Machine Learning Models for Predicting Zirconocene Properties and Barriers.

Zr metallocenes have significant potential to be highly tunable polyethylene catalysts through modification of the aromatic ligand framework. Here we report the development of multiple machine learning models using a large library (>700 systems) of DFT-calculated zirconocene properties and barriers for ethylene polymerization. We show that very accurate machine learning models are possible for HOMO-LUMO gaps of precatalysts but the performance significantly depends on the machine learning algorithm and type of featurization, such as fingerprints, Coulomb matrices, smooth overlap of atomic positions, or persistence images. Surprisingly, the description of the bonding hapticity, the number of direct connections between Zr and the ligand aromatic carbons, only has a moderate influence on the performance of most models. Despite robust models for HOMO-LUMO gaps, these types of machine learning models based on structure connectivity type features perform poorly in predicting ethylene migratory insertion barrier heights. Therefore, we developed several relatively robust and accurate machine learning models for barrier heights that are based on quantum-chemical descriptors (QCDs). The quantitative accuracy of these models depends on which potential energy surface structure QCDs were harvested from. This revealed a Hammett-type principle to naturally emerge showing that QCDs from the π-coordination complexes provide much better descriptions of the transition states than other potential-energy structures. Feature importance analysis of the QCDs provides several fundamental principles that influence zirconocene catalyst reactivity.

ReaLigands: A Ligand Library Cultivated from Experiment and Intended for Molecular Computational Catalyst Design.

Computational catalyst design requires identification of a metal and ligand that together result in the desired reaction reactivity and/or selectivity. A major impediment to translating computational designs to experiments is evaluating ligands that are likely to be synthesized. Here, we provide a solution to this impediment with our ReaLigands library that contains >30,000 monodentate, bidentate (didentate), tridentate, and larger ligands cultivated by dismantling experimentally reported crystal structures. Individual ligands from mononuclear crystal structures were identified using a modified depth-first search algorithm and charge was assigned using a machine learning model based on quantum-chemical calculated features. In the library, ligands are sorted based on direct ligand-to-metal atomic connections and on denticity. Representative principal component analysis (PCA) and uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) analyses were used to analyze several tridentate ligand categories, which revealed both the diversity of ligands and connections between ligand categories. We also demonstrated the utility of this library by implementing it with our building and optimization tools, which resulted in the very rapid generation of barriers for 750 bidentate ligands for Rh-hydride ethylene migratory insertion.

Metoprolol for the Prevention of Acute Exacerbations of COPD.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies suggest that beta-blockers may reduce the risk of exacerbations and death in patients with moderate or severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but these findings have not been confirmed in randomized trials. METHODS: In this prospective, randomized trial, we assigned patients between the ages of 40 and 85 years who had COPD to receive either a beta-blocker (extended-release metoprolol) or placebo. All the patients had a clinical history of COPD, along with moderate airflow limitation and an increased risk of exacerbations, as evidenced by a history of exacerbations during the previous year or the prescribed use of supplemental oxygen. We excluded patients who were already taking a beta-blocker or who had an established indication for the use of such drugs. The primary end point was the time until the first exacerbation of COPD during the treatment period, which ranged from 336 to 350 days, depending on the adjusted dose of metoprolol. RESULTS: A total of 532 patients underwent randomization. The mean (±SD) age of the patients was 65.0±7.8 years; the mean forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) was 41.1±16.3% of the predicted value. The trial was stopped early because of futility with respect to the primary end point and safety concerns. There was no significant between-group difference in the median time until the first exacerbation, which was 202 days in the metoprolol group and 222 days in the placebo group (hazard ratio for metoprolol vs. placebo, 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.84 to 1.32; P = 0.66). Metoprolol was associated with a higher risk of exacerbation leading to hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.83). The frequency of side effects that were possibly related to metoprolol was similar in the two groups, as was the overall rate of nonrespiratory serious adverse events. During the treatment period, there were 11 deaths in the metoprolol group and 5 in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with moderate or severe COPD who did not have an established indication for beta-blocker use, the time until the first COPD exacerbation was similar in the metoprolol group and the placebo group. Hospitalization for exacerbation was more common among the patients treated with metoprolol. (Funded by the Department of Defense; BLOCK COPD ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02587351.).

