Limitations of Noninvasive Tests-Based Population-Level Risk Stratification Strategy for Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are highly prevalent but underdiagnosed. AIMS: We used an electronic health record data network to test a population-level risk stratification strategy using noninvasive tests (NITs) of liver fibrosis. METHODS: Data were obtained from PCORnet® sites in the East, Midwest, Southwest, and Southeast United States from patients aged [Formula: see text] 18 with or without ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes for NAFLD, NASH, and NASH-cirrhosis between 9/1/2017 and 8/31/2020. Average and standard deviations (SD) for Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI) were estimated by site for each patient cohort. Sample-wide estimates were calculated as weighted averages across study sites. RESULTS: Of 11,875,959 patients, 0.8% and 0.1% were coded with NAFLD and NASH, respectively. NAFLD diagnosis rates in White, Black, and Hispanic patients were 0.93%, 0.50%, and 1.25%, respectively, and for NASH 0.19%, 0.04%, and 0.16%, respectively. Among undiagnosed patients, insufficient EHR data for estimating NITs ranged from 68% (FIB-4) to 76% (NFS). Predicted prevalence of NAFLD by HSI was 60%, with estimated prevalence of advanced fibrosis of 13% by NFS and 7% by FIB-4. Approximately, 15% and 23% of patients were classified in the intermediate range by FIB-4 and NFS, respectively. Among NAFLD-cirrhosis patients, a third had FIB-4 scores in the low or intermediate range. CONCLUSIONS: We identified several potential barriers to a population-level NIT-based screening strategy. HSI-based NAFLD screening appears unrealistic. Further research is needed to define merits of NFS- versus FIB-4-based strategies, which may identify different high-risk groups.

The Kidney Failure Risk Equation: Evaluation of Novel Input Variables including eGFR Estimated Using the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation in 59 Cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. BACKGROUND: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . METHODS: Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. CONCLUSIONS: The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

Optimal Timing of Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in Children and Adolescents With Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Associated Pulmonary Tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: There is insufficient evidence in children and adolescents with human immunodeficiency virus (CAHIV) to guide the timing of antiretroviral treatment (ART) initiation after starting treatment for pulmonary tuberculosis (pTB). To address this knowledge gap, we evaluated the risk of mortality associated with timing of ART initiation in ART-naive CAHIV treated for pTB. METHODS: Data were extracted from electronic medical records of ART-naive patients, aged 0-19 years, who were treated for HIV-associated pTB at Baylor Centers of Excellence in Botswana, Eswatini, Malawi, Lesotho, Tanzania, or Uganda between 2013 and 2020. Data were analyzed against a primary outcome of all-cause mortality with unadjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: The study population included 774 CAHIV with variable intervals to ART initiation after starting TB treatment: <2 weeks (n = 266), 2 weeks to 2 months (n = 398), >2 months (n = 66), and no ART initiated (n = 44). Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated increased mortality 1 year from TB treatment initiation in children never starting ART (adjusted HR [aHR]: 2.67; 95% CI: 1.03, 6.94) versus children initiating ART between 2 weeks and 2 months from TB treatment initiation. Mortality risk did not differ for the <2-weeks group (aHR: 1.02; 95% CI: .55, 1.89) versus the group initiating ART between 2 weeks and 2 months. CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective study demonstrated no increase in mortality among CAHIV initiating ART <2 weeks from TB treatment initiation. Given the broad health benefits of ART, this evidence supports the recent WHO recommendation for CAHIV to initiate ART within 2 weeks of initiating TB treatment.

Exploring Social Cognition Tests to Differentiate Frontotemporal Dementia from Depression: A Two-Step Pilot Study.

