Susceptible Young Adults and Development of COPD Later in Life.

RATIONALE: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has its origin in early life, and the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) proposes a pre-disease state "pre-COPD". OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that susceptible young adults identified with chronic bronchitis and subtle lung function impairment will develop COPD later in life. METHODS: We followed random non-obstructive individuals aged 20-50years from two population-based cohorts from different smoking eras, the Copenhagen General Population Study from 2003(N=5497) and Copenhagen City Heart Study from 1976-78(N=2609), for 10 and 25years for development of COPD(forced expiratory volume in one second[FEV1]/forced vital capacity[FVC]<0.70) and COPD GOLD 2-4 (additionally FEV1<80% predicted). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: After 10 years follow-up, 28% developed COPD and 13% COPD GOLD 2-4 in individuals susceptible to COPD compared to 8% and 1% in those without any susceptibility to COPD. Correspondingly, after 25years, 22% versus 13% developed COPD and 20% versus 8% developed COPD GOLD 2-4. More than half of incident COPD cases developed from a susceptible state. Compared to those without susceptibility to COPD, multivariable adjusted odds ratios in those susceptible to COPD were 3.42(95% confidence interval:2.78-4.21) for COPD and 10.1(6.77-15.2) for COPD GOLD 2-4 after 10years, and 1.54(1.23-1.93) and 2.12(1.64-2.73) after 25years. The ability of a COPD risk score consisting of the susceptibility state to COPD with smoking and asthma as risk factors to predict COPD later in life was high. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests the existence of a pre-disease state of COPD, which can be used for early identification of susceptible individuals at risk for COPD later in life.

Type-2 inflammation and lung function decline in chronic airway disease in the general population.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear if type-2 inflammation is associated with accelerated lung function decline in individuals with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We tested the hypothesis that type-2 inflammation indicated by elevated blood eosinophils (BE) and fraction of exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) is associated with accelerated lung function decline in the general population. METHODS: We included adults from the Copenhagen General Population Study with measurements of BE (N=15 605) and FeNO (N=2583) from a follow-up examination and assessed forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) decline in the preceding 10 years. Based on pre- and post-bronchodilator lung function, smoking history and asthma at follow-up examination, participants were assigned as not having airway disease, asthma with full reversibility (AR), asthma with persistent obstruction (APO), COPD, and not classifiable airflow limitation (NAL). RESULTS: FEV1 decline in mL/year increased with 1.0 (95% CI 0.6 to 1.4, p<0.0001) per 100 cells/µL higher BE and with 3.2 (95% CI 2.0 to 4.5, p<0.0001) per 10 ppb higher FeNO. Adjusted FEV1 decline in mL/year was 18 (95% CI 17 to 20) in those with BE<300 cells/µL and FeNO<20 ppb, 22 (19-25) in BE≥300 cells/µL or FeNO≥20 ppb, and 27 (21-33) in those with BE≥300 cells/µL and FeNO≥20 ppb (p for trend<0.0001). Corresponding FEV1 declines were 24 (19-29), 33 (25-40) and 44 (31-56) in AR (0.002), 26 (14-37), 36 (12-60) and 56 (24-89) in APO (0.07), 32 (27-36), 31 (24-38) and 44 (24-65) in COPD (0.46), and 27 (21-33), 35 (26-45), and 37 (25-49) in NAL (0.10), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Type-2 inflammation indicated by elevated BE and FeNO is associated with accelerated FEV1 decline in individuals with chronic airway disease in the general population, and this association was most pronounced in an asthma-like phenotype.

Low smoking exposure and development and prognosis of COPD over four decades: A population-based cohort study.

A diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is mainly considered in individuals with more than 10 pack-years of smoking. We tested the hypothesis that low smoking exposure, below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years, increases risk of COPD and leads to poor prognosis.We followed non-obstructive adult smokers from the Copenhagen City Heart Study for COPD, defined as forced expiratory volume in one second [FEV1]/forced vital capacity [FVC]<0.70 and FEV1<80% predicted, and for related clinical outcomes. First, we followed individuals for 5years according to baseline smoking for risk of developing COPD, and hereafter for up to four decades for severe exacerbations and death.In 6098 non-obstructive smokers, 1781(29%) developed COPD after 5 years follow-up; 23% in individuals with <10pack-years of smoking at baseline, 26% in those with 10-19.9pack-years, 30% in those with 20-39.9pack-years, and 39% in those with ≥40pack-years. During four decades follow-up, we recorded 620 exacerbations and 5573 deaths. Compared to individuals without COPD with <10pack-years of smoking, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for exacerbations were 1.94(95% confidence interval:1.36-2.77) in those without COPD with ≥10pack-years, 2.83(1.72-4.66) in those with COPD with <10pack-years, 4.34(2.93-6.43) in COPD with 10-19.9pack-years, 4.39(2.98-6.47) in COPD with 20-39.9pack-years, and 4.98(3.11-7.97) in COPD with ≥40pack-years. Corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.20(1.10-1.32), 1.33(1.14-1.56), 1.59(1.40-1.80),1.81(1.62-2.03), and 1.81(1.55-2.10), respectively.Low smoking exposure below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years increases risk of COPD in middle-aged adults within 5 years, and these individuals have increased risk of severe exacerbation and early death over four decades.