Respiratory symptoms in smokers with normal spirometry: clinical significance and management considerations.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Current respiratory society guidelines recommend confirming the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with demonstration of airflow obstruction on spirometry. However, multiple recent studies have demonstrated that smokers without overt airflow obstruction on spirometry, termed symptomatic smokers, have evidence of structural lung disease on imaging, have a substantial symptom burden, and also suffer respiratory exacerbations. In this review, we provide an overview of the epidemiology of symptomatic smokers, and address issues of screening and diagnosis, evaluation, and management considerations. RECENT FINDINGS: Two large prospective cohorts of adults with and at risk for COPD quantified the respiratory morbidity of symptomatic smokers. These studies demonstrated that approximately half of smokers without spirometrically defined airflow obstruction have increased respiratory symptoms, poor quality of life, low functional capacity, and suffer from respiratory exacerbations. Symptomatic smokers also have evidence of structural lung disease on imaging, and are at risk for faster lung function decline compared with those without respiratory symptoms. Several methods have been proposed to detect smoking-related lung damage among symptomatic smokers with normal forced expired volume in 1 second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio. Novel spirometry measures have been reported to diagnose disease before detection using traditional spirometry thresholds. Small airway involvement can be detected earlier using impulse oscillometry and metrics on multiple breath nitrogen washout tests. Imaging biomarkers have been developed that are associated with respiratory morbidity and lung function decline in symptomatic smokers. The translation of novel methods for COPD disease detection into more timely introduction of therapeutics and a consequent reduction in long-term morbidity and mortality has not yet been observed. SUMMARY: A better understanding of the pathobiologic basis of disease in smokers without overt airflow limitation, and earlier recognition of lung disease, while also appropriately evaluating for comorbidities that may account for the symptoms, will enhance the management of symptomatic smokers with preserved lung function.

HIV Suppression Restores the Lung Mucosal CD4+ T-Cell Viral Immune Response and Resolves CD8+ T-Cell Alveolitis in Patients at Risk for HIV-Associated Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

BACKGROUND: Lung CD4+ T-cell depletion and dysfunction, CD8+ T-cell alveolitis, smoking, and poor control of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are features of HIV-associated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but these changes have not been evaluated in smokers at risk for COPD. We evaluated the impact of viral suppression following initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) on HIV-specific immunity and the balance of the CD4+ T-cell to CD8+ T-cell ratio in the lung. METHODS: Using flow cytometry, we assessed the T-cell immune response in lung and blood specimens obtained from 12 actively smoking HIV-positive patients before ART initiation and after ART-associated viral suppression. RESULTS: HIV suppression resulted in enhanced lung and systemic HIV-specific CD4+ T-cell immune responses without significant changes in CD8+ T-cell responses. We observed an increase in lung ratios of CD4+ T cells to CD8+ T cells and CD4+ T-cell frequencies, decreased CD8+ T-cell numbers, and resolution of CD8+ T-cell alveolitis after ART in 9 of 12 individuals. Viral suppression reduced Fas receptor and programmed death 1 expression in lung CD4+ T cells, correlating with enhanced effector function and reduced susceptibility to apoptosis. HIV suppression rescued peripheral but not lung HIV-specific CD4+ T-cell proliferation, resulting in augmented effector multifunction. DISCUSSION: Together, our results demonstrate that HIV suppression restores lung mucosal HIV-specific CD4+ T-cell multifunctional immunity and balance in the ratio of CD4+ T cells to CD8+ T cells, often resolving CD8+ T-cell alveolitis in active smokers. Peripheral expansion and redistribution of CD4+ T cells and increased resistance to apoptosis are 2 mechanisms contributing to immunologic improvement following viral suppression in patients at risk for HIV-associated COPD.

Implementation of a COPD Screening Questionnaire in an Outpatient HIV Clinic.

