The clinical and financial burden of nonhepatocellular carcinoma focal lesions detected during the surveillance of patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HCC surveillance is challenged by the detection of hepatic focal lesions (HFLs) of other types. This study aimed to describe the incidence, characteristics, outcomes, and costs of non-HCC HFL detected during surveillance. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed nonstandardized workup performed in French patients included in HCC surveillance programs recruited in 57 French tertiary centers (ANRS CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts, HCC 2000 trial). The overall cost of workup was evaluated, with an estimation of an average cost per patient for the entire population and per lesion detected. A total of 3295 patients were followed up for 59.8 months, 391 (11.9%) patients developed HCCs (5-year incidence: 12.1%), and 633 (19.2%) developed non-HCC HFLs (5-year incidence: 21.8%). Characterization of non-HCC HFL required a median additional of 0.7 exams per year. A total of 11.8% of non-HCC HFLs were not confirmed on recall procedures, and 19.6% of non-HCC HFLs remained undetermined. A definite diagnosis of benign liver lesions was made in 65.1%, and malignant tumors were diagnosed in 3.5%. The survival of patients with benign or undetermined non-HCC HFL was similar to that of patients who never developed any HFL (5-year survival 92% vs. 88%, p = 0.07). The average cost of the diagnostic workup was 1087€ for non-HCC HFL and €1572 for HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Non-HCC HFLs are frequently detected in patients with cirrhosis, and do not impact prognosis, but trigger substantial costs. This burden must be considered in cost-effectiveness analyses of future personalized surveillance strategies.

When is the use of intravenous immunoglobulin appropriate in immune thrombocytopaenia?

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) is the gold standard treatment for severe cases of immune thrombocytopaenia (ITP). However, its cost, limited duration of efficacy and market supply tension have led French guidelines to reserve IVIg for ITP patients with formal contra-indications to corticosteroids, with French bleeding score ('Khellaf score') > 8, and corticosteroid-resistant patients either with Khellaf score ≤ 8 or in preparation for an invasive procedure or during pregnancy. We studied the prescribing practices of IVIg for ITP in real-life conditions and assessed their compliance with French guidelines. A monocentric retrospective study was conducted between 2016 and 2020 among 114 patients hospitalized in our unit, for a total of 208 IVIg treatments. In 37% of cases, the Khellaf score was >8, validating IVIg prescription according to French guidelines. In the remaining cases, reasons noted for use of IVIg included corticosteroid resistance (33.7%), preparation for an invasive procedure (8.5%), context of pregnancy (6.6%) and contra-indication to corticosteroids (3.3%). After analysis, IVIg prescription was considered valid according to current French guidelines in 84.4% of cases. Non-compliant IVIg prescription was more frequent in younger patients (p = 0.027). Concomitant anti-coagulation was also noted as an argument for IVIg prescription outside of the current French guidelines.

Prediction of moderate and severe toxicities of chemotherapy in older patients with cancer: a propensity weighted analysis of ELCAPA cohort.

BACKGROUND: Currently available predictive models for chemotherapy-related toxicity are not sufficiently discriminative in older patients with cancer and do not consider moderate toxicities. The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with moderate and severe chemotherapy toxicities in older patients with cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients aged 70+ recruited in the prospective ELCAPA cohort were analyzed. A total of 837 patients with data on toxicities had received chemotherapy without other systemic treatment and were included between 2015 and 2022. To adjust for any imbalances in the distribution of covariates between patients receiving single-agent chemotherapy vs combination chemotherapy, we applied overlap weighting (a propensity-score-based technique). We used multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) age was 81 (77-84). Forty-one percent experienced moderate toxicity, and 33% experienced severe toxicity. Hematologic toxicities accounted for 53% of severe toxicities and 66% of moderate toxicities. Age <80 years, cancer type, metastatic status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) >1, no cognitive impairment were associated with combination chemotherapy decision. In a univariate analysis with overlap weighting, no factors were associated with moderate toxicity. Hemoglobin < 0 g/dL and a CIRS-G score >12 were associated with severe toxicity. In a multivariate analysis, only hemoglobin < 10 g/dL was independently associated with severe toxicity, adjusted OR 2.96 (95% CI, 1.20-7.29). CONCLUSION: By addressing indication bias for combination chemotherapy decision, only anemia and not cancer type, combination chemotherapy was predicting for severe chemotherapy-related toxicity in older patients with cancer. We did not find any predictors of moderate chemotherapy-related toxicity.