Behavioral-variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) is challenging to recognize, and often misdiagnosed as depression (DEP). Evidence suggests changes in social cognition (SoCog) precede general cognitive decline in bvFTD. Currently, there are no screening measures of social cognition. 17 bvFTD, 16 DEP, and 18 control participants underwent 6 SoCog tests measuring: emotion recognition; theory of mind; empathy; insight. We used χ 2 , Wilcoxon rank sum, Kruskal-Wallis tests to compare groups, with decision tree analysis to identify items that best differentiated bvFTD from DEP. bvFTD performed significantly worse on all SoCog tasks compared with other groups. Decision tree analysis yielded a 5-item test with ROC area under the curve of 0.973 (95% CI: 0.928, 1.0) for differentiating bvFTD versus depression. These results suggest that it may be feasible to develop a screening measure of social cognition.

Association of Supernumerary Sex Chromosome Aneuploidies With Venous Thromboembolism.

Importance: An increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been reported in men with an additional sex chromosome. The association between other sex chromosome aneuploidies and VTE is not well characterized. Objective: To determine if sex chromosome aneuploidy is associated with VTE. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study of sex chromosome aneuploidy and VTE, performed by analyzing X- and Y-chromosome dosage and VTE incidence in 642 544 individuals from 2 population-scale biobanks: the US Geisinger MyCode Community Health Initiative (N = 154 519) and the UK Biobank (N = 488 025); analysis was limited to participants self-identified as White because of inadequate sample sizes for other race and ethnicity groups. A total of 108 461 unrelated MyCode participants with electronic health record follow-up ranging from September 1996 to December 2020 and 418 725 unrelated British and Irish UK Biobank participants who attended the baseline assessment between March 2006 and October 2010, with follow-up extending to November 2020, were included in analyses of VTE. Exposures: Sex chromosome aneuploidies. Main Outcomes and Measures: Individuals with 1 primary inpatient VTE diagnosis, 2 primary outpatient VTE diagnoses, or a self-reported VTE diagnosis were defined as VTE cases. P values were adjusted for multiple comparisons. Results: Identification of sex chromosome aneuploidy was undertaken among 642 544 individuals aged 18 to 90 years. Identification of a diagnosis of VTE was undertaken among 108 461 unrelated MyCode participants (65 565 [60.5%] female; mean age at last visit, 58.0 [SD, 17.6] years; median follow-up, 15.3 [IQR, 9.7] years) and among 418 725 unrelated UK Biobank participants (224 695 [53.7%] female; mean age at baseline interview, 56.9 [SD, 8.0] years; median follow-up, 12.0 [IQR, 1.6] years). Among MyCode participants, during 10 years of follow-up, 17 incident VTE events per 1353 person-years were detected among those with supernumerary sex chromosome aneuploidy (1.3% per person-year) compared with 2060 per 816 682 person-years among those with 46,XX or 46,XY (0.25% per person-year) (hazard ratio, 5.4 [95% CI, 3.4-8.7]; 10-year risk difference, 8.8% [95% CI, 4.2%-14.0%]; P < .001). Among UK Biobank participants, during 10 years of follow-up, 16 incident VTE events per 3803 person-years were detected among those with supernumerary sex chromosome aneuploidy (0.42% per person-year) compared with 4491 per 3 970 467 person-years among those with 46,XX or 46,XY (0.11% per person-year) (hazard ratio, 4.1 [95% CI, 2.5-6.7]; 10-year risk difference, 3.7% [95% CI, 1.4%-5.9%]; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: Adults with supernumerary sex chromosome aneuploidies compared with 2 sex chromosomes had a small but statistically significant increased risk of VTE. Further research is needed to understand the clinical implications of this association.