Diagnostic accuracy of cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers in genetic prion diseases.

Genetic prion diseases are a rare and diverse group of fatal neurodegenerative disorders caused by pathogenic sequence variations in the prion protein gene, PRNP. Data on CSF biomarkers in patients with genetic prion diseases are limited and conflicting results have been reported for unclear reasons. Here, we aimed to analyse the diagnostic accuracy of CSF biomarkers currently used in prion clinical diagnosis in 302 symptomatic genetic prion disease cases from 11 prion diagnostic centres, encompassing a total of 36 different pathogenic sequence variations within the open reading frame of PRNP. CSF samples were assessed for the surrogate markers of neurodegeneration, 14-3-3 protein (14-3-3), total-tau protein (t-tau) and α-synuclein and for prion seeding activity through the real-time quaking-induced conversion assay. Biomarker results were compared with those obtained in healthy and neurological controls. For the most prevalent PRNP pathogenic sequence variations, biomarker accuracy and associations between biomarkers, demographic and genetic determinants were assessed. Additionally, the prognostic value of biomarkers for predicting total disease duration from symptom onset to death was investigated. High sensitivity of the four biomarkers was detected for genetic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease associated with the E200K and V210I mutations, but low sensitivity was observed for mutations associated with Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker syndrome and fatal familial insomnia. All biomarkers showed good to excellent specificity using the standard cut-offs often used for sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease. In genetic prion diseases related to octapeptide repeat insertions, the biomarker sensitivity correlated with the number of repeats. New genetic prion disease-specific cut-offs for 14-3-3, t-tau and α-synuclein were calculated. Disease duration in genetic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease-E200K, Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker-P102L and fatal familial insomnia was highly dependent on PRNP codon 129 MV polymorphism and was significantly associated with biomarker levels. In a large cohort of genetic prion diseases, the simultaneous analysis of CSF prion disease biomarkers allowed the determination of new mutation-specific cut-offs improving the discrimination of genetic prion disease cases and unveiled genetic prion disease-specific associations with disease duration.

Prognosis of Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Not Eligible for Major Clinical Trials.

Rationale: Randomized controlled trials only include a subset of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) fulfilling strict inclusion criteria. Thus, most patients with COPD in a real-world setting do not have the necessary evidence to support treatment effectiveness. Objectives: To test the hypotheses that most individuals with COPD in the general population are not represented in major clinical trials despite clinically significant disease with exacerbations and early death. Methods: In 105,630 adults from a Danish contemporary population-based cohort, we defined COPD as age 40 or more years, chronic respiratory symptoms, history of smoking exposure, and airflow limitation with FEV1/FVC < 0.70. Outcomes included acute exacerbations and all-cause mortality. Symptomatic smokers without COPD were used as a reference group. Measurements and Main Results: Of all, 7,516 (7%) and 16,079 (15%) were symptomatic smokers with and without COPD. Only 44% of those with COPD were eligible for major clinical trials when applying FEV1 < 80% predicted, smoking history of 10 or more pack-years, and no comorbid asthma as common inclusion criteria. During the median 8.9 years of follow-up, we observed 2,130 acute exacerbations and 3,973 deaths in symptomatic smokers. Compared with symptomatic smokers without COPD, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for exacerbations were 7.45 (95% confidence interval, 5.41-10.3) and 29.0 (21.1-39.8) in those with COPD, respectively, excluded and eligible for clinical trials. Corresponding hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.21 (1.11-1.31) and 1.67 (1.54-1.81), respectively. Conclusions: More than half of individuals with COPD in the general population are excluded from major clinical trials; however, these individuals have a clinically significant disease with exacerbations and early death compared with symptomatic smokers without COPD.

