whose mothers were ≥ 35 years (ß = 4.34 × 10-3, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Comprehensive and sustained efforts are needed to strengthen surveillance and detection of birth defects, improve prenatal and postnatal healthcare, and promote rehabilitation, especially in underdeveloped areas.
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Anomalías Congénitas , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Anomalías Congénitas/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Recién Nacido , Femenino , EmbarazoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there is an urgent need for safe and effective COVID-19 vaccines to protect children and adolescents. This study aims to provide scientific evidence and recommendations for the application of COVID-19 vaccines in children and adolescents by analyzing the latest studies. METHODS: We systematically searched MEDLINE (accessed through PubMed), Embase, and Web of Science from January 1, 2020, to October 8, 2022. Eligible clinical trials, cohort studies, caseâcontrol studies, and cross-sectional studies with extractable data were included in immunogenicity, effectiveness, and safety analyses. According to the heterogeneity, we chose a fixed-effect model (when I2 ≤ 50) or a random-effects model (when I2 > 50) to pool effect values. RESULTS: A total of 88 articles were included. The seroconversion rates after the first, second, and third doses of the vaccines were 86.10%, 96.52%, and 99.87%, respectively. After the first and second doses, vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection was 42.87% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 27.09%-58.65%] and 63.33% (95% CI = 52.09%-74.56%), respectively. After the first and second doses, VE against COVID-19 was 60.65% (95% CI = 44.80%-76.50%) and 75.77% (95% CI = 63.99%-87.56%), respectively. VE against hospitalization due to COVID-19 after the first and second doses was 72.74% (95% CI = 51.48%-94.01%) and 82.78% (95% CI = 75.78%-89.78%), respectively. The most common adverse events were injection site pain, fatigue/asthenia/tiredness, headache, myalgia/muscle pain, and chills. The incidence rate of myocarditis or pericarditis was 2.42/100,000 people. In addition, the subgroup analysis showed that children aged ≤ 5 years had the lowest incidence of adverse events, and the incidence rate of adverse events was higher for mRNA vaccines than for inactivated vaccines. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 vaccines have good immunogenicity, effectiveness, and safety among children and adolescents. We recommend that children and adolescents be vaccinated as soon as possible to protect them and slow the spread of COVID-19.
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Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Adolescente , Niño , Humanos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/efectos adversos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Hospitalización , MialgiaRESUMEN
AIM: To estimate the trend in burden of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Annual incident cases, incidence rates, prevalent cases, prevalence rates, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and DALY rates of ASD among children under 5 years from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The percentage of relative changes in cases and the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of rates were calculated to reflect the temporal trends of ASD burden. Pearson correlation analysis was used to explore the influential factors for EAPC. RESULTS: Globally, the incidence rate, prevalence rate, and DALY rate of ASD among children under 5 years were 91.09 per 100,000, 439.39 per 100,000, and 68.67 per 100,000 in 2019, respectively. From 1990-2019, the incidence rate decreased (EAPC = -0.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.12 to -0.06), whereas the prevalence rate (EAPC=0.08, 95%CI 0.06-0.09) and DALY rate (EAPC=0.08, 95%CI 0.07-0.10) increased. The largest increases in prevalent cases (80.26%) and DALYs (81.24%) were found in low SDI regions, while High-income North America experienced the fastest increase in incidence rate, prevalence rate, and DALY rate. Moreover, the burden of ASD among male children under 5 years was approximately three times that among female children, despite the slight narrowing of gender disparity. The EAPC of incidence rate was positively correlated with SDI and UHCI in 2019 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: ASD is a noticeable child neurodevelopmental syndrome. More attention should be given to early screening, diagnosis, and intervention, particularly in resource-limited areas.