Deep Neural Networks Can Predict New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation From the 12-Lead ECG and Help Identify Those at Risk of Atrial Fibrillation-Related Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with substantial morbidity, especially when it goes undetected. If new-onset AF could be predicted, targeted screening could be used to find it early. We hypothesized that a deep neural network could predict new-onset AF from the resting 12-lead ECG and that this prediction may help identify those at risk of AF-related stroke. METHODS: We used 1.6 M resting 12-lead digital ECG traces from 430 000 patients collected from 1984 to 2019. Deep neural networks were trained to predict new-onset AF (within 1 year) in patients without a history of AF. Performance was evaluated using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and precision-recall curve. We performed an incidence-free survival analysis for a period of 30 years following the ECG stratified by model predictions. To simulate real-world deployment, we trained a separate model using all ECGs before 2010 and evaluated model performance on a test set of ECGs from 2010 through 2014 that were linked to our stroke registry. We identified the patients at risk for AF-related stroke among those predicted to be high risk for AF by the model at different prediction thresholds. RESULTS: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the precision-recall curve were 0.85 and 0.22, respectively, for predicting new-onset AF within 1 year of an ECG. The hazard ratio for the predicted high- versus low-risk groups over a 30-year span was 7.2 (95% CI, 6.9-7.6). In a simulated deployment scenario, the model predicted new-onset AF at 1 year with a sensitivity of 69% and specificity of 81%. The number needed to screen to find 1 new case of AF was 9. This model predicted patients at high risk for new-onset AF in 62% of all patients who experienced an AF-related stroke within 3 years of the index ECG. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning can predict new-onset AF from the 12-lead ECG in patients with no previous history of AF. This prediction may help identify patients at risk for AF-related strokes.

Gene expression signatures identify biologically and clinically distinct tuberculosis endotypes.

BACKGROUND: In vitro, animal model and clinical evidence suggests that tuberculosis is not a monomorphic disease, and that host response to tuberculosis is protean with multiple distinct molecular pathways and pathologies (endotypes). We applied unbiased clustering to identify separate tuberculosis endotypes with classifiable gene expression patterns and clinical outcomes. METHODS: A cohort comprised of microarray gene expression data from microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis patients was used to identify putative endotypes. One microarray cohort with longitudinal clinical outcomes was reserved for validation, as were two RNA-sequencing (seq) cohorts. Finally, a separate cohort of tuberculosis patients with functional immune responses was evaluated to clarify stimulated from unstimulated immune responses. RESULTS: A discovery cohort, including 435 tuberculosis patients and 533 asymptomatic controls, identified two tuberculosis endotypes. Endotype A is characterised by increased expression of genes related to inflammation and immunity and decreased metabolism and proliferation; in contrast, endotype B has increased activity of metabolism and proliferation pathways. An independent RNA-seq validation cohort, including 118 tuberculosis patients and 179 controls, validated the discovery results. Gene expression signatures for treatment failure were elevated in endotype A in the discovery cohort, and a separate validation cohort confirmed that endotype A patients had slower time to culture conversion, and a reduced cure rate. These observations suggest that endotypes reflect functional immunity, supported by the observation that tuberculosis patients with a hyperinflammatory endotype have less responsive cytokine production upon stimulation. CONCLUSION: These findings provide evidence that metabolic and immune profiling could inform optimisation of endotype-specific host-directed therapies for tuberculosis.

Medical manifestations and health care utilization among adult MyCode participants with neurodevelopmental psychiatric copy number variants.

PURPOSE: Recurrent pathogenic copy number variants (pCNVs) have large-effect impacts on brain function and represent important etiologies of neurodevelopmental psychiatric disorders (NPDs), including autism and schizophrenia. Patterns of health care utilization in adults with pCNVs have gone largely unstudied and are likely to differ in significant ways from those of children. METHODS: We compared the prevalence of NPDs and electronic health record-based medical conditions in 928 adults with 26 pCNVs to a demographically-matched cohort of pCNV-negative controls from >135,000 patient-participants in Geisinger's MyCode Community Health Initiative. We also evaluated 3 quantitative health care utilization measures (outpatient, inpatient, and emergency department visits) in both groups. RESULTS: Adults with pCNVs (24.9%) were more likely than controls (16.0%) to have a documented NPD. They had significantly higher rates of several chronic diseases, including diabetes (29.3% in participants with pCNVs vs 20.4% in participants without pCNVs) and dementia (2.2% in participants with pCNVs vs 1.0% participants without pCNVs), and twice as many annual emergency department visits. CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the potential for genetic information-specifically, pCNVs-to inform the study of health care outcomes and utilization in adults. If, as our findings suggest, adults with pCNVs have poorer health and require disproportionate health care resources, early genetic diagnosis paired with patient-centered interventions may help to anticipate problems, improve outcomes, and reduce the associated economic burden.