Serological testing for syphilis in the differential diagnosis of cognitive decline and polyneuropathy in geriatric patients.

BACKGROUND: In the 19th century, neurosyphilis was the most frequent cause of dementia in Western Europe. Now dementia caused by syphilis has become rare in Germany. We studied whether routine testing of patients with cognitive abnormalities or neuropathy for antibodies against Treponema pallidum has therapeutic consequences in geriatric patients. METHODS: A Treponema pallidum electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (TP-ECLIA) is routinely performed in all in-patients treated at our institution with cognitve decline or neuropathy and no or insufficient previous diagnostic workup. Patients with a positive TP-ECLIA treated from October 2015 to January 2022 (76 months) were retrospectively evaluated. In cases of positive TP-ECLIA, further specific laboratory investigations were performed to assess whether antibiotic therapy was indicated. RESULTS: In 42 of 4116 patients (1.0%), TP-ECLIA detected antibodies directed against Treponema in serum. Specifity of these antibodies was ensured by immunoblot in 22 patients (11 × positiv, 11 × borderline values). Treponema-specific IgM was detectable in the serum of one patient, in 3 patients the Rapid Plasma Reagin (RPR) test, a modified Venereal Disease Research Laboratory test (VDRL), in serum was positiv. CSF analysis was performed in 10 patients. One patient had CSF pleocytosis. In 2 other patients, the Treponema-specific IgG antibody index was elevated. 5 patients received antibiotic therapy (4 × ceftriaxone 2 g/d i.v., 1 × doxycycline 300 mg/d p.o.). CONCLUSION: In approx. 1‰ of patients with previously undiagnosed or not sufficiently diagnosed cognitive decline or neuropathy, the diagnostic workup for active syphilis resulted in a course of antibiotic treatment.

Risk and impact of chronic cough in obese individuals from the general population.

BACKGROUND: Obese individuals may be at higher risk of chronic cough. We investigated the risk and impact of chronic cough in obese individuals from the general population. METHODS: We recorded chronic cough, body mass index (BMI) and other related clinical conditions in 44 554 adults from the Copenhagen General Population Study. Individuals with asthma and/or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were excluded (n=10 977). BMI was divided into: underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m2), obese (30.0-34.9 kg/m2) and severely obese (≥35.0 kg/m2). RESULTS: Among 33 577 adults from the general population, 27 829 (83%) were non-obese and 5748 (17%) were obese. Compared with individuals with normal weight, multivariable adjusted ORs for chronic cough risk were 1.4 (95% CI 1.2 to 1.6) in overweight, 1.9 (95% CI 1.7 to 2.2) in obese and 2.6 (95% CI 2.1 to 3.2) in severely obese individuals. Mediation analyses showed that chronic cough due to obesity was up to 23% mediated by gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Other mediators included low vegetable intake with 10% and occupational exposure with 8%. Among obese individuals, those with versus without chronic cough had worse accompanying respiratory symptoms, more often comorbidities including GERD and diabetes, greater healthcare utilisations, lower lung function and higher blood inflammation (all p<0.05). CONCLUSION: There is dose-response relationship between BMI and chronic cough, and chronic cough risk is twofold to threefold higher in obese individuals from the general population. This increased risk was partly mediated by GERD, low vegetable intake and occupational exposure, supporting that there may be benefit to gain by ameliorating some of these factors in obese individuals with chronic cough.

Azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine in hospitalised patients with confirmed COVID-19: a randomised double-blinded placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Combining the antibiotic azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine induces airway immunomodulatory effects, with the latter also having in vitro antiviral properties. This may improve outcomes in patients hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: Placebo-controlled double-blind randomised multicentre trial. Patients aged ≥18 years, admitted to hospital for ≤48 h (not intensive care) with a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reverse transcription PCR test were recruited. The intervention was 500 mg daily azithromycin for 3 days followed by 250 mg daily azithromycin for 12 days combined with 200 mg twice-daily hydroxychloroquine for all 15 days. The control group received placebo/placebo. The primary outcome was days alive and discharged from hospital within 14 days (DAOH14). RESULTS: After randomisation of 117 patients, at the first planned interim analysis, the data and safety monitoring board recommended stopping enrolment due to futility, based on pre-specified criteria. Consequently, the trial was terminated on 1 February 2021. 61 patients received the combined intervention and 56 patients received placebo. In the intervention group, patients had a median (interquartile range) 9.0 (3-11) DAOH14 versus 9.0 (7-10) DAOH14 in the placebo group (p=0.90). The primary safety outcome, death from all causes on day 30, occurred for one patient in the intervention group versus two patients receiving placebo (p=0.52), and readmittance or death within 30 days occurred for nine patients in the intervention group versus six patients receiving placebo (p=0.57). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine did not improve survival or length of hospitalisation in patients with COVID-19.