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is associated with increased risk for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); yet substantial under-recognition of COPD exists. We administered a patient-completed, physician-reviewed COPD screening tool in an outpatient HIV clinic to determine whether screening is feasible or possible. Patients attending nonacute, routine HIV care visits were provided a brief COPD screening tool, which included three questions focused on age, respiratory symptoms, and smoking history. Providers were given completed forms for review and ordered spirometry at their discretion. Forms and medical records were subsequently reviewed to determine completion and results of spirometry testing. Of the 1,510 patients screened during the study period, 968 (64%) forms were completed. After excluding 79 incomplete forms, 889 (92%) unique patient forms were included in this analysis. Among these, 204 (23%) met criteria for spirometry referral, among whom physicians ordered spirometry in 64 (31%). At 6 months following study completion, 19 (30%) of the patients referred for spirometry had the test completed, with 5 (26%) demonstrating airflow obstruction. Nearly one out of four HIV patients met indication for screening spirometry and roughly one out of four undergoing spirometry had COPD. Critical drop-offs in the screening and diagnostic process occurred at questionnaire completion and spirometry ordering. Interventions tailored to these critical steps could improve the yield from COPD screening and help to optimize the identification of COPD in high-risk HIV-infected populations. COPD screening in a clinic focused on longitudinal HIV care can effectively identify COPD among those completing the screening continuum.

Diagnostic accuracy of FEV1/forced vital capacity ratio z scores in asthmatic patients.

BACKGROUND: The FEV1/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio is used as a criterion for airflow obstruction; however, the test characteristics of spirometry in the diagnosis of asthma are not well established. The accuracy of a test depends on the pretest probability of disease. OBJECTIVE: We wanted to estimate the FEV1/FVC ratio z score threshold with optimal accuracy for the diagnosis of asthma for different pretest probabilities. METHODS: Asthmatic patients enrolled in 4 trials from the Asthma Clinical Research Centers were included in this analysis. Measured and predicted FEV1/FVC ratios were obtained, with calculation of z scores for each participant. Across a range of asthma prevalences and z score thresholds, the overall diagnostic accuracy was calculated. RESULTS: One thousand six hundred eight participants were included (mean age, 39 years; 71% female; 61% white). The mean FEV1 percent predicted value was 83% (SD, 15%). In a symptomatic population with 50% pretest probability of asthma, optimal accuracy (68%) is achieved with a z score threshold of -1.0 (16th percentile), corresponding to a 6 percentage point reduction from the predicted ratio. However, in a screening population with a 5% pretest probability of asthma, the optimum z score is -2.0 (second percentile), corresponding to a 12 percentage point reduction from the predicted ratio. These findings were not altered by markers of disease control. CONCLUSION: Reduction of the FEV1/FVC ratio can support the diagnosis of asthma; however, the ratio is neither sensitive nor specific enough for diagnostic accuracy. When interpreting spirometric results, consideration of the pretest probability is an important consideration in the diagnosis of asthma based on airflow limitation.

A randomized study of contingency management and spirometric lung age for motivating smoking cessation among injection drug users.

BACKGROUND: Even after quitting illicit drugs, tobacco abuse remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in former injection drug users. An important unmet need in this population is to have effective interventions that can be used in the context of community based care. Contingency management, where a patient receives a monetary incentive for healthy behavior choices, and incorporation of individual counseling regarding spirometric "lung age" (the age of an average healthy individual with similar spirometry) have been shown to improve cessation rates in some populations. The efficacy of these interventions on improving smoking cessation rates has not been studied among current and former injection drug users. METHODS: In a randomized, factorial design study, we recruited 100 active smokers from an ongoing cohort study of current and former injection drug users to assess the impact of contingency management and spirometric lung age on smoking cessation. The primary outcome was 6-month biologically-confirmed smoking cessation comparing contingency management, spirometric lung age or both to usual care. Secondary outcomes included differences in self-reported and biologically-confirmed cessation at interim visits, number of visits attended and quit attempts, smoking rates at interim visits, and changes in Fagerstrom score and self-efficacy. RESULTS: Six-month biologically-confirmed smoking cessations rates were 4% usual care, 0% lung age, 14% contingency management and 0% for combined lung age and contingency management (p = 0.13). There were no differences in secondary endpoints comparing the four interventions or when pooling the lung age groups. Comparing contingency management to non-contingency management, 6-month cessation rates were not different (7% vs. 2%; p = 0.36), but total number of visits with exhaled carbon monoxide-confirmed abstinence were higher for contingency management than non-contingency management participants (0.38 vs. 0.06; p = 0.03), and more contingency management participants showed reduction in their Fagerstrom score from baseline to follow-up (39% vs. 18%; p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: While lung age appeared ineffective, contingency management was associated with more short-term abstinence and lowered nicotine addiction. Contingency management may be a useful tool in development of effective tobacco cessation strategies among current and former injection drug users. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01334736 (April 12, 2011).