Comparing enhancements to well-child visits in the prevention of obesity: ENCIRCLE cluster-randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Obesity disproportionally impacts rural, lower-income children in the United States. Primary care providers are well-positioned to engage parents in early obesity prevention, yet there is a lack of evidence regarding the most effective care delivery models. The ENCIRCLE study, a pragmatic cluster-randomized controlled trial, will respond to this gap by testing the comparative effectiveness of standard care well-child visits (WCV) versus two enhancements: adding a patient-reported outcome (PRO) measure (PRO WCV) and PRO WCV plus Food Care (telehealth coaching and a grocery store tour). METHODS: A total of 2,025 parents and their preschool-aged children (20-60 months of age) will be recruited from 24 Geisinger primary care clinics, where providers are randomized to the standard WCV, PRO WCV, or PRO WCV plus Food Care intervention arms. The PRO WCV includes the standard WCV plus collection of the PRO-the Family Nutrition and Physical Activity (FNPA) risk assessment-from parents. Parents complete the PRO in the patient-portal or in the clinic (own device, tablet, or kiosk), receive real-time feedback, and select priority topics to discuss with the provider. These results are integrated into the child's electronic health record to inform personalized preventive counseling by providers. PRO WCV plus Food Care includes referrals to community health professionals who deliver evidence-based obesity prevention and food resource management interventions via telehealth following the WCV. The primary study outcome is change in child body mass index z-score (BMIz), based on the World Health Organization growth standards, 12 months post-baseline WCV. Additional outcomes include percent of children with overweight and obesity, raw BMI, BMI50, BMIz extended, parent involvement in counseling, health behaviors, food resource management, and implementation process measures. DISCUSSION: Study findings will inform health care systems' choices about effective care delivery models to prevent childhood obesity among a high-risk population. Additionally, dissemination will be informed by an evaluation of mediating, moderating, and implementation factors. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT04406441); Registered May 28, 2020.

Transition to Dolutegravir Is Associated With an Increase in the Rate of Body Mass Index Change in a Cohort of Virally Suppressed Adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens that contain dolutegravir (DTG) have been associated with increases in body mass index (BMI) in adults. However, this relationship has not been well described in adolescents. METHODS: In a retrospective observational cohort of 460 virally suppressed (<200 copies/mL) adolescents living with human immunodeficiency virus at a clinical site in Eswatini, body mass index (BMI) measurements were analyzed between 1 year prior to the transition to DTG and up to 1 year after DTG transition. Random-effects linear spline models were used to describe the rate of change in BMI before and after the transition to DTG. RESULTS: In adolescents, BMI increased at a rate of 0.3 kg/m2 per year before DTG transition and increased to a rate of 1.2 kg/m2 per year after DTG transition. Sex of the adolescent modified the relationship between DTG and rate of BMI change: BMI rate of change after DTG transition was increased by 1.1 kg/m2 in females and 0.6 kg/m2 per year in males. CONCLUSIONS: Transition to DTG in virally suppressed adolescents (aged 10-19 years) is associated with an increase in the rate of BMI change. Female adolescents may experience a larger change than males. Further investigation is required to elucidate the mechanism that underlies these observations and to assess how DTG impacts BMI in adolescents following longer durations of treatment.

Profiling and Leveraging Relatedness in a Precision Medicine Cohort of 92,455 Exomes.