Spatial and temporal variation of routine parameters: pitfalls in the cerebrospinal fluid analysis in central nervous system infections.

The cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) space is convoluted. CSF flow oscillates with a net flow from the ventricles towards the cerebral and spinal subarachnoid space. This flow is influenced by heartbeats, breath, head or body movements as well as the activity of the ciliated epithelium of the plexus and ventricular ependyma. The shape of the CSF space and the CSF flow preclude rapid equilibration of cells, proteins and smaller compounds between the different parts of the compartment. In this review including reinterpretation of previously published data we illustrate, how anatomical and (patho)physiological conditions can influence routine CSF analysis. Equilibration of the components of the CSF depends on the size of the molecule or particle, e.g., lactate is distributed in the CSF more homogeneously than proteins or cells. The concentrations of blood-derived compounds usually increase from the ventricles to the lumbar CSF space, whereas the concentrations of brain-derived compounds usually decrease. Under special conditions, in particular when distribution is impaired, the rostro-caudal gradient of blood-derived compounds can be reversed. In the last century, several researchers attempted to define typical CSF findings for the diagnosis of several inflammatory diseases based on routine parameters. Because of the high spatial and temporal variations, findings considered typical of certain CNS diseases often are absent in parts of or even in the entire CSF compartment. In CNS infections, identification of the pathogen by culture, antigen detection or molecular methods is essential for diagnosis.

Small and long RNA transcriptome of whole human cerebrospinal fluid and serum as compared to their extracellular vesicle fractions reveal profound differences in expression patterns and impacts on biological processes.

BACKGROUND: Next generation sequencing (NGS) of human specimen is expected to improve prognosis and diagnosis of human diseases, but its sensitivity urges for well-defined sampling and standardized protocols in order to avoid error-prone conclusions. METHODS: In this study, large volumes of pooled human cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) were used to prepare RNA from human CSF-derived extracellular vesicles (EV) and from whole CSF, as well as from whole human serum and serum-derived EV. In all four fractions small and long coding and non-coding RNA expression was analyzed with NGS and transcriptome analyses. RESULTS: We show, that the source of sampling has a large impact on the acquired NGS pattern, and differences between small RNA fractions are more distinct than differences between long RNA fractions. The highest percentual discrepancy between small RNA fractions and the second highest difference between long RNA fractions is seen in the comparison of CSF-derived EV and whole CSF. Differences between miR (microRNA) and mRNA fractions of EV and the respective whole body fluid have the potential to affect different cellular and biological processes. I.e. a comparison of miR in both CSF fractions reveals that miR from EV target four transcripts sets involved in neurobiological processes, whereas eight others, also involved in neurobiological processes are targeted by miR found in whole CSF only. Likewise, three mRNAs sets derived from CSF-derived EV are associated with neurobiological and six sets with mitochondrial metabolism, whereas no such mRNA transcript sets are found in the whole CSF fraction. We show that trace amounts of blood-derived contaminations of CSF can bias RNA-based CSF diagnostics. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that the composition of small and long RNA differ significantly between whole body fluid and its respective EV fraction and thus can affect different cellular and molecular functions. Trace amounts of blood-derived contaminations of CSF can bias CSF analysis. This has to be considered for a meaningful RNA-based diagnostics. Our data imply a transport of EV from serum to CSF across the blood-brain barrier.