High-fidelity detection, subtyping, and localization of five skin neoplasms using supervised and semi-supervised learning.

Background: Skin cancers are the most common malignancies diagnosed worldwide. While the early detection and treatment of pre-cancerous and cancerous skin lesions can dramatically improve outcomes, factors such as a global shortage of pathologists, increased workloads, and high rates of diagnostic discordance underscore the need for techniques that improve pathology workflows. Although AI models are now being used to classify lesions from whole slide images (WSIs), diagnostic performance rarely surpasses that of expert pathologists. Objectives: The objective of the present study was to create an AI model to detect and classify skin lesions with a higher degree of sensitivity than previously demonstrated, with potential to match and eventually surpass expert pathologists to improve clinical workflows. Methods: We combined supervised learning (SL) with semi-supervised learning (SSL) to produce an end-to-end multi-level skin detection system that not only detects 5 main types of skin lesions with high sensitivity and specificity, but also subtypes, localizes, and provides margin status to evaluate the proximity of the lesion to non-epidermal margins. The Supervised Training Subset consisted of 2188 random WSIs collected by the PathologyWatch (PW) laboratory between 2013 and 2018, while the Weakly Supervised Subset consisted of 5161 WSIs from daily case specimens. The Validation Set consisted of 250 curated daily case WSIs obtained from the PW tissue archives and included 50 "mimickers". The Testing Set (3821 WSIs) was composed of non-curated daily case specimens collected from July 20, 2021 to August 20, 2021 from PW laboratories. Results: The performance characteristics of our AI model (i.e., Mihm) were assessed retrospectively by running the Testing Set through the Mihm Evaluation Pipeline. Our results show that the sensitivity of Mihm in classifying melanocytic lesions, basal cell carcinoma, and atypical squamous lesions, verruca vulgaris, and seborrheic keratosis was 98.91% (95% CI: 98.27%, 99.55%), 97.24% (95% CI: 96.15%, 98.33%), 95.26% (95% CI: 93.79%, 96.73%), 93.50% (95% CI: 89.14%, 97.86%), and 86.91% (95% CI: 82.13%, 91.69%), respectively. Additionally, our multi-level (i.e., patch-level, ROI-level, and WSI-level) detection algorithm includes a qualitative feature that subtypes lesions, an AI overlay in the front-end digital display that localizes diagnostic ROIs, and reports on margin status by detecting overlap between lesions and non-epidermal tissue margins. Conclusions: Our AI model, developed in collaboration with dermatopathologists, detects 5 skin lesion types with higher sensitivity than previously published AI models, and provides end users with information such as subtyping, localization, and margin status in a front-end digital display. Our end-to-end system has the potential to improve pathology workflows by increasing diagnostic accuracy, expediting the course of patient care, and ultimately improving patient outcomes.

A pragmatic randomized trial of home-based testing for COVID-19 in rural Native American and Latino communities: Protocol for the "Protecting our Communities" study.

BACKGROUND: Home-based testing for COVID-19 has potential to reduce existing health care disparities among underserved populations in the United States. However, implementation of home-based tests in these communities may face significant barriers. This study evaluates the acceptability, feasibility, and success of home-based testing and the potential added benefit of active support from trusted community health workers for Native Americans and Hispanic/Latino adults living in rural Montana and Washington states. METHODS/DESIGN: The academic-community research team designed the trial to be responsive to community needs for understanding barriers and supports to home-based COVID-19 testing. The "Protecting Our Community" study is a two-arm pragmatic randomized controlled trial in which a total of 400 participants are randomized to active or passive arms. Participants of both study arms receive a commercially available home collection COVID-19 test kit, which is completed by mailing a self-collected nasal swab to a central laboratory. The primary study outcome is return of the kit to the central lab within 14 days. The cultural, social, behavioral, and economic barriers to home-based COVID-19 testing are also assessed by qualitative research methods. A survey and semi-structured interviews are conducted after the trial to evaluate perceptions and experience of home-based testing. DISCUSSION: Implementing home-based testing in underserved populations, including among Native American and Hispanic/Latino communities, may require additional support to be successful. The Protecting Our Community trial examines the effect of trusted community health workers on use of home-based testing, which may be adaptable for community-driven models of home-based testing in other underserved populations.