High Diagnostic Value of Transient Elastography for Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis Delta.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver biopsy remains the gold standard for fibrosis staging in patients with chronic hepatitis delta (CHD). Here, we comparatively evaluated the performance of transient elastography (TE) and biomarkers for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in patients with CHD. METHODS: A total of 230 HDV-infected RNA-positive patients from various centers who underwent liver biopsy and liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) using Fibroscan, within a period of 6 months maximum, were investigated retrospectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Youden index were used to establish cutoff values of LSM. TE was compared with other noninvasive tests: aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, Fibrosis-4, and Delta-4 fibrosis scores. RESULTS: Histologic fibrosis stage distribution was: 20.4% for F0-F1; 27.0% for F2; 18.7% for F3; and 33.9% for F4. TE demonstrated good diagnostic performance for detecting cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis with an Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 and 0.86, which were significantly higher than those obtained with the other noninvasive tests (P = .004 and P < .001). With a cutoff value of >12 kPa for cirrhosis, the sensitivity was 70.5%, specificity was 86.2%, positive predictive value was 72.4%, negative predictive value was 85.1%, and accuracy was 80.9%. Using 10.4 kPa as the cutoff value for F3, the sensitivity was 70.2%, specificity was 83.5%, positive predictive value was 82.5%, negative predictive value was 71.7%, and accuracy was 76.5%. In 89% of patients with LSM ≤6.2 kPa, liver biopsy disclosed only absent or minimal fibrosis. CONCLUSION: TE demonstrated good diagnostic performance for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with CHD. Advanced fibrosis is highly probable for LSM values ≥10 kPa. LSM values <6 kPa almost totally exclude significant fibrosis. Between 6 and 10 kPa, liver biopsy should be discussed.

Hepatitis D virus infection markedly increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with viral B cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The specific causative role of HDV infection in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains debated and was not specifically demonstrated in cirrhotic patients. Here we compared HCC incidence in HBV-HDV co-infected and HBV mono-infected cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A total of 142 HBV-HDV and 271 HBV-infected cirrhotic patients from the French ANRSCO12 CirVir and DeltaVir cohorts, with histologically proven cirrhosis and no history of decompensation, were included in the study. RESULTS: HBV-HDV patients were younger than HBV patients (37.2 vs. 53.8 years), they were more often immigrants from sub-Saharan Africa, and displayed less co-morbidities and more altered liver tests. After adjustment for age, cumulative incidences of HCC in co-infected and mono-infected patients at 1, 3 and 5 years were 5.2%, 11.8% and 20.2% vs. 1.1%, 2.5% and 4.4%, respectively (P< .001). In multivariate analysis, HDV infection was an independent factor associated with the development of HCC (HR 2.94, 95% CI 1.19-7.25; P= .019). Other independent factors were age (HR 1.08, 1.05-1.11; P< .001), overweight (HR 0.45, 0.22-0.93; P= .031), smoking (HR 2.26, 1.23-4.16; P= .009), increased GGT (HR 2.73, 1.24-6.00; P= .013), total bilirubin >17 µmol/L (HR 2.68, 1.33-5.42; P= .006) and platelet count <150.000/mm3 (HR 3.11, 1.51-6.41; P= .002). HDV co-infection was not an independent factor of liver decompensation, transplantation or death. CONCLUSION: The incidence of HCC appears significantly higher in HBV-HDV than in HBV-infected cirrhotic patients. HDV infection emerges as an independent risk factor for HCC, indicating that in cirrhotic patients, HDV plays a causative role for HCC independently of HBV.

Integrating genetic variants into clinical models for hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Identifying individuals at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance strategies. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the ability of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to refine HCC risk stratification. METHODS: Six SNPs in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, HSD17B13, APOE, and MBOAT7 affecting lipid turnover and one variant involved in the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway (WNT3A-WNT9A rs708113) were assessed in patients with alcohol-related and/or HCV-cured cirrhosis included in HCC surveillance programmes (prospective CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts). Their prognostic value for HCC occurrence was assessed using Fine-Gray models combined into a 7-SNP genetic risk score (GRS). The predictive ability of two clinical scores (a routine non-genetic model determined by multivariate analysis and the external aMAP score) with/without the GRS was evaluated by C-indices. The standardised net benefit was derived from decision curves. RESULTS: Among 1,145 patients, 86 (7.5%) developed HCC after 43.7 months. PNPLA3 and WNT3A-WNT9A variants were independently associated with HCC occurrence. The GRS stratified the population into three groups with progressively increased 5-year HCC incidence (Group 1 [n = 627, 5.4%], Group 2 [n = 276, 10.7%], and Group 3 [n = 242, 15.3%]; p <0.001). The multivariate model identified age, male sex, diabetes, platelet count, gamma-glutamyltransferase levels, albuminemia and the GRS as independent risk factors. The clinical model performance for 5-year HCC prediction was similar to that of the aMAP score (C-Index 0.769). The addition of the GRS to both scores modestly improved their performance (C-Indices of 0.786 and 0.783, respectively). This finding was confirmed by decision curve analyses showing only fair clinical net benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis can be stratified into HCC risk classes by variants affecting lipid turnover and the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway. The incorporation of this genetic information modestly improves the performance of clinical scores. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The identification of patients at higher risk of developing liver cancer is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance. Risk assessment can be achieved by combining several clinical and biological parameters used in routine practice. The addition of patients' genetic characteristics can modestly improve this prediction and will ultimately pave the way for precision medicine in patients eligible for HCC surveillance, allowing physicians to trigger personalised screening strategies.