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Trastorno del Espectro Autista , Carga Global de Enfermedades , Humanos , Masculino , Niño , Femenino , Preescolar , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Trastorno del Espectro Autista/epidemiología , Salud Global , Costo de Enfermedad , IncidenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are an important public health problem in China. This study aimed to estimate the fatal burden of LRIs in China and trends from 1990 to 2019, thereby making targeted prevention strategies. METHODS: Annual deaths and mortality were collected from the GBD 2019. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of age-standardized mortality were calculated to quantify the trends of LRI mortality. We also analyzed four aetiologies and 14 risk factors. RESULTS: In China, total deaths due to LRIs decreased from 543,901 (95 %UI 472,378-606,600) in 1990 to 185,264 (95 %UI 160,993-216,219) in 2019. From 1990-2019, the age-standardized mortality decreased by an average of 5.68 % (95 %CI 5.46 %-5.89 %) per year, whereas the reduction among adults older than 70 years (EAPC=-2.56,95 %CI -2.68 to -2.43) was slower than that among children under 5 years (EAPC=-10.11,95 %CI -10.46 to -9.76). Moreover, Streptococcus pneumoniae was the first leading aetiology of LRI mortality among all ages. Although LRI mortality attributable to child undernutrition decreased rapidly from 2000 to 2019, alcohol use (EAPC=-1.06,95 %CI -1.40 to -0.72), smoking (EAPC=-3.70,95 %CI -3.89 to -3.51), and ambient particulate matter pollution (EAPC=-4.00,95 %CI -4.28 to -3.73) remained serious risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: LRIs remain an important health problem in China particularly in children under 5 years and adults older than 70 years. Continuous efforts are needed to promote maternal and child health, control smoking and alcohol use, and improve ambient air quality. More researches focusing on LRIs are required to provide targeted and updated prevention strategies.
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Carga Global de Enfermedades , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Salud Global , Humanos , Material Particulado , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
There are few latest researches about induced abortion in China. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of induced abortion and the related factors, thereby helping make targeted policies and measures to promote women's health. Three comparable cross-sectional surveys among Chinese women aged 18-49 years were performed in 2016, 2017, and 2021. A total of 14,573 eligible respondents were included in the study. 16.70% (95%CI 16.10%-17.31%) of respondents self-reported having experienced induced abortion, while 6.88% (95%CI 6.46%-7.29%) self-reported repeat induced abortion. Age range of 25-49 years (aOR 2.27-6.31, all P<0.05), living in western (aOR 1.72, 95%CI 1.50-1.98) and central (aOR 1.36, 95%CI 1.21-1.52) regions, having children (aOR 2.85, 95%CI 2.35-3.46) were associated with higher prevalence of induced abortion. Moreover, age range of 25-49 years, living in western and central regions, having children were also related to higher prevalence of repeat induced abortion (aOR 1.67-11.52, all P<0.05). Conversely, educational level of college or higher, household annual income over 80,000 Chinese yuan were associated with lower prevalence of induced abortion and repeat induced abortion (aOR 0.52-0.80, all P<0.05). Induced abortion remains noticeable in China. Sustained efforts are required to reduce unintentional pregnancy, improve reproductive health and post-abortion care services, and promote women's health.
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Aborto Inducido , Embarazo , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Prevalencia , Universidades , China/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Background: Asymptomatic infections are potential sources of transmission for coronavirus disease 2019, especially during the epidemic of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant. We aimed to assess the percentage of asymptomatic infections among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant-positive individuals detected by gene sequencing or specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Methods: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science from 26 November 2021 to 13 April 2022. This meta-analysis was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines and was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022327894). Three researchers independently extracted data and two researchers assessed quality using pre-specified criteria. The pooled percentage with 95% confidence interval (CI) of asymptomatic infections of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron was estimated using random-effects models. Results: Our meta-analysis included eight eligible studies, covering 7640 Omicron variant-positive individuals with 2190 asymptomatic infections. The pooled percentage of asymptomatic infections was 32.40% (95% CI: 25.30−39.51%) among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant-positive individuals, which was higher in the population in developing countries (38.93%; 95% CI: 19.75−58.11%), with vaccine coverage ≥ 80% (35.93%; 95% CI: 25.36−46.51%), with a travel history (40.05%; 95% CI: 7.59−72.51%), community infection (37.97%; 95% CI: 10.07−65.87%), and with a median age < 20 years (43.75%; 95% CI: 38.45−49.05%). Conclusion: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the pooled percentage of asymptomatic infections was 32.40% among SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant-positive individuals. The people who were vaccinated, young (median age < 20 years), had a travel history, and were infected outside of a clinical setting (community infection) had higher percentages of asymptomatic infections. Screening is required to prevent clustered epidemics or sustained community transmission caused by asymptomatic infections of Omicron variants, especially for countries and regions that have successfully controlled SARS-CoV-2.