Lung Diseases Unique to Women.

The differences in the respiratory system between women and men begin in utero. Biologic sex plays a critical role in fetal development, airway anatomy, inhalational exposures, and inhaled particle deposition of the respiratory system, thus leading to differences in risk for disease, as well as clinical manifestations, morbidity, and mortality. In this article, we focus on those respiratory diseases unique to females: lymphangioleiomyomatosis and thoracic endometriosis syndrome.

Respiratory Impacts of Wildland Fire Smoke: Future Challenges and Policy Opportunities. An Official American Thoracic Society Workshop Report.

Wildland fires are diminishing air quality on a seasonal and regional basis, raising concerns about respiratory health risks to the public and occupational groups. This American Thoracic Society (ATS) workshop was convened in 2019 to meet the growing health threat of wildland fire smoke. The workshop brought together a multidisciplinary group of 19 experts, including wildland fire managers, public health officials, epidemiologists, toxicologists, and pediatric and adult pulmonologists. The workshop examined the following four major topics: 1) the science of wildland fire incidence and fire management, 2) the respiratory and cardiovascular health effects of wildland fire smoke exposure, 3) communication strategies to address these health risks, and 4) actions to address wildland fire health impacts. Through formal presentations followed by group discussion, workshop participants identified top priorities for fire management, research, communication, and public policy to address health risks of wildland fires. The workshop concluded that short-term exposure to wildland smoke causes acute respiratory health effects, especially among those with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Research is needed to understand long-term health effects of repeated smoke exposures across fire seasons for children, adults, and highly exposed occupational groups (especially firefighters). Other research priorities include fire data collection and modeling, toxicology of different fire fuel sources, and the efficacy of health protective measures to prevent respiratory effects of smoke exposure. The workshop committee recommends a unified federal response to the growing problem of wildland fires, including investment in fire behavior and smoke air quality modeling, research on the health impacts of smoke, and development of robust clinical and public health communication tools.

Efficacy of interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir compared with remdesivir alone in hospitalised adults with COVID-19: a double-bind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Functional impairment of interferon, a natural antiviral component of the immune system, is associated with the pathogenesis and severity of COVID-19. We aimed to compare the efficacy of interferon beta-1a in combination with remdesivir compared with remdesivir alone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We did a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial at 63 hospitals across five countries (Japan, Mexico, Singapore, South Korea, and the USA). Eligible patients were hospitalised adults (aged ≥18 years) with SARS-CoV-2 infection, as confirmed by a positive RT-PCR test, and who met one of the following criteria suggestive of lower respiratory tract infection: the presence of radiographic infiltrates on imaging, a peripheral oxygen saturation on room air of 94% or less, or requiring supplemental oxygen. Patients were excluded if they had either an alanine aminotransferase or an aspartate aminotransferase concentration more than five times the upper limit of normal; had impaired renal function; were allergic to the study product; were pregnant or breast feeding; were already on mechanical ventilation; or were anticipating discharge from the hospital or transfer to another hospital within 72 h of enrolment. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous remdesivir as a 200 mg loading dose on day 1 followed by a 100 mg maintenance dose administered daily for up to 9 days and up to four doses of either 44 µg interferon beta-1a (interferon beta-1a group plus remdesivir group) or placebo (placebo plus remdesivir group) administered subcutaneously every other day. Randomisation was stratified by study site and disease severity at enrolment. Patients, investigators, and site staff were masked to interferon beta-1a and placebo treatment; remdesivir treatment was given to all patients without masking. The primary outcome was time to recovery, defined as the first day that a patient attained a category 1, 2, or 3 score on the eight-category ordinal scale within 28 days, assessed in the modified intention-to-treat population, defined as all randomised patients who were classified according to actual clinical severity. Safety was assessed in the as-treated population, defined as all patients who received at least one dose of the assigned treatment. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04492475. FINDINGS: Between Aug 5, 2020, and Nov 11, 2020, 969 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group (n=487) or to the placebo plus remdesivir group (n=482). The mean duration of symptoms before enrolment was 8·7 days (SD 4·4) in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group and 8·5 days (SD 4·3) days in the placebo plus remdesivir group. Patients in both groups had a time to recovery of 5 days (95% CI not estimable) (rate ratio of interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group vs placebo plus remdesivir 0·99 [95% CI 0·87-1·13]; p=0·88). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of mortality at 28 days was 5% (95% CI 3-7%) in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group and 3% (2-6%) in the placebo plus remdesivir group (hazard ratio 1·33 [95% CI 0·69-2·55]; p=0·39). Patients who did not require high-flow oxygen at baseline were more likely to have at least one related adverse event in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group (33 [7%] of 442 patients) than in the placebo plus remdesivir group (15 [3%] of 435). In patients who required high-flow oxygen at baseline, 24 (69%) of 35 had an adverse event and 21 (60%) had a serious adverse event in the interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir group compared with 13 (39%) of 33 who had an adverse event and eight (24%) who had a serious adverse event in the placebo plus remdesivir group. INTERPRETATION: Interferon beta-1a plus remdesivir was not superior to remdesivir alone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Patients who required high-flow oxygen at baseline had worse outcomes after treatment with interferon beta-1a compared with those given placebo. FUNDING: The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (USA).