An educational programme in neonatal intensive care units (SEPREVEN): a stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients in neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) are at high risk of adverse events. The effects of medical and paramedical education programmes to reduce these have not yet been assessed. METHODS: In this multicentre, stepped-wedge, cluster-randomised controlled trial done in France, we randomly assigned 12 NICUs to three clusters of four units. Eligible neonates were inpatients in a participating unit for at least 2 days, with a postmenstrual age of 42 weeks or less on admission. Each cluster followed a 4-month multifaceted programme including education about root-cause analysis and care bundles. The primary outcome was the rate of adverse events per 1000 patient-days, measured with a retrospective trigger-tool based chart review masked to allocation of randomly selected files. Analyses used mixed-effects Poisson modelling that adjusted for time. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02598609. FINDINGS: Between Nov 23, 2015, and Nov 2, 2017, event rates were analysed for 3454 patients of these 12 NICUs for 65 830 patient-days. The event rate per 1000 patient-days reduced significantly from the control to the intervention period (33·9 vs 22·6; incidence rate ratio 0·67; 95% CI 0·50-0·88; p=0·0048). INTERPRETATION: A multiprofessional safety-promoting programme in NICUs reduced the rate of adverse events and severe and preventable adverse events in highly vulnerable patients. This programme could significantly improve care offered to critically ill neonates. FUNDING: Solidarity and Health Ministry, France.

Respiratory recovery trajectories after severe-to-critical COVID-19: a 1-year prospective multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Survivors of severe-to-critical coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may have functional impairment, radiological sequelae and persistent symptoms requiring prolonged follow-up. This pragmatic study aimed to describe their clinical follow-up and determine their respiratory recovery trajectories, and the factors that could influence them and their health-related quality of life. METHODS: Adults hospitalised for severe-to-critical COVID-19 were evaluated at 3 months and up to 12 months post-hospital discharge in this prospective, multicentre, cohort study. RESULTS: Among 485 enrolled participants, 293 (60%) were reassessed at 6 months and 163 (35%) at 12 months; 89 (51%) and 47 (27%) of the 173 participants initially managed with standard oxygen were reassessed at 6 and 12 months, respectively. At 3 months, 34%, 70% and 56% of the participants had a restrictive lung defect, impaired diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (D LCO) and significant radiological sequelae, respectively. During extended follow-up, both D LCO and forced vital capacity percentage predicted increased by means of +4 points at 6 months and +6 points at 12 months. Sex, body mass index, chronic respiratory disease, immunosuppression, pneumonia extent or corticosteroid use during acute COVID-19 and prolonged invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) were associated with D LCO at 3 months, but not its trajectory thereafter. Among 475 (98%) patients with at least one chest computed tomography scan during follow-up, 196 (41%) had significant sequelae on their last images. CONCLUSIONS: Although pulmonary function and radiological abnormalities improved up to 1 year post-acute COVID-19, high percentages of severe-to-critical disease survivors, including a notable proportion of those managed with standard oxygen, had significant lung sequelae and residual symptoms justifying prolonged follow-up.

Comparison of Fenestrated Stentgrafts and Open Repair for Juxtarenal Aortic Aneurysms Using a Propensity Score Matching.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to compare postoperative morbi-mortality and medium-term follow-up of fenestrated stent grafting and open repair (OR) for patients with juxtarenal aortic aneurysms (JRAAs). METHODS: All consecutive patients who underwent custom-made fenestrated endovascular aortic repair (FEVAR) or OR for complex abdominal aortic aneurysm between 2005 and 2017 in 2 tertiary centers were scrutinized. Patients with JRAA constituted the study group. Suprarenal and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms were excluded. The groups were made comparable through the use of a propensity score matching. RESULTS: 277 patients with JRAAs were included, 102 (36.8%) in the FEVAR group and 175 (63.2%) in the OR group, respectively. After propensity score matching, 54 FEVAR patients (52.9%) and 103 OR patients (58.9%) were included for analysis. In-hospital mortality rates were 1.9% (n = 1) in the FEVAR group versus 6.9% (n = 7) in the OR group (P = 0.483). Postoperative complications were less common in the FEVAR group (14.8% vs. 30.7%; P = 0.033). Mean follow-up was 42.1 months in the FEVAR group and 40 months in the OR group. Overall mortality rates at 12 and 36 months were 11.5% and 24.5% in the FEVAR group versus 9.1 % (P = 0.691) and 11.6% (P = 0.067) in the OR group. Late reinterventions were more frequent in the FEVAR group (11.3% vs. 2.9%; P = 0.047). However, freedom from reintervention rates were not significantly different at 12 months (FEVAR: 86% vs. OR: 90%; P = 0.560) and 36 months (FEVAR: 86% vs. OR: 88.4%, P = 0.690). In the FEVAR group, persistent endoleak during follow-up was identified in 11.3% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, there was no statistical difference in terms of mortality in-hospital at 12 or 36 months between FEVAR and OR groups for JRAA. FEVAR for JRAA was associated with a significant reduction of overall postoperative major complications compared with OR. There were significantly more late reinterventions in the FEVAR group.