Plasma immunoglobulin E and risk of exacerbation and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A contemporary population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Novel biomarkers and targeted treatments are needed for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that high plasma immunoglobulin (Ig)E concentrations associate with increased risk of exacerbation and mortality in individuals with COPD in the general population. METHODS: Among 46,598 adults in the Copenhagen General Population Study, we included 1559 with COPD, defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70 and forced expiratory volume in 1 second < 80% predicted in individuals aged ≥ 40 years with chronic respiratory symptoms and smoking exposure ≥ 10 pack-years, and without asthma. We assessed risk of future severe exacerbation and all-cause mortality according to baseline plasma IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL, a clinical cutoff for omalizumab treatment in severe asthma. RESULTS: During 14 years of follow-up (median, 6.9; interquartile range, 3.4), we recorded 224 severe exacerbations and 434 deaths in 1559 individuals with COPD. Individuals with COPD with IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL vs those with < 76 IU/mL had a multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.43 (95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.89) for severe exacerbation and 1.30 (1.05-1.62) for all-cause mortality. Compared with individuals with IgE < 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils < 300 cells/µL, the multivariable adjusted HR for severe exacerbation was 1.12 (0.76-1.67) for those with IgE < 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils ≥ 300 cells/µL, 1.62 (1.17-2.24) for IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils < 300 cells/µL, and 1.06 (0.63-1.77) for those with IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils ≥ 300 cells/µL. Corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.27 (0.99-1.63), 1.47 (1.14-1.88), and 1.17 (0.83-1.64), respectively. CONCLUSION: High plasma IgE was associated with an increased risk of severe exacerbation and all-cause mortality in individuals with COPD in the general population, independent of blood eosinophils.

Trajectory of Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry: Natural History and Long-Term Prognosis.

Rationale: Natural history of preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm), often defined as FEV1/FVC ⩾lower limit of normal and FEV1 <80% of predicted value, is not well described. Objectives: To investigate the natural history and long-term prognosis of the following PRISm trajectories: persistent PRISm trajectory (individuals with PRISm both young and middle-aged), normal to PRISm trajectory (individuals developing PRISm from normal spirometry in young adulthood), and PRISm to normal trajectory (individuals recovering from PRISm in young adulthood by normalizing spirometry while middle-aged). Methods: We followed 1,160 individuals aged 20-40 years from the Copenhagen City Heart Study from 1976 to 1983 until 2001 to 2003 to determine their lung function trajectory; 72 had persistent PRISm trajectory, 76 had normal to PRISm trajectory, 155 had PRISm to normal trajectory, and 857 had normal trajectory. From 2001-2003 until 2018, we determined the risk of cardiopulmonary disease and death. Measurements and Main Results: We recorded 198 admissions for heart disease, 143 for pneumonia, and 64 for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease as well as 171 deaths. Compared with individuals with normal trajectory, hazard ratios for individuals with persistent PRISm trajectory were 1.55 (95% confidence interval, 0.91-2.65) for heart disease admission, 2.86 (1.70-4.83) for pneumonia admission, 6.57 (3.41-12.66) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admission, and 3.68 (2.38-5.68) for all-cause mortality. Corresponding hazard ratios for individuals with normal to PRISm trajectory were 1.91 (1.24-2.95), 2.74 (1.70-4.42), 7.61 (4.21-13.72), and 2.96 (1.94-4.51), respectively. Prognosis of individuals with PRISm to normal trajectory did not differ from those with normal trajectory. Conclusions: PRISm in middle-aged individuals is associated with increased risk of cardiopulmonary disease and all-cause mortality, but individuals who recover from PRISm during their adult life are no longer at increased risk.

Importance of Early COPD in Young Adults for Development of Clinical COPD: Findings from the Copenhagen General Population Study.

Rationale: Individuals who will develop chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) could be identified at an early age before clinical manifestations appear. Objectives: We investigated risk of clinical COPD 10 years later in young adults from the general population with and without early COPD with a focus on smoking exposure. Methods: We included 14,870 individuals aged 20-100 years from the Copenhagen General Population Study with spirometry 10 years apart. Early COPD was defined as baseline FEV1/FVC less than the lower limit of normal in individuals aged <50 years. Outcomes included clinical COPD at final examination 10 years later (chronic respiratory symptoms with FEV1/FVC <0.70 and FEV1 <80% predicted) and acute exacerbation hospitalizations during follow-up. Measurements and Main Results: Among 5,497 individuals aged <50 years at baseline with FEV1/FVC ≥0.70, 104 (3%) developed clinical COPD 10 years later; 4% of smokers with ≥10 pack-years had early COPD; 3% of smokers with <10 pack-years had early COPD; and 2% of never-smokers had early COPD. Among smokers with ≥10 pack-years, 24% developed clinical COPD in those with early COPD versus 4% in those without early COPD. Corresponding numbers were 10% and 1% in smokers with <10 pack-years and 3% and <1% in never-smokers, respectively. Among individuals with early COPD, odds ratios for clinical COPD 10 years later were 7.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.10-14.7) in smokers with ≥10 pack-years and 8.56 (95% CI, 4.92-14.9) in all smokers, whereas hazard ratios for acute exacerbation hospitalizations were 4.16 (95% CI, 1.66-10.5) and 4.33 (95% CI, 1.89-9.93), respectively. Results were validated in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. Conclusions: Depending on amount of smoking exposure, <24% of young adults in the general population with early COPD develop clinical COPD 10 years later. A smoking exposure threshold for early COPD should be reconsidered, as younger individuals are less represented in those with high smoking exposure.