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BACKGROUND: The immunogenicity and safety of COVID-19 vaccines among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) are unclear. We aimed to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of COVID-19 vaccines among PLWH. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science from 1 January 2020 to 28 April 2022 and included observational studies, randomized clinical trials, and non-randomized clinical trials reporting extractable data about the immunogenicity and safety of COVID-19 vaccines among PLWH. RESULTS: A total of 34 eligible studies covering 4517 PLWH were included. The pooled seroconversion rates among PLWH after the first and second doses were 67.51% (95% confident interval (CI) 49.09-85.93%) and 96.65% (95%CI 95.56-97.75%), respectively. The seroconversion was similar between PLWH and healthy controls after the first (risk ratio (RR) = 0.89, 95%CI 0.76-1.04) and the second (RR = 0.97, 95%CI 0.93-1.00) dose. Moreover, the geometric mean titer (GMT) showed no significant difference between PLWH and healthy controls after the first dose (standardized mean difference (SMD) = 0.30, 95%CI -1.11, 1.70) and the second dose (SMD = -0.06, 95%CI -0.18, 0.05). Additionally, the pooled incidence rates of total adverse events among PLWH after the first and the second dose were 46.55% (95%CI 28.29-64.82%) and 30.96% (95%CI 13.23-48.70%), respectively. There was no significant difference in risks of total adverse events between PLWH and healthy controls after the first (RR = 0.86, 95%CI 0.67-1.10) and the second (RR = 0.88, 95%CI 0.68-1.14) dose. CONCLUSIONS: The available evidence suggested that the immunogenicity and safety of COVID-19 vaccines among PLWH were acceptable. There was no significant difference in the seroconversion rates and incidence rates of adverse events of COVID-19 vaccines between PLWH and healthy controls.
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Importance: Several studies were conducted to estimate the average incubation period of COVID-19; however, the incubation period of COVID-19 caused by different SARS-CoV-2 variants is not well described. Objective: To systematically assess the incubation period of COVID-19 and the incubation periods of COVID-19 caused by different SARS-CoV-2 variants in published studies. Data Sources: PubMed, EMBASE, and ScienceDirect were searched between December 1, 2019, and February 10, 2022. Study Selection: Original studies of the incubation period of COVID-19, defined as the time from infection to the onset of signs and symptoms. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline, 3 reviewers independently extracted the data from the eligible studies in March 2022. The parameters, or sufficient information to facilitate calculation of those values, were derived from random-effects meta-analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures: The mean estimate of the incubation period and different SARS-CoV-2 strains. Results: A total of 142 studies with 8112 patients were included. The pooled incubation period was 6.57 days (95% CI, 6.26-6.88) and ranged from 1.80 to 18.87 days. The incubation period of COVID-19 caused by the Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron variants were reported in 1 study (with 6374 patients), 1 study (10 patients), 6 studies (2368 patients) and 5 studies (829 patients), respectively. The mean incubation period of COVID-19 was 5.00 days (95% CI, 4.94-5.06 days) for cases caused by the Alpha variant, 4.50 days (95% CI, 1.83-7.17 days) for the Beta variant, 4.41 days (95% CI, 3.76-5.05 days) for the Delta variant, and 3.42 days (95% CI, 2.88-3.96 days) for the Omicron variant. The mean incubation was 7.43 days (95% CI, 5.75-9.11 days) among older patients (ie, aged over 60 years old), 8.82 days (95% CI, 8.19-9.45 days) among infected children (ages 18 years or younger), 6.99 days (95% CI, 6.07-7.92 days) among patients with nonsevere illness, and 6.69 days (95% CI, 4.53-8.85 days) among patients with severe illness. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that SARS-CoV-2 has evolved and mutated continuously throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, producing variants with different enhanced transmission and virulence. Identifying the incubation period of different variants is a key factor in determining the isolation period.