Paradoxical reactions and biologic agents: a French cohort study of 9303 patients.

BACKGROUND: Paradoxical reactions (PRs) are defined as the occurrence during biologic therapy of a pathological condition that usually responds to these drugs. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence of PRs and identify risk factors. METHODS: Multicentre study of the database for the Greater Paris University Hospitals, including biologic-naive patients receiving anti-tumour necrosis factor-α, anti-interleukin-12/23, anti-interleukin-17 or anti-α4ß7-integrin agents for psoriasis, inflammatory rheumatism or inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We used natural language processing algorithms to extract data. A cohort and a case-control study nested in the cohort with controls selected by incidence density sampling was used to identify risk factors. RESULTS: Most of the 9303 included patients (median age 43·0, 53·8% women) presented an IBD (3773, 40·6%) or a chronic inflammatory rheumatic disease (3708, 39·9%), and 8489 (91·3%) received anti-TNF-α agents. A total of 297 (3·2%) had a PR. The global incidence rate was 7·6 per 1000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 6·8-8·5]. The likelihood of PR was associated with IBD [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1·9, 95% CI 1·1-3·2, P = 0·021] and a combination of at least two inflammatory diseases (aOR 6·1, 95% CI 3·6-10·6, P < 0·001) and was reduced with conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs) and corticosteroids (aOR 0·6, 95% CI 0·4-0·8, P = 0·002; and OR 0·4, 95% CI 0·2-0·6, P = 0·002, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The likelihood of PRs was associated with IBD or a combination of a least two inflammatory diseases. More studies are needed to assess the benefit of systematically adding csDMARDs for such high-risk patients. What is already known about this topic? Most published studies about paradoxical reactions concern paradoxical psoriasis in patients receiving anti-tumour necrosis factor-α agents. Few data are available for other paradoxical reactions and the most recent biologics. What does this study add? Risk of paradoxical reactions was increased with inflammatory bowel disease and a combination of at least two inflammatory diseases. Risk of paradoxical reactions was reduced with conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs or corticosteroid therapy, which could be added for high-risk patients.

Multichamber Dysfunction in Children and Adolescents With Severe Obesity: A Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging Myocardial Strain Study.

BACKGROUND: In severe obesity, left ventricular (LV) and right ventricular (RV) remodeling and contractile dysfunction have been documented, but less is known regarding left atrial (LA) dysfunction and its association with LV/RV remodeling, especially in children. PURPOSE: To assess the effects of severe childhood obesity on cardiac function by using multichamber strain analysis with MRI. STUDY TYPE: Prospective. SUBJECTS: Forty-five children aged 7-18 years (including 20 with severe obesity, defined as a body mass index values above the 99th percentile). FIELD STRENGTH: 5 T. SEQUENCE: Steady-state-free-precession (SSFP) images in short-axis views and longitudinal two- and four-chamber views. ASSESSMENT: Cardiac strain measurements were derived from standard SSFP cine images by using a dedicated MR imaging feature tracking software. Inter- and intra-rater reliability were evaluated. STATISTICAL TESTS: Independent sample t test, Spearman's correlation coefficient, principal component analysis, Bland-Altman analysis, and intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC). A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: As compared to children without obesity, those with obesity showed significantly reduced LA reservoir function (22.2% ± 6.4% vs. 33.8% ± 9.0%) and contractile function (5.4% ± 3.2% vs. 13.3% ± 8.0%) as well as significantly decreased absolute values for LA longitudinal strain in reservoir and contraction phases and LA radial motion fraction in reservoir and contraction phases. Children with severe obesity showed significantly reduced absolute RV radial motion fraction (-10.6% ± 2.9% vs. -18.2% ± 2.9%) and circumferential strain (-10.6% ± 2.9% vs. -16% ± 2.5%) as well as higher LV mass index (28.7% ± 5.1% vs. 21.7 ± 4.6 g/m2 ) along with significantly reduced LV ejection fraction (56.4% ± 3.9% vs. 60% ± 4.1%), LV radial strain (56% ± 6% vs. 61.8% ± 11.3%), and longitudinal strain (-17.8% ± 1.8% vs. -20.3% ± 3.2%). Reliability was good to excellent, with ICC ranging from 79.1% to 97.7%. DATA CONCLUSION: MR feature-tracking strain analysis revealed multichamber dysfunction in severely obese children with impaired LA reservoir and atrial contraction phases, which suggest an early loss in the compensatory ability of atrial contraction with severe obesity. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 3.

