Designed to Fail? the Future of Primary Care.

Primary care is widely viewed as being in crisis despite its purported central role in addressing population issues related to healthcare cost, quality, access, and equity. Despite this pivotal role, the nature of the clinical practice today has largely emerged by default. We review the evolution of clinical practice in primary care from its genesis in small practices with paper charts and telephonic patient communication to managed care, pay-for-performance, and today's era of the electronic medical record, value-based payment, and consumerism. We suggest a necessary "reset" of expectations that focuses on today's practice structure and the historic face-to-face patient care expectations. Only by doing so can we successfully meet the demands of patients, society, and practicing internists.

The Impact of Disability and Social Determinants of Health on Condition-Specific Readmissions beyond Medicare Risk Adjustments: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Readmission rates after pneumonia, heart failure, and acute myocardial infarction hospitalizations are risk-adjusted for age, gender, and medical comorbidities and used to penalize hospitals. OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of disability and social determinants of health on condition-specific readmissions beyond current risk adjustment. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study of Medicare patients using 1) linked Health and Retirement Study-Medicare claims data (HRS-CMS) and 2) Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases (Florida, Washington) linked with ZIP Code-level measures from the Census American Community Survey (ACS-HCUP). Multilevel logistic regression models assessed the impact of disability and selected social determinants of health on readmission beyond current risk adjustment. MAIN MEASURES: Outcomes measured were readmissions ≤30 days after hospitalizations for pneumonia, heart failure, or acute myocardial infarction. HRS-CMS models included disability measures (activities of daily living [ADL] limitations, cognitive impairment, nursing home residence, home healthcare use) and social determinants of health (spouse, children, wealth, Medicaid, race). ACS-HCUP model measures were ZIP Code-percentage of residents ≥65 years of age with ADL difficulty, spouse, income, Medicaid, and patient-level and hospital-level race. KEY RESULTS: For pneumonia, ≥3 ADL difficulties (OR 1.61, CI 1.079-2.391) and prior home healthcare needs (OR 1.68, CI 1.204-2.355) increased readmission in HRS-CMS models (N = 1631); ADL difficulties (OR 1.20, CI 1.063-1.352) and 'other' race (OR 1.14, CI 1.001-1.301) increased readmission in ACS-HCUP models (N = 27,297). For heart failure, children (OR 0.66, CI 0.437-0.984) and wealth (OR 0.53, CI 0.349-0.787) lowered readmission in HRS-CMS models (N = 2068), while black (OR 1.17, CI 1.056-1.292) and 'other' race (OR 1.14, CI 1.036-1.260) increased readmission in ACS-HCUP models (N = 37,612). For acute myocardial infarction, nursing home status (OR 4.04, CI 1.212-13.440) increased readmission in HRS-CMS models (N = 833); 'other' patient-level race (OR 1.18, CI 1.012-1.385) and hospital-level race (OR 1.06, CI 1.001-1.125) increased readmission in ACS-HCUP models (N = 17,496). CONCLUSIONS: Disability and social determinants of health influence readmission risk when added to the current Medicare risk adjustment models, but the effect varies by condition.

Associations of diabetes mellitus, insulin, leptin, and ghrelin with gastroesophageal reflux and Barrett's esophagus.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Insulin and leptin have proliferative and anti-apoptotic effects. Ghrelin promotes gastric emptying and secretion of growth hormone and inhibits inflammation. We assessed whether diabetes mellitus and serum levels of insulin, leptin, and ghrelin are associated with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study in 822 men undergoing colorectal cancer screening who were recruited to also undergo upper endoscopy. We identified 70 with Barrett's esophagus; 80 additional men with Barrett's esophagus were recruited shortly after their clinical diagnoses. Serum levels of insulin, leptin, and ghrelin were assayed in all 104 fasting men with Barrett's esophagus without diabetes and 271 without diabetes or Barrett's esophagus. Logistic regression was used to estimate the effects of diabetes and levels of insulin, leptin, and ghrelin on GERD and Barrett's esophagus. RESULTS: Among men with GERD, diabetes was inversely associated with Barrett's esophagus (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 0.383; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.179-0.821). Among nondiabetics, hyperinsulinemia was positively associated with Barrett's esophagus, but the association was attenuated by adjustment for leptin and ghrelin. Leptin was positively associated with Barrett's esophagus, adjusting for obesity, GERD, and levels of insulin and ghrelin (OR for 3(rd) vs 1(st) tertile = 3.25; 95% CI: 1.29-8.17); this association was stronger in men with GERD (P = .01 for OR heterogeneity). Ghrelin was positively associated with Barrett's esophagus (OR for an increment of 400 pg/mL = 1.39; 95% CI: 1.09-1.76), but inversely associated with GERD (OR for 3(rd) vs 1(st) tertile = 0.364; 95% CI: 0.195-0.680). CONCLUSIONS: Based on a case-control study, leptin was associated with Barrett's esophagus, particularly in men with GERD. Serum insulin level was associated with Barrett's esophagus, but might be mediated by leptin. Serum ghrelin was inversely associated with GERD, as hypothesized, but positively associated with Barrett's esophagus, contrary to our hypothesis. Additional studies are needed in men and women to replicate these findings.