Factors influencing decline in quality of life in smokers without airflow obstruction: The COPDGene study.

INTRODUCTION: Current and former smokers with normal spirometry and with Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry (PRISm) experience respiratory events similar to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Exacerbations significantly reduce quality of life (QoL) in COPD patients however the effect of respiratory exacerbations on QoL in these groups is unknown. We hypothesized that exacerbations and change in exacerbation status would predict QoL decline among normal spirometry and PRISm participants in COPDGene. METHODS: COPDGene is a multicenter, longitudinal study in the U.S. designed to identify genetic determinants of COPD. We enrolled study subjects in Phase 1 of COPDGene and performed multivariable logistic regression models to determine independent predictors of decline in quality of life [>4 points on the St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)]. Separate analyses were performed for current and former smokers with normal spirometry and PRISm. Frequent exacerbator status was defined by > 2 moderate or >1 severe exacerbations in the year prior to the baseline and year 5 follow-up visits. RESULTS: Independent predictors of QoL deterioration included current smoking, higher exacerbation frequency, and a change from infrequent to frequent exacerbation status (REF: infrequent to infrequent exacerbation status) in both groups [PRISm (OR = 3.15,95%CI, 1.67-5.94), normal spirometry (OR = 4.72,95%CI, 3.25-6.86)]. A change from frequent to infrequent exacerbation status did not lower the odds of QoL decline in either cohort. CONCLUSION: Continued smoking and the onset of frequent exacerbations were predictors of QoL decline in smokers with normal spirometry and PRISm. Further studies are needed to identify modifiable factors associated with decline in QoL in smokers.

Plasma cathelicidin and longitudinal lung function in current and former smokers.

INTRODUCTION: Cathelicidin (also known as LL-37 in humans) is an antimicrobial peptide secreted by epithelial and immune cells and regulated by vitamin D. The immunological roles of cathelicidin make it a putative biomarker to identify individuals at risk for reduced lung function. The objective of this study is to determine potential independent associations between low plasma cathelicidin and longitudinal lung function in current or former smokers without COPD. METHODS: In a nested analysis of 308 participants from an observational cohort study, plasma cathelicidin and serum 25-hydroxy-vitamin D measurements were obtained at baseline, years three and five. The independent association between lowest quartile cathelicidin (<35 ng/ml) and forced-expiratory-volume-in-1-second (FEV1) at baseline, six and 18 months from each cathelicidin measurement was assessed with generalized estimating equations after adjusting for age, sex, race, smoking status and intensity. The long-term stability of cathelicidin and relationship with vitamin D was evaluated. RESULTS: The cohort was 91% African-American, mean age 48.6 years, 32% female, and 81% current smokers. Participants with low cathelicidin were more likely to be female and have lower FEV1. Low cathelicidin was not independently associated with baseline FEV1. There was an independent association between low cathelicidin and reduced FEV1 at six months [-72 ml (95% CI, -140 to -8ml); p = 0.027] and 18 months [-103 ml (95% CI, -180 to -27 ml); p = 0.007]. Cathelicidin was stable over time and not correlated with vitamin D level. CONCLUSION: In current and former smokers with preserved lung function, low cathelicidin is associated with sustained lung function reductions at six and 18 months, suggesting that cathelicidin may be an informative biomarker to predict persistent lung function disparities among at-risk individuals.