Origin, HDV genotype and persistent viremia determine outcome and treatment response in patients with chronic hepatitis delta.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: HDV infection causes severe chronic liver disease in individuals infected with HBV. However, the factors associated with poor prognosis are largely unknown. Thus, we aimed to identify prognostic factors in patients with HDV infection. METHODS: The French National Reference Centre for HDV performed a nationwide retrospective study on 1,112 HDV-infected patients, collecting epidemiological, clinical, virological and histological data from the initial referral to the last recorded follow-up. RESULTS: The median age of our cohort was 36.5 (29.9-43.2) years and 68.6% of our cohort were male. Most patients whose birthplace was known were immigrants from sub-Saharan Africa (52.5%), southern and eastern Europe (21.3%), northern Africa and the Middle East (6.2%), Asia (5.9%) and South America (0.3%). Only 150 patients (13.8%) were French native. HDV load was positive in 659 of 748 tested patients (88.1%). HDV-1 was predominant (75.9%), followed by sub-Saharan genotypes: HDV-5 (17.6%), HDV-7 (2.9%), HDV-6 (1.8%) and HDV-8 (1.6%). At referral, 312 patients (28.2%) had cirrhosis, half having experienced at least 1 episode of hepatic decompensation. Cirrhosis was significantly less frequent in African than in European patients regardless of HDV genotype. At the end of follow-up (median 3.0 [0.8-7.2] years), 48.8% of the patients had developed cirrhosis, 24.2% had ≥1 episode(s) of decompensation and 9.2% had hepatocellular carcinoma. European HDV-1 and African HDV-5 patients were more at risk of developing cirrhosis. Persistent replicative HDV infection was associated with decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. African patients displayed better response to interferon therapy than non-African patients (46.4% vs. 29.1%, p <0.001). HDV viral load at baseline was significantly lower in responders than in non-responders. CONCLUSION: Place of birth, HDV genotype and persistent viremia constitute the main determinants of liver involvement and response to treatment in chronic HDV-infected patients. LAY SUMMARY: Chronic liver infection by hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is the most severe form of chronic viral hepatitis. Despite the fact that at least 15-20 million people are chronically infected by HDV worldwide, factors determining the severity of liver involvement are largely unknown. By investigating a large cohort of 1,112 HDV-infected patients followed-up in France, but coming from different areas of the world, we were able to determine that HDV genotype, place of birth (reflecting both viral and host-related factors) and persistent viremia constitute the main determinants of liver involvement and response to treatment.

Personalized surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis - using machine learning adapted to HCV status.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Refining hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance programs requires improved individual risk prediction. Thus, we aimed to develop algorithms based on machine learning approaches to predict the risk of HCC more accurately in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, according to their virological status. METHODS: Patients with compensated biopsy-proven HCV-related cirrhosis from the French ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort were included in a semi-annual HCC surveillance program. Three prognostic models for HCC occurrence were built, using (i) Fine-Gray regression as a benchmark, (ii) single decision tree (DT), and (iii) random survival forest for competing risks survival (RSF). Model performance was evaluated from C-indexes validated externally in the ANRS CO22 Hepather cohort (n = 668 enrolled between 08/2012-01/2014). RESULTS: Out of 836 patients analyzed, 156 (19%) developed HCC and 434 (52%) achieved sustained virological response (SVR) (median follow-up 63 months). Fine-Gray regression models identified 6 independent predictors of HCC occurrence in patients before SVR (past excessive alcohol intake, genotype 1, elevated AFP and GGT, low platelet count and albuminemia) and 3 in patients after SVR (elevated AST, low platelet count and shorter prothrombin time). DT analysis confirmed these associations but revealed more complex interactions, yielding 8 patient groups with varying cancer risks and predictors depending on SVR achievement. On RSF analysis, the most important predictors of HCC varied by SVR status (non-SVR: platelet count, GGT, AFP and albuminemia; SVR: prothrombin time, ALT, age and platelet count). Externally validated C-indexes before/after SVR were 0.64/0.64 [Fine-Gray], 0.60/62 [DT] and 0.71/0.70 [RSF]. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for hepatocarcinogenesis differ according to SVR status. Machine learning algorithms can refine HCC risk assessment by revealing complex interactions between cancer predictors. Such approaches could be used to develop more cost-effective tailored surveillance programs. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with HCV-related cirrhosis must be included in liver cancer surveillance programs, which rely on ultrasound examination every 6 months. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening is hampered by sensitivity issues, leading to late cancer diagnoses in a substantial number of patients. Refining surveillance periodicity and modality using more sophisticated imaging techniques such as MRI may only be cost-effective in patients with the highest HCC incidence. Herein, we demonstrate how machine learning algorithms (i.e. data-driven mathematical models to make predictions or decisions), can refine individualized risk prediction.