Hospital report cards for hospital-acquired pressure ulcers: how good are the grades?

BACKGROUND: Value-based purchasing programs use administrative data to compare hospitals by rates of hospital-acquired pressure ulcers (HAPUs) for public reporting and financial penalties. However, validation of these data is lacking. OBJECTIVE: To assess the validity of the administrative data used to generate HAPU rates by comparing the rates generated from these data with those generated from surveillance data. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of 2 million all-payer administrative records from 448 California hospitals and quarterly hospitalwide surveillance data from 213 hospitals from the Collaborative Alliance for Nursing Outcomes (as publicly reported on the CalHospitalCompare Web site). SETTING: 196 acute care hospitals with at least 6 months of available administrative and surveillance data. PATIENTS: Nonobstetric adults discharged in 2009. MEASUREMENTS: Hospital-specific HAPU rates were computed as the percentage of discharged adults (from administrative data) or examined adults (from surveillance data) with at least 1 stage II or greater HAPU (HAPU2+). Categorization of hospital performance based on administrative data was compared with the grade assigned when surveillance data were used. RESULTS: When administrative data were used, the mean hospital-specific HAPU2+ rate was 0.15% (95% CI, 0.13% to 0.17%); when surveillance data were used, the rate was 2.0% (CI, 1.8% to 2.2%). Among the 49 hospitals with HAPU2+ rates in the highest (worst) quartile from administrative data, use of the surveillance data set resulted in performance grades of "superior" for 3 of these hospitals, "above average" for 14, "average" for 15, and "below average" for 17. LIMITATION: Data are from 1 state and 1 year. CONCLUSION: Hospital performance scores generated from HAPU2+ rates varied considerably according to whether administrative or surveillance data were used, suggesting that administrative data may not be appropriate for comparing hospitals. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.

Prediction of Barrett's esophagus among men.

OBJECTIVES: Risk factors for Barrett's esophagus include gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms, age, abdominal obesity, and tobacco use. We aimed to develop a tool using these factors to predict the presence of Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: Male colorectal cancer (CRC) screenees were recruited to undergo upper endoscopy, identifying newly diagnosed cases of Barrett's esophagus. Logistic regression models predicting Barrett's esophagus using GERD symptoms alone and together with abdominal obesity, tobacco use, and age were compared. RESULTS: Barrett's esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. Mutually adjusting for other covariates, Barrett's esophagus was associated with weekly GERD (odds ratio (OR)=2.33, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.34, 4.05), age (OR per 10 years=1.53, 95% CI=1.05, 2.25), waist-to-hip ratio (OR per 0.10=1.44, 95% CI=0.898, 2.32) and pack-years of cigarette use (OR per 10 pack-years=1.09, 95% CI=1.04, 1.14). A model including those four factors had a greater area under the receiver operating characteristics curve than did a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone (0.72 vs. 0.61, P<0.001), and it had a net reclassification improvement index of 19-25%. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of Barrett's esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barrett's esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. Following validation of the tool in another population, its use in clinical practice might improve the efficiency of screening for Barrett's esophagus.

Effect of nonpayment for hospital-acquired, catheter-associated urinary tract infection: a statewide analysis.