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescente , Anciano , COVID-19/epidemiología , Niño , Humanos , Periodo de Incubación de Enfermedades Infecciosas , Persona de Mediana Edad , PandemiasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Malaria is a life-threatening disease worldwide, but lacks studies on its incidence at the global level. We aimed to describe global trends and regional diversities in incidence of malaria infection, to make global tailored implications for malaria prevention. METHODS: We used the data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) and absolute number of malaria episodes showed the epidemic status of malaria infection. The estimated annual percentage change of ASR and changes in malaria episodes quantified the malaria incidence trends. The connection between ASRs and traveller number indicated infection risk for travellers. RESULTS: Globally, the malaria ASR decreased by an average 0.80% (95% confidence interval 0.58-1.02%) per year from 1990 to 2019; however, it slightly increased from 3195.32 per 100 000 in 2015 to 3247.02 per 100 000 in 2019. The incidence rate of children under 5 was higher than other age groups. A total of 40 countries had higher ASRs in 2019 than in 2015, with the largest expansion in Cabo Verde (from 2.02 per 100 000 to 597.00 per 100 000). After 2015, the ASRs in high-middle, middle and low-middle Socio-demographic Index regions began to rise and the uptrends remained in 2019. Central, Western and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest ASRs since 1990, and traveller number in Eastern and Western Sub-Saharan Africa increased by 31.24 and 7.58%, respectively, from 2017 to 2018. Especially, most countries with ASR over 10 000 per 100 000 had increase in traveller number from 2017 to 2018, with the highest change by 89.56% in Mozambique. CONCLUSIONS: Malaria is still a public health threat for locals and travellers in Sub-Saharan Africa and other malaria-endemic areas, especially for children under 5. There were unexpected global uptrends of malaria ASRs from 2015 to 2019. More studies are needed to achieve the goal of malaria elimination.
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Epidemias , Malaria , Niño , Salud Global , Humanos , Incidencia , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/prevención & control , MozambiqueRESUMEN
Importance: Asymptomatic infections are potential sources of transmission for COVID-19. Objective: To evaluate the percentage of asymptomatic infections among individuals undergoing testing (tested population) and those with confirmed COVID-19 (confirmed population). Data Sources: PubMed, EMBASE, and ScienceDirect were searched on February 4, 2021. Study Selection: Cross-sectional studies, cohort studies, case series studies, and case series on transmission reporting the number of asymptomatic infections among the tested and confirmed COVID-19 populations that were published in Chinese or English were included. Data Extraction and Synthesis: This meta-analysis was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline. Random-effects models were used to estimate the pooled percentage and its 95% CI. Three researchers performed the data extraction independently. Main Outcomes and Measures: The percentage of asymptomatic infections among the tested and confirmed populations. Results: Ninety-five unique eligible studies were included, covering 29â¯776â¯306 individuals undergoing testing. The pooled percentage of asymptomatic infections among the tested population was 0.25% (95% CI, 0.23%-0.27%), which was higher in nursing home residents or staff (4.52% [95% CI, 4.15%-4.89%]), air or cruise travelers (2.02% [95% CI, 1.66%-2.38%]), and pregnant women (2.34% [95% CI, 1.89%-2.78%]). The pooled percentage of asymptomatic infections among the confirmed population was 40.50% (95% CI, 33.50%-47.50%), which was higher in pregnant women (54.11% [95% CI, 39.16%-69.05%]), air or cruise travelers (52.91% [95% CI, 36.08%-69.73%]), and nursing home residents or staff (47.53% [95% CI, 36.36%-58.70%]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this meta-analysis of the percentage of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections among populations tested for and with confirmed COVID-19, the pooled percentage of asymptomatic infections was 0.25% among the tested population and 40.50% among the confirmed population. The high percentage of asymptomatic infections highlights the potential transmission risk of asymptomatic infections in communities.