Lower serum IgA is associated with COPD exacerbation risk in SPIROMICS.

BACKGROUND: Decreased but measurable serum IgA levels (≤70 mg/dL) have been associated with risk for infections in some populations, but are unstudied in COPD. This study tested the hypothesis that subnormal serum IgA levels would be associated with exacerbation risk in COPD. METHODS: Data were analyzed from 1,049 COPD participants from the observational cohort study SPIROMICS (535 (51%) women; mean age 66.1 (SD 7.8), 338 (32%) current smokers) who had baseline serum IgA measured using the Myriad RBM biomarker discovery platform. Exacerbation data was collected prospectively (mean 944.3 (SD 281.3) days), and adjusted linear, logistic and zero-inflated negative binomial regressions were performed. RESULTS: Mean IgA was 269.1 mg/dL (SD 150.9). One individual had deficient levels of serum IgA (<7 mg/dL) and 25 (2.4%) had IgA level ≤70 mg/dL. Participants with IgA ≤70 mg/dL were younger (62 vs. 66 years, p = 0.01) but otherwise similar to those with higher IgA. In adjusted models, IgA ≤70 mg/dL was associated with higher exacerbation incidence rates (IRR 1.71, 95% CI 1.01-2.87, p = 0.044) and greater risk for any severe exacerbation (OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.30-6.94, p = 0.010). In adjusted models among those in the lowest decile (<120 mg/dL), each 10 mg/dL decrement in IgA (analyzed continuously) was associated with more exacerbations during follow-up (ß 0.24, 95% CI 0.017-0.46, p = 0.035). CONCLUSIONS: Subnormal serum IgA levels were associated with increased risk for acute exacerbations, supporting mildly impaired IgA levels as a contributing factor in COPD morbidity. Additionally, a dose-response relationship between lower serum IgA and number of exacerbations was found among individuals with serum IgA in the lowest decile, further supporting the link between serum IgA and exacerbation risk. Future COPD studies should more comprehensively characterize immune status to define the clinical relevance of these findings and their potential for therapeutic correction.

Rural Residence and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations. Analysis of the SPIROMICS Cohort.

Rationale: Rural residence is associated with poor outcomes in several chronic diseases. The association between rural residence and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations remains unclear.Objectives: In this work, we sought to determine the independent association between rural residence and COPD-related outcomes, including COPD exacerbations, airflow obstruction, and symptom burden.Methods: A total of 1,684 SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study) participants with forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70 had geocoding-defined rural-urban residence status determined (N = 204 rural and N = 1,480 urban). Univariate and multivariate logistic and negative binomial regressions were performed to assess the independent association between rurality and COPD outcomes, including exacerbations, lung function, and symptom burden. The primary exposure of interest was rural residence, determined by geocoding of the home address to the block level at the time of study enrollment. Additional covariates of interest included demographic and clinical characteristics, occupation, and occupational exposures. The primary outcome measures were exacerbations determined over a 1-year course after enrollment by quarterly telephone calls and at an annual research clinic visit. The odds ratio (OR) and incidence rate ratio (IRR) of exacerbations that required treatment with medications, including steroids or antibiotics (total exacerbations), and exacerbations leading to hospitalization (severe exacerbations) were determined after adjusting for relevant covariates.Results: Rural residence was independently associated with a 70% increase in the odds of total exacerbations (OR, 1.70 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13-2.56]; P = 0.012) and a 46% higher incidence rate of total exacerbations (IRR 1.46 [95% CI, 1.02-2.10]; P = 0.039). There was no association between rural residence and severe exacerbations. Agricultural occupation was independently associated with increased odds and incidence of total and severe exacerbations. Inclusion of agricultural occupation in the analysis attenuated the association between rural residence and the odds and incidence rate of total exacerbations (OR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.00-2.32]; P = 0.05 and IRR 1.39 [95% CI, 0.97-1.99]; P = 0.07). There was no difference in symptoms or airflow obstruction between rural and urban participants.Conclusions: Rural residence is independently associated with increased odds and incidence of total, but not severe, COPD exacerbations. These associations are not fully explained by agriculture-related exposures, highlighting the need for future research into potential mechanisms of the increased risk of COPD exacerbations in the rural population.