Once-Daily Single-Inhaler Triple versus Dual Therapy in Patients with COPD.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of triple therapy for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with an inhaled glucocorticoid, a long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA), and a long-acting ß2-agonist (LABA), as compared with dual therapy (either inhaled glucocorticoid-LABA or LAMA-LABA), are uncertain. METHODS: In this randomized trial involving 10,355 patients with COPD, we compared 52 weeks of a once-daily combination of fluticasone furoate (an inhaled glucocorticoid) at a dose of 100 µg, umeclidinium (a LAMA) at a dose of 62.5 µg, and vilanterol (a LABA) at a dose of 25 µg (triple therapy) with fluticasone furoate-vilanterol (at doses of 100 µg and 25 µg, respectively) and umeclidinium-vilanterol (at doses of 62.5 µg and 25 µg, respectively). Each regimen was administered in a single Ellipta inhaler. The primary outcome was the annual rate of moderate or severe COPD exacerbations during treatment. RESULTS: The rate of moderate or severe exacerbations in the triple-therapy group was 0.91 per year, as compared with 1.07 per year in the fluticasone furoate-vilanterol group (rate ratio with triple therapy, 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 0.90; 15% difference; P<0.001) and 1.21 per year in the umeclidinium-vilanterol group (rate ratio with triple therapy, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.81; 25% difference; P<0.001). The annual rate of severe exacerbations resulting in hospitalization in the triple-therapy group was 0.13, as compared with 0.19 in the umeclidinium-vilanterol group (rate ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.78; 34% difference; P<0.001). There was a higher incidence of pneumonia in the inhaled-glucocorticoid groups than in the umeclidinium-vilanterol group, and the risk of clinician-diagnosed pneumonia was significantly higher with triple therapy than with umeclidinium-vilanterol, as assessed in a time-to-first-event analysis (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.92; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Triple therapy with fluticasone furoate, umeclidinium, and vilanterol resulted in a lower rate of moderate or severe COPD exacerbations than fluticasone furoate-vilanterol or umeclidinium-vilanterol in this population. Triple therapy also resulted in a lower rate of hospitalization due to COPD than umeclidinium-vilanterol. (Funded by GlaxoSmithKline; IMPACT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02164513 .).

Occupational inhalant exposures and longitudinal lung function decline.

BACKGROUND: Airborne exposures at the workplace are believed to be associated with lung function decline. However, longitudinal studies are few, and results are conflicting. METHODS: Participants from two general population-based cohorts, the Copenhagen City Heart Study and the Copenhagen General Population Study, with at least two lung function measurements were followed for a mean of 9 years (range 3-27 years). Occupational exposure was assigned to each year of follow-up between the two lung function measurements by a job exposure matrix. Associations between mean occupational exposure per year and mean annual decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) were investigated using linear mixed-effects models according to cohort and time period (1976-1983 and 2003-2015). We adjusted for sex, height, weight, education, baseline FEV1 and pack-years of smoking per year during follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 16 144 individuals were included (mean age 48 years and 43% male). Occupational exposure to mineral dusts, biological dusts, gases and fumes and a composite category was not associated with FEV1 decline in analyses with dichotomised exposure. In analyses with an indexed measure of exposure, gases and fumes were associated with an FEV1 change of -5.8 mL per unit per year (95% CI -10.8- -0.7 mL per unit per year) during 1976-1983, but not during 2001-2015. CONCLUSION: In two cohorts from the Danish general population, occupational exposure to dusts, gases and fumes was not associated with excess lung function decline in recent years but might have been of importance decades ago.

InforMing the PAthway of COPD Treatment (IMPACT) trial: fibrinogen levels predict risk of moderate or severe exacerbations.