Validation of Baveno VI Criteria for Screening and Surveillance of Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis and a Sustained Response to Antiviral Therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Management of patients with cirrhosis includes endoscopic screening and surveillance to detect esophageal varices (EV) and prevent bleeding. However, the Baveno VI guidelines recommend avoiding endoscopies for patients with liver stiffness measurements below 20 kPa and platelet counts above 150,000 (favorable Baveno VI status) and endoscopic assessment of patients with higher levels of liver stiffness and platelet counts (unfavorable Baveno VI status). We aimed to validate the Baveno VI guidelines, evaluating outcomes of patients in the ANRS-CO12 CirVir cohort with compensated cirrhosis associated with hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, with or without a sustained response to antiviral therapy. METHODS: We performed an ancillary study using data from 891 patients in the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort, treated at 35 centers in France, with HCV or HBV infection and biopsy-proven cirrhosis, Child-Pugh A scores, no previous complications, and no hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent an endoscopic procedure and had interpretable liver stiffness measurements and platelet counts. Progression of portal hypertension (PHT) was defined as the onset of varices needing treatment (VNT) or PHT-related bleeding. An sustained response to antiviral therapy was defined as undetectable level of HCV RNA by polymerase chain reaction assay (<50 IU/mL) 12 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR) or an undetectable level of HBV DNA. The primary aims were to validate the Baveno VI guidelines for screening and surveillance of EV in patients with compensated cirrhosis and to study the effects of an SVR on the progression of PHT. RESULTS: A total of 200 patients achieved an SVR (22.4%) (94 patients with HCV infection, 98 patients with HBV infection, and 8 patients with both); 80 of these patients had favorable Baveno VI status and none had VNT. Progression of PHT was studied in 548 patients; during a follow-up period of 61.2 months (interquartile range, 39.5-80.6 months), 105 of these patients (19.1%) had progression of PHT. Lack of an SVR and grade 1 EV were independently associated with progression of PHT. At the time of PHT progression, all patients had unfavorable Baveno VI status. Achieving favorable Baveno VI status after an SVR was associated with the absence of PHT progression. Favorable Baveno VI status and SVR were independently associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of data from a large cohort of patients with HBV- or HCV-associated cirrhosis in France, we validated the Baveno VI guidelines on screening and surveillance of PHT, even for patients who achieved a sustained response to antiviral therapy.

Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) Co-infected Patients With Cirrhosis Are No Longer at Higher Risk for Hepatocellular Carcinoma or End-Stage Liver Disease as Compared to HCV Mono-infected Patients.

It is widely accepted that human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is a risk factor for increased severity of hepatitis C virus (HCV) liver disease. However, owing to better efficacy and safety of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), and increased access to HCV therapy, whether this condition remains true is still unknown. Overall, 1,253 HCV mono-infected patients and 175 HIV/HCV co-infected patients with cirrhosis, included in two prospective French national cohorts (ANRS CO12 CirVir and CO13 HEPAVIH), were studied. Cirrhosis was compensated (Child-Pugh A), without past history of complication, and assessed on liver biopsy. Incidences of liver decompensation (LD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and death according to HIV status were calculated by a Fine-Gray model adjusted for age. Propensity score matching was also performed to minimize confounding by baseline characteristics. At baseline, HIV/HCV patients were younger (47.5 vs. 56.0 years; P < 0.001), more frequently males (77.1% vs. 62.3%; P < 0.001), and had at baseline and at end of follow-up similar rates of HCV eradication than HCV mono-infected patients. A total of 80.4% of HIV/HCV patients had an undetectable HIV viral load. After adjustment for age, 5-year cumulative incidences of HCC and decompensation were similar in HIV/HCV and HCV patients (8.5% vs. 13.2%, P = 0.12 and 12.8% vs. 15.6%, P = 0.40, respectively). Overall mortality adjusted for age was higher in HIV/HCV co-infected patients (subhazard ratio [SHR] = 1.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-3.06; P = 0.011). Factors associated with LD and HCC were age, absence of sustained virological response, and severity of cirrhosis, but not HIV status. Using a propensity score matching 95 patients of each group according to baseline features, similar results were observed. Conclusion: In HCV-infected patients with cirrhosis, HIV co-infection was no longer associated with higher risks of HCC and hepatic decompensation. Increased mortality, however, persisted, attributed to extrahepatic conditions.