Large-scale human genetics studies are ascertaining increasing proportions of populations as they continue growing in both number and scale. As a result, the amount of cryptic relatedness within these study cohorts is growing rapidly and has significant implications on downstream analyses. We demonstrate this growth empirically among the first 92,455 exomes from the DiscovEHR cohort and, via a custom simulation framework we developed called SimProgeny, show that these measures are in line with expectations given the underlying population and ascertainment approach. For example, within DiscovEHR we identified ∼66,000 close (first- and second-degree) relationships, involving 55.6% of study participants. Our simulation results project that >70% of the cohort will be involved in these close relationships, given that DiscovEHR scales to 250,000 recruited individuals. We reconstructed 12,574 pedigrees by using these relationships (including 2,192 nuclear families) and leveraged them for multiple applications. The pedigrees substantially improved the phasing accuracy of 20,947 rare, deleterious compound heterozygous mutations. Reconstructed nuclear families were critical for identifying 3,415 de novo mutations in ∼1,783 genes. Finally, we demonstrate the segregation of known and suspected disease-causing mutations, including a tandem duplication that occurs in LDLR and causes familial hypercholesterolemia, through reconstructed pedigrees. In summary, this work highlights the prevalence of cryptic relatedness expected among large healthcare population-genomic studies and demonstrates several analyses that are uniquely enabled by large amounts of cryptic relatedness.

Tuberculosis prevention in children: a prospective community-based study in South Africa.

Tuberculosis (TB) preventive therapy reduces TB risk in children. However, the effectiveness of TB preventive therapy in children living in high TB burden settings is unclear.In a prospective observational community-based cohort study in Cape Town, South Africa, we assessed the effectiveness of routine TB preventive therapy in children ≤15 years of age in a high TB and HIV prevalence setting.Among 966 children (median (interquartile range) age 5.07 (2.52-8.72) years), 676 (70%) reported exposure to an adult with TB in the past 3 months and 240 out of 326 (74%) eligible children initiated isoniazid preventive therapy under programmatic guidelines. Prevalent (n=73) and incident (n=27) TB were diagnosed among 100 out of 966 (10%) children. Children who initiated isoniazid preventive therapy were 82% less likely to develop incident TB than children who did not (adjusted OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.06-0.52; p=0.0014). Risk of incident TB increased if children were <5 years of age, living with HIV, had a positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific immune response or recent TB exposure. The risk of incident TB was not associated with sex or Mycobacterium bovis bacille Calmette-Guérin vaccination status. Number needed to treat (NNT) was lowest in children living with HIV (NNT=15) and children <5 years of age (NNT=19) compared with children of all ages (NNT=82).In communities with high TB prevalence, TB preventive therapy substantially reduces the risk of TB among children who are <5 years of age or living with HIV, especially those with recent TB exposure or a positive M. tuberculosis-specific immune response in the absence of disease.

Genome-wide association study of neck circumference identifies sex-specific loci independent of generalized adiposity.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Neck circumference, an index of upper airway fat, has been suggested to be an important measure of body-fat distribution with unique associations with health outcomes such as obstructive sleep apnea and metabolic disease. This study aims to study the genetic bases of neck circumference. METHODS: We conducted a multi-ethnic genome-wide association study of neck circumference, adjusted and unadjusted for BMI, in up to 15,090 European Ancestry (EA) and African American (AA) individuals. Because sexually dimorphic associations have been observed for anthropometric traits, we conducted both sex-combined and sex-specific analysis. RESULTS: We identified rs227724 near the Noggin (NOG) gene as a possible quantitative locus for neck circumference in men (N = 8831, P = 1.74 × 10-9) but not in women (P = 0.08). The association was replicated in men (N = 1554, P = 0.045) in an independent dataset. This locus was previously reported to be associated with human height and with self-reported snoring. We also identified rs13087058 on chromosome 3 as a suggestive locus in sex-combined analysis (N = 15090, P = 2.94 × 10-7; replication P =0.049). This locus was also associated with electrocardiogram-assessed PR interval and is a cis-expression quantitative locus for the PDZ Domain-containing ring finger 2 (PDZRN3) gene. Both NOG and PDZRN3 interact with members of transforming growth factor-beta superfamily signaling proteins. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that neck circumference may have unique genetic basis independent of BMI.

Risk and protective factors associated with mental health among female military veterans: results from the veterans' health study.