BACKGROUND: Fibrinogen is the first qualified prognostic/predictive biomarker for exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The IMPACT trial investigated fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol (FF/UMEC/VI) triple therapy versus FF/VI and UMEC/VI in patients with symptomatic COPD at risk of exacerbations. This analysis used IMPACT trial data to examine the relationship between fibrinogen levels and exacerbation outcomes in patients with COPD. METHODS: 8094 patients with a fibrinogen assessment at Week 16 were included, baseline fibrinogen data were not measured. Post hoc analyses were performed by fibrinogen quartiles and by 3.5 g/L threshold. Endpoints included on-treatment exacerbations and adverse events of special interest (AESIs). RESULTS: Rates of moderate, moderate/severe, and severe exacerbations were higher in the highest versus lowest fibrinogen quartile (0.75, 0.92 and 0.15 vs 0.67, 0.79 and 0.10, respectively). The rate ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) for exacerbations in patients with fibrinogen levels ≥ 3.5 g/L versus those with fibrinogen levels < 3.5 g/L were 1.03 (0.95, 1.11) for moderate exacerbations, 1.08 (1.00, 1.15) for moderate/severe exacerbations, and 1.30 (1.10, 1.54) for severe exacerbations. There was an increased risk of moderate/severe exacerbation (hazard ratio [95% CI]: highest vs lowest quartile 1.16 [1.04, 1.228]; ≥ 3.5 g/L vs < 3.5 g/L: 1.09 [1.00, 1.16]) and severe exacerbation (1.35 [1.09, 1.69]; 1.27 [1.08, 1.47], respectively) with increasing fibrinogen level. Cardiovascular AESIs were highest in patients in the highest fibrinogen quartile. CONCLUSIONS: Rate and risk of exacerbations was higher in patients with higher fibrinogen levels. This supports the validity of fibrinogen as a predictive biomarker for COPD exacerbations, and highlights the potential use of fibrinogen as an enrichment strategy in trials examining exacerbation outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02164513.

Natural history and mechanisms of COPD.

The natural history of COPD is complex, and the disease is best understood as a syndrome resulting from numerous interacting factors throughout the life cycle with smoking being the strongest inciting feature. Unfortunately, diagnosis is often delayed with several longitudinal cohort studies shedding light on the long 'preclinical' period of COPD. It is now accepted that individuals presenting with different COPD phenotypes may experience varying natural history of their disease. This includes its inception, early stages and progression to established disease. Several scenarios regarding lung function course are possible, but it may conceptually be helpful to distinguish between individuals with normal maximally attained lung function in their early adulthood who thereafter experience faster than normal FEV1 decline, and those who may achieve a lower than normal maximally attained lung function. This may be the main mechanism behind COPD in the latter group, as the decline in FEV1 during their adult life may be normal or only slightly faster than normal. Regardless of the FEV1 trajectory, continuous smoking is strongly associated with disease progression, development of structural lung disease and poor prognosis. In developing countries, factors such as exposure to biomass and sequelae after tuberculosis may lead to a more airway-centred COPD phenotype than seen in smokers. Mechanistically, COPD is characterized by a combination of structural and inflammatory changes. It is unlikely that all patients share the same individual or combined mechanisms given the heterogeneity of resultant phenotypes. Lung explants, bronchial biopsies and other tissue studies have revealed important features. At the small airway level, progression of COPD is clinically imperceptible, and the pathological course of the disease is poorly described. Asthmatic features can further add confusion. However, the small airway epithelium is likely to represent a key focus of the disease, combining impaired subepithelial crosstalk and structural/inflammatory changes. Insufficient resolution of inflammatory processes may facilitate these changes. Pathologically, epithelial metaplasia, inversion of the goblet to ciliated cell ratio, enlargement of the submucosal glands and neutrophil and CD8-T-cell infiltration can be detected. Evidence of type 2 inflammation is gaining interest in the light of new therapeutic agents. Alarmin biology is a promising area that may permit control of inflammation and partial reversal of structural changes in COPD. Here, we review the latest work describing the development and progression of COPD with a focus on lung function trajectories, exacerbations and survival. We also review mechanisms focusing on epithelial changes associated with COPD and lack of resolution characterizing the underlying inflammatory processes.

Lung Function Trajectories Leading to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease as Predictors of Exacerbations and Mortality.

Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can develop not only through a lung function trajectory dominated by an accelerated decline of FEV1 from normal maximally attained FEV1 in early adulthood (normal maximally attained FEV1 trajectory) but also through a trajectory with FEV1 below normal in early adulthood (low maximally attained FEV1 trajectory).Objectives: To test whether the long-term risk of exacerbations and mortality differs between these two subtypes of COPD.Methods: The cohort included 1,170 young adults enrolled in the Copenhagen City Heart Study during the 1970s and 1980s. In 2001-2003, which served as the baseline for the present analyses, 79 participants had developed COPD through normal maximally attained FEV1 trajectory, 65 had developed COPD through low maximally attained FEV1 trajectory, and 1,026 did not have COPD.Measurements and Main Results: From 2001 until 2018, we observed 139 severe exacerbations of COPD and 215 deaths, of which 55 were due to nonmalignant respiratory disease. In Cox models, there was no difference with regard to risk of severe exacerbations between the two trajectories, but individuals with normal maximally attained FEV1 had an increased risk of nonmalignant respiratory disease mortality (using inverse probability of censoring weighting with adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 6.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.09-18.37; P = 0.001) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.14-3.26; P = 0.01) compared with individuals with low maximally attained FEV1.Conclusions: COPD developed through normal maximally attained FEV1 trajectory is associated with an increased risk of respiratory and all-cause mortality compared with COPD developed through low maximally attained FEV1 trajectory.

Prevalence, Characteristics, and Prognosis of Early Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. The Copenhagen General Population Study.

Rationale: Identification of younger adults at high risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) could lead to implementation of preventive measures before disease onset and halt progression.Objectives: To investigate the prevalence, characteristics, and prognosis of individuals with early COPD in the general population.Methods: We investigated 105,630 randomly chosen adults from a Danish contemporary population-based cohort. Early COPD was defined as FEV1/FVC less than the lower limit of normal in individuals under 50 years of age with 10 pack-years or greater of tobacco consumption.Measurements and Main Results: Among 8,064 individuals under 50 years of age with 10 pack-years or greater of tobacco consumption, 1,175 (15%) had early COPD, of whom 58% were current smokers. Individuals with early COPD more often had chronic respiratory symptoms, severe lung function impairment, asthma, and a history with bronchitis/pneumonia. During the 14.4-year follow-up, we observed 117 acute hospitalizations with obstructive lung disease, 227 acute hospitalizations with pneumonia, and 185 deaths among the 8,064 younger adults. Compared with individuals without COPD, those with early COPD had multivariable adjusted hazard ratios of 6.42 (95% confidence interval, 3.39-12.2) for acute obstructive lung disease hospitalizations, 2.03 (1.43-2.88) for acute pneumonia hospitalizations, and 1.79 (1.28-2.52) for all-cause mortality.Conclusions: Among individuals under 50 years of age and 10 pack-years or greater of tobacco consumption from the general population, 15% fulfill criteria of early COPD. Individuals with early COPD more often have chronic respiratory symptoms and severe lung function impairment, and an increased risk of acute respiratory hospitalizations and early death.

The Effect of Inhaled Corticosteroid Withdrawal and Baseline Inhaled Treatment on Exacerbations in the IMPACT Study. A Randomized, Double-Blind, Multicenter Clinical Trial.

Rationale: In the IMPACT (Informing the Pathway of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Treatment) trial, fluticasone furoate (FF)/umeclidinium (UMEC)/vilanterol (VI) significantly reduced exacerbations compared with FF/VI or UMEC/VI in patients with symptomatic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and a history of exacerbations.Objectives: To understand whether inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) withdrawal affected IMPACT results, given direct transition from prior maintenance medication to study medication at randomization.Methods: Exacerbations and change from baseline in trough FEV1 and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire results were analyzed by prior ICS use. Exacerbations were also analyzed while excluding data from the first 30 days.Measurements and Main Results: FF/UMEC/VI significantly reduced the annual moderate/severe exacerbation rate compared with UMEC/VI in prior ICS users (29% reduction; P < 0.001), but only a numerical reduction was seen among prior ICS nonusers (12% reduction; P = 0.115). To minimize impact from ICS withdrawal, in an analysis excluding the first 30 days, FF/UMEC/VI continued to significantly reduce the annual on-treatment moderate/severe exacerbation rate (19%; P < 0.001) compared with UMEC/VI. The benefit of FF/UMEC/VI compared with UMEC/VI was seen for severe exacerbation rates, regardless of prior ICS use (prior ICS users, 35% reduction; P < 0.001; non-ICS users, 35% reduction; P = 0.018), and overall when excluding the first 30 days (29%; P < 0.001). Improvements from baseline with FF/UMEC/VI compared with UMEC/VI were also maintained throughout the study for both trough FEV1 and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire, regardless of prior ICS use.Conclusions: These data support the important treatment effects of FF/UMEC/VI combination therapy on exacerbation reduction, lung function, and quality of life that do not appear to be related to abrupt ICS withdrawal.Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02164513).