BACKGROUND: Most (59% to 86%) hospital-acquired urinary tract infections (UTIs) are catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs). As of 2008, claims data are used to deny payment for certain hospital-acquired conditions, including CAUTIs, and publicly report hospital performance. OBJECTIVE: To examine rates of UTIs in adults that are coded in claims data as hospital-acquired and catheter-associated events and evaluate how often nonpayment for CAUTI lowers hospital payment. DESIGN: Before-and-after study of all-payer cross-sectional claims data. SETTING: 96 nonfederal acute care Michigan hospitals. PATIENTS: Nonobstetric adults discharged in 2007 (n = 767 531) and 2009 (n = 781 343). MEASUREMENTS: Hospital rates of UTIs (categorized as catheter-associated or hospital-acquired) and frequency of reduced payment for hospital-acquired CAUTIs. RESULTS: Hospitals frequently requested payment for non-CAUTIs as secondary diagnoses: 10.0% (95% CI, 9.5% to 10.5%) of discharges in 2007 and 10.3% (CI, 9.8% to 10.9%) in 2009. Hospital rates of CAUTI were very low: 0.09% (CI, 0.06% to 0.12%) in 2007 and 0.14% (CI, 0.11% to 0.17%) in 2009. In 2009, 2.6% (CI, 1.6% to 3.6%) of hospital-acquired UTIs were described as CAUTIs. Nonpayment for hospital-acquired CAUTIs reduced payment for 25 of 781 343 (0.003%) hospitalizations in 2009. LIMITATIONS: Data are from only 1 state and involved only 1 year before and after nonpayment for complications. Hospital prevention practices were not examined. CONCLUSION: Catheter-associated UTI rates determined by claims data seem to be inaccurate and are much lower than expected from epidemiologic surveillance data. The financial impact of current nonpayment policy for hospital-acquired CAUTI is low. Claims data are currently not valid data sets for comparing hospital-acquired CAUTI rates for the purpose of public reporting or imposing financial incentives or penalties. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan Foundation.

Where should hospitalists sit within the academic medical center?

One of the most significant changes in US hospitals over the past decade has been the emergence of hospitalists as key providers of inpatient care. The number of hospitalists in both community and teaching hospitals is growing rapidly, and as the field burgeons, many are questioning where hospitalists should reside within the academic medical center (AMC). Should they be a distinct division or department, or should they be incorporated into existing divisions? We describe hospital medicine's current trajectory and provide recommendations for hospital medicine's place in the AMC. Local social and economic factors are most likely to determine whether hospital medicine programs will become independent divisions at most AMCs. We believe that in many large AMCs, separate divisions of hospital medicine are less likely to form soon, and in our opinion should not form until they are able to fulfill the tripartite mission traditionally carried out by independent specialist divisions. At community hospitals and less research-oriented AMCs, hospital medicine programs may soon be ready to become separate divisions.

Mobility and other predictors of hospitalization for urinary tract infection: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Many hospitalizations for residents of skilled nursing facilities are potentially avoidable. Factors that could prevent hospitalization for urinary tract infection (UTI) were investigated, with focus on patient mobility. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using 2003-2004 data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. The study included 408,192 residents of 4267 skilled nursing facilities in California, Florida, Michigan, New York, and Texas. The patients were followed over time, from admission to the skilled nursing facility to discharge or, for those who were not discharged, for 1 year. Cox proportional hazards regression was conducted with hospitalization for UTI as the outcome. RESULTS: The ability to walk was associated with a 69% lower rate of hospitalization for UTI. Maintaining or improving walking ability over time reduced the risk of hospitalization for UTI by 39% to 76% for patients with various conditions. For residents with severe mobility problems, such as being in a wheelchair or having a missing limb, maintaining or improving mobility (in bed or when transferring) reduced the risk of hospitalization for UTI by 38% to 80%. Other potentially modifiable predictors included a physician visit at the time of admission to the skilled nursing facility (Hazard Ratio (HR), 0.68), use of an indwelling urinary catheter (HR, 2.78), infection with Clostridium difficile or an antibiotic-resistant microorganism (HR, 1.20), and use of 10 or more medications (HR, 1.31). Patient characteristics associated with hospitalization for UTI were advancing age, being Hispanic or African-American, and having diabetes mellitus, renal failure, Parkinson's disease, dementia, or stroke. CONCLUSION: Maintaining or improving mobility (walking, transferring between positions, or moving in bed) was associated with a lower risk of hospitalization for UTI. A physician visit at the time of admission to the skilled nursing facility also reduced the risk of hospitalization for UTI.