BACKGROUND: This study focuses on factors that may disproportionately affect female veterans' mental health, compared to men, and is part of a larger study assessing the prevalence of mental health disorders and treatment seeking among formerly deployed US military service members. METHODS: We surveyed a random sample of 1,730 veterans who were patients in a large non-VA hospital system in the US. Based on previous research, women were hypothesized to be at higher risk for psychological problems. We adjusted our results for confounding factors, including history of trauma, childhood abuse, combat exposure, deployments, stressful life events, alcohol misuse, psychological resources, and social support. RESULTS: Among the veterans studied, 5% were female (n = 85), 96% were White (n = 1,161), 22.9% were Iraq/Afghanistan veterans (n = 398), and the mean age was 59 years old (SD = 12). Compared to males, female veterans were younger, unmarried, college graduates, had less combat exposure, but were more likely to have lifetime PTSD (29% vs. 12%.), depression (46% vs. 21%), suicidal ideation (27% vs. 11%), and lifetime mental health service use (67% vs. 47%). Females were also more likely to have low psychological resilience and to have used psychotropic medications in the past year. Using multivariate logistic regression analyses that controlled for risk and protective factors, female veterans had greater risk for lifetime PTSD, depression, suicidal thoughts, and for lifetime use of psychological services, compared to males. Since 95% of the population in this study were male and these results may have been statistically biased, we reran our analyses using propensity score matching. Results were consistent across these analyses. CONCLUSION: Using a sample of post-deployment veterans receiving healthcare services from a large non-VA health system, we find that female veterans are at greater risk for lifetime psychological problems, compared to male veterans. We discuss these findings and their implications for service providers.

Routinely reported ejection fraction and mortality in clinical practice: where does the nadir of risk lie?

AIMS: We investigated the relationship between clinically assessed left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and survival in a large, heterogeneous clinical cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: Physician-reported LVEF on 403 977 echocardiograms from 203 135 patients were linked to all-cause mortality using electronic health records (1998-2018) from US regional healthcare system. Cox proportional hazards regression was used for analyses while adjusting for many patient characteristics including age, sex, and relevant comorbidities. A dataset including 45 531 echocardiograms and 35 976 patients from New Zealand was used to provide independent validation of analyses. During follow-up of the US cohort, 46 258 (23%) patients who had undergone 108 578 (27%) echocardiograms died. Overall, adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for mortality showed a u-shaped relationship for LVEF with a nadir of risk at an LVEF of 60-65%, a HR of 1.71 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64-1.77] when ≥70% and a HR of 1.73 (95% CI 1.66-1.80) at LVEF of 35-40%. Similar relationships with a nadir at 60-65% were observed in the validation dataset as well as for each age group and both sexes. The results were similar after further adjustments for conditions associated with an elevated LVEF, including mitral regurgitation, increased wall thickness, and anaemia and when restricted to patients reported to have heart failure at the time of the echocardiogram. CONCLUSION: Deviation of LVEF from 60% to 65% is associated with poorer survival regardless of age, sex, or other relevant comorbidities such as heart failure. These results may herald the recognition of a new phenotype characterized by supra-normal LVEF.

The Effects of Botulinum Toxin A on Pain in Ischemic Vasospasm.