Long-term Quality of Life in Adult Patients Surviving Purpura Fulminans: An Exposed-Unexposed Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Long-term health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) of patients surviving the acute phase of purpura fulminans (PF) has not been evaluated. METHODS: This was a French multicenter exposed-unexposed cohort study enrolling patients admitted in 55 intensive care units (ICUs) for PF from 2010 to 2016. Adult patients surviving the acute phase of PF (exposed group) were matched 1:1 for age, sex, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II with septic shock survivors (unexposed group). HR-QOL was assessed during a phone interview using the 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) questionnaire, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression (HAD) scale, the Impact of Event Scale-Revised (IES-R), and the activity of daily living (ADL) and instrumental ADL (IADL) scales. The primary outcome measure was the physical component summary (PCS) of the SF-36 questionnaire. RESULTS: Thirty-seven survivors of PF and 37 of septic shock were phone-interviewed at 55 (interquartile range [IQR], 35-83) months and 44 (IQR, 35-72) months, respectively, of ICU discharge (P = .23). The PCS of the SF-36 was not significantly different between exposed and unexposed patients (median, 47 [IQR, 36-53] vs 54 [IQR, 36-57]; P = .18). There was also no significant difference between groups regarding the mental component summary of the SF-36, and the HAD, IES-R, ADL and IADL scales. Among the 37 exposed patients, those who required limb amputation (n = 12/37 [32%]) exhibited lower PCS (34 [IQR, 24-38] vs 52 [IQR, 42-56]; P = .001) and IADL scores (7 [IQR, 4-8] vs 8 [IQR, 7-8]; P = .021) compared with nonamputated patients. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term HR-QOL does not differ between patients surviving PF and those surviving septic shock unrelated to PF. Amputated patients have an impaired physical HR-QOL but a preserved mental health. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT03216577.

Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Direct Antiviral Therapy for HCV in Patients With Cirrhosis Included in Surveillance Programs.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Retrospective studies have found an unexpectedly high incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated cirrhosis who received direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents. We analyzed data from the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort to compare the incidence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis who received DAA therapy vs patients treated with interferon (IFN). METHODS: Data were collected from 1270 patients with compensated biopsy-proven HCV-associated cirrhosis recruited from 2006 through 2012 at 35 centers in France. For descriptive purpose, patients were classified as follows: patients who received DAA treatment (DAA group, n = 336), patients who achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) following an IFN-based regimen (SVR-IFN group, n = 495), or patients who never received DAA treatment and never had an SVR following IFN therapy (non-SVR group, n = 439). The patients were included in HCC surveillance programs based on ultrasound examination every 6 months, and clinical and biological data were recorded. To account for confounding by indication due to differences in patient characteristics at treatment initiation, we constructed a time-dependent Cox regression model weighted by the inverse probability of treatment and censoring (IPTCW) to assess the treatment effects of DAA on time until HCC. RESULTS: Compared with patients in the SVR-IFN group, patients in the DAA group were older, higher proportions had diabetes or portal hypertension, and liver function was more severely impaired. The crude 3-year cumulative incidences of HCC were 5.9% in the DAA group, 3.1% in the SVR-IFN group, and 12.7% in the non-SVR group (overall P < .001; unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] for HCC 2.03; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-3.84; P = .030 for the DAA group vs the SVR-IFN group). HCC characteristics were similar among groups. Among patients with HCC, the DAA group received less-frequent HCC screening than the other 2 groups (P = .002). After Cox analyses weighted by the IPTCW, we found no statistically significant increase in risk of HCC associated with DAA use (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.46-1.73; P = .73). CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of data from the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort reveals that the apparent increase in HCC incidence observed in patients with cirrhosis treated with DAAs compared with patients who achieved SVR following an IFN therapy can be explained by patient characteristics (age, diabetes, reduced liver function) and lower screening intensity.