Success In Hospital-Acquired Pressure Ulcer Prevention: A Tale In Two Data Sets.

Chart-based surveillance reviews indicate that the incidence of hospital-acquired pressure ulcers (HAPUs) declined 23 percent during 2010-14, equating to an estimated savings of $1 billion during that period. Yet it remains unclear whether the administrative data used to implement three Medicare value-based purchasing programs that target HAPUs indicate similar improvements, and how success varied by HAPU severity. These programs measure and penalize only for more severe ulcers (stage 3 or 4 or unstageable), which are much more costly than less severe cases (stage 1 or 2). We assessed HAPU incidence, severity, and trends using administrative data for 2009-14 from three states. The HAPU incidence we found was approximately one-twentieth of that found in chart-based surveillance review data. HAPU incidence in administrative data declined, but 96 percent of the change was due to a decline in the incidence of less severe HAPUs. Transitioning from administrative data to chart-based surveillance review to measure HAPUs (mirroring changes that have already been made in reporting hospital-acquired infections) and accounting for HAPU severity could improve the validity of HAPU measures for assessing the clinical and financial impact of value-based purchasing interventions.

Mixed messages to consumers from Medicare: Hospital Compare grades versus value-based payment penalty.

OBJECTIVES: To (1) compare the 2015 hospital grades reported on Medicare's Hospital Compare website for heart failure (HF) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) readmissions with the HF- and AMI-specific scores for excess readmissions used to assess Medicare readmission penalties and (2) assess how often hospitals were penalized for excess readmissions in only 1 or 2 conditions, given that hospitals received a penalty impacting all Medicare payments based on an overall readmission score calculated from 5 conditions (HF, AMI, pneumonia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and total hip/knee arthroplasty). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective secondary data analysis. METHODS: Descriptive analyses of hospital-specific, condition-specific grades and excess readmission scores and hospital-level penalties downloaded from Hospital Compare. RESULTS: Of the 2956 hospitals that had publicly reported HF grades on Hospital Compare, 91.9% (2717) were graded as "no different" than the national rate for HF readmissions, which included 48.6% that were scored as having excessive HF admissions, and 87% received an overall readmission penalty. Of 120 (4.1%) hospitals graded as "better" than the national rate for HF, none were scored as having excessive HF readmissions and 50% were penalized. AMI data yielded similar results. Among 2591 hospitals penalized for overall readmissions, 26.6% had only 1 condition with excess readmissions and 27.5% had 2 conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Many hospitals with an HF and AMI readmission grade of "no different" than the national rate on Hospital Compare received penalties for excessive readmissions under the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program. The value signal to consumers and hospitals communicated by grades and penalties is therefore weakened because the methods applied to the same hospital data produce conflicting messages of "average grades" yet "bad enough for penalty."

Ambulatory care-sensitive emergency visits among patients with medical home access.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize patterns of emergency department (ED) utilization for ambulatory care-sensitive conditions (ACSCs) among patients with established care within a patient-centered medical home. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective chart review using Michigan Medicine's (formerly University of Michigan Health System) electronic health record. METHODS: Ten general medicine (GM) physicians reviewed 256 ambulatory care-sensitive ED encounters that occurred between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2014, among patients of a GM medical home. Physician reviewers abstracted from the medical record the day and time of ED presentation and the source of ED referral (eg, patient self-referral vs physician referral). Physicians assessed the appropriateness of the care location (eg, ED vs primary care). Interrater reliability was assessed using the kappa statistic, and the χ2 test was used to assess differences in the appropriateness of the care location according to ED referral source. RESULTS: Compared with all other days of the week, the fewest number of ED visits occurred on weekend days, and nearly half of patients (48%) presented to the ED after daytime hours, which were defined as 8 am to 3:59 pm. The majority (n = 185; 72%) of patients were self-referred to the ED. The ED was considered the appropriate care location in more than half (53%) of the reviewed cases. Among the 119 cases considered appropriate for GM management, the majority (86%) were self-referred to the ED. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ACSCs often presented to the ED without contacting their medical home. Frequently, the ED is the most appropriate location given symptoms at presentation.