PURPOSE: The purpose was to describe the impact of botulinum toxin A (BTX-A) administration in patients with ischemic vasospasm on the magnitude and timing of pain relief and subsequent effect on opioid use. The secondary purposes were to determine the role of photoplethysomgraph (PPG) testing on treatment decisions, effect on patient-reported outcomes, and additional procedures. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients who received BTX-A injections was performed. Botulinum toxin type A was injected subcutaneously in symptom-specific 2-level patterns. Pain, shortened version of the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder, and Hand (QuickDASH), and opioid use (quantified by median morphine equivalents) were recorded and the need for repeat injections or unplanned surgeries was assessed. RESULTS: All patients (n = 20 patients; 31 hands) had ischemic pain from vasospasm and failed multiple pharmacological options. Average follow-up was 10.5 months. All patients had abnormal PPG amplitude (mean, 6.43 mm) at room temperature and increased amplitude (mean, 19.55 mm) after immersion in warm water. All patients (n = 12) with a PPG amplitude increase of 4 mm or greater had clinical success. Eleven of 13 patients had a clinically relevant decrease in pain at 20 minutes after injection. Clinically significant pain relief was sustained for 3 months (visual analog scale decreased by a mean of 4). Median morphine equivalent usage view decreased from 82.5 to 0 after injection. Patient-reported disability (QuickDASH) improved from 49 before treatment to 29 and 26 at 6 weeks and 6 months after BTX-A injection, respectively. Three patients were retreated for recurrent symptoms. Four patients required unplanned secondary procedures. CONCLUSIONS: Botulinum toxin type A administration can result in rapid (within 20 minutes) and sustained pain relief for several months with a reduction in opioid prescriptions. Botulinum toxin type A administration also improved patient-reported disability for 6 months. Use of PPG testing to determine baseline perfusion deficit and capacity to improve after warm water immersion was helpful in consideration of BTX-A use. TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic IV.

Molecular Diagnostic Yield of Exome Sequencing in Patients With Cerebral Palsy.

Importance: Cerebral palsy is a common neurodevelopmental disorder affecting movement and posture that often co-occurs with other neurodevelopmental disorders. Individual cases of cerebral palsy are often attributed to birth asphyxia; however, recent studies indicate that asphyxia accounts for less than 10% of cerebral palsy cases. Objective: To determine the molecular diagnostic yield of exome sequencing (prevalence of pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants) in individuals with cerebral palsy. Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective cohort study of patients with cerebral palsy that included a clinical laboratory referral cohort with data accrued between 2012 and 2018 and a health care-based cohort with data accrued between 2007 and 2017. Exposures: Exome sequencing with copy number variant detection. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the molecular diagnostic yield of exome sequencing. Results: Among 1345 patients from the clinical laboratory referral cohort, the median age was 8.8 years (interquartile range, 4.4-14.7 years; range, 0.1-66 years) and 601 (45%) were female. Among 181 patients in the health care-based cohort, the median age was 41.9 years (interquartile range, 28.0-59.6 years; range, 4.8-89 years) and 96 (53%) were female. The molecular diagnostic yield of exome sequencing was 32.7% (95% CI, 30.2%-35.2%) in the clinical laboratory referral cohort and 10.5% (95% CI, 6.0%-15.0%) in the health care-based cohort. The molecular diagnostic yield ranged from 11.2% (95% CI, 6.4%-16.2%) for patients without intellectual disability, epilepsy, or autism spectrum disorder to 32.9% (95% CI, 25.7%-40.1%) for patients with all 3 comorbidities. Pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants were identified in 229 genes (29.5% of 1526 patients); 86 genes were mutated in 2 or more patients (20.1% of 1526 patients) and 10 genes with mutations were independently identified in both cohorts (2.9% of 1526 patients). Conclusions and Relevance: Among 2 cohorts of patients with cerebral palsy who underwent exome sequencing, the prevalence of pathogenic and likely pathogenic variants was 32.7% in a cohort that predominantly consisted of pediatric patients and 10.5% in a cohort that predominantly consisted of adult patients. Further research is needed to understand the clinical implications of these findings.