Compliance With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Guidelines Associated With Increased Lead-Time Adjusted Survival of Patients With Compensated Viral Cirrhosis: A Multi-Center Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Semi-annual surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is recommended for patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine how compliance with HCC surveillance guidelines affects survival times of patients with hepatitis C virus- or hepatitis B virus-associated compensated cirrhosis who developed HCC. METHODS: We collected data from the prospective ANRS CO12 CirVir study, from March 2006 through June 2012, on 1671 patients with biopsy-proven viral cirrhosis and no previous liver complications who were undergoing surveillance for HCC at 35 centers in France. Only 216 patients who developed HCC during the follow-up period were included in the analysis. Patients were considered to be compliant with surveillance guidelines if the time between their last surveillance image evaluation and diagnosis of HCC were fewer than 7 months and noncompliant if this time was 7 months or longer. RESULTS: HCC was detected in 216 patients, at a median follow-up time of 59.7 months. Of these patients, 140 (80.5%) were Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A, 135 (69.9%) received first-line curative treatment (15 underwent transplantation, 29 underwent resection, 89 received percutaneous ablation, and 2 received resection and percutaneous ablation), and 129 (60.0%) were compliant with surveillance guidelines. Seventy-nine of the patients with HCC died; 49 deaths were associated with tumor progression. After lead-time adjustment, overall survival (OS) time was longer in patients compliant with surveillance guidelines (median OS time, 53.2 months) than noncompliant patients (median OS time, 25.4 months) (P = .0107); this difference remained significant even when we changed lead time assumptions. In multivariate analysis adjusted for a propensity score, compliance with HCC surveillance guidelines was associated with low tumor burden, allocation of curative treatment, and increased OS time compared with noncompliance (hazard ratio for OS, 2.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-4.14; P = .0150). CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of data from the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort, we associated compliance with HCC surveillance guidelines (fewer than 7 months between image evaluations) with early diagnosis, allocation of curative treatment, and longer adjusted OS of patients with hepatitis C virus- or hepatitis B virus-associated compensated cirrhosis and a diagnosis of HCC.

Non-virological factors are drivers of hepatocellular carcinoma in virosuppressed hepatitis B cirrhosis: Results of ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort.

Worldwide, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs mainly in Asian patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. This study aimed to decipher the environmental and virological factors associated with HCC occurrence and validate risk scoring systems in a French multicentre prospective cohort of HBV cirrhotic patients. Patients with biopsy-proven Child-Pugh A viral cirrhosis included in the ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort who were HBsAg(+) without hepatitis C coinfection were selected for: (a) interview through a standardized questionnaire reporting coffee consumption and HCC familial history; (b) HBsAg quantification using baseline and sequential 2-year frozen sera; (c) baseline HBV genotype determination; and (d) assessment of risk factors and applicability of HCC risk scores (Kaplan-Meier analysis, Cox models). Among 317 patients studied (261 men, median age 53 years, past or ongoing antiviral treatment 93.3% and baseline detectable HBV DNA in 88 patients), the baseline and 2-year median HBsAg levels were 810 and 463 IU/mL, respectively. After a median follow-up of 65.2 months, 27 HCC cases were diagnosed (annual incidence: 1.6%). Three factors were independently associated with HCC occurrence: age > 50 years, platelets ≤ 150 × 103 /mm3 and body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2 . Two out of five risk scores were validated, and the most accurate was PAGE-B at 1 year. Moreover, HCC in patients without maintained virological suppression seems more aggressive and less accessible to curative treatment. In conclusion, in French patients with HBV cirrhosis mostly virally suppressed, independent HCC risk factors were host-related (age, obesity) or linked to the severity of cirrhosis (thrombopenia), and the European PAGE-B score was the most accurate risk score.

Influence of Progenitor-Derived Regeneration Markers on Hepatitis C Virus-Related Cirrhosis Outcome (ANRS CO12 CirVir Cohort).

Progenitor-derived regeneration gives rise to the aberrant expression of biliary markers such as cytokeratin 7 (K7) and epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM) in hepatocytes. We aimed to describe the expression of these molecules in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis and to investigate its potential influence on cirrhosis complications. Among patients with Child-Pugh A uncomplicated HCV-related cirrhosis enrolled in the prospective ANRS CO12 CirVir cohort, we selected individuals with a liver biopsy collected within 2 years before inclusion in the study. K7 and EpCAM immunostaining identified intermediate hepatobiliary cells. The influence of biliary marker expres-sion in hepatocytes on decompensation events and the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was studied using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Among the 337 patients eligible for the study (men, 67%; median age, 52 years), 198 (58.8%) had biopsies with K7-positive hepatocytes including extensive staining in 40 (11.9%) and 203 had EpCAM-positive hepatocytes (60.6%). During follow-up (median, 54.2 months), 47 patients (14%) experienced a decompensation event, and HCC was diagnosed in 37 patients (11%). Extensive K7 staining was independently associated with the occurrence of a decompensation event (hazard ratio [HR], 3.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-6.89; P = 0.010). EpCAM expression was independently associated with HCC occurrence (HR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.07-5.23; P =0.033) along with age and a low prothrombin ratio. CONCLUSION: Progenitor-derived regeneration depicted by K7 and EpCAM immunostaining of hepatocytes in liver biopsies of patients with compensated HCV-related cirrhosis marks a cirrhosis stage more prone to develop complications. (HEPATOLOGY 2018; 68:1534-1548).