Anemia and Adverse Outcomes in a Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Population with a High Burden of Comorbidities. An Analysis from SPIROMICS.

RATIONALE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common cause of morbidity and associated with a significant burden of comorbidities. Although anemia is associated with adverse outcomes in COPD, its contribution to outcomes in individuals with other comorbid chronic diseases is not well understood. OBJECTIVES: This study examines the association of anemia with outcomes in a large, well-characterized COPD cohort, and attempts to understand the contribution of anemia to outcomes and phenotypes in individuals with other comorbidities. METHODS: Participants with COPD from SPIROMICS (the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study) were analyzed in adjusted models to determine the associations of normocytic anemia with clinical outcomes, computed tomographic measures, and biomarkers. Analysis was additionally performed to understand the independence and possible interactions related to cardiac and metabolic comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 1,789 individuals with COPD from SPIROMICS had data on hemoglobin, and of these 7.5% (n = 135) were found to have normocytic anemia. Anemic participants were older with worse airflow obstruction, a higher proportion of them were African Americans, and they had a higher burden of cardiac and metabolic comorbidities. Anemia was strongly associated with 6-minute walk distance (ß, -61.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], -85.11 to -37.75), modified Medical Research Council dyspnea questionnaire (ß, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.44), and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (ß, 3.90; 95% CI, 1.09-6.71), and these adjusted associations were stronger among those with two or more cardiac and metabolic comorbidities. Anemia was associated with higher levels of serum C-reactive protein, soluble receptor for advanced glycosylation end-products, and epithelial cadherin-1, findings that persisted when in those with a high burden of comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Anemia is associated with worse exercise capacity, greater dyspnea, and greater disease severity among adults with COPD, particularly among those with comorbid chronic cardiac and metabolic diseases. The biomarkers found in anemic individuals suggest inflammation, lung tissue injury, and oxidative stress as possible pathways for the adverse correlations of anemia with outcomes in COPD; however, substantial further study is required to better understand these potential mechanisms. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01969344).

HIV Infection Is Independently Associated with Increased CT Scan Lung Density.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Noninfectious pulmonary complications are common among HIV-infected individuals and may be detected early by quantitative computed tomography (CT) scanning. The association of HIV disease markers with CT lung density measurement remains poorly understood. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred twenty-five participants free of spirometry-defined lung disease were recruited from a longitudinal cohort study of HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individuals to undergo standardized CT scan of the chest. Parenchymal density for the entire lung volume was calculated using computerized software. Qualitative assessment of CT scans was conducted by two radiologists masked to HIV status. Linear regression models were developed to determine the independent association of markers of HIV infection on inspiratory scan mean lung density (MLD). RESULTS: HIV-infected participants had a significantly higher MLD (denser lung) compared to HIV-uninfected participants (-815 Hounsfield unit [HU] vs -837 HU; P = 0.002). After adjusting for relevant covariates, HIV infection was independently associated with 19.9 HU higher MLD (95% CI 6.04 to 33.7 HU; P = 0.005). In qualitative assessment, only ground glass attenuation and cysts were noted more commonly among HIV-infected individuals compared to HIV-uninfected individuals (34% vs 17% [P = 0.045] and 27% vs 10% [P = 0.03], respectively). No qualitative radiographic abnormalities attenuated the association between HIV infection and increased MLD. CONCLUSIONS: HIV infection is independently associated with increased lung density. Although qualitative CT abnormalities were common in this cohort, only ground glass attenuation and cysts were noted more frequently in HIV-infected participants, suggesting that the increased lung density observed among HIV-infected individuals may be associated with subclinical inflammatory lung changes.