Genetic and Pharmacologic Inactivation of ANGPTL3 and Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: Loss-of-function variants in the angiopoietin-like 3 gene (ANGPTL3) have been associated with decreased plasma levels of triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. It is not known whether such variants or therapeutic antagonism of ANGPTL3 are associated with a reduced risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We sequenced the exons of ANGPTL3 in 58,335 participants in the DiscovEHR human genetics study. We performed tests of association for loss-of-function variants in ANGPTL3 with lipid levels and with coronary artery disease in 13,102 case patients and 40,430 controls from the DiscovEHR study, with follow-up studies involving 23,317 case patients and 107,166 controls from four population studies. We also tested the effects of a human monoclonal antibody, evinacumab, against Angptl3 in dyslipidemic mice and against ANGPTL3 in healthy human volunteers with elevated levels of triglycerides or LDL cholesterol. RESULTS: In the DiscovEHR study, participants with heterozygous loss-of-function variants in ANGPTL3 had significantly lower serum levels of triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, and LDL cholesterol than participants without these variants. Loss-of-function variants were found in 0.33% of case patients with coronary artery disease and in 0.45% of controls (adjusted odds ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.41 to 0.85; P=0.004). These results were confirmed in the follow-up studies. In dyslipidemic mice, inhibition of Angptl3 with evinacumab resulted in a greater decrease in atherosclerotic lesion area and necrotic content than a control antibody. In humans, evinacumab caused a dose-dependent placebo-adjusted reduction in fasting triglyceride levels of up to 76% and LDL cholesterol levels of up to 23%. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic and therapeutic antagonism of ANGPTL3 in humans and of Angptl3 in mice was associated with decreased levels of all three major lipid fractions and decreased odds of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. (Funded by Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01749878 .).

A Novel Approach to ICU Survivor Care: A Population Health Quality Improvement Project.

OBJECTIVES: Deliver a novel interdisciplinary care process for ICU survivor care and their primary family caregivers, and assess mortality, readmission rates, and economic impact compared with usual care. DESIGN: Population health quality improvement comparative study with retrospective data analysis. SETTING: A single tertiary care rural hospital with medical/surgical, neuroscience, trauma, and cardiac ICUs. PATIENTS: ICU survivors. INTERVENTIONS: Reorganization of existing post discharge health care delivery resources to form an ICU survivor clinic care process and compare this new process to post discharge usual care process. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Demographic data, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV scores, and Charlson Comorbidity Index scores were extracted from the electronic health record. Additional data was extracted from the care manager database. Economic data were extracted from the Geisinger Health Plan database and analyzed by a health economist. During 13-month period analyzed, patients in the ICU survivor care had reduced mortality compared with usual care, as determined by the Kaplan-Meier method (ICU survivor care 0.89 vs usual care 0.71; log-rank p = 0.0108) and risk-adjusted stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (hazard ratio, 0.157; 95% CI, 0.058-0.427). Readmission for ICU survivor care versus usual care: at 30 days (10.4% vs 26.3%; stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting hazard ratio, 0.539; 95% CI, 0.224-1.297) and at 60 days (16.7% vs 34.7%; stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting hazard ratio, 0.525; 95% CI, 0.240-1.145). Financial data analysis indicates estimated annual cost savings to Geisinger Health Plan ranges from $247,052 to $424,846 during the time period analyzed. CONCLUSIONS: Our ICU survivor care process results in decreased mortality and a net annual cost savings to the insurer compared with usual care processes. There was no statistically significant difference in readmission rates.

Positive impact of genetic counseling assistants on genetic counseling efficiency, patient volume, and cost in a cancer genetics clinic.

PURPOSE: Cancer genetics clinics have seen increasing demand, challenging genetic counselors (GCs) to increase efficiency and prompting some clinics to implement genetic counseling assistants (GCAs). To evaluate the impact of GCAs on Geisinger's cancer genetics clinic, we tracked GC time utilization, new patient volume, and clinic cost per patient before and after implementing a GCA program. METHODS: GCs used time-tracking software while completing preappointment activities. Electronic health records were reviewed for appointment length and number of patients per week. Internal salary data for GCs and GCAs were used to calculate clinic costs per patient. RESULTS: Time spent by GCs completing each preappointment activity (21.8 vs. 15.1 minutes) and appointment length (51.6 vs. 44.5 minutes) significantly decreased after GCA program implementation (p values < 0.001). New patients per week per GC significantly increased (7.9 vs. 11.4, p < 0.001). Weekly clinic cost per patient significantly decreased ($233 vs. $176, p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Implementing a GCA program increased GC efficiency in preappointment activities and clinic appointments, increased patient volume, and decreased clinic cost per patient. Such a program can improve access to GC services and assist GCs in focusing on the direct patient care for which they are specially trained.